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ProAssurance Corporation (PRA)
NYSE:PRA
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ProAssurance (PRA) AI Stock Analysis

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PRA

ProAssurance

(NYSE:PRA)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(9.47% Upside)
ProAssurance's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive corporate events, including a strategic merger. However, financial performance challenges, particularly in cash flow and profitability, moderate the score.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
The acquisition transaction value represents a significant premium to the closing price per share of PRA common stock prior to the transaction.
Balance Sheet
Despite a difficult market environment, ProAssurance has maintained a healthy business and strong balance sheet.
Financial Performance
ProAssurance reported 4Q24 operating EPS of $0.36/share, beating expectations and estimates.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
ProAssurance has struggled to grow as it has reacted prudently to protect profitability in its book and patiently awaited a better market environment.
Revenue
The revenue is expected to experience a low single-digit decline, with margins improving but still below the levels of specialty peers.
Stock Rating
The rating has been downgraded to Underperform due to limited upside potential in the stock price while the acquisition by The Doctors Co. is pending regulatory approval.

ProAssurance (PRA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ProAssurance Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProAssurance Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance, and reinsurance products in the United States. The company operates through Specialty Property and Casualty, Workers' Compensation Insurance, Segregated Portfolio Cell Reinsurance, and Lloyd's Syndicate segments. It offers professional liability insurance for healthcare providers and institutions, and attorneys; liability insurance for medical technology and life sciences risks; and workers' compensation insurance, such as guaranteed cost policies, policyholder dividend policies, retrospectively rated policies, and deductible policies, as well as alternative market solutions that include program design, fronting, claims administration, risk management, SPC rental, asset management, and SPC management services for individual companies, agencies, groups, and associations. The company also participates in Lloyd's of London Syndicate 1729, which underwrites property and casualty insurance, and reinsurance. It markets its products through independent agencies and brokers, as well as an internal sales force. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama.
How the Company Makes MoneyProAssurance generates revenue primarily through the sale of insurance premiums to healthcare professionals and institutions in need of liability coverage. The company collects premiums upfront, which are then invested to generate additional income. Key revenue streams include underwriting profit, which arises from the difference between premiums collected and claims paid out, and investment income derived from managing the reserves set aside for future claims. ProAssurance also benefits from strategic partnerships with healthcare organizations, which can enhance its market reach and customer base, as well as from its expertise in risk management services that help clients mitigate potential claims.

ProAssurance Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 30, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant improvements in operating earnings, investment income, and strategic initiatives in both the Specialty P&C and workers' compensation segments. However, these positives were counterbalanced by challenges such as the negative impact from Lloyd's Syndicate losses, a decline in net written premiums, and increased expense ratios. While the company showed steady progress in its core operations, some financial setbacks were noted.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Operating Earnings
ProAssurance reported its fifth consecutive quarter of improved operating earnings, highlighting progress in the medical professional liability business.
Specialty P&C Segment Progress
The Specialty P&C segment's full-year combined ratio improved by nearly five points to 104%, with favorable prior accident year reserve development.
Renewal Premium Increases
Renewal premium increases in the fourth quarter were 10% for standard MPL business and 8% for specialty MPL, leading to a cumulative increase of almost 70% since 2018.
Workers' Compensation Segment Initiatives
The workers' compensation segment improved its combined ratio for the quarter and the year, leveraging new systems and AI tools to enhance profitability and efficiency.
Investment Income Growth
Net investment income rose 9% for the quarter and 12% for the year, taking advantage of the rate environment with new purchase yields of approximately 5.8%.
Book Value Per Share Increase
Reported book value per share rose by $1.67 to $23.49, with adjusted book value per share increasing to $26.86.
Negative Updates
Lloyd's Syndicate Loss Impact
A significant fourth-quarter increase in IBNR reserve from aviation risks reduced fourth-quarter net income by $5.3 million, affecting the Specialty P&C segment's combined ratio by about three points.
Decline in Net Written Premiums
Net written premiums declined for both the fourth quarter and full year in the Specialty P&C segment, reflecting disciplined pricing strategies.
Higher Expense Ratios
Increased incentive-based compensation costs led to higher expense ratios in all segments, impacting the overall expense management.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, ProAssurance Corporation reported its fifth consecutive quarter of improved operating earnings, highlighting a Specialty P&C segment combined ratio of 101%, improved by nearly nine points from favorable prior accident year reserve development. Full-year 2024 saw a nearly five-point enhancement in the combined ratio to 104%, alongside a 20-point improvement in the accident year loss and LAE ratio since 2019, due to strategic initiatives and premium increases. The company achieved a 10% renewal premium increase in standard MPL and 8% in the specialty portion, bringing cumulative increases since 2018 to nearly 70%. Retention of existing premiums was solid at 83%. In workers' compensation, net written premiums rose by $4 million, with a full-year combined ratio of 114% and a net loss ratio of 77%, reflecting strategic pricing and underwriting efforts. ProAssurance emphasized disciplined underwriting, use of predictive analytics, and investment in innovation tools to maintain a competitive edge, resulting in a full-year operating earnings of $0.95 per share and a reported book value per share increase to $23.49.

