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Walt Disney (DIS)
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Walt Disney (DIS) AI Stock Analysis

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DIS

Walt Disney

(NYSE:DIS)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$133.00
▲(15.26% Upside)
Disney's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic initiatives that position it well for future growth. The positive sentiment from the earnings call and the strategic acquisition of Hulu are significant factors. However, mixed technical indicators and modest valuation metrics slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Sports Segment
ESPN DTC will launch at $29.99/month, with promising growth prospects supported by new partnerships, setting the stage for long-term growth in the Sports segment.
Streaming and Content
The unified Disney+ and Hulu businesses should improve churn, engagement, monetization, and drive operational efficiencies.
Theme Parks
Walt Disney World reported record revenues, despite Epic opening nearby.
Negative Factors
Earnings Expectations
The raised FY25 outlook for adjusted EPS growth was below market expectations, leading to negative share performance.
Legacy Business Challenges
Challenges remain on the legacy side of the business due to PayTV subscription losses and advertising headwinds.
Theme Park Attendance
US theme park trends were mixed with flat domestic theme park attendance, creating uncertainty related to competition from Epic Universe.

Walt Disney (DIS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Walt Disney Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Walt Disney Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company worldwide. It operates through two segments, Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution; and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. The company engages in the film and episodic television content production and distribution activities, as well as operates television broadcast networks under the ABC, Disney, ESPN, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brands; and studios that produces motion pictures under the Walt Disney Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, and Searchlight Pictures banners. It also offers direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, ESPN+, Hulu, and Star+; sale/licensing of film and television content to third-party television and subscription video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services by Industrial Light & Magic and Skywalker Sound. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; Disneyland Resort in California; Disneyland Paris; Hong Kong Disneyland Resort; and Shanghai Disney Resort; Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii; licenses its intellectual property to a third party for the operations of the Tokyo Disney Resort; and provides consumer products, which include licensing of trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games. Further, it sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The Walt Disney Company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyDisney generates revenue through multiple streams. The Media Networks segment includes advertising revenue from cable and broadcast television, subscription fees from cable providers, and affiliate fees. The Parks, Experiences and Products segment generates income from theme park admissions, hotel accommodations, merchandise sales, and licensing of Disney-branded products. Studio Entertainment earns revenue from the box office sales of films, home video sales, and licensing of content. The Direct-to-Consumer segment includes subscription revenue from Disney+, ESPN+, and Hulu, as well as advertising revenue from these platforms. Significant partnerships, such as exclusive streaming deals and collaborations with other content creators, also contribute to its earnings.

Walt Disney Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Subscribers
Total Subscribers
Indicates the scale of the company’s customer base, crucial for assessing growth potential and market penetration.
Chart InsightsAfter a significant decline in subscribers from late 2022 through 2023, Disney's strategic initiatives, including the integration of Hulu into Disney+ and the launch of ESPN's direct-to-consumer platform, are beginning to stabilize and slightly increase subscriber numbers. These moves aim to enhance user engagement and reduce churn, potentially reversing the previous downward trend. The anticipated growth in advertising revenue and new content offerings could further bolster subscriber retention and attract new users, aligning with Disney's broader strategic goals for streaming growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Walt Disney Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.48%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements, such as the integration of Hulu into Disney+, the launch of ESPN's direct-to-consumer service, and expansion projects in the Parks and Experiences segment. While there are challenges in China, the overall sentiment is positive due to the numerous strategic advancements and financial successes.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Box Office Success
The live-action Lilo & Stitch crossed the $1 billion mark at the worldwide box office, becoming Hollywood's first film to reach that milestone this year and Disney's fourth billion-dollar film in just over a year.
Streaming Integration and Growth
Disney announced the integration of Hulu into Disney+, creating a unified app experience that includes branded and general entertainment, news, and sports, expected to increase engagement, reduce churn, and enhance advertising revenue potential.
ESPN Direct-to-Consumer Launch
ESPN announced plans to launch its direct-to-consumer sports offering on August 21, with features including multiview, enhanced personalization, and the integration of stats, betting, and fantasy sports.
Theme Park and Cruise Line Expansion
Disney is expanding its Parks and Experiences segment with projects such as a new World of Frozen land, Villains and Cars-themed areas, Monsters, Inc. area, and an Avatar-themed destination. Disney Cruise Line will also launch two new ships, Disney Destiny and Disney Adventure, later this year.
NFL Partnership Enhancements
ESPN and the NFL announced plans to expand programming and content offerings, including ESPN acquiring NFL Network and certain media assets, resulting in more games for ESPN and a 10% equity stake for the NFL in ESPN.
Negative Updates
Challenges in China
Disney's operations in China are facing challenges, particularly in terms of per capita spending, due to economic stress among Chinese consumers.
Company Guidance
During the Walt Disney Company's Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, CEO Bob Iger emphasized the company's strategic priorities and future growth plans. The call highlighted several key metrics and initiatives, including the upcoming integration of Hulu into Disney+ aimed at enhancing the streaming experience with improved engagement, lower churn, and increased advertising revenue potential. Iger also announced the launch of ESPN's direct-to-consumer sports platform on August 21, which will offer new features such as multiview and personalized sports content. The fiscal guidance included the expectation of double-digit EPS growth and low single-digit operating income growth in sports by 2026. Additionally, Disney's parks and experiences segment is expanding globally, with projects underway at various theme parks and the introduction of new cruise ships, including the Disney Destiny and Disney Adventure, which are expected to enhance the brand's global reach and consumer engagement.

