tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Roku (ROKU)
NASDAQ:ROKU
Advertisement

Roku (ROKU) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
14,501 Followers

Top Page

ROKU

Roku

(NASDAQ:ROKU)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$101.00
▲(12.07%Upside)
Roku's strong technical momentum and positive earnings call outlook are significant strengths, supported by robust revenue growth. However, stretched valuation metrics and ongoing profitability challenges weigh on the score. The company's strategic focus on platform growth and first-party data utilization presents an optimistic growth trajectory.
Positive Factors
Monetization
Roku is leveraging The Trade Desk and now Amazon as third-party monetization partners, which can improve fill rates over time.
Platform Growth
Roku's partnership strategy can sustain Platform growth.
Revenue Growth
Roku's robust viewing growth is seen as a lead indicator for revenue growth upside.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
The ongoing narrative around potential share loss to Walmart and Vizio is challenging to dispel.
Stock Performance
Roku shares increased +7%, lagging the NASDAQ's +85% gain and many mid-to-large cap stocks in the coverage universe.

Roku (ROKU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Roku Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRoku, Inc. is a leading streaming platform in the United States, specializing in the provision of streaming services and devices. The company operates within the technology and entertainment sectors, offering a variety of products, including streaming players and TV-related audio devices. Roku's platform allows users to access a wide range of content, including movies, TV shows, live news, sports, and more, by connecting directly to streaming services over the internet.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoku primarily generates revenue through three key streams: platform revenue, player revenue, and advertising. Platform revenue is derived from licensing fees paid by content providers, subscription and transaction fees from premium content, and advertising sales on the Roku platform. Player revenue comes from the sale of Roku streaming devices, including streaming players and Roku TVs. Advertising, a significant component of platform revenue, includes revenue from video advertisements, audience development promotions, and digital advertising via the Roku Channel and other streaming services. Partnerships with content providers, advertisers, and smart TV manufacturers further contribute to Roku's earnings, enabling the company to expand its user base and content offerings.

Roku Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Accounts
Active Accounts
Measures the number of user accounts actively engaging with Roku's platform, indicating growth in user base and potential for increased ad revenue.
Chart InsightsRoku's active accounts have shown consistent growth, reaching 89.8 million by the end of 2024. This upward trend is supported by strong platform revenue growth and successful international expansion, as highlighted in the latest earnings call. Management's focus on advertising strategies and leveraging Roku's home screen for monetization are key drivers. Despite some concerns over device margin pressures and potential impacts from Walmart's acquisition of VIZIO, the company remains optimistic about maintaining momentum, aiming to reach 100 million streaming households globally in the next 12 to 18 months.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Roku Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 33.97%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Roku's earnings call highlighted significant growth in Platform and advertising revenue, bolstered by strategic partnerships and acquisitions like Frndly. However, challenges such as macroeconomic uncertainties affecting advertising commitments and tariff concerns impacting device operations were also noted. Despite these challenges, the reiteration of full-year guidance and strong growth in key areas indicate a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Reaffirmed Full-Year Guidance
Roku reaffirmed its Platform revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlook for the full year 2025, projecting $3.950 billion in Platform revenue and adjusted EBITDA of $350 million.
Strong Platform Revenue Growth
Platform revenue grew faster than the overall OTT ad market, with significant growth in ad revenue driven by programmatic advertising and deeper DSP integrations.
Roku Channel Growth
The Roku Channel became the number two app on the Roku platform in the U.S., with global engagement growing 84% year-over-year.
Acquisition of Frndly
Roku announced the acquisition of Frndly, a skinny bundle subscription service, expected to be adjusted EBITDA margin accretive in its first full year.
Focus on First-Party Data
Roku emphasized the value of its 100% authenticated first-party data, highlighting its role in proving performance and enhancing advertisers' ROI.
Negative Updates
Impact of Macro Uncertainties
Advertisers are shifting from longer-term guaranteed commitments to shorter-term non-guaranteed campaigns due to macroeconomic uncertainties, impacting revenue predictability.
Device Revenue Volatility
Device revenue is experiencing flattening growth, attributed to variability in first-party TV sales, though Roku emphasizes household growth over revenue.
Tariff Concerns
Ongoing tariff concerns are affecting device manufacturing and pricing, although Roku is attempting to mitigate this through diversified manufacturing and pricing strategies.
Company Guidance
During the Roku First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reiterated its guidance for the full year, forecasting Platform revenue to reach $3.950 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $350 million, despite macroeconomic uncertainties. The company highlighted several positive trends, including the ongoing shift from linear to streaming and the increasing preference of advertisers for programmatic over direct insertion orders, which have bolstered confidence in achieving these targets. Furthermore, Roku emphasized its diversified revenue streams and robust ad business, noting that ad revenue outpaced the overall OTT ad market. The company also mentioned its strategic focus on enhancing the Roku Experience and growing subscriptions, including its recent acquisition of Frndly, which is expected to be EBITDA accretive in its first year. Additionally, Roku outlined its efforts to leverage its first-party data to enhance advertiser ROI, contributing to its optimistic outlook for sustained growth and achieving positive operating income by 2026.

