Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA)
NYSE:AXTA
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Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) AI Stock Analysis

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AXTA

Axalta Coating Systems

(NYSE:AXTA)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(9.14% Upside)
Axalta Coating Systems' strong financial performance, characterized by solid profitability and reduced debt, is a key strength. The company's attractive valuation further supports its investment appeal. However, technical indicators show mixed signals, and challenges in sales due to macroeconomic headwinds present risks. The balanced sentiment from the earnings call reflects both achievements and challenges, resulting in a moderately positive overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Axalta's significant debt reduction enhances financial stability, providing greater flexibility for strategic investments and resilience against economic downturns.
Operational Efficiency
Strong operational efficiency, as evidenced by record EBITDA margins, indicates effective cost management and the ability to sustain profitability.
Share Repurchase Strategy
The strategic share repurchase program reflects confidence in long-term growth prospects and enhances shareholder value through reduced share count.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in net sales indicates challenges in maintaining market demand, which could impact future revenue growth and market share.
Performance Coatings Sales Decline
The decline in Performance Coatings sales suggests difficulties in key markets, potentially affecting the segment's contribution to overall profitability.
Industrial Segment Challenges
Challenges in the Industrial segment, including volume softness, highlight potential vulnerabilities in addressing market demand fluctuations.

Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Axalta Coating Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAxalta Coating Systems (AXTA) is a leading global manufacturer of liquid and powder coatings, serving a wide range of industries including automotive, industrial, and architectural sectors. The company specializes in providing high-performance coatings and innovative technologies that enhance the durability and appearance of surfaces. Axalta's core products include automotive paints and coatings, industrial coatings, and decorative architectural coatings, catering to both OEMs (original equipment manufacturers) and refinish markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyAxalta generates revenue primarily through the sale of its coatings products across various markets. The company operates through multiple segments, including Performance Coatings and Transportation Coatings, each contributing significantly to its overall earnings. Key revenue streams include the sale of automotive coatings to OEMs and the refinish market, as well as industrial coatings for manufacturing and construction applications. Additionally, Axalta benefits from strategic partnerships with automotive manufacturers and distributors, which enhance its market presence and distribution capabilities. The company's focus on innovation and technology also allows it to command premium pricing for its high-performance coatings, further contributing to its profitability.

Axalta Coating Systems Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue by different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and revealing strategic focus and market opportunities.
Chart InsightsAxalta Coating Systems' Performance Coatings Refinish segment faces challenges with declining volumes due to reduced collision claims and inventory adjustments, despite a long-term upward trend. The Industrial segment is also under pressure from macroeconomic softness. However, the Mobility Coatings segment shows resilience with organic growth, particularly in China and Latin America, contributing to record EBITDA margins. Strategic initiatives in cost management and innovation are crucial as Axalta navigates North American market challenges, aiming to sustain its financial momentum and operational excellence.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Axalta Coating Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong performance in terms of record adjusted EBITDA and EPS, cost management, and strategic share repurchases. However, these positives were offset by challenges in sales, particularly in North America, and adjusted forecasts due to softer demand. The sentiment is balanced with both achievements and challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted EBITDA and EPS
Axalta reported record adjusted EBITDA of $294 million with a margin of 22.8% and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.67, up 6% versus last year.
Share Repurchases
Executed $100 million in share repurchases during Q3, reducing shares outstanding by over 3% since 2023.
Mobility Segment Growth
Net sales in Mobility increased by 4% to a record $460 million due to sustained growth in China and Latin America.
Cost Management and Efficiency
Interest expense is down 15% year-to-date, and SG&A expenses declined 7%, supported by the 2024 Transformation Initiative, delivering approximately $40 million in savings in 2025.
Capital Allocation Strategy
Plan to repurchase up to $250 million of stock in Q4, deploying over 90% of free cash flow to share repurchases this year while maintaining leverage target.
Negative Updates
Net Sales Decline
Net sales were approximately $1.3 billion, down 2% year-over-year, primarily due to macro headwinds in North America.
Performance Coatings Sales Decline
Net sales for Performance Coatings declined 6% year-over-year to $828 million, impacted by trends in North America.
Industrial Segment Challenges
Industrial net sales declined 4% year-over-year due to volume softness in North America and weakness in industrial production and building and construction.
Revised Outlook Due to Softer Demand
Adjusted forecast for softer demand, expecting net sales to decline by mid-single digits in Q4 compared to last year.
Company Guidance
In the recent Q3 2025 earnings call, Axalta Coating Systems reported record financial performance, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $294 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.8%. Net sales were approximately $1.3 billion, and adjusted diluted EPS rose 6% year-over-year to $0.67. The company's Mobility segment saw a 4% increase in net sales, achieving a third-quarter record of $460 million. Axalta executed $100 million in share repurchases, reducing outstanding shares by over 3% since 2023. The company maintained a net leverage ratio of 2.5x, the lowest in its history. Axalta remains focused on achieving its A Plan targets, with a consistent adjusted EBITDA margin above 21% for six consecutive periods. The firm anticipates delivering record adjusted EBITDA and EPS for the full year 2025, albeit with lower revenue expectations due to softer demand and macroeconomic headwinds.

