Warner Bros (WBD)
NASDAQ:WBD
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Warner Bros (WBD) AI Stock Analysis

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WBD

Warner Bros

(NASDAQ:WBD)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(9.94% Upside)
Warner Bros. Discovery's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting growth in streaming and box office leadership. However, the high P/E ratio and challenges in revenue growth and ARPU pressure weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Streaming Subscriber Growth
The significant growth in streaming subscribers indicates strong market demand and enhances Warner Bros.'s competitive position in the digital content space.
Box Office Leadership
Leading the global box office reinforces Warner Bros.'s strong brand and content appeal, which is crucial for sustained revenue generation and market dominance.
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt levels enhances financial flexibility and reduces risk, positioning the company better for future investments and growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth poses a risk to long-term financial health, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in new projects and maintain competitive advantage.
Linear Television Challenges
Challenges in the linear TV segment could lead to declining revenues in this area, affecting overall profitability and necessitating strategic adjustments.
ARPU Pressure
ARPU pressure can impact revenue per user, challenging the profitability of streaming services and requiring strategic pricing adjustments.

Warner Bros (WBD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Warner Bros Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWarner Bros. Discovery (WBD) is a leading global media and entertainment company that operates through various segments including film, television, and streaming services. Formed from the merger of WarnerMedia and Discovery, Inc., WBD encompasses a vast library of intellectual properties, including iconic franchises like Harry Potter, DC Comics, and various reality TV shows. The company produces and distributes films, television programs, and digital content across multiple platforms, aiming to engage audiences worldwide with diverse storytelling and entertainment experiences.
How the Company Makes MoneyWarner Bros. Discovery generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from content creation and distribution. Key revenue sources include theatrical releases, television licensing, subscription fees from its streaming services such as HBO Max, and advertising revenue from its cable networks and digital platforms. The company also earns income from merchandise sales related to its franchises, as well as from partnerships with other media entities. Significant partnerships, such as those with cable providers and international distributors, enhance its reach and profitability. Additionally, the diversification into non-scripted content and reality TV has proven to be a lucrative avenue, capitalizing on changing viewer preferences.

Warner Bros Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Distribution Revenue
Distribution Revenue
Captures earnings from distributing content across various platforms, indicating the reach and demand for Warner Bros' content.
Chart InsightsWarner Bros. Discovery's Distribution Revenue shows a mixed performance across segments. The Studios segment experienced volatility with significant fluctuations, including negative values, indicating possible strategic shifts or accounting adjustments. Networks revenue is on a gradual decline, reflecting challenges in traditional media. In contrast, DTC revenue is steadily increasing, supported by strong subscriber growth and successful content strategies, as highlighted in the earnings call. The company's focus on international expansion and quality content is driving positive momentum, despite challenges in the U.S. market and rising sports rights costs.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Warner Bros Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights Warner Bros. Discovery's leadership in the global box office and significant growth in streaming subscribers, alongside a successful Emmy season. However, challenges persist in the linear television segment and ARPU pressures in streaming due to strategic adjustments. Overall, the company's strategic initiatives seem to be paying off, positioning it well for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Box Office Leadership
Warner Bros. Discovery leads the 2025 box office domestically, internationally, and globally, becoming the only film studio to have crossed $4 billion in 2025 box office revenue.
Streaming Subscriber Growth
HBO Max has expanded to over 100 countries, adding more than 30 million new streaming subscribers in three years. The Streaming segment will contribute more than $1.3 billion in EBITDA this year versus losing $2.5 billion three years ago.
Emmy Success
Warner Bros. Television received 14 Emmy awards, including outstanding drama series for 'The Pitt,' and 9 Emmy wins for 'The Penguin.' HBO was also recognized with 30 Emmy Awards, tied for the most of any network or platform.
Debt Reduction
The company has reduced its net leverage ratio to 3.3x EBITDA, including paying down $1 billion from its bridge loan facility in the third quarter.
Content Expansion
Announced a new Gremlins film for 2027, with Steven Spielberg executive producing and Chris Columbus directing and producing.
Negative Updates
Linear Television Challenges
The company acknowledges the headwinds facing the linear television business, which are well understood but still pose a challenge.
ARPU Pressure
There is pressure on ARPU in the U.S. due to the reset back to market rates of an affiliated party transaction and the rollout of an ad-supported SKU, which is impacting ARPU internationally as well.
Company Guidance
During the Warner Bros. Discovery Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the management presented numerous financial and operational metrics, underscoring the company's strong performance and strategic direction. Warner Bros. Discovery is leading the 2025 box office domestically, internationally, and globally, being the only studio to cross $4 billion in box office revenue this year. The Motion Picture Group's success, with films like Superman, Weapons, and The Conjuring: Last Rites, is part of their strategy to achieve $3 billion in EBITDA. In streaming, HBO Max has expanded to over 100 countries and added more than 30 million new subscribers in three years, contributing over $1.3 billion in EBITDA this year. The service is expected to reach over 150 million subscribers by the end of next year. Furthermore, HBO Max's content, such as The Pitt and The White Lotus, has garnered significant viewership and accolades, including 30 Emmy Awards. The company’s linear networks, despite industry headwinds, continue to be robust cash flow contributors, with a net leverage ratio reduced to 3.3x EBITDA after significant debt repayments. Overall, management expressed confidence in their strategic focus on industry leadership, global streaming expansion, and linear network optimization, with strong future content and financial growth prospects.

