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Fox (FOXA)
NASDAQ:FOXA
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Fox (FOXA) AI Stock Analysis

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FOXA

Fox

(NASDAQ:FOXA)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$64.00
▲(8.25% Upside)
Fox Corporation's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance, robust earnings call outcomes, and solid technical indicators. The company's strategic positioning in the Entertainment industry, coupled with its effective operational management and growth in digital platforms, enhances its attractiveness despite minor concerns over valuation and overbought technical signals.
Positive Factors
Advertising Revenue
Cable Networks revenue was better than estimated, with advertising revenue growth driven by higher news ratings and digital advertising revenues.
Financial Performance
Fox's F4Q results reflect a strong revenue and EBITDA beat, with total company revenue increasing 6.5% and EBITDA increasing 21%.
Shareholder Returns
Fox authorized an incremental $5 billion share repurchase authorization and increased their semi-annual dividend to $0.28/share.
Negative Factors
Future Investments
The negative share reaction immediately following earnings is largely due to FY26 management commentary, particularly digital investment of $350 million, an unexpected increase.
Market Dependencies
Caution is advised due to very challenging comparisons such as the Super Bowl and political events, as well as dependencies on Fox Broadcast's NFL and Fox News' pay TV bundle.
Profitability Concerns
Uncertainty exists regarding Tubi's path to profitability.

Fox (FOXA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fox Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFox Corporation operates as a news, sports, and entertainment company in the United States (U.S.). The company operates through Cable Network Programming; Television; and Other, Corporate and Eliminations segments. The Cable Network Programming segment produces and licenses news, business news, and sports content for distribution through traditional and virtual multi-channel video programming distributors (MVPDs) and other digital platforms, primarily in the U.S. It operates FOX News, a national cable news channel; FOX Business, a business news national cable channel; FS1 and FS2 multi-sport national networks; FOX Sports Racing, a video programming service that comprises motor sports programming; FOX Soccer Plus, a video programming network for live soccer and rugby competitions; FOX Deportes, a Spanish-language sports programming service; and Big Ten Network, a national video programming service. The Television segment acquires, produces, markets, and distributes programming. It operates The FOX Network, a national television broadcast network that broadcasts sports programming and entertainment; Tubi, an advertising-supported video-on-demand service; Fox Alternative Entertainment, a full-service production studio that develops and produces unscripted and alternative programming; MyNetworkTV, a programming distribution service; and Blockchain Creative Labs, which is focuses on the creation, distribution and monetization of Web3 content. This segment owns and operates 29 broadcast television stations. The Other, Corporate and Eliminations segment owns the FOX Studios Lot that provides production and post-production services, including 15 sound stages, two broadcast studios, theaters and screening rooms, editing rooms, and other television and film production facilities in Los Angeles, California. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyFox Corporation generates revenue through a multi-faceted business model primarily comprising advertising sales, affiliate fees, and content licensing. Advertising sales are a significant revenue stream, driven by the company's ability to attract large audiences to its sports, news, and entertainment programming. Affiliate fees are collected from cable and satellite providers that distribute Fox's content to their subscribers, providing a steady income stream. Additionally, Fox licenses its content to various digital platforms and international markets, further diversifying its revenue sources. Key partnerships with sports leagues and news organizations enhance Fox's content offerings and contribute to its financial performance.

Fox Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.76%|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements and record-breaking financial performance across various segments, including strong advertising revenue growth, successful broadcasts, and strategic digital investments. While there were challenges in the local advertising market, they were minor compared to the overall positive performance.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance
FOX delivered record financial results in fiscal 2025, with revenue growth of 17% to $16 billion, EBITDA growth of 26% to $3.6 billion, adjusted EPS growth of 39% to $4.78 per share, and free cash flow growth of 100% to $3 billion.
Strong Advertising Revenue Growth
Total advertising revenue increased by 26% to $7 billion, driven by strong performance across television and cable network programming segments, including record political advertising revenue of over $400 million.
Successful Super Bowl Broadcast
FOX's broadcast of Super Bowl LIX broke viewership and advertising records, generating over $800 million in gross advertising revenue.
FOX News Dominance
FOX News ended the fiscal year as the most-watched cable network, with a 25% increase in total day audience and a 31% increase in the demo, maintaining over 60% share of the cable news audience.
Tubi's Impressive Growth
Tubi achieved 17% growth in total view time, 32% revenue growth in the quarter, and delivered the most streamed Super Bowl in history with over 100 million monthly active users.
Share Repurchase Program
Announced a $5 billion increase to the share repurchase authorization, reflecting confidence in the business trajectory and financial strength.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Local Advertising Market
The local advertising market remained mixed, with gains from strong pharmaceutical segments offset by weaknesses in telecom and restaurant categories.
Company Guidance
During the Fox Corporation Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call, significant guidance was provided regarding the company's financial performance. The fiscal year saw record-setting achievements, with revenue growth of 17% to $16 billion, EBITDA growth of 26% to $3.6 billion, and adjusted EPS growth of 39% to $4.78 per share. Additionally, free cash flow doubled to $3 billion. The company also reported record political advertising revenue exceeding $400 million and Super Bowl LIX generating over $800 million in gross advertising revenue. Fox News and Tubi also showed strong performance, with Fox News capturing over 70% of the cable news audience at times and Tubi achieving a 35% volume growth in the upfronts. The company announced the launch of FOX One, a direct-to-consumer streaming platform, and outlined a $5 billion increase in their share repurchase authorization. Looking ahead, Fox expects to maintain its robust advertising market position and continue its strategic growth initiatives, emphasizing the importance of live sports and news as key drivers.

