LyondellBasell (LYB) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $15.33B
• Dividend Yield: 12.78%
• Average Volume (3M): 5.25M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.93
• Revenue Growth: -19.65%
• EPS Growth: -157.13%
• Country: US
• Employees: 20,000
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Chemicals - Specialty
• EPS (TTM): 1.01
• Shares Outstanding: 321,872,960
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 4,781,195
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 5,248,120
• PEG Ratio: -0.50
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.94
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.60
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.19
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.79
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.84
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.12
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 58.71
• 1Y Price Target: $47.29
• Price Target Upside: -0.73% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 15
• EPS Forecast (FY): 3.35
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $29.59B

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: $43.00 ▼(-9.74% Downside)

LyondellBasell's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability, as well as high leverage. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while valuation metrics are mixed with a high dividend yield but negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provided some positive insights into cash management and strategic initiatives, but European market pressures and asset write-downs remain concerns.

Positive Factors

Strong Cash Management

The company's ability to convert earnings into cash at a high rate enhances liquidity and financial flexibility, supporting long-term stability.

Encouraging Polyethylene Demand

Rising demand for polyethylene indicates potential revenue growth, benefiting LyondellBasell's core business segments over the long term.

Progress on Asset Sales

Strategic asset sales can streamline operations and improve financial health, allowing for reinvestment in more profitable areas.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

Significant leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.

Declining Revenue Trend

A consistent decline in revenue indicates challenges in market competitiveness and demand, which can impact long-term profitability.

Asset Write-Downs

Significant asset write-downs reflect reduced asset value and can signal broader industry challenges, affecting future earnings potential.

LyondellBasell Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. operates as a chemical company in the United States, Germany, Mexico, Italy, Poland, France, Japan, China, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company operates in six segments: Olefins and Polyolefins Americas; Olefins and Polyolefins Europe, Asia, International; Intermediates and Derivatives; Advanced Polymer Solutions; Refining; and Technology. It produces and markets olefins and co-products; polyolefins; polyethylene products, which consist of high density polyethylene, low density polyethylene, and linear low density polyethylene; and polypropylene (PP) products, such as PP homopolymers and copolymers. The company also produces and sells propylene oxide and its derivatives; oxyfuels and related products; and intermediate chemicals, such as styrene monomers, acetyls, ethylene glycols, and ethylene oxides and derivatives. In addition, it produces and markets compounds and solutions, such as polypropylene compounds, engineered plastics, masterbatches, engineered composites, colors, and powders; and advanced polymers. Further, the company refines crude oil and other crude oils of varied types and sources into gasoline and distillates; develops and licenses chemical and polyolefin process technologies; and manufactures and sells polyolefin catalysts. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

LyondellBasell generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of its chemical and polymer products. The key revenue streams include the sale of olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates, which are sold to a diverse range of customers across different industries. The company's revenue model is heavily influenced by the prices of raw materials such as crude oil and natural gas, as well as global demand for its products. Additionally, LyondellBasell engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its operational capabilities and market reach, contributing to its overall profitability. The company also benefits from its integrated operations, which allow it to optimize production processes and reduce costs, further strengthening its financial performance.

LyondellBasell Financial Statement Overview

Summary

LyondellBasell is facing challenges with declining revenues and profitability, as evidenced by negative margins and revenue growth rates. The balance sheet shows high leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Despite these challenges, the company has shown improvement in free cash flow generation, which is a positive sign for liquidity. Overall, the financial health of the company is under pressure, with significant areas needing improvement.

Income Statement

LyondellBasell's income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate of -7.38% in the TTM period. The company is experiencing negative net and EBIT margins, indicating operational challenges. Historical data shows a consistent decline in gross profit margins, from 19.01% in 2021 to 9.23% in the TTM period. The negative net profit margin of -3.69% in the TTM period highlights profitability issues.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity has turned negative at -10.18%, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively stable, but the high leverage poses a risk to financial stability.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows a strong free cash flow growth rate of 59.40% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.39, suggesting potential issues in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthy at 0.81, indicating decent cash flow relative to net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	32.56B	40.30B	41.11B	50.45B	46.17B	27.75B
Gross Profit	3.00B	4.56B	5.26B	6.60B	8.78B	3.39B
EBITDA	467.00M	3.61B	4.64B	6.33B	8.70B	3.30B
Net Income	-1.20B	1.36B	2.11B	3.88B	5.61B	1.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	33.79B	35.75B	37.00B	36.37B	36.74B	35.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.59B	3.38B	3.39B	2.15B	1.48B	2.46B
Total Debt	13.22B	12.92B	13.00B	13.18B	13.60B	17.49B
Total Liabilities	23.06B	23.16B	23.94B	23.74B	24.75B	27.30B
Stockholders Equity	10.60B	12.46B	12.93B	12.62B	11.86B	7.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	738.00M	1.98B	3.41B	4.23B	5.74B	1.46B
Operating Cash Flow	2.67B	3.82B	4.94B	6.12B	7.70B	3.40B
Investing Cash Flow	-1.92B	-1.85B	-1.78B	-1.98B	-1.50B	-4.91B
Financing Cash Flow	-1.56B	-1.90B	-1.95B	-3.41B	-6.38B	2.27B

LyondellBasell Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 47.64
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LYB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 47.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.12, above the 50-day MA of 44.02, and below the 200-day MA of 51.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LYB.

LyondellBasell Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EMN	72 Outperform	$7.85B	11.47	12.24%	5.33%	-3.33%	-19.59%
SQM	71 Outperform	$20.56B	40.61	9.87%	―	-10.07%	―
PPG	67 Neutral	$23.63B	19.17	16.31%	2.71%	-12.98%	-11.34%
DD	62 Neutral	$18.18B	-23.55	-0.46%	1.74%	2.42%	-196.54%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
WLK	56 Neutral	$10.20B	-10.71	-9.48%	2.88%	-5.32%	-1108.29%
LYB	52 Neutral	$15.33B	-12.67	-10.44%	12.78%	-19.65%	-157.13%

LyondellBasell Corporate Events

LyondellBasell Enters Underwriting Agreement for Notes Sale

On November 10, 2025, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. and LYB International Finance III, LLC entered into an Underwriting Agreement with Citigroup Global Markets Inc., Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC. This agreement pertains to the underwritten public offering and sale of Notes by the Issuer, marking a significant financial move for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (LYB) stock is a Hold with a $57.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LyondellBasell stock, see the LYB Stock Forecast page.

LyondellBasell Reports Q3 2025 Net Loss

On June 5, 2025, LyondellBasell Industries announced a Put Option Letter Agreement for the sale of its olefins and polyolefins businesses in Europe to AEQ Amethyst B.V., with the transaction expected to close in the first half of 2026. The company reported a net loss of $890 million for the third quarter of 2025, impacted by non-cash asset write-downs and other identified items, while maintaining strong cash flow and progressing with its Cash Improvement Plan and strategic asset sales.

The most recent analyst rating on (LYB) stock is a Hold with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LyondellBasell stock, see the LYB Stock Forecast page.