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Coeur Mining (CDE)
NYSE:CDE

Coeur Mining (CDE) AI Stock Analysis

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CDE

Coeur Mining

(NYSE:CDE)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(5.56% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/19/26
The score is driven primarily by the sharp improvement in 2025 financial performance (profitability and free cash flow) and a constructive earnings outlook from management. Technicals support an ongoing uptrend but with neutral near-term momentum, while valuation is the main constraint given the higher P/E and lack of dividend support.
Positive Factors
Materially strengthened balance sheet
Reporting zero total debt in 2025 and a much larger equity base materially improves financial flexibility. That stronger capital structure reduces refinancing and solvency risk, enabling funding for capex, exploration and M&A and cushioning the business across commodity cycles.
Robust free cash flow generation
Sustained operating cash flow and a large positive free cash flow in 2025 provide durable internal funding for higher exploration, sustaining capital, and deleveraging. For a capital‑intensive miner, persistent FCF capacity materially strengthens long‑term investment and payout optionality.
Scale gains and reserve/resource growth
Significant production increases across multiple mines plus reserve and inferred resource growth extend mine life and diversify cash flows. Higher scale and improved resources underpin multi‑year production visibility and the ability to absorb grade or price volatility.
Negative Factors
Historically volatile earnings and cash flow
The sharp 2025 FCF turnaround follows several years of negative or near‑breakeven cash flow and episodic losses. This history shows strong sensitivity to grades, recoveries and metal prices, meaning the current improvement may be cyclical rather than structurally durable without consistent operational execution.
Operational disruptions and recovery sensitivity
A significant Wharf crusher fire with repairs into Q2 and ongoing Rochester recovery/crush‑size sensitivity create multi‑quarter production and recovery risk. Such operational issues directly depress throughput, recoveries and margins, challenging sustained cash generation until resolved.
M&A execution, legal and governance risks
The planned New Gold combination faces litigation, disclosure supplements and expanded authorized shares, creating execution and timing risk. These issues can delay integration, cause dilution, restrict buybacks and create governance uncertainty that affects strategic outcomes over the coming quarters.

Coeur Mining (CDE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coeur Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoeur Mining, Inc. explores for precious metals in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company primarily explores for gold, silver, zinc, and lead properties. It holds 100% interests in the Palmarejo gold and silver mine covering an area of approximately 67,296 net acres located in the State of Chihuahua in Northern Mexico; the Rochester silver and gold mine that covers an area of approximately 43,441net acres situated in northwestern Nevada; the Kensington gold mine comprising 3,972 net acres located to the north of Juneau, Alaska; the Wharf gold mine covering an area of approximately 3,243 net acres situated in the northern Black Hills of western South Dakota; and the Silvertip silver-zinc-lead mine comprising 97,298 net acres located in northern British Columbia, Canada. In addition, the company owns interests in the Crown and Sterling projects located in southern Nevada; and the La Preciosa project located in Mexico. Further, it markets and sells its concentrates to third-party customers, smelters, under off-take agreements. The company was formerly known as Coeur d'Alene Mines Corporation and changed its name to Coeur Mining, Inc. in May 2013.Coeur Mining, Inc. was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoeur Mining generates revenue primarily through the sale of silver and gold bullion, which is produced from its mining operations. The company has a well-defined revenue model that includes direct sales of mined metals to precious metals traders, refiners, and other customers. Key revenue streams include the sale of doré bars, which are semi-pure alloyed metals that contain gold and silver, and the sale of concentrate products. Additionally, Coeur Mining benefits from fluctuations in precious metal prices, as higher market prices can significantly enhance profit margins. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations, which may include joint ventures with other mining firms or agreements for equipment and technology sharing, further contributing to its overall earnings. Factors such as operational efficiency, cost management, and the successful exploration of new mineral resources also play a crucial role in driving the company’s financial performance.

