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Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA)
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Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) AI Stock Analysis

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AXTA

Axalta Coating Systems

(NYSE:AXTA)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(15.03%Upside)
Axalta Coating Systems' overall stock score is driven primarily by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including record EBITDA. While the valuation is reasonable, bearish technical indicators suggest caution. Challenges in certain segments pose risks, but strategic initiatives provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
AXTA should generate above average 2025 EPS growth, accelerating in 2026/27.
Financial Performance
AXTA posted a solid beat despite FX headwinds and weakness in Auto OEM markets and refinish claims.
Negative Factors
Business Outlook
The potential for declining volumes in the Refinish business leads to a flat top-line outlook, posing a risk to longer-term earnings growth.
Industry Trends
Advanced driver-assistance systems and smarter cars are expected to significantly reduce accident rates, impacting refinish volumes negatively.
Insurance Trends
Higher auto insurance rates and increased instances of cars being declared a total loss are reducing car repairs, posing challenges for AXTA.

Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Axalta Coating Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAxalta Coating Systems Ltd., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes high-performance coatings systems in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. It operates through two segments, Performance Coatings and Transportation Coatings. The company offers water and solvent-borne products and systems to repair damaged vehicles for independent body shops, multi-shop operators, and original equipment manufacturer (OEM) dealership body shops. It also provides functional and decorative liquid, and powder coatings used in various industrial applications, including architectural cladding and fittings, automotive coatings, general industrial, job coaters, energy solutions, HVAC, appliances, industrial wood, coil, and oil and gas pipelines; and coatings for building materials, cabinet, wood and luxury vinyl flooring, and furniture market under the Voltatex, AquaEC, Durapon, Hydropon, UNRIVALED, Tufcote, and Ceranamel for liquid coatings; and Alesta, Nap-Gard, Abcite, Teodur, and Plascoat brands for powder coatings. In addition, the company develops and supplies electrocoat, primer, the basecoat, and clearcoat products for OEMs of light and commercial vehicles; and coatings systems for various commercial applications, including HDT, bus, and rail under the Imron, Imron Elite, Centari, Rival, Corlar epoxy undercoats, and AquaEC brands. It also sells its product under the Audurra, Challenger, Chemophan, ColorNet, Cromax, Cromax Mosaic, Durapon 70, Duxone, Harmonized Coating Technologies, Imron ExcelPro, Lutophen, Nason, Spies Hecker, Standox, Stollaquid, Syntopal, Syrox, Raptor, U-POL, and Vermeera brand names. The company was formerly known as Axalta Coating Systems Bermuda Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. in August 2014. Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyAxalta Coating Systems generates revenue primarily through the sale of its liquid and powder coating products. The company's revenue streams are divided into two main segments: Performance Coatings and Transportation Coatings. Performance Coatings include refinish and industrial coatings, which cater to the automotive aftermarket and a variety of industrial applications. Transportation Coatings are focused on the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) transportation sector, providing coatings for automobiles, commercial vehicles, and other transportation-related industries. Axalta's earnings are bolstered by strategic partnerships with major automotive manufacturers and industrial clients, as well as ongoing investments in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings. The company also benefits from a global distribution network that helps reach a diverse customer base across different regions.

Axalta Coating Systems Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue by different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and revealing strategic focus and market opportunities.
Chart InsightsAxalta's Mobility Coatings segment shows robust growth, particularly in Light Vehicle, driven by pricing stability and margin expansion. However, the Performance Coatings segments face challenges, with Industrial experiencing a notable decline due to broader industrial production issues. The earnings call highlights resilience with record EBITDA and EPS, despite flat net sales and macroeconomic pressures. Axalta's strategic focus on cost reductions and market share expansion, alongside innovation recognition, positions it to navigate trade tensions and maintain a strong financial performance in 2025.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Axalta Coating Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.07%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record-breaking EBITDA and earnings, driven by operational efficiency, cost management, and strategic growth in the Mobility segment. However, challenges in the Refinish and Performance Coatings segments, particularly in North America, and declining volumes in Industrial impacted overall results. Despite these challenges, the company maintained a positive outlook with strategic initiatives and innovation recognition.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking EBITDA and Earnings
Axalta delivered a record quarter for adjusted EBITDA of $292 million and adjusted diluted earnings per share, showcasing strong cost management and operational efficiency despite a challenging global market.
Strong Performance in Mobility Segment
The Mobility segment achieved 2% organic growth, with adjusted EBITDA margins nearing 20%. This growth was fueled by strength in China and Latin America, new business wins, and favorable price-mix.
Cash Flow Increase
Cash flow from operations increased by 25% year-over-year, leading to a free cash flow of $101 million.
Operational Excellence and Cost Management
The company reported a 55% year-over-year improvement in safety records, a 6% reduction in operating expenses, and approximately $40 million in cost savings from transformation initiatives.
Recognition for Innovation
Axalta's NexJet was recognized as a 2025 Automotive News PACE Pilot Innovation to Watch, and the company received Daimler Truck North America's Masters of Quality Supplier Award.
Negative Updates
Decline in Refinish Volumes
Refinish volumes in North America faced challenges due to lower collision claims, elevated repair costs, and consumer pullback on repairs, resulting in a 6% year-over-year decline in net sales.
Performance Coatings Volume and Pricing Pressures
Net sales for Performance Coatings declined by 6% year-over-year, driven by lower volumes and unfavorable price-mix, especially in North America.
Lower Volumes in Industrial Segment
Industrial net sales declined by 6% year-over-year, attributed to continued macroeconomic softness, particularly in North America.
Challenging North American Market Conditions
Ongoing challenges in the North American market affected Refinish and Performance Coatings segments, with distributors adjusting inventories to reflect current market conditions.
Company Guidance
During Axalta Coating Systems' Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported a record quarter for adjusted EBITDA and adjusted diluted earnings per share, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $292 million and margins exceeding 22%. Net sales were just over $1.3 billion, in line with guidance. The Mobility segment showed 2% organic growth, driven by strength in China and Latin America, and reported nearly 20% adjusted EBITDA margins. Cash flow from operations increased 25% year-over-year, pushing free cash flow to $101 million. The company executed $65 million in share repurchases during the quarter. Despite challenges in the Refinish segment due to decreased collision claims and inventory adjustments, Axalta gained 1,600 net new body shops year-to-date. The company remains focused on executing its A Plan strategy, with initiatives in cost savings, operational excellence, and product innovation.

