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Comcast (CMCSA)
NASDAQ:CMCSA

Comcast (CMCSA) AI Stock Analysis

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Comcast

(NASDAQ:CMCSA)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(12.39%Upside)
Comcast's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and strategic initiatives like the SpinCo announcement. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is potentially undervalued, offering a good entry point for investors. Despite some technical weakness and challenges highlighted in the earnings call, the company's solid fundamentals and strategic focus on growth areas mitigate these concerns.
Positive Factors
Mobile Trends
New converged offers have shown some early success in driving mobile line growth in 1Q25.
Theme Parks
Epic Universe will provide a significant boost to Comcast’s Theme Park segment as its five themed worlds offer state-of-art attractions and interactive experiences.
Negative Factors
Broadband Challenges
The challenges in broadband will persist as new pricing and packaging will take time to improve subscriber results while pressuring ARPU.
Market Share
Comcast has been losing market share since 2021 and the pace of share loss is accelerating.

Comcast (CMCSA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comcast Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComcast Corporation (CMCSA) is a leading global media and technology company that operates primarily through three segments: Cable Communications, Media, and Studios. The company is known for providing broadband, video, and voice services to residential and business customers under the Xfinity brand. In addition, Comcast owns NBCUniversal, which encompasses a wide range of media properties, including broadcast television networks, cable networks, and film studios. Comcast is also involved in theme parks and digital media, further diversifying its portfolio.
How the Company Makes MoneyComcast generates revenue through multiple streams, with a significant portion coming from its Cable Communications segment, which offers broadband internet, cable television, and telephone services to consumers and businesses. The company also earns from advertising and distribution fees through its Media segment, which includes NBCUniversal's television networks and digital platforms. The Studios segment contributes to revenue through the production and distribution of films and television content. Additional income is derived from its theme park operations and strategic partnerships. Comcast's earnings are bolstered by its investments in technology and infrastructure, enabling high-speed internet and innovative content delivery.

Comcast Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Customer Relationships
Customer Relationships
Examines how Comcast engages and retains its customer base, highlighting loyalty, satisfaction, and potential churn risks.
Chart InsightsComcast's customer relationships have been declining since 2023, with a notable drop in broadband customers due to competitive pressures and increased churn. Despite this, the company is focusing on growth areas like wireless services, which saw significant net additions, and business services, which now contribute significantly to revenues. The strategic emphasis on enhancing customer value and simplifying pricing aims to counteract the decline in broadband subscribers, while investments in theme parks and Peacock's growth provide additional revenue streams.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Comcast Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.67%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were strong performances in wireless additions, theme park expansion, and Peacock's revenue growth, challenges such as broadband customer losses, market competitiveness, and advertising revenue decline were also highlighted.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
EBITDA and EPS Growth
EBITDA grew 2% and adjusted EPS grew 5% with $5.4 billion of free cash flow generated in the first quarter.
Wireless Net Additions Surge
Wireless net line additions accelerated to 323,000 in the quarter, bringing total wireless lines to 8.1 million, marking the best quarter of new wireless net additions in two years.
Theme Parks Expansion and Success
Theme parks generated $3 billion of EBITDA in 2024, with significant investment in Epic Universe, which is set to open soon, and ambitious expansion plans into the UK and additional US locations.
Growth in Business Services
Business services are now approaching $10 billion in revenue with consistent mid-single-digit growth in revenue and EBITDA, representing almost 25% of connectivity business revenues.
Peacock Revenue Growth
Peacock delivered double-digit revenue growth and a more than $400 million year-over-year improvement in EBITDA losses, with 41 million paid subscribers at the end of the quarter.
Negative Updates
Broadband Customer Losses
The company lost 199,000 broadband customers in the quarter due to competitive pressures and a slight uptick in churn.
Challenges in Wireless Market
Despite network strength, the company is not winning in the marketplace commensurate with its product strength, facing issues with price transparency and ease of doing business.
Impact of Wildfires on Universal Hollywood
There is ongoing softness in the Hollywood theme park market due to the aftermath of wildfires, affecting first-quarter results.
Advertising Revenue Decline
Total advertising revenue was down 7% year-over-year, primarily due to the timing of sports content and tough political comparisons.
Company Guidance
During Comcast Corporation's first-quarter earnings call for Fiscal Year 2025, the company highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The management reported that the six growth areas, including residential broadband, wireless, business services, and theme parks, helped achieve a 2% growth in EBITDA, a 5% increase in adjusted EPS, and generated $5.4 billion in free cash flow. The company also returned $3.2 billion to shareholders, including $2 billion in share repurchases. Wireless services saw notable growth, with 323,000 net line additions, increasing the total to 8.1 million lines, driven by new promotions and an 80% improvement in customer lifetime value when adding wireless to broadband-only customers. In business services, revenues grew by approximately 4%, and margins in the high 50% range, contributing to almost 25% of total connectivity business revenues. The theme parks segment continues to show strong performance, generating $3 billion in EBITDA in 2024, with the upcoming opening of Epic Universe in Orlando expected to further drive growth. Additionally, Peacock saw double-digit revenue growth and a $400 million year-over-year improvement in EBITDA losses, ending the quarter with 41 million paid subscribers. Overall, Comcast is navigating the competitive landscape with a focus on simplifying pricing and enhancing customer value, while maintaining a strong balance sheet and capital allocation strategy.

