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Coeur D'alene Mines (CDE)
NYSE:CDE
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Coeur Mining (CDE) AI Stock Analysis

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CDE

Coeur Mining

(NYSE:CDE)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$13.50
▼(-1.17% Downside)
Coeur Mining's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the stock score. The company's robust production and cost management, along with strategic debt reduction, are key strengths. However, technical indicators suggest overbought conditions, and the high P/E ratio indicates a relatively expensive valuation, which are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
The acquisition of SilverCrest Metals adds consistent, low-cost silver-equivalent production of approximately 10 million ounces per year from the Las Chispas mine to Coeur's production portfolio.
Earnings
Coeur reported a strong Q1, with EPS of $0.12 coming in well above BMO/consensus estimates.
Financial Performance
Coeur's balance sheet is rapidly improving — leverage is now 0.9x versus 1.6x last quarter and 3.2x a year ago.
Negative Factors
Production
Q4 EPS of $0.11 was below BMO/consensus estimates of $0.15/$0.14, and production of 87.1koz gold and 3.2Moz silver was modestly below our forecasts.
Revenue
Revenue of $305M was below the estimate, partly offset by cost of sales, which was lower than expected.

Coeur Mining (CDE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coeur Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoeur Mining, Inc. explores for precious metals in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company primarily explores for gold, silver, zinc, and lead properties. It holds 100% interests in the Palmarejo gold and silver mine covering an area of approximately 67,296 net acres located in the State of Chihuahua in Northern Mexico; the Rochester silver and gold mine that covers an area of approximately 43,441net acres situated in northwestern Nevada; the Kensington gold mine comprising 3,972 net acres located to the north of Juneau, Alaska; the Wharf gold mine covering an area of approximately 3,243 net acres situated in the northern Black Hills of western South Dakota; and the Silvertip silver-zinc-lead mine comprising 97,298 net acres located in northern British Columbia, Canada. In addition, the company owns interests in the Crown and Sterling projects located in southern Nevada; and the La Preciosa project located in Mexico. Further, it markets and sells its concentrates to third-party customers, smelters, under off-take agreements. The company was formerly known as Coeur d'Alene Mines Corporation and changed its name to Coeur Mining, Inc. in May 2013.Coeur Mining, Inc. was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoeur Mining generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold and silver. The company's revenue model is based on the production of these precious metals from its mining operations, which are sold in the global market at prevailing market prices. Key revenue streams include the sale of mined metals, as well as by-products such as lead and zinc from certain operations. Coeur also engages in hedging strategies to stabilize cash flows against price fluctuations in the metals market. Significant partnerships with other mining companies and suppliers enhance operational efficiency and contribute to profitability. Additionally, the company's focus on expanding its resource base through exploration and acquisition further strengthens its revenue potential.

Coeur Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 27, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant free cash flow and debt reduction, driven by robust production and cost management. Exploration results are promising, particularly at Las Chispas. However, currency impacts on costs and complexities in accounting for deferred tax liabilities were noted as challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Free Cash Flow and Debt Repayment
The company achieved free cash flow of $146 million, allowing for the repayment of the remaining balance on the revolving credit facility and funding initial share repurchases. Cash and cash equivalents increased by 44% compared to Q1.
Strong Production and Cost Performance
Gold and silver production increased by 25% and 27%, respectively, compared to the last quarter. Cost applicable to sales per ounce for gold and silver decreased by 5% and 6%, respectively.
Exploration Success at Las Chispas
Exploration at Las Chispas is delivering exciting results, with a significant expansion drill program underway and the Augusta vein continuing to return multi-kilo intercepts.
Repayment of Revolving Credit Facility
The company fully repaid the $110 million balance on its revolving credit facility ahead of schedule, reducing total debt significantly.
Updated Full Year Expectations
Full year expectations for adjusted EBITDA updated to over $800 million and free cash flow to more than $400 million, with potential to be in a net cash position by year-end.
Negative Updates
Currency Impact on Costs
An 8% appreciation in the Mexican peso impacted operating costs, although this was mitigated by strong cost controls.
Deferred Tax Liability Impact
The quarter included a noncash $28 million provision due to foreign exchange fluctuations related to a $336 million deferred tax liability.
Silvertip Development Timeline
Silvertip's development remains several years away, with a need to complete drilling and permitting, despite potential to expedite timelines.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Coeur Mining reported significant financial achievements, including a free cash flow of $146 million, which facilitated the full repayment of their revolving credit facility and initial share repurchases. The company updated its full-year expectations for adjusted EBITDA to over $800 million and free cash flow to more than $400 million. Notably, company-wide production for gold and silver is projected to increase by 20% and 62%, respectively, year-over-year. Operationally, all five sites reported strong performance, with consolidated gold and silver production rising by 25% and 27% quarter-over-quarter. Specific highlights include Las Chispas achieving nearly 1.5 million ounces of silver production and 16,000 ounces of gold, and Palmarejo generating $42 million in free cash flow. The Rochester site showed a 13% increase in silver production and a 7% rise in gold output compared to the previous quarter, with a 24% increase in crushed tons. Kensington reported a 17% increase in gold production, while Wharf achieved its second-highest gold production level in two years. Coeur's exploration efforts remain robust, with up to 27 rigs active across various sites, further supporting their growth potential.

