Liberty LiLAC Group (LILAK)
NASDAQ:LILAK
Top Page
Liberty LiLAC Group
(NASDAQ:LILAK)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(5.33% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is held back primarily by high leverage and persistent net losses despite improving operations and positive cash generation. Technicals are moderately supportive, while valuation is weak due to negative earnings. Earnings-call commentary is mixed: strong 2025 operational/FCF progress, but meaningful 2026 hurricane headwinds and Puerto Rico leverage/liability-management uncertainty remain key risks.
Positive Factors
Consistent positive operating cash flow
Sustained positive operating cash flow (~$0.81B in 2025) provides durable internal funding for operations, targeted capex and creditor engagement. This steady cash generation supports working capital and modest deleveraging capacity even while profitability remains negative at the net level.
Negative Factors
Very high leverage and stretched capital structure
Extremely elevated leverage and a sharply reduced equity base materially heighten refinancing and covenant risk. A stretched capital structure limits strategic optionality, increases sensitivity to cash flow shocks and constrains the firm's ability to fund recovery or opportunistic investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent positive operating cash flow
Sustained positive operating cash flow (~$0.81B in 2025) provides durable internal funding for operations, targeted capex and creditor engagement. This steady cash generation supports working capital and modest deleveraging capacity even while profitability remains negative at the net level.
Read all positive factors
Liberty LiLAC Group (LILAK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.68B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)964.52K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.80
Revenue Growth-0.83%
EPS Growth-25.72%
CountryUS
Employees10,000
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryTelecommunications Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.28
Shares Outstanding158,800,000
10 Day Avg. Volume695,198
30 Day Avg. Volume964,523
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.29
Price to Book (P/B)2.66
Price to Sales (P/S)0.33
P/FCF Ratio4.83
Enterprise Value/Market Cap6.47
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.45
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.50
Enterprise Value/Ebitda11.86
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.09
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.36B
Liberty LiLAC Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Liberty Latin America Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services. The company operates through C&W Caribbean and Networks, C&W Panama, Liberty Puerto Rico, VTR, and Costa Rica segments. It ...
Liberty LiLAC Group Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call presented a constructive operational and financial turnaround story: adjusted OIBDA, adjusted OIBDA less P&E additions and adjusted free cash flow all expanded meaningfully in 2025, subscriber adds (notably postpaid) were strong, strategic projects (MANTA, El Salvador) and an AWS partnership position the company for future recurring revenue and AI/cloud-enabled efficiency gains. The principal negatives relate to Hurricane Melissa's materially adverse impact on Jamaica's fixed network and short-term cash flow, continued top-line pressure and leverage issues at Liberty Puerto Rico, and some fixed/B2B revenue softness in parts of the footprint. Management emphasized capital discipline, cost initiatives and a multi-year recovery plan for Jamaica and LPR, and expects performance to be back-end loaded in 2026.Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted OIBDA Growth
Reported adjusted OIBDA of $1.7 billion for full year 2025, representing 9% rebased growth year-over-year; Q4 adjusted OIBDA of $451 million (8% rebased YoY growth).
Negative Updates
Hurricane Melissa Impact
Hurricane Melissa materially damaged fixed infrastructure in Jamaica; company reported an adverse impact of $27 million on adjusted OIBDA from the storm and removed 133,000 homes passed from the fixed count. Management expects roughly a $100 million adjusted FCF impact from the storm in 2026 and a multi-quarter recovery to approach pre-hurricane profitability by end of 2026 (full recovery into 2027).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Adjusted OIBDA Growth
Reported adjusted OIBDA of $1.7 billion for full year 2025, representing 9% rebased growth year-over-year; Q4 adjusted OIBDA of $451 million (8% rebased YoY growth).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance was largely qualitative but included several quantified expectations and baselines: they expect Jamaica to be "back close to pre‑hurricane levels of profitability by the end of 2026" (with a fuller recovery into 2027) and estimate the 2026 adjusted free cash flow impact from Hurricane Melissa to be roughly $100 million; they flagged 2026 results will be heavily weighted to the second half of the year and reiterated priorities of cost‑out, capital discipline and free cash flow delivery. For context and to show the starting point for that guidance, 2025 revenue was about $4.4 billion (Q4 $1.2 billion, +1% rebased), adjusted OIBDA $1.7 billion (2025 rebased growth +9%; Q4 adjusted OIBDA $451 million, +8% rebased), P&E additions $640 million (14% of revenue, down from 16% in 2024), adjusted OIBDA less P&E additions $1.1 billion (24% of revenue, +27% YoY), adjusted FCF before partner distributions $150 million for the year (Q4 $278 million, +29% YoY), Parametric proceeds of $81 million net were received, and consolidated net debt was $8.4 billion with $800 million cash, $900 million available liquidity and leverage of 4.3x (mid‑3s ex‑LPR).Liberty LiLAC Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
24
Negative
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 4.44B | 4.46B | 4.51B | 4.81B | 4.81B |
| Gross Profit | 2.56B | 2.96B | 3.00B | 3.08B | 3.08B |
| EBITDA | 1.62B | 964.60M | 1.55B | 1.34B | 1.17B |
| Net Income | -611.20M | -657.00M | -73.60M | -170.70M | -440.60M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 12.23B | 12.80B | 13.59B | 13.58B | 15.37B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 13.70M | 654.30M | 988.60M | 781.00M | 956.70M |
| Total Debt | 9.22B | 8.17B | 8.26B | 7.96B | 7.65B |
| Total Liabilities | 11.16B | 11.17B | 11.28B | 11.02B | 12.47B |
| Stockholders Equity | 555.60M | 1.12B | 1.76B | 1.92B | 2.22B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 305.90M | 215.90M | 312.00M | 208.70M | 279.90M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 805.90M | 756.30M | 897.00M | 868.80M | 1.02B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -665.60M | -688.50M | -615.80M | -1.12B | -1.27B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 29.70M | -386.40M | -62.40M | -29.20M | 426.60M |
Liberty LiLAC Group Technical Analysis
Positive
8.07
Price Trends
7.89
Positive
7.98
Positive
7.69
Positive
Market Momentum
0.09
Negative
60.96
Neutral
91.49
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LILAK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.98, above the 50-day MA of 7.89, and above the 200-day MA of 7.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.49 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LILAK.
Liberty LiLAC Group Risk Analysis
Liberty LiLAC Group disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty LiLAC Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Liberty LiLAC Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
60 Neutral | $5.27B | -36.64 | -2.67% | 0.40% | 15.38% | -292.52% | |
52 Neutral | $1.68B | -2.42 | -86.86% | ― | -0.83% | -25.72% | |
49 Neutral | $1.68B | -2.42 | -86.86% | ― | -0.83% | -25.72% | |
47 Neutral | $1.38B | -2.78 | -10.73% | 3.03% | -18.28% | -42.53% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
LILAK
Liberty LiLAC Group
8.39
1.68
25.04%
TV
Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.
2.87
1.13
65.32%
TEO
Telecom Argentina
11.62
1.31
12.71%
LILA
Liberty Global LiLAC
8.32
1.51
22.17%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.