Axalta Coating Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Axalta Coating Systems demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency with solid margins and a high return on equity. The significant reduction in debt enhances financial stability, although the negative revenue and free cash flow growth rates pose potential risks. Overall, the company maintains a strong financial position with room for improvement in growth metrics.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Axalta Coating Systems shows a strong gross profit margin of 34.11% for TTM, indicating efficient production processes. The net profit margin improved to 8.81% in TTM, reflecting better cost management and profitability. However, the revenue growth rate is negative at -0.62% for TTM, suggesting a decline in sales compared to the previous period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 15.66% and 21.29% respectively, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company has significantly reduced its debt, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.009 in TTM, indicating a very low leverage and strong financial stability. The return on equity is robust at 21.33%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 29.37%, suggesting a balanced capital structure with a healthy proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.40, showing adequate cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.63, indicating a healthy conversion of profits into free cash flow. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -18.31% for TTM, highlighting a decline in free cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.17B5.28B5.18B4.88B4.42B3.74B
Gross Profit1.76B1.80B1.62B1.42B1.43B1.28B
EBITDA1.04B981.00M844.00M700.00M791.20M592.40M
Net Income455.00M391.00M267.00M192.00M263.90M121.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.76B7.25B7.27B7.06B7.22B7.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments606.00M593.00M700.20M645.20M840.60M1.36B
Total Debt20.00M3.52B3.54B3.81B3.94B4.00B
Total Liabilities5.43B5.29B5.50B5.56B5.68B5.68B
Stockholders Equity2.28B1.91B1.73B1.45B1.49B1.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow339.00M436.00M437.40M142.90M437.00M427.20M
Operating Cash Flow539.00M576.00M575.30M293.80M558.60M509.30M
Investing Cash Flow-188.00M-440.00M-205.70M-106.40M-716.00M-61.50M
Financing Cash Flow-306.00M-201.00M-315.00M-368.90M-334.50M-130.90M

Axalta Coating Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.32
Price Trends
50DMA
28.98
Positive
100DMA
29.51
Negative
200DMA
31.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
56.68
Neutral
STOCH
64.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AXTA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.65, above the 50-day MA of 28.98, and below the 200-day MA of 31.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AXTA.

Axalta Coating Systems Risk Analysis

Axalta Coating Systems disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Axalta Coating Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Axalta Coating Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$6.14B13.9121.75%-1.83%40.64%
72
Outperform
$85.45B33.6659.94%0.92%0.96%1.96%
69
Neutral
$13.85B20.1724.05%1.93%3.09%12.25%
67
Neutral
$7.02B10.2612.24%5.45%-3.33%-19.59%
67
Neutral
$21.53B17.1216.31%2.85%-12.98%-11.34%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
55
Neutral
$16.08B-2.84%2.53%-3.01%82.30%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems
29.32
-11.34
-27.89%
EMN
Eastman Chemical
60.94
-35.79
-37.00%
IFF
International Flavors & Fragrances
65.41
-22.05
-25.21%
PPG
PPG Industries
97.49
-22.85
-18.99%
RPM
RPM International
107.47
-26.05
-19.51%
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Company
344.72
-40.50
-10.51%

Axalta Coating Systems Corporate Events

Axalta Coating Systems Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 29, 2025

Axalta Coating Systems, a global leader in the coatings industry, specializes in providing innovative and sustainable coatings solutions for a variety of applications, including light vehicles, commercial vehicles, and industrial uses. With over 150 years of experience, Axalta serves more than 100,000 customers across 140 countries.

Axalta Coating Systems’ Earnings Call: Balancing Achievements and Challenges
Oct 29, 2025

The recent earnings call from Axalta Coating Systems revealed a balanced sentiment, characterized by strong financial achievements alongside notable challenges. The company reported record adjusted EBITDA and EPS, effective cost management, and strategic share repurchases. However, these accomplishments were tempered by sales challenges, particularly in North America, leading to adjusted forecasts due to softer demand.

Stock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
Axalta Coating Systems Amends Credit Agreement with Barclays
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Axalta Coating Systems Dutch Holding B B.V. and Axalta Coating Systems U.S. Holdings, Inc. entered into the Seventeenth Amendment to their Credit Agreement with Barclays Bank PLC. This amendment allows the company to use borrowings to fund repurchases of its common shares, potentially impacting its financial strategy and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AXTA) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Axalta Coating Systems stock, see the AXTA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025