tiprankstipranks
White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM)
NYSE:WTM

White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) AI Stock Analysis

106 Followers

Top Page

WTM

White Mountains Insurance Group

(NYSE:WTM)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$2,516.00
▲(24.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/02/26
The score is driven most by attractive valuation (low P/E and strong dividend yield) and solid financial strength (low leverage and strong recent earnings), tempered by a meaningful concern around 2025 cash-flow deterioration despite high profitability. Technicals are supportive but neutral-to-moderate, while recent corporate investments add a modest positive catalyst.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
A low debt-to-equity ratio and sizable equity growth provide durable capital buffers that support underwriting capacity, M&A and shock absorption. This conservative financing reduces solvency and refinancing risk, enabling multi-quarter deployment of capital into growth without stressing liquidity.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation
A reversal to negative operating and free cash flow after strong prior years signals volatile cash conversion tied to claims timing or working capital. This undermines reliable internal funding for dividends, buybacks or acquisition financing and increases dependence on external capital over months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
A low debt-to-equity ratio and sizable equity growth provide durable capital buffers that support underwriting capacity, M&A and shock absorption. This conservative financing reduces solvency and refinancing risk, enabling multi-quarter deployment of capital into growth without stressing liquidity.
Read all positive factors

White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

White Mountains Insurance Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides insurance and other financial services in the United States. The company operates through five segments: HG Global/BAM, Ark, NSM, Kudu, and Other Operations. The HG Global/B...
How the Company Makes Money
WTM’s earnings are primarily generated through (1) underwriting income and fee income earned by its insurance and insurance-services subsidiaries and (2) investment income and realized/unrealized gains on the investment portfolios and equity stake...

White Mountains Insurance Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong recent profitability and revenue growth alongside a conservatively financed balance sheet (low debt-to-equity and rising equity). The main drag is cash-flow quality: operating cash flow and free cash flow turned slightly negative in 2025 despite strong reported earnings, and results have shown notable cyclicality.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.71B2.35B2.17B1.16B614.40M
Gross Profit1.45B1.07B1.15B370.90M33.10M
EBITDA1.41B371.10M610.30M-104.80M-231.50M
Net Income1.11B230.40M509.20M792.80M-275.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.31B9.93B8.39B7.39B7.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.97B1.22B1.61B1.18B605.80M
Total Debt837.00M611.60M564.60M575.20M639.10M
Total Liabilities6.05B4.79B3.82B3.45B3.30B
Stockholders Equity5.43B4.48B4.24B3.75B3.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.20M586.80M404.10M326.30M98.20M
Operating Cash Flow-7.20M586.80M404.10M326.30M98.20M
Investing Cash Flow212.70M-447.00M-543.90M155.70M-204.00M
Financing Cash Flow-205.20M4.20M7.20M-461.80M149.20M

White Mountains Insurance Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2029.06
Price Trends
50DMA
2172.99
Positive
100DMA
2100.98
Positive
200DMA
1957.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
12.15
Negative
RSI
63.08
Neutral
STOCH
87.38
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WTM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2029.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2195.22, below the 50-day MA of 2172.99, and above the 200-day MA of 1957.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 12.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.38 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WTM.

White Mountains Insurance Group Risk Analysis

White Mountains Insurance Group disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. White Mountains Insurance Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

White Mountains Insurance Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$5.70B1.5922.87%0.05%-4.24%-78.10%
77
Outperform
$4.90B10.9613.59%1.85%10.98%74.87%
74
Outperform
$5.21B9.6325.65%1.34%6.18%-21.28%
70
Outperform
$3.81B25.8822.94%17.47%54.19%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
57
Neutral
$4.25B-30.89-31.19%30.53%21.82%
56
Neutral
$1.88B-74.499.03%3.15%4.51%-8.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WTM
White Mountains Insurance Group
2,309.92
602.76
35.31%
MCY
Mercury General
94.10
42.76
83.30%
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
81.58
-2.78
-3.29%
KMPR
Kemper
32.01
-24.42
-43.27%
LMND
Lemonade
55.63
29.52
113.06%
HGTY
Hagerty Inc Class A
11.11
2.36
26.97%

White Mountains Insurance Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
White Mountains Partners Acquires Majority Stake in BaseSix
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
On April 1, 2026, White Mountains Partners, an operating company of White Mountains Insurance Group, acquired a majority interest in BaseSix Systems LLC, a Marietta, Georgia-based provider of building systems integration and aftermarket services f...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
White Mountains Invests in Bishop Street MGA Platform
Positive
Feb 27, 2026
On February 26, 2026, Bishop Street Underwriters, a RedBird Capital Partners portfolio company and diversified platform of managing general agents and niche underwriting teams in the property and casualty sector, closed a $125 million structured c...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
White Mountains renews Ark reinsurance sidecar for 2026
Neutral
Jan 7, 2026
White Mountains Insurance Group’s subsidiary Ark Insurance Holdings Limited renewed its reinsurance sidecar, Outrigger Re Ltd., for business incepting during calendar year 2026 on terms similar to those in effect for 2025. Outrigger entered ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 02, 2026