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Universal Insurance Holdings Inc (UVE)
NYSE:UVE

Universal Insurance Holdings (UVE) AI Stock Analysis

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Universal Insurance Holdings

(NYSE:UVE)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(13.01%Upside)
Universal Insurance Holdings shows a strong technical position and positive earnings outlook, supported by strategic corporate actions. Financial performance is solid, though there is potential for margin improvement. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly valued, and the dividend yield is attractive.

Universal Insurance Holdings (UVE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Universal Insurance Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUniversal Insurance Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated insurance holding company in the United States. The company develops, markets, and underwrites insurance products for personal residential insurance, such as homeowners, renters/tenants, condo unit owners, and dwelling/fire; and offers allied lines, coverage for other structures, and personal property, liability, and personal articles coverages. It also advises on actuarial issues, oversees distribution, administers claims payments, performs policy administration and underwriting, and assists with reinsurance negotiations; places and manages reinsurance programs for the insurance entities; and operates Clovered.com, an online platform in which consumers receive side-by-side quotes from various carriers across multiple states, as well as educational materials about homeowners' insurance policies. It offers its products through a network of independent agents, as well as Universal Direct, a direct-to-consumer online platform, which enables homeowners to directly purchase, pay for, and bind homeowners' policies. The company was formerly known as Universal Heights, Inc. and changed its name to Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. in January 2001. Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyUniversal Insurance Holdings makes money primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies and investment income. The company's key revenue streams include premiums collected from policyholders for homeowners insurance coverage. UVE assesses risk and sets premium rates accordingly, ensuring that it can cover potential claims while generating a profit. Additionally, the company invests premiums and reserves in various financial instruments, generating investment income that contributes to its overall earnings. UVE's financial performance is also influenced by its ability to effectively manage claims and expenses, as well as maintain a balanced portfolio of investments. The company may engage in strategic partnerships with reinsurers to mitigate risk and enhance its financial stability.

Universal Insurance Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 18.03%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call displayed a generally positive outlook with significant growth in core revenue and earnings per share, successful reinsurance renewal, and a decrease in net loss ratio. However, challenges such as the decrease in direct premiums written in Florida and an increase in the net expense ratio were also noted.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Adjusted Diluted Earnings per Share
Adjusted diluted earnings per common share increased to $1.44 compared to $1.07 in the prior year quarter, driven by higher underwriting and net investment income, and higher commission revenue.
Growth in Core Revenue
Core revenue increased by 8.2% year over year to $394.9 million, primarily due to higher net premiums earned and net investment income.
Successful Reinsurance Renewal
Completion of 2025-2026 reinsurance renewal with $352 million of additional multiyear coverage secured before the June 1st inception date.
Decreased Net Loss Ratio
Net loss ratio decreased by 1.4 points to 70.5% compared to the prior year quarter, primarily due to lower weather losses.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Direct Premiums Written in Florida
Direct premiums written decreased by 3% in Florida, partially offsetting the 34.7% growth in other states.
Increase in Net Expense Ratio
Net expense ratio increased by 0.9 points to 24.5% compared to the prior year quarter, primarily driven by higher policy acquisition costs outside of Florida and higher other operating costs.
Company Guidance
During Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.'s First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported several positive financial metrics and strategic achievements. Adjusted diluted earnings per common share rose to $1.44, up from $1.07 in the same quarter the previous year, driven by increased underwriting and net investment income, as well as higher commission revenue. Core revenue increased by 8.2% year-over-year to $394.9 million, largely due to growth in net premiums earned, which rose by 6.5% to $355.7 million. The net combined ratio improved to 95%, a decrease of 0.5 points from the prior year quarter, reflecting a lower net loss ratio of 70.5%. Direct premiums written also saw a growth of 4.7%, reaching $467.1 million, with a notable 34.7% increase in other states despite a 3% decrease in Florida. The company completed its 2025-2026 reinsurance renewal, securing $352 million in additional multiyear coverage, and achieved favorable reinsurance rates despite the occurrence of multiple hurricanes in 2024. The board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share, payable in May.

