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Fox Corporation Class A (FOXA)
NASDAQ:FOXA

Fox (FOXA) AI Stock Analysis

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FOXA

Fox

(NASDAQ:FOXA)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$74.00
▲(9.26% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial fundamentals (profitability, ROE, manageable leverage, and strong absolute free cash flow) and a generally positive earnings-call outlook with streaming/engagement momentum and shareholder returns. This is tempered by weak near-term technicals (downtrend and negative MACD) and some profitability/margin pressure highlighted in the latest quarter.
Positive Factors
Strong Free Cash Flow
Sizable trailing‑12‑month free cash flow (~$2.5B) provides durable internal funding to cover content rights, buybacks, and dividends while supporting execution of strategic initiatives. Even with volatility, strong absolute FCF enhances financial flexibility over the medium term.
Manageable Leverage & Strong ROE
Debt near 0.6x equity and a ~17% TTM ROE indicate efficient capital use with reasonable leverage headroom. This balance-sheet profile supports continued content investment and shareholder returns while preserving capacity to absorb cyclical swings in advertising or rights timing.
Tubi Streaming Momentum & Profitability
Rapid audience and revenue growth at Tubi, plus consecutive quarters of EBITDA profitability, represent structural diversification away from linear TV. Persistent streaming engagement and improving unit economics reduce reliance on volatile live ad cycles and support sustainable long‑term margin improvement.
Negative Factors
Declining Adjusted EBITDA & Net Income
An ~11% drop in adjusted EBITDA and materially lower GAAP net income show profitability has not kept pace with revenue gains. Persistent margin pressure can erode cash generation and constrain reinvestment, making sustained margin recovery a critical medium‑term challenge.
Rising Sports Rights and Production Costs
Escalating sports rights and production expenses are a structural cost headwind for a sports- and live‑events dependent model. Higher fixed rights costs compress margin leverage on ad and distribution revenue and can force tradeoffs among rights, pricing, or content investment.
TV Segment Weakness & Subscriber Declines
A roughly 30% decline in TV segment EBITDA and ongoing pay‑TV subscriber erosion reflect structural cord‑cutting pressures. Reduced affiliate economics and weaker TV EBITDA make monetizing live programming harder and increase reliance on digital growth to offset linear declines.

Fox (FOXA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fox Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFox Corporation operates as a news, sports, and entertainment company in the United States (U.S.). The company operates through Cable Network Programming; Television; and Other, Corporate and Eliminations segments. The Cable Network Programming segment produces and licenses news, business news, and sports content for distribution through traditional and virtual multi-channel video programming distributors (MVPDs) and other digital platforms, primarily in the U.S. It operates FOX News, a national cable news channel; FOX Business, a business news national cable channel; FS1 and FS2 multi-sport national networks; FOX Sports Racing, a video programming service that comprises motor sports programming; FOX Soccer Plus, a video programming network for live soccer and rugby competitions; FOX Deportes, a Spanish-language sports programming service; and Big Ten Network, a national video programming service. The Television segment acquires, produces, markets, and distributes programming. It operates The FOX Network, a national television broadcast network that broadcasts sports programming and entertainment; Tubi, an advertising-supported video-on-demand service; Fox Alternative Entertainment, a full-service production studio that develops and produces unscripted and alternative programming; MyNetworkTV, a programming distribution service; and Blockchain Creative Labs, which is focuses on the creation, distribution and monetization of Web3 content. This segment owns and operates 29 broadcast television stations. The Other, Corporate and Eliminations segment owns the FOX Studios Lot that provides production and post-production services, including 15 sound stages, two broadcast studios, theaters and screening rooms, editing rooms, and other television and film production facilities in Los Angeles, California. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyFox generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily through advertising sales and affiliate fees. The company's advertising revenue comes from commercial airtime sold during broadcasts, which is particularly lucrative during live sports events and prime-time shows. Additionally, Fox earns affiliate fees from cable and satellite providers who carry its channels, providing a steady income stream. The company also benefits from licensing its content to third-party platforms and international broadcasters. Significant partnerships with sports leagues and major events, such as the NFL and MLB, enhance its revenue potential by attracting large audiences and advertisers. Furthermore, digital initiatives and streaming services contribute to its earnings by expanding its reach and offering additional monetization opportunities.

