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Fox (FOX)
NASDAQ:FOX
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Fox (FOX) AI Stock Analysis

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FOX

Fox

(NASDAQ:FOX)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$59.00
▲(8.46% Upside)
Fox's overall stock score reflects its robust financial performance, strong technical indicators, and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's strategic positioning in live sports, news, and digital streaming underpins its growth prospects. While the valuation is attractive, caution is warranted due to high expenses impacting EBITDA.

Fox (FOX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fox Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFox Corporation operates as a news, sports, and entertainment company in the United States (U.S.). The company operates through Cable Network Programming; Television; and Other, Corporate and Eliminations segments. The Cable Network Programming segment produces and licenses news, business news, and sports content for distribution through traditional and virtual multi-channel video programming distributors (MVPDs) and other digital platforms, primarily in the U.S. It operates FOX News, a national cable news channel; FOX Business, a business news national cable channel; FS1 and FS2 multi-sport national networks; FOX Sports Racing, a video programming service that comprises motor sports programming; FOX Soccer Plus, a video programming network for live soccer and rugby competitions; FOX Deportes, a Spanish-language sports programming service; and Big Ten Network, a national video programming service. The Television segment acquires, produces, markets, and distributes programming. It operates The FOX Network, a national television broadcast network that broadcasts sports programming and entertainment; Tubi, an advertising-supported video-on-demand service; Fox Alternative Entertainment, a full-service production studio that develops and produces unscripted and alternative programming; MyNetworkTV, a programming distribution service; and Blockchain Creative Labs, which is focuses on the creation, distribution and monetization of Web3 content. This segment owns and operates 29 broadcast television stations. The Other, Corporate and Eliminations segment owns the FOX Studios Lot that provides production and post-production services, including 15 sound stages, two broadcast studios, theaters and screening rooms, editing rooms, and other television and film production facilities in Los Angeles, California. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyFox Corporation generates revenue through various streams, primarily driven by advertising sales, affiliate fees, and content licensing. Advertising is a major source of income, with the company's networks and television stations selling commercial spots during programming. Affiliate fees are collected from cable and satellite operators who pay to carry Fox's channels. Additionally, Fox earns money by licensing its content to third-party platforms and networks. The company also benefits from significant partnerships and deals that enhance its distribution and content offerings, such as agreements with sports leagues and other media entities.

Fox Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Component
Revenue by Component
Analyzes revenue streams from different business components, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which might need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsFox's revenue growth is driven by a robust increase in affiliate fees and advertising, bolstered by record-breaking events like Super Bowl LIX. Despite slight subscriber declines affecting cable fees, affiliate revenue shows resilience with a steady upward trend. Advertising revenue, particularly from political and sports events, surged significantly, contributing to Fox's record financial performance in fiscal 2025. However, challenges in local advertising and investments in digital growth, such as the launch of FOX One, may impact short-term profitability, but the strategic focus on digital and sports content suggests strong future growth potential.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Fox Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in fiscal 2025, with record revenues and growth in key areas such as advertising and Tubi. However, the outlook for fiscal 2026 includes cyclical headwinds and increased investment impacting EBITDA. Overall, the sentiment is positive due to the significant growth achievements and strategic initiatives planned.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance
FOX reported record financial results in fiscal 2025 with total company revenues of over $16 billion, growing 17% year-over-year, and record adjusted EBITDA of $3.6 billion, growing 26% year-over-year.
Strong Advertising Revenue Growth
Advertising revenues increased 26%, driven by both record-breaking Super Bowl LIX and the Presidential election cycle, as well as a 32% revenue growth at Tubi.
FOX News Ratings Surge
FOX News ended the fiscal year as the most-watched cable network in total day and prime time, with total day audience up 25% in total viewers and 31% in the demo.
Successful Launch and Performance of Tubi
Tubi delivered 17% growth in total view time and a 32% revenue growth in the quarter, exceeding 100 million monthly active users and reaching a 2.2% share of total U.S. television viewing.
Introduction of FOX One Streaming Platform
FOX announced the launch of FOX One, a direct-to-consumer streaming platform launching on August 21 for $19.99 per month, expected to drive future subscriber growth.
Significant Share Repurchase Authorization
FOX announced a $5 billion increase to its share repurchase authorization, reflecting confidence in the business's trajectory.
Negative Updates
Political and Super Bowl Ad Revenue Headwinds
Facing cyclical event headwinds, including political ad revenue decline and Super Bowl ad revenue, which will be ad revenue negative in fiscal 2026.
Investment in New Initiatives Impacting EBITDA
Expected increase in investments towards FOX One and LatAm, with collective digital investment moving towards $350 million, impacting EBITDA.
Local Advertising Market Challenges
Local market advertising remains mixed, with gains in pharmaceutical segments offset by telecom and restaurant sectors.
Company Guidance
During the Fox Corporation Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust financial performance with several record-breaking metrics. The fiscal year 2025 saw revenue growth of 17% to $16 billion, EBITDA growth of 26% to $3.6 billion, and adjusted EPS growth of 39% to $4.78 per share. Free cash flow doubled to $3 billion, and political advertising revenue exceeded $400 million. The Super Bowl LIX broadcast generated over $800 million in gross advertising revenue and broke viewership records. FOX News achieved a record audience share, capturing over 70% of the cable news audience at times, while FOX Sports led in live sports, aided by events like Super Bowl LIX and the Indianapolis 500. Tubi's revenue grew by 32% in the quarter, and FOX One, a new streaming platform, is set to launch with a subscription model priced at $19.99 per month. The company also announced a $5 billion increase in its share repurchase authorization, highlighting confidence in its business trajectory.

