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Newmarket (NEU)
NYSE:NEU
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Newmarket (NEU) AI Stock Analysis

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NEU

Newmarket

(NYSE:NEU)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$873.00
▲(4.24% Upside)
Newmarket's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are key strengths, supported by solid profitability and strategic investments. Technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, and valuation metrics indicate fair pricing. Challenges in specific segments and external factors are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability
High profit margins indicate efficient operations and pricing power, supporting long-term financial stability and shareholder value.
Specialty Materials Segment Growth
Growth in the Specialty Materials segment reflects successful product offerings and market demand, contributing to diversified revenue streams.
Improved Debt Metrics
Improved debt metrics enhance financial flexibility and reduce risk, allowing for strategic investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Decline in Petroleum Additives Segment
Decreased sales in this segment may impact overall revenue and profit growth, highlighting the need for strategic adjustments to counteract declines.
Inflationary and Tariff Challenges
Inflation and tariffs increase costs and pressure margins, potentially affecting pricing strategies and operational efficiency over the medium term.
Slight Decline in Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth may signal market saturation or increased competition, necessitating innovation and market expansion efforts.

Newmarket (NEU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Newmarket Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNewMarket Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the petroleum additives business. The company offers lubricant additives for use in various vehicle and industrial applications, including engine oils, transmission fluids, off-road powertrain and hydraulic systems, gear oils, hydraulic oils, turbine oils, and other applications where metal-to-metal moving parts are utilized; engine oil additives designed for passenger cars, motorcycles, on and off-road heavy duty commercial equipment, locomotives, and engines in ocean-going vessels; driveline additives designed for products, such as transmission fluids, axle fluids, and off-road powertrain fluids; and industrial additives designed for products for industrial applications consisting of hydraulic fluids, grease, industrial gear fluids, and industrial specialty applications, such as turbine oils. It also provides fuel additives that are used to enhance the oil refining process and the performance of gasoline, diesel, biofuels, and other fuels to industry, government, original equipment manufacturers, and individual customers. In addition, the company engages in the antiknock compounds business, as well as contracted manufacturing and services activities; and owns and manages a real property in Virginia. It operates in North America, Latin America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and India. NewMarket Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyNewmarket generates revenue primarily through subscription fees for its software solutions, which are offered on a SaaS (Software as a Service) model. This allows clients to access the latest updates and features without the need for significant upfront investment in hardware or software. Additionally, Newmarket earns money through implementation services, training, and ongoing support, creating a robust revenue stream from both new and existing customers. Strategic partnerships with major hotel chains and travel organizations also contribute to its earnings by expanding its market reach and increasing client acquisition.

Newmarket Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong net income growth and specialty materials segment performance, alongside improvements in debt metrics and shareholder returns. However, challenges remain in the petroleum additives segment, with sales and profits slightly down due to shipment declines and external economic factors.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Income for First Half of 2025
Net income for the first half of 2025 was a record $237 million or $25.11 per share, compared to $219 million or $22.87 per share for the first half of 2024.
Specialty Materials Segment Growth
Specialty Materials sales for the second quarter of 2025 were $42 million compared to $38 million for the same period in 2024. Operating profit for the second quarter was $11 million, up from $5 million in 2024. For the first half of 2025, sales were $96 million compared to $55 million in 2024, with operating profit at $34 million compared to slightly above breakeven in 2024.
Improved Net Debt-to-EBITDA Ratio
The company's net debt-to-EBITDA ratio improved to 1.0 as of June 30, 2025, from 1.2x at the end of 2024.
Shareholder Returns
The company returned $129 million to shareholders through share repurchases of $77 million and dividends of $52 million in the first half of 2025.
Negative Updates
Decline in Petroleum Additives Sales and Profit
Petroleum additives sales for the second quarter of 2025 were $654 million, down from $670 million in 2024. Operating profit was $140 million compared to $148 million in 2024, with a 2.5% decline in shipments and increased R&D investments as main factors.
Inflationary and Tariff Challenges
The company faced challenges due to the ongoing inflationary environment and the impact of tariffs, which affected efficiency and operating costs.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, NewMarket Corporation reported a net income of $111 million, or $11.84 per share, compared to $112 million, or $11.63 per share, in the same period of 2024. The company's petroleum additives segment saw sales of $654 million, down from $670 million in the previous year, with an operating profit of $140 million, a decrease from $148 million due to a 2.5% decline in shipments and increased R&D investments. In contrast, the Specialty Materials segment experienced growth, with sales rising to $42 million from $38 million and operating profit increasing to $11 million from $5 million, driven by higher volumes. For the first half of 2025, NewMarket achieved record net income of $237 million, or $25.11 per share, compared to $219 million, or $22.87 per share, in the first half of 2024. The company returned $129 million to shareholders through $77 million in share repurchases and $52 million in dividends, improving its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio to 1.0 from 1.2x at the end of 2024. Looking forward, the company remains optimistic about the strength of its petroleum additives and Specialty Materials segments and is dedicated to making strategic investments that enhance long-term shareholder value.

