Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA)
NASDAQ:LILA
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Liberty Global LiLAC
(NASDAQ:LILA)
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Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(5.49% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability and an exceptionally leveraged balance sheet, with additional pressure from a technically weak price trend. This is partly offset by positive cash generation and a generally constructive earnings narrative focused on operational improvement and cost/capex discipline, though near-term hurricane and Puerto Rico leverage risks remain notable.
Positive Factors
Positive free cash flow generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal liquidity to fund network investment, support operations, and service debt. Even with a recent FCF decline, ongoing positive cash generation underpins capex discipline, potential deleveraging and shareholder returns over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Extremely high balance sheet leverage
Debt far exceeding equity constrains financial flexibility, raises refinancing and covenant risks, and amplifies downside for shareholders. High leverage increases sensitivity to cash‑flow shocks and limits the company’s ability to absorb prolonged revenue weakness or fund large rebuilds without restructuring or costly financing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Positive free cash flow generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal liquidity to fund network investment, support operations, and service debt. Even with a recent FCF decline, ongoing positive cash generation underpins capex discipline, potential deleveraging and shareholder returns over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.46B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)310.43K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.64
Revenue Growth0.01%
EPS Growth38.27%
CountryUS
Employees10,000
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryTelecommunications Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-2.48
Shares Outstanding38,900,000
10 Day Avg. Volume308,904
30 Day Avg. Volume310,433
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.29
Price to Book (P/B)2.66
Price to Sales (P/S)0.33
P/FCF Ratio4.83
Enterprise Value/Market Cap6.67
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.19
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.36
Enterprise Value/Ebitda9.64
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.16
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.36B
Liberty Global LiLAC Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Liberty Latin America Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services. The company operates through C&W Caribbean and Networks, C&W Panama, Liberty Puerto Rico, VTR, and Costa Rica segments. It ...
How the Company Makes Money
Liberty Latin America primarily makes money by selling subscription-based telecommunications services and related offerings across its operating markets. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Residential fixed-line services: recurring monthly...
Liberty Global LiLAC Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive operational and financial trajectory: companywide adjusted OIBDA, adjusted OIBDA less P&E additions, and adjusted free cash flow improved materially year-over-year, postpaid subscriber additions were strong (notably Costa Rica), Liberty Networks secured strategic infrastructure projects, and management highlighted disciplined capital allocation and cost control. Offsetting these positives were material near-term headwinds from Hurricane Melissa (notably Jamaica fixed losses and expected ~ $100 million FCF impact in 2026), ongoing top-line pressures in Puerto Rico with elevated local leverage, and competitive pressures in certain fixed markets. Management expects recovery and stronger second-half weighting in 2026 with full normalization into 2027 for storm-affected operations.Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted OIBDA Growth
Reported adjusted OIBDA of $1.7 billion for full year 2025, representing 9% rebased growth year-over-year; Q4 adjusted OIBDA was $451 million (+8% rebased).
Negative Updates
Hurricane Melissa Financial and Operational Impact
Hurricane Melissa negatively impacted results (estimated $27 million adverse impact to adjusted OIBDA cited); Jamaica fixed infrastructure was materially damaged with 133,000 homes passed removed from counts and regional broadband outages (Zone 3 over 50% offline). Management expects ~ $100 million adjusted FCF impact in 2026 and recovery timing into 2027.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Adjusted OIBDA Growth
Reported adjusted OIBDA of $1.7 billion for full year 2025, representing 9% rebased growth year-over-year; Q4 adjusted OIBDA was $451 million (+8% rebased).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that it expects a recovery skewed toward the back half of 2026, targeting to be back “close to pre‑hurricane levels” of profitability on a run‑rate basis by year‑end 2026 (with a 2026 adjusted free‑cash‑flow headwind from Hurricane Melissa of roughly $100 million), and will deploy the $81 million of net parametric proceeds toward the Jamaica rebuild while remaining disciplined on capex and costs; as context management pointed to 2025 results of $1.7 billion of adjusted OIBDA (+9% rebased), $1.1 billion of adjusted OIBDA less P&E additions (24% of revenue, +27% YoY), adjusted FCF before partner distributions of $150 million (+29% YoY), P&E additions of $640 million (14% of revenue versus 16% in 2024), consolidated net leverage of 4.3x (ex‑LPR in the mid‑3s), $8.4 billion total debt and $1.7 billion of available liquidity ($800 million cash plus $900 million facility availability), and reiterated priorities of cost actions, capital discipline and a shareholder‑returns focus.Liberty Global LiLAC Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.44B | 4.44B | 4.46B | 4.51B | 4.81B | 4.81B |