Coeur Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strongly positive operational and financial narrative: record production, substantial EBITDA and free cash flow improvements, major reserve/resource gains and a strengthened balance sheet materially outweigh near-term operational disruptions (Wharf crusher fire), tax seasonality, and some recoveries/grade normalization issues at Rochester. Management highlighted significant upside from exploration and the pending New Gold acquisition, while acknowledging near-term cash tax and integration timing risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Production Growth (Full Year 2025)
Full year silver production increased 57% year-over-year and gold production increased 23% year-over-year, driven by the Rochester expansion, the SilverCrest acquisition, and strong performance at three other North American operations.
Transformational Financial Performance
Full year adjusted EBITDA increased 200% to over $1 billion; full year free cash flow rose to $666 million versus negative $9 million in 2024; net income increased tenfold to a record $586 million; year-end cash increased more than 10x to $554 million.
Strong Quarterly Operating Metrics (Q4 2025)
Consolidated Q4 production totaled 112,000 ounces of gold and 4.8 million ounces of silver. Q4 free cash flow increased 66% to $313 million. Every mine delivered at least $50 million of free cash flow in the quarter.
Cost and Margin Improvements
Adjusted cash cost per ounce were competitive at $1,207 (gold) and $17.29 (silver). Adjusted EBITDA margin increased 63% (a 60% quarter-over-quarter increase), supporting significant margin expansion.
Rochester Operational Step-Up
Rochester full-year silver and gold production rose 40% and 54% year-over-year, respectively; Q4 crusher throughput exceeded 7 million tonnes (6.4 million metric tons) and produced $78 million of quarterly free cash flow, with January 2026 starting at >2.3 million metric tons crushed.
Las Chispas and Palmarejo Contributions
Las Chispas generated $286 million of free cash flow in ~10.5 months of contribution and $79 million in the quarter. Palmarejo delivered a strong Q4 with >470,000 tonnes milled (~6,000 tpd) and $63 million of free cash flow; Palmarejo reserves grew almost 40% (from 1.4M to 2.0M gold-equivalent ounces).
Kensington and Wharf Performance
Kensington posted its highest tonnes milled and grade of the year with Q4 gold production of 30,000 ounces, lowest quarterly cost of $1,533/oz and $51 million of free cash flow (best result ever). Wharf produced 25,000 ounces of gold in Q4 and $62.3 million of free cash flow.
Exploration Success and Reserve Growth
Portfolio reserves grew 10% year-over-year and inferred resources grew 40%. Wharf inferred resources rose 216%, Palmarejo inferred +86%, Rochester inferred +30%. Wharf added ~500,000 ounces to reserves and ~1 million ounces to inferred resources, with mine life nearly doubling to ~12 years.
Balance Sheet and Capital Allocation
Total debt declined $250 million (42% year-over-year), ending the year net cash positive with cash of $554 million and total liquidity near $1 billion. A $75 million buyback program is in place (execution limited by transaction-related trading restrictions).
Forward-Looking Production and M&A Upside
2026 stand-alone guidance expects ~10% year-over-year silver production growth and silver to contribute ~42% of 2026 revenue at midpoint. The planned New Gold acquisition is expected (on consensus prices) to create ~ $3 billion EBITDA and ~$2 billion free cash flow on a full-year run rate once combined.
Negative Updates
Wharf Crusher Fire and Operational Disruption
A tertiary crusher fire in Q4 damaged conveyors, hoist, crane and electrical systems in upper levels; temporary mobile crushing was mobilized in January and repairs are expected to complete in Q2, creating a back-half weighted production plan and near-term repair capex and operational risk.
Rochester Recovery Sensitivity and Near-Term Grade Drag
Silver recoveries remain below long-term targets and are sensitive to crush size; management expects lower grades in H1 2026 per mine plan and recovery improvements depend on achieving a smaller P80 crush size (target toward 5/8 inch).
Higher Cash Taxes and Seasonality Pressure
Cash tax guidance of $400–$500 million for 2026 (with ~80% in Mexico) and Q1 seasonally low operating cash flow due to year-end Mexican tax and incentive payments create near-term cash outflow pressure despite strong earnings.
Depleting U.S. Tax Pools / Limited Shielding
U.S. tax loss pools decreased (noted $530 million in tax pools vs $630 million prior year), implying accelerated use at current prices (management indicated potential exhaustion in ~2 years), contributing to Q1 cash tax exposure.
Buyback Execution Constraints
Execution of the $75 million buyback program was curtailed in H2 2025 due to New Gold transaction trading restrictions; buyback activity will remain limited until transaction close, delaying return-of-capital deployment.
Guidance Excludes New Gold Contributions
2026 guidance is stand-alone and does not include New Gold assets; while the acquisition is expected to close soon, near‑term guidance and targets will need to be updated once the transaction closes, adding timing uncertainty to combined expectations.
Company Guidance
Coeur's 2026 stand‑alone guidance calls for a 10% year‑over‑year increase in silver production (with silver expected to contribute ~42% of 2026 revenue at current prices, using the midpoint), and management expects silver and gold production to increase substantially versus 2025 at the midpoint of guidance; Rochester is targeted to sustain quarterly crushed tonnes in the 6.2–7.2 million metric tons range (with an ultimate top size target of 5/8 inch) and grades expected to be lower in H1 consistent with the mine plan, while the company plans to increase exploration to $120–$136 million in 2026 (a 47% rise versus 2025). The issued guidance excludes New Gold, which Coeur expects may close by the end of Q1/first half, after which the combined company is modeled to generate roughly $3 billion of EBITDA and $2 billion of free cash flow on a full‑year run‑rate (per prior consensus), and Coeur will update combined guidance, reserves/resources and capital‑return plans at close; near‑term cash guidance includes $400–$500 million of cash taxes (≈80% in Mexico) and Q1 is expected to be seasonally cash‑light due to year‑end payments.

