LyondellBasell (LYB) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $16.17B
• Dividend Yield: 10.18%
• Average Volume (3M): 4.67M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 65.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.78
• Revenue Growth: -14.12%
• EPS Growth: -89.22%
• Country: US
• Employees: 20,000
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 60
• Industry: Chemicals - Specialty
• EPS (TTM): 0.62
• Shares Outstanding: 321,648,440
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 7,120,641
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 4,669,555
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.87
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.80
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.67
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 10.07
• 1Y Price Target: $58.64
• Price Target Upside: 10.79% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 16

• Rating: 58 Neutral
• Price Target: $56.00 ▲(5.80% Upside)

LyondellBasell's overall score is primarily impacted by financial performance challenges and negative technical indicators. While the company maintains strong cash flow and offers an attractive dividend yield, high valuation and difficult market conditions weigh on the stock. Strategic adjustments in corporate events provide some hope for future improvement, but immediate market pressures and operational hurdles present significant risks.

Positive Factors

Asset Management

The sale of European assets is seen as a positive outcome for investors, taking significant liabilities off the balance sheet.

Dividend Policy

Lyondell is committed to maintaining its dividend, offering an attractive yield for investors.

Negative Factors

Dividend Risk

Risks remain for Lyondell's dividend despite current safety, particularly if earnings decelerate.

Earnings Performance

Earnings are down significantly from previous years, with a 43% year-over-year decrease in EBITDA.

LyondellBasell Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. operates as a chemical company in the United States, Germany, Mexico, Italy, Poland, France, Japan, China, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company operates in six segments: Olefins and Polyolefins Americas; Olefins and Polyolefins Europe, Asia, International; Intermediates and Derivatives; Advanced Polymer Solutions; Refining; and Technology. It produces and markets olefins and co-products; polyolefins; polyethylene products, which consist of high density polyethylene, low density polyethylene, and linear low density polyethylene; and polypropylene (PP) products, such as PP homopolymers and copolymers. The company also produces and sells propylene oxide and its derivatives; oxyfuels and related products; and intermediate chemicals, such as styrene monomers, acetyls, ethylene glycols, and ethylene oxides and derivatives. In addition, it produces and markets compounds and solutions, such as polypropylene compounds, engineered plastics, masterbatches, engineered composites, colors, and powders; and advanced polymers. Further, the company refines crude oil and other crude oils of varied types and sources into gasoline and distillates; develops and licenses chemical and polyolefin process technologies; and manufactures and sells polyolefin catalysts. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

LyondellBasell generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of its chemical and polymer products. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of olefins and polyolefins, which are used to manufacture a variety of everyday items. Additionally, the company earns income from its intermediates and derivatives segment, providing essential chemicals for numerous applications. Significant partnerships with major players in various industries enhance LyondellBasell's market reach and stability. The company's profitability is influenced by global demand for its products, fluctuations in raw material prices, and operational efficiencies, with a focus on maintaining competitive cost structures and optimizing production processes.

LyondellBasell Financial Statement Overview

Summary

LyondellBasell faces challenges in revenue and profit margins, impacting its income statement. The balance sheet demonstrates a balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Cash flow remains strong, highlighting efficient cash management. While the company shows some resilience, it must address revenue and profitability concerns to improve its financial standing.

Income Statement

LyondellBasell has experienced a decrease in revenue, with a TTM revenue of $38.04 billion compared to $40.30 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin for TTM is 10.24%, showing a decline from previous periods, indicating cost pressures or pricing challenges. The net profit margin stands at 2.41% for TTM, reflecting a decrease from the previous year, highlighting profitability concerns. However, the EBITDA margin of 6.82% for TTM is relatively stable, showing resilience in operational efficiency despite the revenue drop.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio for TTM is 1.03, indicating a balanced capital structure, though slightly leveraged. The return on equity (ROE) for TTM is 7.52%, showing a moderate return on shareholder investment. The equity ratio of 34.71% for TTM suggests a stable proportion of equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects moderate leverage and reasonable equity financing, though the decline in equity compared to previous years is notable.

