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Walt Disney (DIS) AI Stock Analysis

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DIS

Walt Disney

(NYSE:DIS)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$122.00
▲(15.38% Upside)
Disney's strong earnings growth and strategic advancements in streaming and experiences segments are major positives. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are not particularly attractive. The company's financial health remains robust despite some concerns over revenue and cash flow.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Disney's robust revenue growth highlights its ability to expand market reach and capitalize on its diverse entertainment portfolio, supporting long-term financial health.
Strategic Initiatives
Integrating Hulu into Disney+ enhances user experience and operational efficiency, potentially increasing engagement and advertising revenue, strengthening Disney's streaming position.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow growth indicates Disney's effective cash conversion and ability to fund strategic initiatives, ensuring long-term operational and financial stability.
Negative Factors
Content Distribution Challenges
Loss of distribution on YouTube TV could reduce Disney's reach and advertising revenue, highlighting challenges in negotiating favorable terms with digital platforms.
Market Challenges in China
Economic stress in China could limit Disney's growth potential in a key market, affecting revenue from parks and consumer products in the region.
Content Overlap Challenges
Content overlap and tough comparisons may pressure revenue growth, necessitating strategic content planning to maintain competitive advantage and audience engagement.

Walt Disney (DIS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Walt Disney Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Walt Disney Company, commonly known as Disney, is a diversified multinational entertainment and media conglomerate headquartered in Burbank, California. It operates through various segments including Disney Media Networks, Disney Parks, Experiences and Products, Disney Studio Entertainment, and Disney Direct-to-Consumer & International. The company's core offerings encompass film and television production, theme parks and resorts, merchandise licensing, and direct-to-consumer streaming services such as Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+. Disney is renowned for its iconic brands, including Disney, Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, and National Geographic.
How the Company Makes MoneyDisney generates revenue through multiple key streams: Theme Parks and Resorts account for a significant portion of its earnings, driven by ticket sales, hotel accommodations, food and beverage sales, and merchandise. Disney Media Networks contributes revenue through advertising, subscriptions, and affiliate fees from its television networks. Disney Studio Entertainment earns money from theatrical releases, home entertainment, and licensing of its film and television content. The Direct-to-Consumer segment, particularly through Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, generates income via subscription fees and advertising revenue. Additionally, Disney benefits from merchandise licensing, where it earns royalties from third-party products featuring its characters and brands. Strategic partnerships, such as those with streaming platforms and retailers, further enhance its revenue potential.

Walt Disney Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Subscribers
Total Subscribers
Indicates the scale of the company’s customer base, crucial for assessing growth potential and market penetration.
Chart InsightsAfter a significant decline in subscribers from late 2022 through 2023, Disney's strategic initiatives, including the integration of Hulu into Disney+ and the launch of ESPN's direct-to-consumer platform, are beginning to stabilize and slightly increase subscriber numbers. These moves aim to enhance user engagement and reduce churn, potentially reversing the previous downward trend. The anticipated growth in advertising revenue and new content offerings could further bolster subscriber retention and attract new users, aligning with Disney's broader strategic goals for streaming growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Walt Disney Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a largely positive outlook for Disney, highlighting strong earnings growth, successful content releases, and strategic advancements in direct-to-consumer services. While there are challenges such as the YouTube TV dispute and increased content costs, the positive aspects, including record box office achievements and robust cash flow, significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
Adjusted EPS for fiscal 2025 was up 19% from fiscal 2024, with a 19% compound annual growth rate over the past three years. The company expects double-digit growth in fiscal 2026.
Record Box Office and Streaming Achievements
Disney's live-action Lilo and Stitch is the highest-grossing Hollywood film of the year and had 14.3 million views in its first five days on Disney Plus. The Walt Disney Studios crossed the $4 billion mark at the global box office for the fourth consecutive year.
Successful ESPN Direct-to-Consumer Launch
The ESPN DTC service has attracted new users, with substantial adoption of the 'ultimate' ESPN product and positive advertiser response.
Record Operating Income in Experiences Segment
Record operating income for both Q4 and the full year, with a 13% increase in Q4 compared to the prior year.
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Targeting $7 billion in share repurchases in 2026, double the amount in fiscal 2025, and announcing a cash dividend increase of 50%.
Negative Updates
YouTube TV Carriage Dispute
Ongoing negotiations with YouTube TV could potentially lead to a sustained blackout, affecting subscriber numbers.
Content Cost Pressures
Increased content costs, particularly in sports, could create some financial pressure in the coming quarters.
Company Guidance
During The Walt Disney Company's fourth quarter 2025 earnings call held on November 13, 2025, CEO Bob Iger highlighted several key metrics reflecting the company's robust performance and strategic foresight. Disney reported a 19% increase in adjusted EPS for fiscal 2025 compared to the previous year, contributing to a three-year compound annual growth rate of 19% in adjusted EPS. For fiscal 2026, Disney anticipates delivering double-digit growth in adjusted EPS, aiming for $7 billion in share repurchases, double the $3.5 billion from fiscal 2025. The board also declared a cash dividend of $1.5 per share, a 50% increase over the previous year. Disney's strategic investments in its film studios paid off with the live-action "Lilo and Stitch" becoming the highest-grossing Hollywood film globally for the year, and retail sales of Stitch products surpassing $4 billion. The company's streaming segment reported a 39% increase in operating income for Q4, with a full-year operating income of $1.3 billion, up $1.2 billion from the prior year. In the experiences segment, Disney achieved record operating income for both the fourth quarter and full year, with a 13% increase for Q4 and an 8% increase for the full year. Disney's expansion plans include the launch of two new cruise ships and a new theme park in Abu Dhabi, aiming to maintain its best-in-class offerings and expand its global reach.

