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Comcast (CMCSA)
NASDAQ:CMCSA
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Comcast (CMCSA) AI Stock Analysis

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CMCSA

Comcast

(NASDAQ:CMCSA)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(20.22% Upside)
Comcast's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary drivers of its stock score. While technical indicators are neutral, the earnings call highlights both strengths in media and parks and challenges in broadband, balancing the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth reflects Comcast's ability to expand its market presence and effectively monetize its diverse portfolio, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation provides Comcast with financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt, enhancing its long-term financial health.
Media Segment Success
The success in the media segment, particularly with NBC and Peacock, highlights Comcast's competitive advantage in content delivery and advertising, driving sustained revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Broadband Subscriber Losses
Subscriber losses in broadband indicate competitive pressures that could impact Comcast's market share and revenue growth in this critical segment over the long term.
High Liabilities
High liabilities may constrain Comcast's financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially affecting its ability to invest in strategic initiatives and manage economic downturns.
Challenges in Hollywood
Ongoing challenges in Universal Studios Hollywood may hinder revenue growth and profitability in the Parks segment, affecting overall business performance.

Comcast (CMCSA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comcast Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComcast Corporation operates as a media and technology company worldwide. It operates through Cable Communications, Media, Studios, Theme Parks, and Sky segments. The Cable Communications segment offers broadband, video, voice, wireless, and other services to residential and business customers under the Xfinity brand; and advertising services. The Media segment operates NBCUniversal's television and streaming platforms, including national, regional, and international cable networks, the NBC and Telemundo broadcast, and Peacock networks. The Studios segment operates NBCUniversal's film and television studio production and distribution operations. The Theme Parks segment operates Universal theme parks in Orlando, Florida; Hollywood, California; Osaka, Japan; and Beijing, China. The Sky segment offers direct-to-consumer services, such as video, broadband, voice and wireless phone services, and content business operates entertainment networks, the Sky News broadcast network, and Sky Sports networks. The company also owns the Philadelphia Flyers, as well as the Wells Fargo Center arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; and provides streaming service, such as Peacock. Comcast Corporation was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyComcast generates revenue through multiple key streams: primarily through its Cable Communications segment, which offers subscription-based services for video, internet, and phone. This segment constitutes the bulk of its revenue. Additionally, the company earns revenue from its Media segment, which includes advertising revenues from NBCUniversal's television networks and movie studios, as well as from its theme parks. Comcast also benefits from partnerships with various content providers and advertisers, enhancing its advertising revenue. Furthermore, the company has been expanding its footprint in the wireless market, providing mobile services that contribute to its earnings. Overall, Comcast's diverse revenue model, combining subscription services with advertising and content production, positions it to capitalize on multiple segments of the media and communications industry.

Comcast Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Customer Relationships
Customer Relationships
Measures the strength and depth of interactions with customers, highlighting loyalty, satisfaction, and potential for upselling or cross-selling services.
Chart InsightsComcast's customer relationships have been declining since early 2023, reflecting competitive pressures in the broadband market. The latest earnings call highlights a strategic shift to enhance customer experience and pricing simplicity, which has improved purchase conversion rates by 20%. Despite these efforts, broadband subscriber losses remain a challenge. However, the company's focus on growth areas like Xfinity Mobile and Peacock, alongside the successful launch of Epic Universe, indicates a strategic pivot to diversify revenue streams and mitigate broadband challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Comcast Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook with significant achievements in the Media and Parks segments. However, challenges in broadband subscriber retention and pressure in Universal Studios Hollywood present areas of concern. The overall sentiment is balanced, with strong advancements in some sectors offset by difficulties in others.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Epic Universe Opening Boosts Parks Revenue
The successful opening of Epic Universe in Orlando contributed to a 19% increase in Parks revenue this quarter, with higher per cap spending and attendance across Universal Orlando Resort.
Strong Performance in Media Segment
NBC and Peacock closed their most successful upfront ever, with record total sales and the largest sports commitments to date. Peacock's revenue grew by more than 20% year-over-year.
Increase in Wireless Lines
Xfinity Mobile added 378,000 new lines, marking the best quarter ever and achieving 14% penetration of Comcast's residential broadband base.
Growth in Convergence Revenue
Convergence revenue grew by 3.7% in the quarter, supported by high teens growth in wireless revenue.
Successful Studio Releases
The successful theatrical launches of 'How to Train Your Dragon' and 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' drove significant box office revenue, with Jurassic World surpassing $700 million in worldwide box office.
Negative Updates
Broadband Subscriber Losses
Comcast reported 226,000 broadband subscriber losses due to a highly competitive environment and typical negative seasonality in the second quarter.
Challenges in Hollywood
Continued pressure was experienced in Universal Studios Hollywood, with expectations to face a couple more quarters until recovery.
Moderation in Broadband ARPU Growth
While broadband ARPU grew 3.5% in the quarter, the rollout of the new everyday pricing structure is expected to moderate ARPU growth in the near term.
Company Guidance
During Comcast's second quarter earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance on several key metrics and strategic priorities. For the broadband business, Comcast reported a 3.5% growth in broadband ARPU and highlighted a new pricing strategy with seven main elements, including a 5-year price guarantee, which was chosen by roughly half of eligible new customers. The company also noted a 20% increase in new customers selecting gig-plus speeds. In wireless, Comcast added 378,000 new lines, reaching 14% penetration of their residential broadband base. On the business side, Comcast announced a new MVNO agreement with T-Mobile to enhance their business services offerings. The Parks segment saw a 19% revenue increase thanks to the successful opening of Epic Universe in Orlando, while the Media segment celebrated a record-breaking upfront with a 20% year-over-year increase in Peacock's performance. These strategic initiatives are supported by a strong financial position, with consolidated revenue growth of 2%, adjusted EPS growth of 3% to $1.25, and $4.5 billion in free cash flow, alongside a significant $1 billion annual cash tax benefit anticipated from recent tax legislation.

