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Eastman Chemical (EMN)
NYSE:EMN
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Eastman Chemical (EMN) AI Stock Analysis

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EMN

Eastman Chemical

(NYSE:EMN)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$63.00
▼(-0.66% Downside)
Eastman Chemical's overall stock score reflects a mix of strong valuation and financial performance, tempered by bearish technical indicators and a cautious earnings outlook. The undervaluation and high dividend yield are significant positives, but immediate market challenges and declining technical momentum reduce the attractiveness of the investment in the short term.
Positive Factors
Demand Recovery
After the destocking process, the company is expected to see a better performance in 2026 if demand stabilizes.
Market Entry
The stock provides a good reentry point given the price relative to expected earnings.
Valuation
The stock is considered oversold, trading at less than 10 times the 2025 EPS with a strong balance sheet.
Negative Factors
Earnings Outlook
The company's earnings for 2025 are significantly lower due to excess inventory destocking and maintenance expenses.
Inventory Management
The need to reduce inventory against a challenging demand backdrop is impacting the company's performance.
Project Delays
The push out of Eastman's second molecular recycling facility by at least 2 years is affecting future recycling earnings potential.

Eastman Chemical (EMN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Eastman Chemical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEastman Chemical Company operates as a specialty materials company in the United States and internationally. The company's Additives & Functional Products segment offers hydrocarbon and rosin resins; organic acid-based solutions; amine derivative-based building blocks; metam-based soil fumigants, thiram and ziram based fungicides, and plant growth regulators; specialty coalescent, specialty and commodity solvents, paint additives, and specialty polymers; heat transfer and aviation fluids; insoluble sulfur and anti-degradant rubber additives; and performance resins. It serves transportation, personal care, wellness, food, feed, agriculture, building and construction, water treatment, energy, consumables, durables, and electronics markets. Its Advanced Materials segment provides copolyesters, cellulosic biopolymers, cellulose esters, polyvinyl butyral (PVB) sheets, and window and protective films, and aftermarket applied film products for value-added end uses in the transportation, durables, electronics, building and construction, medical and pharma, and consumables markets. The company's Chemical Intermediates segment offers methylamines and salts higher amines and solvents; Olefin and acetyl derivatives, ethylene, and commodity solvents; and primary non-phthalate and phthalate plasticizers, and niche non- phthalate plasticizers to the industrial chemicals and processing, building and construction, health and wellness, and agrochemicals. Its Fibers segment provides cellulose acetate tow, triacetin, cellulose acetate flake, acetic acid, and acetic anhydride for use in filtration media primarily cigarette filters; natural and solution dyed acetate yarns for use in consumables, and health and wellness markets; and wet-laid nonwoven media, specialty and engineered papers, and cellulose acetate fibers for transportation, industrial, agriculture and mining, and aerospace markets. Eastman Chemical Company was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Kingsport, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyEastman Chemical generates revenue through the production and sale of its specialty materials and chemicals across multiple sectors. The company primarily earns money through its various business segments, with significant contributions from high-performance materials, additives, and chemical intermediates. Key revenue streams include the sale of engineered materials used in consumer electronics and automotive applications, along with specialty additives that enhance product performance in various industries. Additionally, Eastman has formed strategic partnerships and collaborations with other companies to develop innovative solutions, which further bolster its revenue. The company also benefits from global market trends towards sustainability and environmentally friendly products, aligning its offerings with growing consumer demands.

Eastman Chemical Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted EBIT by Segment
Adjusted EBIT by Segment
Shows earnings before interest and taxes for each segment, adjusted for one-time items, providing insight into core profitability and operational efficiency.
Chart InsightsEastman Chemical's Adjusted EBIT for Advanced Materials and Additives and Functional Products shows a recovery trend in 2025, despite earlier volatility. However, Chemical Intermediates face significant challenges, with EBIT turning negative, reflecting macroeconomic pressures and trade uncertainties. The earnings call highlights strategic investments in methanolysis and ethylene to propylene conversion as long-term growth drivers, but immediate challenges persist, particularly in the Fibers segment due to tariffs. Cost-saving initiatives are crucial as Eastman navigates demand volatility and focuses on cash generation.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Eastman Chemical Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.88%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlights Eastman's strategic investments in methanolysis and ethylene to propylene conversion as positive long-term growth drivers, alongside significant cost-saving initiatives. However, these are tempered by immediate challenges related to trade war uncertainties, tariffs, and demand volatility impacting key business segments such as Fibers, consumer durables, and auto markets, leading to a cautious outlook for the near term.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Methanolysis Plant Performance
The methanolysis plant is running at 105% capacity, with potential to increase to 130% through debottlenecking, improving capital efficiency and ROIC.
E to P Investment in Chemical Intermediates
The ethylene to propylene investment is expected to improve earnings by $50 million to $100 million, reducing volatility and optimizing asset configuration.
Cost Savings Initiatives
Targeting $75 million to $100 million in additional cost savings through contract optimization, maintenance execution, and energy efficiency improvements.
Negative Updates
Trade War and Tariff Impacts
Significant demand decline due to trade uncertainty and tariffs, impacting consumer durables and auto sectors, causing a mid-single-digit drop in demand for the second half of the year.
Fibers Business Challenges
The Fibers business is facing a $20 million impact from tariffs primarily affecting the Naia textile segment, along with destocking in the tow market.
Volume Decline and Prebuy Dynamics
A mid-single-digit volume decline is expected in Advanced Materials, with half attributed to market decline and half to prebuy dynamics.
Company Guidance
During the Eastman Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating a cautious outlook due to macroeconomic challenges and trade uncertainties impacting demand. The company is reducing capital spending for 2026 and focusing on significant cost savings in 2025, targeting an additional $75 million to $100 million in cost reductions. Eastman anticipates a mid-single-digit drop in demand for the back half of 2025, driven by trade dynamics and seasonality. Asset utilization headwinds are expected to be around $75 million to $100 million, with potential improvement in 2026. Despite these challenges, Eastman remains committed to innovation, emphasizing growth in its methanolysis investments and maintaining focus on cash generation. The company is not planning any major portfolio changes but continues to optimize its cost structure. For 2026, Eastman expects stability and potential improvement in demand, contingent on the resolution of trade issues and macroeconomic factors.

