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Linde (LIN)
NASDAQ:LIN

Linde (LIN) AI Stock Analysis

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Linde

(NASDAQ:LIN)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$534.00
▲(11.91%Upside)
Linde's strong financial performance, highlighted by solid profitability and effective cost management, is the primary driver of the score. The company's technical analysis suggests a positive trend with some caution, while the valuation indicates potential overvaluation. The earnings call underscores robust EPS growth and a strong backlog, but external market challenges remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Market Share
LIN expects to grow its market share by being able to quickly replicate its existing solution set across projects.
Project Wins
LIN's ability to customize its offerings helped it win major new low-carbon projects.
Negative Factors
Global Demand
Global industrial demand remains weak, with China showing modest growth, Europe facing declines, and the US holding flattish to down.
Macroeconomic Concerns
Management indicated that despite concerns about the macro slowing, LIN is having constructive dialog with partners looking to bring on new business.

Linde (LIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Linde Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLinde plc operates as an industrial gas and engineering company in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers atmospheric gases, including oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases; and process gases, such as carbon dioxide, helium, hydrogen, electronic gases, specialty gases, and acetylene. The company also designs and constructs turnkey process plants for third-party customers, as well as for the gas businesses in various locations, such as olefin, natural gas, air separation, hydrogen, and synthesis gas plants. It serves a range of industries, including healthcare, energy, manufacturing, food, beverage carbonation, fiber-optics, steel making, aerospace, chemicals, and water treatment. The company was founded in 1879 and is based in Woking, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyLinde makes money primarily through the sale of industrial gases and related services. Its revenue model is based on long-term contracts and direct sales to a diverse range of industries, including manufacturing, chemicals, refining, food and beverage, electronics, and healthcare. Key revenue streams include the production and distribution of atmospheric gases and process gases, as well as engineering and construction services for gas processing facilities. Significant partnerships with companies in sectors such as healthcare and clean energy also contribute to its earnings. Additionally, Linde's focus on innovation and efficiency in gas production and delivery enhances its profitability.

Linde Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across different business units, revealing which segments are performing well and contributing most to the company’s top line.
Chart InsightsLinde's revenue by segment reveals a mixed performance. The Americas and APAC regions show resilience, with steady growth despite manufacturing weaknesses and market challenges in China. EMEA and the 'Other' segment face stagnation. The Engineering segment's recent uptick suggests potential recovery. The earnings call highlights a robust backlog and EPS growth, but warns of flat sales and volume declines, particularly in China and the U.S. Manufacturing sector. Linde's strategic focus on productivity and pricing actions aims to counteract these headwinds, supporting future growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Linde Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with significant achievements in EPS growth and a strong project backlog, but challenges remain in sales growth, market conditions in China, and manufacturing weakness in key regions. The company's prudent management actions and shareholder return strategies provide some stability amidst these challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Per Share Growth
EPS grew by 8%, operating margins expanded by 120 basis points to 30.1%, and maintained industry-leading ROC at 25.7%.
Backlog and Future Growth
The quarter ended with a strong backlog of $10 billion, with more than $7 billion in sale of gas projects, underpinned by long-term contracts.
Capital Management and Shareholder Returns
Operating cash flow increased by 11% to $2.2 billion. The annual dividend was raised by 8%, marking 32 straight years of dividend growth. $1.1 billion of stock was repurchased.
Project Wins and Pipeline
New project wins, including in South Korea with Samsung, and expectations of continued project announcements in the electronics sector.
Negative Updates
Flat Sales and Volume Decline
Sales were flat at $8.1 billion compared to the prior year, with underlying sales only increasing 1% due to higher pricing offset by lower volumes.
China Market Challenges
Continued softness in industrial end markets in China, with no recovery expected in 2025. Metals and chemicals markets are weak, and industrial deflation is likely to continue.
Manufacturing Weakness in the Americas
Weakness in U.S. manufacturing due to uncertainty, with automotive, agricultural products, and mining showing softness.
Currency Headwinds
A 2% currency headwind affected EPS growth, driven by a weakened dollar against key currencies.
Company Guidance
During the Linde First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, guidance for the year emphasized cautious expectations amidst a challenging economic environment, with anticipated recessionary conditions impacting volumes. Despite these headwinds, Linde projected EPS growth in the range of $16.20 to $16.50 for the full year, reflecting a 5% to 7% increase excluding currency effects. The company highlighted its robust operating model, which facilitated an 8% increase in EPS and a 120 basis point expansion in operating margins to 30.1%, alongside maintaining a 25.7% return on capital. Linde's backlog stood at $10 billion, with over $7 billion in sale of gas projects, supporting future growth prospects. The guidance also accounted for a 2% currency headwind, offset by productivity improvements and pricing actions, with a focus on maintaining a disciplined capital allocation strategy.

