Walt Disney (DIS)
NYSE:DIS
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Walt Disney (DIS) AI Stock Analysis

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DIS

Walt Disney

(NYSE:DIS)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$127.00
▲(8.87% Upside)
Disney's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, particularly the integration of Hulu into Disney+ and ESPN's expansion, are key strengths. While technical indicators show some resistance, the company's fair valuation and positive earnings call sentiment support a favorable outlook. Continued focus on strategic growth and overcoming regional challenges will be crucial.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Disney's robust revenue growth highlights its ability to expand market reach and capitalize on its diverse entertainment portfolio, supporting long-term financial health.
Strategic Initiatives
Integrating Hulu into Disney+ enhances user experience and operational efficiency, potentially increasing engagement and advertising revenue, strengthening Disney's streaming position.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow growth indicates Disney's effective cash conversion and ability to fund strategic initiatives, ensuring long-term operational and financial stability.
Negative Factors
Content Distribution Challenges
Loss of distribution on YouTube TV could reduce Disney's reach and advertising revenue, highlighting challenges in negotiating favorable terms with digital platforms.
Market Challenges in China
Economic stress in China could limit Disney's growth potential in a key market, affecting revenue from parks and consumer products in the region.
Content Overlap Challenges
Content overlap and tough comparisons may pressure revenue growth, necessitating strategic content planning to maintain competitive advantage and audience engagement.

Walt Disney (DIS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Walt Disney Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Walt Disney Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company worldwide. It operates through two segments, Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution; and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. The company engages in the film and episodic television content production and distribution activities, as well as operates television broadcast networks under the ABC, Disney, ESPN, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brands; and studios that produces motion pictures under the Walt Disney Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, and Searchlight Pictures banners. It also offers direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, ESPN+, Hulu, and Star+; sale/licensing of film and television content to third-party television and subscription video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services by Industrial Light & Magic and Skywalker Sound. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; Disneyland Resort in California; Disneyland Paris; Hong Kong Disneyland Resort; and Shanghai Disney Resort; Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii; licenses its intellectual property to a third party for the operations of the Tokyo Disney Resort; and provides consumer products, which include licensing of trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games. Further, it sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The Walt Disney Company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyDisney generates revenue through multiple streams. The Media Networks segment includes advertising revenue from cable and broadcast television, subscription fees from cable providers, and affiliate fees. The Parks, Experiences and Products segment generates income from theme park admissions, hotel accommodations, merchandise sales, and licensing of Disney-branded products. Studio Entertainment earns revenue from the box office sales of films, home video sales, and licensing of content. The Direct-to-Consumer segment includes subscription revenue from Disney+, ESPN+, and Hulu, as well as advertising revenue from these platforms. Significant partnerships, such as exclusive streaming deals and collaborations with other content creators, also contribute to its earnings.

Walt Disney Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Subscribers
Total Subscribers
Indicates the scale of the company’s customer base, crucial for assessing growth potential and market penetration.
Chart InsightsAfter a significant decline in subscribers from late 2022 through 2023, Disney's strategic initiatives, including the integration of Hulu into Disney+ and the launch of ESPN's direct-to-consumer platform, are beginning to stabilize and slightly increase subscriber numbers. These moves aim to enhance user engagement and reduce churn, potentially reversing the previous downward trend. The anticipated growth in advertising revenue and new content offerings could further bolster subscriber retention and attract new users, aligning with Disney's broader strategic goals for streaming growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Walt Disney Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant strategic advancements such as the integration of Hulu into Disney+ and the expansion of ESPN's offerings, which are expected to enhance user experience and financial performance. However, challenges remain, particularly in the Chinese market and content overlap issues in the upcoming quarter. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and strategic partnerships outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Integration of Hulu into Disney+
Disney announced the full integration of Hulu into Disney+ to create a unified app experience. This aims to enhance user experience, reduce churn, improve operational efficiencies, and increase advertising revenue potential.
Success of Disney's Film Studios
Live-action Lilo & Stitch crossed the $1 billion mark globally, the first Hollywood film to do so this year. It became Disney's fourth billion-dollar film in just over a year. Additionally, Marvel's The Fantastic Four: First Steps launched successfully.
Expansion of ESPN and NFL Partnership
ESPN will launch a direct-to-consumer sports offering on August 21. ESPN will acquire the NFL Network and other media assets, while the NFL gains a 10% equity stake in ESPN. This deal is expected to be accretive in the first year post-closing.
Expansion in Parks and Experiences
Disney is undergoing expansions in all theme parks globally and is launching two new cruise ships, Disney Destiny and Disney Adventure, later this year.
DTC Growth and Profitability
The integration of Hulu into Disney+ is expected to enhance profitability and margins through higher engagement and lower churn.
Negative Updates
Challenges in China
China market faces challenges with per capita spending due to economic stress among consumers, although attendance remains stable.
Content Overlap Challenges
The upcoming quarter will face tough comps due to the success of Inside Out 2 from the previous year, which could affect content revenue growth.
Company Guidance
During the Walt Disney Company Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, CEO Bob Iger shared optimistic guidance, highlighting several strategic initiatives aimed at driving growth across Disney's various segments. Notably, Disney plans to integrate Hulu into Disney+ to create a unified streaming platform, enhancing subscriber experience and potentially increasing engagement, reducing churn, and boosting advertising revenue. ESPN is set to launch a direct-to-consumer sports offering on August 21, with expanded content from new NFL deals, including more games and features such as betting and fantasy sports, which could drive subscriber and revenue growth. The Parks and Experiences segment is undergoing significant global expansions, with new attractions and cruise ships, including the largest-ever Disney ship launching in Singapore. Disney's film division is thriving, with live-action "Lilo & Stitch" crossing the $1 billion mark at the box office, and new franchises like "The Fantastic Four" and upcoming releases like "Zootopia 2" and "Avatar: Fire and Ash" poised to further strengthen Disney's content portfolio. Despite these ambitious plans, CFO Hugh Johnston maintained confidence in Disney’s fiscal 2026 guidance, indicating strong future earnings potential.

