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PPG Industries (PPG)
NYSE:PPG

PPG Industries (PPG) AI Stock Analysis

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PPG

PPG Industries

(NYSE:PPG)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$124.00
▼(-1.55% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weaker financial resilience signals in the latest statements (negative equity and negative free cash flow), despite solid reported profitability. Technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend, and valuation appears reasonable with a mid-teens P/E and a ~2.4% dividend. The latest earnings call adds a moderately positive tilt via steady 2026 guidance and aerospace-driven momentum, tempered by near-term cost and demand headwinds.
Positive Factors
Aerospace & Marine Growth
Sustained double-digit growth in aerospace and marine coatings reflects structural end-market expansion and PPG's technology advantage. Coupled with record quarterly EPS and targeted investments in aerospace, this supports durable higher-margin revenue and long-term returns on invested capital.
Diversified End Markets and Share Gains
PPG's exposure across Performance, Industrial and Architectural segments plus documented share gains (industrial, packaging, OEM) reduces cyclicality. Structural market-share improvement enables volume-led growth, pricing leverage and resilience through uneven macro cycles, supporting steady revenue streams.
Balanced Leverage and Stable Margins
A moderate debt-to-equity ratio and mid-teens ROE indicate financial capacity to fund strategic investments while managing risk. This balance preserves flexibility for capex, targeted M&A or shareholder returns and underpins sustainable margin delivery despite revenue pressures.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth Trend
A persistent decline in reported revenue growth constrains operating leverage and reinvestment capacity. If revenues don't recover, margin maintenance and return on capital become harder, necessitating consistent share gains or product innovation to restore top-line momentum over the medium term.
Cash Flow Generation Weakness
Negative FCF growth and a very low operating-cash-to-net-income ratio signal earnings may not be converting into liquidity efficiently. This limits ability to fund large strategic investments, service debt, or sustain payouts without relying on external financing or working-capital improvements.
CFO Retirement and Transition Risk
A planned CFO departure creates near-term execution and governance risk during a critical financing and investment period. Succession risk can affect capital allocation, debt management and investor communication; an effective, timely successor is needed to preserve financial discipline and strategy continuity.

PPG Industries (PPG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PPG Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPPG Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes paints, coatings, and specialty materials worldwide. The company's Performance Coatings segment offers coatings, solvents, adhesives, sealants, sundries, and software for automotive and commercial transport/fleet repair and refurbishing, light industrial coatings, and specialty coatings for signs; and coatings, sealants, transparencies, transparent armor, adhesives, engineered materials, and packaging and chemical management services for commercial, military, regional jet, and general aviation aircraft. It also provides coatings and finishes for the protection of metals and structures, such as metal fabricators, heavy duty maintenance contractors, and manufacturers of ships, bridges, and rail cars; paints, wood stains, adhesives, and purchased sundries for painting and maintenance contractors, and consumers for decoration and maintenance of residential and commercial building structures; and paints, thermoplastics, pavement marking products, and other technologies for pavement marking. The company's Industrial Coatings segment offers coatings, adhesives and sealants, and metal pretreatments, as well as services and coatings applications for appliances, agricultural and construction equipment, consumer electronics, automotive parts and accessories, building products, kitchenware, and transportation vehicles and other finished products; and on-site coatings services. It also provides coatings for metal cans, closures, plastic tubes, and promotional and specialty packaging; amorphous precipitated silica for tire, battery separator, and other end-uses; TESLIN substrates for labels, e-passports, drivers' licenses, breathable membranes, and loyalty and identification cards; and organic light emitting diode materials, displays and lighting lens materials, optical lenses, color-change products, and photochromic dyes. The company was incorporated in 1883 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyPPG generates revenue primarily through the sale of its coatings, paints, and specialty materials. The company operates through several key segments: Performance Coatings, Industrial Coatings, and Architectural Coatings. Each segment targets different markets, allowing PPG to diversify its revenue streams. The Performance Coatings segment serves industries such as aerospace and automotive, while the Architectural Coatings segment focuses on residential and commercial markets. PPG also benefits from strategic partnerships with manufacturers and distributors, enhancing its market reach. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to innovate and improve product offerings, which can lead to increased sales and customer loyalty.

