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Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW)
NYSE:SHW
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Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) AI Stock Analysis

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SHW

Sherwin-Williams Company

(NYSE:SHW)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$386.00
▲(6.08% Upside)
Sherwin-Williams' stock score reflects strong financial performance and robust cash flow generation as key strengths. However, the high debt levels and reduced earnings guidance present risks. The technical analysis shows neutral momentum, and while valuation metrics suggest potential overvaluation, consistent gross margin expansion is a positive indicator.
Positive Factors
Competitive Advantage
Management commentary surrounding the competitive opportunity remained very bullish.
Market Position
The disappearance of some competitors and chaos at others has resulted in an improved environment for SHW.
Negative Factors
Cost Management
Investor fatigue is growing due to continued cost headwinds from SHW investing for growth and the new headquarters.
Earnings Guidance
SHW lowered the FY guide largely due to the 2Q miss and weak demand expected to continue, with increased costs for the new building.

Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sherwin-Williams Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSherwin-Williams Company (SHW) is a leading global manufacturer of paints, coatings, and related products. Founded in 1866 and headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, the company operates through three primary segments: the Paint Stores Group, the Consumer Brands Group, and the Global Coatings Group. Sherwin-Williams offers a wide range of products including architectural paints, industrial coatings, and specialty finishes, catering to both professional and DIY customers across various industries.
How the Company Makes MoneySherwin-Williams generates revenue through multiple key streams. The Paint Stores Group, which accounts for a significant portion of the company's sales, includes over 4,800 retail locations that sell a variety of paint and coatings products directly to consumers and contractors. The Consumer Brands Group provides products to mass merchandisers and home improvement stores, further diversifying their retail presence. Additionally, the Global Coatings Group serves international markets, supplying industrial and protective coatings, which cater to sectors like automotive, aerospace, and construction. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with major retailers, allowing for broader distribution of its products. Moreover, Sherwin-Williams invests in innovation and product development to enhance its offerings, contributing to revenue growth. Overall, the combination of direct retail sales, partnerships, and diverse product lines plays a crucial role in the company's earnings.

Sherwin-Williams Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Profit by Segment
Net Profit by Segment
Reveals the profitability of each business segment, highlighting which areas are driving earnings and which might need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsSherwin-Williams' Paint Stores Group continues to drive growth, with net profit consistently rising, reflecting strategic focus and market leadership. However, the Consumer Brands Group struggles with underperformance, impacting overall profitability. The Performance Coatings Group faces margin pressures due to increased costs and restructuring expenses. Despite these challenges, the company remains committed to above-market growth, evidenced by increased restructuring efforts and investment in the Paint Stores Group. Reduced earnings guidance highlights ongoing demand and supply chain issues, but gross margin expansion offers a positive outlook.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Sherwin-Williams Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted Sherwin-Williams' ability to maintain strong gross margins and expand its market share through strategic investments and restructuring, despite facing a challenging demand environment and reduced earnings guidance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Gross Margin Expansion
Sherwin-Williams reported its twelfth consecutive quarter of year-over-year gross margin growth, demonstrating strong pricing effectiveness, particularly within the Paint Stores Group.
Successful Restructuring Initiatives
The company doubled its restructuring initiatives target to $105 million, anticipating annual savings of approximately $80 million, reflecting proactive cost management.
Strong Performance in Paint Stores Group
Despite a challenging environment, the Paint Stores Group reported sales increase by a low single-digit percentage with significant market share gains in residential repainting.
Expansion and Investments
Sherwin-Williams opened 20 net new stores in the quarter and 38 year-to-date, ahead of last year’s pace, with plans to continue aggressive investments in the Paint Stores Group.
Negative Updates
Reduced Full-Year Earnings Guidance
Due to a softer demand environment and supply chain inefficiencies, Sherwin-Williams reduced its full-year adjusted earnings guidance.
Decreased Sales in Key Segments
Consumer Brands Group sales were below expectations with volume, price mix, and FX all down, and Performance Coatings Group experienced a decrease in segment profit and margin.
Supply Chain Inefficiencies
The reduction in production gallons within the global supply chain pressured bottom-line results, highlighting operational challenges.
Choppy Demand Environment
The company faces continued turbulence and a slowdown in demand across various segments, businesses, and regions, affecting its sales outlook.
Company Guidance
During the call, The Sherwin-Williams Company provided updated guidance for the fiscal year 2025, reflecting a challenging demand environment. Consolidated sales were within the guided range, with the Paint Stores Group experiencing growth, while other segments faced softness. Despite gross margin expansion for the twelfth consecutive quarter, adjusted earnings per share decreased due to higher non-operating costs and growth investments. The company revised its full-year adjusted earnings guidance downward, citing softer-than-anticipated architectural sales volumes and supply chain inefficiencies, although this was partially offset by reduced SG&A spending. The restructuring initiative was expanded to $105 million, expected to yield $80 million in annual savings. Capital expenditures were reduced by $170 million, and the company returned $716 million to shareholders through share repurchases. The guidance emphasized ongoing investments in growth initiatives, particularly in the Paint Stores Group, and maintaining a disciplined approach to SG&A costs.

