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White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM)
NYSE:WTM
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White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) AI Stock Analysis

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WTM

White Mountains Insurance Group

(NYSE:WTM)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$1,912.00
▲(9.24% Upside)
The overall score of 65 reflects a balance of strong financial performance and strategic corporate events against a high P/E ratio suggesting potential overvaluation. Technical analysis is neutral, with the stock trading below key moving averages. The dividend yield provides some valuation support. The strategic investments are a positive indicator of future growth potential.

White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

White Mountains Insurance Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWhite Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides insurance and other financial services in the United States. The company operates through five segments: HG Global/BAM, Ark, NSM, Kudu, and Other Operations. The HG Global/BAM segment provides insurance on municipal bonds issued to finance public purposes, such as schools, utilities, and transportation facilities, as well as reinsurance protection services. The Ark segment writes a portfolio of reinsurance and insurance, including property, marine and energy, accident and health, casualty, and specialty products. The NSM segment operates as a managing general agent and program administrator for specialty property and casualty insurance to various sectors comprising specialty transportation, real estate, social services, and pet. The Kudu segment provides capital solutions to boutique asset and wealth managers for generational ownership transfers, management buyouts, acquisitions and growth finances, and legacy partner liquidity, as well as strategic assistance to investees. The Other Operations segment offers insurance solutions to travel industry through broker channel and on a direct-to-consumer basis; and manages separate accounts and pooled investment vehicles for insurance-linked securities sectors, including catastrophe bonds, collateralized reinsurance investments, and industry loss warranties of third-party clients. White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyWhite Mountains Insurance Group generates revenue through its insurance and reinsurance operations, primarily by underwriting premiums in various sectors, including property and casualty insurance. The company earns money from the premiums paid by policyholders in exchange for coverage, while managing risks and claims to ensure profitability. Additionally, White Mountains invests the premiums received in a diversified portfolio of financial instruments, generating investment income that contributes significantly to its revenue. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions that enhance its market position and expand its service offerings.

White Mountains Insurance Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
White Mountains Insurance Group has demonstrated strong revenue and profitability growth, particularly in the most recent TTM period. The balance sheet is solid with manageable debt levels and strong equity, though past income variability poses a potential risk. Cash flow generation is strong and consistent, supporting the company's financial stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) showing significant improvement in gross and net profit margins compared to previous periods. However, there have been fluctuations in EBIT and EBITDA margins, with a notable decline in EBIT in 2021. Overall, profitability has improved, but past inconsistencies pose a mild risk.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is maintained at a reasonable level, indicating prudent leverage management. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a solid financial structure. However, return on equity has shown variability, primarily due to fluctuating net income levels over the years. Despite this, the balance sheet remains robust.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow has been consistently positive, with a notable increase in free cash flow in recent periods. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, operating cash flow relative to net income has varied, indicating potential volatility in cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue568.40M15.80M2.17B1.16B614.40M781.40M
Gross Profit521.90M-45.00M2.13B1.06B614.40M770.10M
EBITDA203.20M377.50M610.30M-103.90M-232.50M711.20M
Net Income27.70M227.40M502.00M792.80M-290.90M711.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.00B9.93B8.39B7.39B7.00B4.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.32B1.22B1.61B1.18B605.80M354.10M
Total Debt676.10M562.50M564.60M575.20M639.10M376.40M
Total Liabilities5.87B4.79B3.82B3.45B3.30B1.01B
Stockholders Equity4.51B4.48B4.24B3.75B3.55B3.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow534.70M586.80M404.10M365.00M38.60M-60.60M
Operating Cash Flow560.50M586.80M404.10M365.00M38.60M-60.60M
Investing Cash Flow-616.70M-447.00M-543.90M115.50M-208.30M64.60M
Financing Cash Flow113.50M4.20M7.20M-327.40M217.60M49.00M

White Mountains Insurance Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1750.35
Price Trends
50DMA
1784.35
Negative
100DMA
1793.95
Negative
200DMA
1844.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.46
Positive
RSI
40.82
Neutral
STOCH
41.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WTM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1750.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1788.90, below the 50-day MA of 1784.35, and below the 200-day MA of 1844.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WTM.

