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Liberty Global plc - Class A (LBTYA)
NASDAQ:LBTYA
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Liberty Global A (LBTYA) AI Stock Analysis

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LBTYA

Liberty Global A

(NASDAQ:LBTYA)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(5.22% Upside)
Liberty Global A's overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call. However, significant financial challenges and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Divestment Strategy
Liberty Global exited its Vodafone collar position and continues to target $500-$750M in non-core asset dispositions this year.
Joint Ventures
There is tremendous equity upside optionality in realizing equity from the VMO2 and VodafoneZiggo JVs as well as consolidated Telenet.
Value Unlocking
Management believe that an opportunity exists to separate core operating units and/or assets to unlock the conglomerate discount in the share price.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow
The business FCF generation is unpredictable, given the technology upgrade cycle.
Market Competition
UK broadband net adds decline due to churn in customer base due to one-time switching and competitive market.
Valuation Concerns
Valuation is uncompelling at 4% 2026e unFCF yield vs European incumbents at 6%.

Liberty Global A (LBTYA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Liberty Global A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLiberty Global plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides broadband internet, video, fixed-line telephony, and mobile communications services to residential and business customers. It offers value-added broadband services, such as intelligent WiFi features; security; smart home, online storage solutions, and Web spaces; Connect Box, a set-top or Horizon box that delivers in-home Wi-Fi service; community Wi-Fi via routers in home, which provides access to the internet; and public Wi-Fi access points in train stations, hotels, bars, restaurants, and other public places. The company also provides various tiers of digital video programming and audio services, as well as digital video recorders and multimedia home gateway systems; and channels, including general entertainment, sports, movies, series, documentaries, lifestyles, news, adult, children, and ethnic and foreign channels. In addition, it offers postpaid and prepaid mobile services; circuit-switched telephony services; and personal call manager, unified messaging, and a second or third phone line at an incremental cost. Further, the company offers business services comprising voice, advanced data, video, wireless, cloud-based services, and mobile and converged fixed-mobile services to small or home office, small business, and medium and large enterprises, as well as on a wholesale basis to other operators. It operates in the United Kingdom, Belgium, Switzerland, Ireland, Poland, Slovakia, and internationally. Liberty Global plc was founded in 2004 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyLiberty Global A generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily consisting of subscription fees for its broadband, video, and mobile services. The company offers bundled packages that combine internet, television, and phone services, which encourage customer retention and increase average revenue per user (ARPU). Additionally, Liberty Global earns revenue from advertising sales on its platforms, as well as from wholesale services by leasing its network capacity to other operators. Significant partnerships with content providers and technology companies enhance its service offerings, driving customer acquisition and loyalty. The company's focus on expanding its market presence and improving service quality plays a crucial role in sustaining its revenue growth.

Liberty Global A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted stable financial performance and strategic initiatives across Liberty Global's platforms, including increased portfolio value and progress in digital infrastructure. However, competitive pressures in key markets, broadband declines in the U.K., and revenue declines in pivotal regions present significant challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Liberty Telecom Performance
Despite competitive pressures, Liberty Telecom's financial performance was stable, with revenue and EBITDA in line with guidance expectations, supported by price increases and strong ARPU results.
Liberty Growth Portfolio Increase
The Liberty Growth portfolio increased to $3.4 billion, primarily due to additional investments and favorable FX movements.
Progress in Formula E and Digital Infrastructure
Liberty Global announced an extension of their exclusive license with the FIA for Formula E through 2053 and continues to expand their commitment to digital infrastructure with investments in AtlasEdge and EdgeConneX.
Corporate Cost Efficiency
Guidance for net corporate costs improved by at least $25 million, with a continued focus on optimizing through revenue generation and strategic reshaping.
Strategic M&A Developments
Significant progress in strategic developments, such as the nearing completion of Virgin Media O2's merger with Daisy and a fixed network sharing deal in Belgium.
Negative Updates
Competitive Pressures in Telecom Markets
Markets remain highly competitive, with new entrants impacting gross adds and churn. Some markets face continued pressure in sales and net adds.
Broadband Declines in U.K.
Second successive quarter of broadband declines in the U.K. driven by competitive pressures and high churn rates.
Revenue Declines in Key Markets
VMO2 and VodafoneZiggo reported revenue declines of 0.4% and 2.4% respectively, driven by lower B2B fixed revenue and competitive fixed market dynamics.
Economic Pressures on Altnets
Altnets under pressure due to high cost of capital and aggressive customer acquisition strategies, which may not be sustainable long-term.
Company Guidance
During Liberty Global's Second Quarter 2025 Investor Call, CEO Michael Thomas Fries emphasized the company's commitment to creating and delivering value for shareholders through its three core platforms: Liberty Telecom, Liberty Growth, and Liberty Services. He reported that revenue and EBITDA were in line with guidance expectations, aided by price increases and strong ARPU results. Liberty Global aims to sell assets totaling $500 million to $750 million by year-end, with a focus on rotating capital into higher-return investments. The company also highlighted its strategy to optimize operating costs, with a revised guidance to spend $175 million on net corporate costs, a reduction of $25 million from previous expectations. Additionally, Liberty Global's cash balance was reported at $1.9 billion, and they projected an increase by the end of the year. Fries reiterated the company's long-term goal of eliminating the conglomerate discount in its stock, planning to separate operating assets from Liberty Global within the next 12 to 24 months.

