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Anglogold Ashanti PLC (AU)
NYSE:AU
US Market

Anglogold Ashanti PLC (AU) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Anglogold Ashanti PLC

(NYSE:AU)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$130.00
▲(4.42% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/23/26
Score is driven primarily by strong financial momentum (profitability, cash flow, and improved balance sheet) and supportive technical uptrend. The main offset is a demanding valuation (high P/E), with earnings-call risks centered on inflationary costs, higher capital needs, and permitting/community considerations.
Positive Factors
Transformed balance sheet / net cash
The shift to a net cash position and ~$4.4bn liquidity materially lowers refinancing and solvency risk, giving the company flexibility to fund large growth projects (Arthur, North Bullfrog), sustain dividends or buybacks, and withstand cyclical gold-price swings without near-term financing stress.
Robust cash generation and FCF
Consistently strong operating cash flow and record free cash flow provide durable internal funding for sustaining and growth capex, reserve development and shareholder returns. High cash conversion supports disciplined capital allocation and reduces reliance on external funding even through commodity cycles.
Material reserve additions & Arthur discovery
Large reserve additions, highlighted by Arthur's multi-million ounce probable reserve, underpin multi-year production optionality. District-scale resources with attractive PFS economics support sustainable production growth and lower long-term unit costs as projects mature and scale.
Negative Factors
Rising costs and higher royalties
Persistent inflationary pressures and royalty uplifts structurally raise the company's cost base, compressing margins if gold prices retreat. Sustained profitability now depends on continued operational efficiency gains and successful cost control across disparate jurisdictions to preserve long-term cash generation.
Permitting & community risk for Arthur
Arthur's scale creates material upside but also exposes the company to regulatory and community approval risk. Extended permitting, new environmental constraints or opposition could delay development, inflate capex and defer production, reducing the near- to medium-term realization of reserve-led growth plans.
Growth reliant on acquisition (Sukari) in 2025
Headline production growth in 2025 was materially driven by Sukari consolidation rather than organic lift, indicating limited underlying operational momentum. Sustainable medium-term growth will require delivery from internal projects (Obuasi, Geita, North Bullfrog) rather than repeat acquisitions.

Anglogold Ashanti PLC (AU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Anglogold Ashanti PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAngloGold Ashanti Plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, the Americas, and Australia. Its flagship property is a 100% owned Geita project located in the Lake Victoria goldfields of the Mwanza region in north-western Tanzania. The company also explores for silver and sulphuric acid. AngloGold Ashanti Limited was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.
How the Company Makes MoneyAngloGold Ashanti generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold produced from its mining operations. The company operates several mines, producing gold in various forms, including doré bars, which are then sold to refineries or directly to the market. Key revenue streams include gold sales, which are influenced by the global gold price, and by-product revenue from other minerals extracted during the mining process. Additionally, the company may generate revenue from joint ventures and partnerships with other mining companies, as well as through strategic investments in exploration projects that could yield future gold production. Factors contributing to its earnings include operational efficiency, cost management, and the prevailing economic conditions affecting gold prices.

