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Donegal Group (DGICA)
NASDAQ:DGICA
US Market
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Donegal Group (DGICA) AI Stock Analysis

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DGICA

Donegal Group

(NASDAQ:DGICA)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$19.00
▲(12.29% Upside)
Donegal Group's strong financial performance and positive earnings call results are significant positives, contributing to a high valuation score. However, technical analysis suggests bearish momentum, which tempers the overall score. The company's conservative financial structure and strategic improvements position it well for future growth.

Donegal Group (DGICA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Donegal Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDonegal Group Inc., an insurance holding company, provides personal and commercial lines of property and casualty insurance to businesses and individuals. It operates through three segments: Investment Function, Personal Lines of Insurance, and Commercial Lines of Insurance. The company offers private passenger automobile policies that provide protection against liability for bodily injury and property damage arising from automobile accidents, as well as protection against loss from damage to automobiles; and homeowners policies, which provide coverage for damage to residences and their contents from a range of perils, including fire, lightning, windstorm, and theft, as well as liability of the insured arising from injury to other persons or their property. It also offers commercial automobile policies that provide protection against liability for bodily injury and property damage arising from automobile accidents and protection against loss from damage to automobiles owned by the insured; commercial multi-peril policies that provide protection to businesses against combining liability and physical damage coverages; and workers' compensation policies, which provide benefits to employees for injuries sustained during employment. The company markets its insurance products primarily to Mid-Atlantic, Midwestern, New England, Southern, and Southwestern regions through approximately 2,300 independent insurance agencies. Donegal Group Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Marietta, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyDonegal Group generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies. The company earns premium income from policyholders who pay for coverage against potential risks, such as property damage or liability claims. Key revenue streams include personal and commercial lines of insurance, with a significant portion of income derived from premiums collected. Additionally, Donegal Group invests the funds it collects from premiums, generating investment income from its investment portfolio. This diversified approach to revenue, combining underwriting profits with investment returns, is crucial for the company's financial stability. The company's partnerships with independent agents and brokers also play a significant role in expanding its market reach and enhancing sales, ultimately contributing to its earnings.

Donegal Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call demonstrated strong financial performance with record earnings, significant improvements in combined and personal lines ratios, and positive advancements in technology and investments. However, challenges such as a decrease in net premiums written and specific difficulties in workers' compensation were noted. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Earnings
Donegal Group reported the highest quarterly earnings in its history for the first quarter of 2025, surpassing the previous record set in the fourth quarter.
Improved Combined Ratio
The combined ratio improved significantly to 91.6% in the first quarter of 2025 from 102.4% in the prior year quarter.
Significant Underwriting Profit
The underwriting income, combined with $12 million of net investment income, resulted in after-tax net income of $25.2 million, a significant increase from $6 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Personal Lines Improvement
The personal lines combined ratio improved by 16.7 percentage points to 83.6%, mainly due to a 50% reduction in large fire losses and a decrease in weather claims frequency.
Technology Advancements
Deployment of a new commercial package policy and modernization of other middle market commercial products is on track for July 2025.
Investment Performance
Net investment income increased by 9.2% to $12 million for the first quarter of 2025, with a 3.50% average tax equivalent yield.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Premiums Written
Net premiums written decreased by 1.7% overall, with a 9.9% decrease in personal lines net premiums written offset partially by a 3.3% growth in commercial lines.
Challenges in Workers' Compensation
An anomalous increase in claim severity was observed in workers' compensation, driven by a small number of severe injury claims.
Personal Lines Premium Decline
Personal lines net premiums written decreased by 9.9%, driven by strategies to accelerate profitability, including lowering new business volume and non-renewal of a legacy Maryland book of business.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Donegal Group reported a substantial improvement in financial performance with net premiums earned increasing by 2.2% to $232.7 million, despite a 1.7% decrease in net premiums written. The combined ratio improved significantly to 91.6% from 102.4% in the prior year, driven by a 4.5 percentage point decrease in the core loss ratio. Weather-related losses were reduced to $8.6 million, contributing 3.7 percentage points to the loss ratio, down from $10.8 million in the previous year. Large fire losses also decreased, contributing 3.3 percentage points compared to 6.6 percentage points in 2024. Net favorable development of reserves resulted in a 4.5 percentage point reduction in the loss ratio. The expense ratio decreased modestly to 34.6%, reflecting ongoing expense reduction initiatives. Overall, the underwriting income combined with $12 million in net investment income resulted in an after-tax net income of $25.2 million, a significant increase from $6 million in the first quarter of 2024.