Walt Disney Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Walt Disney exhibits strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability improvements. The company has effectively managed its leverage and enhanced its cash flow generation, positioning itself well for future growth. Continued focus on profitability and debt management will be crucial to sustaining this positive momentum.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Walt Disney's income statement shows strong performance with a significant revenue growth rate of 52.6% in the TTM period. The company has maintained healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 37.1% and a net profit margin of 9.5%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 13.6% and 18.7%, respectively. This indicates effective cost management and operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin, while improved, suggests room for further profitability enhancement.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41, showing a decrease from previous years, indicating improved leverage management. The return on equity stands at 8.7%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is solid, suggesting a strong capital structure. However, the company should continue to monitor its debt levels to maintain financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with a free cash flow growth rate of 598.4% in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.53, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.60, both reflecting efficient cash conversion. The company has shown significant improvement in cash flow metrics, supporting its operational and strategic initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue94.35B91.36B88.90B82.72B67.42B65.39B
Gross Profit35.66B32.66B29.70B28.32B22.29B21.51B
EBITDA15.19B14.63B12.11B12.00B9.08B5.09B
Net Income12.40B4.97B2.35B3.15B2.00B-2.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets197.51B196.22B205.58B203.63B203.61B201.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.70B6.00B14.18B11.62B15.96B17.91B
Total Debt42.03B49.52B50.67B52.26B58.31B62.32B
Total Liabilities82.90B90.70B92.57B95.25B101.39B104.04B
Stockholders Equity109.87B100.70B99.28B95.01B88.55B83.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.99B8.56B4.90B1.07B1.99B3.60B
Operating Cash Flow18.10B13.97B9.87B6.01B5.57B7.62B
Investing Cash Flow-8.48B-6.88B-4.64B-5.01B-3.16B-3.64B
Financing Cash Flow-9.93B-15.29B-2.72B-4.74B-4.38B8.48B

Walt Disney Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price116.65
Price Trends
50DMA
113.25
Positive
100DMA
116.15
Positive
200DMA
109.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Negative
RSI
64.50
Neutral
STOCH
87.31
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DIS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 116.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 112.16, above the 50-day MA of 113.25, and above the 200-day MA of 109.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DIS.

Walt Disney Risk Analysis

Walt Disney disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Walt Disney reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Walt Disney Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$201.80B17.6011.01%0.87%5.00%144.65%
77
Outperform
$28.10B15.0117.33%0.82%14.91%9.30%
70
Outperform
$56.94B122.871.36%-4.29%
69
Neutral
$98.82B4.5024.73%4.76%0.20%61.54%
69
Neutral
$490.47B48.3642.86%15.49%35.53%
63
Neutral
$33.29B103.5479.63%5.39%36.94%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DIS
Walt Disney
116.65
14.82
14.55%
CMCSA
Comcast
27.89
-14.42
-34.08%
LYV
Live Nation Entertainment
140.49
13.47
10.60%
NFLX
Netflix
1,157.50
327.03
39.38%
FOXA
Fox
66.71
20.42
44.11%
WBD
Warner Bros
22.19
12.47
128.29%

Walt Disney Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Walt Disney Extends Kristina Schake’s Employment Agreement
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

On October 15, 2025, The Walt Disney Company extended the employment agreement of Kristina K. Schake, its Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Communications Officer, to June 30, 2027. The amendment also increased her annual base salary to $875,000, effective immediately, while her bonus and long-term equity incentive targets remained unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (DIS) stock is a Buy with a $138.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Walt Disney stock, see the DIS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Walt Disney Extends Sonia Coleman’s Employment Agreement
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On September 27, 2025, The Walt Disney Company extended the employment agreement of Sonia L. Coleman, now titled Senior Executive Vice President and Chief People Officer, to June 30, 2028. The amendment increased her base salary to $1,000,000, with a target annual bonus of 175% of her salary starting in fiscal year 2025, and a long-term equity incentive of 375% of her salary starting in fiscal year 2026, reflecting the company’s commitment to retaining key leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (DIS) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Walt Disney stock, see the DIS Stock Forecast page.

Walt Disney Company Reports Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Aug 7, 2025

The Walt Disney Company is a diversified multinational entertainment and media conglomerate known for its film studios, theme parks, and streaming services, operating primarily in the entertainment and leisure industry.

Disney Earnings Call: Strategic Wins Amid Challenges
Aug 7, 2025

The Walt Disney Company’s recent earnings call painted a largely optimistic picture, underscored by significant achievements and strategic advancements. The integration of Hulu into Disney+, the launch of ESPN’s direct-to-consumer service, and ambitious expansion projects in the Parks and Experiences segment were among the highlights. Despite facing challenges in China, the overall sentiment was positive, driven by these strategic moves and financial successes.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025