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Fox (FOXA)
NASDAQ:FOXA

Fox (FOXA) AI Stock Analysis

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FOXA

Fox

(NASDAQ:FOXA)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$73.00
▲(2.57% Upside)
Fox Corporation's stock is performing well, driven by strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators. The company's strategic initiatives, such as the share buyback and Tubi's growth, are positive. However, challenges like declining free cash flow and subscriber numbers need attention. The stock's valuation is fair, with a reasonable P/E ratio and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand for Fox's content and services, enhancing its market position and financial stability.
Tubi's Performance
Tubi's growth and profitability highlight Fox's successful digital strategy, expanding its audience reach and revenue streams.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Audiochuck enhances Fox's content portfolio and advertising capabilities, strengthening its competitive edge.
Negative Factors
Net Income Decline
The decline in net income suggests potential challenges in cost management or revenue generation, impacting profitability.
Free Cash Flow Negative
Negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, affecting Fox's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Subscriber Declines
Continued subscriber declines may limit Fox's revenue potential from traditional broadcasting, necessitating strategic adjustments.

Fox (FOXA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fox Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFox Corporation operates as a news, sports, and entertainment company in the United States (U.S.). The company operates through Cable Network Programming; Television; and Other, Corporate and Eliminations segments. The Cable Network Programming segment produces and licenses news, business news, and sports content for distribution through traditional and virtual multi-channel video programming distributors (MVPDs) and other digital platforms, primarily in the U.S. It operates FOX News, a national cable news channel; FOX Business, a business news national cable channel; FS1 and FS2 multi-sport national networks; FOX Sports Racing, a video programming service that comprises motor sports programming; FOX Soccer Plus, a video programming network for live soccer and rugby competitions; FOX Deportes, a Spanish-language sports programming service; and Big Ten Network, a national video programming service. The Television segment acquires, produces, markets, and distributes programming. It operates The FOX Network, a national television broadcast network that broadcasts sports programming and entertainment; Tubi, an advertising-supported video-on-demand service; Fox Alternative Entertainment, a full-service production studio that develops and produces unscripted and alternative programming; MyNetworkTV, a programming distribution service; and Blockchain Creative Labs, which is focuses on the creation, distribution and monetization of Web3 content. This segment owns and operates 29 broadcast television stations. The Other, Corporate and Eliminations segment owns the FOX Studios Lot that provides production and post-production services, including 15 sound stages, two broadcast studios, theaters and screening rooms, editing rooms, and other television and film production facilities in Los Angeles, California. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyFox generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily through advertising sales and affiliate fees. The company's advertising revenue comes from commercial airtime sold during broadcasts, which is particularly lucrative during live sports events and prime-time shows. Additionally, Fox earns affiliate fees from cable and satellite providers who carry its channels, providing a steady income stream. The company also benefits from licensing its content to third-party platforms and international broadcasters. Significant partnerships with sports leagues and major events, such as the NFL and MLB, enhance its revenue potential by attracting large audiences and advertisers. Furthermore, digital initiatives and streaming services contribute to its earnings by expanding its reach and offering additional monetization opportunities.

Fox Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue and advertising growth, significant achievements at Tubi, and successful sports programming, along with a strategic share buyback. However, challenges such as a decline in net income, negative free cash flow, and subscriber decline were noted.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Fox Corporation reported revenue growth of 5% and EBITDA growth of 2% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026.
Strong Advertising Revenue
Advertising revenue increased by 6%, driven by robust trends in news, sports, entertainment, and Tubi, despite the absence of last year's political revenue.
Tubi's Performance
Tubi achieved 27% revenue growth and reached profitability in the first quarter, driven by an 18% increase in total view time.
Cable Networks Revenue
Cable Networks revenue grew 4%, with cable advertising revenues up 7%, driven by robust pricing at FOX News.
FOX Sports Success
FOX Sports saw a 12% increase in NFL viewership and a 22% increase in college football viewership, contributing to strong sports programming performance.
Share Buyback Program
Fox announced a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase transaction, reflecting confidence in the business outlook.
Negative Updates
Net Income Decline
Net income attributable to stockholders was $599 million, down from $827 million in the prior year period.
Free Cash Flow Negative
Free cash flow was negative $234 million in the quarter, consistent with the seasonality of the working capital cycle.
Subscriber Declines
Subscriber declines remained below 7% for the third consecutive quarter, indicating ongoing challenges in maintaining subscriber numbers.
Company Guidance
During the Fox Corporation's First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 earnings call, the company reported a strong start to the fiscal year with a 5% increase in revenue and a 2% growth in EBITDA. Advertising revenue rose by 6% despite the absence of last year's political revenue, driven by robust performance across news, sports, entertainment, and the Tubi platform. Distribution revenue grew by 3%, with subscriber declines remaining under 7% for the third consecutive quarter. Tubi achieved a 27% revenue growth, supported by an 18% increase in view time, and reached profitability earlier than expected. FOX News remained the most-watched cable network, contributing to the highest first-quarter ad revenue in its history. The company announced a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase transaction, reflecting confidence in its financial outlook.

