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Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW)
NYSE:SHW

Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) AI Stock Analysis

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SHW

Sherwin-Williams Company

(NYSE:SHW)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$349.00
▲(8.40% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/20/26
The score is driven mainly by strong profitability and cash generation, tempered by high balance-sheet leverage. Technicals are steady but not strongly bullish, while valuation (high P/E and low yield) limits upside. Earnings-call guidance is constructive but cautious due to persistent demand softness and cost/interest headwinds.
Positive Factors
Margin expansion and profitability
Sustained gross- and EBITDA-margin improvement indicates durable pricing power and cost control across channels. Higher margins create earnings resilience versus modest top-line growth, supporting cash flow and investment even if volumes stay pressured over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
High financial leverage
Elevated debt magnifies downside risk if demand or margins deteriorate, reducing financial flexibility for opportunistic investment or buybacks. High leverage increases sensitivity to interest-rate and cash-flow swings and constrains ability to absorb unexpected shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin expansion and profitability
Sustained gross- and EBITDA-margin improvement indicates durable pricing power and cost control across channels. Higher margins create earnings resilience versus modest top-line growth, supporting cash flow and investment even if volumes stay pressured over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sherwin-Williams Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Sherwin-Williams Company develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells paints, coatings, and related products to professional, industrial, commercial, and retail customers. It operates through three segments: The Americas Group, Consumer Bran...
How the Company Makes Money
Sherwin-Williams primarily makes money by selling paints, coatings, and related products through multiple go-to-market channels that align to its operating segments. (1) Paint Stores Group: This is centered on sales through Sherwin-Williams’ compa...

Sherwin-Williams Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows revenue generated by each business segment, indicating where the company is experiencing growth and where it might face challenges.
Chart InsightsSherwin-Williams' Paint Stores Group continues to drive growth, with recent quarters showing robust performance, supported by strategic pricing and volume increases. The Consumer Brands Group also exceeded expectations, bolstered by the Suvinil acquisition in Latin America. However, the Performance Coatings Group faces margin pressures due to unfavorable sales mix and rising costs. Despite a challenging demand environment, the company is focusing on cost management and growth initiatives, including a 7% price increase in 2026, to navigate macroeconomic uncertainties and enhance shareholder value.
Data provided by:The Fly

Sherwin-Williams Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The company reported solid financial performance and record results for 2025 (sales, adjusted EPS, expanded EBITDA margin, strong cash generation and disciplined SG&A control) while navigating a persistent weak demand environment. Management provided realistic, slightly growth-oriented guidance for 2026 (low- to mid-single-digit sales growth and modest adjusted EPS growth) and highlighted cost control, pricing actions, store expansion and strategic integration of Suvenil as levers to offset raw material, tariff and interest-cost headwinds. The call balanced tangible operational and financial achievements against significant macro and commodity challenges that are expected to persist into 2026.
Positive Updates
Record Full-Year Sales and EPS
Company delivered record full-year consolidated sales and record adjusted diluted net income per share (2025 adjusted diluted EPS $11.43). Full-year adjusted diluted EPS growth guidance midpoint of $11.70 implies +2.4% versus 2025 (excluding acquisition amortization).
Negative Updates
Softer-for-Longer Demand Backdrop
Management reiterated no meaningful recovery across end markets and expects the 'softer for longer' demand dynamic to persist well into 2026, limiting top-line tailwinds and keeping the outlook cautious.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Full-Year Sales and EPS
Company delivered record full-year consolidated sales and record adjusted diluted net income per share (2025 adjusted diluted EPS $11.43). Full-year adjusted diluted EPS growth guidance midpoint of $11.70 implies +2.4% versus 2025 (excluding acquisition amortization).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 consolidated sales to increase a low- to mid-single-digit percentage and GAAP diluted net income per share to $10.70–$11.10 (adjusted diluted EPS, excluding $0.80 of acquisition‑related amortization, $11.50–$11.90; midpoint $11.70, +2.4% vs. 2025 adjusted EPS of $11.43). They expect Paint Stores Jan. 1 pricing of 7% with realization in the low single digits, a raw‑material basket up a low single‑digit percentage, GAAP SG&A dollars up a low single digit (including a low‑single‑digit contribution from Suvenil), and roughly $90M of incremental interest expense (≈$40M HQ lease, $35M delayed‑draw term loan, $15M refinancing). The company expects full‑year gross‑margin expansion, plans to open 80–100 net new U.S./Canada stores, will continue opportunistic buybacks, is proposing a 1.3% dividend raise to $3.20, and expects to end 2026 within its 2.0–2.5x net debt/adjusted‑EBITDA target; for context FY2025 net operating cash rose 9.4% to $3.5B (14.6% of sales), free cash flow was $2.7B (59% conversion) and Q4 FCF conversion was 90.1%.

Sherwin-Williams Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (meaningful gross-margin improvement and healthy net margin) and solid free cash flow generation support the score. However, the balance sheet is a key constraint with high leverage (debt ~3.2x equity) and only modest recent revenue growth, increasing downside risk if demand weakens.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.57B23.10B23.05B22.15B19.94B
Gross Profit11.54B11.20B10.76B9.33B8.54B
EBITDA4.40B4.49B4.15B3.54B3.16B
Net Income2.57B2.68B2.39B2.02B1.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.90B23.63B22.95B22.59B20.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments207.20M210.40M276.80M198.80M165.70M
Total Debt14.53B11.91B11.81B12.51B11.50B
Total Liabilities21.30B19.58B19.24B19.49B18.23B
Stockholders Equity4.60B4.05B3.72B3.10B2.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.65B2.08B2.63B1.28B1.87B
Operating Cash Flow3.45B3.15B3.52B1.92B2.24B
Investing Cash Flow-2.01B-1.20B-1.04B-1.61B-476.40M
Financing Cash Flow-1.38B-2.02B-2.42B-282.40M-1.83B

Sherwin-Williams Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price321.95
Price Trends
50DMA
346.37
Negative
100DMA
339.88
Negative
200DMA
343.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.42
Positive
RSI
42.76
Neutral
STOCH
53.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 321.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 329.12, below the 50-day MA of 346.37, and below the 200-day MA of 343.01, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SHW.

Sherwin-Williams Company Risk Analysis

Sherwin-Williams Company disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sherwin-Williams Company reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sherwin-Williams Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$75.72B35.8322.03%1.01%1.38%-2.54%
68
Neutral
$23.84B14.7133.60%2.71%-12.98%-11.34%
67
Neutral
$79.77B31.0858.53%0.98%0.96%1.96%
65
Neutral
$5.90B18.4616.86%-1.83%40.64%
63
Neutral
$12.66B21.0922.70%1.96%3.09%12.25%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
$18.95B-21.54-3.77%1.74%2.42%-196.54%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Company
321.95
-14.79
-4.39%
ECL
Ecolab
268.54
21.59
8.74%
PPG
PPG Industries
106.69
2.01
1.92%
RPM
RPM International
98.84
-13.13
-11.72%
AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems
27.66
-5.20
-15.82%
DD
DuPont de Nemours
46.33
15.99
52.71%

Sherwin-Williams Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Sherwin-Williams Extends Credit Facility, Strengthens Liquidity Position
Positive
Feb 9, 2026
On February 9, 2026, Sherwin-Williams amended its Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Citicorp USA, Inc. and a syndicate of lenders to extend the maturity of $75 million in available commitments and letter-of-credit capacity from June 20, 2...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026