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Walt Disney (DIS)
NYSE:DIS

Walt Disney (DIS) AI Stock Analysis

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DI

Walt Disney

(NYSE:DIS)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$127.00
▲( 15.75% Upside)
Disney's strong financial performance and optimistic earnings call drive a solid overall score. The company's strategic investments and successful streaming integration highlight its growth potential. However, technical indicators signal caution due to overbought conditions, and valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly priced, leading to a balanced outlook.
Positive Factors
Intellectual Property and Streaming
Walt Disney's ability to produce and distribute popular intellectual property, including live sports, is a key strength for the company.
Theme Parks
Theme Parks defied expectations with domestic theme park attendance increasing 2% yoy and per caps accelerating to +5% yoy.
Negative Factors
Cord-Cutting Impact
Cord-cutting has negatively impacted ESPN's largest revenue stream, domestic distribution revenues.
International Parks Performance
International Parks & Experiences revenue and operating income missed estimates due to lower attendance and increased costs in Shanghai and Hong Kong.

Walt Disney (DIS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Walt Disney Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Walt Disney Company, commonly referred to as Disney, is a leading diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise. Founded in 1923, the company operates through several segments: Media Networks, Parks, Experiences and Products, Studio Entertainment, and Direct-to-Consumer & International. Disney is renowned for its iconic characters, films, theme parks, and television networks, including the Disney Channel and ABC. It also owns Marvel, Lucasfilm, and Pixar, adding to its robust portfolio of entertainment assets.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Walt Disney Company generates revenue through multiple streams. The Media Networks segment earns money primarily from advertising sales, affiliate fees, and licensing of programming. Parks, Experiences and Products generate revenue from theme park admissions, merchandise, food, and accommodations. Studio Entertainment brings in revenue through the theatrical distribution of films, home entertainment sales, and licensing. The Direct-to-Consumer & International segment includes revenue from streaming services like Disney+, ESPN+, and Hulu, driven by subscription fees and advertising. Additionally, Disney benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its market reach and brand value.

Walt Disney Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Subscribers
Total Subscribers
Measures the total number of subscribers, indicating the scale of the company's audience and potential for future revenue streams.
Chart InsightsDisney's subscriber base has shown a recovery after a decline, with recent growth attributed to strategic streaming enhancements. The integration of Hulu and sports content into Disney+ has boosted engagement and reduced churn, aligning with the company's optimistic growth outlook. Despite past subscriber losses, the positive momentum in streaming and robust performance in other segments, such as theme parks and entertainment, suggest a resilient strategy. However, challenges in the direct-to-consumer advertising space and economic pressures in China could pose risks to sustained growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Walt Disney Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Walt Disney shows strong financial health with robust revenue growth and operational efficiency. The Income Statement reflects good performance, though there's room for improved profitability. The Balance Sheet is stable with well-managed leverage, and the Cash Flow statement demonstrates excellent cash generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Walt Disney has shown strong performance in the TTM with a Gross Profit Margin of 36.73% and a Net Profit Margin of 6.07%. The company achieved a notable Revenue Growth Rate of 4.08% from 2023 to 2024, indicating robust revenue growth. EBIT Margin stands at 15.60% and EBITDA Margin at 12.57%, highlighting efficient operational management. The company's profitability and revenue growth are commendable, though the Net Profit Margin suggests room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The Balance Sheet shows a stable financial position, with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.44, indicating a balanced leverage profile. Return on Equity (ROE) at 5.51% reflects moderate shareholder returns. The Equity Ratio of 51.73% showcases a strong equity base relative to assets, ensuring financial stability. While leverage is well-managed, enhancing ROE could further strengthen financial health.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.67, demonstrating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free Cash Flow Growth Rate from 2023 to 2024 is 71.75%, indicating significant improvement in cash efficiency. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.50 suggests effective conversion of earnings to cash flow, supporting business flexibility and growth initiatives.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
92.50B91.36B88.90B82.72B67.42B65.39B
Gross Profit
33.98B32.66B29.70B28.32B22.29B21.51B
EBIT
13.16B11.58B8.99B6.83B3.49B3.78B
EBITDA
14.92B14.01B11.60B12.00B9.22B5.25B
Net Income Common Stockholders
5.62B4.97B2.35B3.19B2.02B-2.83B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.49B6.00B14.18B11.62B15.96B17.91B
Total Assets
197.05B196.22B205.58B203.63B203.61B201.55B
Total Debt
45.31B48.74B49.90B48.37B54.41B58.63B
Net Debt
39.82B42.74B35.71B36.75B38.45B40.71B
Total Liabilities
90.31B90.70B92.57B95.25B101.39B104.04B
Stockholders Equity
101.93B100.70B99.28B95.01B88.55B83.58B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
8.41B8.56B4.90B1.07B1.99B3.60B
Operating Cash Flow
14.99B13.97B9.87B6.01B5.57B7.62B
Investing Cash Flow
-8.21B-6.88B-4.64B-5.01B-3.16B-3.64B
Financing Cash Flow
-8.28B-15.29B-2.72B-4.74B-4.38B8.48B

