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Comcast (CMCSA)
NASDAQ:CMCSA

Comcast (CMCSA) AI Stock Analysis

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CMCSA

Comcast

(NASDAQ:CMCSA)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(15.87% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial strength (high profitability, low leverage, improving free cash flow) and very attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Offsetting factors include only moderate technical setup (below 100/200-day averages) and a mixed operating outlook from the latest earnings call due to broadband subscriber and ARPU pressure with near-term EBITDA headwinds in Connectivity & Platforms.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability
Comcast's robust profitability and high return on equity indicate efficient operations and effective use of equity, supporting long-term financial health.
Cash Generation
Significant free cash flow growth enhances Comcast's ability to invest in strategic initiatives and return capital to shareholders, bolstering long-term growth.
Leadership Continuity
Securing leadership continuity with a new Co-CEO agreement ensures strategic stability and supports long-term execution of corporate initiatives.
Negative Factors
Broadband Subscriber Decline
Declining broadband subscribers pose a challenge to Comcast's core revenue stream, potentially impacting future growth and market position.
ARPU Pressure
Slowing ARPU growth indicates pricing pressure, which may affect revenue stability and profitability in the long term if not addressed.
Negative Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth highlights challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact Comcast's ability to sustain its market position.

Comcast (CMCSA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comcast Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComcast Corporation operates as a media and technology company worldwide. It operates through Cable Communications, Media, Studios, Theme Parks, and Sky segments. The Cable Communications segment offers broadband, video, voice, wireless, and other services to residential and business customers under the Xfinity brand; and advertising services. The Media segment operates NBCUniversal's television and streaming platforms, including national, regional, and international cable networks, the NBC and Telemundo broadcast, and Peacock networks. The Studios segment operates NBCUniversal's film and television studio production and distribution operations. The Theme Parks segment operates Universal theme parks in Orlando, Florida; Hollywood, California; Osaka, Japan; and Beijing, China. The Sky segment offers direct-to-consumer services, such as video, broadband, voice and wireless phone services, and content business operates entertainment networks, the Sky News broadcast network, and Sky Sports networks. The company also owns the Philadelphia Flyers, as well as the Wells Fargo Center arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; and provides streaming service, such as Peacock. Comcast Corporation was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyComcast generates revenue primarily through its subscription-based services. The Comcast Cable segment earns money from the provision of cable television services, broadband internet access, and digital voice services, with significant revenue coming from monthly subscriptions and bundled service packages. The company also generates income from advertising sales on its cable networks and from its streaming service, Peacock. Additionally, the NBCUniversal segment contributes to revenue through theatrical releases, television production, and licensing deals, as well as from its theme parks. Strategic partnerships with content providers and advertisers further enhance Comcast's ability to monetize its media assets and expand its customer base.