White Mountains Insurance Group Risk Analysis

White Mountains Insurance Group disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. White Mountains Insurance Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

White Mountains Insurance Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$6.12B11.2719.23%2.09%4.47%102.98%
74
Outperform
$6.17B19.2219.49%3.90%10.29%-4.70%
70
Outperform
$4.75B12.7712.19%1.92%12.27%66.53%
70
Neutral
$665.77M10.3015.60%3.30%5.64%-17.95%
67
Neutral
$17.02B11.609.79%3.95%10.61%2.06%
65
Neutral
$4.59B155.620.61%0.06%-4.09%-94.77%
58
Neutral
$3.94B11.5812.21%2.49%-6.08%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WTM
White Mountains Insurance Group
1,750.35
51.25
3.02%
RLI
RLI
66.66
-4.22
-5.95%
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
77.74
-5.91
-7.07%
THG
Hanover Insurance
169.58
41.14
32.03%
KMPR
Kemper
50.62
-8.04
-13.71%
UVE
Universal Insurance Holdings
23.30
5.18
28.59%

White Mountains Insurance Group Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
White Mountains Completes $150M Investment in BroadStreet
Positive
Jul 18, 2025

On July 18, 2025, White Mountains Insurance Group, along with Ethos Capital and British Columbia Investment Management Corporation, completed a $150 million strategic investment in BroadStreet Partners, a leading middle-market insurance brokerage. This investment marks a significant milestone for BroadStreet, which specializes in commercial and personal property & casualty and employee benefits solutions, by supporting its growth trajectory and enhancing its market position through partnerships with independent insurance agencies.

Private Placements and Financing
White Mountains Secures $250M Credit Facility Agreement
Neutral
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. entered into a Credit Agreement establishing a senior unsecured revolving credit facility of up to $250 million, with BofA Securities, Inc. and Barclays Bank plc as joint lead arrangers. The facility, which matures on July 16, 2028, remains undrawn with no immediate plans for utilization. The agreement includes customary conditions and covenants, such as maintaining a minimum Consolidated Net Worth and not exceeding a consolidated Debt to Cap Ratio of 32.5%.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
White Mountains Acquires 51% Stake in Distinguished
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

On July 4, 2025, White Mountains Insurance Group entered into a Unit Purchase Agreement to acquire a 51% controlling interest in Distinguished Programs for approximately $230 million. The transaction, expected to close in the third quarter of 2025, will see White Mountains partnering with Distinguished’s existing management team and Aquiline Capital Partners, the current minority equityholder. This acquisition positions White Mountains to capitalize on growth opportunities in the specialty insurance market, enhancing its industry presence and operational capabilities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
White Mountains Highlights Strong Q1 2025 Performance
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

In its 2025 Annual Investor Presentation, White Mountains Insurance Group reported an 8% growth in Adjusted Book Value per Share (ABVPS) for 2024, which fell short of its target. The company highlighted strong operating results from its Ark and Bamboo businesses, although results were mixed in other areas. The presentation also noted significant capital deployments and distributions, with a total capital of $5.8 billion as of the first quarter of 2025. Ark, a specialized P&C insurance business, achieved excellent results in 2024 with a combined ratio of 83% and a 28% growth in Tangible Book Value, while maintaining strong performance in the first quarter of 2025.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
White Mountains Insurance Holds 2025 Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

White Mountains Insurance Group held its 2025 Annual General Meeting on May 22, 2025, in Bermuda, with 2,573,726 common shares eligible to vote. The meeting resulted in the election of Class I Directors, approval of executive compensation, an amended long-term incentive plan, and the appointment of PwC as the independent accounting firm for 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025