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Air Products and Chemicals (APD)
NYSE:APD

Air Products and Chemicals (APD) AI Stock Analysis

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APD

Air Products and Chemicals

(NYSE:APD)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$231.00
▼(-5.63% Downside)
The overall stock score is primarily impacted by financial performance challenges, including negative profitability and cash flow issues. Technical analysis further supports a cautious outlook with bearish signals. While the earnings call provided some positive insights, such as strong EPS and dividend growth, significant challenges remain, particularly in market conditions and project execution.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Yara enhances Air Products' market position in low-carbon hydrogen and ammonia, leveraging Yara's distribution network for long-term growth.
Dividend Growth
Consistent dividend growth reflects strong cash generation and commitment to returning value to shareholders, indicating financial stability.
Cost Reduction Initiatives
Cost reduction initiatives enhance operational efficiency, potentially improving margins and profitability over the long term.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue and profitability can hinder growth and investment capacity, posing risks to long-term business sustainability.
Rising Debt Levels
Increased leverage can strain financial flexibility and elevate risk, impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Helium Market Challenges
Helium market challenges can affect revenue streams and operational performance, posing risks to financial stability and growth prospects.

Air Products and Chemicals (APD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Air Products and Chemicals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAir Products and Chemicals, Inc. provides atmospheric gases, process and specialty gases, equipment, and services worldwide. The company produces atmospheric gases, including oxygen, nitrogen, and argon; process gases, such as hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, syngas; specialty gases; and equipment for the production or processing of gases comprising air separation units and non-cryogenic generators for customers in various industries, including refining, chemical, gasification, metals, manufacturing, food and beverage, electronics, magnetic resonance imaging, energy production and refining, and metals. It also designs and manufactures equipment for air separation, hydrocarbon recovery and purification, natural gas liquefaction, and liquid helium and liquid hydrogen transport and storage. Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. has a strategic collaboration with Baker Hughes Company to develop hydrogen compression systems. The company was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyAir Products generates revenue primarily through the sale of industrial gases and related equipment. Its revenue model is based on long-term contracts and supply agreements, which provide stable cash flows. Key revenue streams include the sale of gases to customers in sectors such as refining, petrochemicals, and manufacturing, as well as the development and operation of large-scale gas production facilities. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures, particularly in hydrogen production and carbon capture technologies, which enhance its market position and drive growth. Factors contributing to its earnings include the increasing demand for clean energy solutions, technological advancements in gas applications, and expanding markets in emerging economies.

Air Products and Chemicals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Geography
Operating Income by Geography
Shows the profitability from different regions, highlighting where the company is most efficient and where there might be challenges or opportunities for improving margins.
Chart InsightsAir Products and Chemicals' operating income in the Americas and Europe shows robust growth, with the Americas seeing a notable increase, likely driven by strong base business performance and strategic cost savings. However, Asia's income remains volatile, reflecting challenges like declining helium demand. The Middle East and India region experienced a significant turnaround, recovering from negative income, possibly due to strategic investments and cost reduction efforts. Despite economic uncertainties, the company's focus on hydrogen and electronics, along with digital transformation, positions it well for future growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Air Products and Chemicals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call demonstrated positive financial performance with strong earnings and consistent dividend growth. However, significant challenges remain, particularly in the helium market and project execution, leading to a cautious outlook for fiscal 2026.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Per Share Exceeds Guidance
Air Products delivered earnings per share of $12.03, which is above the midpoint of their full-year fiscal guidance range.
Consistent Dividend Increase
Fiscal 2025 marks the 43rd consecutive year of increasing dividends, with a total return of $1.6 billion to shareholders.
Cost Reduction Initiatives
Identified a total of 3,600 headcount reductions since 2022, translating to 16% of the peak workforce, contributing approximately $250 million in annual cost savings.
NEOM Project Progress
The NEOM project is about 90% complete, with solar and wind power generation expected to be completed by early 2026.
Negative Updates
Helium Market Challenges
Continued headwinds from reduced global helium demand, impacting sales and operating income.
Project Cost and Execution Issues
Higher costs driven by depreciation and project exits, with specific challenges in the execution of the Alberta project due to contractual obligations.
Economic and Market Headwinds
Facing a sluggish macroeconomic environment and additional helium headwinds impacting fiscal 2026 guidance.
Louisiana Blue Hydrogen Project Uncertainty
The project is paused pending off-take agreements; concerns over the U.S. construction market's impact on capital estimates.
Company Guidance
During the Air Products Fourth Quarter Earnings Release Conference Call, the company provided guidance for fiscal 2026, focusing on several key financial metrics. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $12.03 for fiscal 2025, exceeding the midpoint of their full-year guidance range, and expects to achieve high single-digit EPS growth in 2026 despite anticipated helium headwinds. The operating income margin for 2025 was 23.7%, with a return on capital employed (ROCE) of 10.1%. For 2026, Air Products plans to reduce capital expenditures to about $2.5 billion annually following the completion of large projects, though the projected CapEx for 2026 is approximately $4 billion. The company also highlighted a 43-year streak of increasing dividends and returned $1.6 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2025. They aim to achieve $250 million in annual cost savings through a reduction of 3,600 headcount. Additionally, initiatives such as optimizing large project portfolios, including the NEOM and Louisiana projects, were discussed, with expectations for positive cash returns and strategic asset divestments to unlock further value.