Liberty Global A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Liberty Global A faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage but poor returns on equity. Cash flow metrics indicate declining free cash flow growth, though some resilience in cash generation is evident.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Liberty Global A's income statement shows significant challenges. The TTM data reveals a negative revenue growth rate of -16.95%, indicating a substantial decline in revenue. The company also faces negative net profit and EBIT margins, reflecting ongoing profitability issues. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth and inconsistent profit margins, with a notable decline in profitability in recent periods.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a mixed picture. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively stable, but the return on equity has been negative in recent periods, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio remains moderate, suggesting a balanced capital structure, but the company's leverage could pose risks if profitability does not improve.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a declining trend in free cash flow growth, with a significant drop of -27.27% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, highlighting potential cash generation issues. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong, indicating some ability to generate cash despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.96B4.34B7.49B7.20B10.31B11.98B
Gross Profit1.09B2.89B5.11B5.11B7.29B8.54B
EBITDA-2.42B3.42B-420.50M4.20B3.65B1.73B
Net Income-3.32B1.59B-4.05B1.11B13.43B-1.47B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.17B25.44B42.09B42.90B46.92B59.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.14B2.15B3.41B4.35B3.18B2.93B
Total Debt10.54B9.78B17.42B15.41B16.05B15.00B
Total Liabilities13.96B12.90B23.08B20.32B21.32B45.79B
Stockholders Equity12.99B12.54B19.06B22.44B25.93B13.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.14B1.12B779.90M1.53B2.14B2.84B
Operating Cash Flow817.80M2.03B2.17B2.84B3.55B4.19B
Investing Cash Flow127.10M0.00-1.84B1.28B-5.80B-8.87B
Financing Cash Flow-1.97B-2.25B-645.50M-3.28B-1.55B1.08B

Liberty Global A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.88
Price Trends
50DMA
10.70
Positive
100DMA
10.32
Positive
200DMA
11.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Positive
RSI
69.16
Neutral
STOCH
83.15
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LBTYA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.53, above the 50-day MA of 10.70, and above the 200-day MA of 11.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 69.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LBTYA.

Liberty Global A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$4.00B4.0789.94%8.66%
70
Neutral
$4.33B7.4627.07%8.53%0.35%19.08%
62
Neutral
$4.09B-20.95%3.53%3.23%
60
Neutral
$46.29B4.07-13.11%4.12%1.85%-42.71%
55
Neutral
$4.26B-0.81%0.41%-5.62%80.09%
51
Neutral
$5.10B-78.94%-6.50%43.47%
46
Neutral
$1.80B102.75-93.59%10.98%-6.64%-569.94%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LBTYA
Liberty Global A
11.88
1.60
15.56%
LUMN
Lumen Technologies
4.75
-0.93
-16.37%
CCOI
Cogent Comms
36.88
-29.19
-44.18%
PHI
PLDT
19.49
-5.40
-21.70%
TDS
Telephone & Data Systems
39.51
17.09
76.23%
VEON
VEON
55.00
26.00
89.66%

Liberty Global A Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Liberty Global A to Release Q3 2025 Results
Neutral
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Liberty Global announced it will release its third quarter 2025 results on October 30, 2025, followed by an investor call. The call will provide insights into the company’s performance and future outlook, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests. The webcast of the call will be available on the company’s website for at least 75 days.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Global Releases VodafoneZiggo Q2 2025 Report
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, VodafoneZiggo’s financial report for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, was made available on Liberty Global’s website. This report is part of a Current Report on Form 8-K, furnished for informational purposes and not subject to the liabilities of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Liberty Global Announces Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Liberty Global Ltd. announced its Q2 2025 financial results, highlighting strategic progress across its business segments. The company reported improvements in its telecom operations, with positive trends in fixed-line performance and mobile postpaid additions. Liberty Global is advancing its network investments, including spectrum acquisitions and FTTH upgrades, and is exploring opportunities for further spin-offs to enhance shareholder value. The company also raised its financial outlook for Telenet and Liberty Services & Corporate, driven by cost optimization efforts.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Liberty Global A Updates Credit Agreement with Telenet
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Telenet BV, along with its guarantors and financial agents, amended and restated their Credit Agreement, originally dated August 1, 2007. The updated agreement includes changes to sustainability adjustments, the consolidation of revolving facility tranches, and an increase in total commitments by €30 million.

Financial Disclosures
Liberty Global A to Announce Q2 2025 Results
Neutral
Jun 23, 2025

Liberty Global announced it will release its second quarter 2025 results on August 1, 2025, with an investor call scheduled for the same day. This event will provide insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and offering valuable information to stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025