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Coeur D'alene Mines (CDE)
NYSE:CDE

Coeur Mining (CDE) AI Stock Analysis

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Coeur Mining

(NYSE:CDE)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(8.34%Upside)
Coeur Mining's solid financial performance and strategic initiatives are driving positive momentum. While the stock's valuation appears high, recent corporate actions and an optimistic earnings outlook provide support. Technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Coeur's balance sheet is rapidly improving — leverage is now 0.9x versus 1.6x last quarter and 3.2x a year ago.
Financial Performance
Coeur reported a strong Q1, with EPS of $0.12 coming in well above consensus estimates.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of SilverCrest Metals adds consistent, low-cost silver-equivalent production of approximately 10 million ounces per year from the Las Chispas mine to Coeur's production portfolio.
Negative Factors
Earnings Miss
Q4 EPS of $0.11 was below consensus estimates, and production of gold and silver was modestly below forecasts.
Production Challenges
Q4 production of 87.1koz gold and 3.2Moz silver was modestly below forecasts.
Revenue Shortfall
Revenue of $305M was below the estimate, partly offset by cost of sales, which was lower than expected.

Coeur Mining (CDE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coeur Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) is a well-established, U.S.-based precious metals mining company with a strong focus on the production of gold and silver. The company operates mines and exploration projects in key mining regions, including North America and South America. Coeur Mining prides itself on leveraging advanced mining techniques and sustainable practices to extract and process high-quality mineral resources, thereby contributing to the global supply of these commodities.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoeur Mining generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold and silver produced from its mining operations. The company operates several mines, such as the Palmarejo mine in Mexico, the Rochester mine in Nevada, and the Kensington mine in Alaska. These operations involve extracting ore, processing it to separate the valuable metals, and selling the refined products on the open market. Coeur's revenue is influenced by global commodity prices, which fluctuate based on market demand, geopolitical factors, and economic conditions. Additionally, Coeur Mining may engage in strategic partnerships and hedging activities to manage risk and enhance financial performance. The company's focus on operational efficiency and cost management also plays a crucial role in its profitability.

Coeur Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 61.08%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with consecutive profitable quarters, significant debt reduction, and successful integration of Las Chispas. However, challenges remain in optimizing Rochester's crushing circuit and there are accounting impacts from the SilverCrest acquisition. Despite these challenges, the positive outcomes and growth prospects outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Fourth consecutive quarter of positive EPS, positive free cash flow, and net income of $33 million. Revenue of $360 million and adjusted EBITDA of $149 million with a margin increase to 41%.
Debt Reduction
Eliminated nearly $130 million of debt and metal prepaid facilities; revolving credit facility reduced to $110 million drawn, with expectations to repay the remainder by Q3 2025.
Production Growth
Total gold production of nearly 90,000 ounces and 4 million ounces of silver sold during the quarter.
Las Chispas Integration
Smooth integration of Las Chispas with strong high-grade production, adding 74,000 ounces of silver and over 7,000 ounces of gold to the portfolio.
Exploration Success
Significant discovery of a new vein 'Augusta' at Las Chispas and other high-grade results in the Gap zone.
Cost Management
Maintained cost per ounce essentially flat year-over-year despite significant price increases in gold (41%) and silver (36%).
Negative Updates
Rochester Crushing Circuit Challenges
Crusher performance improvements needed with a focus on optimization of the three-stage crushing circuit to enhance availability and recovery rates.
Accounting Adjustments
Impacts on net income due to accounting for inventory at fair value leading to higher cost applicable to sales, and deferred tax liabilities from the SilverCrest acquisition.
Weather Challenges at Wharf
Weather created challenges affecting production at Wharf, although overall performance was slightly higher than the previous year.
Company Guidance
During the Coeur Mining First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided an optimistic outlook for the year, driven by anticipated growth in silver and gold production from its five North American operations. The company aims to achieve a full-year adjusted EBITDA exceeding $700 million and free cash flow surpassing $300 million, targeting a year-end leverage ratio close to zero. This marks a significant improvement from a few quarters ago when the adjusted EBITDA was about $100 million, with negative free cash flow of $300 million and a leverage ratio over four times. The integration of Las Chispas contributed to the quarter's strong performance, with partial first-quarter production achieving 74,000 ounces of silver and over 7,000 ounces of gold at low costs. Overall, Coeur Mining is well-positioned for a record year, focusing on debt reduction and engaging with shareholders to explore per-share value generation opportunities.

