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Donegal (DGICA)
:DGICA
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Donegal Group (DGICA) AI Stock Analysis

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DGICA

Donegal Group

(NASDAQ:DGICA)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(2.04% Upside)
The overall stock score of 62 reflects Donegal Group's solid financial performance and attractive valuation. The company's strong profitability and cash generation capabilities are significant strengths. However, technical analysis indicates some short-term bearish signals, which slightly offset the positive valuation metrics.

Donegal Group (DGICA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Donegal Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDonegal Group Inc. (DGICA) is a property and casualty insurance holding company based in the United States. It operates primarily through its insurance subsidiaries, which provide a range of insurance products including personal and commercial lines of insurance. The company focuses on offering tailored insurance solutions to meet the diverse needs of its clients, with a strong emphasis on customer service and risk management. Donegal Group serves various sectors, including individuals, businesses, and professionals, through its extensive network of independent agents across multiple states.
How the Company Makes MoneyDonegal Group generates revenue primarily through the collection of premiums from its insurance policies. The company offers various insurance products, including auto, home, and commercial insurance, which contribute to its core revenue streams. Additionally, Donegal Group earns money from investment income generated from its reserves, which are invested in fixed-income securities and equities. The company has established significant partnerships with independent agents who help distribute its insurance products, expanding its market reach. Overall, the combination of premium collections, investment income, and strategic distribution partnerships plays a crucial role in Donegal Group's financial performance.

Donegal Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in earnings growth, investment income, and improvements in underwriting performance. However, challenges remain with declining premiums and specific claim severity issues in workers' compensation. Overall, the sentiment is positive due to the strong financial performance and strategic advancements.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Earnings Achieved
The company reported record earnings for the first quarter of 2025, surpassing the previous highest quarterly earnings level.
Improvement in Combined Ratio
The combined ratio improved to 91.6% in Q1 2025 from 102.4% in Q1 2024, driven by a decrease in weather-related and large fire losses.
Increase in Net Investment Income
Net investment income increased by 9.2% to $12 million compared to the prior year quarter.
Successful Systems Modernization
The company successfully deployed a new commercial package policy and modernized their middle market commercial products, with further deployments planned.
Improvement in Personal Lines Core Loss Ratio
Personal lines core loss ratio improved by 9.4 percentage points, largely due to the impact of premium rate increases.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Premiums Written
Net premiums written decreased by 1.7% due to lower new business volume and planned attrition.
Challenges in Workers' Compensation
An anomalous increase in workers' compensation claim severity was observed, driven by a few severe injury claims.
Personal Lines Premium Decline
Net premiums written in personal lines decreased by 9.9% due to reduced new business volume and non-renewal actions.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Donegal Group achieved a net income of $25.2 million, a significant increase from $6 million in the same quarter of the previous year, driven by a 2.2% rise in net premiums earned to $232.7 million and a substantial improvement in the combined ratio to 91.6% from 102.4%. The company reported a decrease in net premiums written by 1.7%, with personal lines experiencing a 9.9% decline while commercial lines grew by 3.3%. Key factors contributing to these results included a 4.5 percentage point decrease in the core loss ratio and favorable development of reserves, particularly in commercial auto and multi-peril lines. Additionally, Donegal benefited from lower weather-related and large fire losses, which contributed to a 1.1 percentage point decrease in the expense ratio. Investment income also rose by 9.2% to $12 million, bolstered by strategic investments in high-quality credit-focused assets. The company's ongoing systems modernization efforts aim to further enhance operational efficiency and competitive positioning.