Coeur Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong 2025 turnaround with sharply higher revenue growth, materially improved profitability, and a major shift to positive free cash flow. Balance sheet appears significantly stronger (reported debt reduced to zero and equity higher), but the unusually large year-over-year balance sheet shifts and historically volatile earnings/cash flow reduce confidence in sustainability.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Revenue growth accelerated sharply in 2025 (up 21.7% YoY) after steady expansion in 2023–2024. Profitability improved materially, with net margin rising to ~28.3% in 2025 versus ~5.6% in 2024 and losses in 2022–2023, indicating a strong earnings inflection. Key weakness: results have been volatile across the cycle (losses in multiple prior years), and 2025 shows inconsistent profitability detail (e.g., reported gross profit/gross margin at zero), which reduces confidence in the quality/consistency of the margin profile.
Balance Sheet
81
Very Positive
Leverage improved meaningfully, with total debt reported at 0 in 2025 versus ~$602M in 2024, driving debt-to-equity from ~0.54 to 0.0 and materially strengthening financial flexibility. Equity also expanded substantially (to ~$4.22B in 2025 from ~$1.12B in 2024), supporting a much stronger capital base. Main risk: the step-change in debt and equity is unusually large year-over-year and could reflect major transactions or reporting classification changes; additionally, prior years show moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.42–0.62), so the balance sheet strength is relatively recent.
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
Cash generation strengthened dramatically in 2025 with operating cash flow of ~$887M and free cash flow of ~$666M, reversing the negative free cash flow seen in 2021–2024. Free cash flow grew ~80.6% in 2025 and covered net income at ~75%, suggesting earnings are supported by cash. Weakness: cash flow has been highly volatile historically (large negative free cash flow in 2022–2023 and near-breakeven in 2024), which is typical for miners but increases execution and commodity-cycle risk.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.07B1.05B821.21M785.64M832.83M
Gross Profit813.47M415.41M133.67M138.46M283.34M
EBITDA1.02B325.61M77.51M83.47M213.69M
Net Income585.87M58.90M-103.61M-78.11M-31.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.70B2.30B2.08B1.85B1.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments553.60M55.09M61.63M93.50M56.66M
Total Debt365.43M601.66M555.28M527.49M498.80M
Total Liabilities1.38B1.18B1.06B957.13M934.16M
Stockholders Equity3.31B1.12B1.02B889.02M800.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow665.72M-8.95M-297.33M-326.74M-199.30M
Operating Cash Flow886.88M174.23M67.29M25.62M110.48M
Investing Cash Flow-127.84M-193.51M-303.70M-146.16M-304.08M
Financing Cash Flow-260.63M13.89M236.05M125.03M158.14M

Coeur Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price24.63
Price Trends
50DMA
20.83
Positive
100DMA
19.06
Positive
200DMA
14.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.72
Negative
RSI
58.93
Neutral
STOCH
88.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.72, above the 50-day MA of 20.83, and above the 200-day MA of 14.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CDE.

