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Comcast (CMCSA)
NASDAQ:CMCSA

Comcast (CMCSA) AI Stock Analysis

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Comcast

(NASDAQ:CMCSA)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(16.08%Upside)
Comcast's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and an attractive valuation. The company's robust profitability, efficient operations, and cash flow provide a solid foundation. While technical indicators show moderate momentum, the low P/E ratio and high dividend yield enhance its attractiveness. Earnings call insights highlight strategic growth areas, despite facing certain challenges.
Positive Factors
Advertising Strategy
Dynamic Product Ads deliver significantly higher return on ad spend, enhancing the effectiveness of Comcast's advertising strategy.
Theme Parks
The new Orlando Epic Universe Park and strong results for Universal Pictures are expected to alleviate the stock’s chronic sum-of-the-parts discount.
Negative Factors
Broadband Competition
The broadband landscape remains intensely competitive with fiber operators expanding their networks and FWA providers capturing outsized share.
Broadband Strategy Adjustment
Management has noted it will take 'several quarters' for these strategy adjustments to generate sub improvements.

Comcast (CMCSA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comcast Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComcast Corporation operates as a media and technology company worldwide. It operates through Cable Communications, Media, Studios, Theme Parks, and Sky segments. The Cable Communications segment offers broadband, video, voice, wireless, and other services to residential and business customers under the Xfinity brand; and advertising services. The Media segment operates NBCUniversal's television and streaming platforms, including national, regional, and international cable networks, the NBC and Telemundo broadcast, and Peacock networks. The Studios segment operates NBCUniversal's film and television studio production and distribution operations. The Theme Parks segment operates Universal theme parks in Orlando, Florida; Hollywood, California; Osaka, Japan; and Beijing, China. The Sky segment offers direct-to-consumer services, such as video, broadband, voice and wireless phone services, and content business operates entertainment networks, the Sky News broadcast network, and Sky Sports networks. The company also owns the Philadelphia Flyers, as well as the Wells Fargo Center arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; and provides streaming service, such as Peacock. Comcast Corporation was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyComcast generates revenue through multiple streams, with a significant portion coming from its Cable Communications segment, which offers broadband internet, cable television, and telephone services to consumers and businesses. The company also earns from advertising and distribution fees through its Media segment, which includes NBCUniversal's television networks and digital platforms. The Studios segment contributes to revenue through the production and distribution of films and television content. Additional income is derived from its theme park operations and strategic partnerships. Comcast's earnings are bolstered by its investments in technology and infrastructure, enabling high-speed internet and innovative content delivery.

Comcast Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Customer Relationships
Customer Relationships
Measures the strength and depth of interactions with customers, highlighting loyalty, satisfaction, and potential for upselling or cross-selling services.
Chart InsightsComcast's customer relationships have been declining since 2023, with a notable drop in broadband customers due to competitive pressures and increased churn. Despite this, the company is focusing on growth areas like wireless services, which saw significant net additions, and business services, which now contribute significantly to revenues. The strategic emphasis on enhancing customer value and simplifying pricing aims to counteract the decline in broadband subscribers, while investments in theme parks and Peacock's growth provide additional revenue streams.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Comcast Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.47%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were strong performances in wireless additions, theme park expansion, and Peacock's revenue growth, challenges such as broadband customer losses, market competitiveness, and advertising revenue decline were also highlighted.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
EBITDA and EPS Growth
EBITDA grew 2% and adjusted EPS grew 5% with $5.4 billion of free cash flow generated in the first quarter.
Wireless Net Additions Surge
Wireless net line additions accelerated to 323,000 in the quarter, bringing total wireless lines to 8.1 million, marking the best quarter of new wireless net additions in two years.
Theme Parks Expansion and Success
Theme parks generated $3 billion of EBITDA in 2024, with significant investment in Epic Universe, which is set to open soon, and ambitious expansion plans into the UK and additional US locations.
Growth in Business Services
Business services are now approaching $10 billion in revenue with consistent mid-single-digit growth in revenue and EBITDA, representing almost 25% of connectivity business revenues.
Peacock Revenue Growth
Peacock delivered double-digit revenue growth and a more than $400 million year-over-year improvement in EBITDA losses, with 41 million paid subscribers at the end of the quarter.
Negative Updates
Broadband Customer Losses
The company lost 199,000 broadband customers in the quarter due to competitive pressures and a slight uptick in churn.
Challenges in Wireless Market
Despite network strength, the company is not winning in the marketplace commensurate with its product strength, facing issues with price transparency and ease of doing business.
Impact of Wildfires on Universal Hollywood
There is ongoing softness in the Hollywood theme park market due to the aftermath of wildfires, affecting first-quarter results.
Advertising Revenue Decline
Total advertising revenue was down 7% year-over-year, primarily due to the timing of sports content and tough political comparisons.
Company Guidance
During Comcast Corporation's first-quarter earnings call for Fiscal Year 2025, the company highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The management reported that the six growth areas, including residential broadband, wireless, business services, and theme parks, helped achieve a 2% growth in EBITDA, a 5% increase in adjusted EPS, and generated $5.4 billion in free cash flow. The company also returned $3.2 billion to shareholders, including $2 billion in share repurchases. Wireless services saw notable growth, with 323,000 net line additions, increasing the total to 8.1 million lines, driven by new promotions and an 80% improvement in customer lifetime value when adding wireless to broadband-only customers. In business services, revenues grew by approximately 4%, and margins in the high 50% range, contributing to almost 25% of total connectivity business revenues. The theme parks segment continues to show strong performance, generating $3 billion in EBITDA in 2024, with the upcoming opening of Epic Universe in Orlando expected to further drive growth. Additionally, Peacock saw double-digit revenue growth and a $400 million year-over-year improvement in EBITDA losses, ending the quarter with 41 million paid subscribers. Overall, Comcast is navigating the competitive landscape with a focus on simplifying pricing and enhancing customer value, while maintaining a strong balance sheet and capital allocation strategy.

