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Walt Disney (DIS)
NYSE:DIS
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Walt Disney (DIS) AI Stock Analysis

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DIS

Walt Disney

(NYSE:DIS)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$108.00
▼(-2.92% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/05/26
DIS scores well on fundamentals and the latest earnings call: profitability and margins have rebounded materially, cash flow is solid, and management reiterated upbeat EPS and streaming margin outlook while increasing planned share repurchases. The main offsets are only neutral-to-weak technical momentum (negative MACD and price below key longer-term moving averages) and remaining execution risks highlighted on the call (international streaming monetization, Asia parks softness, and ad pricing pressure).
Positive Factors
Diversified IP monetization and franchise flywheel
Disney’s integrated model lets successful characters and stories generate revenue across multiple channels. This diversification can improve lifetime returns on intellectual property, support cross-promotion, and reduce dependence on any single entertainment format.
Negative Factors
Material debt and weaker free-cash-flow conversion
Although leverage has improved, Disney still carries substantial debt while cash conversion has weakened. Continued content, parks and cruise investment could limit deleveraging and reduce financial flexibility if operating earnings become volatile.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified IP monetization and franchise flywheel
Disney’s integrated model lets successful characters and stories generate revenue across multiple channels. This diversification can improve lifetime returns on intellectual property, support cross-promotion, and reduce dependence on any single entertainment format.
Read all positive factors

Walt Disney Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue by business unit, offering insight into which segments are driving sales and where growth opportunities or risks may exist.
Chart InsightsLate‑2023 reporting reclassifies the old “Media and Entertainment” bucket into separate Entertainment and Sports lines — a strategic signal that streaming and sports are now standalone profit centers. Entertainment is the clear growth engine with accelerating SVOD revenue, stronger ad monetization and expanding margins; Sports is seasonally lumpy but now guided to mid‑single‑digit OI growth after the NFL Network deal. Parks & Experiences have rebounded above pre‑COVID revenue levels, though domestic attendance softness and preopening costs constrain near‑term flow‑through; watch streaming momentum and cruise/parks capex for upside.
Data provided by:The Fly

Walt Disney (DIS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Walt Disney Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Operating worldwide through its various subsidiaries, The Walt Disney Company (DIS) stands as a prominent global entertainment enterprise. Its vast array of activities is organized into two primary divisions: Disney Media and Entertainment Distrib...
How the Company Makes Money
Disney primarily makes money by creating, distributing, and monetizing entertainment and intellectual property across multiple channels. A major revenue stream comes from its Experiences business (theme parks, resorts, cruises, and related consume...

Walt Disney Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple clear operating and financial wins — record Experiences revenue/OI, double-digit OI growth in key segments, strong guest and per-cap metrics, streaming margin progress, and advertising/upfront strength — while acknowledging targeted challenges: mixed box office results for select titles, under-monetized international streaming markets, Asia park softness, ad pricing pressure from increased supply, and remaining systems integration work. Management emphasized disciplined capital allocation, continued content and CapEx investment, and technology/AI initiatives to drive future efficiency and growth.
Positive Updates
Total Company Revenue Growth
Total company revenue grew 7% year-over-year in fiscal Q3, with total segment operating income up 21% and coming in ahead of prior guidance.
Negative Updates
Mixed Box Office Results for Some Titles
Management acknowledged mixed theatrical performance for certain franchise titles (examples called out include The Mandalorian/Grogu projects and the live-action Moana), underscoring film-level volatility despite franchise long-term value.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Total Company Revenue Growth
Total company revenue grew 7% year-over-year in fiscal Q3, with total segment operating income up 21% and coming in ahead of prior guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management said Q3 beat prior guidance — total segment operating income was up 21% and total company revenue grew 7%, with Disney Experiences posting record Q3 revenue of $10.0 billion (up 10% YoY), global guests +4%, domestic parks attendance +3% and domestic per‑cap spending +4%. They reiterated full‑year outlook, raising Experiences to the high end of prior high‑single‑digit OI growth guidance for fiscal 2026 (excluding the 53rd week), reaffirmed double‑digit adjusted EPS growth for fiscal 2026 and 2027, and noted Disney+ delivered a 13% SVOD operating margin in Q3 and is on track for double‑digit SVOD margins in fiscal ’26 (ex‑53rd week). Capital priorities: fiscal ’26 CapEx of about $9 billion, content spend roughly $24 billion, and share repurchases increased to at least $9 billion (up from prior guidance), while the company expects park/cruise investments to generate double‑digit returns over project lifetimes.

Walt Disney Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials indicate a meaningful rebound: revenue rose to $98.9B TTM from $67.4B in 2021, EBIT margin improved to ~14.6% TTM (from ~5.9% in 2021), and net margin is ~11.5% TTM after being depressed in 2023–2024. Offsetting this, net income stepped down versus FY2025 ($8.6B TTM vs $12.4B FY2025), free cash flow conversion is softer (~45% of net income), and debt remains material (~$46B), though leverage improved (debt-to-equity ~0.44 TTM vs ~0.66 in 2021).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
73
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue98.86B94.42B91.36B88.90B82.72B67.42B
Gross Profit37.17B35.66B32.66B29.70B28.32B22.29B
EBITDA23.23B19.14B14.63B12.11B12.00B9.08B
Net Income8.60B12.40B4.97B2.35B3.15B2.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets204.74B197.51B196.22B205.58B203.63B203.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.18B5.70B6.00B14.18B11.62B15.96B
Total Debt46.04B45.42B49.52B50.67B52.26B58.31B
Total Liabilities87.90B82.90B90.70B92.57B95.25B101.39B
Stockholders Equity110.03B109.87B100.70B99.28B95.01B88.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.29B10.08B8.56B4.90B1.07B1.99B
Operating Cash Flow16.99B18.10B13.97B9.87B6.01B5.57B
Investing Cash Flow-9.11B-8.04B-6.88B-4.64B-5.01B-3.16B
Financing Cash Flow-8.02B-10.37B-15.29B-2.72B-4.74B-4.38B

Walt Disney Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price111.25
Price Trends
50DMA
100.14
Positive
100DMA
100.86
Positive
200DMA
103.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.90
Negative
RSI
70.96
Negative
STOCH
88.73
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DIS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 111.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 103.57, above the 50-day MA of 100.14, and above the 200-day MA of 103.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.96 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.73 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DIS.

Walt Disney Risk Analysis

Walt Disney disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Walt Disney reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Walt Disney Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$27.37B15.8314.74%0.99%5.07%-20.95%
75
Outperform
$23.48B65.9113.18%18.52%
74
Outperform
$333.16B24.7747.96%17.62%34.80%
71
Outperform
$190.99B22.767.87%1.58%5.31%-23.96%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
54
Neutral
$11.61B-18.48-5.27%2.44%1.23%-2381.06%
54
Neutral
$72.06B-22.60-9.22%-5.87%-512.89%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DIS
Walt Disney
111.25
-4.72
-4.07%
PSKY
Paramount Skydance
10.67
-4.91
-31.52%
NFLX
Netflix
82.23
-40.38
-32.93%
ROKU
Roku
159.76
64.20
67.18%
FOXA
Fox
70.33
11.82
20.20%
WBD
Warner Bros
28.90
17.10
144.92%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 05, 2026