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Comcast (CMCSA)
NASDAQ:CMCSA

Comcast (CMCSA) AI Stock Analysis

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CMCSA

Comcast

(NASDAQ:CMCSA)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(11.48% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (healthy margins and robust free cash flow) and very compelling valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Technicals are moderately supportive with positive momentum. The main constraint is earnings-call guidance pointing to near-term broadband and segment EBITDA pressure and less favorable cash-tax benefits in 2026.
Positive Factors
Record free cash flow
Sustained, very large free cash flow provides durable financial flexibility. It funds dividends, buybacks, and strategic reinvestment while absorbing cyclical shocks. Even after one-time tax items, FCF scale supports long-term capital allocation and de-levering priorities.
Wireless convergence growth
Rapid wireless net-adds deepen Comcast's converged offering, increasing customer stickiness and cross-sell potential. Over 9M lines and rising penetration create a durable multi-product revenue stream that can lift ARPU and lifetime value as free lines convert to paid over time.
Network modernization benefits
Material operational improvements from virtualization and automation lower service costs and reduce churn risk. Persistent reductions in trouble calls and repair minutes translate to sustainable margin uplift, higher NPS, and lower service OPEX across the broadband base over years.
Negative Factors
Broadband subscriber and ARPU pressure
Structural ARPU pressure and net subscriber losses from a major pricing simplification risk slower revenue per customer for multiple quarters. Given broadband is core to revenue, persistent ARPU weakness can compress segment EBITDA and constrain long-term revenue growth.
Heavy, sustained capex burden
Very large ongoing Connectivity & Platforms investment is strategic but creates a multi-year cash outflow profile that limits free cash flow available for other uses. High structural capex can slow deleveraging and reduce flexibility for M&A or larger shareholder returns.
Versant spin reduces recurring cash flow
Spinning Versant removes a meaningful pool of media cash flow and narrows Comcast's asset mix toward connectivity and NBCUniversal. The loss of those cash flows and the modest post‑spin leverage increase could pressure FCF and capital allocation flexibility over the medium term.

Comcast (CMCSA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comcast Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComcast Corporation operates as a media and technology company worldwide. It operates through Cable Communications, Media, Studios, Theme Parks, and Sky segments. The Cable Communications segment offers broadband, video, voice, wireless, and other services to residential and business customers under the Xfinity brand; and advertising services. The Media segment operates NBCUniversal's television and streaming platforms, including national, regional, and international cable networks, the NBC and Telemundo broadcast, and Peacock networks. The Studios segment operates NBCUniversal's film and television studio production and distribution operations. The Theme Parks segment operates Universal theme parks in Orlando, Florida; Hollywood, California; Osaka, Japan; and Beijing, China. The Sky segment offers direct-to-consumer services, such as video, broadband, voice and wireless phone services, and content business operates entertainment networks, the Sky News broadcast network, and Sky Sports networks. The company also owns the Philadelphia Flyers, as well as the Wells Fargo Center arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; and provides streaming service, such as Peacock. Comcast Corporation was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyComcast generates revenue primarily through its subscription-based services. The Comcast Cable segment earns money from the provision of cable television services, broadband internet access, and digital voice services, with significant revenue coming from monthly subscriptions and bundled service packages. The company also generates income from advertising sales on its cable networks and from its streaming service, Peacock. Additionally, the NBCUniversal segment contributes to revenue through theatrical releases, television production, and licensing deals, as well as from its theme parks. Strategic partnerships with content providers and advertisers further enhance Comcast's ability to monetize its media assets and expand its customer base.

