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Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (APD)
NYSE:APD

Air Products and Chemicals (APD) AI Stock Analysis

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APD

Air Products and Chemicals

(NYSE:APD)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$282.00
â–¼(-4.12% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/31/26
APD’s score is held back primarily by weakened TTM financial performance (net loss and deeply negative free cash flow) and higher leverage, despite healthy operating cash flow. Offsetting factors include constructive price momentum and a generally positive earnings-call outlook with reaffirmed EPS guidance and capital-discipline actions, while valuation is mixed due to a negative P/E despite a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash-generative base business
Air Products' core industrial-gases business continues to produce strong operating cash flow and healthy gross margins. That durable cash conversion from long-term supply contracts supports funding project spend, dividends and partnerships over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Deeply negative free cash flow
FCF turning deeply negative signals spending outpacing operating cash generation due to a heavy investment cycle. Sustained negative FCF strains liquidity, increases reliance on external funding and limits flexibility to fund projects or buffer shocks over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash-generative base business
Air Products' core industrial-gases business continues to produce strong operating cash flow and healthy gross margins. That durable cash conversion from long-term supply contracts supports funding project spend, dividends and partnerships over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Air Products and Chemicals (APD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Air Products and Chemicals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. provides atmospheric gases, process and specialty gases, equipment, and services worldwide. The company produces atmospheric gases, including oxygen, nitrogen, and argon; process gases, such as hydrogen, helium, ca...
How the Company Makes Money
Air Products generates revenue primarily through the sale of industrial gases and related equipment. Its revenue model is based on long-term contracts and supply agreements, which provide stable cash flows. Key revenue streams include the sale of ...

Air Products and Chemicals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAsia and Europe re-accelerated through 2025, becoming the primary sources of revenue growth while Americas has largely plateaued since 2022 peaks—muting total-topline upside. That divergence matters because helium-market weakness and project execution/cost issues can still compress margins even as management cuts CapEx and headcount to lift free cash flow. Watch continued Europe/Asia strength and progress on NEOM/Louisiana execution: if those persist, cash returns and EPS guidance are more credible; otherwise growth may be lower-margin.
Data provided by:The Fly

Air Products and Chemicals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a generally positive operational and financial trajectory: the company delivered double-digit adjusted operating income growth, a 10% EPS increase that beat guidance, margin expansion, continued cash returns to shareholders and active steps to optimize large projects and reduce CapEx. At the same time, several material headwinds and execution risks remain — most notably helium-related pressure, equipment cost overruns, Europe cost inflation, and uncertainty and capital-cost risk around major clean-energy/ammonia projects (including regulatory risk tied to CBAM). Management emphasized capital discipline, project de-risking and partnership formation to mitigate these risks.
Positive Updates
Improved Profitability and EPS Growth
Adjusted operating income increased 12% year-over-year; adjusted EPS was $3.16, up 10% YoY and exceeded the top end of guidance; operating margin expanded to 24.4% (up ~140 basis points).
Negative Updates
Helium Headwinds
Helium-related weakness remains a material headwind: prior-year one-time helium sale (~$0.10 EPS benefit in prior year) weighed on comps; company expects helium to be roughly a -4% EPS effect for the year and global helium pricing was cited as ~1% negative in the quarter (Asia most impacted).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Improved Profitability and EPS Growth
Adjusted operating income increased 12% year-over-year; adjusted EPS was $3.16, up 10% YoY and exceeded the top end of guidance; operating margin expanded to 24.4% (up ~140 basis points).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Air Products affirmed full‑year adjusted EPS guidance of $12.85–$13.15 (midpoint ~$13.00), which management said implies roughly 7%–9% improvement at the midpoint, and gave Q2 EPS guidance of $2.95–$3.10 (a 10%–15% YoY increase) while noting Q2 will be lower sequentially due to seasonality (Lunar New Year) and higher planned maintenance; Q1 EPS was $3.16 (up 10% YoY and above guidance), adjusted operating income rose 12%, operating margin was 24.4%, return on capital was 11%, net debt/EBITDA is 2.2x, management expects a ~4% EPS headwind from helium for the year, capital expenditures are guided to about $4.0 billion in FY‑2026 with a targeted ~$1.0 billion reduction and a heavy CapEx period through early 2027 before declines, and the company returned nearly $400 million to shareholders while increasing the dividend for the 44th consecutive year.

Air Products and Chemicals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Underlying operations still generate solid operating cash flow (~$3.35B TTM) and gross margin remains respectable (~31%), but TTM profitability deteriorated sharply to a net loss (net margin ~-3.3%) and free cash flow is deeply negative (~-$1.56B). Leverage has also risen (debt-to-equity ~1.23), reducing flexibility during a heavy investment period.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.21B12.04B12.10B12.60B12.70B10.32B
Gross Profit3.86B3.78B3.93B3.77B3.36B3.14B
EBITDA1.41B1.34B6.49B4.42B4.22B3.97B
Net Income-333.70M-394.50M3.83B2.30B2.26B2.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.24B41.06B39.57B32.00B27.19B26.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.03B1.86B2.98B1.95B3.30B5.80B
Total Debt18.14B18.41B15.01B11.03B8.33B8.22B
Total Liabilities23.40B23.71B20.90B16.34B13.49B12.77B
Stockholders Equity15.41B15.02B17.04B14.31B13.14B13.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.81B-3.77B-3.15B-1.42B303.70M877.70M
Operating Cash Flow3.35B3.26B3.65B3.21B3.23B3.34B
Investing Cash Flow-6.23B-6.58B-4.92B-5.68B-3.86B-2.73B
Financing Cash Flow2.03B2.21B2.62B1.37B-1.00B-1.56B

Air Products and Chemicals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price294.12
Price Trends
50DMA
278.91
Positive
100DMA
265.11
Positive
200DMA
269.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.30
Negative
RSI
64.43
Neutral
STOCH
79.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 294.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 284.84, above the 50-day MA of 278.91, and above the 200-day MA of 269.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for APD.

Air Products and Chemicals Risk Analysis

Air Products and Chemicals disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Air Products and Chemicals reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Air Products and Chemicals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$231.45B28.8218.10%1.41%1.45%13.21%
74
Outperform
$75.29B35.8322.03%1.01%1.38%-2.54%
68
Neutral
$23.21B14.7133.60%2.71%-12.98%-11.34%
67
Neutral
$78.39B31.0858.53%0.98%0.96%1.96%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
$65.49B20.29-2.20%2.92%-0.52%-110.29%
56
Neutral
$18.63B-21.54-3.77%1.74%2.42%-196.54%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APD
Air Products and Chemicals
294.12
52.01
21.48%
ECL
Ecolab
267.03
43.70
19.57%
PPG
PPG Industries
103.86
14.55
16.30%
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Company
316.39
5.66
1.82%
DD
DuPont de Nemours
45.57
22.98
101.70%
LIN
Linde
499.47
91.64
22.47%

Air Products and Chemicals Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Air Products Shareholders Approve Directors, Pay and Auditor
Positive
Jan 29, 2026
At its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on January 28, 2026, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. reported that approximately 91 percent of its outstanding common stock was represented, establishing a quorum for key governance decisions. Share...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Air Products Board Member Lisa Davis to Retire
Neutral
Nov 25, 2025
On November 23, 2025, Lisa A. Davis announced her decision to retire from the Air Products Board of Directors following the 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. Davis, who has served since 2020, will continue her roles on key committees until her ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026