Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA)
NASDAQ:LILA
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Liberty Global LiLAC
(NASDAQ:LILA)
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Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-36.71% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/19/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing losses and very high leverage—despite positive operating/free cash flow. Technicals also point to a sustained downtrend. The latest earnings call provides some support via improving cash-flow trajectory and guidance for a stronger back half of 2026, but near-term headwinds and balance-sheet risk remain key constraints.
Positive Factors
Diversified subscription network and fiber/subsea infrastructure
A broad footprint across >20 countries and owned subsea/terrestrial fiber creates durable scale benefits: diversified revenue streams, cross-sell opportunities, and a high-barrier wholesale offering that can capture high‑margin capacity demand and underpin long-term cash flows once projects mature.
Negative Factors
Very high leverage and thin equity cushion
Extremely high leverage materially limits financial flexibility and raises refinancing risk in adverse markets. Large absolute debt burdens increase interest and covenant sensitivity, constrain strategic options, and make cash flow timing and reliability critical to avoid asset-backed financings or dilutive capital restructurings.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified subscription network and fiber/subsea infrastructure
A broad footprint across >20 countries and owned subsea/terrestrial fiber creates durable scale benefits: diversified revenue streams, cross-sell opportunities, and a high-barrier wholesale offering that can capture high‑margin capacity demand and underpin long-term cash flows once projects mature.
Read all positive factors
Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$970.49M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)310.43K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.70
Revenue Growth0.01%
EPS Growth38.27%
CountryUS
Employees10,000
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryTelecommunications Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-2.48
Shares Outstanding37,800,000
10 Day Avg. Volume308,904
30 Day Avg. Volume310,433
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.18
Price to Book (P/B)1.64
Price to Sales (P/S)0.21
P/FCF Ratio2.99
Enterprise Value/Market Cap9.54
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.08
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.20
Enterprise Value/Ebitda13.18
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.08
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.35B
Liberty Global LiLAC Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Liberty Latin America Ltd., along with its affiliated entities, delivers a comprehensive suite of telecommunication services encompassing fixed-line, mobile, and subsea offerings. The company organizes its operations into several distinct units, n...
How the Company Makes Money
Liberty Latin America primarily makes money by charging customers recurring service fees for connectivity and video services delivered over its owned/controlled networks.
Key revenue streams include:
- Consumer fixed broadband: Monthly subscripti...
Liberty Global LiLAC Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed cautious optimism. Operational momentum (50k postpaid adds, strong Panama and Networks revenue growth, rapid Jamaica recovery, Puerto Rico OIBDA improvement) and materially improved free cash flow versus last year underpin management confidence and a return-focused capital plan (9% $500M preferred distribution and resumed buybacks). Offsetting these positives are meaningful near-term headwinds: Hurricane Melissa impacts in Jamaica, project phasing costs (notably El Salvador), revenue and OIBDA declines in Costa Rica, and significant leverage and liquidity sensitivity in Puerto Rico. Management emphasized recovery actions and expected stronger FCF later in the year, signaling confidence but acknowledging ongoing operational and balance-sheet risks.Positive Updates
Strong Postpaid Subscriber Growth
Added 50,000 mobile postpaid subscribers across the group in Q1 2026, with Liberty Caribbean contributing ~15,000 postpaid adds (11,000 in Jamaica).
