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NI Holdings, Inc. (NODK)
NASDAQ:NODK
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NI Holdings (NODK) AI Stock Analysis

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NODK

NI Holdings

(NASDAQ:NODK)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▼(-5.80% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is held down primarily by weak and volatile financial performance—multi-year losses, weaker 2025 operating results, and negative TTM cash flow—despite a strong, low-leverage balance sheet. Technical signals also lean bearish (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is a relative positive due to a low P/E, but it is not enough to outweigh profitability and cash-flow pressure.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
NI Holdings' minimal debt and low debt-to-equity profile provide durable financial resilience against underwriting volatility and catastrophe losses. A conservative capital structure preserves capacity to retain risk, purchase reinsurance, and maintain operations through multi-year underwriting stress without forced balance-sheet actions.
Negative Factors
Multi-year net losses and weak profitability
Sustained net losses from 2022–2025 and negative trailing results indicate structural pressure on underwriting margins and expense absorption. Persistent negative profitability erodes return on equity and limits the firm's ability to organically build capital, increasing reliance on pricing changes or capital raises to restore durable profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
NI Holdings' minimal debt and low debt-to-equity profile provide durable financial resilience against underwriting volatility and catastrophe losses. A conservative capital structure preserves capacity to retain risk, purchase reinsurance, and maintain operations through multi-year underwriting stress without forced balance-sheet actions.
Read all positive factors

NI Holdings (NODK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NI Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NI Holdings, Inc. underwrites property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company's products include private passenger auto, non-standard automobile, homeowners, farm owners, crop hail and multi-peril crop, and liability ins...
How the Company Makes Money
NI Holdings makes money primarily through (1) underwriting revenue from P&C insurance and (2) investment income on its investment portfolio. Underwriting revenue consists of premiums collected from policyholders (personal and commercial lines), ne...

NI Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement performance is weak (ongoing net losses and weaker 2025 operating results with negative TTM), and cash flow has turned negative on a TTM basis after prior-year strength. This is partially offset by a conservative balance sheet with minimal debt and stable equity, which provides resilience but is not translating into acceptable returns.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue273.22M285.05M325.20M304.02M267.78M323.97M
Gross Profit44.13M84.26M46.48M49.87M-27.57M43.02M
EBITDA-3.58M-11.54M10.83M21.27M-52.22M12.47M
Net Income-4.37M-10.41M-6.06M-5.48M-53.10M8.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets492.11M506.00M526.54M654.89M614.23M651.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments189.21M182.63M191.97M330.44M175.04M435.27M
Total Debt0.000.001.82M2.06M1.84M0.00
Total Liabilities241.91M265.67M281.91M404.49M361.02M304.37M
Stockholders Equity250.20M240.34M244.63M247.64M250.98M343.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-27.05M1.79M37.52M25.00M-31.55M28.47M
Operating Cash Flow-27.03M2.00M38.51M25.97M-30.39M29.17M
Investing Cash Flow31.23M-2.00M-4.54M-8.81M25.05M-48.15M
Financing Cash Flow-3.69M-2.67M-3.64M-7.47M-18.28M-11.47M

NI Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.27
Price Trends
50DMA
13.09
Positive
100DMA
13.22
Positive
200DMA
13.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Negative
RSI
60.91
Neutral
STOCH
91.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NODK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.29, above the 50-day MA of 13.09, and below the 200-day MA of 13.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NODK.

NI Holdings Risk Analysis

NI Holdings disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NI Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NI Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$655.63M13.6010.41%3.51%-2.46%-11.49%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$530.20M7.0933.02%10.65%39.18%
62
Neutral
$225.82M-9.060.11%0.57%39.38%27.06%
55
Neutral
$396.78M23.013.63%5.01%2.99%14.96%
46
Neutral
$281.82M5.38-4.24%-15.19%-182.34%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NODK
NI Holdings
13.76
0.96
7.50%
DGICA
Donegal Group
17.44
-1.63
-8.54%
GBLI
Global Indemnity
27.16
-2.19
-7.45%
KINS
Kingstone Companies
15.59
0.16
1.06%
ACIC
American Coastal Insurance
10.94
0.62
6.03%

NI Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
NI Holdings Announces Upcoming Board Transition in 2026
Neutral
Feb 23, 2026
On February 17, 2026, NI Holdings, Inc. director Duaine C. Espegard informed the board that he will not stand for re-election at the company’s 2026 annual meeting of stockholders. The company stated that Espegard’s decision was not due...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026