Comcast Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Comcast's financial performance is strong, with high profitability and efficient operations. The income statement reflects robust margins, while the balance sheet shows manageable debt levels despite high liabilities. Cash flow is solid, supporting strategic investments and shareholder returns.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Comcast's income statement shows strong profitability and consistent growth. The TTM Gross Profit Margin is approximately 71.16%, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin is 12.72%, reflecting solid bottom-line performance. Revenue growth has been steady, with a slight increase in TTM revenue compared to the previous annual period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins of 18.73% and 25.81% respectively demonstrate robust operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet highlights Comcast's stable financial structure, with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.08, showing a manageable level of debt. The Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 18.13%, indicating effective use of shareholder equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio is 32.36%, reflecting a solid proportion of equity financing. However, the relatively high level of total liabilities suggests a need to monitor leverage closely.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a healthy cash generation capability, with a Free Cash Flow growth rate of -3.48% compared to the previous year, affected by increased capital expenditures. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.79 signifies strong cash conversion from earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.95, indicating that nearly all net income is converted to free cash flow, supporting dividend payments and reinvestment opportunities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
123.56B123.73B121.57B121.43B116.39B103.56B
Gross Profit
79.52B86.70B84.81B83.21B77.94B70.44B
EBIT
23.14B23.30B23.31B22.08B20.82B17.49B
EBITDA
31.91B29.34B38.90B36.45B34.62B30.59B
Net Income Common Stockholders
15.71B16.19B15.39B5.37B14.16B10.53B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
8.59B7.32B6.21B4.75B8.71B11.74B
Total Assets
267.77B266.21B264.81B257.27B275.90B273.87B
Total Debt
99.12B99.09B97.09B99.98B100.02B108.93B
Net Debt
90.53B91.77B90.88B95.23B91.31B97.19B
Total Liabilities
180.47B179.94B181.34B175.24B177.90B180.85B
Stockholders Equity
86.64B85.56B82.70B80.94B96.09B90.32B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
14.95B15.49B12.96B12.65B17.09B13.10B
Operating Cash Flow
28.12B27.67B28.50B26.41B29.15B24.74B
Investing Cash Flow
-15.12B-15.67B-7.16B-14.14B-13.45B-12.05B
Financing Cash Flow
-10.94B-10.88B-19.85B-16.18B-18.62B-6.51B

Comcast Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price34.70
Price Trends
50DMA
34.58
Positive
100DMA
35.07
Negative
200DMA
37.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
50.93
Neutral
STOCH
47.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMCSA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.76, above the 50-day MA of 34.58, and below the 200-day MA of 37.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMCSA.

Comcast Risk Analysis

Comcast disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comcast reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comcast Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DIDIS
78
Outperform
$204.76B23.268.75%0.83%5.33%431.28%
76
Outperform
$108.10B10.9936.94%0.93%16.06%
VZVZ
76
Outperform
$182.56B10.2918.23%6.16%0.93%56.97%
75
Outperform
$127.77B8.4018.57%3.63%1.33%7.69%
TT
69
Neutral
$199.75B17.0511.38%3.95%0.50%-12.66%
WBWBD
63
Neutral
$23.87B-27.69%-5.58%-254.85%
61
Neutral
$14.59B5.85-4.31%3.69%2.76%-30.36%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMCSA
Comcast
34.70
-2.83
-7.54%
T
AT&T
28.08
11.10
65.37%
CHTR
Charter Communications
396.45
120.38
43.60%
VZ
Verizon
43.80
5.94
15.69%
DIS
Walt Disney
113.90
12.08
11.86%
WBD
Warner Bros
9.82
1.70
20.94%

Comcast Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Comcast Completes $2.5 Billion Notes Issuance
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Comcast Corporation completed the issuance and sale of $2.5 billion in notes with varying maturity dates and interest rates, under an underwriting agreement with major financial institutions. These notes are guaranteed by Comcast’s subsidiaries and are part of a strategic financial maneuver to potentially strengthen its market position and operational funding.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Comcast Announces Redemption of $1.5 Billion Notes
Neutral
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Comcast Corporation announced its decision to redeem all outstanding amounts of its $1.5 billion 3.375% Notes due on August 15, 2025. The redemption, scheduled for June 5, 2025, will be executed at the redemption price as per the indenture, plus accrued and unpaid interest, indicating a strategic financial move by Comcast to manage its debt obligations.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Comcast Announces David Novak as SpinCo Chairman
Positive
Mar 19, 2025

Comcast announced on March 19, 2025, that David Novak will become the non-executive Chairman of the Board of Directors for SpinCo, a planned spin-off of Comcast’s cable channels and digital assets, expected to be completed by the end of 2025. SpinCo will be a leading independent media company with brands such as USA Network, CNBC, and MSNBC, aiming to reach over 65 million U.S. households with a diverse content offering. Novak’s appointment is seen as a strategic move to leverage his extensive experience in brand development and capital markets, positioning SpinCo for growth and value creation.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.