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Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW)
NYSE:SHW
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Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) AI Stock Analysis

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SHW

Sherwin-Williams Company

(NYSE:SHW)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$370.00
▲(7.74%Upside)
Sherwin-Williams exhibits solid financial performance with strong profitability and cash flows, yet high leverage is a concern. Technical indicators show bearish trends, and valuation suggests potential overvaluation. Despite growth in certain segments, reduced earnings guidance and demand challenges weigh on the outlook.
Positive Factors
Competitive Positioning
Changes in the competitive landscape are providing Sherwin-Williams not only a means to capture higher pricing but also grab share.
Pricing Strategy
Sherwin-Williams' ability to consistently raise prices is encouraging, even in a challenging environment.
Raw Material Costs
Sherwin-Williams is expected to outperform the market in 2025 due to growing tailwinds from raw material deflation and a more resilient housing market.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Earnings per share were well below expectations due to greater-than-expected headwinds from SG&A investments and costs tied to the new headquarters.
Housing Market
The weak housing market remains a significant challenge for Sherwin-Williams, affecting new residential demand.
Investor Sentiment
Investor fatigue is growing due to continued cost headwinds from Sherwin-Williams investing for growth and the new headquarters, especially with the housing recovery in a perpetual pause.

Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sherwin-Williams Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSherwin-Williams Company (SHW) is a leading global producer of paints and coatings. Headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, the company operates in the paint and coatings industry, serving both professional and retail customers. Sherwin-Williams offers a wide range of products, including architectural paints, industrial coatings, and protective finishes. With a strong presence in North America, the company also operates in various international markets, supporting its growth and market reach.
How the Company Makes MoneySherwin-Williams makes money primarily through the sale of paints and coatings products. The company's revenue model is driven by its three reportable segments: The Americas Group, Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group. The Americas Group generates revenue by selling directly to professional contractors and DIY customers through a network of over 4,000 company-operated stores. The Consumer Brands Group sells products under well-known brands to retailers and distributors, including home centers, independent paint dealers, and hardware stores. The Performance Coatings Group provides advanced coating solutions for industrial applications, serving sectors such as automotive, aerospace, and construction. Strategic partnerships with major retailers and a focus on innovation and quality contribute significantly to Sherwin-Williams' earnings.

Sherwin-Williams Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Profit by Segment
Net Profit by Segment
Reveals the profitability of each business segment, highlighting which areas are driving earnings and which might need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsSherwin-Williams' Paint Stores Group continues to drive profit growth, reflecting strong demand and strategic pricing. However, the Consumer Brands Group faces challenges from weak DIY demand and unfavorable FX, despite improved margins. The Performance Coatings Group is under pressure due to declining sales and external cost challenges. The recent earnings call highlights the company's strategic focus on acquisitions, like Suvinil, to bolster growth in Latin America, while acknowledging ongoing demand challenges that may persist into 2026. Investors should monitor the impact of tariffs and raw material costs on future profitability.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Sherwin-Williams Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
Sherwin-Williams highlighted several achievements, such as growth in the Paint Stores Group and a consistent increase in gross margins. However, these positives were overshadowed by reduced earnings guidance and challenges in the demand environment, including underperformance in the Consumer Brands Group and decreased margins in the Performance Coatings Group.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Paint Stores Group Growth
Sales in the Paint Stores Group increased by a low single-digit percentage, with price mix up by mid-single digits and volume down low single digits. Residential repaint sales grew by mid-single digits, significantly outpacing the market.
Gross Margin Expansion
Sherwin-Williams achieved its twelfth consecutive quarter of year-over-year gross margin expansion. Gross margin in the quarter increased by 60 basis points.
Shareholder Returns
The company returned $716 million to shareholders through share repurchases.
Restructuring Initiatives
The company increased its restructuring initiatives, targeting $105 million or $0.32 per share for the full year, expecting savings of approximately $80 million annually.
Protective and Marine Segment
Protective and marine segment sales increased by high single digits for the fourth straight quarter.
Negative Updates
Reduced Earnings Guidance
The company reduced its adjusted earnings guidance for the full year due to softer architectural sales volumes and supply chain inefficiencies.
Demand Environment Challenges
Sherwin-Williams experienced a choppy demand environment, with further deterioration in new residential, DIY, and coil coatings end markets.
Consumer Brands Group Underperformance
Sales in the Consumer Brands Group were below expectations, with volume, price mix, and FX all down by similar low single-digit percentages.
Performance Coatings Group Margin Decrease
Performance Coatings Group segment profit and margin decreased due to increased costs to support sales, higher foreign currency transaction losses, and severance and restructuring expenses.
Company Guidance
During the call, The Sherwin-Williams Company provided guidance for the remainder of 2025, highlighting several key metrics and strategies. The company reported that consolidated sales were within their guided range, with particular growth in the Paint Stores Group, although this was offset by softness in other segments. They noted a year-over-year increase in gross margin for the twelfth consecutive quarter, despite a low single-digit percentage increase in SG&A for the full year. Adjusted earnings per share decreased due to higher non-operating costs and unexpected new building expenses. Sherwin-Williams returned $716 million to shareholders through share repurchases. Looking ahead, the company reduced its adjusted earnings guidance for the full year due to softer architectural sales volumes and supply chain inefficiencies, but remains committed to delivering above-market growth. They doubled their restructuring initiatives to $105 million for the year, expecting annual savings of approximately $80 million. The company also adjusted its CapEx spending down by $170 million and plans to continue investing in growth initiatives, particularly within the Paint Stores Group, while controlling general and administrative spending.

