LyondellBasell (LYB) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $15.59B
• Dividend Yield: 12.1%
• Average Volume (3M): 5.16M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.86
• Revenue Growth: -19.65%
• EPS Growth: -157.13%
• Country: US
• Employees: 20,000
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Chemicals - Specialty
• EPS (TTM): 1.01
• Shares Outstanding: 321,872,960
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 5,136,004
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 5,163,388
• PEG Ratio: -0.50
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.94
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.60
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.19
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.75
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.84
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.10
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 58.52
• 1Y Price Target: $52.33
• Price Target Upside: 8.08% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 13
• EPS Forecast (FY): 2.6
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $29.99B

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: $50.00 ▲(3.26% Upside)

LyondellBasell's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and high leverage. Despite these issues, the company shows strong cash management and offers a high dividend yield, which are positive factors. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, but the earnings call provides some optimism with improving demand and strategic asset sales.

Positive Factors

Strong Cash Management

The company's ability to convert earnings into cash at a high rate enhances liquidity and financial flexibility, supporting long-term operations and strategic initiatives.

Encouraging Polyethylene Demand

Recovery in polyethylene demand indicates potential revenue growth and market stabilization, which can improve profitability and competitive positioning.

Progress on Cash Improvement Plan

Achieving cash improvement targets strengthens the company's financial health, enabling better capital allocation and investment in growth opportunities.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage increases financial risk and limits the company's ability to invest in growth or weather economic downturns, impacting long-term stability.

Declining Revenue Trend

A consistent decline in revenue reflects challenges in market demand and competitive pressures, which may hinder future profitability and growth.

Asset Write-Downs

Significant asset write-downs indicate deteriorating asset values, reducing balance sheet strength and potentially impacting future earnings and investment capacity.

LyondellBasell Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is one of the largest plastics, chemicals, and refining companies in the world, headquartered in Houston, Texas. The company operates through two primary segments: Olefins and Polyolefins, and Intermediates and Derivatives. LyondellBasell produces a wide range of products, including polyethylene, polypropylene, and various chemical intermediates, which are essential for a variety of applications in industries such as packaging, automotive, construction, and consumer goods.

How the Company Makes Money

LyondellBasell generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of its chemical and polymer products. The key revenue streams include the sale of olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates, which are sold to a diverse range of customers across different industries. The company's revenue model is heavily influenced by the prices of raw materials such as crude oil and natural gas, as well as global demand for its products. Additionally, LyondellBasell engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its operational capabilities and market reach, contributing to its overall profitability. The company also benefits from its integrated operations, which allow it to optimize production processes and reduce costs, further strengthening its financial performance.

LyondellBasell Financial Statement Overview

Summary

LyondellBasell's financial performance is under pressure due to declining revenues and profitability, as evidenced by negative margins and revenue growth rates. The balance sheet shows high leverage, posing risks if not managed properly. However, the company has shown improvement in free cash flow generation, which is a positive sign for liquidity.

Income Statement

LyondellBasell's income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate of -7.38% in the TTM period. The company is experiencing negative net and EBIT margins, indicating operational challenges. Historical data shows a consistent decline in gross profit margins, from 19.01% in 2021 to 9.23% in the TTM period. The negative net profit margin of -3.69% in the TTM period highlights profitability issues.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity has turned negative at -10.18%, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively stable, but the high leverage poses a risk to financial stability.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows a strong free cash flow growth rate of 59.40% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.39, suggesting potential issues in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthy at 0.81, indicating decent cash flow relative to net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	32.56B	40.30B	41.11B	50.45B	46.17B	27.75B
Gross Profit	3.00B	4.56B	5.26B	6.60B	8.78B	3.39B
EBITDA	467.00M	3.61B	4.64B	6.33B	8.70B	3.30B
Net Income	-1.20B	1.36B	2.11B	3.88B	5.61B	1.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	33.79B	35.75B	37.00B	36.37B	36.74B	35.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.59B	3.38B	3.39B	2.15B	1.48B	2.46B
Total Debt	13.22B	12.92B	13.00B	13.18B	13.60B	17.49B
Total Liabilities	23.06B	23.16B	23.94B	23.74B	24.75B	27.30B
Stockholders Equity	10.60B	12.46B	12.93B	12.62B	11.86B	7.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	738.00M	1.98B	3.41B	4.23B	5.74B	1.46B
Operating Cash Flow	2.67B	3.82B	4.94B	6.12B	7.70B	3.40B
Investing Cash Flow	-1.92B	-1.85B	-1.78B	-1.98B	-1.50B	-4.91B
Financing Cash Flow	-1.56B	-1.90B	-1.95B	-3.41B	-6.38B	2.27B

LyondellBasell Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 48.42
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LYB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 48.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.53, above the 50-day MA of 46.73, and below the 200-day MA of 56.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LYB.

LyondellBasell Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SQM	69 Neutral	$16.97B	34.65	9.87%	―	-10.07%	―
EMN	67 Neutral	$6.99B	10.21	12.24%	5.42%	-3.33%	-19.59%
PPG	67 Neutral	$22.42B	17.83	16.31%	2.78%	-12.98%	-11.34%
DD	62 Neutral	$16.52B	―	-0.46%	120.64%	2.42%	-196.54%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
LYB	57 Neutral	$15.59B	―	-10.44%	12.10%	-19.65%	-157.13%
WLK	45 Neutral	$8.06B	―	-9.48%	3.26%	-5.32%	-1108.29%

LyondellBasell Corporate Events

LyondellBasell’s Earnings Call: Cash Strength Amid Challenges

LyondellBasell Industries recently held its earnings call, showcasing a strong performance in cash management and safety, alongside promising developments in polyethylene demand and strategic asset sales. Despite these positive aspects, the company is grappling with significant challenges in the European market, a downturn in its Technology segment, and substantial asset write-downs due to industry downturns.

LyondellBasell Reports Q3 2025 Net Loss

On June 5, 2025, LyondellBasell Industries announced a Put Option Letter Agreement for the sale of its olefins and polyolefins businesses in Europe to AEQ Amethyst B.V., with the transaction expected to close in the first half of 2026. The company reported a net loss of $890 million for the third quarter of 2025, impacted by non-cash asset write-downs and other identified items, while maintaining strong cash flow and progressing with its Cash Improvement Plan and strategic asset sales.

The most recent analyst rating on (LYB) stock is a Hold with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LyondellBasell stock, see the LYB Stock Forecast page.

LyondellBasell Amends Credit Agreement with Citibank

On September 10, 2025, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. and LYB Americas Finance Company LLC amended their Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Citibank, N.A. as Administrative Agent, and Wells Fargo Bank as Syndication Agent. This amendment involves various lending institutions, potentially impacting the company’s financial operations and stakeholder relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (LYB) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LyondellBasell stock, see the LYB Stock Forecast page.