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Gold Fields Ltd (GFI)
NYSE:GFI

Gold Fields (GFI) AI Stock Analysis

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GFI

Gold Fields

(NYSE:GFI)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$48.00
▲(5.36% Upside)
Gold Fields' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the stock score. Technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, while valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly priced. Despite some operational challenges, the company's strategic initiatives and ESG commitments contribute positively to its overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant increase in gold production indicates strong operational capabilities and potential for sustained revenue growth, enhancing market position.
Cash Flow Improvement
Robust cash flow growth supports financial stability and provides flexibility for future investments and debt management, strengthening long-term business health.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Gold Road Resources enhances Gold Fields' asset portfolio, potentially boosting production capacity and competitive advantage in the gold mining sector.
Negative Factors
Safety Challenges
Persistent safety issues could impact operational efficiency and reputation, potentially leading to regulatory scrutiny and increased operational costs.
Elevated Unit Costs
Higher unit costs may pressure profit margins, requiring effective cost management strategies to maintain profitability in a competitive market.
Technology Lag for Decarbonization
Slow progress in decarbonization technology could hinder ESG goals, affecting investor perception and compliance with evolving environmental regulations.

Gold Fields (GFI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gold Fields Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in Chile, South Africa, Ghana, West Africa, Australia, and Peru. The company also explores for copper deposits. It holds interests in 9 operating mines with an annual gold-equivalent production of approximately 2.34 million ounces, as well as gold mineral reserves of approximately 48.6 million ounces and mineral resources of approximately 111.8 million ounces. Gold Fields Limited was founded in 1887 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.
How the Company Makes MoneyGold Fields generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold, which is its main product. The company's revenue model is largely based on the volume of gold it mines and the prevailing market price of gold, which can fluctuate significantly due to economic conditions and investor demand. Additionally, the company earns revenue from the sale of by-products like copper and silver, contributing to its overall financial performance. Key revenue streams include direct sales of gold bullion, sales of copper and silver, and other related mining activities. Significant partnerships, joint ventures, and collaborations with other mining firms or suppliers can also enhance operational efficiency and cost management, further contributing to Gold Fields' profitability. The company's strategic focus on cost control, improving operational efficiencies, and exploring new mining opportunities also plays a vital role in its earnings.

Gold Fields Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook with significant improvements in production, safety, and financial performance. However, challenges remain in safety, cost management, and decarbonization efforts.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Safety Performance
Gold Fields reported an improved safety performance for H1 2025, with visible benefits from the safety improvement plan.
Dividend Increase
The company announced an interim dividend of ZAR 7.00 per share, a 133% increase from the equivalent period last year.
Gold Production Increase
Gold production improved by 24% compared to the same period last year, supported by the ramp-up of Salares Norte.
Cash Flow Improvement
There was a 256% improvement in cash flow from operations, driven by a 40% increase in realized gold prices.
Acquisition and Expansion
Completion of the Gold Road acquisition is expected in October, and there are ongoing efforts to optimize existing assets and explore new opportunities.
ESG Commitments
Good progress was made on ESG commitments, including a 14% reduction in carbon emissions from the 2016 baseline.
Negative Updates
Safety Incidents
Despite improvements, there were two serious injuries, highlighting ongoing challenges in achieving a zero-harm environment.
Elevated Unit Costs
H1 2025 unit costs were slightly elevated, though expected to improve in H2.
Technology Lag for Decarbonization
Challenges remain in reducing diesel usage due to the slow progress of technology in the mining industry.
Issues with Gruyere Operations
The Gruyere mine had some challenges, including a 14% production improvement that could have been higher without issues in the processing plant.
Company Guidance
During the Gold Fields H1 2025 results call, several key metrics were highlighted, demonstrating the company's strong performance. Gold production saw a 24% increase compared to the same period last year, contributing to a 256% improvement in cash flow from operations. The company announced an interim dividend of ZAR 7.00 per share, a 133% increase from the equivalent period last year. The all-in cost decreased by $100 per ounce, from $2,060 to $1,957. Additionally, the company achieved a 40% improvement in realized gold prices, while the safety performance continued to improve, with the completion of 90% of EB&Co recommendations. The company also reported a 14% reduction in carbon emissions against its 2016 baseline and a 28% representation of women in leadership. Gold Fields' financial health was underscored by an adjusted free cash flow of $952 million and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.37x.

