Air Products and Chemicals (APD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $53.58B
• Dividend Yield: 2.76%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.24M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 34.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.79
• Revenue Growth: -0.38%
• EPS Growth: -39.53%
• Country: US
• Employees: 21,850
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Chemicals - Specialty
• EPS (TTM): 3.39
• Shares Outstanding: 222,553,630
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,238,339
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,239,070
• PEG Ratio: 0.26
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.89
• Price to Sales (P/S): 5.47
• P/FCF Ratio: -21.03
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.51
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 6.73
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 21.11
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 22.11
• 1Y Price Target: $312.50
• Price Target Upside: 20.75% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 13
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 64 Neutral
• Price Target: $262.00 ▲(1.24% Upside)

Air Products and Chemicals' overall stock score reflects a solid financial foundation with strong operational efficiency and profitability. However, technical indicators point to bearish momentum, and the stock appears overvalued based on its P/E ratio. The earnings call provides a cautiously optimistic outlook, with cost-saving initiatives and productivity improvements. The company faces challenges with declining sales volumes and helium demand, but strategic investments in digital transformation and AI tools are expected to bolster future growth.

Positive Factors

Cost Reduction Initiatives

The cost reduction initiatives are expected to enhance profitability and operational efficiency, providing a durable competitive advantage by reducing operational costs and improving margins.

Strong On-Site Volume Growth

Strong on-site volume growth indicates robust demand for core products, supporting long-term revenue stability and reinforcing the company's market position in industrial gases.

Operating Margin Recovery

The recovery in operating margins highlights effective cost management and operational efficiency, which are critical for sustaining profitability in a competitive market.

Negative Factors

Rising Debt Levels

Increasing debt levels can strain financial flexibility and elevate risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic downturns.

Sales Volume Decline

A decline in sales volume can indicate weakening demand or market share loss, posing a challenge to revenue growth and necessitating strategic adjustments to regain momentum.

Economic Uncertainty

Economic uncertainty can lead to unpredictable demand and pricing pressures, affecting long-term planning and investment decisions, and potentially hindering growth prospects.

Air Products and Chemicals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. provides atmospheric gases, process and specialty gases, equipment, and services worldwide. The company produces atmospheric gases, including oxygen, nitrogen, and argon; process gases, such as hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, syngas; specialty gases; and equipment for the production or processing of gases comprising air separation units and non-cryogenic generators for customers in various industries, including refining, chemical, gasification, metals, manufacturing, food and beverage, electronics, magnetic resonance imaging, energy production and refining, and metals. It also designs and manufactures equipment for air separation, hydrocarbon recovery and purification, natural gas liquefaction, and liquid helium and liquid hydrogen transport and storage. Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. has a strategic collaboration with Baker Hughes Company to develop hydrogen compression systems. The company was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania.

How the Company Makes Money

Air Products generates revenue primarily through the sale of industrial gases, which account for the majority of its earnings. The company has a diverse revenue model that includes long-term contracts, on-site gas production, and bulk deliveries. Key revenue streams include hydrogen production and supply, which is essential for refining and chemical processes; oxygen and nitrogen for steel manufacturing; and specialty gases for electronics and healthcare. APD benefits from significant partnerships with major industrial customers, as well as strategic collaborations in the energy transition sector, particularly in hydrogen and renewable energy projects. Additionally, the company invests in technology and infrastructure to enhance its production capabilities and optimize operations, contributing to its financial performance.

Air Products and Chemicals Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Air Products and Chemicals shows a solid financial foundation with strengths in operational efficiency and profitability. However, challenges include fluctuating revenues and increasing debt levels. While cash flow management has improved, significant capital expenditures continue to impact free cash flow. Overall, the company demonstrates resilience in a competitive industry but should focus on reducing leverage and enhancing free cash flow sustainability.