PPG Industries Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across various business units, providing insight into growth drivers and areas where the company may face competitive pressures or expansion opportunities.
Chart InsightsPPG Industries' Performance Coatings segment shows a significant revenue drop in late 2024, which aligns with challenges in the automotive refinish market. However, the earnings call highlights resilience with a 2% organic sales growth, driven by aerospace and marine coatings. The Industrial Coatings segment benefits from share gains in automotive OEM and packaging, achieving a 4% sales volume increase. Despite macroeconomic challenges, strategic investments in aerospace and operational excellence are expected to drive future growth, as reflected in the updated earnings guidance.
Data provided by:The Fly

PPG Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a balanced but overall constructive picture: the company delivered solid full-year results with strong cash generation, disciplined capital returns, segment margin improvements, notable share gains (packaging, automotive OEM, aerospace), and tangible early wins from AI/digital initiatives. Near-term headwinds remain—most notably refinish destocking, increased corporate and interest costs, industry softness in Europe and industrial end markets, and aerospace capacity constraints—but management expects normalization and stronger volume/margin leverage in the second half of 2026. On net, positive operational momentum and financial flexibility outweigh the short-term challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue and Organic Growth
Net sales for 2025 were $15.9 billion with 2% organic growth driven by higher selling prices and volume gains across segments.
Fourth-Quarter Acceleration
Q4 net sales were $3.9 billion, up 5% year-over-year with ~3% organic growth — described as the company's strongest organic growth of the year.
Profitability and Margins
Adjusted EPS for full-year 2025 was $7.58. Full-year segment EBITDA margin was 19%; Q4 segment EBITDA margin was 18%.
Improving Segment Margins
Architectural coatings segment income rose 6% with EBITDA margins improving nearly 100 basis points; industrial coatings EBITDA rose 6% and margin improved ~30 basis points to 15.1%.
Strong Cash Generation and Capital Allocation
Operating cash flow was $1.9 billion (up about $0.5 billion YoY), yielding a free-cash-flow yield of 5%. Returned $1.4 billion to shareholders in 2025 via $630M dividends and $790M share repurchases (~3% of shares).
Aerospace Momentum
Aerospace coatings had record sales and earnings in Q4; aerospace grew double-digits in 2025 and is guided to high-single-digit CAGR/growth for 2026, identified as a key growth engine.
Industrial and Packaging Share Gains
Industrial coatings grew 3% in Q4 (organic volume growth +5%) with automotive OEM net sales +6% in Q4 and packaging coatings delivering double-digit organic growth driven by technology-led share gains.
Protective & Marine Strength
Protective and marine coatings delivered 11 consecutive quarters of volume growth, contributing to segment resilience.
Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Year-end cash balance of $2.2 billion with net debt of $5.1 billion; $700 million of debt maturing in 2026 planned to be paid from cash; Q4 buyback: ~980,000 shares at ~$102 average (~$100M).
Digital / AI and R&D Progress
Commercialized the first AI-formulated refinish clear coat and have optimized ~50 existing products using AI; prior digitization of formulation data expected to drive future product and cost benefits with early ROI already delivering millions.
Negative Updates
Refinish Destocking and Sales Pressure
Automotive refinish experienced high-single-digit organic sales declines in 2025 with multi-quarter destocking (double-digit down earlier in Q3, high-single-digit in Q4), creating margin pressure because refinish is a higher-margin business; normalization expected in second half of 2026.
Q4 EPS Impacted by Higher Interest and Corporate Costs
Q4 adjusted EPS was $1.51; improved organic growth and operations were offset by higher interest costs and increased corporate expenses (medical claims and incentive compensation impacts).
Near-Term Margin Headwinds in Performance Coatings
Performance coatings segment saw EBITDA margin contraction driven by lower refinish sales and higher growth-related investments in aerospace and protective & marine; company expects segment margin contraction in 2026 with recovery in H2.
Softness in Europe and Industrial End Markets
Architectural demand in Europe was mixed with a low single-digit decline; company expects continued softness in Europe and global industrial end markets to weigh on Q1 2026 organic sales and margins.
Raw Material and Tariff-Related Pressures
While aggregate raw-material costs are expected flat for 2026, pockets of inflation exist: epoxies and specialty pigments (tariff-related) and metal packaging (aluminum/steel tariffs) are elevated and affect certain product lines.
Higher Financing and Tax Costs
Interest expense is increasing as low-cost debt matures and is refinanced at higher rates; a slight increase in the effective tax rate is expected — both are headwinds to EPS growth.
Aerospace Capacity Constraints
Aerospace is capacity-constrained; significant incremental CapEx (including ~$120M approved for debottlenecking and a $380M facility) is required and will take multiple years to fully alleviate constraints.
Corporate Expense Spike from Medical and Incentives
Q4 corporate expenses increased due to higher-than-expected medical claims (pay-as-you-go) and higher short-term incentive payouts (Q4 performance triggers), producing a year-over-year corporate cost increase.
Near-Term EPS Growth Moderation
Guidance calls for flat to low-single-digit EPS growth in the first half of 2026 with improvement to high-single-digits in H2; Q1 described as flattish, indicating muted near-term earnings momentum.
Refinish Comparison and Visibility Challenges
Comparability is difficult given 2025’s mix (strong earlier year vs weak later), distributor order patterns and industry insurance-driven claims volatility; this reduces short-term visibility for the refinish business.
Company Guidance
PPG guided 2026 to organic sales growth of flat to positive low‑single‑digit percent, driven by high‑single‑digit aerospace growth, roughly $100M of industrial share gains (including $50M carryover), modest volume gains in architectural (Mexico) and auto OEM, and overall positive pricing (with modest industrial/China auto pressure); management expects raw material costs to be flat for the year, about $50M of additional operational‑excellence cost savings, and capex to pace back toward ~3% of sales by 2027 (2025 capex ≈ $780M). They expect EPS to be flat to low‑single‑digit in H1 and increase to high‑single‑digit in H2, with the midpoint of the guidance implying mid‑single‑digit EPS growth, while noting higher interest expense and a slightly higher tax rate will temper near‑term leverage. For context, FY25 included net sales of $15.9B with 2% organic growth, adjusted EPS $7.58, operating cash flow $1.9B (free cash flow yield ~5%), FY25 segment EBITDA margin ~19% (Q4 segment margin 18%), industrial coatings EBITDA margin 15.1%, year‑end cash $2.2B, net debt $5.1B and $700M of debt maturing in 2026.

