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Air Products and Chemicals (APD)
NYSE:APD
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Air Products and Chemicals (APD) AI Stock Analysis

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APD

Air Products and Chemicals

(NYSE:APD)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$317.00
▲(8.83% Upside)
Air Products and Chemicals' overall stock score reflects a solid financial performance with operational efficiency and profitability. However, challenges such as fluctuating revenues, increasing debt levels, and a stretched valuation weigh on the score. Positive earnings call outcomes and strategic corporate events provide some optimism for future growth.
Positive Factors
Investment Plans
The company plans to invest significantly in its core business and optimize projects to enhance future profitability.
Leadership
The new CEO, Eduardo Menezes, seems to have the right playbook.
Strategic Vision
New management has unveiled a strategic vision targeting high single-digit EPS growth from 2026 to 2029, which indicates a positive long-term growth plan.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
The company lowered its full-year earnings guidance, which suggests a less optimistic outlook for its financial performance.
Financial Performance
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. reported earnings and EBITDA that were below estimates, impacting its financial performance negatively.
Project Risks
APD has a few projects with dubious financial merit in Louisiana and NEOM that must be worked through.

Air Products and Chemicals (APD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Air Products and Chemicals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAir Products and Chemicals, Inc. provides atmospheric gases, process and specialty gases, equipment, and services worldwide. The company produces atmospheric gases, including oxygen, nitrogen, and argon; process gases, such as hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, syngas; specialty gases; and equipment for the production or processing of gases comprising air separation units and non-cryogenic generators for customers in various industries, including refining, chemical, gasification, metals, manufacturing, food and beverage, electronics, magnetic resonance imaging, energy production and refining, and metals. It also designs and manufactures equipment for air separation, hydrocarbon recovery and purification, natural gas liquefaction, and liquid helium and liquid hydrogen transport and storage. Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. has a strategic collaboration with Baker Hughes Company to develop hydrogen compression systems. The company was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyAir Products generates revenue primarily through the sale of industrial gases, which account for the majority of its earnings. The company has a diverse revenue model that includes long-term contracts, on-site gas production, and bulk deliveries. Key revenue streams include hydrogen production and supply, which is essential for refining and chemical processes; oxygen and nitrogen for steel manufacturing; and specialty gases for electronics and healthcare. APD benefits from significant partnerships with major industrial customers, as well as strategic collaborations in the energy transition sector, particularly in hydrogen and renewable energy projects. Additionally, the company invests in technology and infrastructure to enhance its production capabilities and optimize operations, contributing to its financial performance.

Air Products and Chemicals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Geography
Operating Income by Geography
Shows the profitability from different regions, highlighting where the company is most efficient and where there might be challenges or opportunities for improving margins.
Chart InsightsAir Products and Chemicals' operating income in the Americas and Europe shows robust growth, with the Americas seeing a notable increase, likely driven by strong base business performance and strategic cost savings. However, Asia's income remains volatile, reflecting challenges like declining helium demand. The Middle East and India region experienced a significant turnaround, recovering from negative income, possibly due to strategic investments and cost reduction efforts. Despite economic uncertainties, the company's focus on hydrogen and electronics, along with digital transformation, positions it well for future growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Air Products and Chemicals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. While the company exceeded earnings guidance and achieved productivity improvements, challenges remain with sales volume declines and helium demand. The company is cautiously optimistic about future growth and cost savings.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Earnings Guidance
Adjusted earnings per share of $3.09 exceeded the upper end of the guidance range of $2.90 to $3.00.
Cost Reduction and Productivity Improvements
The global cost reduction plan is on track, expected to generate annual savings of $185 million to $195 million. Additional productivity improvements are anticipated through digital transformation and AI tools.
Strong On-Site Volume Growth
Benefitted from strong on-site volumes, despite a 4% decrease in sales volume due to the LNG business sale and lower helium demand.
Operating Margin Recovery
Adjusted operating margin improved by about 300 basis points sequentially due to favorable volume and productivity improvements.
Negative Updates
Sales Volume Decline
Sales volume was down 4% year-over-year, primarily due to the sale of the LNG business and lower helium demand.
Helium Demand Challenges
EPS contributions from helium are down about 4% versus the prior year, with an anticipated full-year headwind of $0.55 to $0.60 per share.
Economic Uncertainty
The company remains cautious in its outlook due to significant economic uncertainties worldwide.
Company Guidance
During Air Products' third-quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2025, the company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.09, surpassing its guidance range of $2.90 to $3.00. This performance was achieved despite a 4% decline in sales volume, attributed mainly to the sale of the LNG business and lower helium demand. The company maintained its forecast for fiscal 2025 with an adjusted EPS range of $11.90 to $12.10 and capital expenditures of approximately $5 billion. The management highlighted ongoing cost-saving initiatives, expecting annual savings of $185 million to $195 million from a global cost reduction plan. Air Products aims for high single-digit adjusted EPS growth starting in fiscal year 2026, with an operating margin target of 30% and a return on capital employed (ROCE) in the mid- to high-teens by 2030.

