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Newmarket Corporation (NEU)
:NEU
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Newmarket (NEU) AI Stock Analysis

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NEU

Newmarket

(NYSE:NEU)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$806.00
▲(7.39% Upside)
Newmarket's overall stock score reflects a solid financial foundation with strong profitability and cash flow metrics, despite recent revenue challenges. The technical analysis indicates bearish signals, which could pose short-term risks. The valuation is reasonable, and strategic investments highlighted in the earnings call support long-term growth potential. However, challenges in certain segments and market conditions need to be monitored.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Management
Strong cash flow management supports long-term financial stability, enabling shareholder returns and debt reduction, enhancing overall financial health.
Dividend Increase
Increasing dividends reflects confidence in sustained profitability and commitment to shareholder value, indicating strong financial health and growth prospects.
Specialty Materials Segment Growth
Growth in the Specialty Materials segment highlights successful strategic investments, contributing to diversified revenue streams and long-term business expansion.
Negative Factors
Decline in Net Income
A decline in net income indicates potential challenges in maintaining profitability, which could impact future financial performance and investment capacity.
Petroleum Additives Segment Decline
Decreasing sales in the Petroleum Additives segment suggest market challenges and potential pressure on revenue, affecting overall business performance.
Market Condition Challenges
Market softness and declining shipments could hinder revenue growth, posing risks to achieving long-term business objectives and financial targets.

Newmarket (NEU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Newmarket Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNewmarket (NEU) is a technology-driven company specializing in providing advanced solutions for the hospitality industry. The company operates within the software and services sector, focusing on delivering innovative property management systems (PMS), booking engines, and revenue management tools designed to enhance operational efficiency and guest experiences for hotels and other accommodation providers. Newmarket's core products include its cloud-based PMS, which streamlines front-desk operations, and its integrated booking solutions that enable real-time reservations and revenue optimization.
How the Company Makes MoneyNewmarket generates revenue primarily through subscription fees for its software products and services. The company employs a SaaS (Software as a Service) model, where clients pay a recurring fee for access to its technology platform, including updates and customer support. In addition to subscription revenue, Newmarket also earns income through implementation services, customized solutions for specific customer needs, and ongoing training for staff. Significant partnerships with major hospitality brands and technology vendors enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings by enabling cross-promotional opportunities and bundled service offerings.

Newmarket Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong cash flow management and strategic investments in the Specialty Materials segment, contributing to shareholder value through increased dividends and reduced debt. However, the company faced challenges in the Petroleum Additives segment with declining sales and profits, as well as market softness impacting shipments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
The company generated solid cash flows throughout the first 9 months of 2025, allowing them to return $155 million to shareholders through share repurchases of $77 million and dividends of $78 million. Additionally, the company reduced its net debt by $213 million.
Dividend Increase
The Board of Directors approved raising the quarterly dividend by 9%, from $2.75 per share to $3 per share, payable January 2, 2026.
Specialty Materials Segment Growth
Sales for the Specialty Materials segment in the first 9 months of 2025 were $134 million compared to $114 million for the same period in 2024, with an operating profit increase from $16 million to $40 million.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Calca Solutions, LLC, a leading producer of ultrapure and high-purity hydrogen, marks a significant investment in the Specialty Materials segment.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Income
Net income for the third quarter of 2025 was $100 million, down from $132 million in the third quarter of 2024.
Petroleum Additives Segment Decline
Petroleum additives sales for Q3 2025 were $649 million, a decrease from $663 million in the same period in 2024. Operating profit also fell from $157 million to $131 million.
Challenges in Market Conditions
The company faced a 4.6% decline in shipments in the first 9 months of 2025 due to market softness, strategic reductions in low-margin business, and ongoing inflationary pressures.
Specialty Materials Quarterly Volatility
Specialty Materials sales for Q3 2025 were $38 million, down from $59 million in Q3 2024, with operating profit decreasing from $16 million to $6 million.
Company Guidance
During the NewMarket Corporation's third quarter 2025 conference call, Vice President and CFO Tim Fitzgerald provided guidance on various financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Net income for the third quarter was $100 million or $10.67 per share, a decrease from $132 million or $13.79 per share in the same period of 2024. For the first nine months of 2025, net income was $337 million, compared to $352 million in 2024. Petroleum Additives sales fell slightly to $649 million from $663 million year-over-year, with operating profit declining due to a 4.1% shipment reduction and increased R&D investments. The Specialty Materials segment experienced a drop in third-quarter sales to $38 million from $59 million the previous year, while operating profit also decreased, though year-to-date figures showed growth. The company invested heavily in the Specialty Materials segment, including a recent acquisition of Calca Solutions. Strong cash flow allowed for $155 million in shareholder returns and a reduction in net debt by $213 million, improving the net debt-to-EBITDA ratio to 0.9x. The Board approved a 9% increase in the quarterly dividend to $3 per share, effective January 2026. Looking forward, NewMarket remains committed to long-term shareholder value through strategic investments and a focus on core business principles.