Donegal Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Donegal Group demonstrates solid profitability and cash generation, despite challenges in revenue growth. The low leverage and stable asset base provide financial stability. While there are areas for improvement, particularly in revenue growth and return on equity, the company's financial health remains sound.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a healthy net profit margin of 8.72% and an EBIT margin of 10.89%, reflecting strong profitability. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth, with a notable improvement in net profit margin from previous years.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity at 14.58% in the TTM period is moderate, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall asset base appears stable.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a robust free cash flow growth rate in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting efficient conversion of income to cash. Historical data shows variability in cash flow growth, but the recent performance is positive.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue988.19M989.61M927.34M848.22M816.47M777.82M
Gross Profit446.58M989.61M927.34M848.22M816.47M777.82M
EBITDA111.23M67.16M10.01M1.82M37.07M71.19M
Net Income86.15M50.86M4.43M-1.96M25.25M52.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.42B2.34B2.27B2.24B2.26B2.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments512.38M401.92M645.45M606.24M603.03M679.13M
Total Debt35.00M35.00M35.00M35.00M35.00M90.00M
Total Liabilities1.79B1.79B1.79B1.76B1.72B1.64B
Stockholders Equity627.44M545.78M479.75M483.59M531.04M517.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow88.43M67.44M28.58M67.11M76.73M101.04M
Operating Cash Flow88.43M67.44M28.62M67.11M76.73M101.13M
Investing Cash Flow-96.23M-48.04M-16.71M-98.50M-62.20M-99.68M
Financing Cash Flow17.72M9.73M-13.25M-1.20M-59.92M52.32M

Donegal Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.11
Price Trends
50DMA
19.15
Positive
100DMA
18.45
Positive
200DMA
18.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
58.24
Neutral
STOCH
44.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DGICA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.26, below the 50-day MA of 19.15, and above the 200-day MA of 18.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DGICA.

Donegal Group Risk Analysis

Donegal Group disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Donegal Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Donegal Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$941.99M8.7113.21%1.73%12.22%120.73%
75
Outperform
$1.15B13.079.97%5.31%13.35%16.56%
74
Outperform
$935.71M7.8827.34%2.29%4.61%73.40%
72
Outperform
$837.70M5.6241.64%5.92%93.02%
68
Neutral
$570.55M6.7529.35%16.34%-1.26%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
$703.63M8.1415.10%3.65%0.93%224.95%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DGICA
Donegal Group
19.75
4.13
26.44%
SAFT
Safety Insurance Group
76.94
-5.09
-6.21%
UFCS
United Fire Group
36.92
7.11
23.85%
UVE
Universal Insurance Holdings
33.36
11.14
50.14%
ACIC
American Coastal Insurance
11.70
-1.36
-10.41%
HRTG
Heritage Insurance Holdings
27.10
14.61
116.97%

Donegal Group Corporate Events

Donegal Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 31, 2025

Donegal Group Inc. is an insurance holding company that offers property and casualty insurance through its subsidiaries across various states in the United States, known for its strategic modernization efforts and solid financial performance. In the third quarter of 2025, Donegal reported a slight decrease in net premiums earned by 3.4% to $229.8 million, while net income rose to $20.1 million, reflecting a 19.9% increase from the previous year. The company achieved a combined ratio of 95.9%, indicating improved underwriting profitability. Key financial highlights include a 28.8% increase in investment income and a 12.6% rise in book value per share. The commercial lines segment saw a 3.4% increase in net premiums written, while personal lines experienced a 15.9% decrease. The company attributes its performance to strategic underwriting and favorable weather conditions. Looking ahead, Donegal’s management remains optimistic about sustaining excellent financial performance through disciplined underwriting and strategic execution, while continuing to enhance its systems and operations to capitalize on growth opportunities.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Donegal Group Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Donegal Group Inc. announced that its board of directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.1825 per share for Class A common stock and $0.165 per share for Class B common stock, payable on November 17, 2025, to shareholders of record as of November 3, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its shareholders and highlights its strategic focus on financial performance and growth opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (DGICA) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Donegal Group stock, see the DGICA Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Donegal Group to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Donegal Group Inc. announced it will release its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 30, 2025, before NASDAQ trading begins. The company will also provide a supplemental investor presentation and a pre-recorded audio webcast featuring management commentary and a Q&A session, highlighting its commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (DGICA) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Donegal Group stock, see the DGICA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025