Anglogold Ashanti PLC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 20, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strongly positive operational and financial picture driven by a much higher gold price, record free cash flow, large reserve additions (notably Arthur), improved earnings and a transformed balance sheet. Management emphasized disciplined capital allocation and shareholder returns while also investing heavily in organic growth and project development. Notable challenges include cost inflation and higher royalties, localized production setbacks (Iduapriem, Sunrise Dam), a one-off stoppage at Siguiri, and permitting/community considerations for Arthur. Overall, the positive achievements (record cash generation, reserves, earnings, safety and balance sheet leverage) materially outweigh the operational and cost headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Free Cash Flow and Quarterly Cash Generation
Generated record free cash flow of $2.9 billion in 2025 (almost 3x the $956 million in 2024); Q4 free cash flow exceeded $1 billion (more than 3x Q4 last year). Cash flow was described as almost $3 billion, up ~204% year-on-year.
Strong Earnings and EBITDA Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA rose 129% to $6.3 billion; basic/ headline earnings materially increased (headline earnings cited up 186% and basic earnings reported at $2.6 billion vs ~$1.0 billion in 2024).
Balance Sheet Strength and Net Cash Position
Transformed balance sheet: moved from $567 million net debt at end-2024 to net cash (reported as ~$879 million net cash / 'almost $1 billion' entering 2026). Liquidity of $4.4 billion (including $2.9 billion cash & equivalents and undrawn facilities).
Shareholder Returns — Record Dividends
Declared an $875 million Q4 dividend; total dividends for 2025 reported at a record ~$1.8 billion (USD 3.57 per share). Quarterly base payout policy of $0.125/share plus annual true-up to 50% of free cash flow applied, with an extra $350 million top-up during the year.
Material Production Growth and Asset Contributions
Group production increased ~16% to 3.1 million ounces in 2025; managed operations production up ~19% to 2.8 million ounces. Obuasi produced 266,000 ounces (up 20% YoY). Inclusion of Sukari's first full-year consolidation was a major contributor to volume and cash flow.
Reserve Additions and Exploration Success
Added 10 million ounces of new reserves (more than 3x depletion); Nevada (Arthur) added first-time reserves of 4.9 million ounces. Over recent years ~23 million ounces added at an average cost of ~$47/oz.
Arthur (Nevada) — District-Scale Discovery and Attractive Project Economics
Arthur (Merlin) initial probable reserve 4.9 million oz (88 Mt @ 1.75 g/t). PFS highlights: ~4.5 million oz production over 9 years, average ~0.5 Moz/yr (peaking near 0.8 Moz early years), estimated cash cost ~$780/oz, AISC ~$950/oz, initial capex ~$3.6 billion; PFS returns >20% at long-term prices and significant upside from further resource growth.
Safety and Operating Discipline
Achieved lowest-ever total recordable injury frequency rate (TRIFR) of 0.97 injuries per million hours worked — described as a record and enabler of operational excellence and improved plant uptime.
Portfolio Optimization
Completed sale of Serra Grande (Dec 1, 2025) to sharpen focus on core assets; continued organic growth programs (aim to add 10–15% of current production ~300k–450k oz over 3 years via Obuasi, Sukari, Geita, Siguiri, Cuiabá).
Negative Updates
Cost Inflation and Higher Royalties
Cash costs from managed operations increased ~5% to $1,252/oz (several references in the call to cash costs up 5–7%); AISC for managed operations rose ~5% to $1,751/oz. Management attributes increases mainly to inflation, higher royalty payments linked to the higher gold price, fuel and FX movements.
Production Weakness at Specific Mines
Lower production reported from Iduapriem and Sunrise Dam, partially offsetting gains from other assets; portfolio performance therefore mixed at certain sites.
Operational Disruption at Siguiri
Q3 plant stoppage at Siguiri added roughly $12/oz to costs (one-off operational disruption impacting cost metrics).
Higher Near-Term Capital Requirements
2026 guidance includes elevated sustaining capital ($1.0–$1.14 billion) and non-sustaining/growth capital ($785–$835 million) to fund Nevada, Sukari waste stripping, and tailings/storage facilities — implying significant near-term spend to unlock growth and manage environmental/community requirements.
Community/Resource Permitting Risks (Arthur)
Potential local concerns (water usage and NGOs) noted for Arthur (Nevada); management says risks are being addressed via hydrogeological studies and engagement but permitting/timing remains subject to external processes and could affect timelines.
Dividend/Capital Allocation Uncertainty
Management emphasized a step-by-step approach to payouts and retained optionality (dividends, buybacks, debt decisions). Q&A revealed some ambiguity on whether elevated payouts are sustainable if spot prices remain high and how buybacks may be considered, creating uncertainty for modelling longer-term shareholder returns.
Company Guidance
The company guided 2026 group gold production of 2.8–3.17 million ounces, with total cash costs for managed operations of $1,335–$1,455/oz, group sustaining capital of $1.0–$1.14 billion and non‑sustaining (growth) capital of $785–$835 million (key growth spend on Nevada, Sukari waste stripping and tailings at Obuasi and Siguiri); Obuasi is targeted to grow to over 300,000 oz in 2026, the business expects to add 10–15% of current production (~300k–450k oz) over the next three years from organic projects (including ~100k oz from Sukari and ~100k from Geita), and 2027 project-related spend includes c.$320 million for North Bullfrog and c.$90 million for Arthur.