Coeur Mining Risk Analysis

Coeur Mining disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coeur Mining reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coeur Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$12.68B15.8232.05%0.87%29.08%72.12%
77
Outperform
$546.75M10.8220.25%2.06%38.04%424.35%
76
Outperform
$14.51B26.1426.41%72.94%
73
Outperform
$2.91B16.3734.09%1.02%30.05%73.40%
66
Neutral
$14.76B44.9613.89%0.07%45.61%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
49
Neutral
$11.19B-55.93-12.14%6.27%93.14%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDE
Coeur Mining
24.43
19.34
379.96%
DRD
Drdgold
37.10
25.92
231.84%
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining
21.82
11.05
102.54%
HL
Hecla Mining Company
23.99
18.79
361.35%
SBSW
Sibanye Stillwater
16.17
12.70
365.99%
CMCL
Caledonia Mining
30.78
20.86
210.25%

Coeur Mining Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Coeur Mining Advances New Gold Acquisition and Board Changes
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

In 2025, Coeur Mining, Inc. nearly doubled revenue to $2.07 billion and grew net income from continuing operations to $586 million, driven by record gold and silver production, higher realized prices and disciplined costs, according to results released on February 18, 2026. The company generated record free cash flow, moved into a net cash position by sharply increasing cash and reducing debt, and reported strong contributions from its Rochester, Las Chispas and Kensington operations.

On January 27, 2026, shareholders of Coeur and New Gold overwhelmingly approved Coeur’s planned acquisition of New Gold, prompting Coeur’s board on February 17, 2026 to conditionally appoint New Gold’s CEO Patrick Godin and director Marilyn Schonberner as Coeur directors, while director N. Eric Fier resigned effective February 16, 2026 for other business pursuits. Coeur also issued a new technical report summary for its Wharf Mine and outlined 2026 production guidance that underscores expected record results from its current portfolio ahead of the anticipated first-half 2026 closing of the New Gold deal, which is intended to cement Coeur’s status as a leading all-North American precious metals miner.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDE) stock is a Buy with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coeur Mining stock, see the CDE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Coeur Mining Shareholders Approve New Gold Combination Plans
Positive
Jan 27, 2026

On January 27, 2026, Coeur Mining held a special meeting of stockholders to vote on matters related to its previously announced strategic business combination with New Gold Inc. under a plan of arrangement governed by British Columbia corporate law. Shareholders representing about 70% of Coeur’s outstanding common stock were present, and they approved an amendment to increase the company’s authorized common shares from 900 million to 1.3 billion, as well as the issuance of Coeur shares to New Gold shareholders in connection with the transaction, with both proposals receiving over 96% of votes cast. The approvals clear key corporate and capital-structure hurdles for Coeur, enabling it to proceed with the New Gold combination, which is expected to expand Coeur’s scale and influence in the North American precious metals market and has implications for ownership dilution and strategic positioning for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDE) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coeur Mining stock, see the CDE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Coeur Mining Faces Lawsuits Over New Gold Merger
Negative
Jan 16, 2026

On November 2, 2025, Coeur Mining, Inc. agreed a strategic business combination with Canada’s New Gold Inc. via a court-approved plan of arrangement, under which Coeur plans to issue its common stock to New Gold shareholders, subject to approvals at a special shareholders’ meeting scheduled for January 27, 2026. Ahead of that vote, Coeur has been hit with two shareholder lawsuits in New York, filed on January 6 and January 8, 2026, along with additional stockholder demand letters, alleging that its definitive proxy statement omits or misrepresents material information about the deal and seeking to block completion of the transaction and recover damages; while Coeur maintains the claims are without merit, it is voluntarily supplementing its proxy disclosures—particularly around financial advisor analyses, valuation multiples, projections and analyst targets—to neutralize the disclosure challenges, limit legal and timing risks, and keep the planned combination with New Gold on track.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDE) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coeur Mining stock, see the CDE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026