Walt Disney Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Walt Disney exhibits strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability improvements. The company has effectively managed its leverage and enhanced its cash flow generation, positioning itself well for future growth. Continued focus on profitability and debt management will be crucial to sustaining this positive momentum.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Walt Disney's income statement shows strong performance with a significant revenue growth rate of 52.6% in the TTM period. The company has maintained healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 37.1% and a net profit margin of 9.5%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 13.6% and 18.7%, respectively. This indicates effective cost management and operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin, while improved, suggests room for further profitability enhancement.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41, showing a decrease from previous years, indicating improved leverage management. The return on equity stands at 8.7%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is solid, suggesting a strong capital structure. However, the company should continue to monitor its debt levels to maintain financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with a free cash flow growth rate of 598.4% in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.53, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.60, both reflecting efficient cash conversion. The company has shown significant improvement in cash flow metrics, supporting its operational and strategic initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue94.46B91.36B88.90B82.72B67.42B65.39B
Gross Profit34.15B32.66B29.70B28.32B22.29B21.51B
EBITDA17.96B14.63B12.11B12.00B9.08B5.09B
Net Income11.55B4.97B2.35B3.15B2.00B-2.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets196.61B196.22B205.58B203.63B203.61B201.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.37B6.00B14.18B11.62B15.96B17.91B
Total Debt42.26B49.52B50.67B52.26B58.31B62.32B
Total Liabilities82.86B90.70B92.57B95.25B101.39B104.04B
Stockholders Equity109.14B100.70B99.28B95.01B88.55B83.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.55B8.56B4.90B1.07B1.99B3.60B
Operating Cash Flow19.14B13.97B9.87B6.01B5.57B7.62B
Investing Cash Flow-8.61B-6.88B-4.64B-5.01B-3.16B-3.64B
Financing Cash Flow-11.22B-15.29B-2.72B-4.74B-4.38B8.48B

Walt Disney Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price115.39
Price Trends
50DMA
118.88
Negative
100DMA
108.51
Positive
200DMA
108.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.23
Positive
RSI
44.11
Neutral
STOCH
56.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DIS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 115.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 117.83, below the 50-day MA of 118.88, and above the 200-day MA of 108.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DIS.

Walt Disney Risk Analysis

Walt Disney disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Walt Disney reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Walt Disney Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$25.43B12.2019.96%0.93%16.60%57.39%
78
Outperform
$209.12B18.2311.01%0.87%5.00%144.65%
75
Outperform
$522.90B52.8043.55%14.28%46.86%
71
Outperform
$16.96B57.5554.66%2.21%1.36%-45.79%
64
Neutral
$29.16B39.242.18%-3.79%
60
Neutral
$37.48B69.90345.87%-0.39%108.72%
60
Neutral
$44.04B1.91-11.93%3.99%2.50%-38.33%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DIS
Walt Disney
115.39
25.35
28.15%
LYV
Live Nation Entertainment
160.93
64.40
66.72%
NFLX
Netflix
1,238.95
550.42
79.94%
FOXA
Fox
58.36
19.11
48.69%
WMG
Warner Music Group
32.53
4.27
15.11%
WBD
Warner Bros
11.85
4.22
55.31%

Walt Disney Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Disney Finalizes Hulu Acquisition with NBC Universal
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

On November 1, 2023, NBC Universal exercised its right to require Disney to purchase its 33% interest in Hulu for a guaranteed floor value of $27.5 billion. After a contractual appraisal process completed on June 9, 2025, Disney is set to pay an additional $438.7 million to NBCU, with the acquisition closing by July 24, 2025. This acquisition will allow Disney to integrate Hulu’s content with Disney+ and ESPN, enhancing its streaming offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (DIS) stock is a Buy with a $147.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Walt Disney stock, see the DIS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025