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Global Indemnity (GBLI)
:GBLI
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Global Indemnity (GBLI) AI Stock Analysis

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GBLI

Global Indemnity

(NASDAQ:GBLI)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(6.08% Upside)
Global Indemnity's overall score reflects strong financial stability and cash flow generation, supported by a solid earnings call performance. However, technical indicators show bearish momentum, and increased competition and expenses present risks. The valuation remains fair, offering a good dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation indicates efficient operations and financial health, enabling reinvestment in growth and strategic initiatives.
Investment Income Growth
Growth in investment income enhances profitability and provides a buffer against underwriting volatility, supporting long-term financial stability.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisitions like Sayata expand market reach and digital capabilities, positioning the company for sustained growth in competitive markets.
Negative Factors
Declining Profit Margins
Decreasing profit margins suggest rising costs or pricing pressures, which could erode profitability if not addressed through cost management or pricing strategies.
Increased Competition
Rising competition may pressure pricing and market share, challenging revenue growth and necessitating strategic differentiation to maintain competitiveness.
Increase in Corporate Expenses
Rising corporate expenses can strain margins and reduce net income, highlighting the need for cost control to sustain financial performance.

Global Indemnity (GBLI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Global Indemnity Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobal Indemnity (GBLI) is a multinational insurance holding company that operates primarily in the property and casualty insurance sector. The company offers a wide range of insurance products including commercial and personal lines, as well as specialized coverage options tailored to various industries. With a focus on delivering reliable risk management solutions, Global Indemnity serves a diverse clientele through its multiple subsidiaries and affiliates, catering to both individual and business insurance needs globally.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobal Indemnity generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies, where it collects premiums from policyholders in exchange for coverage against potential losses. The company's key revenue streams include premiums from its commercial and personal lines of insurance, which are invested to generate additional income. Furthermore, GBLI earns money through reinsurance arrangements and by offering specialized insurance products that cater to niche markets. Strategic partnerships with brokers and agents enhance its distribution capabilities, thereby increasing its market reach and customer base, contributing significantly to its overall earnings.

Global Indemnity Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with strong operational performance, investment growth, and strategic advancements highlighted. However, these were offset by increased corporate expenses and challenges from rising competition.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Accident Year Combined Ratio
The accident year combined ratio improved to 90.4%, generating an underwriting profit of $10.2 million, a significant increase from 93.5% last year.
Investment Income Growth
Net investment income was $17.9 million, marking a 9% increase from the prior year period.
Gross Premium Growth
Excluding terminated products, gross premium grew 13% over the third quarter of 2024, with overall consolidated gross written premiums increasing 9%.
Operational and Strategic Advancements
Project Kaleidoscope is on track, focusing on technology and data infrastructure improvements. The company also completed the acquisition of Sayata, enhancing distribution capabilities.
Book Value Increase
Book value per share increased from $48.35 to $48.88, with a return to shareholders of 1.8% for the third quarter.
Negative Updates
Increase in Corporate Expenses
Corporate expenses increased to $7.8 million from $5.9 million due to professional fees and transaction costs, impacting overall financial performance.
Short-Term Mark-to-Market Losses
A modest short-term mark-to-market loss was observed as the company started shifting away from shorter-term fixed income investments.
Increased Competition
The company noted increasing competition in its product lines, which might pressure growth moving into 2026 and 2027.
Company Guidance
During the Global Indemnity Group Q3 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported an accident year combined ratio of 90.4%, generating an underwriting profit of $10.2 million, a notable improvement from the previous year's 93.5%. The short-duration investment portfolio yielded a net investment income of $17.9 million, marking a 9% increase from the prior year. Despite a slight short-term mark-to-market loss as the company transitions away from shorter-term fixed income investments, net income remained steady at $12.5 million, with underlying operating income increasing by 19% year-over-year. Gross premiums grew 13% excluding terminated products, with specific growth in Vacant Express, Collectibles, Wholesale Commercial, and Assumed Reinsurance. The company projected a continued double-digit premium growth into 2026, driven by strategic acquisitions like Sayata and investments in technology through Project Kaleidoscope. Book value per share increased to $48.88, with a return to shareholders of 1.8% for the quarter. The company's discretionary capital stood at $273 million, with plans to continue investing in growth opportunities rather than stock buybacks.