Fox Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fox exhibits a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The balance sheet shows improved leverage ratios, enhancing financial stability. However, the decline in free cash flow growth is a potential risk that needs to be addressed to maintain long-term financial health.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Fox has demonstrated solid revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.07% and a consistent increase over the past years. The gross profit margin is strong at 66% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 12.35% TTM from 13.88% in the previous annual report, suggesting some pressure on profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, reflecting stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.54 TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage and a stronger equity position. Return on equity is robust at 17.25% TTM, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure. However, the overall debt level remains significant, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Fox's cash flow performance shows some mixed results. The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -7.48% TTM, indicating a decline in cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.23 TTM, suggesting good cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 0.91 TTM, but the declining trend in free cash flow growth is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.47B16.30B13.98B14.91B13.97B12.91B
Gross Profit6.80B5.40B13.98B14.91B13.97B12.91B
EBITDA3.49B3.85B2.90B2.50B2.43B3.61B
Net Income2.04B2.26B1.50B1.24B1.21B2.15B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.77B23.20B21.97B21.87B22.18B22.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.37B5.35B4.32B4.27B5.20B5.89B
Total Debt7.45B7.46B8.15B8.21B7.72B8.45B
Total Liabilities10.37B10.84B10.92B11.21B10.62B11.54B
Stockholders Equity12.21B11.96B10.71B10.38B11.34B11.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.67B2.99B1.50B1.44B1.58B2.15B
Operating Cash Flow3.04B3.32B1.84B1.80B1.88B2.64B
Investing Cash Flow-714.00M-537.00M-452.00M-438.00M-513.00M-528.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.01B-1.75B-1.34B-2.29B-2.06B-870.00M

Fox Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price71.17
Price Trends
50DMA
64.27
Positive
100DMA
61.57
Positive
200DMA
57.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.97
Negative
RSI
70.01
Negative
STOCH
66.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FOXA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 71.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.87, above the 50-day MA of 64.27, and above the 200-day MA of 57.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.01 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FOXA.

Fox Risk Analysis

Fox disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fox reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fox Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$29.40B15.8417.33%0.77%14.91%9.30%
75
Outperform
$199.27B16.3011.78%1.13%3.61%152.34%
73
Outperform
$432.14B39.6042.86%15.49%35.54%
68
Neutral
$71.63B150.371.36%-4.29%
67
Neutral
$15.21B32.245.59%0.77%-16.36%29.53%
65
Neutral
$16.41B-543.89-1.09%16.61%83.98%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FOXA
Fox
71.17
22.79
47.11%
NWSA
News Corp
26.03
-1.38
-5.03%
DIS
Walt Disney
110.63
0.48
0.44%
NFLX
Netflix
94.79
4.59
5.09%
ROKU
Roku
107.69
29.26
37.31%
WBD
Warner Bros
28.21
17.72
168.92%

Fox Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Fox Holds Annual Meeting, Elects Board Members
Neutral
Nov 17, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Fox Company held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. The election of directors saw Lachlan K. Murdoch, Tony Abbott AC, William A. Burck, Chase Carey, Roland A. Hernandez, Margaret “Peggy” L. Johnson, and Paul D. Ryan elected to the board. The stockholders also ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026. Additionally, the advisory vote on executive officer compensation was approved, and it was decided to hold such votes annually. However, stockholder proposals to improve the executive compensation program and to implement a simple majority vote did not pass.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Fox Corporation’s New Stockholders Agreement with LGC
Neutral
Sep 10, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Fox Corporation entered into a new stockholders agreement with LGC Holdco and the LGC Family Trusts, replacing a previous agreement with the Murdoch Family Trust. This new agreement maintains similar terms, such as limiting the Murdoch Individuals and associated trusts’ voting power to 44% of the company’s Class B common stock, and includes provisions for right of first refusal and registration rights. Additionally, an underwriting agreement was executed with Morgan Stanley for the sale of 16,835,016 shares of Class B common stock by certain trusts, closing on September 10, 2025. The company did not sell shares or receive proceeds from this sale.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fox Resolves Murdoch Trust Dispute, Restructures Holdings
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Fox Corporation announced the resolution of legal proceedings related to the Murdoch Family Trust, leading to the establishment of new trusts for Lachlan, Grace, and Chloe Murdoch. The Departing Beneficiaries, including Prudence MacLeod, Elisabeth Murdoch, and James Murdoch, will no longer be beneficiaries and intend to sell approximately 16.9 million shares of FOX’s Class B common stock in a public offering. The proceeds will benefit the Departing Beneficiaries and associated charitable organizations. LGC Holdco, owned by the Remaining Beneficiary Trusts, will retain significant shares in FOX and News Corporation, with voting control resting with Lachlan Murdoch. This restructuring is expected to solidify Lachlan Murdoch’s leadership and influence within the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025