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Newmont Mining (NEM)
NYSE:NEM
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Newmont Mining (NEM) AI Stock Analysis

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NEM

Newmont Mining

(NYSE:NEM)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$96.00
▲(21.00% Upside)
Newmont Mining's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving its score. The company's robust cash flow generation and strategic initiatives enhance its outlook, despite some production challenges and mixed technical indicators.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances liquidity and financial flexibility, supporting future investments and shareholder returns.
Balance Sheet Strength
A strong balance sheet with low debt enhances financial stability and reduces risk, allowing for strategic investments and growth.
New Mine Production
New mine production increases resource base and revenue potential, supporting long-term growth and market presence.
Negative Factors
Production Challenges
Production challenges at key mines can impact output and revenue, potentially affecting profitability and operational efficiency.
Impact of Higher Gold Prices on Costs
While beneficial, higher gold prices increase operational costs, which can offset profit margins and affect cost management strategies.
Earnings Volatility
Earnings volatility can signal underlying operational risks, affecting investor confidence and long-term financial planning.

Newmont Mining (NEM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Newmont Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNewmont Mining Corporation (NEM) is a leading gold producer and a key player in the mining industry, headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado. The company primarily focuses on the exploration, mining, and production of gold, along with copper, silver, and other mineral resources. Newmont operates a diverse portfolio of mines across North America, South America, Australia, and Africa, employing state-of-the-art technologies and sustainable practices to maximize resource extraction while minimizing environmental impact.
How the Company Makes MoneyNewmont generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold, which constitutes the bulk of its earnings. The company operates several mines, producing gold in various forms including bullion and concentrate. Revenue is significantly influenced by gold prices, which fluctuate based on global market conditions, demand, and geopolitical factors. In addition to gold, Newmont also generates income from the sale of other metals, such as copper and silver, which contribute to its overall revenue streams. The company has entered into various joint ventures and partnerships with other mining companies and local governments, further expanding its operational capacity and market reach. Additionally, Newmont focuses on cost management, operational efficiency, and sustainable mining practices to enhance profitability and maintain its competitive edge in the industry.

Newmont Mining Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Attributable Sales Breakdown
Attributable Sales Breakdown
Shows the distribution of sales that can be directly linked to the company, highlighting core revenue sources and key operational areas driving financial performance.
Chart InsightsNewmont Mining's gold sales have shown a steady recovery since 2023, with a notable uptick in Q4 2024, aligning with the company's strong operational performance and strategic divestments. The recent earnings call highlights robust cash flow and successful debt reduction, reinforcing financial stability. However, potential challenges from global tariff volatility and anticipated higher costs in Q2 could impact future margins. The company remains committed to its capital allocation strategy and key project advancements, which are crucial for sustaining growth and shareholder returns.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Newmont Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Newmont's earnings call highlighted strong financial and operational performance, with record cash flows and substantial progress in asset divestment, cost management, and new mine production. Despite some production challenges and increased costs due to higher gold prices, the company's strategic initiatives and shareholder returns position it well for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Cash Flow and Financial Performance
Generated record third-quarter cash flow of $1.6 billion, reaching an all-time annual record of $4.5 billion with one quarter still remaining. Newmont generated $3.3 billion in adjusted EBITDA and adjusted net income of $1.71 per share for the third quarter, a 20% increase from the second quarter and more than double last year's results.
Successful Asset Divestment and Balance Sheet Strength
Received nearly $640 million in net cash proceeds from equity and asset sales since the start of the third quarter. Ended the quarter in a near-zero debt position after retiring $2 billion of debt. Moody’s upgraded Newmont’s issuer credit rating to A3 with a stable outlook.
Operational Achievements and New Mine Production
Declared commercial production at the new Ahafo North mine, which expands the footprint in Ghana and adds profitable gold production over an initial 13 years of mine life. Significant progress on cost discipline and productivity has improved 2025 guidance for several cost metrics.
Shareholder Returns and Cost Management
Returned $823 million to shareholders through stable dividend and share repurchases since the last earnings call. Reduced 2025 cost guidance for G&A, Exploration, and Advanced Projects by approximately 15%.
Negative Updates
Production Challenges at Specific Mines
Peñasquito delivered a lower proportion of gold production, and Ahafo South saw a shift to lower grades from the Awonsu open pit. At Lihir, preparation for future higher-grade production is underway, indicating current production is not at peak levels.
Impact of Higher Gold Prices on Costs
While higher gold prices are beneficial, they also lead to increased costs from profit sharing, royalties, and production taxes, which offset some of the cost savings achieved.
Company Guidance
During Newmont's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported significant achievements and updated guidance metrics. Newmont generated a record cash flow of $1.6 billion in the third quarter, contributing to a year-to-date total of $4.5 billion in free cash flow, despite one quarter remaining in the fiscal year. The company also successfully completed its asset divestment program, resulting in $640 million in net cash proceeds since the start of the third quarter and over $3.5 billion for the year. In terms of production, the third quarter was consistent with the second quarter, with notable improvements at Brucejack and Cerro Negro. The company also maintained its 2025 production and unit cost outlook, with a focus on cost discipline and productivity improvements. Newmont ended the quarter with a near zero net debt position after retiring $2 billion of debt, and Moody's upgraded its issuer credit rating to A3 with a stable outlook. Additionally, Newmont returned $823 million to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases since the last earnings call. Looking ahead, Newmont expects its 2026 gold production to be at the lower end of its guidance range due to planned mine sequencing and continues to focus on reducing costs and increasing shareholder value.

