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Fox (FOXA)
NASDAQ:FOXA

Fox (FOXA) AI Stock Analysis

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FOXA

Fox

(NASDAQ:FOXA)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$83.00
▲(14.40% Upside)
Fox Corporation's stock is performing well, driven by strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators. The company's strategic initiatives, such as the share buyback and Tubi's growth, are positive. However, challenges like declining free cash flow and subscriber numbers need attention. The stock's valuation is fair, with a reasonable P/E ratio and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Advertising and Live Sports Strength
Fox’s leadership in live news and sports generates premium, real-time audiences that sustain higher ad pricing and reliable ratings. This structural advantage supports durable advertising revenue and affiliate demand, underpinning consistent cash flows despite secular streaming shifts.
Tubi Growth and Profitability
Tubi’s rapid revenue growth and earlier-than-expected profitability provide durable diversification from linear TV. A profitable AVOD business improves overall margin mix, expands digital monetization capabilities, and reduces dependence on cyclical linear ad markets over the medium term.
Improved Leverage and Strong ROE
Lower leverage and a robust ROE give Fox financial flexibility to fund rights, buybacks, and investments without overextending the balance sheet. Strong equity returns indicate effective capital allocation and enhance resilience against cyclicality in advertising and content markets.
Negative Factors
Declining Free Cash Flow
A sustained decline in free cash flow reduces internal funding for content rights, technology, and strategic initiatives. Weaker cash generation limits flexibility for buybacks or buffering against advertising cyclicality, raising the need for prudent capital allocation and liquidity management.
Persistent Subscriber Declines
Ongoing subscriber attrition erodes affiliate and distribution fee revenue, weakening a long-term revenue base. Persistent declines reduce bargaining power with distributors and could compress distribution margins, pressuring recurring revenue streams over multiple quarters.
Material Legal and Reputational Risk
The large defamation lawsuit represents a material legal and reputational overhang that could result in significant cash outflows, higher defense costs, and strained advertiser or distributor relationships if liability or reputational damage occurs, affecting long-term business stability.

Fox (FOXA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fox Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFox Corporation operates as a news, sports, and entertainment company in the United States (U.S.). The company operates through Cable Network Programming; Television; and Other, Corporate and Eliminations segments. The Cable Network Programming segment produces and licenses news, business news, and sports content for distribution through traditional and virtual multi-channel video programming distributors (MVPDs) and other digital platforms, primarily in the U.S. It operates FOX News, a national cable news channel; FOX Business, a business news national cable channel; FS1 and FS2 multi-sport national networks; FOX Sports Racing, a video programming service that comprises motor sports programming; FOX Soccer Plus, a video programming network for live soccer and rugby competitions; FOX Deportes, a Spanish-language sports programming service; and Big Ten Network, a national video programming service. The Television segment acquires, produces, markets, and distributes programming. It operates The FOX Network, a national television broadcast network that broadcasts sports programming and entertainment; Tubi, an advertising-supported video-on-demand service; Fox Alternative Entertainment, a full-service production studio that develops and produces unscripted and alternative programming; MyNetworkTV, a programming distribution service; and Blockchain Creative Labs, which is focuses on the creation, distribution and monetization of Web3 content. This segment owns and operates 29 broadcast television stations. The Other, Corporate and Eliminations segment owns the FOX Studios Lot that provides production and post-production services, including 15 sound stages, two broadcast studios, theaters and screening rooms, editing rooms, and other television and film production facilities in Los Angeles, California. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyFox generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily through advertising sales and affiliate fees. The company's advertising revenue comes from commercial airtime sold during broadcasts, which is particularly lucrative during live sports events and prime-time shows. Additionally, Fox earns affiliate fees from cable and satellite providers who carry its channels, providing a steady income stream. The company also benefits from licensing its content to third-party platforms and international broadcasters. Significant partnerships with sports leagues and major events, such as the NFL and MLB, enhance its revenue potential by attracting large audiences and advertisers. Furthermore, digital initiatives and streaming services contribute to its earnings by expanding its reach and offering additional monetization opportunities.

