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Coeur D'alene Mines (CDE)
NYSE:CDE

Coeur Mining (CDE) AI Stock Analysis

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CDE

Coeur Mining

(NYSE:CDE)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(10.74% Upside)
The score is primarily supported by solid financial performance (growth, margins, and low leverage) and a strong, optimistic earnings outlook with robust cash/FCF guidance. Offsetting factors are technically overbought conditions with high volatility (RSI/Stoch elevated, high beta) and a relatively high P/E with no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Low leverage and strong equity base
A very low debt-to-equity ratio and a high equity ratio provide durable financial flexibility, lowering default risk and enabling capital deployment for growth, M&A, and share buybacks without stressing interest coverage. Strong ROE indicates efficient capital use over time.
Sustained revenue growth and solid margins
Consistent revenue expansion coupled with healthy gross and net margins reflects a resilient operating model and pricing power in precious metals. This supports long-term cash generation, funds reinvestment in mines, and resilience to moderate cost inflation across the cycle.
Material free cash flow improvement
Substantial FCF growth and strong operating cash conversion signal improving cash generation capacity. This underpins debt reduction, planned buybacks and capital projects, strengthening the company’s ability to fund strategic initiatives without relying heavily on external financing.
Negative Factors
Mixed cash-flow quality
A FCF-to-net-income ratio below 1 indicates some earnings are not fully converting to sustainable free cash, suggesting reliance on timing, working-capital movements, or non-operating items. This can complicate forecasting and reduces certainty of cash available for long-term returns or large projects.
Operational reliability risk at Rochester
Mechanical downtime at a major mine highlights operational vulnerability; deferred production compresses near-term output and can shift cost absorption to later periods. Recurrent reliability issues could undermine multi-quarter production targets and complicate long-range mine planning and cash flow visibility.
Acquisition and integration risks (New Gold)
The proposed New Gold acquisition materially changes scale and asset mix but depends on approvals and carries termination provisions. Integration, cultural alignment, and realization of synergies are multi-quarter challenges that can burden management focus and cash allocation if execution or regulatory clearance falters.

Coeur Mining (CDE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coeur Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoeur Mining, Inc. explores for precious metals in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company primarily explores for gold, silver, zinc, and lead properties. It holds 100% interests in the Palmarejo gold and silver mine covering an area of approximately 67,296 net acres located in the State of Chihuahua in Northern Mexico; the Rochester silver and gold mine that covers an area of approximately 43,441net acres situated in northwestern Nevada; the Kensington gold mine comprising 3,972 net acres located to the north of Juneau, Alaska; the Wharf gold mine covering an area of approximately 3,243 net acres situated in the northern Black Hills of western South Dakota; and the Silvertip silver-zinc-lead mine comprising 97,298 net acres located in northern British Columbia, Canada. In addition, the company owns interests in the Crown and Sterling projects located in southern Nevada; and the La Preciosa project located in Mexico. Further, it markets and sells its concentrates to third-party customers, smelters, under off-take agreements. The company was formerly known as Coeur d'Alene Mines Corporation and changed its name to Coeur Mining, Inc. in May 2013.Coeur Mining, Inc. was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoeur Mining generates revenue primarily through the sale of silver and gold bullion, which is produced from its mining operations. The company has a well-defined revenue model that includes direct sales of mined metals to precious metals traders, refiners, and other customers. Key revenue streams include the sale of doré bars, which are semi-pure alloyed metals that contain gold and silver, and the sale of concentrate products. Additionally, Coeur Mining benefits from fluctuations in precious metal prices, as higher market prices can significantly enhance profit margins. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations, which may include joint ventures with other mining firms or agreements for equipment and technology sharing, further contributing to its overall earnings. Factors such as operational efficiency, cost management, and the successful exploration of new mineral resources also play a crucial role in driving the company’s financial performance.

