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Eastman Chemical Company (EMN)
NYSE:EMN

Eastman Chemical (EMN) AI Stock Analysis

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EMN

Eastman Chemical

(NYSE:EMN)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$70.00
▲(1.77% Upside)
Eastman Chemical's overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its financial stability, attractive valuation, and positive technical indicators. The company's strategic focus on cost savings and innovation is promising, but trade challenges and weak demand pose near-term risks. The strong dividend yield and low P/E ratio enhance its appeal.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
Effective cost management enhances profitability and financial stability, allowing Eastman to reinvest in growth and innovation.
Dividend Increase
A consistent dividend increase reflects strong cash generation and commitment to shareholder value, supporting investor confidence.
Innovation in Operations
AI integration can drive long-term operational efficiency and innovation, positioning Eastman for competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth can limit future profitability and market share expansion, challenging Eastman's long-term growth prospects.
Cash Flow Challenges
Weak cash flow growth may constrain Eastman's ability to fund new projects or manage debt, impacting financial flexibility.
Trade and Market Pressures
Trade and market pressures can hinder revenue and profit margins, posing risks to Eastman's market position and growth strategy.

Eastman Chemical (EMN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Eastman Chemical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEastman Chemical Company operates as a specialty materials company in the United States and internationally. The company's Additives & Functional Products segment offers hydrocarbon and rosin resins; organic acid-based solutions; amine derivative-based building blocks; metam-based soil fumigants, thiram and ziram based fungicides, and plant growth regulators; specialty coalescent, specialty and commodity solvents, paint additives, and specialty polymers; heat transfer and aviation fluids; insoluble sulfur and anti-degradant rubber additives; and performance resins. It serves transportation, personal care, wellness, food, feed, agriculture, building and construction, water treatment, energy, consumables, durables, and electronics markets. Its Advanced Materials segment provides copolyesters, cellulosic biopolymers, cellulose esters, polyvinyl butyral (PVB) sheets, and window and protective films, and aftermarket applied film products for value-added end uses in the transportation, durables, electronics, building and construction, medical and pharma, and consumables markets. The company's Chemical Intermediates segment offers methylamines and salts higher amines and solvents; Olefin and acetyl derivatives, ethylene, and commodity solvents; and primary non-phthalate and phthalate plasticizers, and niche non- phthalate plasticizers to the industrial chemicals and processing, building and construction, health and wellness, and agrochemicals. Its Fibers segment provides cellulose acetate tow, triacetin, cellulose acetate flake, acetic acid, and acetic anhydride for use in filtration media primarily cigarette filters; natural and solution dyed acetate yarns for use in consumables, and health and wellness markets; and wet-laid nonwoven media, specialty and engineered papers, and cellulose acetate fibers for transportation, industrial, agriculture and mining, and aerospace markets. Eastman Chemical Company was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Kingsport, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyEastman Chemical generates revenue primarily through the sale of its diverse portfolio of specialty chemicals and materials. The company's revenue model is based on selling products across multiple sectors, with significant contributions from advanced materials, chemical intermediates, and additives. Key revenue streams include the production of performance materials for automotive and consumer applications, as well as specialty additives used in coatings and adhesives. Eastman also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with various industries to innovate and expand its product offerings. Factors contributing to its earnings include a strong focus on research and development, global market reach, and adapting to evolving customer needs, particularly in sustainability and performance enhancements.

Eastman Chemical Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted EBIT by Segment
Adjusted EBIT by Segment
Shows earnings before interest and taxes for each segment, adjusted for one-time items, providing insight into core profitability and operational efficiency.
Chart InsightsEastman Chemical's Adjusted EBIT for Advanced Materials and Additives and Functional Products shows a recovery trend in 2025, despite earlier volatility. However, Chemical Intermediates face significant challenges, with EBIT turning negative, reflecting macroeconomic pressures and trade uncertainties. The earnings call highlights strategic investments in methanolysis and ethylene to propylene conversion as long-term growth drivers, but immediate challenges persist, particularly in the Fibers segment due to tariffs. Cost-saving initiatives are crucial as Eastman navigates demand volatility and focuses on cash generation.
Data provided by:The Fly