Roku Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Roku demonstrates strong revenue growth and improving cash flow, but persistent net losses and negative profit margins highlight ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, indicating a strong capital structure, although inefficiencies in utilizing equity capital persist.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Roku's revenue has shown consistent growth, increasing from $1.78 billion in 2020 to $4.25 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. The company achieved a gross profit margin of 43.21% in TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin remains negative at -24.92%, primarily due to continuous operating losses. Despite improvements, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are still negative, indicating challenges in achieving operational profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Roku maintains a solid equity position with an equity ratio of 60.42% in TTM 2025, showcasing a stable capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low at 0.20, reflecting a conservative approach to leveraging. Despite this, the company has struggled to generate positive returns, as indicated by the negative ROE of -4.20%, suggesting inefficiencies in utilizing equity capital for profit generation.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Roku has demonstrated strong free cash flow growth, with a significant increase in free cash flow from -$149.9 million in 2022 to $303.77 million in TTM 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating effective cash management. The positive shift in free cash flow signals improved operational efficiency and financial health, although ongoing net losses remain a concern.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.11B3.48B3.13B2.76B1.78B
Gross Profit1.81B1.52B1.44B1.41B808.22M
EBITDA196.91M-570.67M-382.96M313.21M49.93M
Net Income-129.39M-709.56M-498.00M242.38M-17.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.30B4.26B4.41B4.08B2.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.16B2.03B1.96B2.15B1.09B
Total Debt591.93M654.27M664.64M484.59M402.68M
Total Liabilities1.81B1.94B1.77B1.32B942.53M
Stockholders Equity2.49B2.33B2.65B2.77B1.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow212.98M173.24M-149.90M188.04M65.81M
Operating Cash Flow218.04M255.86M11.79M228.08M148.19M
Investing Cash Flow-25.06M-92.62M-201.70M-176.82M-81.32M
Financing Cash Flow-89.20M-61.24M8.36M1.00B509.05M

Roku Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price90.12
Price Trends
50DMA
81.30
Positive
100DMA
74.32
Positive
200DMA
76.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.70
Positive
RSI
60.80
Neutral
STOCH
27.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ROKU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 90.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.29, above the 50-day MA of 81.30, and above the 200-day MA of 76.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ROKU.

Roku Risk Analysis

Roku disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Roku reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Roku Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$24.22B14.0416.89%0.95%15.70%26.73%
78
Outperform
$219.24B25.118.75%0.82%5.33%431.28%
75
Outperform
$501.74B50.3243.55%14.28%46.86%
73
Outperform
$13.21B-4.34%17.30%81.72%
68
Neutral
$16.41B36.8189.20%2.31%-0.91%-14.87%
62
Neutral
$42.18B-1.56-12.06%2.81%2.10%-71.01%
60
Neutral
$32.93B-27.69%-5.58%-254.85%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ROKU
Roku
90.12
31.08
52.64%
DIS
Walt Disney
121.47
32.32
36.25%
NFLX
Netflix
1,180.49
549.12
86.97%
FOXA
Fox
56.67
19.59
52.83%
WMG
Warner Music Group
31.15
2.02
6.93%
WBD
Warner Bros
13.49
5.18
62.33%

Roku Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Roku Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, Key Proposals Approved
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Roku, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where several key proposals were voted on. Stockholders elected Class II directors to serve until 2028, approved executive compensation, decided on an annual frequency for advisory votes on executive compensation, and ratified the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025. These decisions reflect ongoing governance and operational strategies that may impact Roku’s corporate direction and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ROKU) stock is a Buy with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Roku stock, see the ROKU Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Roku Announces Resignation of Senior VP Louise Pentland
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Roku announced that Louise Pentland, their Senior Vice President and General Counsel, will resign effective May 16, 2025, to pursue another opportunity. Her resignation is not due to any disagreements with the company or its board, and Roku plans to conduct an executive search for her successor.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 11, 2025