Coeur Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Coeur Mining exhibits strong financial health with impressive revenue and profit growth, effective leverage management, and robust cash flow generation. The company has shown significant improvement in profitability and cash flow metrics in the TTM period. However, historical volatility in financial performance and leverage ratios suggests potential risks that need to be monitored.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Coeur Mining's income statement shows strong performance with a significant revenue growth rate of 23.18% in TTM, driven by improved gross profit and net profit margins. The gross profit margin increased to 35.07%, and the net profit margin rose to 13.06%, indicating enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also improved, reflecting efficient cost management. However, historical volatility in revenue growth and profitability margins suggests potential risks.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Coeur Mining demonstrates a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 in TTM, indicating prudent leverage management. The return on equity improved to 8.83%, showcasing effective utilization of equity. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting financial stability. However, historical fluctuations in debt levels and equity ratios highlight potential risks in maintaining this stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals robust growth in free cash flow, with a remarkable increase of 273.59% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.37, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio improved significantly, reflecting enhanced cash flow management. However, past volatility in free cash flow growth and negative free cash flow in previous years pose potential risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.46B1.05B821.21M785.64M832.83M785.46M
Gross Profit511.96M322.84M88.49M67.48M192.97M213.74M
EBITDA542.86M320.81M76.87M85.21M160.39M226.52M
Net Income190.67M58.90M-103.61M-78.11M-31.32M25.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.15B2.30B2.08B1.85B1.73B1.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments111.65M55.09M61.63M93.50M56.66M92.79M
Total Debt394.27M601.66M555.28M515.93M487.50M275.50M
Total Liabilities467.73M1.18B1.06B957.13M934.16M710.50M
Stockholders Equity3.68B1.12B1.02B889.02M800.26M693.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow248.93M-8.95M-297.33M-326.74M-199.30M49.43M
Operating Cash Flow449.44M174.23M67.29M25.62M110.48M148.71M
Investing Cash Flow-107.10M-193.51M-303.70M-146.16M-304.08M-65.67M
Financing Cash Flow-304.17M13.89M236.05M125.03M158.14M-46.53M

Coeur Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.66
Price Trends
50DMA
10.18
Positive
100DMA
8.75
Positive
200DMA
7.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.86
Negative
RSI
81.92
Negative
STOCH
94.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.78, above the 50-day MA of 10.18, and above the 200-day MA of 7.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.92 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CDE.

Coeur Mining Risk Analysis

Coeur Mining disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coeur Mining reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coeur Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.45B33.729.88%68.88%
78
Outperform
$8.39B10.4332.05%1.21%29.08%70.63%
78
Outperform
$11.82B26.2914.32%0.96%30.15%86.71%
72
Outperform
$1.55B12.9028.11%1.39%30.05%73.23%
70
Outperform
$5.70B54.384.67%0.28%36.30%
61
Neutral
$10.24B6.180.71%2.90%3.45%-36.02%
56
Neutral
$5.36B-8.31%6.27%93.14%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDE
Coeur Mining
13.66
8.28
153.90%
DRD
Drdgold
19.77
11.99
154.11%
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining
14.28
5.35
59.91%
HL
Hecla Mining Company
8.92
3.47
63.67%
RGLD
Royal Gold
182.97
47.82
35.38%
SBSW
Sibanye Stillwater
8.28
4.63
126.85%

Coeur Mining Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Coeur Mining Announces $75 Million Share Buyback
Positive
May 27, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Coeur Mining announced a $75 million share repurchase program, effective through May 31, 2026, to enhance shareholder value. This decision is supported by strong free cash flow from higher gold and silver prices, the acquisition of the Las Chispas mine, and expanded operations at the Rochester mine, positioning the company to reduce debt and invest in growth opportunities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025