| Gross Profit | 2.89B | 3.00B | 2.96B | 3.00B | 3.08B | 3.08B |
| EBITDA | 1.01B | 908.50M | 964.60M | 1.55B | 1.34B | 1.17B |
| Net Income | -497.50M | -611.20M | -657.00M | -73.60M | -170.70M | -440.60M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 12.16B | 12.23B | 12.80B | 13.59B | 13.58B | 15.37B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 681.40M | 13.70M | 654.30M | 988.60M | 781.00M | 956.70M |
| Total Debt | 8.88B | 9.22B | 8.17B | 8.26B | 7.96B | 7.65B |
| Total Liabilities | 11.15B | 11.16B | 11.17B | 11.28B | 11.02B | 12.47B |
| Stockholders Equity | 540.60M | 555.60M | 1.12B | 1.76B | 1.92B | 2.22B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 326.32M | 305.90M | 215.90M | 312.00M | 208.70M | 279.90M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 838.85M | 805.90M | 756.30M | 897.00M | 868.80M | 1.02B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -662.93M | -665.60M | -688.50M | -615.80M | -1.12B | -1.27B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -41.14M | 29.70M | -386.40M | -62.40M | -29.20M | 426.60M |
Liberty Global LiLAC Technical Analysis
Negative
7.11
Price Trends
8.06
Negative
7.85
Negative
7.94
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.22
Positive
38.99
Neutral
23.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LILA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.94, below the 50-day MA of 8.06, and below the 200-day MA of 7.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LILA.
Liberty Global LiLAC Risk Analysis
Liberty Global LiLAC disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty Global LiLAC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Liberty Global LiLAC Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $4.40B | 33.97 | 22.76% | 3.30% | 4.05% | -6.99% | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
48 Neutral | $1.37B | 13.47 | -8.25% | 3.03% | -1.68% | -1.81% | |
47 Neutral | $1.46B | -19.02 | -85.28% | ― | 0.01% | 38.27% | |
45 Neutral | $825.28M | -5.69 | 422.83% | 13.93% | -4.83% | 11.31% | |
45 Neutral | $1.46B | -19.02 | -85.28% | ― | 0.01% | 38.27% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
LILA
Liberty Global LiLAC
7.38
2.28
44.71%
CCOI
Cogent Comms
17.22
-30.06
-63.58%
TV
Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.
2.81
0.80
39.52%
IRDM
Iridium Communications
43.40
18.28
72.75%
LILAK
Liberty LiLAC Group
7.51
2.31
44.42%
Liberty Global LiLAC Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Liberty Latin America Posts Solid Q1 2026 Operating Performance
Positive
May 7, 2026
Liberty Latin America reported first-quarter 2026 results on May 7, 2026, showing essentially flat revenue at $1.083 billion year over year, with operating income up 13% to $145 million and stable Adjusted OIBDA at $405 million despite hurricane-r...
Financial Disclosures
Liberty Latin America Sets Date for Q1 2026 Results
Neutral
Apr 30, 2026
Liberty Latin America, a major communications and entertainment provider in Latin America and the Caribbean, operates fixed, mobile and enterprise networks across more than 20 countries under several consumer brands. Its extensive subsea and terre...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Latin America CEO Executes Share Class Exchange
Neutral
Apr 1, 2026
On March 27, 2026, Liberty Latin America Ltd. entered into an exchange agreement with its President and CEO, Balan Nair, under which he exchanged 1,363,080 Class A common shares for 1,300,243 Class C common shares of the company. The transaction, ...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Latin America Posts 2025 Costa Rica Financial Results
Neutral
Mar 19, 2026
On March 19, 2026, Liberty Latin America made available the financial report of its Costa Rican subsidiary, Liberty Telecomunicaciones de Costa Rica LY, S.A., for the year ended December 31, 2025, via its investor relations website. The filing, fu...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Global LiLAC Posts 2025 Financial Report Update
Neutral
Mar 19, 2026
On March 19, 2026, Cable Wireless Communications Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of Liberty Latin America Ltd., made its financial report for the year ended December 31, 2025 available in the investor relations section of the Liberty Latin Ame...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Reports Strong Q4 2025 Cash Flow
Positive
Feb 18, 2026
Liberty Latin America reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on February 18, 2026, showing flat annual revenue of $4.44 billion but a 9% increase in rebased Adjusted OIBDA to $1.71 billion and a sharp rebound in operating income to...
Financial Disclosures
Liberty Latin America Sets Date for 2025 Results
Neutral
Feb 12, 2026
Liberty Latin America announced in Denver on February 12, 2026 that it will release its full-year 2025 financial results on Wednesday, February 18, 2026, after the close of NASDAQ trading. The company will host an investor call the following day a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.