Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA)
NASDAQ:LILA
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Liberty Global LiLAC
(NASDAQ:LILA)
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Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(5.49% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/19/26
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability and significant balance-sheet leverage despite strong recent free cash flow. Technical signals are neutral-to-slightly positive, while valuation is constrained by loss-making earnings and no stated dividend yield. Earnings-call commentary supports improvement into late 2026, but hurricane-related and Puerto Rico-related headwinds remain material.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
A large jump in 2025 free cash flow to roughly $806M demonstrates the company's ability to convert operations into cash. Durable cash generation supports capex, network rebuilds, and potential deleveraging or liquidity cushions even if uneven year-to-year, increasing financial optionality over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Very high leverage
Extremely elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~15.1x) meaningfully constrains financial flexibility in a capital-intensive telecom model. High debt raises refinancing, covenant and interest-rate risks, limiting ability to fund growth or absorb shocks without asset sales, liability management, or equity injections.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
A large jump in 2025 free cash flow to roughly $806M demonstrates the company's ability to convert operations into cash. Durable cash generation supports capex, network rebuilds, and potential deleveraging or liquidity cushions even if uneven year-to-year, increasing financial optionality over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.72B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)310.43K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.70
Revenue Growth-0.83%
EPS Growth-25.72%
CountryUS
Employees10,000
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryTelecommunications Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.27
Shares Outstanding38,900,000
10 Day Avg. Volume308,904
30 Day Avg. Volume310,433
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.29
Price to Book (P/B)2.66
Price to Sales (P/S)0.33
P/FCF Ratio4.83
Enterprise Value/Market Cap6.32
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.45
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.50
Enterprise Value/Ebitda11.87
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.21
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.34B
Liberty Global LiLAC Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Liberty Latin America Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services. The company operates through C&W Caribbean and Networks, C&W Panama, Liberty Puerto Rico, VTR, and Costa Rica segments. It ...
How the Company Makes Money
Liberty Global LiLAC generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from subscription-based services. The company earns money by providing broadband internet access, digital television packages, and mobile phone services to residential and ...
Liberty Global LiLAC Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive operational and financial trajectory: companywide adjusted OIBDA, adjusted OIBDA less P&E additions, and adjusted free cash flow improved materially year-over-year, postpaid subscriber additions were strong (notably Costa Rica), Liberty Networks secured strategic infrastructure projects, and management highlighted disciplined capital allocation and cost control. Offsetting these positives were material near-term headwinds from Hurricane Melissa (notably Jamaica fixed losses and expected ~ $100 million FCF impact in 2026), ongoing top-line pressures in Puerto Rico with elevated local leverage, and competitive pressures in certain fixed markets. Management expects recovery and stronger second-half weighting in 2026 with full normalization into 2027 for storm-affected operations.Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted OIBDA Growth
Reported adjusted OIBDA of $1.7 billion for full year 2025, representing 9% rebased growth year-over-year; Q4 adjusted OIBDA was $451 million (+8% rebased).