Fox Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple material operational and strategic wins — broad-based advertising strength (especially in sports and news), notable streaming momentum with Tubi profitability and growing engagement, successful early uptake of Fox One, and strong shareholder returns. These positives were tempered by margin and profitability pressures: adjusted EBITDA and GAAP net income declined, the TV segment experienced a significant EBITDA drop, higher sports rights/production costs, and a seasonal free cash flow deficit. Overall, the momentum in revenue, audience engagement and strategic initiatives appears to outweigh the near-term earnings and cost headwinds.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Total Revenue Growth
Total revenues of $5.18 billion, a 2% increase year-over-year, driven by strength in advertising, distribution, and streaming.
Distribution Revenue Expansion
Distribution revenue grew 4% in the quarter, helped by pricing gains on affiliate renewals and improved sequential subscriber decline trends (subscriber decline improved to ~6.3%, excluding Fox One).
Cable Segment Outperformance
Cable reported revenues of $2.28 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $687 million, both up 5% year-over-year; cable advertising revenues grew 7% driven by higher pricing in news and sports.
Tubi: Audience and Revenue Momentum
Tubi delivered its most-streamed quarter ever with total viewer time up 27% YoY, revenue up 19% in the quarter, and achieved EBITDA profitability for the second consecutive quarter.
Record Sports and News Advertising
Record-breaking ad revenue for MLB postseason, highest ad revenue for NFL Sunday packages and college football regular season; Fox News achieved its highest second-quarter advertising revenue ever and added ~200 new advertisers in the half.
Digital and Engagement Strength
Fox News Digital social media views increased ~170% YoY; Fox News and Fox Business ranked #1 in YouTube video views among peers; total minutes viewed across sports, news, entertainment, and Tubi rose 15% YoY in calendar 2025.
Fox One Early Traction
Fox One (launched five months ago) exceeded expectations: meaningful direct sign-ups and partnerships, no noticeable cannibalization of traditional subscribers, news comprises ~1/3 of minutes viewed and news viewers engage ~2x more days/week and ~3x more minutes/week vs non-news viewers.
Shareholder Returns and Balance Sheet Discipline
Repurchased an additional $1.8 billion this fiscal year (cumulative $8.4 billion since 2019 ≈ 35% of shares outstanding), announced a $0.28/share semiannual dividend, and reported $2.0 billion cash vs $6.6 billion debt.
Negative Updates
Decline in Adjusted EBITDA
Quarterly adjusted EBITDA was $692 million versus $781 million prior year, a decline of $89 million (≈ -11%), as revenue gains were offset by higher expenses including digital growth initiatives and elevated sports programming and production costs.
Net Income and GAAP EPS Pressure
Net income attributable to stockholders fell to $229 million (EPS $0.52) from $373 million (EPS $0.81) the prior year; adjusted net income was $360 million with adjusted EPS $0.82, reflecting weaker GAAP results.
Television Segment Weakness
Television segment revenues of $2.94 billion; advertising flat and television content & other revenues down 19% YoY (timing of deliveries), with segment EBITDA down to $143 million from $205 million (~-30%).
Increased Corporate Costs from Fox One
Corporate segment EBITDA negativity widened from $81 million to $138 million, predominantly due to Fox One operating costs (platform costs sit in corporate; affiliate fees flow to network segments).
Higher Sports Rights and Production Costs
Reported expense growth driven by higher sports programming and production rights costs, which partially offset revenue gains and pressured margins across segments.
Free Cash Flow Seasonality Resulted in Deficit
Recorded a free cash flow deficit of $71 million for the quarter, attributed to seasonality (concentration of sports rights payments and buildup of ad receivables), though management expects reversal in second half.
Subscriber Base Still Declining
While subscriber decline rates improved, the underlying pay-TV subscriber base still declined (~6.3% year-over-year excluding Fox One), reflecting ongoing industry cord-cutting trends.
Company Guidance
Management said it expects momentum to continue into the second half of FY2026, pointing to a robust political advertising cycle and a profitable FIFA World Cup, and reiterated targets and seasonality: total Q2 revenues were $5.18B with adjusted EBITDA of $692M and adjusted EPS of $0.82 (adjusted net income $360M); advertising was up 1%, distribution revenue up 4%, cable revenues $2.28B (+5%) with cable EBITDA $687M (+5%), television revenues $2.94B with TV EBITDA $143M, Tubi revenue +19% and total viewer time +27% YoY (Tubi achieved EBITDA profitability for the second consecutive quarter), total minutes viewed across brands +15% in CY2025, and scatter news pricing up ~46–47% YoY alongside ~200 new advertisers this half; management expects Fox One to reach low‑to‑mid single‑digit millions of subscribers over the next 3–4 years (subscriber declines improved to ~6.3% ex‑Fox One), free cash flow seasonality (Q2 FCF deficit $71M) to reverse in H2, remaining ASR settlement and continued buybacks (additional $1.8B FY‑to‑date, cumulative repurchases $8.4B or ~35% of shares), a $0.28/share semiannual dividend, and a strong balance sheet with ~$2B cash and $6.6B debt.