Sherwin-Williams Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sherwin-Williams showcases strong profitability and cash flow generation, with a stable revenue growth and healthy margins. Despite high leverage, robust cash flow provides a buffer against financial uncertainties. High debt levels are a concern but mitigated by solid cash management.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Sherwin-Williams demonstrates strong profitability, with a gross profit margin of approximately 48.9% and a net profit margin of around 11% in TTM. Revenue has shown stable growth over the years, with a slight uptick in EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating efficient operations. However, net income slightly decreased in the TTM compared to the previous year, which could be a concern if the trend continues.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of about 2.9 in TTM, indicating considerable financial risk. However, the company has improved its equity base over the years, enhancing its equity ratio slightly. The return on equity stands strong at approximately 57.8%, showcasing effective equity utilization, though the high debt levels remain a potential risk.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Sherwin-Williams exhibits robust cash flow generation, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.20 and a healthy free cash flow growth rate. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.85, indicating effective cash management despite high capital expenditures. Consistent positive cash flow trends provide a buffer against potential financial uncertainties.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.08B23.10B23.05B22.15B19.94B18.36B
Gross Profit11.28B11.20B10.76B9.33B8.54B8.68B
EBITDA4.34B4.49B4.15B3.54B3.16B3.44B
Net Income2.54B2.68B2.39B2.02B1.86B2.03B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.36B23.63B22.95B22.59B20.67B20.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments269.80M210.40M276.80M198.80M165.70M226.60M
Total Debt12.77B11.91B11.81B12.51B11.50B10.11B
Total Liabilities20.96B19.58B19.24B19.49B18.23B16.79B
Stockholders Equity4.40B4.05B3.72B3.10B2.44B3.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.15B2.08B2.63B1.28B1.87B3.10B
Operating Cash Flow3.06B3.15B3.52B1.92B2.24B3.41B
Investing Cash Flow-1.17B-1.20B-1.04B-1.61B-476.40M-322.40M
Financing Cash Flow-1.83B-2.02B-2.42B-282.40M-1.83B-3.02B

Sherwin-Williams Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price363.86
Price Trends
50DMA
346.48
Positive
100DMA
346.45
Positive
200DMA
352.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.08
Negative
RSI
61.04
Neutral
STOCH
75.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 363.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 351.51, above the 50-day MA of 346.48, and above the 200-day MA of 352.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SHW.

Sherwin-Williams Company Risk Analysis

Sherwin-Williams Company disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sherwin-Williams Company reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sherwin-Williams Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$6.73B15.1022.09%-1.01%50.58%
78
Outperform
$16.21B23.5925.42%1.64%0.51%17.21%
72
Outperform
$91.74B36.5462.43%0.84%0.31%2.66%
65
Neutral
$7.66B9.3714.52%4.95%1.60%-3.97%
64
Neutral
$30.65B40.240.31%2.12%4.55%-130.25%
63
Neutral
$25.47B20.0116.88%2.45%-10.59%-7.79%
61
Neutral
$10.07B6.270.59%3.01%2.91%-45.05%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Company
363.86
8.12
2.28%
EMN
Eastman Chemical
66.01
-31.21
-32.10%
PPG
PPG Industries
111.57
-11.95
-9.67%
RPM
RPM International
124.34
10.03
8.77%
AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems
30.77
-4.87
-13.66%
DD
DuPont de Nemours
74.55
-4.94
-6.21%

Sherwin-Williams Company Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sherwin-Williams Amends Credit Agreement and Secures New Loan
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Sherwin-Williams Company and its subsidiaries amended their existing revolving credit agreement, extending the maturity date to August 8, 2030, and modifying certain financial terms. Additionally, Sherwin-Williams entered into a new 364-day senior unsecured delayed draw term loan credit agreement, providing a $750 million US dollar tranche and a €250 million Euro tranche, available for general corporate purposes. These financial arrangements aim to enhance the company’s liquidity and operational flexibility, potentially impacting its financial leverage and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHW) stock is a Buy with a $370.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sherwin-Williams Company stock, see the SHW Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sherwin-Williams Announces $1.5 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Sherwin-Williams Company announced the offering and sale of $1.5 billion in senior notes with varying maturity dates and interest rates. This financial move, involving major underwriters and trust companies, is part of the company’s strategic financial management to support its operations and growth plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHW) stock is a Buy with a $378.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sherwin-Williams Company stock, see the SHW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 05, 2025