LyondellBasell (LYB) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $16.44B
• Dividend Yield: 10.55%
• Average Volume (3M): 4.68M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 67.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.77
• Revenue Growth: -14.12%
• EPS Growth: -89.22%
• Country: US
• Employees: 20,000
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Chemicals - Specialty
• EPS (TTM): 0.62
• Shares Outstanding: 321,648,440
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 5,513,881
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 4,677,321
• PEG Ratio: -0.50
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.94
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.60
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.19
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.84
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.86
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.06
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 14.81
• 1Y Price Target: $57.46
• Price Target Upside: 11.86% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 14

• Rating: 55 Neutral
• Price Target: $54.00 ▲(5.12% Upside)

LyondellBasell's overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance and technical analysis, with declining revenue and bearish market signals. The company's strategic focus on cash flow improvements and maintaining shareholder returns provides some positive outlook, but high valuation metrics and market challenges, particularly in Europe, weigh on the score.

Positive Factors

Cash Improvement Plan

The company's strategic focus on cash flow improvements, including working capital and fixed cost reductions, is expected to enhance financial resilience and growth, providing a stronger foundation for future investments and shareholder returns.

Strategic Portfolio Repositioning

By concentrating on core businesses with low-cost feedstocks and increasing access to circular and renewable feedstocks, LyondellBasell is positioning itself for long-term sustainability and competitiveness in the global market.

Resilient Shareholder Returns

Despite challenging market conditions, LyondellBasell's commitment to maintaining strong cash returns through dividends and share repurchases underscores its focus on delivering value to shareholders, enhancing investor confidence.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue and Profitability

The decline in revenue and profitability indicates potential challenges in market demand and cost management, which could impact the company's ability to sustain growth and competitive positioning in the long term.

Increased Leverage

Higher leverage can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and navigate economic downturns effectively.

European Market Challenges

The high costs and lack of regulatory support in Europe pose significant challenges to LyondellBasell's competitiveness in the region, potentially impacting its market share and profitability in a key geographic area.

LyondellBasell Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. operates as a chemical company in the United States, Germany, Mexico, Italy, Poland, France, Japan, China, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company operates in six segments: Olefins and Polyolefins Americas; Olefins and Polyolefins Europe, Asia, International; Intermediates and Derivatives; Advanced Polymer Solutions; Refining; and Technology. It produces and markets olefins and co-products; polyolefins; polyethylene products, which consist of high density polyethylene, low density polyethylene, and linear low density polyethylene; and polypropylene (PP) products, such as PP homopolymers and copolymers. The company also produces and sells propylene oxide and its derivatives; oxyfuels and related products; and intermediate chemicals, such as styrene monomers, acetyls, ethylene glycols, and ethylene oxides and derivatives. In addition, it produces and markets compounds and solutions, such as polypropylene compounds, engineered plastics, masterbatches, engineered composites, colors, and powders; and advanced polymers. Further, the company refines crude oil and other crude oils of varied types and sources into gasoline and distillates; develops and licenses chemical and polyolefin process technologies; and manufactures and sells polyolefin catalysts. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

LyondellBasell generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of its chemical and polymer products. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of olefins and polyolefins, which are used to manufacture a variety of everyday items. Additionally, the company earns income from its intermediates and derivatives segment, providing essential chemicals for numerous applications. Significant partnerships with major players in various industries enhance LyondellBasell's market reach and stability. The company's profitability is influenced by global demand for its products, fluctuations in raw material prices, and operational efficiencies, with a focus on maintaining competitive cost structures and optimizing production processes.

LyondellBasell Financial Statement Overview

Summary

LyondellBasell faces challenges in revenue and profit margins, impacting its income statement. The balance sheet demonstrates a balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Cash flow remains strong, highlighting efficient cash management. While the company shows some resilience, it must address revenue and profitability concerns to improve its financial standing.

Income Statement

LyondellBasell has experienced a decrease in revenue, with a TTM revenue of $38.04 billion compared to $40.30 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin for TTM is 10.24%, showing a decline from previous periods, indicating cost pressures or pricing challenges. The net profit margin stands at 2.41% for TTM, reflecting a decrease from the previous year, highlighting profitability concerns. However, the EBITDA margin of 6.82% for TTM is relatively stable, showing resilience in operational efficiency despite the revenue drop.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio for TTM is 1.03, indicating a balanced capital structure, though slightly leveraged. The return on equity (ROE) for TTM is 7.52%, showing a moderate return on shareholder investment. The equity ratio of 34.71% for TTM suggests a stable proportion of equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects moderate leverage and reasonable equity financing, though the decline in equity compared to previous years is notable.

Cash Flow

The free cash flow for TTM is $1.998 billion, showing stability compared to previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.65 for TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.18 for TTM supports the company's ability to generate sufficient cash. Overall, cash flow remains robust, supporting ongoing operations and potential investments.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	35.15B	40.30B	41.11B	50.45B	46.17B	27.75B
Gross Profit	3.34B	4.56B	5.26B	6.60B	8.78B	3.39B
EBITDA	2.04B	3.61B	4.64B	6.33B	8.70B	3.30B
Net Income	261.00M	1.36B	2.11B	3.88B	5.61B	1.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	35.35B	35.75B	37.00B	36.37B	36.74B	35.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.70B	3.38B	3.39B	2.15B	1.48B	2.46B
Total Debt	13.23B	12.92B	13.00B	13.18B	13.60B	17.49B
Total Liabilities	23.32B	23.16B	23.94B	23.74B	24.75B	27.30B
Stockholders Equity	11.91B	12.46B	12.93B	12.62B	11.86B	7.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	463.00M	1.98B	3.41B	4.23B	5.74B	1.46B
Operating Cash Flow	2.36B	3.82B	4.94B	6.12B	7.70B	3.40B
Investing Cash Flow	-1.96B	-1.85B	-1.78B	-1.98B	-1.50B	-4.91B
Financing Cash Flow	-1.60B	-1.90B	-1.95B	-3.41B	-6.38B	2.27B

LyondellBasell Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 51.37
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LYB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 51.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.92, below the 50-day MA of 54.91, and below the 200-day MA of 61.73, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.96 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.86 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LYB.

LyondellBasell Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EMN	70 Neutral	7.33B	9.03	14.26%	5.20%	1.60%	-3.97%
DD	67 Neutral	31.74B	-162.44	-0.84%	2.12%	4.55%	-130.25%
SQM	65 Neutral	12.03B	26.13	8.92%	―	-23.20%	1226.72%
PPG	63 Neutral	23.81B	18.84	13.34%	2.61%	-10.59%	-7.79%
LYB	55 Neutral	$16.44B	67.03	1.08%	10.55%	-14.12%	-89.22%
WLK	52 Neutral	10.12B	-148.89	-0.64%	2.67%	-3.00%	-124.79%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%

LyondellBasell Corporate Events

LyondellBasell Amends Credit Agreement with Citibank

On September 10, 2025, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. and LYB Americas Finance Company LLC amended their Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Citibank, N.A. as Administrative Agent, and Wells Fargo Bank as Syndication Agent. This amendment involves various lending institutions, potentially impacting the company’s financial operations and stakeholder relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (LYB) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LyondellBasell stock, see the LYB Stock Forecast page.