Anglogold Ashanti PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong 2025 step-up in revenue, margins, and cash generation. Balance sheet leverage improved meaningfully and operating cash flow/FCF are robust, offset by historical volatility (including weaker 2023 results) and imperfect FCF-to-earnings coverage.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Profitability and growth improved sharply. Revenue accelerated from $5.8B (2024) to $9.9B (2025), with margins expanding meaningfully (gross margin ~46.5%, net margin ~26.6% in 2025). Results also show a strong recovery from the 2023 loss, but earnings have been somewhat cyclical over the period (notably 2023), which is a key risk for stability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Leverage looks manageable and trending better: debt-to-equity improved to ~0.30 in 2025 from ~0.65 in 2023, alongside a much larger equity base ($8.1B in 2025 vs. $3.7B in 2023). Total debt is relatively steady (~$2.4B in 2025), which is positive given the growth in assets and equity, though the business still carries meaningful absolute debt typical for the sector.
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
Cash generation strengthened materially. Operating cash flow rose to $4.7B in 2025 (vs. $2.0B in 2024), and free cash flow increased to $3.1B with ~23% growth. Operating cash flow comfortably covers debt (~2.9x in 2025), and free cash flow covers a solid portion of net income (~66%), though coverage is not perfect and has been volatile historically (including negative free cash flow in 2023).
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.89B5.79B4.58B4.50B4.03B
Gross Profit4.60B2.07B1.03B1.13B1.17B
EBITDA5.48B2.58B872.00M1.25B1.23B
Net Income2.64B1.00B-235.00M233.00M614.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.08B13.16B8.18B8.01B8.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.93B1.43B964.00M1.11B1.15B
Total Debt2.44B2.15B2.42B2.17B2.09B
Total Liabilities5.16B4.64B4.43B3.94B3.91B
Stockholders Equity8.09B6.63B3.71B4.04B4.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.10B878.00M-71.00M257.00M196.00M
Operating Cash Flow4.71B1.97B971.00M1.80B1.22B
Investing Cash Flow-1.27B-762.00M-897.00M-1.56B-1.01B
Financing Cash Flow-1.94B-727.00M-87.00M-224.00M-345.00M

Anglogold Ashanti PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price124.50
Price Trends
50DMA
99.18
Positive
100DMA
87.23
Positive
200DMA
69.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.98
Negative
RSI
67.83
Neutral
STOCH
91.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 124.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 108.20, above the 50-day MA of 99.18, and above the 200-day MA of 69.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU.

Anglogold Ashanti PLC Risk Analysis

Anglogold Ashanti PLC disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Anglogold Ashanti PLC reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Anglogold Ashanti PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$62.96B24.032.82%26.43%
78
Outperform
$13.49B16.9232.05%0.87%29.08%72.12%
76
Outperform
$15.91B26.7126.41%72.94%
75
Outperform
$49.73B14.2352.47%1.51%49.62%195.39%
74
Outperform
$24.43B42.979.07%0.77%28.11%66.85%
72
Outperform
$134.99B19.4122.21%0.95%26.25%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU
Anglogold Ashanti PLC
126.07
98.15
351.54%
CDE
Coeur Mining
26.56
21.54
429.08%
GFI
Gold Fields
58.52
40.55
225.60%
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining
22.55
12.57
125.95%
NEM
Newmont Mining
127.47
86.05
207.75%
RGLD
Royal Gold
294.38
150.73
104.93%

Anglogold Ashanti PLC Corporate Events

AngloGold Ashanti Triples 2025 Free Cash Flow and Delivers Record Dividends
Feb 20, 2026

