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Prospect Capital Corp. (PSEC)
NASDAQ:PSEC
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Prospect Capital (PSEC) AI Stock Analysis

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PSEC

Prospect Capital

(NASDAQ:PSEC)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(13.21% Upside)
Prospect Capital's overall score is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including declining revenue and profitability. The earnings call provided some positive insights, particularly in net investment income and liquidity, which helped offset some financial concerns. Technical analysis and valuation present a mixed picture, with bearish trends and a high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Effective Debt Management
Effective debt management with a focus on unsecured debt enhances financial flexibility and reduces refinancing risk, supporting long-term stability.
Robust Liquidity Position
A strong liquidity position ensures the company can meet its obligations and invest in growth opportunities, enhancing resilience in uncertain markets.
Successful Real Estate Exits
Successful real estate exits with high returns demonstrate effective asset management and contribute positively to overall portfolio performance.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
A significant decline in revenue indicates challenges in maintaining business growth, which could affect long-term profitability and market position.
Negative Net Profit Margin
A negative net profit margin reflects inefficiencies in cost management and revenue generation, posing risks to sustainable profitability and shareholder returns.
Low Income Yield from Real Estate
Low income yield from real estate investments suggests underperformance in this segment, potentially impacting overall income generation and investment returns.

Prospect Capital (PSEC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prospect Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProspect Capital Corporation (PSEC) is a publicly traded investment firm specializing in private equity and debt investments. The company primarily focuses on investing in middle-market companies across various sectors, including healthcare, manufacturing, and business services. Prospect Capital seeks to generate income through its investments by providing debt and equity financing, thereby supporting the growth of its portfolio companies while delivering attractive returns to its shareholders.
How the Company Makes MoneyProspect Capital generates revenue primarily through interest income and fees associated with its investments in debt and equity securities. The company invests in a diversified portfolio of private companies, providing them with loans or equity capital, which yields interest and potential capital gains. Key revenue streams include interest payments from the loans made to portfolio companies, management fees from the assets under management, and potential exit fees when investments are sold or exited. Additionally, Prospect Capital may benefit from significant partnerships with financial institutions and other entities that enhance its investment capabilities and broaden its network in sourcing quality investment opportunities.

Prospect Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong net investment income, asset repositioning towards first-lien senior secured loans, and effective debt management. The company also demonstrated a robust liquidity position and successful real estate exits. However, the low income yield from the real estate portfolio and significant net repayments posed challenges.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Investment Income
Net investment income for the September quarter was $79.4 million or $0.17 per common share.
Significant Asset Repositioning
The company increased its focus on first-lien senior secured middle market loans, with first lien mix increasing 701 basis points to 71.1%.
Effective Debt Management
Unsecured debt plus unsecured perpetual preferred was 80.8% of total debt plus preferred, and the company successfully issued $168 million in senior unsecured 5.5% notes due 2030.
Successful Real Estate Exits
Exited three property investments since June 2025, earning an unlevered investment level gross cash IRR of 23%.
Strong Portfolio Performance
Non-accruals as a percentage of total assets stood at approximately 0.7% based on fair market value.
Robust Liquidity Position
Balance sheet cash and undrawn revolving credit facility commitments stood at $1.5 billion as of September.
Negative Updates
Significant Net Repayments
Investment originations in the September quarter aggregated $92 million, with net repayments of $143 million.
Low Income Yield from Real Estate
Real estate property portfolio generated an income yield of only 5.1% for the September quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Prospect Capital First Fiscal Quarter 2026 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance with several key metrics. The net investment income (NII) for the September quarter was reported at $79.4 million, equating to $0.17 per common share. The net asset value stood at $3 billion, or $6.45 per share, with a net debt to total assets ratio of 28.2%. The company's focus on first-lien senior secured middle market loans led to an increase of 701 basis points to 71.1% since June 2024. Meanwhile, second lien loans decreased by 292 basis points to 13.5%, and subordinated structured notes fell by 808 basis points to 0.3%. Prospect Capital announced monthly common shareholder distributions of $0.045 per share for November, December, and January, and since their IPO, they have distributed over $4.6 billion, or $21.79 per share. The company's real estate portfolio, represented by National Property REIT Corp, accounted for 14% of investments at cost, delivering a cash-on-cash multiple of 2.3x on recent exits. The weighted average cost of unsecured debt financing was reported at 4.54%, with the company maintaining $1.5 billion in balance sheet cash and undrawn revolving credit facility commitments. Overall, Prospect Capital continues to optimize its portfolio and funding strategy to enhance future returns.

Prospect Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Prospect Capital faces significant challenges in revenue and profitability, with a drastic decline in revenue and a negative net profit margin. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage but inefficiencies in generating returns. Cash flow stability is a positive aspect, though growth remains a concern.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Prospect Capital's income statement shows significant volatility. The company experienced a drastic decline in revenue and profitability in the most recent year, with a revenue growth rate of -66.27% and a net profit margin of -234.08%. This indicates substantial challenges in maintaining revenue and controlling costs. Historically, the company had periods of strong profitability, but recent performance raises concerns about its ability to sustain growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45, which is manageable. However, the return on equity is negative at -10.17%, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure, but the negative ROE highlights potential issues in asset utilization and profitability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a mixed picture. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 3.86, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth has been negative, reflecting challenges in maintaining cash flow growth. The company has managed to maintain a positive free cash flow to net income ratio, which is a positive sign of cash flow stability despite recent declines.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue-73.23M-276.83M467.36M87.30M739.88M1.15B
Gross Profit-197.65M-406.94M320.91M-60.90M622.47M1.02B
EBITDA-257.93M-469.92M262.83M-101.64M582.58M963.81M
Net Income-257.93M-469.92M262.83M-101.64M582.58M963.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.64B6.80B7.86B7.86B7.66B6.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments86.54M46.51M81.90M90.57M31.17M63.61M
Total Debt0.002.09B2.43B2.58B2.74B2.23B
Total Liabilities2.01B3.82B4.15B4.13B3.54B2.36B
Stockholders Equity4.63B2.99B3.71B3.73B4.12B3.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow163.55M178.92M282.10M284.66M-795.34M31.02M
Operating Cash Flow163.55M178.92M282.10M284.66M-795.34M31.02M
Investing Cash Flow464.89M344.25M-2.12M-505.51M-1.11B-154.81M
Financing Cash Flow-598.92M-558.25M-289.76M281.13M767.09M-11.97M