Walt Disney Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price109.72
Price Trends
50DMA
96.70
Positive
100DMA
103.09
Positive
200DMA
101.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.14
Negative
RSI
65.62
Neutral
STOCH
45.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DIS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 109.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 103.49, above the 50-day MA of 96.70, and above the 200-day MA of 101.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DIS.

Walt Disney Risk Analysis

Walt Disney disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Walt Disney reported the most risks in the “Ability to Sell” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Walt Disney Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$23.66B13.6916.89%0.98%15.70%26.73%
DIDIS
78
Outperform
$197.25B22.418.75%0.86%5.33%431.28%
LYLYV
77
Outperform
$33.61B49.65827.53%-2.92%166.63%
75
Outperform
$504.47B56.0140.84%14.11%47.22%
WMWMG
64
Neutral
$13.67B30.4789.20%2.71%-0.91%-14.87%
60
Neutral
$14.12B6.43-3.56%3.69%2.49%-35.43%
WBWBD
56
Neutral
$22.27B-27.69%-5.58%-254.85%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DIS
Walt Disney
109.72
8.20
8.08%
LYV
Live Nation Entertainment
145.01
50.12
52.82%
NFLX
Netflix
1,185.39
536.39
82.65%
FOXA
Fox
55.04
21.92
66.18%
WMG
Warner Music Group
26.22
-2.96
-10.14%
WBD
Warner Bros
9.00
1.13
14.36%

Walt Disney Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 19.04%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Disney's strong financial performance in Q2, successful expansion plans, and positive streaming developments. Despite some challenges in China and in the direct-to-consumer advertising space, the overall outlook remains optimistic.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q2 Financial Performance
The Walt Disney Company reported a strong second quarter with adjusted EPS up 20% from the prior year, showcasing solid performance in the first half of fiscal 2025.
Disneyland Abu Dhabi Announcement
Disney announced a new theme park in Abu Dhabi, which will be developed in partnership with the Miral Group. This seventh Disney theme park resort aims to blend Disney stories with local culture.
Successful Entertainment Segment
Disney's Entertainment business, particularly movies and sports, showed strong growth. Marvel's Thunderbolts became the number one movie in the world, and ESPN's Q2 primetime audience increased by 32%.
Positive Streaming Developments
Disney+ and Hulu integration is positively impacting engagement and reducing churn. The company's three-year guidance remains intact, reflecting confidence in future growth.
Theme Parks and Experiences Growth
Disney's Experiences segment achieved strong results with domestic businesses performing exceptionally well, supported by over $30 billion investment in theme parks in Florida and California.
Negative Updates
Challenges in China
Although attendance in China remains strong, per capita spending has decreased due to the economic challenges faced by Chinese consumers.
Supply Challenges in DTC Advertising
Disney's direct-to-consumer advertising faced challenges due to increased supply, despite strong demand in other sectors such as live sports.
Company Guidance
During The Walt Disney Company's second quarter 2025 earnings call, CEO Bob Iger highlighted strong financial performance with a 20% increase in adjusted EPS compared to the previous year. The company's Experiences segment delivered robust results, driven by domestic business performance and all-time high returns on invested capital. Disney announced a strategic partnership with the Miral Group to develop a new theme park in Abu Dhabi, projected to attract millions of visitors. The company is investing over $30 billion in its Florida and California parks, aiming for expansion and job creation. Streaming remains a core growth platform, with Disney seeing positive impacts from integrated Hulu and sports content into Disney+, resulting in increased engagement and reduced churn. ESPN's primetime audience in the key 18 to 49 demographic rose by 32%, marking its most-watched Q2 in primetime ever, driven by NFL, college football, and other sports events. Disney remains optimistic about its growth strategy for the rest of fiscal 2025 and beyond.

Walt Disney Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Walt Disney Announces Leadership Transition and New Chairman
Neutral
Oct 21, 2024

The Walt Disney Company announces a significant leadership transition as James P. Gorman steps up as Chairman of the Board, succeeding Mark G. Parker who will resign in January 2025 after nine years of service. Gorman, who is also stepping down as Executive Chairman of Morgan Stanley, will lead Disney’s Board through the crucial process of selecting a new CEO, expected to be announced by early 2026. This change marks a pivotal moment for Disney, reinforcing its strategic succession planning within the financial markets.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.