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White Mountains Insurance (WTM)
:WTM

White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) AI Stock Analysis

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WTM

White Mountains Insurance Group

(NYSE:WTM)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$2,245.00
▲(10.64% Upside)
White Mountains Insurance Group's overall stock score is driven by a solid financial foundation and favorable technical indicators. The strategic sale of a majority stake in Bamboo is a significant positive corporate event, enhancing financial flexibility. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Sale of Bamboo Stake
The sale enhances financial flexibility, providing significant cash proceeds and a gain to book value, supporting future growth initiatives.
Strong Cash Flow Management
Robust cash flow performance supports financial health, enabling strategic investments and operational resilience.
Low Leverage
Low leverage enhances financial stability, reducing risk and providing flexibility for strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth can impact long-term profitability and market competitiveness, necessitating strategic adjustments.
Low Return on Equity
Low ROE suggests limited profitability relative to shareholder equity, potentially affecting investor confidence and capital efficiency.
Decline in Revenue Growth Rate
A declining revenue growth rate may hinder the company's ability to expand and compete effectively in the market.

White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

White Mountains Insurance Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWhite Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) is a diversified insurance holding company that operates primarily in the property and casualty insurance sectors. The company focuses on underwriting, investing, and managing insurance assets, and provides a range of insurance products through its subsidiaries. WTM is known for its strategic partnerships and investments in various insurance entities, allowing it to leverage its expertise in risk management and capital allocation.
How the Company Makes MoneyWhite Mountains Insurance Group generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily by collecting premiums from policyholders in its insurance operations. The company earns underwriting income by assessing and assuming risks associated with the policies it issues. In addition to premiums, WTM also generates income from its investment portfolio, which includes a diversified range of assets such as stocks, bonds, and alternative investments. The performance of these investments contributes significantly to its overall profitability. Furthermore, WTM's strategic partnerships and reinsurance arrangements enhance its earning potential by allowing it to share risks and expand its market reach. Overall, the combination of underwriting income and investment returns constitutes the main revenue streams for White Mountains Insurance Group.

White Mountains Insurance Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
White Mountains Insurance Group demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability in the TTM period, supported by a stable balance sheet with low leverage. However, historical volatility in profitability and recent declines in cash flow growth present potential risks. The company is well-positioned in its industry, but maintaining consistent performance and addressing cash flow challenges will be crucial for future success.
Income Statement
65
Positive
White Mountains Insurance Group shows strong revenue growth in the TTM period with a 51.69% increase, indicating robust business expansion. The gross profit margin of 68.37% and net profit margin of 23.35% reflect solid profitability. However, the company experienced fluctuations in profitability in previous years, with negative margins in 2021. Overall, the current trajectory is positive, but historical volatility suggests potential risks.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, indicating prudent financial leverage. The return on equity (ROE) of 4.41% in the TTM period is modest, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio of 68.49% reflects a strong equity base, providing financial stability. While the current position is solid, historical ROE fluctuations highlight potential challenges in maintaining consistent returns.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 11.95% in the TTM period, which could impact future liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available, indicating potential concerns in cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0 suggests adequate cash flow coverage. Overall, while cash flow management appears stable, the recent decline in growth warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.49B2.35B2.17B1.16B614.40M895.60M
Gross Profit1.11B1.07B1.15B370.90M33.10M813.30M
EBITDA381.10M371.10M610.30M-104.80M-231.50M677.40M
Net Income140.20M230.40M509.20M792.80M-275.40M708.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.35B9.93B8.39B7.39B7.00B4.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.42B1.22B1.61B1.18B605.80M354.00M
Total Debt765.80M562.50M564.60M575.20M639.10M376.40M
Total Liabilities6.63B4.79B3.82B3.45B3.30B1.01B
Stockholders Equity4.77B4.48B4.24B3.75B3.55B3.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow560.70M586.80M404.10M326.30M98.20M-12.80M
Operating Cash Flow560.70M586.80M404.10M326.30M98.20M-12.80M
Investing Cash Flow-615.10M-447.00M-543.90M108.40M-204.00M65.50M
Financing Cash Flow182.60M4.20M7.20M-327.40M149.20M-21.80M

White Mountains Insurance Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2029.06
Price Trends
50DMA
1940.72
Positive
100DMA
1858.50
Positive
200DMA
1830.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
36.00
Negative
RSI
68.80
Neutral
STOCH
34.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WTM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2029.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1993.64, above the 50-day MA of 1940.72, and above the 200-day MA of 1830.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 36.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WTM.

White Mountains Insurance Group Risk Analysis

White Mountains Insurance Group disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. White Mountains Insurance Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

White Mountains Insurance Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.91B12.5112.22%1.91%10.98%74.87%
73
Outperform
$5.23B37.372.95%0.05%-4.24%-78.10%
70
Outperform
$4.44B45.5316.42%17.47%54.19%
69
Neutral
$5.18B11.7821.47%1.36%6.18%-21.28%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
60
Neutral
$5.82B-32.77-31.34%30.53%21.82%
52
Neutral
$2.42B10.779.03%3.10%4.51%-8.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WTM
White Mountains Insurance Group
2,054.51
126.37
6.55%
MCY
Mercury General
93.51
21.97
30.71%
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
82.30
-13.35
-13.96%
KMPR
Kemper
41.26
-25.51
-38.21%
LMND
Lemonade
77.85
34.10
77.94%
HGTY
Hagerty Inc Class A
12.99
2.01
18.31%

White Mountains Insurance Group Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
White Mountains Sells Stake in Bamboo Group
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 5, 2025, White Mountains Insurance Group completed the sale of a controlling financial interest in WM Pierce Holdings, Inc., including Bamboo Ide8 Insurance Services, to affiliates of CVC Capital Partners. The transaction involved selling approximately 77.3% of its equity interest in the Bamboo Group for $848 million, while retaining an indirect equity interest valued at $250 million. This strategic move allows White Mountains to maintain a 15% equity stake in Bamboo, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
White Mountains Sells Majority Stake in Bamboo
Positive
Oct 3, 2025

On October 2, 2025, White Mountains Insurance Group announced a securities purchase agreement to sell approximately 77% of its equity interest in Bamboo Ide8 Insurance Services, LLC to affiliates of CVC Capital Partners, valuing Bamboo at $1.75 billion. The transaction, expected to close by the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, will result in a gain of approximately $310 to White Mountains’ book value per share and net cash proceeds of approximately $840 million, while retaining a 15% equity stake in Bamboo. This strategic move is anticipated to enhance White Mountains’ financial position and support Bamboo’s growth in the homeowners’ insurance market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025