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White Mountains Insurance (WTM)
NYSE:WTM

White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) AI Stock Analysis

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WTM

White Mountains Insurance Group

(NYSE:WTM)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$2,245.00
▲(10.64% Upside)
White Mountains Insurance Group's overall stock score is driven by a solid financial foundation and favorable technical indicators. The strategic sale of a majority stake in Bamboo is a significant positive corporate event, enhancing financial flexibility. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Sale of Bamboo Stake
The sale enhances financial flexibility, providing significant cash proceeds and a gain to book value, supporting future growth initiatives.
Strong Cash Flow Management
Robust cash flow performance supports financial health, enabling strategic investments and operational resilience.
Low Leverage
Low leverage enhances financial stability, reducing risk and providing flexibility for strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth can impact long-term profitability and market competitiveness, necessitating strategic adjustments.
Low Return on Equity
Low ROE suggests limited profitability relative to shareholder equity, potentially affecting investor confidence and capital efficiency.
Decline in Revenue Growth Rate
A declining revenue growth rate may hinder the company's ability to expand and compete effectively in the market.

White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

White Mountains Insurance Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWhite Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides insurance and other financial services in the United States. The company operates through five segments: HG Global/BAM, Ark, NSM, Kudu, and Other Operations. The HG Global/BAM segment provides insurance on municipal bonds issued to finance public purposes, such as schools, utilities, and transportation facilities, as well as reinsurance protection services. The Ark segment writes a portfolio of reinsurance and insurance, including property, marine and energy, accident and health, casualty, and specialty products. The NSM segment operates as a managing general agent and program administrator for specialty property and casualty insurance to various sectors comprising specialty transportation, real estate, social services, and pet. The Kudu segment provides capital solutions to boutique asset and wealth managers for generational ownership transfers, management buyouts, acquisitions and growth finances, and legacy partner liquidity, as well as strategic assistance to investees. The Other Operations segment offers insurance solutions to travel industry through broker channel and on a direct-to-consumer basis; and manages separate accounts and pooled investment vehicles for insurance-linked securities sectors, including catastrophe bonds, collateralized reinsurance investments, and industry loss warranties of third-party clients. White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyWhite Mountains Insurance Group generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily by collecting premiums from policyholders in its insurance operations. The company earns underwriting income by assessing and assuming risks associated with the policies it issues. In addition to premiums, WTM also generates income from its investment portfolio, which includes a diversified range of assets such as stocks, bonds, and alternative investments. The performance of these investments contributes significantly to its overall profitability. Furthermore, WTM's strategic partnerships and reinsurance arrangements enhance its earning potential by allowing it to share risks and expand its market reach. Overall, the combination of underwriting income and investment returns constitutes the main revenue streams for White Mountains Insurance Group.

White Mountains Insurance Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
White Mountains Insurance Group demonstrates a solid financial foundation with strong cash flow management and a stable balance sheet. While recent revenue growth has been negative, the company maintains healthy profit margins and low leverage, suggesting resilience. Continued focus on revenue growth and profitability improvements could enhance overall financial performance.
Income Statement
White Mountains Insurance Group's income statement shows mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 3.47%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 60.44% and a modest net profit margin of 3.06%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also reasonable at 19.87% and 17.24%, respectively. Despite the recent revenue decline, the company has shown strong profitability in previous years, suggesting potential for recovery.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16, indicating conservative leverage. The return on equity is low at 0.65%, which suggests limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. However, the equity ratio is strong, with stockholders' equity comprising a significant portion of total assets, indicating financial stability.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement shows positive trends, with a free cash flow growth rate of 19.10% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is consistently at 1.0, demonstrating effective cash management. Overall, cash flow performance is robust, supporting the company's financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.49B2.35B2.17B1.16B614.40M895.60M
Gross Profit1.11B1.07B1.15B370.90M33.10M813.30M
EBITDA381.10M371.10M610.30M-104.80M-231.50M677.40M
Net Income140.20M230.40M509.20M792.80M-275.40M708.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.35B9.93B8.39B7.39B7.00B4.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.42B1.22B1.61B1.18B605.80M354.00M
Total Debt765.80M562.50M564.60M575.20M639.10M376.40M
Total Liabilities6.63B4.79B3.82B3.45B3.30B1.01B
Stockholders Equity4.77B4.48B4.24B3.75B3.55B3.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow560.70M586.80M404.10M326.30M98.20M-12.80M
Operating Cash Flow560.70M586.80M404.10M326.30M98.20M-12.80M
Investing Cash Flow-615.10M-447.00M-543.90M108.40M-204.00M65.50M
Financing Cash Flow182.60M4.20M7.20M-327.40M149.20M-21.80M

White Mountains Insurance Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2029.06
Price Trends
50DMA
2001.47
Positive
100DMA
1910.37
Positive
200DMA
1848.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
14.96
Positive
RSI
54.40
Neutral
STOCH
41.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WTM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2029.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2062.43, above the 50-day MA of 2001.47, and above the 200-day MA of 1848.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 14.96 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WTM.

White Mountains Insurance Group Risk Analysis

White Mountains Insurance Group disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. White Mountains Insurance Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

White Mountains Insurance Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.10B13.0112.22%1.85%10.98%74.87%
73
Outperform
$5.08B37.262.95%0.05%-4.24%-78.10%
69
Neutral
$4.47B45.4316.42%17.47%54.19%
69
Neutral
$4.97B11.3021.47%1.34%6.18%-21.28%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
57
Neutral
$5.95B-36.41-31.34%30.53%21.82%
52
Neutral
$2.33B10.389.03%3.15%4.51%-8.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WTM
White Mountains Insurance Group
2,060.84
200.75
10.79%
MCY
Mercury General
90.36
42.30
88.01%
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
83.12
-8.00
-8.78%
KMPR
Kemper
39.67
-23.59
-37.29%
LMND
Lemonade
86.51
55.24
176.65%
HGTY
Hagerty Inc Class A
12.96
3.39
35.42%

White Mountains Insurance Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
White Mountains renews Ark reinsurance sidecar for 2026
Neutral
Jan 7, 2026

White Mountains Insurance Group’s subsidiary Ark Insurance Holdings Limited renewed its reinsurance sidecar, Outrigger Re Ltd., for business incepting during calendar year 2026 on terms similar to those in effect for 2025. Outrigger entered into a quota share with Ark to provide collateralized reinsurance protection on a portion of Ark Bermuda’s global property catastrophe portfolio, deploying $70 million of investor capital for the 2026 underwriting year, all sourced from third-party investors. The sidecar’s reduced size versus prior years reflects Ark’s increased reliance on traditional quota share reinsurance in 2026, signaling a shift in its capital and risk management mix while still maintaining access to alternative capital from external investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (WTM) stock is a Buy with a $2245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on White Mountains Insurance Group stock, see the WTM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
White Mountains Sells Stake in Bamboo Group
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 5, 2025, White Mountains Insurance Group completed the sale of a controlling financial interest in WM Pierce Holdings, Inc., including Bamboo Ide8 Insurance Services, to affiliates of CVC Capital Partners. The transaction involved selling approximately 77.3% of its equity interest in the Bamboo Group for $848 million, while retaining an indirect equity interest valued at $250 million. This strategic move allows White Mountains to maintain a 15% equity stake in Bamboo, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (WTM) stock is a Buy with a $2279.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on White Mountains Insurance Group stock, see the WTM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025