Cash Flow

The free cash flow for TTM is $1.998 billion, showing stability compared to previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.65 for TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.18 for TTM supports the company's ability to generate sufficient cash. Overall, cash flow remains robust, supporting ongoing operations and potential investments.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	38.05B	40.30B	41.11B	50.45B	46.17B	27.75B
Gross Profit	3.95B	4.56B	5.26B	6.60B	8.78B	3.39B
EBITDA	3.01B	3.61B	4.64B	6.33B	8.70B	3.30B
Net Income	1.07B	1.36B	2.11B	3.88B	5.61B	1.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	35.19B	35.75B	37.00B	36.37B	36.74B	35.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.87B	3.38B	3.39B	2.15B	1.48B	2.46B
Total Debt	12.66B	12.92B	13.00B	13.18B	13.60B	17.49B
Total Liabilities	22.85B	23.16B	23.94B	23.74B	24.75B	27.30B
Stockholders Equity	12.21B	12.46B	12.93B	12.62B	11.86B	7.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.51B	1.98B	3.41B	4.23B	5.74B	1.46B
Operating Cash Flow	3.35B	3.82B	4.94B	6.12B	7.70B	3.40B
Investing Cash Flow	-1.77B	-1.85B	-1.78B	-1.98B	-1.50B	-4.91B
Financing Cash Flow	-2.03B	-1.90B	-1.95B	-3.41B	-6.38B	2.27B

LyondellBasell Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 52.93
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LYB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 52.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.26, below the 50-day MA of 58.96, and below the 200-day MA of 66.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LYB.

LyondellBasell Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EMN	63 Neutral	$7.01B	8.58	14.52%	4.96%	1.60%	-3.97%
PPG	63 Neutral	$24.54B	19.28	16.88%	2.44%	-10.59%	-7.79%
DD	63 Neutral	$30.12B	40.24	0.31%	2.14%	4.55%	-130.25%
AVTR	60 Neutral	$8.63B	12.57	11.73%	―	-2.34%	89.86%
LYB	58 Neutral	$16.17B	65.95	1.08%	10.18%	-14.12%	-89.22%
WLK	52 Neutral	$10.15B	25.36	-0.64%	2.65%	-3.00%	-124.79%
Sector *	44 Neutral	C$923.76M	-8.68	-0.23%	2.69%	24.53%	-41.45%

LyondellBasell Corporate Events

LyondellBasell Announces Sale of European Businesses

On June 5, 2025, LyondellBasell announced an agreement with AEQUITA for the sale of its olefins and polyolefins businesses in Europe, including sites in the UK, Spain, Germany, and France. This move is part of LyondellBasell’s strategic review and transformation plan to focus on core operations and value creation through circular and renewable solutions. The transaction, expected to close in the first half of 2026, involves a put option agreement and exclusive negotiations, with a potential loss on sale estimated between $700 million to $900 million due to various financial adjustments. The sale is anticipated to enhance LyondellBasell’s industry positioning by allowing it to concentrate on profitable leadership in the European market.

The most recent analyst rating on (LYB) stock is a Buy with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LyondellBasell stock, see the LYB Stock Forecast page.

LyondellBasell Extends Accounts Receivable Facility

On May 29, 2025, LyondellBasell‘s subsidiaries amended their $900 million structured accounts receivable facility, originally established in 2012, extending its term to June 26, 2026. This amendment aligns the facility with the company’s senior unsecured revolving credit facility, without materially changing other terms, and as of the amendment date, no trade receivable purchases or letters of credit were outstanding.

The most recent analyst rating on (LYB) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LyondellBasell stock, see the LYB Stock Forecast page.

LyondellBasell Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at AGM

At the annual general meeting on May 23, 2025, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. shareholders approved several key proposals, including the election of 12 directors, the discharge of directors from liability, and the adoption of the company’s annual accounts for 2024. The appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers as the auditor and the ratification of their role as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 were also confirmed. Additionally, shareholders approved an advisory resolution on executive compensation and authorized the board to repurchase up to 10% of the company’s share capital, with the possibility of canceling repurchased shares. The share repurchase program, effective until November 23, 2026, allows for flexibility in execution based on market and economic conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (LYB) stock is a Buy with a $113.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LyondellBasell stock, see the LYB Stock Forecast page.

LyondellBasell Issues 6.150% Guaranteed Notes for 2035

On May 15, 2025, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. announced the issuance of 6.150% Guaranteed Notes due 2035 through LYB International Finance III, LLC. This financial move is part of their strategic efforts to manage debt and optimize financial operations, indicating a focus on long-term financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (LYB) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LyondellBasell stock, see the LYB Stock Forecast page.