PPG Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (stable revenue with a 2025 pickup and improved net margin) is offset by materially weaker financial resilience signals in the latest data: negative equity on the balance sheet and sharply deteriorated cash conversion (operating cash flow reported at 0 and negative free cash flow in 2025). Overall fundamentals read as mixed, with elevated balance-sheet and cash-flow risk despite solid profitability.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Revenue has been broadly stable over the last several years, with a modest pickup in 2025 (annual revenue growth ~12%). Profitability is solid for the group, with net margin improving to ~9.9% in 2025 from ~7.0% in 2024, and operating profitability remaining healthy. The main weakness is margin volatility (notably a lower gross margin in 2025 vs. 2024) and only moderate consistency in growth, which tempers the quality of earnings profile.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Leverage was reasonable in 2022–2024 (debt-to-equity roughly ~0.88–1.16), supporting acceptable shareholder returns. However, 2025 shows a major deterioration with negative equity, which makes leverage metrics unfavorable and suggests a significantly weakened capital position versus prior years. Total debt also increased in 2025, raising balance-sheet risk and reducing financial flexibility despite strong reported earnings.
Cash Flow
27
Negative
Cash generation weakened materially in 2025, with operating cash flow reported at 0 and free cash flow negative (-$778M) versus positive free cash flow in prior years (e.g., $699M in 2024 and $1.895B in 2023). The cash flow trajectory is volatile, including a sharp decline in 2025, indicating reduced ability to self-fund reinvestment and shareholder returns. Prior periods show the business can generate solid free cash flow, but the latest year is a clear setback.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.13B15.88B15.85B16.24B15.61B16.80B
Gross Profit5.72B6.03B6.59B6.56B5.64B6.52B
EBITDA2.39B2.81B2.58B2.45B2.02B2.50B
Net Income996.00M1.58B1.12B1.27B1.03B1.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.14B7.96B19.43B21.65B20.74B21.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.91B2.22B1.36B1.57B1.15B1.07B
Total Debt8.37B7.45B6.39B6.60B7.63B7.47B
Total Liabilities14.19B11.50B12.47B13.62B14.04B14.94B
Stockholders Equity7.80B-3.54B6.79B7.83B6.59B6.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow725.00M-778.00M699.00M1.90B477.00M1.19B
Operating Cash Flow1.40B0.001.42B2.41B963.00M1.56B
Investing Cash Flow201.00M0.00107.00M-556.00M-461.00M-2.40B
Financing Cash Flow-1.08B0.00-1.43B-1.55B-409.00M93.00M