Linde Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Linde shows a strong financial profile with solid profitability, effective cost management, and robust cash flow generation. The company's balance sheet is well-structured, though rising debt levels require monitoring. Overall, it balances growth with financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Linde's income statement reflects a strong financial performance with a stable revenue base. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is approximately 55%, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin is around 20% for TTM, showcasing solid profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, at 26% and 38% respectively for TTM. Revenue growth is modest but consistent, suggesting a steady business trajectory.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.58, indicating moderate leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 17.38% for TTM, reflecting effective use of equity capital. The Equity Ratio is approximately 46%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years could pose potential risks if not managed effectively.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Linde demonstrates robust cash flow management. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.46 for TTM, implying strong cash conversion. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.74, indicating good free cash flow generation. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows slight volatility, which may require attention to sustain long-term liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.02B33.01B32.85B33.36B30.79B27.24B
Gross Profit14.02B15.86B15.36B13.91B13.25B11.86B
EBITDA12.59B12.75B12.22B10.86B10.14B8.73B
Net Income6.61B6.57B6.20B4.15B3.83B2.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets82.70B80.15B80.81B79.66B81.61B88.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.29B4.85B4.66B5.44B2.82B3.75B
Total Debt23.90B22.61B20.32B17.91B14.21B16.15B
Total Liabilities43.24B40.66B39.72B38.27B36.16B38.65B
Stockholders Equity38.03B38.09B39.72B40.03B44.03B47.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.91B4.93B5.52B5.69B6.64B4.03B
Operating Cash Flow9.63B9.42B9.30B8.86B9.72B7.43B
Investing Cash Flow-4.97B-4.64B-4.67B-3.09B-3.01B-2.99B
Financing Cash Flow-4.08B-4.36B-5.40B-3.09B-7.59B-3.35B

Linde Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price477.17
Price Trends
50DMA
459.37
Positive
100DMA
456.86
Positive
200DMA
453.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.80
Negative
RSI
63.19
Neutral
STOCH
94.86
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 477.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 467.30, above the 50-day MA of 459.37, and above the 200-day MA of 453.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LIN.

Linde Risk Analysis

Linde disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Linde reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Linde Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LILIN
77
Outperform
$224.42B34.6017.20%1.26%0.78%6.75%
ECECL
77
Outperform
$77.29B37.0824.62%0.95%1.19%36.31%
LYLYB
72
Outperform
$19.67B18.937.19%8.76%-6.53%-50.08%
DDDD
64
Neutral
$29.90B40.240.06%2.25%4.51%-121.68%
PPPPG
64
Neutral
$26.43B19.7218.47%2.34%-7.67%-0.58%
APAPD
63
Neutral
$64.60B42.1910.45%2.47%-1.09%-37.71%
44
Neutral
C$967.22M-6.71-13.35%2.72%17.20%-32.62%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LIN
Linde
477.17
46.85
10.89%
APD
Air Products and Chemicals
290.30
43.76
17.75%
ECL
Ecolab
272.46
36.62
15.53%
LYB
LyondellBasell
62.56
-24.52
-28.16%
PPG
PPG Industries
118.59
-3.77
-3.08%
DD
DuPont de Nemours
72.95
-4.47
-5.77%

Linde Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Linde Raises ₣498.6 Million in Debt Issuance
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Linde plc issued ₣225 million of 0.6150% Notes due 2029 and ₣275 million of 1.0629% Notes due 2033, raising approximately ₣498.6 million. These notes were listed on the SIX Swiss Exchange and are part of Linde’s European debt issuance program, which allows for the issuance of up to €20 billion in unsecured notes. The proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, enhancing Linde’s financial flexibility and supporting its strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (LIN) stock is a Buy with a $525.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Linde stock, see the LIN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 06, 2025