Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.69B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 310.43K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.72
• Revenue Growth: -0.83%
• EPS Growth: -25.72%
• Country: US
• Employees: 10,000
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 97
• Industry: Telecommunications Services
• EPS (TTM): -0.07
• Shares Outstanding: 38,900,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 308,904
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 310,433
• PEG Ratio: >-0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.12
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.28
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.80
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 6.19
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.36
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.25
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 11.80
• 1Y Price Target: $13.00
• Price Target Upside: 56.25% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): -2.88
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $4.45B

• Rating: 53 Neutral
• Price Target: $8.50 ▲(2.16% Upside)

Liberty Global LiLAC's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative profitability, which weigh heavily on the score. However, positive technical indicators and a strong earnings call performance provide some optimism. Valuation remains a concern with a negative P/E ratio, but the company's strategic initiatives and insurance payouts offer potential for future improvement.

Positive Factors

Postpaid Subscriber Growth

Strong postpaid subscriber growth indicates successful customer acquisition strategies and potential for stable, recurring revenue streams.

Revenue Growth

The return to revenue growth reflects improved business performance and market demand, enhancing long-term financial stability.

Insurance Payout

The insurance payout demonstrates effective risk management, providing financial relief and supporting recovery efforts after natural disasters.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage poses significant financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.

Regulatory Setback

The regulatory setback in Costa Rica hinders strategic expansion plans, impacting potential market competitiveness and growth opportunities.

Negative Profitability

Ongoing profitability challenges with a negative net margin can undermine financial health, affecting long-term sustainability and investor confidence.

Liberty Global LiLAC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Liberty Latin America Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services. The company operates through C&W Caribbean and Networks, C&W Panama, Liberty Puerto Rico, VTR, and Costa Rica segments. It offers communications and entertainment services, including video, broadband internet, fixed-line telephony, and mobile services to residential and business customers; and business products and services that include enterprise-grade connectivity, data center, hosting, and managed solutions, as well as information technology solutions for small and medium enterprises, international companies, and governmental agencies. The company also operates a sub-sea and terrestrial fiber optic cable network that connects approximately 40 markets. It provides its services in approximately 20 countries in Latin America, the Caribbean, Chile, and Costa Rica under the brands of C&W, VTR, Liberty Puerto Rico, Cabletica, BTC, UTS, Flow, and Móvil. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

How the Company Makes Money

Liberty Global LiLAC generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from subscription-based services. The company earns money by providing broadband internet access, digital television packages, and mobile phone services to residential and business customers. Key revenue streams include monthly subscription fees for cable television and internet services, pay-per-view content, and advertising on its platforms. Additionally, partnerships with content providers and local channels enhance its service offerings and attract more subscribers. The company also benefits from economies of scale and operational efficiencies, which help to maintain profitability amidst competitive pressures in the telecommunications market.

Liberty Global LiLAC Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Liberty Global LiLAC faces significant financial challenges. The income statement reflects declining revenues and substantial losses, while the balance sheet shows high leverage and negative equity returns. Although cash flow generation has improved, it remains insufficient to offset net losses. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and manage its debt to improve financial health.