Comcast Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across different business segments, revealing which areas are driving growth and where there might be challenges or opportunities.
Chart InsightsComcast's Connectivity and Platforms segment shows a stable yet pressured performance, with recent EBITDA declines due to strategic investments in pricing and customer experience. The Content and Experiences segment, however, is buoyed by strong theme park and studio growth, notably from 'Jurassic World Rebirth.' Despite a 3% overall revenue decline linked to the Paris Olympics comparison, excluding this, revenue rose nearly 3%, highlighting resilience in key areas. The strategic focus on wireless and sports content, alongside robust free cash flow, positions Comcast for potential growth despite broadband challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Comcast Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted substantial strategic progress across multiple growth engines — record free cash flow (helped by a one-time tax benefit), strong wireless net additions and penetration, meaningful parks and Peacock momentum, and measurable benefits from network modernization — while also acknowledging near-term headwinds: a significant quarterly EBITDA and EPS decline, broadband subscriber losses and ARPU pressure tied to a major pricing and packaging transition, upfront sports-related EBITDA dilution at Peacock, and intensified competitive dynamics. Management framed the negatives as deliberate investments to position the company for durable long-term growth and expects performance to improve as investments are lapped and free wireless lines convert to paid relationships.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Free Cash Flow
Full-year free cash flow of $19.2 billion, the highest year on record, driven by lower cash taxes, favorable working capital, and lower capital spending.
Strong Wireless Net Adds and Penetration
Wireless saw its strongest year with ~1,500,000 net lines added in 2025, ending with >9,000,000 total lines and ~15% penetration of the residential broadband base; Q4 net adds of 364,000 lines with meaningful uptake of premium unlimited plans.
Theme Parks Momentum
Theme parks revenue grew ~22% in the quarter and EBITDA grew ~24%, with parks EBITDA crossing $1 billion in the quarter for the first time; Epic Universe is driving longer stays, higher per-cap spending and increased hotel ADR (hotel ADR up ~20% in Orlando).
Peacock Scale and Subscriber Growth
Peacock revenue grew >20% to a record $1.6 billion; paid subscribers increased by ~8,000,000 year-over-year and 3,000,000 sequentially to reach 44,000,000; advertising revenue at Peacock grew nearly 20%.
Network Modernization Progress with Measurable Benefits
Roughly 60% of network footprint transitioned to mid-split spectrum and virtualized architecture; deployments (FDX + automation/AI) delivered a ~20% reduction in trouble calls and ~35% reduction in repair minutes where deployed.
Gig Plus Adoption and Product Simplification
Approximately 40% of the broadband base on gig-plus tiers; simplified nationwide pricing to four speed tiers with all-in pricing and a five-year price guarantee showing strong adoption and early reductions in voluntary churn and improving NPS.
Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns
Returned nearly $12 billion to shareholders in 2025 (including ~ $7 billion in share repurchases); Q4 returned $2.7 billion including $1.5 billion in repurchases; maintained dividend at $1.32 per share and distributed Versant shares to shareholders.
Business Services & Enterprise Momentum
Comcast Business revenue increased ~6% and EBITDA grew ~3% in the quarter, with strong momentum at enterprise solutions and growth in advanced services and Comcast Business Mobile.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Profitability Pressure
Adjusted EBITDA declined ~10% in the quarter and adjusted EPS declined ~12%, reflecting investment-led dilution across businesses and new sports rights costs.
Broadband Subscriber Losses and ARPU Pressure
Broadband net losses of 181,000 in the quarter; broadband ARPU growth decelerated to ~1.1% and management expects further ARPU pressure in the next few quarters due to simplified pricing, free wireless lines and absence of a near-term rate increase.
Connectivity & Platforms EBITDA Decline
Connectivity & Platforms EBITDA declined ~4.5% in the quarter, reflecting marketing, product and customer service investments and rate reinvestment tied to the broadband pricing pivot.
Peacock Quarterly Losses and Upfront Sports Dilution
Peacock losses were $552 million in the quarter due to NBA rights and an exclusive NFL game; media EBITDA declined in the quarter with upfront amortization of sports rights creating near-term EBITDA dilution (first season front-loaded).
Competitive Intensity Increasing
Management noted intensified competition across broadband (including fiber expansion) and a more competitive mobile environment late in the fourth quarter, which pressured results and required strategic investments.
One-time Cash Benefits Inflated 2025 FCF
Q4 free cash flow included roughly $2.0 billion of a cash tax benefit from an internal corporate reorganization; management cautioned this one-time benefit will not recur and tax benefits are lumpy, implying lower FCF in 2026 vs 2025 base.
Versant Spin Reduces Ongoing Cash Flow
The spin-off of Versant (completed Jan 2) removes a significant pool of cash flow from Comcast's operations and will modestly increase leverage ratios; management expects to migrate leverage back toward the 2.3x 2025 level over time.
Near-term Investment Drag Expected
Management signaled additional incremental EBITDA pressure over the next couple of quarters as the company continues to invest in customer experience, simplified pricing migration, and free wireless lines, delaying near-term margin recovery.
Company Guidance
Management guided that 2026 will be the largest broadband investment year in Comcast’s history, targeting migration of the majority of residential broadband customers to simplified, market‑based pricing and four nationwide speed tiers (all‑in pricing, five‑year price guarantee) by year‑end; they warned of further broadband ARPU pressure and incremental Connectivity & Platforms EBITDA pressure over the next couple of quarters (context: Q4 broadband ARPU +1.1% and Q4 net broadband losses of 181,000) but expect improvement in the back half as those investments lap. On wireless, they expect a meaningful portion of customers currently on free lines to convert to paid relationships in H2 2026, which should boost convergence revenue (company ended 2025 with >9.0M total lines, ~15% penetration of the residential base, and ~1.5M net lines added in 2025). Peacock should continue meaningful EBITDA improvement toward breakeven in 2026 (44M paid subs, Q4 Peacock revenue $1.6B, Q4 loss $552M, full‑year loss improvement ≈$700M), while parks and studios ramp content and Epic Universe contributes through the full year. Financials: 2025 free cash flow was $19.2B (including a ~$2B one‑time tax benefit), 2026 tax benefits are expected to be significantly lower; total capital spending is expected to be roughly similar to 2025 (~$14.4B total, including ~$10.5B at Connectivity & Platforms and ~$3.6B at Content & Experiences), net leverage ended 2025 at 2.3x (to rise slightly after the Versant spin with an intent to return to 2.3x), the dividend is maintained at $1.32/share, and capital returns will continue (nearly $12B returned in 2025, including ~ $7B repurchases).