Prospect Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.65
Price Trends
50DMA
2.68
Negative
100DMA
2.79
Negative
200DMA
3.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
46.59
Neutral
STOCH
22.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSEC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.70, below the 50-day MA of 2.68, and below the 200-day MA of 3.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PSEC.

Prospect Capital Risk Analysis

Prospect Capital disclosed 110 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prospect Capital reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prospect Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$5.05B9.3519.07%7.60%11.60%9.38%
74
Outperform
$13.98B9.8110.06%9.33%10.34%-24.16%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$935.62M13.905.43%13.40%36.15%-38.59%
58
Neutral
$475.96M-1.15%22.98%-91.81%78.46%
53
Neutral
-5.29%19.71%-49.05%-231.10%
48
Neutral
$405.49M28.842.89%15.56%-35.46%-67.15%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSEC
Prospect Capital
2.65
-1.49
-35.99%
MAIN
Main Street Capital
55.51
5.30
10.56%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
9.00
-1.42
-13.63%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
6.17
0.03
0.49%
ARCC
Ares Capital
19.52
-0.64
-3.17%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
5.63
-2.03
-26.50%

Prospect Capital Corporate Events

Prospect Capital’s Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Moves
Nov 9, 2025

The recent earnings call for Prospect Capital conveyed an optimistic sentiment, highlighting the company’s strong net investment income and strategic asset repositioning towards first-lien senior secured loans. The management emphasized effective debt management and a robust liquidity position, underscoring successful real estate exits. However, challenges such as low income yield from the real estate portfolio and significant net repayments were also acknowledged.

Prospect Capital Reports Steady Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 8, 2025

Prospect Capital Corporation is a business development company that primarily focuses on lending to and investing in middle-market privately-held companies, aiming to generate both current income and long-term capital appreciation.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Prospect Capital Declares Dividends and Reports Q3 Results
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Prospect Capital announced the declaration of monthly and quarterly dividends for various classes of its preferred stock, as well as cash distributions to common shareholders, scheduled from November 2025 through February 2026. The company reported financial results for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, highlighting a net investment income of $79.35 million and a net income of $48.09 million, reflecting a strategic shift towards first lien senior secured loans and the exit of certain non-core assets. This strategic focus is expected to enhance the company’s portfolio performance and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSEC) stock is a Sell with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prospect Capital stock, see the PSEC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Prospect Capital Issues $167 Million Series A Notes
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Prospect Capital Corporation issued $167 million in 5.5% Series A Notes due 2030, under a deed of trust with Mishmeret Trust Company Ltd. The notes, which are senior unsecured obligations, will mature on December 31, 2030, and are expected to commence trading on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange on November 2, 2025. The net proceeds of approximately $160 million will primarily be used for refinancing existing debt and maintaining balance sheet liquidity. The issuance also includes foreign exchange forward contracts to mitigate currency risk, as the notes are denominated in Israeli shekels.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSEC) stock is a Sell with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prospect Capital stock, see the PSEC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Prospect Capital Announces $167M Institutional Offering
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 27, 2025, Prospect Capital Corporation announced the pricing of an institutional offering of approximately $167 million in 5.5% Series A Notes due 2030. The Notes, which are rated ilAA- by S&P Global Ratings Maalot Ltd., will bear interest at a rate of 5.5% per annum and are expected to commence trading on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange on November 2, 2025. The offering, which was oversubscribed, is expected to close on October 30, 2025, and aims to refinance existing indebtedness and maintain balance sheet liquidity. This move is seen as a strategic effort to strengthen Prospect’s diversified financing sources.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSEC) stock is a Sell with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prospect Capital stock, see the PSEC Stock Forecast page.

Prospect Capital’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Prospect Capital’s latest earnings call conveyed a generally positive outlook, highlighting strong net investment income and successful portfolio repositioning. The company also reported impressive real estate returns, although it acknowledged challenges such as reduced payment-in-kind income and industry-specific issues in the multifamily real estate segment.

Prospect Capital Reports Decline in Earnings and NAV
Aug 28, 2025

Prospect Capital Corporation is a business development company that primarily lends to and invests in middle-market privately-held companies, aiming to generate both current income and long-term capital appreciation. In its latest earnings report for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, Prospect Capital reported a decline in net investment income and net asset value per common share compared to the previous year. The company recorded a net investment income of $79 million for the quarter, a decrease from $102.9 million in the same quarter last year, and a net loss applicable to common shareholders of $226.4 million.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Prospect Capital Announces Dividends Amid Portfolio Optimization
Neutral
Aug 27, 2025

On August 26, 2025, Prospect Capital announced the declaration of monthly and quarterly dividends for various classes of its preferred stock and common shareholders, reflecting its ongoing commitment to shareholder returns. The company reported financial results for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025, highlighting a net investment income of $79 million, but also a net loss applicable to common shareholders of $226 million. Prospect Capital has been actively optimizing its portfolio by increasing its focus on first lien senior secured loans and exiting non-core investments, which has resulted in a significant reduction of its subordinated structured notes portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSEC) stock is a Sell with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prospect Capital stock, see the PSEC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2025