PPG Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price125.95
Price Trends
50DMA
106.02
Positive
100DMA
103.45
Positive
200DMA
106.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.15
Negative
RSI
80.18
Negative
STOCH
88.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PPG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 125.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 111.99, above the 50-day MA of 106.02, and above the 200-day MA of 106.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.18 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PPG.

PPG Industries Risk Analysis

PPG Industries disclosed 16 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PPG Industries reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PPG Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$7.31B16.4421.75%-1.83%40.64%
73
Outperform
$91.45B35.0559.39%0.98%0.96%1.96%
72
Outperform
$8.95B18.515.33%-3.33%-19.59%
71
Outperform
$14.87B21.3822.72%1.96%3.09%12.25%
68
Neutral
$28.26B17.222.71%-12.98%-11.34%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$20.04B-25.96-0.46%1.74%2.42%-196.54%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PPG
PPG Industries
125.95
13.03
11.54%
EMN
Eastman Chemical
78.49
-18.30
-18.90%
RPM
RPM International
116.07
-5.11
-4.22%
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Company
368.91
6.92
1.91%
AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems
34.27
-3.78
-9.93%
DD
DuPont de Nemours
47.83
16.11
50.79%

PPG Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
PPG Industries Elects Todd Schneider as New Director
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, PPG Industries announced the election of Todd M. Schneider as a director, effective January 14, 2026. Mr. Schneider, who is the President and CEO of Cintas Corporation, will join the Nominating and Governance Committee and the Sustainability and Innovation Committee. This appointment is part of PPG’s ongoing efforts to enhance its governance and sustainability initiatives, potentially influencing its strategic direction and stakeholder engagement. The financial transactions between PPG and Cintas in 2024 and 2025 were minimal and conducted in the ordinary course of business.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPG) stock is a Hold with a $108.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PPG Industries stock, see the PPG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
PPG Industries CFO Retirement Announcement
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

On November 28, 2025, PPG Industries announced that Vincent J. Morales, their Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, plans to retire on July 1, 2026. This announcement may impact the company’s operations as it prepares for a leadership transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPG) stock is a Buy with a $123.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PPG Industries stock, see the PPG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
PPG Industries Completes $700 Million Notes Offering
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, PPG Industries completed a $700 million offering of 4.375% Notes due 2031, with plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes. The issuance, conducted under an underwriting agreement with major financial institutions, aims to support the company’s financial flexibility and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPG) stock is a Buy with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PPG Industries stock, see the PPG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026