ProAssurance Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ProAssurance shows a stable revenue base with slight growth and improved net profit margin. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage, but cash flow management remains a concern due to consistent negative free cash flow.
Income Statement
70
Positive
ProAssurance shows a stable revenue base with a slight growth of 0.43% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to the previous annual period. However, the gross profit margin is exceptionally high, suggesting strong pricing power or cost management. The net profit margin has improved to 3.73% in TTM after a loss in previous years, indicating a positive turnaround. EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect moderate operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a conservative balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 22.32%, showing a solid equity base. Return on Equity (ROE) has improved to 3.43% in TTM, signaling better profitability, though still modest.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
ProAssurance faces challenges in cash flow generation with negative operating and free cash flow in the TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow issues despite positive net income. The company must address these cash flow inefficiencies to ensure sustainable growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.12B1.13B1.14B1.10B1.12B886.86M
Gross Profit930.89M253.34M1.14B1.10B1.08B886.86M
EBITDA81.51M103.17M10.02M52.22M203.89M-180.18M
Net Income48.71M52.74M-38.60M-402.00K144.12M-175.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.49B5.57B5.63B5.70B6.19B4.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments298.87M3.89B65.90M275.27M4.19B3.01B
Total Debt15.95M442.26M444.31M446.99M445.83M304.83M
Total Liabilities4.21B4.37B4.52B4.60B4.76B3.31B
Stockholders Equity1.28B1.20B1.11B1.10B1.43B1.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-32.20M-19.73M-54.67M-34.19M70.13M84.86M
Operating Cash Flow-25.89M-10.71M-49.88M-29.84M73.97M92.34M
Investing Cash Flow46.88M10.67M141.14M-62.00M-85.53M-8.48M
Financing Cash Flow-16.26M-10.97M-55.31M-21.80M-60.62M-43.45M

ProAssurance Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price23.75
Price Trends
50DMA
23.68
Positive
100DMA
23.38
Positive
200DMA
20.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
44.90
Neutral
STOCH
12.89
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 23.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.89, above the 50-day MA of 23.68, and above the 200-day MA of 20.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PRA.

ProAssurance Risk Analysis

ProAssurance disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ProAssurance reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ProAssurance Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$1.87B13.6710.91%2.99%6.01%72.52%
79
Outperform
$783.62M8.6411.68%2.11%14.28%148.61%
74
Outperform
$1.10B12.9510.08%4.99%18.52%65.66%
73
Outperform
$2.16B14.7723.90%0.94%9.62%-18.69%
70
Outperform
$1.02B21.3313.23%41.00%61.54%
68
Neutral
$17.95B11.5410.27%3.74%9.64%1.17%
64
Neutral
$1.22B25.144.05%-2.05%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRA
ProAssurance
23.75
10.13
74.38%
HMN
Horace Mann Educators
46.12
11.40
32.83%
SAFT
Safety Insurance Group
72.59
-9.39
-11.45%
UFCS
United Fire Group
30.38
10.48
52.66%
HCI
HCI Group
169.56
74.37
78.13%
BOW
Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
31.36
-0.13
-0.41%

ProAssurance Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsFinancial Disclosures
ProAssurance Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, ProAssurance Corporation reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a net income of $21.9 million and operating income of $26.8 million. The company demonstrated progress in achieving premium rate levels suitable for the challenging medical professional liability market, with a stable net premium written of $135.9 million. The quarter also saw a 10% increase in Specialty P&C renewal premiums and an improvement in the consolidated Non-GAAP combined ratio by 9.5 percentage points compared to the previous year. Additionally, the company announced a merger with The Doctors Company, which received stockholder approval and early termination of the waiting period under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Act, with the transaction expected to close in the first half of 2026.

M&A Transactions
ProAssurance Merger Advances with FTC Approval
Neutral
Jul 7, 2025

On March 19, 2025, ProAssurance Corporation and The Doctors Company entered into a merger agreement, with ProAssurance becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of The Doctors Company. The U.S. Federal Trade Commission granted early termination of the Hart-Scott-Rodino waiting period on July 2, 2025, satisfying a key condition for the merger’s completion, expected in the first half of 2026. Both companies will continue to operate independently until the merger is finalized, pending remaining regulatory approvals.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
ProAssurance Stockholders Approve Acquisition by The Doctors Company
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, ProAssurance Corporation announced that its stockholders approved the proposed acquisition by The Doctors Company, with over 99% of shares voting in favor. The transaction, expected to close in the first half of 2026, is subject to regulatory approvals and customary conditions. Upon completion, ProAssurance will become a wholly owned subsidiary of The Doctors Company, and its stock will be delisted from the New York Stock Exchange. The merger aims to combine the strengths of both companies to better serve healthcare providers, leveraging their shared history in the medical professional liability market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025