Comcast Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Customer Relationships
Customer Relationships
Measures the strength and depth of interactions with customers, highlighting loyalty, satisfaction, and potential for upselling or cross-selling services.
Chart InsightsComcast's customer relationships have been declining since early 2023, reflecting competitive pressures in the broadband market. The latest earnings call highlights a strategic shift to enhance customer experience and pricing simplicity, which has improved purchase conversion rates by 20%. Despite these efforts, broadband subscriber losses remain a challenge. However, the company's focus on growth areas like Xfinity Mobile and Peacock, alongside the successful launch of Epic Universe, indicates a strategic pivot to diversify revenue streams and mitigate broadband challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Comcast Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in wireless and theme parks, alongside record free cash flow, indicating positive momentum in certain segments. However, these were balanced by challenges in the Connectivity & Platforms segment, broadband subscriber decline, and ARPU pressure, creating a mixed outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Wireless Growth
Wireless net additions hit a new record at 414,000, with nearly half of residential postpaid phone connects coming from customers taking a free line. Wireless penetration of the broadband base surpassed 14%.
Improved Video Performance
Video performance improved with subscriber losses down more than 100,000 year-over-year, marking the best result in nearly five years.
Theme Parks and Studios Growth
Theme parks revenue grew nearly 20%, and studios saw strong theatrical results with the success of 'Jurassic World Rebirth' grossing nearly $900 million worldwide.
Record Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow increased 45% to $4.9 billion, driven by cash tax benefits and favorable working capital timing.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Connectivity & Platforms
Connectivity & Platforms EBITDA declined 3.7% due to costs associated with new pricing strategies and investments in customer experience.
Broadband Subscriber Decline
Broadband subscribers declined 104,000 due to intense competition, partially offset by seasonal back-to-school activity.
Broadband ARPU Pressure
Broadband ARPU growth slowed to 2.6% and is expected to step down more than 1 point in Q4, with continued pressure in early 2026 as no rate increase is planned.
Media Revenue Decline
Total company revenue declined about 3% year-over-year due to last year's Paris Olympics comparison, though excluding this impact, revenue increased nearly 3%.
Company Guidance
During Comcast's Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call for fiscal year 2025, several key metrics were highlighted. The company reported a 3% year-over-year decline in total revenue, primarily due to the comparison with the previous year's Paris Olympics. Excluding this impact, revenue increased by nearly 3%, driven by strong performances in theme parks and domestic wireless, which grew by 20% and 14%, respectively. Free cash flow saw a significant increase of 45% to $4.9 billion, allowing Comcast to return $2.8 billion to shareholders, including $1.5 billion in share repurchases and $1.2 billion in dividends. The Connectivity & Platforms segment experienced a 3.7% decline in EBITDA, attributed to investments in pricing, product, and customer experience improvements, with expectations of continued EBITDA pressure in the coming quarters. Comcast's wireless penetration reached over 14% of its broadband base, adding over 400,000 lines in the quarter. Despite challenges in the broadband market, Comcast's strategic initiatives, including the rollout of new pricing models and the introduction of advanced gateways, aim to position the company for future growth. The company also emphasized its robust sports portfolio, with live sports driving strong viewership and advertising performance across both broadcast and streaming platforms.

Comcast Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Comcast demonstrates strong profitability with a high net profit margin and robust EBIT and EBITDA margins. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage and high return on equity. However, the negative revenue growth rate is a concern, despite improving cash flow generation.
Income Statement
Comcast's income statement shows strong profitability with a high net profit margin of 18.33% in the TTM period. However, the revenue growth rate is negative, indicating a decline in revenue compared to previous periods. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, suggesting efficient operations despite the revenue dip.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage. Return on equity is strong at 24.68%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a stable capital structure.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate of 11.82% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, showing good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting room for improvement in cash efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue123.31B123.73B121.57B121.43B116.39B103.56B
Gross Profit72.78B71.90B70.47B69.39B64.13B57.34B
EBITDA47.39B37.61B38.90B27.00B36.97B31.39B
Net Income22.61B16.19B15.39B5.37B14.16B10.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets273.00B266.21B264.81B257.27B275.90B273.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.32B7.32B6.21B4.75B8.71B11.74B
Total Debt99.06B99.09B97.09B99.98B100.02B108.93B
Total Liabilities175.58B179.94B181.34B175.24B177.90B180.85B
Stockholders Equity97.08B85.56B82.70B80.94B96.09B90.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.97B15.49B12.96B12.65B17.09B13.10B
Operating Cash Flow32.88B27.67B28.50B26.41B29.15B24.74B
Investing Cash Flow-16.83B-15.67B-7.16B-14.14B-13.45B-12.05B
Financing Cash Flow-15.55B-10.88B-19.85B-16.18B-18.62B-6.51B

Comcast Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.48
Price Trends
50DMA
26.46
Positive
100DMA
27.91
Positive
200DMA
29.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.55
Negative
RSI
59.40
Neutral
STOCH
51.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMCSA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.93, above the 50-day MA of 26.46, and below the 200-day MA of 29.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMCSA.