Global Indemnity Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Global Indemnity shows strong cash flow generation and low leverage, with impressive revenue growth. However, declining profit margins and return on equity highlight areas for improvement. The balance sheet remains stable, indicating financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Global Indemnity's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a strong revenue growth rate of 55.5%, which is a positive sign. However, the gross profit margin has decreased significantly from previous years, indicating potential cost management issues. The net profit margin has also declined, though it remains positive. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown some resilience, but are lower than previous periods, suggesting pressure on operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Global Indemnity is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0127, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity has decreased over time, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a solid capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability with low leverage.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a robust free cash flow growth rate of 478.2% in the TTM period, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is consistently at 1.0, indicating efficient conversion of profits into cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential issues in cash flow management. Overall, the cash flow position is strong, with significant improvements in free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue441.82M441.19M528.13M628.53M678.27M583.55M
Gross Profit68.12M80.65M56.36M32.92M70.46M31.74M
EBITDA42.12M60.72M39.17M13.37M53.70M-6.29M
Net Income27.90M43.24M25.43M-850.00K29.35M-21.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.73B1.73B1.73B1.80B2.01B1.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.11B1.20B1.04B1.29B1.28B1.26B
Total Debt8.92M10.37M12.73M15.70M145.51M149.24M
Total Liabilities1.03B1.04B1.08B1.17B1.31B1.19B
Stockholders Equity704.13M689.15M648.75M626.23M706.62M718.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.68M38.84M42.89M44.24M90.80M6.95M
Operating Cash Flow1.68M38.84M42.89M44.24M90.80M32.67M
Investing Cash Flow62.66M-39.51M-16.33M80.13M-64.52M174.59M
Financing Cash Flow-20.00M-20.36M-27.36M-163.80M-15.36M-184.17M

Global Indemnity Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price28.28
Price Trends
50DMA
28.70
Negative
100DMA
29.15
Negative
200DMA
30.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Negative
RSI
52.88
Neutral
STOCH
98.83
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GBLI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 28.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.08, below the 50-day MA of 28.70, and below the 200-day MA of 30.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 98.83 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GBLI.

Global Indemnity Risk Analysis

Global Indemnity disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Global Indemnity reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Global Indemnity Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$209.66M6.7337.59%0.66%39.32%61.45%
74
Outperform
$914.67M7.7027.34%2.36%4.61%73.40%
68
Neutral
$590.06M6.9829.35%16.34%-1.26%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$408.95M14.804.01%4.91%-0.04%-33.45%
62
Neutral
$709.28M8.1915.10%3.62%0.93%224.95%
50
Neutral
$271.88M180.381.07%-17.81%38.09%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GBLI
Global Indemnity
28.49
-6.53
-18.65%
DGICA
Donegal Group
19.93
4.02
25.27%
KINS
Kingstone Companies
14.98
-1.51
-9.16%
UVE
Universal Insurance Holdings
32.62
10.65
48.48%
ACIC
American Coastal Insurance
12.28
-1.50
-10.89%
NODK
NI Holdings
13.25
-3.40
-20.42%

Global Indemnity Corporate Events

Global Indemnity’s Earnings Call: Balancing Growth and Challenges
Nov 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for Global Indemnity painted a balanced picture of the company’s current standing. While the call highlighted strong operational performance, investment growth, and strategic advancements, these positives were tempered by increased corporate expenses and the challenges posed by rising competition in the industry.

Global Indemnity Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Growth
Oct 31, 2025

Global Indemnity Group, LLC is a publicly traded holding company that operates a diversified portfolio of property and casualty insurance-related entities, including managing general agencies and specialized insurance product and service entities. The company is known for its robust insurance offerings and strategic acquisitions in the insurance sector.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Global Indemnity Launches New Reinsurance Agency
Positive
Oct 3, 2025

On October 3, 2025, Global Indemnity Group announced that its subsidiary, Penn-America Underwriters, is launching its first reinsurance managing general agency in partnership with reinsurance executive George Dragonetti, who will lead the new unit. This strategic move is part of Global Indemnity’s Manifest initiative to expand its capabilities in specialized insurance and reinsurance solutions, with Dragonetti’s extensive experience expected to drive innovation and growth in the reinsurance business.

The most recent analyst rating on (GBLI) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Indemnity stock, see the GBLI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Global Indemnity Acquires Sayata to Boost Digital Growth
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Global Indemnity Group’s subsidiary, Penn-America Underwriters, completed the acquisition of Sayata, an AI-enabled digital distribution marketplace for commercial insurance. This acquisition supports PAU’s strategic reorganization to enhance distribution, product portfolio, and technology capabilities, aligning with Global Indemnity’s vision to expand digital capabilities and accelerate growth, thereby strengthening its position in the insurance industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GBLI) stock is a Hold with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Indemnity stock, see the GBLI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 17, 2025