Donegal Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Donegal Group shows financial resilience with strong equity and consistent revenue growth. However, profitability is a concern due to volatile net income margins. Cash flow generation is positive, but growth is erratic, indicating challenges in cash conversion efficiency.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance with steady revenue growth over the years, albeit from a low base. The gross profit margin is consistently high due to the nature of the insurance industry. However, the net profit margin is quite low and volatile, with periods of negative net income, reflecting profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a strong equity base with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting financial stability. The company maintains a healthy equity ratio, indicating a solid financial foundation. However, the return on equity is inconsistent due to fluctuating net income.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive operating cash flow, which is a good sign of operational efficiency. However, the free cash flow growth rate is inconsistent, and the cash flow ratios indicate potential challenges in converting earnings into cash.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue989.61M927.34M848.22M816.47M777.82M
Gross Profit989.61M927.34M848.22M816.47M777.82M
EBITDA67.16M10.01M1.82M37.07M71.19M
Net Income50.86M4.43M-1.96M25.25M52.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.34B2.27B2.24B2.26B2.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments401.92M645.45M606.24M603.03M679.13M
Total Debt35.00M35.00M35.00M35.00M90.00M
Total Liabilities1.79B1.79B1.76B1.72B1.64B
Stockholders Equity545.78M479.75M483.59M531.04M517.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow67.44M28.58M67.11M76.73M101.04M
Operating Cash Flow67.44M28.62M67.11M76.73M101.13M
Investing Cash Flow-48.04M-16.71M-98.50M-62.20M-99.68M
Financing Cash Flow9.73M-13.25M-1.20M-59.92M52.32M

Donegal Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.92
Price Trends
50DMA
18.50
Negative
100DMA
18.70
Negative
200DMA
17.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.49
Positive
RSI
35.50
Neutral
STOCH
31.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DGICA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.54, below the 50-day MA of 18.50, and below the 200-day MA of 17.01, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DGICA.

Donegal Group Risk Analysis

Donegal Group disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Donegal Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks

Donegal Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$664.81M6.2033.49%9.35%77.04%
76
Outperform
$740.80M8.2611.68%2.20%14.28%148.61%
71
Outperform
$602.78M7.1015.20%4.20%3.40%978.24%
70
Neutral
$664.64M10.2815.60%3.28%5.64%-17.95%
67
Neutral
¥815.90B12.849.17%3.05%8.46%12.94%
65
Neutral
$409.16M14.454.13%4.89%-3.71%-21.68%
63
Neutral
$499.36M6.2131.54%23.68%16.14%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DGICA
Donegal Group
16.92
3.51
26.17%
GBLI
Global Indemnity
28.62
-1.14
-3.83%
UFCS
United Fire Group
29.06
11.04
61.27%
UVE
Universal Insurance Holdings
23.47
5.19
28.39%
ACIC
American Coastal Insurance
10.24
0.12
1.19%
HRTG
Heritage Insurance Holdings
21.45
10.69
99.35%

Donegal Group Corporate Events

Dividends
Donegal Group Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Jul 17, 2025

On July 17, 2025, Donegal Group Inc. announced a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.1825 per share for Class A common stock and $0.165 per share for Class B common stock, payable on August 15, 2025, to stockholders of record as of August 1, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to delivering value to its shareholders and maintaining its strong financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (DGICA) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Donegal Group stock, see the DGICA Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Donegal Group to Release Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

On July 2, 2025, Donegal Group Inc. announced it will release its second-quarter 2025 financial results on July 24, 2025, before NASDAQ market opening. The company will also provide a supplemental investor presentation and a pre-recorded audio webcast featuring management commentary, addressing pre-submitted questions, to offer insights into its financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (DGICA) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Donegal Group stock, see the DGICA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 27, 2025