Comcast Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Comcast exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, improved financial leverage, and robust cash flow generation. Effective cost management and capital allocation are evident, though minor concerns exist regarding operating efficiency and high liabilities.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Comcast has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with an increase from $116.39B in 2021 to $124.19B in TTM, reflecting a positive trajectory. Gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 70.8% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin has improved significantly to 18.44% TTM, showcasing enhanced profitability. However, EBIT margin slightly decreased from 18.20% in 2021 to 18.12% TTM, suggesting some pressure on operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved from 1.04 in 2021 to 0.06 TTM, indicating a substantial reduction in leverage, enhancing financial stability. Return on equity has increased to 23.56% TTM, reflecting strong returns for shareholders. The equity ratio has improved to 51.76% TTM, illustrating a robust capital structure. However, high total liabilities, despite improvements, pose a potential risk.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow has consistently increased, reaching $31.21B TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow has grown from $12.95B in 2023 to $18.75B TTM, demonstrating effective capital expenditure management and financial flexibility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.36 TTM suggests efficient cash conversion, while the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.82 TTM supports sustainable cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue124.19B123.73B121.57B121.43B116.39B103.56B
Gross Profit72.24B71.90B70.47B69.39B64.13B57.34B
EBITDA47.51B37.61B38.90B27.00B36.97B31.39B
Net Income22.90B16.19B15.39B5.37B14.16B10.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets273.85B266.21B264.81B257.27B275.90B273.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.71B7.32B6.21B4.75B8.71B11.74B
Total Debt101.53B99.09B97.09B99.98B100.02B108.93B
Total Liabilities176.39B179.94B181.34B175.24B177.90B180.85B
Stockholders Equity96.85B85.56B82.70B80.94B96.09B90.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.75B15.49B12.96B12.65B17.09B13.10B
Operating Cash Flow31.21B27.67B28.50B26.41B29.15B24.74B
Investing Cash Flow-16.69B-15.67B-7.16B-14.14B-13.45B-12.05B
Financing Cash Flow-10.95B-10.88B-19.85B-16.18B-18.62B-6.51B

Comcast Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.61
Price Trends
50DMA
33.26
Negative
100DMA
33.98
Negative
200DMA
34.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.54
Positive
RSI
31.59
Neutral
STOCH
12.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMCSA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.01, below the 50-day MA of 33.26, and below the 200-day MA of 34.76, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CMCSA.

Comcast Risk Analysis

Comcast disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comcast reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comcast Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
182.06B10.0717.65%6.28%2.05%61.39%
78
Outperform
$116.27B5.2225.44%4.05%2.54%60.53%
77
Outperform
202.50B16.4112.12%3.92%1.46%0.88%
76
Outperform
203.94B17.6010.58%0.88%5.00%144.65%
68
Neutral
40.15B7.1732.48%1.03%17.05%
62
Neutral
3.95B-1.04-25.55%3.53%3.23%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMCSA
Comcast
31.61
-7.62
-19.42%
T
AT&T
28.32
7.72
37.48%
CHTR
Charter Communications
263.39
-51.10
-16.25%
LBTYA
Liberty Global A
11.52
0.70
6.47%
VZ
Verizon
43.18
1.43
3.43%
DIS
Walt Disney
113.43
20.32
21.82%

Comcast Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Comcast Announces Redemption of 3.950% Notes
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

On August 22, 2025, Comcast Corporation announced its decision to redeem all outstanding amounts of its 3.950% Notes due October 15, 2025, amounting to approximately $2.474 billion, with the redemption date set for September 22, 2025. This move is expected to impact Comcast’s financial obligations and could influence its market positioning by potentially improving its debt profile.

Shareholder Meetings
Comcast Shareholders Approve Stock Plan Amendment
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

At Comcast‘s annual meeting of shareholders on June 18, 2025, an amendment to the Comcast-NBCUniversal 2011 Employee Stock Purchase Plan was approved, increasing the number of shares available from 24.2 million to 34.2 million. Additionally, all director nominees were elected, Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for 2025, and the advisory vote on executive compensation was approved. However, shareholder proposals regarding the ‘CEO pay ratio factor’ in executive compensation and the adoption of a policy for an independent chair were not approved.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 10, 2025