Gold Fields Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gold Fields exhibits a solid financial performance with strong revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and robust operational margins. The balance sheet reflects financial stability with a healthy equity base, although debt management should be monitored. Cash flows are robust, supporting ongoing operations and future investments.
Income Statement
Gold Fields has shown strong revenue growth over recent years, with a notable increase in Total Revenue from $4.5 billion in 2023 to $5.2 billion in 2024, representing a growth rate of 15.56%. Gross Profit Margin increased as well, indicating efficient cost management, reaching 54.53% in 2024. Net Profit Margin improved to 23.94%, reflecting enhanced profitability. Both EBIT Margin and EBITDA Margin are robust at 52.28% and 51.05% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. Overall, the company's income statement reflects a positive trajectory with strong profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a stable and improving financial position. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio at 0.57 suggests a relatively conservative use of leverage, while the Equity Ratio of 51.28% highlights a solid equity base. Return on Equity (ROE) improved to 23.94%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The company maintains a strong equity base, but attention should be given to managing total debt levels as they increased from previous years.
Cash Flow
Cash flow metrics are strong, with Free Cash Flow increasing from $437.6 million in 2023 to $709.2 million in 2024, marking a growth rate of 62.05%. Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio stands at 1.57, demonstrating healthy cash generation relative to net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.57, indicating sufficient cash generation to cover net income and support growth initiatives. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects strong cash generation capabilities and efficient capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.56B5.20B4.50B4.29B4.20B3.89B
Gross Profit3.61B2.21B1.64B1.57B1.71B1.64B
EBITDA3.80B2.66B2.07B2.00B2.13B1.99B
Net Income1.89B1.25B703.30M711.00M789.30M723.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.86B10.14B8.23B7.34B7.35B7.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.07B860.20M648.70M769.40M524.70M886.80M
Total Debt2.55B2.95B1.67B1.47B1.49B1.96B
Total Liabilities4.61B4.78B3.61B3.00B3.22B3.64B
Stockholders Equity6.08B5.20B4.48B4.34B4.13B3.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.70B709.20M437.60M614.30M463.80M665.40M
Operating Cash Flow3.02B1.96B1.56B1.68B1.55B1.25B
Investing Cash Flow-2.74B-2.59B-1.37B-1.07B-1.07B-607.40M
Financing Cash Flow219.70M861.70M-286.20M-361.30M-832.80M-277.50M

Gold Fields Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price45.56
Price Trends
50DMA
42.11
Positive
100DMA
40.14
Positive
200DMA
31.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.89
Positive
RSI
55.47
Neutral
STOCH
76.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GFI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 45.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.85, above the 50-day MA of 42.11, and above the 200-day MA of 31.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.89 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GFI.

Gold Fields Risk Analysis

Gold Fields disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gold Fields reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gold Fields Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$118.94B16.9422.84%0.95%26.25%
79
Outperform
$40.63B21.6935.09%1.51%49.62%195.39%
77
Outperform
$13.00B16.2432.05%0.87%29.08%72.12%
76
Outperform
$20.69B33.6114.90%0.77%28.11%66.85%
73
Outperform
$45.98B39.522.82%26.43%
69
Neutral
$12.60B28.7619.57%72.94%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GFI
Gold Fields
45.56
31.17
216.65%
CDE
Coeur Mining
19.62
13.68
230.30%
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining
20.61
11.71
131.55%
NEM
Newmont Mining
106.89
68.37
177.49%
RGLD
Royal Gold
243.84
111.09
83.68%
AU
Anglogold Ashanti PLC
91.06
66.84
275.97%

Gold Fields Corporate Events

Gold Fields Buys R444.7 Million in Shares for 2012 Management Incentive Plan
Dec 19, 2025

On 17 December 2025, Gold Fields’ management share incentive scheme executed an on-market purchase of 600,000 Gold Fields ordinary shares at an average price of R741.1437 per share, for a total consideration of approximately R444.7 million. These shares are intended for allocation to nominated participants on 25 February 2026 under the company’s 2012 Share Plan, with the transaction classified as a direct beneficial interest and carried out with the required regulatory clearance, signalling ongoing use of equity-based incentives to reward and retain key personnel and align them with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GFI) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gold Fields stock, see the GFI Stock Forecast page.

Gold Fields Adds Non-Executive Director Rawlinson to Technical Committee
Dec 19, 2025

On 12 December 2025, Gold Fields announced a change in the responsibilities of one of its non-executive directors, following an earlier disclosure on 27 November 2025 regarding board committee allocations for directors MacKenzie and Rawlinson. The board has approved the appointment of non-executive director Michael Ian Rawlinson to also serve on the Board’s Technical Committee with effect from 1 December 2025, a move that strengthens the governance and technical oversight structure of the group and signals continued refinement of its board committee composition for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GFI) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gold Fields stock, see the GFI Stock Forecast page.

Gold Fields Announces Board Changes Effective December 2025
Nov 28, 2025

On November 27, 2025, Gold Fields Limited announced changes to the responsibilities of its non-executive directors, effective December 1, 2025. Mr. John Fraser MacKenzie and Mr. Michael Ian Rawlinson, both non-executive directors, have been appointed to various Board sub-committees. This strategic move is likely to enhance governance and strategic oversight within the company, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GFI) stock is a Buy with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gold Fields stock, see the GFI Stock Forecast page.

Gold Fields Unveils Strategic Plans at Capital Markets Day
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Gold Fields hosted its inaugural Capital Markets Day, providing shareholders with updates on strategic initiatives to enhance its portfolio’s quality and value. The company presented a five-year outlook on production and costs, an update on the Windfall Project, and a revised capital allocation framework including a new dividend policy. Gold Fields aims to maintain a production profile of 2.5 to 3.0 million ounces per annum, improve cost efficiency, and extend its portfolio’s life. Additionally, the company announced plans for up to $500 million in additional shareholder returns over the next two years through share buybacks and/or special dividends.

The most recent analyst rating on (GFI) stock is a Buy with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gold Fields stock, see the GFI Stock Forecast page.

Gold Fields Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance and Completes Key Acquisition
Nov 7, 2025

Gold Fields Limited reported a strong operational performance for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, with a 6% increase in attributable production and a significant reduction in costs. The company completed the acquisition of Gold Road Resources, enhancing its asset portfolio and financial position. Gold Fields also made progress in its environmental and social governance initiatives, including the construction of renewable energy projects and compliance with global tailings management standards. The company remains on track to meet its full-year production and cost guidance, with further improvements expected in the final quarter of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (GFI) stock is a Hold with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gold Fields stock, see the GFI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 28, 2025