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Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA)
NYSE:AXTA
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Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) AI Stock Analysis

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AXTA

Axalta Coating Systems

(NYSE:AXTA)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(0.00% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/30/26
The score is driven primarily by improving profitability and strong free cash flow, supported by constructive earnings-call guidance and continued deleveraging plans. These positives are tempered by a weak technical trend and recent revenue contraction, with valuation appearing moderate rather than clearly cheap.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistently rising operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for debt paydown, capex, and integration costs. Strong cash conversion supports deleveraging plans and cushions the business against cyclical volume softness while enabling selective reinvestment.
Negative Factors
Top-line contraction
Persistent revenue declines erode operating leverage and can reverse margin gains if prolonged. Sustained top‑line weakness reduces cash-flow headroom, constrains pricing power, and increases reliance on cost savings to sustain profitability over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistently rising operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for debt paydown, capex, and integration costs. Strong cash conversion supports deleveraging plans and cushions the business against cyclical volume softness while enabling selective reinvestment.
Read all positive factors

Axalta Coating Systems Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue by different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and revealing strategic focus and market opportunities.
Chart InsightsAxalta Coating Systems' Mobility segment is experiencing growth, with a 4% increase in net sales, driven by strong performance in China and Latin America. However, the Performance Coatings segment is facing challenges, with a 6% decline in net sales due to macroeconomic headwinds in North America. Despite these challenges, Axalta achieved record adjusted EBITDA and EPS, supported by cost management and strategic share repurchases. The company anticipates record adjusted EBITDA and EPS for 2025, although revenue expectations are tempered by softer demand and economic pressures.
Data provided by:The Fly

Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Axalta Coating Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes high-performance coatings systems in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. It operates through two segment...
How the Company Makes Money
Axalta makes money primarily by selling coatings and related products to customers in two main segments: (1) Performance Coatings and (2) Mobility Coatings. In Performance Coatings, a major revenue stream comes from automotive refinish—selling pai...

Axalta Coating Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational execution and several record achievements (cash generation, Mobility sales and margins, ongoing margin durability, procurement gains and progress on a high‑value merger) that outweighed modest top‑line softness, regional volume weakness (notably in North America), transaction costs and macro/raw material uncertainty. Management maintained full‑year guidance but flagged tracking toward the lower end of ranges and highlighted geopolitical/risk exposure.
Positive Updates
Solid Financial Results Above Expectations
Net sales of $1.254 billion (≈$1.25B) with adjusted EBITDA of $259 million and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.56, with EPS coming in 12% above expectations and adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.6%.
Negative Updates
Top-line Pressure and Modest Revenue Decline
Total net sales declined ~1% year-over-year to $1.254 billion; Performance Coatings sales down 2% to $802M, Industrial down 2% to $304M, and Refinish down 3% to $498M driven by lower volumes and unfavorable price/mix in North America.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Solid Financial Results Above Expectations
Net sales of $1.254 billion (≈$1.25B) with adjusted EBITDA of $259 million and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.56, with EPS coming in 12% above expectations and adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.6%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated they are maintaining prior full‑year guidance for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EPS and free cash flow while noting they are tracking closer to the lower end of EBITDA and EPS ranges; for Q2 they expect net sales roughly flat, adjusted EBITDA of $280–$290 million and adjusted diluted EPS of about $0.65. They continue to expect full‑year adjusted EBITDA margin of ~22%, interest expense of ~$150 million (more than $25 million improvement year‑over‑year and ~27% lower than 2024), net leverage below 2.0x at year‑end (currently 2.3x), and to deploy most FCF to pay down the term loan; other assumptions include ~91 million global auto builds, ~274,000 NA Class 8 builds, mid‑single‑digit Refinish pricing in 2026, >50% of Mobility revenue indexed to raw‑material indices, and positive price/mix inflection beginning in Q2.

Axalta Coating Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Margins and cash generation have improved meaningfully (EBIT margin up to ~13–14% and FCF up to ~$453M in 2025 and ~$488M TTM). Balance sheet leverage is trending better (debt-to-equity down to ~1.45x), but remains a constraint, and the sharp TTM revenue decline (~15.6%) is a notable near-term headwind.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.11B5.12B5.28B5.18B4.88B4.42B
Gross Profit1.65B1.67B1.80B1.62B1.42B1.43B
EBITDA1.02B1.06B981.00M844.00M700.00M791.20M
Net Income369.00M378.00M391.00M267.00M192.00M263.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.56B7.60B7.25B7.27B7.06B7.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments608.00M660.00M593.00M703.10M654.90M840.60M
Total Debt3.15B3.39B3.52B3.61B3.81B3.86B
Total Liabilities5.09B5.21B5.29B5.50B5.56B5.68B
Stockholders Equity2.42B2.35B1.91B1.73B1.45B1.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow488.00M453.00M436.00M437.40M142.90M437.00M
Operating Cash Flow691.00M649.00M576.00M575.30M293.80M558.60M
Investing Cash Flow-221.00M-212.00M-440.00M-205.70M-106.40M-716.00M
Financing Cash Flow-453.00M-401.00M-201.00M-315.00M-368.90M-334.50M

Axalta Coating Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price30.00
Price Trends
50DMA
27.98
Negative
100DMA
30.60
Negative
200DMA
30.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Positive
RSI
47.03
Neutral
STOCH
20.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AXTA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.29, above the 50-day MA of 27.98, and below the 200-day MA of 30.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AXTA.

Axalta Coating Systems Risk Analysis

Axalta Coating Systems disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Axalta Coating Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Axalta Coating Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$74.68B36.8258.23%0.98%3.90%-1.60%
66
Neutral
$18.82B27.475.90%2.41%-5.60%
65
Neutral
$5.91B16.4415.85%-2.57%-16.43%
65
Neutral
$8.11B20.336.77%5.33%-7.41%-56.10%
65
Neutral
$23.11B15.6531.80%2.71%-3.94%18.25%
64
Neutral
$12.39B70.6321.80%1.96%5.68%3.81%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems
27.76
-3.53
-11.28%
EMN
Eastman Chemical
68.15
-9.51
-12.25%
IFF
International Flavors & Fragrances
71.99
-3.25
-4.32%
PPG
PPG Industries
101.70
-6.65
-6.14%
RPM
RPM International
95.00
-15.65
-14.15%
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Company
299.05
-52.52
-14.94%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026