Fox Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is solid with healthy TTM margins and strong ROE (~17%), leverage looks manageable (debt ~0.6x equity), and absolute free cash flow is strong (~$2.5B). Offsetting this, margins and cash conversion have been volatile, and the latest period shows revenue strength but weaker net income versus FY2025.
Income Statement
78
Positive
FOXA shows solid profitability with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating and net margins around the high-teens and low-teens, respectively, supported by strong recent top-line momentum (TTM revenue growth of ~63% versus mid-teens in FY2025). That said, profitability has not scaled with revenue in the latest period (net income down versus FY2025), and margins have been volatile over the cycle (notably higher in FY2021 and meaningfully lower in FY2022–FY2024). Overall, the earnings profile is healthy but not consistently improving year to year.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage looks manageable with debt at roughly 0.6x equity in both TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and FY2025, an improvement from higher leverage levels seen in FY2023–FY2024. Returns on shareholder capital are strong (TTM return on equity ~17%), indicating efficient capital use. The main watch item is that debt remains sizable in absolute terms, and equity has moved around over time, so balance-sheet flexibility is good but not pristine.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow is substantial (~$2.5B) and tracks net income reasonably well (free cash flow at ~88% of net income), suggesting earnings are backed by cash. However, free cash flow growth is sharply negative in the TTM period (about -4.8x), and cash conversion has been inconsistent historically (operating cash flow relative to net income was notably weak in FY2023–FY2024). Strong absolute cash flow, but with volatility that tempers the score.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.30B13.98B14.91B13.97B12.91B
Gross Profit5.40B13.98B14.91B13.97B12.91B
EBITDA3.85B2.90B2.50B2.43B3.61B
Net Income2.26B1.50B1.24B1.21B2.15B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.20B21.97B21.87B22.18B22.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.35B4.32B4.27B5.20B5.89B
Total Debt7.46B8.15B8.21B7.72B8.45B
Total Liabilities10.84B10.92B11.21B10.62B11.54B
Stockholders Equity11.96B10.71B10.38B11.34B11.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.99B1.50B1.44B1.58B2.15B
Operating Cash Flow3.32B1.84B1.80B1.88B2.64B
Investing Cash Flow-537.00M-452.00M-438.00M-513.00M-528.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.75B-1.34B-2.29B-2.06B-870.00M

Fox Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price67.73
Price Trends
50DMA
71.24
Negative
100DMA
66.43
Positive
200DMA
60.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.40
Positive
RSI
31.72
Neutral
STOCH
26.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FOXA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 67.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.50, below the 50-day MA of 71.24, and above the 200-day MA of 60.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FOXA.

Fox Risk Analysis

Fox disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fox reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fox Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$189.64B15.3611.65%1.10%3.61%152.34%
69
Neutral
$338.45B31.7242.76%15.49%35.54%
68
Neutral
$28.44B16.9116.87%0.75%14.91%9.30%
68
Neutral
$66.99B144.081.36%-4.29%
66
Neutral
$14.50B31.155.59%0.76%-16.36%29.53%
65
Neutral
$13.61B-465.30-1.09%16.61%83.98%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FOXA
Fox
67.73
14.99
28.42%
NWSA
News Corp
24.69
-3.61
-12.76%
DIS
Walt Disney
107.05
-3.81
-3.44%
NFLX
Netflix
80.16
-21.41
-21.08%
ROKU
Roku
92.13
11.05
13.63%
WBD
Warner Bros
27.03
16.83
165.00%

Fox Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Fox Holds Annual Meeting, Elects Board Members
Neutral
Nov 17, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Fox Company held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. The election of directors saw Lachlan K. Murdoch, Tony Abbott AC, William A. Burck, Chase Carey, Roland A. Hernandez, Margaret “Peggy” L. Johnson, and Paul D. Ryan elected to the board. The stockholders also ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026. Additionally, the advisory vote on executive officer compensation was approved, and it was decided to hold such votes annually. However, stockholder proposals to improve the executive compensation program and to implement a simple majority vote did not pass.

The most recent analyst rating on (FOXA) stock is a Buy with a $77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fox stock, see the FOXA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026