Eastman Chemical Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted significant cost management achievements and progress in innovation at the Kingsport plant, along with successful restructuring of a major contract with Pepsi. However, these positives were offset by ongoing trade challenges, market pressures in Fibers and Chemical Intermediates, and a lowered fourth quarter outlook due to weak demand.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Cost Reduction Achievements
Eastman achieved $75 million in cost reductions this year and plans to achieve an additional $100 million next year, exceeding its original targets.
Innovative Progress at Kingsport
Eastman reported hitting 90% yields at its Kingsport plant for the circular polyester methanolysis process, with plans for a 30% expansion with modest capital investment.
Restructuring of Pepsi Contract
Eastman successfully restructured its contract with Pepsi to start volume next year, demonstrating strong demand for rPET.
AI Deployment in Operations
Eastman is integrating AI into its operations to enhance commercial and manufacturing efficiencies, which is expected to reduce costs and improve innovation speed.
Negative Updates
Trade War and Economic Challenges
The ongoing trade war and weaker-than-expected consumer demand have impacted Eastman's end-market volumes, particularly in consumer durables and textiles.
Fiber Segment Headwinds
Eastman's Fibers segment experienced a $30 million headwind in the back half of the year due to tariff impacts and soft demand in textiles.
Chemical Intermediates Market Pressure
Eastman's Chemical Intermediates segment continues to face challenges due to excess capacity in China and a manufacturing recession, leading to price pressures.
Fourth Quarter Demand Drop
Eastman lowered its fourth quarter guidance due to a drop in end market demand and continued inventory destocking.
Company Guidance
During the Eastman Q3 2025 conference call, the company provided guidance for future growth and financial expectations. The discussion highlighted several key metrics, including a target of $100 million in cost savings for 2026, building on $75 million achieved in 2025. Asset utilization improvements are projected to contribute an additional $50 million to $75 million, contingent on volume growth. The business anticipates meaningful revenue increases from innovations such as its circular polyester methanolysis plant, with expectations for better utilization and cost advantages. Volume forecasts for Advanced Materials (AM) and Additives & Functional Products (AFP) were discussed, with AM expected to decrease by approximately 4% and AFP by about 2% for the full year. Additionally, the company plans to maintain stable volumes in its Fibers segment. Eastman highlighted ongoing efforts in innovation, including automotive head-up displays (HUD), Naia textiles, and EastaPure semiconductor solvents. The company is also focused on maintaining commercial excellence to stabilize pricing and cash flow. Overall, Eastman is optimistic about a substantial earnings increase in 2026, supported by cost reductions, volume stability, and innovation-driven growth.

Eastman Chemical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eastman Chemical shows strong operational efficiency with healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, recent revenue declines and reduced net profit margins highlight profitability pressures. The balance sheet remains stable with a balanced debt-to-equity ratio and solid return on equity. Declining free cash flow growth and cash conversion ratios suggest potential liquidity concerns.
Income Statement
Eastman Chemical's income statement reflects a stable gross profit margin of around 24% over the recent periods, indicating consistent cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 8.96% in the TTM, reflecting some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth has been negative in the TTM, showing a decline of 0.78%, which is a concern. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 13.11% and 18.57%, respectively, suggesting strong operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.88 in the TTM, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is solid at 14.38%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 38.35%, suggesting a stable capital structure. However, the slight increase in debt levels over time could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 28.87% in the TTM, which is concerning. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.32, indicating moderate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.42, showing a decline in cash conversion efficiency. These trends suggest potential liquidity challenges if the decline continues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.02B9.38B9.20B10.54B10.48B8.46B
Gross Profit2.06B2.29B2.06B2.06B2.52B2.00B
EBITDA1.45B1.80B1.81B1.64B1.81B1.31B
Net Income699.00M905.00M894.00M793.00M857.00M478.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.98B15.21B14.63B14.67B15.52B16.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments489.00M837.00M548.00M493.00M459.00M564.00M
Total Debt5.08B5.02B4.85B5.15B5.16B5.62B
Total Liabilities9.14B9.36B9.10B9.43B9.73B9.97B
Stockholders Equity5.77B5.78B5.46B5.15B5.70B6.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow399.00M688.00M546.00M364.00M1.04B1.06B
Operating Cash Flow1.01B1.29B1.37B975.00M1.62B1.46B
Investing Cash Flow-547.00M-534.00M-432.00M392.00M-29.00M-394.00M
Financing Cash Flow-596.00M-454.00M-888.00M-1.32B-1.69B-704.00M

Eastman Chemical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price68.78
Price Trends
50DMA
61.51
Positive
100DMA
62.54
Positive
200DMA
68.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.50
Negative
RSI
67.61
Neutral
STOCH
80.74
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EMN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 68.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.45, above the 50-day MA of 61.51, and above the 200-day MA of 68.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.74 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EMN.

Eastman Chemical Risk Analysis

Eastman Chemical disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eastman Chemical reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Eastman Chemical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$7.85B11.4712.24%5.33%-3.33%-19.59%
68
Neutral
$6.71B15.2829.23%1.59%-1.11%5.15%
65
Neutral
$6.67B28.439.40%1.25%3.87%-10.30%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
$18.98B-99.14-0.21%1.10%-23.92%90.47%
56
Neutral
$10.20B-10.71-9.48%2.88%-5.32%-1108.29%
48
Neutral
$8.22B-99.01-1.48%-3.59%-126.16%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EMN
Eastman Chemical
68.78
-16.40
-19.25%
ALB
Albemarle
158.31
68.66
76.59%
NEU
Newmarket
714.21
230.51
47.65%
WLK
Westlake Corporation
79.53
-30.90
-27.98%
ESI
Element Solutions
27.56
2.88
11.67%
AVTR
Avantor
12.06
-9.96
-45.23%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 23, 2025