Coeur Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, increased production, and effective cost management across the portfolio, with significant cash flow and debt reduction achievements. However, Rochester's operational setbacks and upcoming higher tax liabilities were noted as concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Cash Balance and Financial Position
The cash balance is expected to exceed $500 million at year-end, positioning the company solidly in a net cash position heading into 2026. Net debt has been driven below $100 million, and the company is on track to achieve a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 0 in Q4 2025.
Strong Production and Cost Management
The company reported over 111,000 ounces of gold and 4.8 million ounces of silver production. Adjusted cash per ounce for gold and silver continued a positive trend compared to Q3 2024, at $1,215 per ounce and $14.95 per ounce, respectively.
Las Chispas and Palmarejo Performance
Las Chispas operation reported a 34% increase in free cash flow, totaling $66 million. Palmarejo delivered $47 million of free cash flow with recoveries and mill throughput at their highest levels in 6 quarters.
Lowered Cost Guidance
The company lowered its cost guidance at three out of five mines, reflecting improved cost management and conservative inflation estimates.
Negative Updates
Rochester Downtime and Production Setbacks
Rochester faced unplanned downtime due to conveyor belt issues, leading to a decrease in tons crushed compared to the prior quarter. This downtime affected the production guidance for 2025, with some ounces being pushed into 2026.
Tax Rate Changes
The company will face a higher effective tax rate starting next year, with a federal rate of 21% and state rates adding approximately 3%.
Company Guidance
During the Coeur Mining Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided an optimistic guidance outlook, showcasing record-breaking results for the second consecutive quarter, driven by higher realized prices, robust production levels, and effective cost management. The cash balance is projected to exceed $500 million by year-end, with full-year EBITDA expected to surpass $1 billion and free cash flow to exceed $550 million. The Las Chispas operation in Sonora, Mexico, reported a 34% increase in free cash flow, reaching $66 million in the third quarter. Coeur Mining's share repurchase program also saw progress, with nearly 10% of the initial $75 million program completed. Production guidance was refined, with a minor increase in the midpoint of full-year gold production and a slight decrease in silver production, due to adjustments at operations such as Las Chispas, Palmarejo, and Rochester. The company aims for a record-setting year in 2026, supported by strong financial and operational performance.

Coeur Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Coeur Mining's financial statements reflect a company on a growth trajectory with strong revenue and profit margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, and cash flow generation is improving. Continued focus on operational efficiency and cash flow management will be key to sustaining growth and profitability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Coeur Mining's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a 16.52% increase in TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin of 24.26% and net profit margin of 24.03% reflect solid profitability. However, the EBIT margin of 15.92% suggests room for operational efficiency improvements. Overall, the income statement demonstrates robust growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity (ROE) of 16.69% is strong, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 68.57% highlights a solid equity base. While the balance sheet is stable, maintaining low debt levels will be crucial for future growth.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a significant free cash flow growth rate of 48.04%, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 4.21 suggests strong cash flow relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.64 indicates some reliance on non-operating cash flows. Overall, cash flow generation is improving, but further strengthening is needed.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.70B1.05B821.21M785.64M832.83M785.46M
Gross Profit835.24M415.41M133.67M138.46M283.34M308.14M
EBITDA695.36M325.61M77.51M83.47M213.69M243.53M
Net Income408.75M58.90M-103.61M-78.11M-31.32M25.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.51B2.30B2.08B1.85B1.73B1.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments266.34M55.09M61.63M93.50M56.66M92.79M
Total Debt376.58M601.66M555.28M527.49M498.80M287.91M
Total Liabilities1.42B1.18B1.06B957.13M934.16M710.50M
Stockholders Equity3.09B1.12B1.02B889.02M800.26M693.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow368.52M-8.95M-297.33M-326.74M-199.30M49.43M
Operating Cash Flow576.09M174.23M67.29M25.62M110.48M148.71M
Investing Cash Flow-114.24M-193.51M-303.70M-146.16M-304.08M-65.67M
Financing Cash Flow-272.10M13.89M236.05M125.03M158.14M-46.53M

Coeur Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.22
Price Trends
50DMA
16.95
Positive
100DMA
17.17
Positive
200DMA
12.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.09
Negative
RSI
66.71
Neutral
STOCH
75.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.12, above the 50-day MA of 16.95, and above the 200-day MA of 12.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CDE.

Coeur Mining Risk Analysis

Coeur Mining disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coeur Mining reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coeur Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$3.03B24.2928.10%1.02%30.05%73.40%
77
Outperform
$14.04B17.0232.05%0.87%29.08%72.12%
77
Outperform
$625.67M12.3920.25%2.06%38.04%424.35%
70
Outperform
$15.95B78.398.88%0.07%45.61%
68
Neutral
$13.33B31.1119.57%72.94%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
$12.52B-63.11-8.31%6.27%93.14%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDE
Coeur Mining
21.22
15.04
243.37%
DRD
Drdgold
35.86
26.72
292.13%
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining
21.95
12.28
126.92%
HL
Hecla Mining Company
25.22
19.85
369.65%
SBSW
Sibanye Stillwater
17.23
13.73
392.29%
CMCL
Caledonia Mining
26.93
17.76
193.68%

Coeur Mining Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Coeur Mining Announces Acquisition of New Gold Inc.
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 2, 2025, Coeur Mining, Inc. announced an agreement to acquire New Gold Inc. through a stock-for-stock transaction, subject to certain conditions. The acquisition, structured as a plan of arrangement under British Columbia law, involves Coeur exchanging shares for New Gold’s common shares, with adjustments for options and other share units. The deal requires approvals from shareholders, regulatory bodies, and courts, and includes provisions for board integration and termination rights with significant fees. This strategic move is expected to enhance Coeur’s market position in the precious metals sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDE) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coeur Mining stock, see the CDE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026