Fox Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fox's financials indicate a robust growth trajectory with strong revenue growth, solid operational efficiency, and stable leverage. The company's cash generation capabilities are impressive, enhancing financial flexibility and shareholder value.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Fox has shown a strong revenue growth trajectory with a significant increase from $13.98 billion in 2024 to $16.11 billion in TTM 2025. The gross profit margin remains stable as gross profit equals total revenue. Net profit margin improved to 11.58% in TTM 2025. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 19.02% and 20.76% respectively, indicating efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70, indicating a balanced leverage. Return on equity stands at 16.18% for TTM 2025, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio of 49.31% reflects a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Fox's free cash flow growth is robust, increasing from $1.495 billion in 2024 to $2.386 billion in TTM 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.45, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.28, signifying efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.11B13.98B14.91B13.97B12.91B12.30B
Gross Profit16.11B13.98B4.81B4.49B4.57B4.33B
EBITDA3.34B2.90B2.50B2.43B3.61B2.09B
Net Income1.86B1.50B1.24B1.21B2.15B999.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.37B21.97B21.87B22.18B22.93B21.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.82B4.32B4.27B5.20B5.89B4.64B
Total Debt8.11B8.15B7.21B7.31B7.95B7.95B
Total Liabilities11.50B10.92B11.42B10.81B11.80B11.64B
Stockholders Equity11.53B10.71B10.38B11.34B11.12B10.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.39B1.50B1.44B1.58B2.15B2.01B
Operating Cash Flow2.71B1.84B1.80B1.88B2.64B2.37B
Investing Cash Flow-535.00M-452.00M-438.00M-513.00M-528.00M-1.10B
Financing Cash Flow-1.15B-1.34B-2.29B-2.06B-870.00M146.00M

Fox Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price59.12
Price Trends
50DMA
55.46
Positive
100DMA
53.81
Positive
200DMA
51.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Negative
RSI
65.72
Neutral
STOCH
63.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FOXA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 59.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.81, above the 50-day MA of 55.46, and above the 200-day MA of 51.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FOXA.

Fox Risk Analysis

Fox disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fox reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fox Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$23.83B11.4319.96%0.91%16.60%57.39%
78
Outperform
$204.46B17.8311.01%0.86%5.00%144.65%
73
Outperform
$36.89B85.645.11%0.40%53.33%
66
Neutral
-0.11%1.33%-1.75%99.73%
65
Neutral
$17.12B35.405.69%0.68%-11.42%75.42%
64
Neutral
$27.78B39.902.18%-3.79%
60
Neutral
$43.99B4.24-10.43%4.00%2.31%-34.39%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FOXA
Fox
59.12
20.57
53.36%
PSKY
Paramount Skydance
15.00
4.23
39.28%
NWSA
News Corp
29.62
2.25
8.22%
DIS
Walt Disney
116.64
28.62
32.52%
TKO
TKO Group Holdings
191.28
74.76
64.16%
WBD
Warner Bros
12.05
4.81
66.44%

Fox Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fox Appoints John Nallen as President and COO
Positive
Feb 10, 2025

On February 7, 2025, Fox Corporation announced that John Nallen has been appointed as President and Chief Operating Officer, extending his employment through June 2028. This decision reflects Nallen’s vital role in FOX’s evolution and strategic direction, as he has been a key partner to the Executive Chair and CEO, Lachlan Murdoch. Additionally, Nallen will serve as a Special Advisor for three years after his term, provided certain conditions are met, which indicates FOX’s commitment to leveraging his expertise for continued operational success and profitability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 16, 2025