Air Products and Chemicals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Air Products and Chemicals faces significant financial challenges in the TTM period, with declining revenue, negative profitability, and cash flow issues. The balance sheet remains relatively stable, but increased leverage and negative return on equity are concerns. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve cash flow generation to regain financial stability and growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.04B12.04B12.10B12.60B12.70B
Gross Profit3.78B3.78B3.93B3.77B3.36B
EBITDA1.34B1.34B6.49B4.42B4.22B
Net Income-394.50M-394.50M3.83B2.30B2.26B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.06B41.06B39.57B32.00B27.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.86B1.86B2.98B1.95B3.30B
Total Debt18.41B18.41B15.01B11.03B8.33B
Total Liabilities23.71B23.71B20.90B16.34B13.49B
Stockholders Equity15.02B15.02B17.04B14.31B13.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.77B-3.77B-3.15B-1.42B303.70M
Operating Cash Flow3.26B3.26B3.65B3.21B3.23B
Investing Cash Flow-7.17B-6.58B-4.92B-5.68B-3.86B
Financing Cash Flow2.80B2.21B2.62B1.37B-1.00B

Air Products and Chemicals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price244.78
Price Trends
50DMA
252.01
Negative
100DMA
267.49
Negative
200DMA
272.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.70
Positive
RSI
45.94
Neutral
STOCH
61.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 244.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 249.41, below the 50-day MA of 252.01, and below the 200-day MA of 272.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for APD.

Air Products and Chemicals Risk Analysis

Air Products and Chemicals disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Air Products and Chemicals reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Air Products and Chemicals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$23.04B18.3316.31%2.69%-12.98%-11.34%
66
Neutral
$74.66B37.9121.73%1.00%1.38%-2.54%
66
Neutral
$79.54B31.3359.94%0.98%0.96%1.96%
66
Neutral
$196.79B28.2218.24%1.42%1.45%13.21%
62
Neutral
$17.29B-22.51-0.46%1.72%2.42%-196.54%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
46
Neutral
$53.41B-138.04-2.41%2.92%-0.52%-110.29%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APD
Air Products and Chemicals
244.78
-41.48
-14.49%
ECL
Ecolab
267.38
30.72
12.98%
PPG
PPG Industries
103.37
-13.69
-11.69%
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Company
323.84
-17.96
-5.25%
DD
DuPont de Nemours
41.48
10.00
31.77%
LIN
Linde
423.51
6.79
1.63%

Air Products and Chemicals Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Air Products Board Member Lisa Davis to Retire
Neutral
Nov 25, 2025

On November 23, 2025, Lisa A. Davis announced her decision to retire from the Air Products Board of Directors following the 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. Davis, who has served since 2020, will continue her roles on key committees until her retirement. Her departure comes without any disagreements with the company, and her contributions have been praised for enhancing the board’s strategic oversight.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025