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Fox (FOX)
NASDAQ:FOX

Fox (FOX) AI Stock Analysis

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Fox

(NASDAQ:FOX)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$59.00
▲(16.28%Upside)
Fox's overall stock score reflects its robust financial performance, strong technical indicators, and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's strategic positioning in live sports, news, and digital streaming underpins its growth prospects. While the valuation is attractive, caution is warranted due to high expenses impacting EBITDA.

Fox (FOX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fox Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFox Corporation operates as a news, sports, and entertainment company in the United States (U.S.). The company operates through Cable Network Programming; Television; and Other, Corporate and Eliminations segments. The Cable Network Programming segment produces and licenses news, business news, and sports content for distribution through traditional and virtual multi-channel video programming distributors (MVPDs) and other digital platforms, primarily in the U.S. It operates FOX News, a national cable news channel; FOX Business, a business news national cable channel; FS1 and FS2 multi-sport national networks; FOX Sports Racing, a video programming service that comprises motor sports programming; FOX Soccer Plus, a video programming network for live soccer and rugby competitions; FOX Deportes, a Spanish-language sports programming service; and Big Ten Network, a national video programming service. The Television segment acquires, produces, markets, and distributes programming. It operates The FOX Network, a national television broadcast network that broadcasts sports programming and entertainment; Tubi, an advertising-supported video-on-demand service; Fox Alternative Entertainment, a full-service production studio that develops and produces unscripted and alternative programming; MyNetworkTV, a programming distribution service; and Blockchain Creative Labs, which is focuses on the creation, distribution and monetization of Web3 content. This segment owns and operates 29 broadcast television stations. The Other, Corporate and Eliminations segment owns the FOX Studios Lot that provides production and post-production services, including 15 sound stages, two broadcast studios, theaters and screening rooms, editing rooms, and other television and film production facilities in Los Angeles, California. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyFox Corporation generates revenue through various streams, primarily driven by advertising sales, affiliate fees, and content licensing. Advertising is a major source of income, with the company's networks and television stations selling commercial spots during programming. Affiliate fees are collected from cable and satellite operators who pay to carry Fox's channels. Additionally, Fox earns money by licensing its content to third-party platforms and networks. The company also benefits from significant partnerships and deals that enhance its distribution and content offerings, such as agreements with sports leagues and other media entities.

Fox Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Component
Revenue by Component
Analyzes revenue streams from different business components, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which might need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsFox's revenue components show robust growth, particularly in advertising, which surged due to the Super Bowl LIX, contributing to a 65% increase in total advertising revenue. This aligns with the earnings call highlighting record-breaking advertising revenues and strong viewership. Affiliate fees and other revenues also show upward trends, reflecting strategic positioning in live sports and digital streaming. Despite higher expenses impacting EBITDA, the overall financial performance remains strong, supported by Fox News and Tubi's continued growth, indicating a well-rounded revenue strategy.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Fox Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.60%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements with record-breaking advertising revenue and strong performances from the Super Bowl and Fox News. Tubi continued its growth trajectory, contributing to a record free cash flow. However, these positives were slightly overshadowed by a decline in net income and higher expenses impacting EBITDA. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Advertising Revenue
Total company advertising revenue grew 65% in the quarter, including Super Bowl LIX, which generated over $800 million in gross advertising revenue, a record for both the national broadcast network and local TV stations.
Super Bowl LIX Success
Super Bowl LIX between Kansas City and Philadelphia delivered 128 million viewers across Fox platforms, making it the most-watched telecast in US history.
Fox News Channel Performance
Fox News Channel finished the quarter as the most-watched cable network, with total day audience growth of 48% in total viewers and 58% in the demo.
Tubi's Continued Growth
Tubi delivered a 35% revenue growth year-on-year, up from 31% in the prior quarter, with total view time up 24% year-over-year in April.
Record Quarterly Free Cash Flow
Fox generated record quarterly free cash flow of over $1.9 billion, consistent with the seasonality of their working capital cycle.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Income
Net income attributable to Fox stockholders was $346 million, down from $666 million in the prior year period.
Higher Expenses Impacting EBITDA
Quarterly adjusted EBITDA was $856 million compared to $891 million in the prior year quarter, primarily due to higher sports rights amortization and production costs.
Company Guidance
During the Fox Corporation Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics were highlighted. The company reported a 65% increase in total advertising revenue, driven significantly by the Super Bowl LIX, which generated over $800 million in gross advertising revenue. The Super Bowl broadcast attracted 128 million viewers, making it the most-watched telecast in U.S. history. Fox News Channel maintained its position as the most-watched cable network, with a 48% increase in total day audience and a 58% increase in the demo. Fox Sports led the industry in live sports event viewership, accumulating 3.3 billion hours of sports event viewing. Tubi, Fox’s AVOD platform, experienced a 35% year-on-year revenue growth, showing strong engagement and retention post-Super Bowl. The overall company reported a 27% increase in total revenues and record free cash flow of over $1.9 billion. Fox's Cable Network Programming segment saw an 11% revenue growth, while the Television segment achieved a 40% revenue growth. These results underscore Fox’s robust financial performance and strategic positioning in live sports, news, and digital streaming.