Newmarket Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Newmarket demonstrates strong profitability with high margins and efficient equity use. Despite a slight decline in revenue growth, the balance sheet is solid with manageable leverage and strong cash flow metrics.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Newmarket has demonstrated strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 32.68% and a net profit margin of 17.28%. The company also shows a robust EBIT margin of 21.78% and an EBITDA margin of 26.54%. Revenue growth, however, is slightly declining from the previous year, indicating potential challenges in maintaining top-line growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet portrays a solid financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is impressive at 29.79%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is strong at 50.45%, providing a stable asset base.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.21, showcasing efficient cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is commendable at 1.09. Despite a decrease in free cash flow compared to the prior period, the company maintains solid cash flow metrics overall.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.78B2.79B2.70B2.76B2.36B2.01B
Gross Profit908.50M886.35M772.51M640.50M547.71M595.03M
EBITDA781.55M758.43M604.33M465.22M401.09M441.62M
Net Income480.25M462.41M388.86M279.54M190.91M270.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.19B3.13B2.31B2.41B2.56B1.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments70.26M77.48M111.94M68.71M459.22M125.17M
Total Debt918.38M1.06B733.60M1.07B1.21B660.58M
Total Liabilities1.58B1.67B1.23B1.64B1.80B1.17B
Stockholders Equity1.61B1.46B1.08B762.41M762.13M759.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow525.10M462.27M528.53M52.45M86.40M190.84M
Operating Cash Flow583.18M519.59M576.82M108.62M165.34M284.15M
Investing Cash Flow-58.08M-738.80M-48.29M315.89M-461.41M-74.24M
Financing Cash Flow-548.89M185.81M-487.59M-439.36M255.13M-231.46M

Newmarket Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price837.51
Price Trends
50DMA
760.11
Positive
100DMA
700.38
Positive
200DMA
614.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
24.58
Positive
RSI
67.45
Neutral
STOCH
78.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NEU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 837.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 812.16, above the 50-day MA of 760.11, and above the 200-day MA of 614.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 24.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 67.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NEU.

Newmarket Risk Analysis

Newmarket disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Newmarket reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Newmarket Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$6.36B26.579.62%1.22%5.41%23.44%
76
Outperform
$7.87B16.6033.61%1.25%2.27%17.81%
73
Outperform
$6.75B15.3222.09%-1.01%50.58%
70
Neutral
$7.71B9.4414.52%4.91%1.60%-3.97%
63
Neutral
$8.39B12.2211.73%-2.34%89.86%
61
Neutral
$10.42B7.39-0.05%2.86%2.86%-36.73%
55
Neutral
$8.94B-8.66%2.13%-33.05%-97.63%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NEU
Newmarket
837.51
284.77
51.52%
ALB
Albemarle
75.98
-11.47
-13.12%
EMN
Eastman Chemical
67.16
-35.28
-34.44%
ESI
Element Solutions
26.32
0.76
2.97%
AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems
31.17
-3.99
-11.35%
AVTR
Avantor
12.31
-14.89
-54.74%

Newmarket Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
NewMarket Announces $2.75 Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, NewMarket Corporation announced a quarterly dividend of $2.75 per share, payable on October 1, 2025, to shareholders recorded by September 15, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to its stakeholders and may impact its financial strategy and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025