Coeur Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Coeur Mining has demonstrated robust revenue growth and profitability improvements. The company's financial stability is supported by strong leverage management, and cash flows have shown significant positive trends.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Coeur Mining has shown strong revenue growth from the previous year, with a TTM revenue of $1.18 billion compared to $1.05 billion in the prior year, indicating a 12.4% growth rate. The gross profit margin improved to 30.6% TTM from 30.6% in the previous period, demonstrating stable profitability. The net profit margin increased significantly to 10.2% TTM, suggesting enhanced cost management and operational efficiency. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins also improved to 21.0% and 33.0% respectively, indicating better profitability. These strengths are slightly offset by historical volatility in net income.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Coeur Mining has a solid equity base with an equity ratio of 67.6% TTM, reflecting a stable financial foundation. The debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 0.19, indicating strong leverage management. Return on Equity improved to 4.4%, suggesting better utilization of equity for profit generation. The company appears financially stable, yet it operates in a capital-intensive industry which requires careful debt management.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The company significantly improved its free cash flow to $66 million TTM from a negative position in the previous period, highlighting effective capital expenditure management. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is a healthy 2.12, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.55 shows room for further cash generation improvements. Overall, cash flow trends are positive, supporting financial flexibility.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.18B1.05B821.21M785.64M832.83M785.46M
Gross Profit
362.72M322.84M88.49M67.48M192.97M213.74M
EBIT
249.04M164.18M-36.11M27.08M29.80M75.78M
EBITDA
390.88M300.24M76.87M85.21M160.39M226.52M
Net Income Common Stockholders
121.37M58.90M-103.61M-78.11M-31.32M25.63M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
55.65M55.09M61.63M93.50M56.66M92.79M
Total Assets
1.38B2.30B2.08B1.85B1.73B1.40B
Total Debt
308.60M601.66M555.28M515.93M487.50M275.50M
Net Debt
252.96M546.57M493.65M454.47M430.84M182.71M
Total Liabilities
711.63M1.18B1.06B957.13M934.16M710.50M
Stockholders Equity
667.00M1.12B1.02B889.02M800.26M693.48M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
66.63M-8.95M-297.33M-326.74M-199.30M49.43M
Operating Cash Flow
257.74M174.23M67.29M25.62M110.48M148.71M
Investing Cash Flow
-98.08M-193.51M-303.70M-146.16M-304.08M-65.67M
Financing Cash Flow
-148.08M13.89M236.05M125.03M158.14M-46.53M

Coeur Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.23
Price Trends
50DMA
6.80
Positive
100DMA
6.48
Positive
200DMA
6.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.73
Negative
RSI
73.12
Negative
STOCH
79.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.25, above the 50-day MA of 6.80, and above the 200-day MA of 6.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.12 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CDE.

Coeur Mining Risk Analysis

Coeur Mining disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coeur Mining reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coeur Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$11.58B29.0613.03%0.96%18.77%38.55%
HMHMY
77
Outperform
$9.28B15.6125.19%0.93%20.35%20.44%
HLHL
72
Outperform
$3.88B55.183.49%0.56%41.04%
DRDRD
71
Outperform
$1.19B12.7924.89%1.47%22.63%28.96%
CDCDE
69
Neutral
$5.99B32.876.44%41.79%
57
Neutral
$4.76B-15.89%-0.71%80.26%
51
Neutral
$2.04B-1.15-21.37%3.64%2.88%-30.57%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDE
Coeur Mining
9.23
3.69
66.61%
DRD
Drdgold
13.88
5.71
69.89%
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining
14.59
6.30
76.00%
HL
Hecla Mining Company
6.13
0.84
15.88%
RGLD
Royal Gold
173.66
52.89
43.79%
SBSW
Sibanye Stillwater
6.74
2.23
49.45%

Coeur Mining Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Coeur Mining Announces $75 Million Share Buyback
Positive
May 27, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Coeur Mining announced a $75 million share repurchase program, effective through May 31, 2026, to enhance shareholder value. This decision is supported by strong free cash flow from higher gold and silver prices, the acquisition of the Las Chispas mine, and expanded operations at the Rochester mine, positioning the company to reduce debt and invest in growth opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDE) stock is a Buy with a $7.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coeur Mining stock, see the CDE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Coeur Mining Stockholders Approve Incentive Plan Amendment
Positive
May 14, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Coeur Mining held its Annual Stockholders’ Meeting where stockholders approved an amendment to the 2018 Long-Term Incentive Plan, extending its term and increasing available shares for issuance. Additionally, stockholders elected nine directors, ratified the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent accounting firm, and approved an advisory resolution on executive compensation. The amendment is expected to enhance the company’s ability to attract and retain key personnel, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDE) stock is a Buy with a $7.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coeur Mining stock, see the CDE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.