Comcast Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Comcast exhibits a strong financial position with impressive profitability, efficient operations, and stable cash flows. The income statement shows strong profitability and consistent growth, while the balance sheet highlights a stable financial structure with manageable debt. Cash flow analysis reveals healthy cash generation capabilities despite increased capital expenditures. Overall, Comcast's financial performance positions it well for future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Comcast's income statement shows strong profitability and consistent growth. The TTM Gross Profit Margin is approximately 71.16%, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin is 12.72%, reflecting solid bottom-line performance. Revenue growth has been steady, with a slight increase in TTM revenue compared to the previous annual period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins of 18.73% and 25.81% respectively demonstrate robust operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet highlights Comcast's stable financial structure, with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.08, showing a manageable level of debt. The Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 18.13%, indicating effective use of shareholder equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio is 32.36%, reflecting a solid proportion of equity financing. However, the relatively high level of total liabilities suggests a need to monitor leverage closely.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a healthy cash generation capability, with a Free Cash Flow growth rate of -3.48% compared to the previous year, affected by increased capital expenditures. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.79 signifies strong cash conversion from earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.95, indicating that nearly all net income is converted to free cash flow, supporting dividend payments and reinvestment opportunities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue123.56B123.73B121.57B121.43B116.39B103.56B
Gross Profit79.52B86.70B84.81B83.21B77.94B70.44B
EBITDA31.91B29.34B38.90B36.45B34.62B30.59B
Net Income15.71B16.19B15.39B5.37B14.16B10.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets267.77B266.21B264.81B257.27B275.90B273.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.59B7.32B6.21B4.75B8.71B11.74B
Total Debt99.12B99.09B97.09B99.98B100.02B108.93B
Total Liabilities180.47B179.94B181.34B175.24B177.90B180.85B
Stockholders Equity86.64B85.56B82.70B80.94B96.09B90.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.95B15.49B12.96B12.65B17.09B13.10B
Operating Cash Flow28.12B27.67B28.50B26.41B29.15B24.74B
Investing Cash Flow-15.12B-15.67B-7.16B-14.14B-13.45B-12.05B
Financing Cash Flow-10.94B-10.88B-19.85B-16.18B-18.62B-6.51B

Comcast Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.32
Price Trends
50DMA
34.58
Positive
100DMA
34.93
Positive
200DMA
37.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
55.78
Neutral
STOCH
70.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMCSA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.81, above the 50-day MA of 34.58, and below the 200-day MA of 37.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMCSA.

Comcast Risk Analysis

Comcast disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comcast reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comcast Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$131.87B8.6718.57%3.74%1.33%7.69%
DIDIS
78
Outperform
$219.94B24.998.75%0.82%5.33%431.28%
71
Outperform
$110.78B11.1236.94%0.93%16.06%
VZVZ
70
Outperform
$178.39B10.0518.23%6.40%0.93%56.97%
TT
69
Neutral
$202.05B17.2411.38%3.95%0.50%-12.66%
61
Neutral
$41.22B-1.26-14.49%3.95%2.29%-73.14%
WBWBD
59
Neutral
$27.96B-27.69%-5.58%-254.85%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMCSA
Comcast
35.32
-1.61
-4.36%
T
AT&T
28.08
10.04
55.65%
CHTR
Charter Communications
400.97
104.95
35.45%
VZ
Verizon
42.31
3.21
8.21%
DIS
Walt Disney
122.34
25.59
26.45%
WBD
Warner Bros
11.30
4.20
59.15%

Comcast Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Comcast Shareholders Approve Stock Plan Amendment
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

At Comcast‘s annual meeting of shareholders on June 18, 2025, an amendment to the Comcast-NBCUniversal 2011 Employee Stock Purchase Plan was approved, increasing the number of shares available from 24.2 million to 34.2 million. Additionally, all director nominees were elected, Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for 2025, and the advisory vote on executive compensation was approved. However, shareholder proposals regarding the ‘CEO pay ratio factor’ in executive compensation and the adoption of a policy for an independent chair were not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMCSA) stock is a Buy with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comcast stock, see the CMCSA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Comcast Completes $2.5 Billion Notes Issuance
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Comcast Corporation completed the issuance and sale of $2.5 billion in notes with varying maturity dates and interest rates, under an underwriting agreement with major financial institutions. These notes are guaranteed by Comcast’s subsidiaries and are part of a strategic financial maneuver to potentially strengthen its market position and operational funding.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Comcast Announces Redemption of $1.5 Billion Notes
Neutral
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Comcast Corporation announced its decision to redeem all outstanding amounts of its $1.5 billion 3.375% Notes due on August 15, 2025. The redemption, scheduled for June 5, 2025, will be executed at the redemption price as per the indenture, plus accrued and unpaid interest, indicating a strategic financial move by Comcast to manage its debt obligations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025