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Gold Fields Ltd (GFI)
NYSE:GFI

Gold Fields (GFI) AI Stock Analysis

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Gold Fields

(NYSE:GFI)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(9.57%Upside)
Gold Fields demonstrates a strong financial foundation, characterized by robust revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and solid cash flow generation. While technical analysis presents mixed signals, the valuation remains attractive with a reasonable P/E ratio and a healthy dividend yield. These factors collectively contribute to a positive overall stock score, reflecting the company's stable and promising position in the gold industry.
Positive Factors
Gold Price Forecast
Gold is forecasted to reach $3000/oz, supported by high central bank buying and global economic conditions, benefiting Gold Fields.
Production Growth
Gold Fields is recognized for its industry-leading production growth and high gold price leverage, which enhances its potential for a leading dividend yield.
Strategic Growth
Gold Fields' rational approach to mergers and acquisitions, combined with a recent joint venture deal, reflects a cautious and strategic growth strategy.
Negative Factors
Capital Expenditure
Despite an increase in capex and delays, the Salares Norte project maintains neutral net present value returns, suggesting resilience in project management.
Government Approvals
Expected progress on the Tarkwa/Iduapriem joint venture in Ghana, pending new government approval, indicates potential growth but also highlights dependence on regulatory processes.
Project Delays
The Salares Norte project experienced delays, which might affect its timeline despite maintaining neutral net present value returns.

Gold Fields (GFI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gold Fields Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGold Fields Limited (GFI) is a globally diversified gold producer with a portfolio of mines and projects across several continents, including South Africa, Australia, and the Americas. The company primarily operates in the mining and exploration of gold and copper, focusing on sustainable and responsible mining practices. Its core products include gold bullion and copper concentrates, contributing significantly to its position as a leading player in the precious metals industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyGold Fields makes money through the exploration, extraction, processing, and sale of gold and copper. The company's revenue is primarily generated from the sale of refined gold bullion to various markets, including direct sales to refineries and bullion banks. In addition, Gold Fields produces copper as a by-product, which is sold in the form of copper concentrates. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as global gold prices, production costs, and operational efficiency. Strategic partnerships, investments in technology, and geographic diversification further contribute to its financial performance by enhancing production capabilities and market reach.

Gold Fields Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gold Fields exhibits strong financial performance with robust revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and solid operational margins. The balance sheet is stable with a healthy equity base, though debt levels should be monitored. Cash flows are strong, supporting ongoing operations and future investments.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Gold Fields has shown strong revenue growth over recent years, with a notable increase in Total Revenue from $4.5 billion in 2023 to $5.2 billion in 2024, representing a growth rate of 15.56%. Gross Profit Margin increased as well, indicating efficient cost management, reaching 54.53% in 2024. Net Profit Margin improved to 23.94%, reflecting enhanced profitability. Both EBIT Margin and EBITDA Margin are robust at 52.28% and 51.05% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. Overall, the company's income statement reflects a positive trajectory with strong profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable and improving financial position. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio at 0.57 suggests a relatively conservative use of leverage, while the Equity Ratio of 51.28% highlights a solid equity base. Return on Equity (ROE) improved to 23.94%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The company maintains a strong equity base, but attention should be given to managing total debt levels as they increased from previous years.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow metrics are strong, with Free Cash Flow increasing from $437.6 million in 2023 to $709.2 million in 2024, marking a growth rate of 62.05%. Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio stands at 1.57, demonstrating healthy cash generation relative to net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.57, indicating sufficient cash generation to cover net income and support growth initiatives. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects strong cash generation capabilities and efficient capital expenditure management.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.20B4.50B4.29B4.20B3.89B
Gross Profit2.21B1.64B1.57B1.71B1.64B
EBITDA2.66B2.07B2.07B2.29B2.15B
Net Income1.25B703.30M711.00M789.30M723.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.14B8.23B7.34B7.35B7.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments860.20M648.70M769.40M524.70M886.80M
Total Debt2.95B1.67B1.47B1.49B1.96B
Total Liabilities4.78B3.61B3.00B3.22B3.64B
Stockholders Equity5.20B4.48B4.34B4.13B3.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow709.20M437.60M614.30M463.80M665.40M
Operating Cash Flow1.96B1.56B1.68B1.55B1.25B
Investing Cash Flow-2.59B-1.37B-1.07B-1.07B-607.40M
Financing Cash Flow861.70M-286.20M-361.30M-832.80M-277.50M

Gold Fields Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.73
Price Trends
50DMA
23.08
Positive
100DMA
21.82
Positive
200DMA
18.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
52.33
Neutral
STOCH
55.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GFI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.39, above the 50-day MA of 23.08, and above the 200-day MA of 18.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GFI.

Gold Fields Risk Analysis

Gold Fields disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gold Fields reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gold Fields Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NENEM
81
Outperform
$65.48B13.2116.64%1.70%48.69%
78
Outperform
$11.69B29.3313.03%1.01%18.77%38.55%
AUAU
75
Outperform
$23.06B19.6219.42%0.55%26.43%
GFGFI
75
Outperform
$21.40B17.0625.35%3.16%13.41%73.34%
HMHMY
74
Outperform
$8.91B14.9625.19%1.72%20.35%20.44%
61
Neutral
$5.24B-15.89%-0.71%80.26%
44
Neutral
C$967.22M-6.71-13.35%2.72%17.20%-32.62%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GFI
Gold Fields
24.09
9.17
61.46%
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining
14.26
5.00
54.00%
NEM
Newmont Mining
60.06
17.53
41.22%
RGLD
Royal Gold
179.30
51.42
40.21%
SBSW
Sibanye Stillwater
7.62
3.00
64.94%
AU
Anglogold Ashanti PLC
46.66
21.40
84.72%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 28, 2025