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Universal Insurance Holdings Inc (UVE)
NYSE:UVE
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Universal Insurance Holdings (UVE) AI Stock Analysis

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UVE

Universal Insurance Holdings

(NYSE:UVE)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(4.92% Upside)
Universal Insurance Holdings has a solid overall stock score driven by strong earnings performance and attractive valuation metrics. The company's robust financial growth and strategic management are significant strengths. However, challenges in profitability consistency and potential technical pullbacks due to overbought conditions are risks to consider.

Universal Insurance Holdings (UVE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Universal Insurance Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUniversal Insurance Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated insurance holding company in the United States. The company develops, markets, and underwrites insurance products for personal residential insurance, such as homeowners, renters/tenants, condo unit owners, and dwelling/fire; and offers allied lines, coverage for other structures, and personal property, liability, and personal articles coverages. It also advises on actuarial issues, oversees distribution, administers claims payments, performs policy administration and underwriting, and assists with reinsurance negotiations; places and manages reinsurance programs for the insurance entities; and operates Clovered.com, an online platform in which consumers receive side-by-side quotes from various carriers across multiple states, as well as educational materials about homeowners' insurance policies. It offers its products through a network of independent agents, as well as Universal Direct, a direct-to-consumer online platform, which enables homeowners to directly purchase, pay for, and bind homeowners' policies. The company was formerly known as Universal Heights, Inc. and changed its name to Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. in January 2001. Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyUniversal Insurance Holdings generates revenue primarily through the collection of premiums from policyholders in its various insurance lines. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on the underwriting of insurance policies, where it assesses risk and sets premium rates accordingly. Additionally, UVE earns income from investment activities, utilizing the premiums collected to invest in a diversified portfolio that includes bonds and equities. Key revenue streams include the sale of homeowners and auto insurance, as well as associated policy fees. The company's strong performance is also supported by strategic partnerships with independent agents and brokers, which facilitate broader market reach and customer acquisition.

Universal Insurance Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with significant improvements in return on equity and earnings per share. However, challenges such as decreased premiums in Florida, increased expenses, and a competitive market environment were also noted. Despite these challenges, the positive aspects of financial growth and strategic management were emphasized.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Return on Equity
The company reported a 30.6% adjusted return on common equity, highlighting their strong financial performance.
Improved Earnings Per Share
Adjusted diluted earnings per common share was $1.36 compared to an adjusted loss per common share of $0.73 in the prior year quarter.
Core Revenue Growth
Core revenue reached $400 million, up 4.9% year-over-year, driven by higher net premiums earned, net investment income, and commission revenue.
Lower Net Loss Ratio
The net combined ratio was 96.4%, down 20.5 points from the prior year quarter due to a lower net loss ratio, which was down 21.5 points.
Share Repurchase Program
The company repurchased approximately 347,000 shares at an aggregate cost of $8.1 million, with $7.1 million remaining in the authorization program.
Negative Updates
Decline in Florida Premiums
Direct premiums written were up 3.2% overall but included a 2.6% decrease in Florida.
Higher Net Expense Ratio
The net expense ratio increased by 1 point to 26.2%, driven by a higher ceded premium ratio and higher policy acquisition costs.
Prior Year Development
There was a net prior year development of $3.9 million related to prior year catastrophic events.
Competitive Market Challenges
The company faces a highly competitive environment, both in Florida and other markets, with new players entering the Florida market.
Company Guidance
During Universal's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a robust adjusted return on common equity of 30.6%. Adjusted diluted earnings per share rose to $1.36 from a loss of $0.73 in the prior year, driven by a lower net loss ratio and increased net premiums earned, net investment income, and commission revenue. Core revenue grew by 4.9% year-over-year to $400 million, while direct premiums written increased by 3.2% to $592.8 million. Notably, the net combined ratio improved to 96.4%, a decrease of 20.5 points from the previous year, mainly due to a lower net loss ratio of 70.2%. The company repurchased approximately 347,000 shares at a total cost of $8.1 million and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.16 per share. During the call, Universal also discussed its conservative reserving process and the competitive dynamics in the Florida market.

