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Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. Series A (WBD)
NASDAQ:WBD
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Warner Bros (WBD) AI Stock Analysis

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WBD

Warner Bros

(NASDAQ:WBD)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(1.93% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
Overall score reflects mixed fundamentals: meaningful cash generation and improved reported leverage are offset by sharp TTM revenue contraction and a return to net losses. The latest earnings call was a positive offset due to accelerating streaming scale and improved streaming profitability, while technical signals are neutral and valuation remains challenged by negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Streaming scale & subscriber growth
Reaching global scale (140M+ subs, target >150M) materially improves unit economics and monetization levers (ARPU, ads, bundling). A largely complete international rollout increases addressable market and creates durable recurring revenue growth potential and higher lifetime value per subscriber.
Negative Factors
TTM revenue decline & net losses
A ~20% TTM revenue decline and negative net margin create volatility in profitability and limit durable returns on equity. Persistent revenue weakness undermines margin sustainability, constrains reinvestment capacity, and raises execution risk for achieving targeted studio and streaming earnings trajectories.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Streaming scale & subscriber growth
Reaching global scale (140M+ subs, target >150M) materially improves unit economics and monetization levers (ARPU, ads, bundling). A largely complete international rollout increases addressable market and creates durable recurring revenue growth potential and higher lifetime value per subscriber.
Read all positive factors

Warner Bros Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes income from different business areas like film, TV, and streaming, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability.
Chart InsightsAdvertising has suffered a durable step‑down since 2022, removing a previously reliable revenue pillar, while Distribution remains the steady cash engine but has softened slightly. Content shows clear revival in 2024–25—consistent with management’s box‑office leadership and HBO Max subscriber gains—turning hits into cross‑platform monetization. That makes future upside dependent on sustained blockbuster output and successful ARPU recovery, since streaming volume growth alone may not offset ad/linear pressure.
Data provided by:The Fly

Warner Bros (WBD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Warner Bros Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. operates as a media and entertainment company worldwide. It operates through three segments: Studios, Network, and DTC. The Studios segment produces and releases feature films for initial exhibition in theaters; produc...
How the Company Makes Money
WBD primarily makes money by monetizing its content and media brands through multiple distribution channels. Key revenue streams include: (1) Linear television networks: WBD earns affiliate/subscriber fees from pay-TV distributors (e.g., cable, sa...

Warner Bros Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive operational and strategic narrative: strong streaming subscriber growth and a notable profitability turnaround at HBO Max, major content and awards momentum at Warner Bros., improved sports and network engagement metrics, and strategic progress validated by shareholder approval of the Paramount Skydance transaction. Offsetting these positives are near-term cash and below-the-line costs tied to the sale/separation process, ongoing linear TV disruption and network revenue/EBITDA pressure, and the need to prove profitable sports streaming models. On balance, the positives (sizable subscriber and profit gains, content strength and international expansion) materially outweigh the near-term financial and structural headwinds.
Positive Updates
HBO Max Global Expansion and Subscriber Growth
Launched HBO Max in the U.K., Germany, Italy and Ireland; exceeded guidance of over 140 million total subscribers by end of Q1 and expect to finish the year with more than 150 million subscribers globally; added almost 50 million subs since the 2022 starting cohort.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow and Transaction-Related Cash Impact
Material negative cash impact from the sale/separation process continues: roughly $100 million of negative cash impact in Q1 and expectations for further negative cash flow in 2026 due to advisory fees, bridge interest, tax leakage and other sale-related expenses.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
HBO Max Global Expansion and Subscriber Growth
Launched HBO Max in the U.K., Germany, Italy and Ireland; exceeded guidance of over 140 million total subscribers by end of Q1 and expect to finish the year with more than 150 million subscribers globally; added almost 50 million subs since the 2022 starting cohort.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated several forward-looking targets and timing expectations: HBO Max exceeded its Q1 guidance of "over 140 million" total subscribers and the company now expects to finish FY‑2026 with more than 150 million global subscribers (having added almost 50 million since starting from mid‑90 millions), with subscriber‑related revenue growth expected to accelerate in Q2 and through the rest of the year; JB said streaming moved from losing over $2 billion to generating $1.4 billion last year (management characterized this as roughly a $3–4 billion turnaround). They reiterated WB Studios’ goal of at least $3 billion in annual adjusted EBITDA and noted a heavy slate (14 films in 2026, up to 18 in 2027). Other cited metrics included The Pitt averaging >20 million viewers/episode and A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms averaging ~36 million/episode, Warner Bros. earning 11 Oscars, CNN delivering +30% YoY minutes in Q1, Milano‑Cortina linear viewership +50% vs. Beijing 2022 with streaming hours >2x and viewers ~3x, a record March Madness broadcast on TNT Sports, a 16% sequential improvement in general‑entertainment delivery trends vs. Q4, double‑digit prime‑time growth on TLC/TBS, and near‑term cash headwinds from separation/transaction activity (roughly $100 million negative cash impact in Q1 and elevated transaction‑related cash outflows expected through 2026); the proposed sale terms were $31 per share and shareholders approved the transaction two weeks ago.

Warner Bros Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mid-range fundamentals: revenue is down ~20% TTM and the company is back to a net loss (~-6% margin), despite solid gross margin (~41%) and healthy EBITDA margin (~24%). Balance sheet leverage appears improved on reported debt-to-equity (~0.05) but negative ROE reflects losses. Cash flow remains a support (TTM OCF ~$3.6B; FCF ~$2.3B) though FCF fell ~25% versus the prior period.
Income Statement
43
Neutral
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.22B37.30B39.32B41.32B33.82B12.19B
Gross Profit14.22B10.51B16.35B16.80B13.38B7.57B
EBITDA13.42B9.42B11.61B22.37B14.17B7.15B
Net Income-2.15B727.00M-11.31B-3.13B-7.37B1.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets97.84B100.08B104.56B122.76B134.00B34.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.26B4.57B5.31B3.78B3.73B3.90B
Total Debt1.49B32.57B39.51B43.67B49.00B14.76B
Total Liabilities64.13B62.92B69.62B76.28B85.33B21.03B
Stockholders Equity32.58B35.92B34.04B45.23B47.09B11.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.31B3.09B4.43B6.16B3.32B2.42B
Operating Cash Flow3.56B4.32B5.38B7.48B4.30B2.80B
Investing Cash Flow-1.27B-546.00M-349.00M-1.26B3.52B-56.00M
Financing Cash Flow-3.10B-4.87B-3.75B-5.84B-7.74B-853.00M

Warner Bros Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.47
Price Trends
50DMA
27.27
Positive
100DMA
27.76
Negative
200DMA
23.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
57.08
Neutral
STOCH
60.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WBD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.09, above the 50-day MA of 27.27, and above the 200-day MA of 23.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WBD.

Warner Bros Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$370.93B19.2149.24%18.57%45.93%
75
Outperform
$180.74B18.1610.29%1.10%4.02%27.66%
74
Outperform
$25.76B33.9114.86%0.85%0.60%-5.58%
73
Outperform
$26.47B37.2914.86%0.75%0.60%-5.58%
66
Neutral
$14.83B39.204.88%0.76%-6.39%-12.34%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
55
Neutral
$67.94B-6.13%-2.78%84.26%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WBD
Warner Bros
27.42
18.47
206.37%
NWSA
News Corp
25.77
-1.96
-7.06%
DIS
Walt Disney
104.08
-5.17
-4.73%
NFLX
Netflix
88.09
-31.37
-26.26%
FOXA
Fox
64.13
9.51
17.41%
FOX
Fox
57.38
7.06
14.02%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026