Air Products and Chemicals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Air Products and Chemicals exhibits a solid financial foundation with strong operational efficiency and profitability as seen in their income statement. However, challenges are present with fluctuating revenues, increasing debt levels, and constrained free cash flow due to substantial capital expenditures.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement reveals a mixed performance. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is 8.98%, indicating efficiency in managing production costs. However, the Net Profit Margin is 12.86%, suggesting solid profitability, albeit lower than in previous years. Revenue has shown signs of fluctuation, with a decline from 2024 to the TTM period. Despite this, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong at 12.70% and 20.74%, respectively, signaling operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet highlights a stable financial position but with increasing leverage. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio has increased to 1.03, reflecting higher debt levels. Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 8.72%, indicating moderate returns on shareholders' investments. The Equity Ratio is 42.64%, showing a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement presents challenges, particularly in free cash flow management. Despite a robust Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.90, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.57, indicating that significant capital expenditures are constraining free cash flow. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows improvement compared to previous years, reflecting better cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.06B12.10B12.60B12.70B10.32B8.86B
Gross Profit3.84B3.93B3.77B3.36B3.14B3.00B
EBITDA3.27B6.49B4.42B4.22B3.97B3.72B
Net Income1.55B3.83B2.30B2.26B2.10B1.89B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.66B39.57B32.00B27.19B26.86B25.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.32B2.98B1.95B3.30B5.80B6.36B
Total Debt18.34B15.01B11.03B8.33B8.22B8.31B
Total Liabilities23.89B20.90B16.34B13.49B12.77B12.73B
Stockholders Equity15.54B17.04B14.31B13.14B13.54B12.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.63B-3.15B-1.42B303.70M877.70M755.70M
Operating Cash Flow2.95B3.65B3.21B3.23B3.34B3.26B
Investing Cash Flow-5.83B-4.92B-5.68B-3.86B-2.73B-3.56B
Financing Cash Flow2.80B2.62B1.37B-1.00B-1.56B3.28B

Air Products and Chemicals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price291.28
Price Trends
50DMA
290.76
Positive
100DMA
280.92
Positive
200DMA
292.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.02
Positive
RSI
49.09
Neutral
STOCH
26.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 291.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 291.76, above the 50-day MA of 290.76, and below the 200-day MA of 292.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for APD.

Air Products and Chemicals Risk Analysis

Air Products and Chemicals disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Air Products and Chemicals reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Air Products and Chemicals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$224.27B33.7117.51%1.25%1.28%6.91%
72
Outperform
$91.21B35.8462.43%0.85%0.31%2.66%
69
Neutral
$7.97B9.7514.52%4.88%1.60%-3.97%
68
Neutral
$65.03B42.0010.26%2.44%-0.38%-39.53%
67
Neutral
$31.73B40.240.31%2.13%4.55%-130.25%
64
Neutral
$25.10B19.4316.88%2.52%-10.59%-7.79%
61
Neutral
$10.26B6.170.86%2.93%3.10%-36.03%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APD
Air Products and Chemicals
291.28
24.36
9.13%
EMN
Eastman Chemical
67.57
-26.96
-28.52%
PPG
PPG Industries
109.19
-13.11
-10.72%
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Company
363.03
5.95
1.67%
DD
DuPont de Nemours
75.57
-4.13
-5.18%
LIN
Linde
471.78
10.68
2.32%

Air Products and Chemicals Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Air Products Elects Howard Ungerleider to Board
Positive
Aug 20, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. announced the election of Howard Ungerleider to its Board of Directors, effective September 1, 2025. Ungerleider, with extensive experience in the chemicals and specialty materials industries, will serve on the Audit and Finance Committee. His appointment is expected to enhance the company’s operational excellence and capital management as it continues to focus on creating exceptional value.

Executive/Board Changes
Air Products EVP Sean Major Resigns Effective July 11
Neutral
Jul 8, 2025

On July 7, 2025, Sean D. Major resigned from his position as Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary of Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., effective July 11, 2025. The company has yet to announce his successor, and Mr. Major will receive severance and benefits as per the Executive Separation Program, which was detailed in the company’s 2025 proxy statement.

Private Placements and Financing
Air Products Issues $1.1B Notes and €500M Eurobonds
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. entered into underwriting agreements for the issuance and sale of $1.1 billion in U.S. Notes and €500 million in Eurobonds. The proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes and to repay commercial paper obligations, potentially strengthening the company’s financial position and market presence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025