Sherwin-Williams Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sherwin-Williams showcases strong profitability with robust cash flow generation and stable revenue growth. However, high debt levels pose a financial risk despite effective equity utilization and solid cash management.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Sherwin-Williams demonstrates strong profitability, with a gross profit margin of approximately 48.9% and a net profit margin of around 11% in TTM. Revenue has shown stable growth over the years, with a slight uptick in EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating efficient operations. However, net income slightly decreased in the TTM compared to the previous year, which could be a concern if the trend continues.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of about 2.9 in TTM, indicating considerable financial risk. However, the company has improved its equity base over the years, enhancing its equity ratio slightly. The return on equity stands strong at approximately 57.8%, showcasing effective equity utilization, though the high debt levels remain a potential risk.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Sherwin-Williams exhibits robust cash flow generation, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.20 and a healthy free cash flow growth rate. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.85, indicating effective cash management despite high capital expenditures. Consistent positive cash flow trends provide a buffer against potential financial uncertainties.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.08B23.10B23.05B22.15B19.94B18.36B
Gross Profit11.28B11.20B10.76B9.33B8.54B8.68B
EBITDA4.34B3.77B4.15B3.97B3.57B3.87B
Net Income2.54B2.68B2.39B2.02B1.86B2.03B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.36B23.63B22.95B22.59B20.67B20.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments269.80M210.40M276.80M198.80M165.70M226.60M
Total Debt12.77B11.91B11.81B12.51B11.50B10.11B
Total Liabilities20.96B19.58B19.24B19.49B18.23B16.79B
Stockholders Equity4.40B4.05B3.72B3.10B2.44B3.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.15B2.08B2.63B1.28B1.87B3.10B
Operating Cash Flow3.06B3.15B3.52B1.92B2.24B3.41B
Investing Cash Flow-1.17B-1.20B-1.04B-1.61B-476.40M-322.40M
Financing Cash Flow-1.83B-2.02B-2.42B-282.40M-1.83B-3.02B

Sherwin-Williams Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price343.41
Price Trends
50DMA
346.67
Negative
100DMA
344.68
Negative
200DMA
353.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.82
Positive
RSI
51.87
Neutral
STOCH
38.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 343.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 341.45, below the 50-day MA of 346.67, and below the 200-day MA of 353.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SHW.

Sherwin-Williams Company Risk Analysis

Sherwin-Williams Company disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sherwin-Williams Company reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sherwin-Williams Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$15.07B21.9425.42%1.74%0.51%17.21%
73
Outperform
$6.13B13.9222.09%-1.01%50.58%
68
Neutral
$82.50B32.8662.43%0.88%0.31%2.66%
65
Neutral
$30.09B40.240.06%2.26%4.51%-121.68%
63
Neutral
$8.38B9.2514.52%5.61%1.60%-3.97%
59
Neutral
HK$16.89B4.53-5.46%4.41%-3.64%-62.57%
55
Neutral
$23.81B18.7116.88%2.60%-10.59%-7.79%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Company
343.41
7.10
2.11%
EMN
Eastman Chemical
58.79
-32.06
-35.29%
PPG
PPG Industries
104.44
-12.22
-10.47%
RPM
RPM International
117.51
4.79
4.25%
AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems
28.32
-5.75
-16.88%
DD
DuPont de Nemours
69.94
-6.35
-8.32%

Sherwin-Williams Company Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sherwin-Williams Announces $1.5 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Sherwin-Williams Company announced the offering and sale of $1.5 billion in senior notes with varying maturity dates and interest rates. This financial move, involving major underwriters and trust companies, is part of the company’s strategic financial management to support its operations and growth plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHW) stock is a Buy with a $378.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sherwin-Williams Company stock, see the SHW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 27, 2025