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CAPE - ETF AI Analysis

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CAPE

DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF (CAPE)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
CAPE, the DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF, has a solid overall rating driven largely by high-quality leaders like Alphabet (GOOGL/GOOG), Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson, which all show strong financial performance, positive earnings commentary, and strategic growth initiatives, especially in areas like AI, cloud, and international expansion. These strengths are partly offset by holdings such as Costco and Berkshire Hathaway, where bearish technical trends, overvaluation concerns, or lack of dividend support act as mild drags. The main risk factor is that several major holdings are priced for growth or face valuation and technical pressures, which could increase volatility if market sentiment shifts.
Positive Factors
Resilient Recent Performance
The ETF has shown positive results so far this year and over the last month, indicating some recent strength despite a weak three‑month stretch.
Defensive Sector Tilt
Heavy exposure to consumer defensive, health care, and communication services can help cushion the portfolio during market downturns.
Quality Blue-Chip Holdings
Top positions include well-known, financially solid companies like Walmart, Costco, Meta, Alphabet, and Johnson & Johnson, which can provide stability and growth potential.
Negative Factors
High Expense Ratio
The fund’s fee is relatively high for an ETF, which can eat into long‑term returns compared with lower‑cost alternatives.
Single-Country Concentration
Almost all assets are invested in U.S. stocks, so the fund offers little protection if the U.S. market struggles.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Several major holdings, such as Eli Lilly, Berkshire Hathaway, and JPMorgan, have recently lagged, which can drag on overall fund performance.

CAPE vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CAPE Summary

The DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF (CAPE) is a U.S. stock fund that follows a value-focused strategy based on the Shiller CAPE idea, which looks for sectors that appear cheap compared with their long-term earnings. It mainly owns large, well-known American companies across defensive, health care, communication, and financial sectors. Big names include Meta Platforms, Walmart, Eli Lilly, Berkshire Hathaway, and Alphabet (Google). Investors might consider CAPE for diversified exposure to many parts of the U.S. market with a tilt toward potentially undervalued areas. A key risk is that its sector bets can underperform the broader market, so the price can go up and down significantly over time.
How much will it cost me?The DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF (CAPE) has an expense ratio of 0.65%, meaning you’ll pay $6.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because the fund is actively managed, using a specialized strategy to select undervalued sectors based on the Shiller CAPE ratio. Active management typically involves more research and adjustments, which can increase costs.
What would affect this ETF?The CAPE ETF could benefit from growth in the U.S. economy and strong performance in sectors like Communication Services and Consumer Defensive, which include top holdings such as Meta and Walmart. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact sectors like Real Estate and Materials, which are sensitive to borrowing costs and demand fluctuations.

CAPE Top 10 Holdings

CAPE is leaning heavily into defensive U.S. sectors, with big weights in consumer staples, health care, and communication services rather than the usual tech-heavy playbook. Alphabet and Meta are doing much of the lifting, with their shares steadily rising on AI optimism. On the consumer side, Walmart and Costco are powering ahead, giving the fund a solid retail backbone. Health care is more of a mixed bag: Eli Lilly is losing steam after a strong run, while Johnson & Johnson looks steadier. Berkshire Hathaway and Procter & Gamble are lagging a bit, acting more like ballast than boosters.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Meta Platforms4.85%$13.63M$1.56T2.69%
76
Outperform
Eli Lilly & Co3.67%$10.31M$929.55B27.08%
72
Outperform
Berkshire Hathaway B2.98%$8.37M$1.01T-9.34%
66
Neutral
Walmart2.94%$8.26M$1.04T31.62%
78
Outperform
Johnson & Johnson2.63%$7.39M$540.71B42.80%
78
Outperform
JPMorgan Chase2.63%$7.38M$843.78B26.27%
72
Outperform
Alphabet Class A2.62%$7.36M$4.81T162.94%
85
Outperform
Costco2.35%$6.60M$441.77B-1.13%
72
Outperform
Alphabet Class C2.09%$5.88M$4.81T158.60%
82
Outperform
Procter & Gamble2.05%$5.76M$344.40B-7.15%
69
Neutral

CAPE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
31.88
Positive
100DMA
32.24
Positive
200DMA
32.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Negative
RSI
55.87
Neutral
STOCH
70.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAPE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.34, equal to the 50-day MA of 31.88, and equal to the 200-day MA of 32.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CAPE.

CAPE Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$269.99M0.65%
72
Outperform
$935.39M0.59%
69
Neutral
$862.88M1.30%
64
Neutral
$777.50M0.45%
74
Outperform
$746.58M0.22%
63
Neutral
$687.14M0.50%
70
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAPE
DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF
32.46
2.67
8.96%
SYLD
Cambria Shareholder Yield ETF
ULTY
YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF
BGDV
Bahl & Gaynor Dividend ETF
AVTM
Avantis Total Equity Markets ETF
XCHG
AB US Equity ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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