Income Statement

Liberty Global LiLAC's income statement shows significant challenges. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data reveals a negative net profit margin of -26.61%, indicating substantial losses. Revenue has declined sharply by 70.5% TTM, reflecting a concerning trend. While the gross profit margin remains healthy at 53.21%, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, at -13.89% and 7.21% respectively, highlighting operational inefficiencies.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet presents a high debt-to-equity ratio of 14.28 TTM, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative at -117.99%, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited shareholder equity relative to total assets, which could pose risks in financial stability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows mixed results. The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 38.39% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.39, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.61, suggesting that cash flows are not fully covering net losses, which could impact liquidity.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.43B	4.46B	4.51B	4.81B	4.81B	3.76B
Gross Profit	3.22B	2.96B	3.00B	3.08B	3.08B	2.50B
EBITDA	885.90M	964.60M	1.55B	1.34B	1.17B	620.40M
Net Income	-734.40M	-657.00M	-73.60M	-170.70M	-440.60M	-682.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	12.05B	12.80B	13.59B	13.58B	15.37B	15.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	596.70M	654.30M	988.60M	781.00M	956.70M	894.20M
Total Debt	8.80B	8.17B	8.26B	7.96B	7.65B	8.42B
Total Liabilities	10.89B	11.17B	11.28B	11.02B	12.47B	11.74B
Stockholders Equity	628.90M	1.12B	1.76B	1.92B	2.22B	2.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	312.95M	215.90M	312.00M	208.70M	279.90M	74.30M
Operating Cash Flow	726.33M	756.30M	897.00M	868.80M	1.02B	640.10M
Investing Cash Flow	-607.15M	-688.50M	-615.80M	-1.12B	-1.27B	-2.45B
Financing Cash Flow	-61.85M	-386.40M	-62.40M	-29.20M	426.60M	271.10M

Liberty Global LiLAC Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 8.32
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LILA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.38, above the 50-day MA of 8.18, and above the 200-day MA of 6.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LILA.

Liberty Global LiLAC Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
IRDM	71 Outperform	$1.86B	15.52	22.59%	3.33%	7.30%	21.31%
Sector *	60 Neutral	$48.67B	4.58	-11.27%	4.14%	2.83%	-41.78%
TV	55 Neutral	$1.31B	―	-9.77%	3.26%	-18.28%	-42.53%
LILA	53 Neutral	$1.69B	―	-79.15%	―	-0.83%	-25.72%
LILAK	50 Neutral	$1.57B	-1.32	-79.15%	―	-0.83%	-25.72%
CCOI	41 Neutral	$963.76M	―	-136.94%	14.23%	-6.48%	-588.01%
ATUS	40 Underperform	―	―	―	―	-4.19%	-982.67%

Liberty Global LiLAC Corporate Events

Liberty Global LiLAC Merger Blocked by Costa Rican Regulator

On November 13, 2025, Liberty Latin America and Millicom announced that Costa Rica’s telecommunications regulator, SUTEL, has decided not to approve their proposed merger of operations in Costa Rica. Despite the companies’ belief that the merger would enhance technology investment and market competitiveness, SUTEL’s decision was unexpected. Both companies are now considering their next steps following the regulatory decision.

Liberty Global LiLAC Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results

Liberty Latin America reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, with notable year-over-year revenue growth driven by its mobile business, particularly in Costa Rica. The company achieved its highest quarterly mobile postpaid additions in three years and returned to positive operating income, with a 7% YoY increase in rebased Adjusted OIBDA. Despite the challenges posed by Hurricane Melissa in Jamaica, Liberty Latin America is actively working on infrastructure repairs and expects to receive insurance proceeds to aid recovery efforts. The company remains optimistic about its financial performance in the upcoming quarters, focusing on cost reduction and unlocking stock value.

Liberty Global LiLAC Q3 2025 Results Announcement

Liberty Latin America announced it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, after the NASDAQ market closes, with an investor call scheduled for the following day. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder decisions.

Liberty Global LiLAC Sets CEO Performance Goals

Liberty Latin America announced that the vesting of performance share units (PSUs) awarded to CEO Balan Nair has been conditioned on achieving specific performance objectives for 2025. The company’s compensation committee has set these objectives to include strategic initiatives, capital allocation, and risk management improvements, with potential vesting of 156,250 PSUs if Nair’s performance is deemed ‘strong’ by March 2026.

Liberty Global LiLAC Secures $250M Credit Facility

On September 23, 2025, Liberty Global LiLAC‘s subsidiaries entered into a Credit Agreement for a $250 million secured facility, with $200 million drawn and $50 million available over the next year, maturing in 2030. This financing, secured by Puerto Rican assets, aims to support Liberty Puerto Rico’s operations and future investments, aligning with strategic liquidity goals announced earlier in 2025.