Universal Insurance Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Universal Insurance Holdings shows strong revenue growth and a stable balance sheet, but faces challenges in maintaining consistent profitability and cash flow growth. The company's low leverage and high return on equity are positive indicators, yet the volatility in profit margins and recent cash flow trends highlight areas for improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Universal Insurance Holdings shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has experienced significant revenue growth, particularly in the TTM period with a 72.7% increase, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, profitability metrics such as the EBIT margin and net profit margin are relatively low, with the TTM EBIT margin being negative. This suggests challenges in managing operational costs effectively. The gross profit margin remains healthy, but the volatility in net income and EBIT margins could pose risks to sustained profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Universal Insurance Holdings reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage. The return on equity has improved significantly to 27.99%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced approach between debt and equity financing. Overall, the company maintains a solid balance sheet with potential for further strengthening.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth in the TTM period, which could impact liquidity. Despite this, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also high, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. While the cash flow position is generally positive, the recent decline in free cash flow growth warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.58B1.52B1.39B1.22B1.12B1.07B
Gross Profit281.62M199.73M190.94M70.00M116.48M114.86M
EBITDA167.69M96.50M101.48M-14.04M35.91M29.43M
Net Income122.38M58.93M66.82M-22.26M20.41M19.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.09B2.84B2.32B2.89B2.06B1.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments571.50M419.43M1.46B388.71M250.51M987.02M
Total Debt100.67M101.24M116.60M102.77M130.44M67.86M
Total Liabilities2.59B2.47B1.98B2.60B1.63B1.31B
Stockholders Equity495.04M373.25M341.30M287.90M429.70M449.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow249.82M129.99M66.95M319.62M227.15M12.13M
Operating Cash Flow254.07M137.36M70.97M324.51M234.38M29.35M
Investing Cash Flow-130.07M-228.09M-15.25M-148.86M-229.40M22.04M
Financing Cash Flow-52.10M-47.13M-47.12M-37.46M68.30M-56.26M

Universal Insurance Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.36
Price Trends
50DMA
29.73
Positive
100DMA
27.02
Positive
200DMA
25.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.16
Positive
RSI
59.04
Neutral
STOCH
23.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UVE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.99, above the 50-day MA of 29.73, and above the 200-day MA of 25.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UVE.

Universal Insurance Holdings Risk Analysis

Universal Insurance Holdings disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Universal Insurance Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Universal Insurance Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$941.99M8.7113.21%1.73%12.22%120.73%
74
Outperform
$935.71M7.8827.34%2.29%4.61%73.40%
72
Outperform
$837.70M5.6241.64%5.92%93.02%
68
Neutral
$570.55M6.7529.35%16.34%-1.26%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$386.75M14.004.01%5.19%-0.04%-33.45%
62
Neutral
$703.63M8.1415.10%3.65%0.93%224.95%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UVE
Universal Insurance Holdings
33.36
11.14
50.14%
DGICA
Donegal Group
19.75
4.13
26.44%
GBLI
Global Indemnity
27.00
-6.70
-19.88%
UFCS
United Fire Group
36.92
7.11
23.85%
ACIC
American Coastal Insurance
11.70
-1.36
-10.41%
HRTG
Heritage Insurance Holdings
27.10
14.61
116.97%

Universal Insurance Holdings Corporate Events

Dividends
Universal Insurance Announces Special and Regular Dividends
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Universal Insurance Holdings announced a cash dividend of $0.29 per share, comprising a regular quarterly dividend of $0.16 and a special dividend of $0.13. This announcement brings the total dividends declared in 2025 to $0.77 per share, reflecting the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (UVE) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Universal Insurance Holdings stock, see the UVE Stock Forecast page.

Universal Insurance Shines in Earnings Call
Oct 25, 2025

Universal Insurance’s recent earnings call painted a picture of strong financial performance, marked by significant improvements in return on equity and earnings per share. Despite facing challenges such as decreased premiums in Florida, increased expenses, and a competitive market environment, the company emphasized positive aspects of financial growth and strategic management.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025