Comcast Risk Analysis

Comcast disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comcast reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comcast Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$167.98B8.3219.70%6.60%2.42%102.17%
77
Outperform
$105.89B4.7324.73%4.42%0.20%61.54%
75
Outperform
$201.42B16.5011.78%1.10%3.61%152.34%
71
Outperform
$168.30B7.5720.88%4.56%1.98%150.68%
69
Neutral
$29.95B5.4634.79%0.42%13.46%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
$3.60B-0.95
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMCSA
Comcast
28.48
-4.75
-14.28%
T
AT&T
23.30
2.31
10.99%
CHTR
Charter Communications
197.89
-150.11
-43.14%
LBTYA
Liberty Global A
10.53
-1.18
-10.08%
VZ
Verizon
39.01
3.28
9.17%
DIS
Walt Disney
112.98
5.98
5.59%

Comcast Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
Comcast Completes Spin-Off of Versant Media Group
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Comcast announced it had completed the previously disclosed separation of Versant Media Group, Inc., effective as of 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on January 2, 2026, turning Versant into an independent, publicly traded media and entertainment company listed on Nasdaq under the ticker VSNT. Comcast distributed 100% of Versant’s Class A and Class B common stock to Comcast shareholders of record as of December 16, 2025, on a one-for-25 share basis, with fractional shares settled in cash, leaving Comcast with no remaining ownership stake in Versant and effectively carving out a portfolio of cable networks and digital assets—including CNBC, USA Network, Golf Channel, E!, SYFY, Fandango, Rotten Tomatoes, GolfNow, and GolfPass—into a standalone entity that may sharpen strategic focus for both companies and alter competitive dynamics across news, sports, and entertainment niches.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMCSA) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comcast stock, see the CMCSA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Comcast Finalizes New Co-CEO Employment Agreement for Cavanagh
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Comcast entered into a new employment agreement with Michael J. Cavanagh in connection with his planned elevation to Co-Chief Executive Officer on January 2, 2026, securing his role through January 1, 2029. The deal includes a $2.75 million annual base salary, an annual performance-based cash bonus target equal to 300% of his salary, and a performance-based restricted stock unit grant valued at about $35 million that cliff vests after three years subject to time and performance conditions, with detailed vesting protections in the event of resignation for good reason, termination without cause, death, or disability, underscoring Comcast’s long-term commitment to leadership continuity and performance-linked executive compensation.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMCSA) stock is a Sell with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comcast stock, see the CMCSA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Comcast Announces Redemption of Outstanding Notes
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Comcast Corporation announced its decision to redeem all outstanding amounts of its 3.15% Notes due March 1, 2026, and 5.350% Notes due November 15, 2027, totaling approximately $2.75 billion. The redemption, scheduled for January 15, 2026, reflects Comcast’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its debt profile and signaling confidence in its financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMCSA) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comcast stock, see the CMCSA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Comcast Amends Corporate Structure for Spin-Off Plans
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Comcast Corporation filed Amended and Restated Articles of Incorporation to streamline its corporate structure by removing obsolete references and integrating previous amendments. Concurrently, Comcast designated a new Class A Equivalent Preferred Stock as part of its strategic plan to spin off certain cable networks and digital assets into Versant Media Group, Inc. The issuance of Preferred Shares to its subsidiaries is intended to prevent them from receiving SpinCo Common Stock in the spin-off, with provisions for redemption into Comcast’s Class A Common Stock if the spin-off is completed.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMCSA) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comcast stock, see the CMCSA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Comcast Announces Spin-Off of Versant Media Group
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Comcast Corporation’s Board of Directors approved the separation of its cable television networks and digital platforms into a new independent company, Versant Media Group, Inc. This separation will occur through a distribution of Versant shares to Comcast shareholders, expected to be completed on January 2, 2026. Versant will become a publicly traded company on Nasdaq, with Comcast retaining no ownership. The move is expected to enhance Comcast’s strategic focus and market positioning, while Versant will operate independently, leveraging its portfolio of media assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMCSA) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comcast stock, see the CMCSA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 05, 2026