Fox Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fox has demonstrated strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and profitability improvements. The income statement shows a solid gross profit margin and efficient cost management. The balance sheet is robust with moderate leverage, and the cash flow statement highlights strong liquidity and effective cash management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Fox has demonstrated strong revenue growth with an impressive 15.1% increase in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) vs. the previous year. The gross profit margin remains solid at 100%, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin improved to 11.57%, showcasing enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect strong operational efficiency, standing at 19.02% and 20.76%, respectively. Overall, Fox's income statement portrays a healthy and growing financial position with significant profitability improvements.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a balanced financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 16.18%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds to generate profit. The equity ratio of 49.32% reflects a solid capital position, though there is room for improvement in reducing liabilities. Overall, the balance sheet is robust, with good financial stability and shareholder value creation.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Fox's cash flow demonstrates strong operational performance with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.45, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.28, reflecting ample cash available for reinvestment or debt reduction. Free cash flow growth is notable, increasing by 59.57% in the most recent TTM period compared to the previous year. Overall, the cash flow statement highlights a strong liquidity position and effective cash management.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
16.11B13.98B14.91B13.97B12.91B12.30B
Gross Profit
16.11B13.98B4.81B4.49B4.57B4.33B
EBIT
3.06B2.48B2.06B2.06B3.35B2.28B
EBITDA
3.34B2.90B2.50B2.43B3.61B2.09B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.86B1.50B1.24B1.21B2.15B999.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.82B4.32B4.27B5.20B5.89B4.64B
Total Assets
23.37B21.97B21.87B22.18B22.93B21.75B
Total Debt
8.11B8.15B7.21B7.31B7.95B7.95B
Net Debt
3.29B3.83B2.94B2.11B2.06B3.30B
Total Liabilities
11.50B10.92B11.42B10.81B11.80B11.64B
Stockholders Equity
11.53B10.71B10.38B11.34B11.12B10.09B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.39B1.50B1.44B1.58B2.15B2.01B
Operating Cash Flow
2.71B1.84B1.80B1.88B2.64B2.37B
Investing Cash Flow
-535.00M-452.00M-438.00M-513.00M-528.00M-1.10B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.15B-1.34B-2.29B-2.06B-870.00M146.00M

Fox Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price50.74
Price Trends
50DMA
48.43
Positive
100DMA
49.40
Positive
200DMA
45.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Positive
RSI
55.66
Neutral
STOCH
57.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FOX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 50.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.21, above the 50-day MA of 48.43, and above the 200-day MA of 45.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FOX.

Fox Risk Analysis

Fox disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fox reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fox Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
FOFOX
80
Outperform
$23.54B12.4916.89%1.07%15.70%26.73%
DIDIS
78
Outperform
$211.88B24.078.75%0.85%5.33%431.28%
77
Outperform
$16.69B32.875.88%0.71%-5.43%135.46%
CNCNK
74
Outperform
$3.76B21.5671.46%0.98%-0.80%13.07%
WBWBD
63
Neutral
$26.15B-27.69%-5.58%-254.85%
61
Neutral
$14.55B5.92-3.82%8.36%2.79%-33.24%
58
Neutral
$7.26B-37.30%5.03%-4.08%-248.39%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FOX
Fox
50.74
19.06
60.16%
CNK
Cinemark Holdings
31.89
11.26
54.58%
NWSA
News Corp
28.35
1.05
3.85%
SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings
21.75
-4.05
-15.70%
DIS
Walt Disney
117.63
16.57
16.40%
WBD
Warner Bros
10.52
3.21
43.91%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.