AngloGold Ashanti reported record results for 2025 on 20 February 2026, with free cash flow tripling to $2.9bn and Adjusted EBITDA more than doubling to $6.3bn, driven by a 16% rise in gold production to 3.1Moz and a 45% higher average gold price received. Total cash costs rose 7% mainly due to higher royalties, but were flat in real terms at managed operations, while the company strengthened its balance sheet to an Adjusted net cash position of $879m, declared a record $1.8bn in dividends for 2025, improved safety to its best-ever TRIFR, expanded gold reserves by 17%, and doubled payments to host governments to $2.66bn, underscoring its stronger financial position and growing stakeholder impact.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU) stock is a Buy with a $107.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglogold Ashanti PLC stock, see the AU Stock Forecast page.

AngloGold Ashanti Posts Higher 2025 Gold Output on Sukari-Driven African Growth
Feb 20, 2026

AngloGold Ashanti reported unaudited operating statistics for the three months and year ended 31 December 2025, showing group gold production of 799,000 ounces in the fourth quarter and 3.091 million ounces for the full year, up from 750,000 and 2.661 million ounces in 2024. The figures highlight particularly strong contributions from African managed operations, where output rose to 1.746 million ounces in 2025, aided by the first full year of Sukari, acquired in late 2024.

Australian and Americas operations delivered more mixed results, with Australian production easing to 537,000 ounces and the Americas to 505,000 ounces for 2025, reflecting mine-specific variations. On a like-for-like basis excluding Sukari, group production was broadly flat year-on-year at about 2.6 million ounces, suggesting that most of the headline growth came from the Centamin acquisition rather than underlying organic expansion, a key consideration for investors assessing operational momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU) stock is a Buy with a $107.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglogold Ashanti PLC stock, see the AU Stock Forecast page.

AngloGold Ashanti Files Q4 2025 Earnings Investor Presentation With U.S. Regulators
Feb 20, 2026

AngloGold Ashanti plc, a multinational gold mining company headquartered in London with executive offices also in Greenwood Village, Colorado, filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for February 2026. The filing underscores its status as a foreign private issuer reporting under Form 20-F and highlights its continued engagement with U.S. investors and regulators.

On 20 February 2026, the company submitted a report enclosing its Q4 2025 earnings release investor presentation as an exhibit. This step formalizes the dissemination of its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial information to the market, supporting transparency for shareholders and other stakeholders and aligning the miner with U.S. disclosure standards that can influence investor perceptions and access to capital.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU) stock is a Buy with a $107.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglogold Ashanti PLC stock, see the AU Stock Forecast page.

BlackRock Lifts Stake in AngloGold Ashanti to Just Over 10%
Jan 23, 2026

On 20 January 2026, AngloGold Ashanti plc disclosed that asset manager BlackRock, Inc. had acquired additional shares in the company, bringing its beneficial interest to 10.104% of AngloGold Ashanti’s issued share capital. The increased stake by one of the world’s largest institutional investors underscores significant institutional backing for the gold miner and may be seen as a signal of confidence in AngloGold Ashanti’s strategic direction and position within the global gold mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU) stock is a Buy with a $113.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglogold Ashanti PLC stock, see the AU Stock Forecast page.

AngloGold Ashanti Discloses Slight Reduction in VanEck Shareholding Below 4% Threshold
Dec 23, 2025

On 18 December 2025, investment manager Van Eck Associates Corporation marginally reduced its holding in AngloGold Ashanti, triggering a regulatory disclosure after its voting interest slipped below a key threshold. Van Eck’s aggregated funds, including several VanEck gold, mining and Africa-focused ETFs, now control 20,069,032 AngloGold Ashanti shares, representing 3.98% of the company’s 504,097,915 voting rights, down from 4.01%, a small change that nonetheless signals ongoing portfolio adjustments by a prominent institutional shareholder and offers investors a fresh data point on the miner’s evolving ownership profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU) stock is a Buy with a $92.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglogold Ashanti PLC stock, see the AU Stock Forecast page.