Universal Insurance Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Universal Insurance Holdings demonstrates solid financial health with a strong cash flow position and a low leverage balance sheet, indicating stability and prudent financial management. The income statement shows steady revenue growth and profitability, although there is room for margin improvement. Overall, the financial statements reflect a well-managed company with a promising outlook, particularly in terms of cash flow and financial stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The income statement reflects a strong gross profit margin of approximately 74.4% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management and strong pricing power. The net profit margin is 4.3%, showing profitability but with room for improvement. Revenue growth from 2024 to TTM is approximately 1.6%, which is moderate. The EBIT margin is 6.3%, and the EBITDA margin is 4.1%, suggesting some operational efficiency but potential areas for cost reduction. Overall, the company shows stable revenue growth and profitability, with potential for higher margins.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, indicating low leverage and a conservative capital structure. The return on equity for TTM is around 15.8%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 19.8%, which reflects a moderate level of financial stability. However, the company's total assets have decreased since 2024, primarily due to reduced cash and equivalents. The overall balance sheet indicates a financially stable company with low leverage but room for improving the equity base.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement is robust, with a significant operating cash flow to net income ratio of about 3.62 for TTM, demonstrating strong cash generation relative to profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 3.49, indicating excellent cash conversion. Free cash flow grew substantially from 2024 to TTM by approximately 78.9%, showing improved cash management. Overall, the cash flow analysis highlights strong liquidity and efficient cash flow management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.55B1.52B1.39B1.22B1.12B1.07B
Gross Profit
1.55B1.52B1.39B1.22B1.03B982.14M
EBIT
96.73M91.09M1.09B-12.51M20.78M15.73M
EBITDA
63.70M91.09M102.19M-14.04M35.98M29.44M
Net Income Common Stockholders
66.71M58.93M66.82M-22.26M20.41M19.11M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
254.67M419.43M491.57M388.71M250.51M167.16M
Total Assets
1.30B2.84B2.32B2.89B2.06B1.76B
Total Debt
12.50M101.24M116.60M102.77M103.68M8.46M
Net Debt
-232.17M-158.20M-280.70M-285.94M-146.83M-158.70M
Total Liabilities
830.61M2.47B1.98B2.60B1.63B1.31B
Stockholders Equity
465.09M373.25M341.30M287.90M429.70M449.26M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
232.62M129.99M66.95M319.62M227.15M12.13M
Operating Cash Flow
241.21M137.36M70.97M324.51M234.38M29.35M
Investing Cash Flow
-195.26M-228.09M-15.25M-148.86M-229.40M22.04M
Financing Cash Flow
-44.09M-47.13M-47.12M-37.46M68.30M-56.26M

Universal Insurance Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.43
Price Trends
50DMA
24.61
Positive
100DMA
22.44
Positive
200DMA
21.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.89
Positive
RSI
64.54
Neutral
STOCH
63.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UVE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.62, above the 50-day MA of 24.61, and above the 200-day MA of 21.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.89 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UVE.

Universal Insurance Holdings Risk Analysis

Universal Insurance Holdings disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Universal Insurance Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Universal Insurance Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$722.55M11.188.51%2.28%14.60%
UVUVE
78
Outperform
$775.67M12.0116.95%2.32%7.24%-9.28%
76
Outperform
$762.74M9.5027.59%11.41%53.85%
74
Outperform
$702.26M9.7513.11%3.59%5.29%1200.44%
64
Neutral
$12.77B9.777.59%16985.66%12.31%-7.69%
61
Neutral
$578.31M7.7531.11%12.19%5.12%
55
Neutral
$631.94M-15.58%77.44%85.53%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UVE
Universal Insurance Holdings
27.43
9.35
51.71%
DGICA
Donegal Group
19.57
6.91
54.58%
UFCS
United Fire Group
28.14
7.19
34.32%
ACIC
American Coastal Insurance
10.96
0.24
2.24%
HRTG
Heritage Insurance Holdings
24.30
16.15
198.16%
HIPO
Hippo Holdings
25.13
7.32
41.10%

Universal Insurance Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Universal Insurance Completes 2025-2026 Reinsurance Program
Positive
May 29, 2025

Universal Insurance Holdings has announced the completion of its 2025-2026 reinsurance program for its subsidiaries UPCIC and APPCIC, effective June 1, 2025. This program includes significant coverage for catastrophic events, with a first event retention of $45 million and a coverage tower extending to $2.526 billion. The program also features enhanced reinstatement capacity and specific event coverage to protect against multiple catastrophic events, reflecting the company’s strategic efforts to strengthen its financial resilience and operational stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (UVE) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Universal Insurance Holdings stock, see the UVE Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Universal Insurance Announces $20M Share Buyback Program
Neutral
May 1, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Universal Insurance Holdings announced a new share repurchase program, authorizing the repurchase of up to $20 million of its outstanding common stock by May 1, 2027. This move, conducted in compliance with Rule 10b-18 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, is expected to impact the company’s market operations and potentially influence shareholder value.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Universal Insurance Announces Quarterly Dividend
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

On April 14, 2025, Universal Insurance Holdings announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share, payable on May 16, 2025, to shareholders of record by May 9, 2025. The company also revealed plans to release its first quarter earnings on April 24, 2025, followed by an earnings call on April 25, 2025, which may impact investor perceptions and market positioning.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.