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Linde (LIN)
NASDAQ:LIN

Linde (LIN) AI Stock Analysis

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LIN

Linde

(NASDAQ:LIN)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$568.00
â–²(13.01% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/06/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (multi-year margin and earnings expansion with robust operating cash flow) and supportive earnings-call fundamentals (EPS growth outlook, record backlog, disciplined capital returns). Technicals are constructive with an established uptrend, while the main constraint is valuation (high P/E with a modest yield) alongside noted macro/end-market and leverage/cash-conversion risks.
Positive Factors
Margin and profitability expansion
Sustained margin expansion reflects structural improvements in pricing, mix and operating efficiency across on-site, merchant and specialty gas businesses. Higher margins support durable cash generation and resilience through demand cycles, underpinning long-term returns and reinvestment capacity.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage and higher absolute debt
Leverage rising from prior years increases financial risk and reduces flexibility to fund opportunistic M&A or weather extended demand weakness. Higher absolute debt loads amplify interest-rate sensitivity and may constrain capital allocation if cashflow weakens or rates stay elevated.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin and profitability expansion
Sustained margin expansion reflects structural improvements in pricing, mix and operating efficiency across on-site, merchant and specialty gas businesses. Higher margins support durable cash generation and resilience through demand cycles, underpinning long-term returns and reinvestment capacity.
Read all positive factors

Linde (LIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Linde Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Linde plc operates as an industrial gas and engineering company in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers atmospheric gases, including oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases; and process gases, s...
How the Company Makes Money
Linde primarily makes money by selling industrial gases and related services under supply arrangements that vary by customer size and usage profile. A major revenue stream comes from on-site contracts, where Linde designs, builds, owns, and operat...

Linde Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across different business units, revealing which segments are performing well and contributing most to the company’s top line.
Chart InsightsLinde's revenue trends reveal a mixed performance across segments. The Americas and APAC regions show steady growth, with APAC benefiting from electronics demand, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, EMEA faces challenges due to weak industrial demand, aligning with the reported macroeconomic pressures. The Engineering segment struggles with fluctuating revenues, while the 'Other' category sees a decline. Despite these challenges, Linde's strong backlog and focus on electronics and manufacturing provide a positive outlook, though European industrial weakness and helium price pressures remain concerns.
Data provided by:The Fly

Linde Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented several strong positives — record full-year financials (EPS, operating cash flow, margins), an industry-leading 24.2% ROC, a record $10 billion backlog, meaningful sustainability progress (low-carbon power +23% and ~2M tCO2 avoided), robust capital return ($7B+), and commercial wins (90+ application wins and space launch positioning). Offsetting this were persistent headwinds in traditional industrial end markets, regional softness in EMEA and parts of APAC, helium/rare gas headwinds (~1–2% EPS drag), increased capital intensity pressuring ROC in the near term, and a conservative 2026 EPS guide with restructuring charges booked in Q4. Overall, the positives (record results, backlog, cash generation, sustainability and disciplined capital allocation) modestly outweigh the negatives, though management remains appropriately cautious on macro and timing risk.
Positive Updates
Quarterly Sales Growth
Q4 sales of $8.8 billion, up 6% year-over-year and 2% sequentially; foreign exchange provided a ~3% tailwind; underlying sales ex-FX rose ~3% (2% pricing, 1% volumes).
Negative Updates
Weakness in Traditional Industrial Markets
Persistent retrenchment in manufacturing, metals, chemicals and energy end markets, with broad-based weakness in EMEA and continued softness in certain industrial customers.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Quarterly Sales Growth
Q4 sales of $8.8 billion, up 6% year-over-year and 2% sequentially; foreign exchange provided a ~3% tailwind; underlying sales ex-FX rose ~3% (2% pricing, 1% volumes).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Linde guided 2026 EPS of $17.40–$17.90 (up 6%–9% versus 2025), anchoring the midpoint to 0% base volume change and assuming a 1% full‑year FX tailwind (3% FX benefit in Q1); management remains guarded on the macro outlook and expects restructuring/productivity actions (cash payback ~2 years) to drive most benefits in H2. They reiterated long‑term operating‑margin expansion of ~30–50 bps/year (FY25 margin was up 30 bps) and said 2026 should beat that range, expect ROC to stay in the low‑to‑mid‑20% area (2025 ROC 24.2%), and noted a 1–2% EPS headwind in 2025 from helium/rare‑gas. Capital and cash metrics underpinning the outlook include Q4 operating cash flow >$3.0B, ~17% higher CapEx, about $6.0B invested for growth (roughly half toward secured projects/acquisitions), a record $10.0B backlog (plus >$0.5B for rocket propellants), ~$400M of bolt‑ons closed in 2025, $1.4B of Q4 buybacks and $7.4B returned to shareholders for the year.

Linde Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and improving profitability with meaningful margin expansion and rising net income, supported by consistently robust operating cash flow. Offsets include modest/flat recent revenue growth, higher leverage versus earlier years, and uneven free-cash-flow conversion in 2023–2024.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.99B33.01B32.85B33.36B30.79B
Gross Profit14.73B12.08B11.55B9.71B8.62B
EBITDA12.95B12.92B12.29B9.94B9.89B
Net Income6.90B6.57B6.20B4.15B3.83B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets86.82B80.15B80.81B79.66B81.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.06B4.85B4.66B5.44B2.82B
Total Debt26.99B22.61B20.32B18.79B15.22B
Total Liabilities47.08B40.66B39.72B38.27B36.16B
Stockholders Equity38.24B38.09B39.72B40.03B44.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.09B4.93B5.52B5.69B6.64B
Operating Cash Flow10.35B9.42B9.30B8.86B9.72B
Investing Cash Flow-5.72B-4.64B-4.67B-3.09B-3.01B
Financing Cash Flow-4.55B-4.36B-5.40B-3.09B-7.59B

Linde Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price502.60
Price Trends
50DMA
480.58
Positive
100DMA
449.81
Positive
200DMA
455.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.32
Negative
RSI
60.16
Neutral
STOCH
79.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 502.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 489.68, above the 50-day MA of 480.58, and above the 200-day MA of 455.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LIN.

Linde Risk Analysis

Linde disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Linde reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Linde Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$232.90B28.8218.10%1.41%1.45%13.21%
74
Outperform
$74.52B35.8322.03%1.01%1.38%-2.54%
68
Neutral
$23.07B14.7133.60%2.71%-12.98%-11.34%
67
Neutral
$78.79B31.0858.53%0.98%0.96%1.96%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
$65.36B20.29-2.20%2.92%-0.52%-110.29%
56
Neutral
$18.60B-21.54-3.77%1.74%2.42%-196.54%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LIN
Linde
502.60
82.41
19.61%
APD
Air Products and Chemicals
293.55
41.22
16.34%
ECL
Ecolab
264.28
36.32
15.93%
PPG
PPG Industries
103.24
8.80
9.32%
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Company
318.00
-1.95
-0.61%
DD
DuPont de Nemours
45.48
21.80
92.07%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026