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Walt Disney (DIS)
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Walt Disney (DIS) AI Stock Analysis

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DIS

Walt Disney

(NYSE:DIS)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$131.00
▲(15.45% Upside)
Disney's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, particularly the integration of Hulu and ESPN's expansion, are significant strengths. While technical indicators show mixed signals, the company's fair valuation and positive earnings call sentiment contribute to a solid overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Disney's robust revenue growth indicates successful expansion and strong demand across its diverse business segments, supporting long-term financial health.
Strategic Initiatives
The integration of Hulu into Disney+ is a strategic move to unify streaming services, potentially boosting subscriber engagement and reducing churn, which supports sustained growth.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances Disney's ability to invest in strategic initiatives and manage debt, ensuring long-term operational and financial stability.
Negative Factors
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory challenges and settlements can lead to increased compliance costs and impact Disney's reputation, potentially affecting future operations and profitability.
Patent Infringement
Patent infringement issues can lead to legal costs and operational disruptions, affecting Disney's ability to leverage certain technologies and impacting long-term strategic plans.
Challenges in China
Economic challenges in China may limit Disney's revenue growth in this key market, impacting overall financial performance and strategic expansion plans.

Walt Disney (DIS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Walt Disney Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Walt Disney Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company worldwide. It operates through two segments, Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution; and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. The company engages in the film and episodic television content production and distribution activities, as well as operates television broadcast networks under the ABC, Disney, ESPN, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brands; and studios that produces motion pictures under the Walt Disney Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, and Searchlight Pictures banners. It also offers direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, ESPN+, Hulu, and Star+; sale/licensing of film and television content to third-party television and subscription video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services by Industrial Light & Magic and Skywalker Sound. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; Disneyland Resort in California; Disneyland Paris; Hong Kong Disneyland Resort; and Shanghai Disney Resort; Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii; licenses its intellectual property to a third party for the operations of the Tokyo Disney Resort; and provides consumer products, which include licensing of trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games. Further, it sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The Walt Disney Company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyDisney generates revenue through multiple streams. The Media Networks segment includes advertising revenue from cable and broadcast television, subscription fees from cable providers, and affiliate fees. The Parks, Experiences and Products segment generates income from theme park admissions, hotel accommodations, merchandise sales, and licensing of Disney-branded products. Studio Entertainment earns revenue from the box office sales of films, home video sales, and licensing of content. The Direct-to-Consumer segment includes subscription revenue from Disney+, ESPN+, and Hulu, as well as advertising revenue from these platforms. Significant partnerships, such as exclusive streaming deals and collaborations with other content creators, also contribute to its earnings.

Walt Disney Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Subscribers
Total Subscribers
Indicates the scale of the company’s customer base, crucial for assessing growth potential and market penetration.
Chart InsightsAfter a significant decline in subscribers from late 2022 through 2023, Disney's strategic initiatives, including the integration of Hulu into Disney+ and the launch of ESPN's direct-to-consumer platform, are beginning to stabilize and slightly increase subscriber numbers. These moves aim to enhance user engagement and reduce churn, potentially reversing the previous downward trend. The anticipated growth in advertising revenue and new content offerings could further bolster subscriber retention and attract new users, aligning with Disney's broader strategic goals for streaming growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Walt Disney Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant strategic advancements such as the integration of Hulu into Disney+ and the expansion of ESPN's offerings, which are expected to enhance user experience and financial performance. However, challenges remain, particularly in the Chinese market and content overlap issues in the upcoming quarter. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and strategic partnerships outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Integration of Hulu into Disney+
Disney announced the full integration of Hulu into Disney+ to create a unified app experience. This aims to enhance user experience, reduce churn, improve operational efficiencies, and increase advertising revenue potential.
Success of Disney's Film Studios
Live-action Lilo & Stitch crossed the $1 billion mark globally, the first Hollywood film to do so this year. It became Disney's fourth billion-dollar film in just over a year. Additionally, Marvel's The Fantastic Four: First Steps launched successfully.
Expansion of ESPN and NFL Partnership
ESPN will launch a direct-to-consumer sports offering on August 21. ESPN will acquire the NFL Network and other media assets, while the NFL gains a 10% equity stake in ESPN. This deal is expected to be accretive in the first year post-closing.
Expansion in Parks and Experiences
Disney is undergoing expansions in all theme parks globally and is launching two new cruise ships, Disney Destiny and Disney Adventure, later this year.
DTC Growth and Profitability
The integration of Hulu into Disney+ is expected to enhance profitability and margins through higher engagement and lower churn.
Negative Updates
Challenges in China
China market faces challenges with per capita spending due to economic stress among consumers, although attendance remains stable.
Content Overlap Challenges
The upcoming quarter will face tough comps due to the success of Inside Out 2 from the previous year, which could affect content revenue growth.
Company Guidance
During the Walt Disney Company Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, CEO Bob Iger shared optimistic guidance, highlighting several strategic initiatives aimed at driving growth across Disney's various segments. Notably, Disney plans to integrate Hulu into Disney+ to create a unified streaming platform, enhancing subscriber experience and potentially increasing engagement, reducing churn, and boosting advertising revenue. ESPN is set to launch a direct-to-consumer sports offering on August 21, with expanded content from new NFL deals, including more games and features such as betting and fantasy sports, which could drive subscriber and revenue growth. The Parks and Experiences segment is undergoing significant global expansions, with new attractions and cruise ships, including the largest-ever Disney ship launching in Singapore. Disney's film division is thriving, with live-action "Lilo & Stitch" crossing the $1 billion mark at the box office, and new franchises like "The Fantastic Four" and upcoming releases like "Zootopia 2" and "Avatar: Fire and Ash" poised to further strengthen Disney's content portfolio. Despite these ambitious plans, CFO Hugh Johnston maintained confidence in Disney’s fiscal 2026 guidance, indicating strong future earnings potential.

