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CAPE - ETF AI Analysis

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CAPE

DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF (CAPE)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
CAPE, the DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF, has a solid overall rating driven largely by strong, well-established companies like Alphabet (GOOGL/GOOG), which benefit from powerful growth in AI and cloud services, and stable blue chips such as Johnson & Johnson and Eli Lilly with resilient financial performance. These strengths are balanced by some holdings facing valuation or macro challenges, like Linde and AbbVie, which may limit upside. A key risk factor is that several major holdings are described as potentially overvalued or facing technical caution, which could increase volatility if market sentiment shifts.
Positive Factors
Steady Recent Performance
The ETF has shown positive performance over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating steady recent momentum.
Quality Blue-Chip Holdings
Many top positions are well-known, established companies in areas like consumer staples, health care, and technology, which can provide stability to the portfolio.
Sector Diversification Across Defensives and Growth
The fund spreads its assets across communication services, consumer defensive, real estate, and health care, helping balance growth potential with more defensive sectors.
Negative Factors
High Expense Ratio
The ETF charges a relatively high fee, which can eat into long-term returns compared with lower-cost index funds.
Heavy U.S. Concentration
With the vast majority of assets in U.S. stocks, the fund offers little geographic diversification and is highly tied to the U.S. market’s fortunes.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Some major positions, such as Meta Platforms and AbbVie, have shown weak year-to-date performance, which can drag on the fund’s overall results.

CAPE vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CAPE Summary

The DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF (CAPE) is a U.S. stock fund that follows a strategy based on the Shiller CAPE valuation measure, aiming to pick sectors that look relatively cheap and have room to grow. It invests across the total U.S. market, with big positions in areas like communication services, consumer defensive, real estate, and health care. Well-known holdings include Meta Platforms and Walmart. Someone might invest in CAPE for diversified exposure to many U.S. sectors with a tilt toward undervalued areas. A key risk is that its sector bets can underperform if those chosen areas lag the broader market.
How much will it cost me?The DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF (CAPE) has an expense ratio of 0.65%, meaning you’ll pay $6.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because the fund is actively managed, using a specialized strategy to select undervalued sectors based on the Shiller CAPE ratio. Active management typically involves more research and adjustments, which can increase costs.
What would affect this ETF?The CAPE ETF could benefit from growth in the U.S. economy and strong performance in sectors like Communication Services and Consumer Defensive, which include top holdings such as Meta and Walmart. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact sectors like Real Estate and Materials, which are sensitive to borrowing costs and demand fluctuations.

CAPE Top 10 Holdings

CAPE may be a broad U.S. fund, but its story right now is all about a few big themes. Communication services names like Meta and Alphabet are losing steam, acting as a mild brake on returns even though their long-term AI bets keep them in the driver’s seat. Health care is a major pillar, but giants like Eli Lilly and AbbVie have been lagging, while steadier players Johnson & Johnson and Welltower help balance the ride. Linde stands out as a rare bright spot, giving the portfolio a lift from the materials side.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Meta Platforms4.85%$13.63M$1.59T15.87%
76
Outperform
Eli Lilly & Co3.67%$10.31M$887.63B28.27%
72
Outperform
Berkshire Hathaway B2.98%$8.37M$1.03T-8.44%
66
Neutral
Walmart2.94%$8.26M$1.01T36.60%
78
Outperform
Johnson & Johnson2.63%$7.39M$574.36B57.16%
78
Outperform
JPMorgan Chase2.63%$7.38M$835.73B31.19%
72
Outperform
Alphabet Class A2.62%$7.36M$3.83T101.88%
85
Outperform
Costco2.35%$6.60M$442.97B3.64%
72
Outperform
Alphabet Class C2.09%$5.88M$3.83T98.07%
82
Outperform
Procter & Gamble2.05%$5.76M$337.35B-13.03%
69
Neutral

CAPE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
32.07
Negative
100DMA
32.13
Negative
200DMA
31.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Negative
RSI
53.65
Neutral
STOCH
93.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAPE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.03, equal to the 50-day MA of 32.07, and equal to the 200-day MA of 31.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CAPE.

CAPE Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$268.46M0.65%
71
Outperform
$928.15M0.59%
69
Neutral
$830.66M1.30%
64
Neutral
$747.50M0.45%
74
Outperform
$652.57M0.50%
69
Neutral
$614.59M0.24%
72
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAPE
DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF
31.64
2.79
9.67%
SYLD
Cambria Shareholder Yield ETF
ULTY
YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF
BGDV
Bahl & Gaynor Dividend ETF
XCHG
AB US Equity ETF
EBI
Longview Advantage ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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