Negative Updates
Hurricane Melissa Financial and Operational Impact
Hurricane Melissa negatively impacted results (estimated $27 million adverse impact to adjusted OIBDA cited); Jamaica fixed infrastructure was materially damaged with 133,000 homes passed removed from counts and regional broadband outages (Zone 3 over 50% offline). Management expects ~ $100 million adjusted FCF impact in 2026 and recovery timing into 2027.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Adjusted OIBDA Growth
Reported adjusted OIBDA of $1.7 billion for full year 2025, representing 9% rebased growth year-over-year; Q4 adjusted OIBDA was $451 million (+8% rebased).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that it expects a recovery skewed toward the back half of 2026, targeting to be back “close to pre‑hurricane levels” of profitability on a run‑rate basis by year‑end 2026 (with a 2026 adjusted free‑cash‑flow headwind from Hurricane Melissa of roughly $100 million), and will deploy the $81 million of net parametric proceeds toward the Jamaica rebuild while remaining disciplined on capex and costs; as context management pointed to 2025 results of $1.7 billion of adjusted OIBDA (+9% rebased), $1.1 billion of adjusted OIBDA less P&E additions (24% of revenue, +27% YoY), adjusted FCF before partner distributions of $150 million (+29% YoY), P&E additions of $640 million (14% of revenue versus 16% in 2024), consolidated net leverage of 4.3x (ex‑LPR in the mid‑3s), $8.4 billion total debt and $1.7 billion of available liquidity ($800 million cash plus $900 million facility availability), and reiterated priorities of cost actions, capital discipline and a shareholder‑returns focus.Liberty Global LiLAC Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 4.44B | 4.46B | 4.51B | 4.81B | 4.81B |
| Gross Profit | 2.56B | 2.96B | 3.00B | 3.08B | 3.08B |
| EBITDA | 1.62B | 964.60M | 1.55B | 1.34B | 1.17B |
| Net Income | -611.20M | -657.00M | -73.60M | -170.70M | -440.60M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 12.23B | 12.80B | 13.59B | 13.58B | 15.37B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 13.70M | 654.30M | 988.60M | 781.00M | 956.70M |
| Total Debt | 9.22B | 8.17B | 8.26B | 7.96B | 7.65B |
| Total Liabilities | 11.16B | 11.17B | 11.28B | 11.02B | 12.47B |
| Stockholders Equity | 555.60M | 1.12B | 1.76B | 1.92B | 2.22B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 305.90M | 215.90M | 312.00M | 208.70M | 279.90M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 805.90M | 756.30M | 897.00M | 868.80M | 1.02B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -665.60M | -688.50M | -615.80M | -1.12B | -1.27B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 29.70M | -386.40M | -62.40M | -29.20M | 426.60M |
Liberty Global LiLAC Technical Analysis
Positive
7.11
Price Trends
7.91
Positive
7.93
Positive
7.65
Positive
Market Momentum
0.18
Negative
58.46
Neutral
82.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LILA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.02, below the 50-day MA of 7.91, and below the 200-day MA of 7.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LILA.
Liberty Global LiLAC Risk Analysis
Liberty Global LiLAC disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty Global LiLAC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Liberty Global LiLAC Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | $2.99B | 18.26 | 24.01% | 3.30% | 7.30% | 21.31% | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
52 Neutral | $1.72B | -2.42 | -86.86% | ― | -0.83% | -25.72% | |
49 Neutral | $1.72B | -2.42 | -86.86% | ― | -0.83% | -25.72% | |
47 Neutral | $916.64M | -8.36 | -842.48% | 13.93% | -6.48% | -588.01% | |
47 Neutral | $1.40B | -2.78 | -10.73% | 3.03% | -18.28% | -42.53% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
LILA
Liberty Global LiLAC
8.41
2.72
47.80%
CCOI
Cogent Comms
18.31
-35.74
-66.13%
TV
Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.
2.93
1.34
84.05%
IRDM
Iridium Communications
28.52
4.59
19.20%
LILAK
Liberty LiLAC Group
8.63
3.07
55.22%
Liberty Global LiLAC Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Reports Strong Q4 2025 Cash Flow
Positive
Feb 18, 2026
Liberty Latin America reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on February 18, 2026, showing flat annual revenue of $4.44 billion but a 9% increase in rebased Adjusted OIBDA to $1.71 billion and a sharp rebound in operating income to...
Financial Disclosures
Liberty Latin America Sets Date for 2025 Results
Neutral
Feb 12, 2026
Liberty Latin America announced in Denver on February 12, 2026 that it will release its full-year 2025 financial results on Wednesday, February 18, 2026, after the close of NASDAQ trading. The company will host an investor call the following day a...
Executive/Board Changes
Liberty Global LiLAC announces board transition and resignation
Neutral
Dec 19, 2025
On December 16, 2025, Liberty Latin America announced that long-serving director Eric L. Zinterhofer had informed the board that he would step down effective December 31, 2025, after eight years of service, with the company emphasizing that his de...
Financial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Releases Q3 2025 Financial Report
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025
On December 11, 2025, Liberty Global LiLAC released its financial report for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, highlighting the company’s recent performance. This report, available on their website, offers insights into the company̵...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.