Fox Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue and advertising growth, significant achievements at Tubi, and successful sports programming, along with a strategic share buyback. However, challenges such as a decline in net income, negative free cash flow, and subscriber decline were noted.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Fox Corporation reported revenue growth of 5% and EBITDA growth of 2% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026.
Strong Advertising Revenue
Advertising revenue increased by 6%, driven by robust trends in news, sports, entertainment, and Tubi, despite the absence of last year's political revenue.
Tubi's Performance
Tubi achieved 27% revenue growth and reached profitability in the first quarter, driven by an 18% increase in total view time.
Cable Networks Revenue
Cable Networks revenue grew 4%, with cable advertising revenues up 7%, driven by robust pricing at FOX News.
FOX Sports Success
FOX Sports saw a 12% increase in NFL viewership and a 22% increase in college football viewership, contributing to strong sports programming performance.
Share Buyback Program
Fox announced a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase transaction, reflecting confidence in the business outlook.
Negative Updates
Net Income Decline
Net income attributable to stockholders was $599 million, down from $827 million in the prior year period.
Free Cash Flow Negative
Free cash flow was negative $234 million in the quarter, consistent with the seasonality of the working capital cycle.
Subscriber Declines
Subscriber declines remained below 7% for the third consecutive quarter, indicating ongoing challenges in maintaining subscriber numbers.
Company Guidance
During the Fox Corporation's First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 earnings call, the company reported a strong start to the fiscal year with a 5% increase in revenue and a 2% growth in EBITDA. Advertising revenue rose by 6% despite the absence of last year's political revenue, driven by robust performance across news, sports, entertainment, and the Tubi platform. Distribution revenue grew by 3%, with subscriber declines remaining under 7% for the third consecutive quarter. Tubi achieved a 27% revenue growth, supported by an 18% increase in view time, and reached profitability earlier than expected. FOX News remained the most-watched cable network, contributing to the highest first-quarter ad revenue in its history. The company announced a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase transaction, reflecting confidence in its financial outlook.

Fox Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fox exhibits a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The balance sheet shows improved leverage ratios, enhancing financial stability. However, the decline in free cash flow growth is a potential risk that needs to be addressed to maintain long-term financial health.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Fox has demonstrated solid revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.07% and a consistent increase over the past years. The gross profit margin is strong at 66% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 12.35% TTM from 13.88% in the previous annual report, suggesting some pressure on profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, reflecting stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.54 TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage and a stronger equity position. Return on equity is robust at 17.25% TTM, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure. However, the overall debt level remains significant, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Fox's cash flow performance shows some mixed results. The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -7.48% TTM, indicating a decline in cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.23 TTM, suggesting good cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 0.91 TTM, but the declining trend in free cash flow growth is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.47B16.30B13.98B14.91B13.97B12.91B
Gross Profit6.80B5.40B13.98B14.91B13.97B12.91B
EBITDA3.49B3.85B2.90B2.50B2.43B3.61B
Net Income2.04B2.26B1.50B1.24B1.21B2.15B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.77B23.20B21.97B21.87B22.18B22.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.37B5.35B4.32B4.27B5.20B5.89B
Total Debt7.45B7.46B8.15B8.21B7.72B8.45B
Total Liabilities10.37B10.84B10.92B11.21B10.62B11.54B
Stockholders Equity12.21B11.96B10.71B10.38B11.34B11.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.67B2.99B1.50B1.44B1.58B2.15B
Operating Cash Flow3.04B3.32B1.84B1.80B1.88B2.64B
Investing Cash Flow-714.00M-537.00M-452.00M-438.00M-513.00M-528.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.01B-1.75B-1.34B-2.29B-2.06B-870.00M

Fox Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price72.55
Price Trends
50DMA
69.60
Positive
100DMA
64.86
Positive
200DMA
59.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.17
Positive
RSI
51.19
Neutral
STOCH
15.80
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FOXA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 72.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.65, above the 50-day MA of 69.60, and above the 200-day MA of 59.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.80 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FOXA.

Fox Risk Analysis

Fox disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fox reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fox Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$30.83B16.4517.33%0.75%14.91%9.30%
75
Outperform
$202.68B16.5811.78%1.10%3.61%152.34%
71
Outperform
$404.63B36.7842.86%15.49%35.54%
68
Neutral
$70.96B151.871.36%-4.29%
67
Neutral
$15.77B33.365.59%0.76%-16.36%29.53%
65
Neutral
$15.89B-530.15-1.09%16.61%83.98%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FOXA
Fox
72.55
25.00
52.58%
NWSA
News Corp
26.70
-0.54
-1.98%
DIS
Walt Disney
113.41
7.56
7.14%
NFLX
Netflix
88.05
2.24
2.61%
ROKU
Roku
104.97
29.08
38.32%
WBD
Warner Bros
28.49
18.97
199.26%

Fox Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Fox Holds Annual Meeting, Elects Board Members
Neutral
Nov 17, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Fox Company held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. The election of directors saw Lachlan K. Murdoch, Tony Abbott AC, William A. Burck, Chase Carey, Roland A. Hernandez, Margaret “Peggy” L. Johnson, and Paul D. Ryan elected to the board. The stockholders also ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026. Additionally, the advisory vote on executive officer compensation was approved, and it was decided to hold such votes annually. However, stockholder proposals to improve the executive compensation program and to implement a simple majority vote did not pass.

The most recent analyst rating on (FOXA) stock is a Buy with a $77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fox stock, see the FOXA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025