Walt Disney Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Walt Disney exhibits strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability improvements. The company has effectively managed its leverage and enhanced its cash flow generation, positioning itself well for future growth. Continued focus on profitability and debt management will be crucial to sustaining this positive momentum.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Walt Disney's income statement shows strong performance with a significant revenue growth rate of 52.6% in the TTM period. The company has maintained healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 37.1% and a net profit margin of 9.5%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 13.6% and 18.7%, respectively. This indicates effective cost management and operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin, while improved, suggests room for further profitability enhancement.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41, showing a decrease from previous years, indicating improved leverage management. The return on equity stands at 8.7%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is solid, suggesting a strong capital structure. However, the company should continue to monitor its debt levels to maintain financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with a free cash flow growth rate of 598.4% in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.53, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.60, both reflecting efficient cash conversion. The company has shown significant improvement in cash flow metrics, supporting its operational and strategic initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue94.46B91.36B88.90B82.72B67.42B65.39B
Gross Profit34.15B32.66B29.70B28.32B22.29B21.51B
EBITDA17.96B14.63B12.11B12.00B9.08B5.09B
Net Income11.55B4.97B2.35B3.15B2.00B-2.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets196.61B196.22B205.58B203.63B203.61B201.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.37B6.00B14.18B11.62B15.96B17.91B
Total Debt42.26B49.52B50.67B52.26B58.31B62.32B
Total Liabilities82.86B90.70B92.57B95.25B101.39B104.04B
Stockholders Equity109.14B100.70B99.28B95.01B88.55B83.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.55B8.56B4.90B1.07B1.99B3.60B
Operating Cash Flow19.14B13.97B9.87B6.01B5.57B7.62B
Investing Cash Flow-8.61B-6.88B-4.64B-5.01B-3.16B-3.64B
Financing Cash Flow-11.22B-15.29B-2.72B-4.74B-4.38B8.48B

Walt Disney Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price113.47
Price Trends
50DMA
117.00
Negative
100DMA
116.17
Negative
200DMA
109.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.18
Positive
RSI
41.26
Neutral
STOCH
33.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DIS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 113.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 115.80, below the 50-day MA of 117.00, and above the 200-day MA of 109.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DIS.

Walt Disney Risk Analysis

Walt Disney disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Walt Disney reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Walt Disney Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
117.12B5.2223.65%4.04%2.54%60.53%
78
Outperform
25.86B12.2718.92%0.90%16.60%57.39%
76
Outperform
$203.94B17.7811.01%0.88%5.00%144.65%
71
Outperform
514.42B51.5941.07%14.28%46.86%
68
Neutral
48.30B64.602.13%-3.79%
68
Neutral
37.53B70.27255.34%-0.39%108.72%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DIS
Walt Disney
113.47
18.11
18.99%
CMCSA
Comcast
31.72
-8.65
-21.43%
LYV
Live Nation Entertainment
161.79
52.30
47.77%
NFLX
Netflix
1,210.61
501.34
70.68%
FOXA
Fox
61.15
19.22
45.84%
WBD
Warner Bros
19.51
11.26
136.48%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 13, 2025