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Fox (FOXA)
NASDAQ:FOXA
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Fox (FOXA) AI Stock Analysis

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FOXA

Fox

(NASDAQ:FOXA)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$68.00
▲(12.90% Upside)
Fox Corporation's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors contributing to the stock's score. Technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, though some caution is warranted due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly priced, with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Fox's strong revenue growth indicates effective market strategies and robust demand for its content, supporting long-term financial health.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation enhances Fox's ability to invest in growth opportunities and return capital to shareholders, ensuring financial stability.
New Streaming Platform
The launch of FOX One positions Fox to capture the growing streaming market, diversifying revenue streams and reducing reliance on traditional cable.
Negative Factors
Cable Subscriber Declines
Declining cable subscribers challenge Fox's traditional revenue streams, necessitating adaptation to digital consumption trends for sustained growth.
Investment Costs
Rising investment costs in new initiatives may pressure short-term profitability, requiring careful management to ensure long-term returns.
Political and Super Bowl Headwinds
The absence of major events like the Super Bowl and political campaigns could impact advertising revenue, affecting near-term financial performance.

Fox (FOXA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fox Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFox Corporation operates as a news, sports, and entertainment company in the United States (U.S.). The company operates through Cable Network Programming; Television; and Other, Corporate and Eliminations segments. The Cable Network Programming segment produces and licenses news, business news, and sports content for distribution through traditional and virtual multi-channel video programming distributors (MVPDs) and other digital platforms, primarily in the U.S. It operates FOX News, a national cable news channel; FOX Business, a business news national cable channel; FS1 and FS2 multi-sport national networks; FOX Sports Racing, a video programming service that comprises motor sports programming; FOX Soccer Plus, a video programming network for live soccer and rugby competitions; FOX Deportes, a Spanish-language sports programming service; and Big Ten Network, a national video programming service. The Television segment acquires, produces, markets, and distributes programming. It operates The FOX Network, a national television broadcast network that broadcasts sports programming and entertainment; Tubi, an advertising-supported video-on-demand service; Fox Alternative Entertainment, a full-service production studio that develops and produces unscripted and alternative programming; MyNetworkTV, a programming distribution service; and Blockchain Creative Labs, which is focuses on the creation, distribution and monetization of Web3 content. This segment owns and operates 29 broadcast television stations. The Other, Corporate and Eliminations segment owns the FOX Studios Lot that provides production and post-production services, including 15 sound stages, two broadcast studios, theaters and screening rooms, editing rooms, and other television and film production facilities in Los Angeles, California. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyFox generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily through advertising sales and affiliate fees. The company's advertising revenue comes from commercial airtime sold during broadcasts, which is particularly lucrative during live sports events and prime-time shows. Additionally, Fox earns affiliate fees from cable and satellite providers who carry its channels, providing a steady income stream. The company also benefits from licensing its content to third-party platforms and international broadcasters. Significant partnerships with sports leagues and major events, such as the NFL and MLB, enhance its revenue potential by attracting large audiences and advertisers. Furthermore, digital initiatives and streaming services contribute to its earnings by expanding its reach and offering additional monetization opportunities.

Fox Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Fox Corporation's earnings call highlighted a strong fiscal year with record financial performance, significant growth in advertising revenue, and successful initiatives like Tubi and the upcoming launch of FOX One. However, challenges such as cable subscriber declines and anticipated headwinds from the absence of political revenue and Super Bowl in fiscal 2026 were noted, along with increased investment costs in new initiatives. Despite these challenges, the overall performance and strategic initiatives suggest a positive outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance
Fiscal 2025 saw record financial results with total revenues of over $16 billion, growing 17% year-over-year, and record adjusted EBITDA of $3.6 billion, growing 26% year-over-year. Adjusted EPS increased by 39% to $4.78 per share.
Significant Growth in Advertising Revenue
Total advertising revenue increased by 26% to $7 billion, with strong growth in both the Television and Cable Network Programming segments. FOX News showed a 25% increase in total viewers and 31% in the demo.
Tubi's Continued Success
Tubi achieved over 100 million monthly active users and generated over $1.1 billion in revenue. Tubi volume grew over 35% year-on-year, with 32% revenue growth in the fourth quarter.
New Streaming Platform Launch
FOX One, a direct-to-consumer streaming platform, is set to launch across the U.S. on August 21 for $19.99 per month. It will offer FOX's entire sports portfolio, news, and entertainment programming.
Strong Share Repurchase Program
An additional $5 billion in share repurchase authorization was announced, with a cumulative return of $8.5 billion of capital to shareholders since the spin.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Cable Subscriber Declines
Cable affiliate fee revenues grew only 2% over the prior year period, due to pricing gains being offset by subscriber declines consistent with the prior quarter at under 7%.
Political and Super Bowl Headwinds Expected
Fiscal 2026 is expected to encounter headwinds from the absence of political revenue and Super Bowl, with $270 million in political revenue from fiscal 2025 not recurring.
Investment Costs in New Initiatives
Investment in digital growth initiatives, including FOX One and Latin America, is expected to increase, moving back towards the $350 million mark.
Company Guidance
During the Fox Corporation Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key financial metrics and forward-looking guidance were discussed. The company reported a record fiscal year with a revenue increase of 17% to $16 billion, an EBITDA growth of 26% to $3.6 billion, and an adjusted EPS growth of 39% to $4.78 per share. Free cash flow also saw a substantial growth of 100% to $3 billion. Political advertising revenue surpassed $400 million, while the Super Bowl LIX broadcast generated over $800 million in gross advertising revenue. For fiscal 2026, Fox anticipates a healthy advertising market, buoyed by its strong brand engagement and recent upfront negotiations yielding double-digit volume growth. The company plans to launch FOX One, a direct-to-consumer streaming platform priced at $19.99 per month, on August 21, with an emphasis on targeting the cordless market. Additionally, Fox announced a $5 billion increase in share repurchase authorization, reflecting confidence in its financial trajectory and operational momentum heading into the new fiscal year.