Fox Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fox has demonstrated strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and profitability improvements. The income statement shows a solid gross profit margin and efficient cost management. The balance sheet is robust with moderate leverage, and the cash flow statement highlights strong liquidity and effective cash management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Fox has demonstrated strong revenue growth with an impressive 15.1% increase in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) vs. the previous year. The gross profit margin remains solid at 100%, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin improved to 11.57%, showcasing enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect strong operational efficiency, standing at 19.02% and 20.76%, respectively. Overall, Fox's income statement portrays a healthy and growing financial position with significant profitability improvements.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a balanced financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 16.18%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds to generate profit. The equity ratio of 49.32% reflects a solid capital position, though there is room for improvement in reducing liabilities. Overall, the balance sheet is robust, with good financial stability and shareholder value creation.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Fox's cash flow demonstrates strong operational performance with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.45, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.28, reflecting ample cash available for reinvestment or debt reduction. Free cash flow growth is notable, increasing by 59.57% in the most recent TTM period compared to the previous year. Overall, the cash flow statement highlights a strong liquidity position and effective cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.30B13.98B14.91B13.97B12.91B12.30B
Gross Profit16.30B13.98B14.91B13.97B12.91B12.30B
EBITDA3.85B2.90B2.50B2.43B3.61B2.09B
Net Income2.26B1.50B1.24B1.21B2.15B999.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.20B21.97B21.87B22.18B22.93B21.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.35B4.32B4.27B5.20B5.89B4.64B
Total Debt0.008.15B8.21B7.72B8.45B8.52B
Total Liabilities11.13B10.92B11.21B10.62B11.54B11.33B
Stockholders Equity11.96B10.71B10.38B11.34B11.12B10.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.32B1.50B1.44B1.58B2.15B2.01B
Operating Cash Flow3.32B1.84B1.80B1.88B2.64B2.37B
Investing Cash Flow-537.00M-452.00M-438.00M-513.00M-528.00M-1.10B
Financing Cash Flow-1.75B-1.34B-2.29B-2.06B-870.00M146.00M

Fox Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price54.40
Price Trends
50DMA
51.68
Positive
100DMA
49.89
Positive
200DMA
48.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.90
Negative
RSI
60.98
Neutral
STOCH
70.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FOX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 54.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.28, above the 50-day MA of 51.68, and above the 200-day MA of 48.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FOX.

Fox Risk Analysis

Fox disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fox reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fox Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$25.11B10.9919.96%0.99%16.60%57.39%
78
Outperform
$211.53B18.4511.01%0.85%5.00%144.65%
71
Outperform
$17.66B37.025.69%0.67%-11.42%75.42%
64
Neutral
$29.21B40.232.18%-3.79%
61
Neutral
$2.98B14.2070.99%0.93%13.80%109.00%
60
Neutral
$43.56B4.52-12.81%4.07%1.87%-43.08%
57
Neutral
$7.79B-38.19%4.56%-3.75%-253.95%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FOX
Fox
54.40
16.64
44.07%
CNK
Cinemark Holdings
25.93
-1.55
-5.64%
NWSA
News Corp
29.66
2.02
7.31%
SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings
23.66
-7.47
-24.00%
DIS
Walt Disney
117.64
28.61
32.14%
WBD
Warner Bros
12.15
4.42
57.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 16, 2025