Newmont Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Newmont Mining demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability, efficient cash flow management, and a stable balance sheet. The company has a high gross profit margin of 41.77% and a net profit margin of 30.66%, indicating efficient cost management. The balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, and cash flow is strong with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 25.52%.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Newmont Mining's income statement shows strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 41.77% and a net profit margin of 30.66%, indicating efficient cost management and strong bottom-line performance. The revenue growth rate of 4.94% in the TTM period reflects a positive growth trajectory. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 43.91% and 57.81%, respectively, highlighting operational efficiency. Overall, the company demonstrates strong profitability and growth, although past fluctuations in revenue growth should be monitored.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Newmont Mining is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, indicating prudent financial leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 20.41%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 58.20%, suggesting a solid capital structure. While the company maintains a healthy balance sheet, past fluctuations in equity and debt levels should be considered for future financial planning.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Newmont Mining's cash flow statement is strong, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 25.52% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.84 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.62 demonstrate efficient cash conversion. The company shows strong cash flow management, although historical volatility in free cash flow growth rates warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.25B18.56B11.78B11.95B12.19B11.42B
Gross Profit9.70B6.42B1.17B2.14B2.38B3.55B
EBITDA13.25B7.87B1.86B3.28B5.54B6.10B
Net Income7.19B3.35B-2.52B-459.00M1.17B2.83B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets54.69B56.35B55.51B38.48B40.56B41.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.97B3.64B3.02B3.76B5.07B5.83B
Total Debt5.65B8.97B9.44B6.13B6.30B6.70B
Total Liabilities21.28B26.24B26.30B18.95B18.70B17.49B
Stockholders Equity33.23B29.93B29.03B19.35B22.02B23.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.12B2.96B97.00M1.09B2.63B3.58B
Operating Cash Flow9.22B6.36B2.76B3.22B4.28B4.88B
Investing Cash Flow718.00M-2.70B-1.00B-2.98B-1.87B91.00M
Financing Cash Flow-7.45B-2.95B-1.60B-2.36B-2.96B-1.68B

Newmont Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price79.34
Price Trends
50DMA
81.41
Negative
100DMA
71.13
Positive
200DMA
59.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Positive
RSI
41.74
Neutral
STOCH
11.61
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NEM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 79.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.72, below the 50-day MA of 81.41, and above the 200-day MA of 59.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.61 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NEM.

Newmont Mining Risk Analysis

Newmont Mining disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Newmont Mining reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Newmont Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$86.58B12.3322.84%1.12%26.25%
$33.84B18.2935.09%2.07%49.62%195.39%
$10.49B13.0332.05%1.26%29.08%72.12%
$15.24B26.4414.32%1.00%30.15%86.71%
$8.54B81.474.67%0.20%36.30%
$34.61B29.382.48%26.43%
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NEM
Newmont Mining
79.34
33.32
72.40%
GFI
Gold Fields
38.53
21.84
130.86%
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining
16.60
5.43
48.61%
HL
Hecla Mining Company
12.75
6.01
89.17%
RGLD
Royal Gold
180.59
31.12
20.82%
AU
Anglogold Ashanti PLC
64.99
37.46
136.07%

Newmont Mining Corporate Events

Newmont Mining’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Oct 25, 2025

Newmont Mining’s recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, underscoring the company’s robust financial and operational performance. The call highlighted record cash flows and significant strides in asset divestment, cost management, and new mine production. Despite facing some production challenges and increased costs due to higher gold prices, Newmont’s strategic initiatives and commitment to shareholder returns position it well for future growth.

Newmont Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 24, 2025

Newmont Corporation, a leading gold mining company, operates in the mining sector with a focus on gold and copper production across its global operations. Known for its commitment to sustainable mining practices, Newmont is a prominent player in the industry.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Newmont Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Updates Guidance
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Newmont Corporation announced strong third-quarter results for 2025, reporting a net income of $1.8 billion and an adjusted net income of $1.9 billion. The company produced approximately 1.4 million gold ounces and generated a record $1.6 billion in free cash flow for the quarter. Newmont has improved its 2025 cost and capital guidance, maintaining its production outlook despite a rising gold price environment. CEO Tom Palmer expressed confidence in the company’s future under the incoming leadership of Natascha Viljoen.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NEM) stock is a Buy with a A$166.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmont Corporation CHESS stock, see the AU:NEM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Newmont Mining Announces CEO Retirement and Successor
Neutral
Sep 29, 2025

On September 29, 2025, Newmont Corporation announced the retirement of CEO Tom Palmer, effective December 31, 2025, and the appointment of Natascha Viljoen as his successor, effective January 1, 2026. Palmer, who has been with Newmont for over a decade, will continue as a Strategic Advisor until March 31, 2026, to ensure a smooth transition. Viljoen, who joined Newmont in 2023, brings over 30 years of global mining experience and will be the first woman to lead the company. This leadership change is part of Newmont’s long-term succession planning and is expected to continue the company’s focus on operational excellence and value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (NEM) stock is a Buy with a $105.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newmont Mining stock, see the NEM Stock Forecast page.

Newmont Mining Reports Record Cash Flow Amid Challenges
Jul 29, 2025

Newmont Mining’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health and operational success, tempered by some challenges on the horizon. The company reported record free cash flow and successful asset divestment, though it acknowledged potential hurdles such as the Red Chris incident, anticipated production declines, and increased capital expenditures in the latter half of the year.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025