LyondellBasell (LYB) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $14.30B
• Dividend Yield: 12.33%
• Average Volume (3M): 4.73M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.84
• Revenue Growth: -19.65%
• EPS Growth: -157.13%
• Country: US
• Employees: 20,000
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Chemicals - Specialty
• EPS (TTM): 1.01
• Shares Outstanding: 321,872,960
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 5,453,897
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 4,730,696
• PEG Ratio: -0.50
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.94
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.60
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.19
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.91
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.84
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.10
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 81.10
• 1Y Price Target: $53.50
• Price Target Upside: 21.67% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 13
• EPS Forecast (FY): 2.52
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $30.01B

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: $48.00 ▲(9.17% Upside)

LyondellBasell's overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance, with declining revenue and profitability, and increased leverage. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, while valuation is supported by a high dividend yield. The earnings call provided some positive insights into cash management and demand recovery, but market pressures remain a concern.

Positive Factors

Cash Management

Strong cash conversion indicates effective cash management, enhancing liquidity and financial flexibility, crucial for long-term operations and investments.

Safety Performance

Improved safety performance reflects strong operational management, reducing risk and potentially lowering costs associated with workplace incidents.

Polyethylene Demand

Recovery in polyethylene demand suggests potential revenue growth, supporting the company's core business segments and enhancing market position.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

A decline in revenue indicates challenges in market demand or pricing power, potentially impacting profitability and long-term growth prospects.

Increased Leverage

Higher leverage can constrain financial flexibility, increase interest obligations, and elevate risk during economic downturns, affecting long-term stability.

Asset Write-Downs

Significant asset write-downs reflect impaired asset value and market challenges, potentially affecting future earnings and capital allocation strategies.

LyondellBasell Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is one of the largest plastics, chemicals, and refining companies in the world, headquartered in Houston, Texas. The company operates through two primary segments: Olefins and Polyolefins, which produce a range of products including polyethylene, polypropylene, and advanced polymer solutions, and Intermediates and Derivatives, which include products such as acetyls and propylene oxide. LyondellBasell serves various sectors, including packaging, automotive, construction, and consumer products, focusing on innovation and sustainability in its offerings.

How the Company Makes Money

LyondellBasell generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of its chemical and polymer products. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of olefins and polyolefins, which are used to manufacture a variety of everyday items. Additionally, the company earns income from its intermediates and derivatives segment, providing essential chemicals for numerous applications. Significant partnerships with major players in various industries enhance LyondellBasell's market reach and stability. The company's profitability is influenced by global demand for its products, fluctuations in raw material prices, and operational efficiencies, with a focus on maintaining competitive cost structures and optimizing production processes.

LyondellBasell Financial Statement Overview

Summary

LyondellBasell faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, increased leverage, and reduced cash flow generation. While the company maintains positive margins, the downward trends in key financial metrics suggest potential risks and the need for strategic adjustments to improve financial health and shareholder returns.

Income Statement

LyondellBasell's income statement shows a declining trend in revenue and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue decreased by 7.62% compared to the previous year, and the net profit margin has significantly reduced to 0.74% from 3.37% in 2024. The gross profit margin also declined, indicating pressure on cost management. However, the company has maintained a positive EBIT and EBITDA margin, though both have decreased compared to prior periods.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a stable but slightly leveraged position. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.11 in the TTM period, indicating higher leverage compared to previous years. Return on equity has decreased to 2.06%, showing reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in cash generation. The free cash flow growth rate has significantly declined by 69.44% in the TTM period, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased to 0.38, indicating less efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also lower, reflecting reduced cash available for reinvestment or distribution.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	32.56B	40.30B	41.11B	50.45B	46.17B	27.75B
Gross Profit	3.00B	4.56B	5.26B	6.60B	8.78B	3.39B
EBITDA	337.00M	3.61B	4.64B	6.33B	8.70B	3.30B
Net Income	-1.20B	1.36B	2.11B	3.88B	5.61B	1.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	33.79B	35.75B	37.00B	36.37B	36.74B	35.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.59B	3.38B	3.39B	2.15B	1.48B	2.46B
Total Debt	13.22B	12.92B	13.00B	13.18B	13.60B	17.49B
Total Liabilities	23.06B	23.16B	23.94B	23.74B	24.75B	27.30B
Stockholders Equity	10.60B	12.46B	12.93B	12.62B	11.86B	7.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	2.17B	1.98B	3.41B	4.23B	5.74B	1.46B
Operating Cash Flow	2.67B	3.82B	4.94B	6.12B	7.70B	3.40B
Investing Cash Flow	-1.48B	-1.85B	-1.78B	-1.98B	-1.50B	-4.91B
Financing Cash Flow	-1.12B	-1.90B	-1.95B	-3.41B	-6.38B	2.27B

LyondellBasell Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 43.97
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LYB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 43.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.22, below the 50-day MA of 49.86, and below the 200-day MA of 58.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.46 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LYB.

LyondellBasell Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EMN	67 Neutral	$6.97B	10.14	12.24%	5.43%	-3.33%	-19.59%
PPG	67 Neutral	$21.30B	16.94	16.31%	2.90%	-12.98%	-11.34%
SQM	62 Neutral	$12.70B	27.56	9.29%	―	-23.20%	1226.72%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
DD	61 Neutral	$15.81B	―	0.31%	1.70%	4.55%	-130.25%
LYB	57 Neutral	$14.30B	―	-10.44%	12.33%	-19.65%	-157.13%
WLK	47 Neutral	$8.57B	―	-9.48%	3.15%	-5.32%	-1108.29%

LyondellBasell Corporate Events

LyondellBasell Reports Q3 2025 Net Loss

On June 5, 2025, LyondellBasell Industries announced a Put Option Letter Agreement for the sale of its olefins and polyolefins businesses in Europe to AEQ Amethyst B.V., with the transaction expected to close in the first half of 2026. The company reported a net loss of $890 million for the third quarter of 2025, impacted by non-cash asset write-downs and other identified items, while maintaining strong cash flow and progressing with its Cash Improvement Plan and strategic asset sales.

The most recent analyst rating on (LYB) stock is a Hold with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LyondellBasell stock, see the LYB Stock Forecast page.

LyondellBasell Amends Credit Agreement with Citibank

On September 10, 2025, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. and LYB Americas Finance Company LLC amended their Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Citibank, N.A. as Administrative Agent, and Wells Fargo Bank as Syndication Agent. This amendment involves various lending institutions, potentially impacting the company’s financial operations and stakeholder relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (LYB) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LyondellBasell stock, see the LYB Stock Forecast page.