Comcast Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation (TTM ~60% gross margin, ~16% net margin; operating cash flow ~$33.6B and free cash flow ~$21.9B). Offsetting risks include historically higher leverage versus the unusually low TTM debt-to-equity snapshot and past earnings volatility (notably the 2022 net income dip), plus modest multi-year revenue growth.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Profitability and consistency are solid: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin is ~60% and net margin is ~16%, with net income rising versus 2024. Revenue has been essentially flat from 2023–2025 (TTM revenue roughly in line with 2024), but the TTM revenue growth rate shown (0.32) points to a meaningful recent re-acceleration. The main weakness is volatility in profitability across the period, highlighted by the sharp net income dip in 2022 (net margin ~4%), which underscores earnings sensitivity to one-time items and cost pressure.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Balance sheet quality looks improved in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with low leverage shown (debt-to-equity ~0.06) and strong shareholder returns (return on equity ~21%). However, prior annual periods (2020–2024) show materially higher leverage (debt-to-equity roughly ~1.0–1.24), indicating leverage has historically been a meaningful part of the capital structure. Equity is sizable, but the sharp shift in debt levels between 2024 and TTM warrants caution when interpreting the latest leverage snapshot.
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
Cash generation is a key strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is ~$33.6B and free cash flow is ~$21.9B, both up versus 2024, with a strong free cash flow growth figure provided (4.417). Free cash flow covers a healthy portion of earnings (free cash flow is ~65% of net income in TTM), supporting flexibility for debt service, buybacks, and reinvestment. The main weakness is that operating cash flow relative to net income is only about 1.0x in TTM (and sub-1.0x in several prior years), suggesting earnings quality is good but not consistently “cash over-earning.”
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue123.71B123.73B121.57B121.43B116.39B
Gross Profit74.31B71.90B70.47B69.39B64.13B
EBITDA46.38B37.61B38.90B27.00B36.97B
Net Income19.80B16.19B15.39B5.37B14.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets272.63B266.21B264.81B257.27B275.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.48B7.32B6.21B4.75B8.71B
Total Debt110.44B99.09B109.51B99.98B100.02B
Total Liabilities175.25B179.94B181.34B175.24B177.90B
Stockholders Equity96.90B85.56B82.70B80.94B96.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow21.89B15.49B12.96B12.65B17.09B
Operating Cash Flow33.64B27.67B28.50B26.41B29.15B
Investing Cash Flow-16.16B-15.67B-7.16B-14.14B-13.45B
Financing Cash Flow-14.35B-10.88B-19.85B-16.18B-18.62B

Comcast Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.50
Price Trends
50DMA
27.26
Positive
100DMA
27.29
Positive
200DMA
29.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.70
Negative
RSI
68.53
Neutral
STOCH
80.86
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMCSA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.80, above the 50-day MA of 27.26, and above the 200-day MA of 29.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMCSA.

