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Safety Insurance Group (SAFT)
NASDAQ:SAFT

Safety Insurance Group (SAFT) AI Stock Analysis

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SAFT

Safety Insurance Group

(NASDAQ:SAFT)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$88.00
▲(14.29% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial strength (low leverage, improving profitability, and stronger cash generation) and supportive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are partially offset by mixed near-term technical signals and the company’s history of margin volatility.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and substantial equity provide capital resilience through underwriting cycles and catastrophes. This structural strength supports capacity to underwrite growth, absorb losses, maintain ratings and pursue dividends or buybacks without stressing solvency over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Multi-year margin volatility
Earnings and margins have varied materially across recent years, reflecting underwriting cyclicality. Persistent volatility reduces predictability of cash flows and capital returns, complicating long-term planning for reinsurance, pricing and reserve management over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and substantial equity provide capital resilience through underwriting cycles and catastrophes. This structural strength supports capacity to underwrite growth, absorb losses, maintain ratings and pursue dividends or buybacks without stressing solvency over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Safety Insurance Group (SAFT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Safety Insurance Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Safety Insurance Group, Inc. provides private passenger and commercial automobile, and homeowner insurance in the United States. The company's private passenger automobile policies offer coverage for bodily injury and property damage to others, no...
How the Company Makes Money
Safety Insurance Group generates revenue primarily through the collection of premiums from its policyholders. The company underwrites various insurance products, and the premiums collected serve as the main source of income. Additionally, Safety I...

Safety Insurance Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong recovery after 2023: revenue accelerated to $1.25B in 2025 and profitability improved (net margin 7.9%). Balance sheet is conservatively positioned with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.06–0.08) and sizable equity ($892M). Operating and free cash flow strengthened materially in 2024–2025, supporting earnings quality. Key risk is multi-year margin/earnings volatility versus the stronger 2020–2021 period.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.25B1.11B925.95M785.06M864.72M
Gross Profit456.89M393.10M283.64M293.08M402.99M
EBITDA128.21M99.84M32.19M66.72M171.69M
Net Income99.25M70.73M18.88M46.56M130.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.47B2.27B2.09B1.97B2.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments773.93M612.36M1.09B1.08B1.28B
Total Debt61.86M45.73M49.76M58.34M57.12M
Total Liabilities1.58B1.44B1.29B1.16B1.19B
Stockholders Equity892.31M828.46M804.27M812.00M927.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow191.99M124.32M50.33M42.23M133.17M
Operating Cash Flow194.50M128.69M52.11M44.33M141.39M
Investing Cash Flow-125.71M-54.54M24.27M-19.99M-65.99M
Financing Cash Flow-53.87M-53.33M-63.53M-62.64M-65.57M

Safety Insurance Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price77.00
Price Trends
50DMA
75.45
Negative
100DMA
75.52
Negative
200DMA
72.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.73
Negative
RSI
46.98
Neutral
STOCH
37.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SAFT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.83, above the 50-day MA of 75.45, and above the 200-day MA of 72.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SAFT.

Safety Insurance Group Risk Analysis

Safety Insurance Group disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Safety Insurance Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Safety Insurance Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$944.44M5.1537.99%2.18%4.61%73.40%
80
Outperform
$959.88M6.2713.50%1.73%12.22%120.73%
79
Outperform
$818.10M4.6247.28%5.92%93.02%
76
Outperform
$1.07B11.5511.29%4.59%13.35%16.56%
69
Neutral
$639.64M7.7412.91%3.51%0.93%224.95%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
56
Neutral
$1.24B9.313.94%-3.35%-21.82%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SAFT
Safety Insurance Group
73.30
1.54
2.15%
DGICA
Donegal Group
17.24
-0.08
-0.46%
PRA
ProAssurance
24.20
1.14
4.94%
UFCS
United Fire Group
37.61
12.41
49.22%
UVE
Universal Insurance Holdings
33.72
12.78
61.01%
HRTG
Heritage Insurance Holdings
26.63
11.87
80.42%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026