Income Statement

The income statement reveals a mixed performance. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is 8.98%, indicating efficiency in managing production costs. However, the Net Profit Margin is 12.86%, suggesting solid profitability, albeit lower than in previous years. Revenue has shown signs of fluctuation, with a decline from 2024 to the TTM period. Despite this, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong at 12.70% and 20.74%, respectively, signaling operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet highlights a stable financial position but with increasing leverage. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio has increased to 1.03, reflecting higher debt levels. Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 8.72%, indicating moderate returns on shareholders' investments. The Equity Ratio is 42.64%, showing a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement presents challenges, particularly in free cash flow management. Despite a robust Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.90, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.57, indicating that significant capital expenditures are constraining free cash flow. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows improvement compared to previous years, reflecting better cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	12.06B	12.10B	12.60B	12.70B	10.32B	8.86B
Gross Profit	3.84B	3.93B	3.77B	3.36B	3.14B	3.00B
EBITDA	3.67B	6.49B	4.42B	4.22B	3.97B	3.72B
Net Income	1.55B	3.83B	2.30B	2.26B	2.10B	1.89B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	41.66B	39.57B	32.00B	27.19B	26.86B	25.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.32B	2.98B	1.95B	3.30B	5.80B	6.36B
Total Debt	18.34B	15.01B	11.03B	8.33B	8.22B	8.31B
Total Liabilities	23.89B	20.90B	16.34B	13.49B	12.77B	12.73B
Stockholders Equity	15.54B	17.04B	14.31B	13.14B	13.54B	12.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-4.63B	-3.15B	-1.42B	303.70M	877.70M	755.70M
Operating Cash Flow	2.95B	3.65B	3.21B	3.23B	3.34B	3.26B
Investing Cash Flow	-5.83B	-4.92B	-5.68B	-3.86B	-2.73B	-3.56B
Financing Cash Flow	2.80B	2.62B	1.37B	-1.00B	-1.56B	3.28B

Air Products and Chemicals Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 258.79
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 258.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 251.90, below the 50-day MA of 268.84, and below the 200-day MA of 282.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -6.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for APD.

Air Products and Chemicals Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SHW	72 Outperform	$85.02B	33.49	59.94%	0.92%	0.96%	1.96%
EMN	67 Neutral	$6.93B	10.13	12.24%	5.57%	-3.33%	-19.59%
PPG	67 Neutral	$21.30B	16.94	16.31%	2.89%	-12.98%	-11.34%
LIN	66 Neutral	$195.16B	27.98	18.24%	1.32%	1.45%	13.21%
APD	64 Neutral	$53.58B	34.61	10.26%	2.76%	-0.38%	-39.53%
DD	64 Neutral	$15.81B	―	0.31%	1.72%	4.55%	-130.25%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%

Air Products and Chemicals Corporate Events

Air Products Elects Howard Ungerleider to Board

On August 18, 2025, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. announced the election of Howard Ungerleider to its Board of Directors, effective September 1, 2025. Ungerleider, with extensive experience in the chemicals and specialty materials industries, will serve on the Audit and Finance Committee. His appointment is expected to enhance the company’s operational excellence and capital management as it continues to focus on creating exceptional value.

The most recent analyst rating on (APD) stock is a Hold with a $317.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air Products and Chemicals stock, see the APD Stock Forecast page.

Air Products Reports Mixed Q3 2025 Results

Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. is a leading industrial gases company that operates globally, providing essential gases and equipment to various industries, including refining, chemicals, and electronics, with a focus on clean hydrogen projects. In its fiscal 2025 third quarter, Air Products reported a GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $3.24, a 4% increase from the previous year, and a GAAP operating income of $791 million, up 7%. However, the adjusted EPS decreased by 3% to $3.09, with adjusted operating income remaining flat at $741 million. The company revised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $11.90 to $12.10 and expects capital expenditures of approximately $5 billion for the fiscal year. Key financial highlights include a 1% increase in sales to $3 billion, driven by higher energy cost pass-through and favorable currency, despite lower volumes due to project exits and reduced helium demand. The company also reported gains from asset sales, offset by costs related to shareholder activism and project exits. Looking ahead, Air Products remains focused on cost productivity, pricing, and operational excellence, with management providing a cautious yet optimistic outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2025.

Air Products’ Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiment Amid Challenges

Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. recently held its earnings call, presenting a mixed sentiment. The company exceeded its earnings per share (EPS) guidance and made notable progress in cost savings and digital transformation. However, it faced challenges with declining sales volumes, weak helium demand, and project exits, all compounded by ongoing economic uncertainties.