Comcast Risk Analysis

Comcast disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comcast reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comcast Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$109.73B5.5221.92%4.42%0.20%61.54%
75
Outperform
$198.21B11.3916.86%6.60%2.42%102.17%
69
Neutral
$189.64B15.3611.65%1.10%3.61%152.34%
67
Neutral
$192.97B8.8320.43%4.56%1.98%150.68%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
58
Neutral
$3.82B-1.03
57
Neutral
$31.86B6.1831.52%0.42%13.46%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMCSA
Comcast
30.50
-0.04
-0.12%
T
AT&T
27.22
3.77
16.10%
CHTR
Charter Communications
224.18
-120.87
-35.03%
LBTYA
Liberty Global A
11.33
0.03
0.27%
VZ
Verizon
47.01
9.45
25.16%
DIS
Walt Disney
107.05
-2.28
-2.09%

Comcast Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
Comcast Completes Spin-Off of Versant Media Group
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Comcast announced it had completed the previously disclosed separation of Versant Media Group, Inc., effective as of 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on January 2, 2026, turning Versant into an independent, publicly traded media and entertainment company listed on Nasdaq under the ticker VSNT. Comcast distributed 100% of Versant’s Class A and Class B common stock to Comcast shareholders of record as of December 16, 2025, on a one-for-25 share basis, with fractional shares settled in cash, leaving Comcast with no remaining ownership stake in Versant and effectively carving out a portfolio of cable networks and digital assets—including CNBC, USA Network, Golf Channel, E!, SYFY, Fandango, Rotten Tomatoes, GolfNow, and GolfPass—into a standalone entity that may sharpen strategic focus for both companies and alter competitive dynamics across news, sports, and entertainment niches.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMCSA) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comcast stock, see the CMCSA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Comcast Finalizes New Co-CEO Employment Agreement for Cavanagh
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Comcast entered into a new employment agreement with Michael J. Cavanagh in connection with his planned elevation to Co-Chief Executive Officer on January 2, 2026, securing his role through January 1, 2029. The deal includes a $2.75 million annual base salary, an annual performance-based cash bonus target equal to 300% of his salary, and a performance-based restricted stock unit grant valued at about $35 million that cliff vests after three years subject to time and performance conditions, with detailed vesting protections in the event of resignation for good reason, termination without cause, death, or disability, underscoring Comcast’s long-term commitment to leadership continuity and performance-linked executive compensation.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMCSA) stock is a Sell with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comcast stock, see the CMCSA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Comcast Announces Redemption of Outstanding Notes
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Comcast Corporation announced its decision to redeem all outstanding amounts of its 3.15% Notes due March 1, 2026, and 5.350% Notes due November 15, 2027, totaling approximately $2.75 billion. The redemption, scheduled for January 15, 2026, reflects Comcast’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its debt profile and signaling confidence in its financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMCSA) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comcast stock, see the CMCSA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Comcast Amends Corporate Structure for Spin-Off Plans
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Comcast Corporation filed Amended and Restated Articles of Incorporation to streamline its corporate structure by removing obsolete references and integrating previous amendments. Concurrently, Comcast designated a new Class A Equivalent Preferred Stock as part of its strategic plan to spin off certain cable networks and digital assets into Versant Media Group, Inc. The issuance of Preferred Shares to its subsidiaries is intended to prevent them from receiving SpinCo Common Stock in the spin-off, with provisions for redemption into Comcast’s Class A Common Stock if the spin-off is completed.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMCSA) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comcast stock, see the CMCSA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Comcast Announces Spin-Off of Versant Media Group
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Comcast Corporation’s Board of Directors approved the separation of its cable television networks and digital platforms into a new independent company, Versant Media Group, Inc. This separation will occur through a distribution of Versant shares to Comcast shareholders, expected to be completed on January 2, 2026. Versant will become a publicly traded company on Nasdaq, with Comcast retaining no ownership. The move is expected to enhance Comcast’s strategic focus and market positioning, while Versant will operate independently, leveraging its portfolio of media assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMCSA) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comcast stock, see the CMCSA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026