Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.59B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 310.43K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.78
• Revenue Growth: -0.83%
• EPS Growth: -25.72%
• Country: US
• Employees: 10,000
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 97
• Industry: Telecommunications Services
• EPS (TTM): -0.04
• Shares Outstanding: 38,900,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 308,904
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 310,433
• PEG Ratio: 0.29
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.66
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.33
• P/FCF Ratio: 4.83
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 6.83
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.44
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.49
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 11.81
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.02
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $4.34B

• Rating: 49 Neutral
• Price Target: $7.50 ▲(5.49% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/19/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/19/26

The score is held back primarily by weak profitability and significant balance-sheet leverage despite strong recent free cash flow. Technical signals are neutral-to-slightly positive, while valuation is constrained by loss-making earnings and no stated dividend yield. Earnings-call commentary supports improvement into late 2026, but hurricane-related and Puerto Rico-related headwinds remain material.

Positive Factors

Strong free cash flow generation

A large jump in 2025 free cash flow to roughly $806M demonstrates the company's ability to convert operations into cash. Durable cash generation supports capex, network rebuilds, and potential deleveraging or liquidity cushions even if uneven year-to-year, increasing financial optionality over the medium term.

Adjusted OIBDA and margin recovery

Sustained adjusted OIBDA growth and ~300bp margin improvement reflect effective cost discipline and mix shift toward higher-margin services. Margin recovery is a structural lever that can persist through disciplined capex and efficiency, boosting cash flow conversion and resilience against cyclical revenue pressure.

Strategic infrastructure projects & partnerships

Large-scale subsea builds, expanding 5G availability, and an AWS partnership enhance network moat and future service capabilities. These durable investments and cloud ties support differentiated wholesale/B2B revenue, long-term bandwidth pricing power, and higher-value services beyond consumer commoditized products.

Negative Factors

Very high leverage

Extremely elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~15.1x) meaningfully constrains financial flexibility in a capital-intensive telecom model. High debt raises refinancing, covenant and interest-rate risks, limiting ability to fund growth or absorb shocks without asset sales, liability management, or equity injections.

Persistent net losses and weak profitability

Consistent multi-year net losses and negative margins undermine retained earnings and equity, compressing returns on invested capital. Ongoing losses make long-term capital allocation and dividend return choices harder, and can erode stakeholder confidence unless operational profitability is sustained.

Puerto Rico operational and liquidity risk

Concentrated top-line weakness and heavy localized debt in Puerto Rico create a structural drag and potential covenant or refinancing pressure. Required liability management or external financing for LPR could divert group resources, keep consolidated leverage elevated, and complicate medium-term deleveraging plans.

Liberty Global LiLAC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Liberty Latin America Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services. The company operates through C&W Caribbean and Networks, C&W Panama, Liberty Puerto Rico, VTR, and Costa Rica segments. It offers communications and entertainment services, including video, broadband internet, fixed-line telephony, and mobile services to residential and business customers; and business products and services that include enterprise-grade connectivity, data center, hosting, and managed solutions, as well as information technology solutions for small and medium enterprises, international companies, and governmental agencies. The company also operates a sub-sea and terrestrial fiber optic cable network that connects approximately 40 markets. It provides its services in approximately 20 countries in Latin America, the Caribbean, Chile, and Costa Rica under the brands of C&W, VTR, Liberty Puerto Rico, Cabletica, BTC, UTS, Flow, and Móvil. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

How the Company Makes Money

Liberty Global LiLAC generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from subscription-based services. The company earns money by providing broadband internet access, digital television packages, and mobile phone services to residential and business customers. Key revenue streams include monthly subscription fees for cable television and internet services, pay-per-view content, and advertising on its platforms. Additionally, partnerships with content providers and local channels enhance its service offerings and attract more subscribers. The company also benefits from economies of scale and operational efficiencies, which help to maintain profitability amidst competitive pressures in the telecommunications market.

Liberty Global LiLAC Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cash generation is a clear positive (2025 free cash flow jumped to ~$806M), but overall fundamentals are weighed down by persistent net losses (including a larger loss in 2025) and a highly stressed balance sheet with very high leverage (debt-to-equity ~15.1x) and shrinking equity.

Income Statement

Revenue has been volatile: down in 2022–2024, then rebounded strongly in 2025 (+20.8% YoY). However, profitability remains weak with net losses every year (2020–2025), including a larger loss in 2025 (net margin about -13.8%). Operating performance also deteriorated in 2025 with negative EBITDA margin (~-5.9%) despite positive EBIT, signaling pressure below the revenue line and inconsistent earnings quality.