AngloGold Ashanti Discloses VanEck Stake Increase Above 4% Threshold
Dec 19, 2025

On 16 December 2025, AngloGold Ashanti plc reported a change in its shareholder base after receiving a major holdings notification from Van Eck Associates Corporation, a U.S.-based asset manager. The filing shows that Van Eck’s aggregate direct voting interest in AngloGold Ashanti rose slightly from 3.99% to 4.01%, equivalent to 20,214,785 voting rights out of 504,097,915 shares in issue, with the position held across several VanEck exchange-traded funds and funds focused on gold, mining, natural resources and Africa. This incremental crossing of the 4% threshold underscores steady institutional interest in AngloGold Ashanti’s stock from specialist resource and gold investment vehicles, and signals modest but continued support from a prominent sector-focused shareholder.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU) stock is a Buy with a $92.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglogold Ashanti PLC stock, see the AU Stock Forecast page.

AngloGold Ashanti Executive Officer Sells Shares to Cover Tax Liability
Dec 15, 2025

On December 12, 2025, AngloGold Ashanti plc announced that Stewart Bailey, an Executive Officer, engaged in transactions involving the company’s securities. Bailey received 19,196 ordinary shares through the 2023 Deferred Share Plans and subsequently sold them on the market to address tax liabilities related to these awards. This transaction reflects the company’s ongoing management of executive compensation and its implications for shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU) stock is a Buy with a $92.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglogold Ashanti PLC stock, see the AU Stock Forecast page.

AngloGold Ashanti Executive Director Sells Shares in December 2025
Dec 12, 2025

On December 10, 2025, AngloGold Ashanti plc announced that its Executive Director, Alberto Calderon, conducted an on-market sale of 40,148 ordinary shares at an average price of US$79.78531 per share, totaling approximately US$3.2 million. Despite this transaction, Calderon retains a significant holding in the company, with 338,849 shares and share incentive awards, along with 253,965 shares under the Performance Share Plan yet to vest. This transaction reflects ongoing executive dealings in company securities, which may influence market perceptions and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU) stock is a Buy with a $105.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglogold Ashanti PLC stock, see the AU Stock Forecast page.

AngloGold Ashanti Executives Sell Shares in December 2025
Dec 5, 2025

On December 3, 2025, AngloGold Ashanti PLC announced that its executive officers, Marcelo Godoy and Lizelle Marwick, sold a portion of their shares in the company. Marcelo Godoy sold 19,148 shares at an average price of US$83.89551, while Lizelle Marwick sold 25,000 shares at an average price of US$84.59941. Despite the sales, both executives retain substantial holdings in the company, which reflects their continued confidence in AngloGold Ashanti’s future prospects. This transaction highlights the ongoing strategic decisions by the company’s leadership, which could influence investor perceptions and market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU) stock is a Buy with a $131.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglogold Ashanti PLC stock, see the AU Stock Forecast page.

AngloGold Ashanti Executive Director Sells Shares Amidst Market Activity
Nov 26, 2025

On November 24, 2025, AngloGold Ashanti PLC announced that its Executive Director, Gillian Doran, executed an on-market sale of 22,033 ordinary shares at an average price of US$82.47271, totaling approximately US$1.82 million. Despite the sale, Ms. Doran retains a significant holding in the company, including 51,271 shares and additional shares under a performance plan. This transaction reflects ongoing executive-level dealings in the company’s securities, possibly impacting investor perceptions and market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglogold Ashanti PLC stock, see the AU Stock Forecast page.

AngloGold Ashanti Announces Change in Major Shareholder Holdings
Nov 26, 2025

On November 24, 2025, AngloGold Ashanti PLC announced a change in major shareholder holdings, as Van Eck Associates Corporation reduced its voting rights from 4.990% to 3.990%. This adjustment, which occurred on November 21, 2025, indicates a shift in the company’s shareholder structure, potentially impacting its governance and strategic decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anglogold Ashanti PLC stock, see the AU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 23, 2026