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CAPE - ETF AI Analysis

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CAPE

DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF (CAPE)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
CAPE, the DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF, has a solid overall rating driven largely by high-quality leaders like Alphabet (GOOGL/GOOG), which benefit from strong financial performance and strategic investments in AI and cloud, and Walmart, which adds stability through strong global and e-commerce growth. Defensive names like Johnson & Johnson and Prologis further support the fund with steady performance and positive outlooks, though some holdings such as Costco, Procter & Gamble, and AbbVie face valuation pressures, bearish or mixed technical trends, and certain financial or market-share challenges. The main risk factor is that several key holdings appear potentially overvalued or technically stretched, which could increase volatility if market sentiment shifts.
Positive Factors
Steady Recent Performance
The ETF has shown positive performance over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating steady recent momentum.
Quality Blue-Chip Holdings
Many top positions are well-known, established companies in areas like consumer staples, health care, and technology, which can provide stability to the portfolio.
Sector Diversification Across Defensives and Growth
The fund spreads its assets across communication services, consumer defensive, real estate, and health care, helping balance growth potential with more defensive sectors.
Negative Factors
High Expense Ratio
The ETF charges a relatively high fee, which can eat into long-term returns compared with lower-cost index funds.
Heavy U.S. Concentration
With the vast majority of assets in U.S. stocks, the fund offers little geographic diversification and is highly tied to the U.S. market’s fortunes.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Some major positions, such as Meta Platforms and AbbVie, have shown weak year-to-date performance, which can drag on the fund’s overall results.

CAPE vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CAPE Summary

The DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF (CAPE) is a U.S. stock fund that follows a strategy based on the Shiller CAPE valuation measure, aiming to pick sectors that look relatively cheap and have room to grow. It invests across the total U.S. market, with big positions in areas like communication services, consumer defensive, real estate, and health care. Well-known holdings include Meta Platforms and Walmart. Someone might invest in CAPE for diversified exposure to many U.S. sectors with a tilt toward undervalued areas. A key risk is that its sector bets can underperform if those chosen areas lag the broader market.
How much will it cost me?The DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF (CAPE) has an expense ratio of 0.65%, meaning you’ll pay $6.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because the fund is actively managed, using a specialized strategy to select undervalued sectors based on the Shiller CAPE ratio. Active management typically involves more research and adjustments, which can increase costs.
What would affect this ETF?The CAPE ETF could benefit from growth in the U.S. economy and strong performance in sectors like Communication Services and Consumer Defensive, which include top holdings such as Meta and Walmart. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact sectors like Real Estate and Materials, which are sensitive to borrowing costs and demand fluctuations.

CAPE Top 10 Holdings

CAPE is leaning heavily into U.S. communication services, consumer staples, real estate, and health care, with a clear tilt toward mega-cap brands. Alphabet’s twin share classes are doing much of the heavy lifting as they keep rising on AI and cloud optimism, while Costco and Walmart add steady retail muscle. Real estate names like Welltower and Prologis are more of a slow-and-steady engine than a turbocharger. On the flip side, Meta is losing steam and AbbVie is lagging, modestly dragging on an otherwise broadly diversified U.S. portfolio.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Amazon5.66%$18.76M$2.19T-10.76%
71
Outperform
Tesla5.28%$17.49M$1.61T20.35%
73
Outperform
Meta Platforms3.40%$11.25M$1.69T-8.22%
76
Outperform
Walmart2.85%$9.45M$1.03T23.77%
78
Outperform
Alphabet Class A2.81%$9.31M$3.76T67.88%
85
Outperform
Welltower2.31%$7.65M$142.67B38.61%
77
Outperform
Alphabet Class C2.26%$7.49M$3.76T66.60%
82
Outperform
Costco2.23%$7.38M$434.17B-8.74%
72
Outperform
Prologis2.21%$7.32M$133.01B15.75%
76
Outperform
Procter & Gamble1.96%$6.49M$371.84B-1.77%
69
Neutral

CAPE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
32.55
Positive
100DMA
32.19
Positive
200DMA
31.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
49.58
Neutral
STOCH
42.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAPE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.90, equal to the 50-day MA of 32.55, and equal to the 200-day MA of 31.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CAPE.

CAPE Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$276.90M0.65%
$938.37M0.59%
$830.31M0.59%
$802.89M0.49%
$755.25M0.45%
$669.28M0.50%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAPE
DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF
32.79
1.72
5.54%
SYLD
Cambria Shareholder Yield ETF
PLDR
Putnam Sustainable Leaders ETF
ABFL
Fcf Us Quality Etf
BGDV
Bahl & Gaynor Dividend ETF
XCHG
AB US Equity ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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