Balance Sheet

Leverage is the key concern. Total debt remains very high (~$8.4B in 2025) while equity has shrunk sharply to ~$0.56B, driving debt-to-equity up to ~15.1x (vs. ~7.3x in 2024 and ~3–5x in prior years). Persistent net losses translate into consistently negative returns on equity, and the declining equity base reduces financial flexibility and increases refinancing risk in a capital-intensive telecom model.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is a relative strength. Operating cash flow has been consistently positive across the period, and 2025 free cash flow jumped to ~$806M (up sharply vs. 2024’s ~$216M). Still, free cash flow has been uneven year-to-year, and operating cash flow covers less than half of total debt (~0.41x in 2025), meaning deleveraging capacity is limited unless elevated cash flow levels persist.

Breakdown	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.44B	4.46B	4.51B	4.81B	4.81B
Gross Profit	2.56B	2.96B	3.00B	3.08B	3.08B
EBITDA	1.62B	964.60M	1.55B	1.34B	1.17B
Net Income	-611.20M	-657.00M	-73.60M	-170.70M	-440.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	12.23B	12.80B	13.59B	13.58B	15.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	13.70M	654.30M	988.60M	781.00M	956.70M
Total Debt	9.22B	8.17B	8.26B	7.96B	7.65B
Total Liabilities	11.16B	11.17B	11.28B	11.02B	12.47B
Stockholders Equity	555.60M	1.12B	1.76B	1.92B	2.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	305.90M	215.90M	312.00M	208.70M	279.90M
Operating Cash Flow	805.90M	756.30M	897.00M	868.80M	1.02B
Investing Cash Flow	-665.60M	-688.50M	-615.80M	-1.12B	-1.27B
Financing Cash Flow	29.70M	-386.40M	-62.40M	-29.20M	426.60M

Liberty Global LiLAC Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 7.11
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LILA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.93, below the 50-day MA of 7.63, and below the 200-day MA of 7.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LILA.

Liberty Global LiLAC Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
IRDM	75 Outperform	$2.57B	16.30	22.01%	3.30%	7.30%	21.31%
Sector *	60 Neutral	$48.67B	4.58	-11.27%	4.14%	2.83%	-41.78%
TV	56 Neutral	$1.33B	-3.46	-9.77%	3.03%	-18.28%	-42.53%
CCOI	54 Neutral	$1.08B	-5.67	-229.15%	13.93%	-6.48%	-588.01%
LILAK	51 Neutral	$1.59B	-2.42	-79.15%	―	-0.83%	-25.72%
LILA	49 Neutral	$1.59B	-2.42	-79.15%	―	-0.83%	-25.72%

Liberty Global LiLAC Corporate Events

Liberty Global LiLAC Reports Strong Q4 2025 Cash Flow

Liberty Latin America reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on February 18, 2026, showing flat annual revenue of $4.44 billion but a 9% increase in rebased Adjusted OIBDA to $1.71 billion and a sharp rebound in operating income to $108 million from a loss in 2024. Management highlighted strong postpaid mobile growth, especially in Costa Rica, solid B2B and government performance in Panama, double-digit growth at Liberty Networks, margin recovery in Puerto Rico, disciplined capital spending that reduced capex to 14% of revenue, and resilient operations in hurricane-affected Caribbean markets, particularly Jamaica, which has restored mobile service above pre-storm levels.

The group delivered record Q4 Adjusted free cash flow before partner distributions, supported by cost reductions, improved customer base management, and a more profitable business mix despite weather-related headwinds. Segment results underscored the importance of B2B and infrastructure projects, including new subsea routes, in driving growth and margin expansion, while ongoing efficiency initiatives and network rebuilding efforts across the region position Liberty Latin America to sustain cash flow expansion and reinforce its competitive standing in Latin American and Caribbean telecom markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Liberty Latin America Sets Date for 2025 Results

Liberty Latin America announced in Denver on February 12, 2026 that it will release its full-year 2025 financial results on Wednesday, February 18, 2026, after the close of NASDAQ trading. The company will host an investor call the following day at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, where management will discuss the results and overall business performance.

A webcast of the call and an investor presentation will be available through the Investor Relations section of Liberty Latin America’s website. The planned disclosure gives investors and other stakeholders a scheduled opportunity to assess the company’s recent financial performance and strategic trajectory in its Latin American and Caribbean communications markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Liberty Global LiLAC announces board transition and resignation

On December 16, 2025, Liberty Latin America announced that long-serving director Eric L. Zinterhofer had informed the board that he would step down effective December 31, 2025, after eight years of service, with the company emphasizing that his departure was not due to any dispute or disagreement. Following his resignation, the board will be reduced from 10 to 9 members, and senior executives including Executive Chairman Mike Fries and CEO Balan Nair publicly praised Zinterhofer’s strategic contributions and ongoing relationship with the company, signaling an orderly governance transition with limited disruption expected for operations or stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Liberty Global LiLAC Releases Q3 2025 Financial Report

On December 11, 2025, Liberty Global LiLAC released its financial report for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, highlighting the company’s recent performance. This report, available on their website, offers insights into the company’s financial health and strategic positioning in the telecommunications sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.