Walt Disney Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Walt Disney demonstrates strong profitability with robust EBIT and EBITDA margins, moderate leverage, and effective equity utilization. However, concerns arise from a slight revenue decline and a decrease in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Walt Disney's income statement shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 37.76% and a net profit margin of 13.14% for the latest year. Despite a slight revenue decline of 3.8% in the most recent year, the company has demonstrated robust EBIT and EBITDA margins of 14.63% and 20.27%, respectively, indicating efficient cost management and operational strength.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity stands at 11.29%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a stable asset base supported by equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 12.74%, which could be a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.53, indicating decent cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.56 suggests that a significant portion of net income is converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue94.42B94.42B91.36B88.90B82.72B
Gross Profit35.66B35.66B32.66B29.70B28.32B
EBITDA19.23B19.14B14.63B12.11B12.00B
Net Income12.40B12.40B4.97B2.35B3.15B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets197.51B197.51B196.22B205.58B203.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.70B5.70B6.00B14.18B11.62B
Total Debt42.03B42.03B49.52B50.67B52.26B
Total Liabilities82.90B82.90B90.70B92.57B95.25B
Stockholders Equity109.87B109.87B100.70B99.28B95.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.99B10.08B8.56B4.90B1.07B
Operating Cash Flow18.10B18.10B13.97B9.87B6.01B
Investing Cash Flow-8.04B-8.04B-6.88B-4.64B-5.01B
Financing Cash Flow-10.37B-10.37B-15.29B-2.72B-4.74B

Walt Disney Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price105.74
Price Trends
50DMA
110.16
Negative
100DMA
113.79
Negative
200DMA
109.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.86
Negative
RSI
45.36
Neutral
STOCH
71.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DIS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 105.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 107.19, below the 50-day MA of 110.16, and below the 200-day MA of 109.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DIS.

Walt Disney Risk Analysis

Walt Disney disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Walt Disney reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Walt Disney Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$27.76B14.9117.33%0.83%14.91%9.30%
76
Outperform
$187.15B15.3111.78%0.95%3.61%152.34%
70
Outperform
$60.78B130.761.36%-4.29%
69
Neutral
$98.46B4.4924.73%4.76%0.20%61.54%
69
Neutral
$462.42B45.5942.86%15.49%35.54%
64
Neutral
$29.85B93.8279.63%5.39%36.94%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DIS
Walt Disney
105.74
-9.75
-8.44%
CMCSA
Comcast
27.43
-13.80
-33.47%
LYV
Live Nation Entertainment
136.01
1.34
1.00%
NFLX
Netflix
103.96
12.17
13.26%
FOXA
Fox
66.45
20.24
43.80%
WBD
Warner Bros
24.57
13.89
130.06%

Walt Disney Corporate Events

Disney’s 2025 Earnings: Strong Growth and Optimistic Outlook
Nov 14, 2025

The Walt Disney Company, a leading entertainment and media conglomerate, operates in various sectors including film, television, and theme parks, and is renowned for its iconic brands and franchises.

Disney’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth and Strategic Wins
Nov 14, 2025

The Walt Disney Company’s recent earnings call painted a largely positive picture, underscoring strong earnings growth, successful content releases, and strategic advancements in direct-to-consumer services. Despite challenges such as the YouTube TV dispute and increased content costs, the positive aspects, including record box office achievements and robust cash flow, significantly outweighed the negatives.

Executive/Board Changes
Walt Disney Extends CFO Hugh Johnston’s Contract
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

On November 10, 2025, The Walt Disney Company extended the employment agreement of Hugh F. Johnston, the Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, to January 31, 2029. The amendment increases Johnston’s long-term equity incentive annual award to $16,500,000, starting from the current fiscal year, while maintaining his current base salary and annual bonus target. This move underscores Disney’s commitment to retaining key leadership and may impact the company’s financial strategies and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (DIS) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Walt Disney stock, see the DIS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Disney Extends Horacio Gutierrez’s Employment Agreement
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 4, 2025, The Walt Disney Company extended the employment agreement of Horacio E. Gutierrez, its Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Legal and Compliance Officer, to September 30, 2028, and changed his title to Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Legal and Global Affairs Officer. The amendment increases his long-term equity incentive annual award value to $12,365,000 but does not alter his base salary or target annual bonus. This adjustment reflects Disney’s commitment to retaining key executives and ensuring leadership stability, potentially impacting the company’s strategic legal and global affairs operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (DIS) stock is a Buy with a $127.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Walt Disney stock, see the DIS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Walt Disney Extends Kristina Schake’s Employment Agreement
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

On October 15, 2025, The Walt Disney Company extended the employment agreement of Kristina K. Schake, its Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Communications Officer, to June 30, 2027. The amendment also increased her annual base salary to $875,000, effective immediately, while her bonus and long-term equity incentive targets remained unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (DIS) stock is a Buy with a $138.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Walt Disney stock, see the DIS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Walt Disney Extends Sonia Coleman’s Employment Agreement
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On September 27, 2025, The Walt Disney Company extended the employment agreement of Sonia L. Coleman, now titled Senior Executive Vice President and Chief People Officer, to June 30, 2028. The amendment increased her base salary to $1,000,000, with a target annual bonus of 175% of her salary starting in fiscal year 2025, and a long-term equity incentive of 375% of her salary starting in fiscal year 2026, reflecting the company’s commitment to retaining key leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (DIS) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Walt Disney stock, see the DIS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025