Newmarket Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Newmarket's financial performance is solid with strong profitability and cash flow metrics. Despite a decline in revenue growth, the company maintains healthy margins and a balanced capital structure. Continued focus on revenue expansion and careful leverage management will be crucial for sustaining long-term growth and stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Newmarket's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 31.86% TTM, indicating efficient production and pricing strategies. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 16.33% TTM, reflecting some pressure on net earnings. Revenue growth has been negative recently, with a -1.25% decline TTM, which is a concern for future top-line expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 17.46% and 23.87% TTM, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency despite the revenue dip.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51 TTM, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is robust at 28.53% TTM, reflecting strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 52.27% TTM, suggesting a stable financial structure with a good proportion of assets financed by equity. However, the historical trend shows fluctuations in leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a positive trajectory with a 3.75% growth in free cash flow TTM, highlighting effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.48 TTM, demonstrating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.89 TTM, indicating that the company efficiently converts its earnings into free cash flow, supporting potential reinvestment and shareholder returns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.74B2.79B2.70B2.76B2.36B2.01B
Gross Profit874.31M886.35M772.51M640.50M547.71M595.03M
EBITDA745.16M758.43M604.33M465.22M401.09M441.62M
Net Income448.20M462.41M388.86M279.54M190.91M270.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.23B3.13B2.31B2.41B2.56B1.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments102.45M77.48M111.94M68.71M459.22M125.17M
Total Debt861.94M1.06B733.60M1.09B1.23B672.80M
Total Liabilities1.54B1.67B1.23B1.64B1.80B1.17B
Stockholders Equity1.69B1.46B1.08B762.41M762.13M759.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow544.78M462.27M528.53M52.45M86.40M190.84M
Operating Cash Flow609.04M519.59M576.82M108.62M165.34M284.15M
Investing Cash Flow-64.26M-738.80M-48.29M315.89M-461.41M-74.24M
Financing Cash Flow-521.33M185.81M-487.59M-439.36M255.13M-231.46M

Newmarket Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price750.52
Price Trends
50DMA
787.75
Negative
100DMA
774.46
Negative
200DMA
684.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.65
Positive
RSI
49.40
Neutral
STOCH
29.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NEU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 750.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 764.52, below the 50-day MA of 787.75, and above the 200-day MA of 684.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -7.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NEU.

Newmarket Risk Analysis

Newmarket disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Newmarket reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Newmarket Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$6.31B14.1921.75%-1.83%40.64%
67
Neutral
$7.09B15.9329.23%1.45%-1.11%5.15%
67
Neutral
$6.91B10.1112.24%5.48%-3.33%-19.59%
65
Neutral
$6.09B25.519.40%1.31%3.87%-10.30%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$14.74B-0.21%1.68%-23.92%90.47%
53
Neutral
$7.85B-1.48%-3.59%-126.16%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NEU
Newmarket
764.81
233.18
43.86%
ALB
Albemarle
125.26
19.57
18.52%
EMN
Eastman Chemical
61.25
-38.83
-38.80%
ESI
Element Solutions
25.91
-2.20
-7.83%
AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems
29.76
-10.77
-26.57%
AVTR
Avantor
11.74
-9.30
-44.20%

Newmarket Corporate Events

NewMarket Corporation Earnings Call: Strategic Moves Amid Challenges
Nov 25, 2025

NewMarket Corporation’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture of its financial health and strategic direction. The company demonstrated robust cash flow management and strategic investments in its Specialty Materials segment, leading to increased dividends and reduced debt. However, challenges were evident in the Petroleum Additives segment, which faced declining sales and profits, compounded by market softness impacting shipments.

Executive/Board Changes
Newmarket Announces Controller’s Resignation Effective November 26
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On October 31, 2025, NewMarket Corporation announced the resignation of Ann P. Pietrantoni, the Company’s Controller and Principal Accounting Officer, effective November 26, 2025. Her departure is amicable and not due to any disagreements with the company. Timothy K. Fitzgerald, the Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will temporarily take over her responsibilities as Principal Accounting Officer.

The most recent analyst rating on (NEU) stock is a Buy with a $860.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmarket stock, see the NEU Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
NewMarket Increases Quarterly Dividend by 9%
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, NewMarket Corporation announced that its Board of Directors approved a 9% increase in the quarterly dividend, raising it from $2.75 to $3.00 per share, which equates to an annual dividend of $12.00 per share. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to providing value to its shareholders and may enhance its attractiveness in the market. The dividend is payable on January 2, 2026, to shareholders recorded by December 15, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (NEU) stock is a Buy with a $873.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmarket stock, see the NEU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 24, 2025