Axalta Coating Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Axalta Coating Systems demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability. The company effectively manages costs, resulting in improved profit margins. However, vigilance is needed to maintain growth momentum due to a recent dip in total revenue.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Axalta Coating Systems shows strong financial performance with a consistent revenue growth trajectory, evidenced by a 7.3% increase from 2022 to 2023 and a 1.8% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is robust at 33.0% for TTM, and the net profit margin has improved significantly to 8.6% TTM, indicating effective cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 14.5% and 19.9% TTM respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. However, a slight dip in total revenue in the latest TTM period suggests a need for vigilance in maintaining growth momentum.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.65, which is moderate for the industry. The equity ratio stands at 28.0% TTM, indicating a solid equity base. Return on equity has improved to 21.6% TTM, demonstrating efficient use of shareholder funds. While the company has managed its debt levels well, the high total liabilities relative to assets suggest potential leverage risks that need monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.26 TTM, indicating robust cash generation relative to profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.91 TTM, reflecting healthy cash flow after capital expenditures. Free cash flow growth has been positive, with a slight decline in the latest TTM period, suggesting the need for careful capital allocation to sustain growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.20B5.28B5.18B4.88B4.42B3.74B
Gross Profit885.00M1.80B1.62B1.42B1.43B1.28B
EBITDA889.00M1.05B831.00M754.50M828.60M598.30M
Net Income446.00M391.00M267.40M191.60M263.90M121.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.78B7.25B7.27B7.06B7.22B7.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments625.00M593.00M700.20M645.20M840.60M1.36B
Total Debt20.00M3.45B3.54B3.70B3.83B3.89B
Total Liabilities5.47B5.29B5.50B5.56B5.68B5.68B
Stockholders Equity2.27B1.91B1.73B1.45B1.49B1.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow318.00M436.00M437.40M142.90M437.00M427.20M
Operating Cash Flow456.00M576.00M575.30M293.80M558.60M509.30M
Investing Cash Flow-448.00M-440.00M-205.70M-106.40M-716.00M-61.50M
Financing Cash Flow-259.00M-201.00M-315.00M-368.90M-334.50M-130.90M

Axalta Coating Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price27.82
Price Trends
50DMA
30.20
Negative
100DMA
31.34
Negative
200DMA
34.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.45
Positive
RSI
32.41
Neutral
STOCH
14.16
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AXTA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.90, below the 50-day MA of 30.20, and below the 200-day MA of 34.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.16 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AXTA.

Axalta Coating Systems Risk Analysis

Axalta Coating Systems disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Axalta Coating Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Axalta Coating Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$6.03B13.6722.09%-1.01%50.58%
68
Neutral
$85.62B34.1062.43%0.88%0.31%2.66%
68
Neutral
$3.00B30.205.62%1.65%-0.09%-37.60%
63
Neutral
$8.38B9.2514.52%5.61%1.60%-3.97%
55
Neutral
$23.81B18.7116.88%2.60%-10.59%-7.79%
50
Neutral
$1.79B58.214.66%6.99%-0.68%
44
Neutral
C$848.76M-6.71-16.27%2.80%16.46%-27.75%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems
27.82
-6.25
-18.34%
EMN
Eastman Chemical
58.79
-32.06
-35.29%
FUL
H.B. Fuller Company
55.60
-21.28
-27.68%
PPG
PPG Industries
104.44
-12.22
-10.47%
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Company
343.41
7.10
2.11%
CC
Chemours Company
11.50
-6.31
-35.43%

Axalta Coating Systems Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Axalta Coating Systems Holds Annual General Meeting
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Axalta Coating Systems held its Annual General Meeting where nine directors were elected for terms expiring at the 2026 AGM. Additionally, members approved PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor and endorsed the executive compensation plan for 2024, indicating continued shareholder support for the company’s leadership and financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AXTA) stock is a Hold with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Axalta Coating Systems stock, see the AXTA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025