Fox Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fox exhibits strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and profitability improvements. The balance sheet reflects a stable financial structure with manageable leverage, while cash flow metrics indicate robust cash generation and efficient operations.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Fox has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase of 21.1% compared to the previous year. The company maintains a high gross profit margin of 100%, indicating effective cost management. Net profit margin has improved to 13.88% in the TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown positive trends, supporting robust operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Fox's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity has improved to 19.57% in the TTM, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 51.56%, suggesting a stable financial structure with a good proportion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company has achieved a significant free cash flow growth of 25.44% in the TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.94, indicating efficient conversion of net income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.88 further supports the company's strong cash flow position.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.30B16.30B13.98B14.91B13.97B12.91B
Gross Profit14.44B5.40B13.98B14.91B13.97B12.91B
EBITDA3.85B3.85B2.90B2.50B2.43B3.61B
Net Income2.26B2.26B1.50B1.24B1.21B2.15B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.20B23.20B21.97B21.87B22.18B22.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.35B5.35B4.32B4.27B5.20B5.89B
Total Debt7.46B7.46B8.15B8.21B7.72B8.45B
Total Liabilities10.84B10.84B10.92B11.21B10.62B11.54B
Stockholders Equity11.96B11.96B10.71B10.38B11.34B11.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.99B2.99B1.50B1.44B1.58B2.15B
Operating Cash Flow3.32B3.32B1.84B1.80B1.88B2.64B
Investing Cash Flow-537.00M-537.00M-452.00M-438.00M-513.00M-528.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.75B-1.75B-1.34B-2.29B-2.06B-870.00M

Fox Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price60.23
Price Trends
50DMA
57.81
Positive
100DMA
56.07
Positive
200DMA
53.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.76
Negative
RSI
53.27
Neutral
STOCH
76.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FOXA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 60.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.82, above the 50-day MA of 57.81, and above the 200-day MA of 53.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FOXA.

Fox Risk Analysis

Fox disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fox reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fox Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$25.42B12.2619.96%0.91%16.60%57.39%
77
Outperform
14.47B-231.16-2.37%17.32%87.79%
76
Outperform
203.94B17.7810.58%0.89%5.00%144.65%
71
Outperform
511.59B51.4941.07%14.28%46.86%
68
Neutral
49.07B65.502.13%-3.79%
67
Neutral
17.71B37.1313.45%0.66%-11.42%75.42%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FOXA
Fox
60.23
18.36
43.85%
NWSA
News Corp
30.18
3.87
14.71%
DIS
Walt Disney
112.99
17.81
18.71%
NFLX
Netflix
1,208.24
500.89
70.81%
ROKU
Roku
98.01
23.60
31.72%
WBD
Warner Bros
19.78
11.40
136.04%

Fox Corporate Events

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fox Resolves Murdoch Trust Dispute, Restructures Holdings
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Fox Corporation announced the resolution of legal proceedings related to the Murdoch Family Trust, leading to the establishment of new trusts for Lachlan, Grace, and Chloe Murdoch. The Departing Beneficiaries, including Prudence MacLeod, Elisabeth Murdoch, and James Murdoch, will no longer be beneficiaries and intend to sell approximately 16.9 million shares of FOX’s Class B common stock in a public offering. The proceeds will benefit the Departing Beneficiaries and associated charitable organizations. LGC Holdco, owned by the Remaining Beneficiary Trusts, will retain significant shares in FOX and News Corporation, with voting control resting with Lachlan Murdoch. This restructuring is expected to solidify Lachlan Murdoch’s leadership and influence within the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2025