Eastman Chemical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eastman Chemical displays strong profitability and operational efficiency, supported by healthy profit margins and a balanced capital structure. The company demonstrates effective use of equity to generate returns, although a slight revenue decline and free cash flow contraction highlight areas for improvement. Maintaining revenue growth and enhancing cash generation will be crucial for sustaining financial health and supporting future investments.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Eastman Chemical's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 25.06%, indicating solid profitability. The net profit margin is 9.85%, which reflects consistent earnings relative to revenue. Although the revenue has slightly declined by 0.25% from the previous year, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong at 15.30% and 18.84% respectively. These figures suggest effective cost management and operational efficiency. However, the slight revenue decline is a concern that could impact future profitability if not addressed.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.86, which indicates a balanced capital structure with a manageable level of debt. The return on equity (ROE) is 15.70%, reflecting effective use of shareholders' capital to generate profits. Additionally, the equity ratio is 39.22%, suggesting a strong equity position relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet demonstrates financial stability with room for leveraging opportunities if needed.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Eastman Chemical's TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.23, showing strong cash conversion from profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.62, indicating a solid ability to generate cash after capital expenditures. However, the free cash flow growth rate declined by 16.28% from the previous period, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining cash reserves. The company needs to focus on improving its free cash flow generation to ensure long-term financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.29B9.38B9.21B10.58B10.48B8.47B
Gross Profit2.23B2.29B2.06B2.14B2.50B1.98B
EBITDA1.72B1.80B1.81B1.64B1.82B1.31B
Net Income832.00M905.00M894.00M793.00M857.00M478.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.22B15.21B14.63B14.67B15.52B16.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments423.00M837.00M548.00M493.00M459.00M564.00M
Total Debt5.13B5.02B4.97B5.15B5.37B5.62B
Total Liabilities9.31B9.36B9.10B9.43B9.73B9.97B
Stockholders Equity5.83B5.78B5.46B5.15B5.70B6.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow326.00M688.00M541.00M351.00M1.04B1.07B
Operating Cash Flow769.00M1.29B1.37B975.00M1.62B1.46B
Investing Cash Flow-365.00M-534.00M-432.00M392.00M-29.00M-394.00M
Financing Cash Flow-499.00M-454.00M-888.00M-1.32B-1.69B-704.00M

Eastman Chemical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price63.42
Price Trends
50DMA
74.99
Negative
100DMA
77.41
Negative
200DMA
86.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.53
Positive
RSI
34.26
Neutral
STOCH
28.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EMN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 63.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.66, below the 50-day MA of 74.99, and below the 200-day MA of 86.45, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EMN.

Eastman Chemical Risk Analysis

Eastman Chemical disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eastman Chemical reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Eastman Chemical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$12.64B21.7612.13%0.47%-29.03%52.74%
63
Neutral
$7.01B8.5814.52%5.20%1.60%-3.97%
60
Neutral
$8.25B12.0211.73%-2.34%89.86%
55
Neutral
$9.50B-8.66%2.08%-33.05%-97.63%
55
Neutral
$24.04B18.8916.88%2.52%-10.59%-7.79%
51
Neutral
$9.86B25.36-0.64%2.65%-3.00%-124.79%
44
Neutral
AU$1.54B-7.19-27.94%4.41%-2.95%-36.41%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EMN
Eastman Chemical
63.42
-28.82
-31.24%
ALB
Albemarle
77.98
2.34
3.09%
PPG
PPG Industries
108.75
-7.67
-6.59%
SQM
Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA
45.76
9.37
25.75%
WLK
Westlake Corporation
79.17
-63.23
-44.40%
AVTR
Avantor
12.66
-12.58
-49.84%

Eastman Chemical Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Eastman Chemical Appoints Damon Audia to Board
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Eastman Chemical Company announced the appointment of Damon Audia as a director on its Board, to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Mr. Audia will join the Audit, Finance, and Environmental, Safety and Sustainability Committees, receiving compensation aligned with the company’s non-employee directors. This strategic appointment is expected to enhance the company’s governance and oversight capabilities, potentially impacting its operational and sustainability initiatives positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (EMN) stock is a Hold with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eastman Chemical stock, see the EMN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025