Warner Bros Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Warner Bros presents a mixed financial picture with positive profitability margins and strong cash flow metrics. However, challenges remain with declining revenue growth and low return on equity. The balance sheet is stable, but improving profitability and growth will be crucial for future success.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Warner Bros shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a slight decline in revenue growth at -1.50%, which is concerning. However, the company has managed to maintain a positive net profit margin of 1.99% and a gross profit margin of 43.27%, indicating some level of profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also positive at 8.85% and 59.74%, respectively, showing operational efficiency. Despite these strengths, the negative revenue growth trend and past losses highlight potential risks.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.96, which is reasonable for the industry. The return on equity (ROE) is low at 2.21%, indicating limited profitability from equity. The equity ratio stands at 35.83%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the company has managed to reduce its debt levels, the low ROE and past negative equity returns are areas of concern.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Warner Bros demonstrates strong cash flow management with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 79.74% and a positive free cash flow growth rate of 12.3% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 39.10%, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. These metrics suggest robust cash flow health, although the company should aim to improve its operating cash flow coverage ratio for better financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.86B39.32B41.32B33.82B12.19B10.67B
Gross Profit16.67B16.35B16.80B13.38B7.57B6.81B
EBITDA19.55B11.61B22.37B14.17B7.15B6.69B
Net Income485.00M-11.31B-3.13B-7.37B1.01B1.22B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets100.52B104.56B122.76B134.00B34.43B34.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.33B5.31B3.78B3.73B3.90B2.09B
Total Debt33.75B39.51B43.67B49.00B14.76B15.40B
Total Liabilities63.21B69.62B76.28B85.33B21.03B21.70B
Stockholders Equity36.02B34.04B45.23B47.09B11.60B10.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.07B4.43B6.16B3.32B2.42B2.34B
Operating Cash Flow5.00B5.38B7.48B4.30B2.80B2.74B
Investing Cash Flow-31.00M-349.00M-1.26B3.52B-56.00M-703.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.42B-3.75B-5.84B-7.74B-853.00M-1.55B

Warner Bros Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.74
Price Trends
50DMA
19.96
Positive
100DMA
16.04
Positive
200DMA
12.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.07
Positive
RSI
70.50
Negative
STOCH
77.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WBD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.15, above the 50-day MA of 19.96, and above the 200-day MA of 12.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 70.50 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WBD.

Warner Bros Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$27.28B14.5917.33%0.85%14.91%9.30%
76
Outperform
$188.88B15.4511.78%0.95%3.61%152.34%
76
Outperform
$27.28B13.1617.33%0.95%14.91%9.30%
70
Outperform
$57.07B121.221.36%-4.29%
69
Neutral
$47.13B46.0842.86%15.49%35.54%
67
Neutral
$15.32B32.575.59%0.79%-16.36%29.53%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WBD
Warner Bros
23.69
14.19
149.37%
NWSA
News Corp
25.31
-3.29
-11.50%
DIS
Walt Disney
106.28
-5.17
-4.64%
NFLX
Netflix
114.09
26.96
30.94%
FOXA
Fox
64.96
19.63
43.30%
FOX
Fox
58.52
15.75
36.82%

Warner Bros Corporate Events

Warner Bros. Discovery Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 7, 2025

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. is a global media and entertainment company that creates and distributes a diverse portfolio of branded content across television, film, streaming, and gaming, with iconic brands like HBO, CNN, and Warner Bros.

Warner Bros. Discovery Shines in 2025 Earnings Call
Nov 7, 2025

Warner Bros. Discovery’s recent earnings call paints a picture of a company that is thriving in several key areas, despite some ongoing challenges. The sentiment expressed during the call was largely positive, highlighting the company’s leadership in the global box office and impressive growth in streaming subscribers. The successful Emmy season further underscores the company’s strong position. However, challenges remain, particularly in the linear television segment and with ARPU pressures in streaming, due to strategic adjustments. Overall, Warner Bros. Discovery’s strategic initiatives are showing promising results, positioning the company well for future growth.

Warner Bros. Discovery Reports Q2 2025 Earnings
Aug 8, 2025

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. is a global media and entertainment company that creates and distributes a diverse portfolio of branded content across television, film, streaming, and gaming. The company is known for its iconic brands such as HBO, CNN, and Warner Bros. Pictures.

Warner Bros. Discovery’s Earnings Call Highlights Success and Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

Warner Bros. Discovery’s recent earnings call painted a picture of both triumphs and challenges. The company celebrated strong box office performance, subscriber growth, and a strategic focus on franchises, all while achieving significant debt reduction and Emmy success. However, it also acknowledged short-term financial pressures from content strategy changes, a dampened growth period due to distribution deal restructuring, and the impact of NBA rights costs.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025