Negative Updates
Hurricane Melissa Impact in Jamaica
Full-quarter impact from Hurricane Melissa reduced Liberty Caribbean revenue by ~$12 million in Q1 (including >$8 million impact to fixed customer revenue). Through Q4 the company saw a loss of over 110,000 revenue-generating residential customers (~one-third of the base); 30,000 were added back in Q1 but reconnections and fixed-network restoration remain a workstream.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Postpaid Subscriber Growth
Added 50,000 mobile postpaid subscribers across the group in Q1 2026, with Liberty Caribbean contributing ~15,000 postpaid adds (11,000 in Jamaica).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that year‑over‑year headwinds should diminish and revenue growth should resume through the remainder of 2026 with a robust finish in Q4, noting adjusted FCF will be highly weighted to later in the year and reiterating the ambition to return Jamaica to run‑rate adjusted OIBDA by year‑end (management had previously flagged up to a $100M negative FCF impact in 2026 but said they are increasingly confident they will “land on the right side” of that). Key metrics and near‑term drivers cited were: consolidated Q1 revenue $1.1B (−1% rebased) and adjusted OIBDA $405M (−1% rebased); adjusted OIBDA less P&E additions $294M (27% margin, +3% YoY); P&E additions $111M (10% of revenue, −8% YoY); adjusted FCF before partner distributions −$64M (improved $40M YoY; LTM adj FCF $190M vs $150M FY25); group added 50,000 mobile postpaid subs (Liberty Caribbean +15,000, Jamaica +11,000); Liberty Networks revenue $121M (rebase growth in the high single digits) but adj OIBDA $55M (timing impact from El Salvador); C&W revenue $355M/adj OIBDA $163M; CWP $176M/$64M; LCR $158M/$57M (−4%/−8% rebased); LPR $296M/$91M (+12% adj OIBDA). They warned of elevated CapEx and working capital for the Manta build through 2027 (followed by low run‑rate CapEx and high margin revenues), said B2B revenue is skewed to the back half of the year, highlighted cost‑out programs (LCR H2 cadence), and signaled capital actions consistent with confidence in FCF: intent to distribute $500M notional preferred at 9% and opportunistic buybacks with ~ $184M authorization remaining; balance‑sheet metrics include total debt $8.4B, liquidity $1.5B (cash ~ $700M, availability ~ $800M) and consolidated net leverage 4.5x (mid‑3s ex‑LPR).Liberty Global LiLAC Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.44B | 4.44B | 4.46B | 4.51B | 4.81B | 4.81B |
| Gross Profit | 2.89B | 3.00B | 2.96B | 3.00B | 3.08B | 3.08B |
| EBITDA | 702.40M | 908.50M | 964.60M | 1.55B | 1.34B | 1.17B |
| Net Income | -497.50M | -611.20M | -657.00M | -73.60M | -170.70M | -440.60M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 12.16B | 12.23B | 12.80B | 13.59B | 13.58B | 15.37B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 681.40M | 13.70M | 654.30M | 988.60M | 781.00M | 956.70M |
| Total Debt | 8.88B | 9.22B | 8.17B | 8.26B | 7.96B | 7.65B |
| Total Liabilities | 11.15B | 11.16B | 11.17B | 11.28B | 11.02B | 12.47B |
| Stockholders Equity | 540.60M | 555.60M | 1.12B | 1.76B | 1.92B | 2.22B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 320.90M | 305.90M | 215.90M | 312.00M | 208.70M | 279.90M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 823.50M | 805.90M | 756.30M | 897.00M | 868.80M | 1.02B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -605.60M | -665.60M | -688.50M | -615.80M | -1.12B | -1.27B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -86.10M | 29.70M | -386.40M | -62.40M | -29.20M | 426.60M |
Liberty Global LiLAC Technical Analysis
Negative
7.11
Price Trends
5.39
Negative
5.40
Negative
5.40
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.05
Positive
36.11
Neutral
-86.31
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LILA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.31, above the 50-day MA of 5.39, and above the 200-day MA of 5.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -86.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LILA.
Liberty Global LiLAC Risk Analysis
Liberty Global LiLAC disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty Global LiLAC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Liberty Global LiLAC Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $4.71B | 44.66 | 22.76% | 3.30% | 4.05% | -6.99% | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
51 Neutral | $1.41B | -6.89 | -8.25% | 3.03% | -1.68% | -1.81% | |
48 Neutral | $970.49M | -1.93 | -85.28% | ― | 0.01% | 38.27% | |
45 Neutral | $970.49M | -1.93 | -85.28% | ― | 0.01% | 38.27% | |
45 Neutral | $710.60M | -4.00 | 422.83% | 13.93% | -4.83% | 11.31% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
LILA
Liberty Global LiLAC
4.80
0.90
23.17%
CCOI
Cogent Comms
14.19
-33.59
-70.30%
TV
Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.
2.99
0.62
26.16%
IRDM
Iridium Communications
44.57
16.11
56.62%
LILAK
Liberty LiLAC Group
4.79
0.81
20.38%
Liberty Global LiLAC Corporate Events
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Global LiLAC Posts Routine Quarterly Financial Update
Neutral
Jun 3, 2026
On June 3, 2026, Liberty PR made its financial report for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 available through the investor relations section of Liberty Latin America’s website. The filing was furnished as a current report under regulatory dis...
Dividends
Liberty Latin America Sets Timeline for Special Preference Dividend
Positive
Jun 1, 2026
On June 1, 2026, Liberty Latin America announced the key timetable for a special dividend of its 9.0% fixed rate cumulative perpetual redeemable Series A Preference Shares to common shareholders. Investors holding LILA, LILAK or LILAB on the June ...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Global LiLAC Announces 2025 Annual Financial Report
Neutral
May 29, 2026
On May 29, 2026, Liberty Communications PR Holding LP reported that its financial report for the year ended December 31, 2025 had been made available via the investor relations section of parent company Liberty Latin America Ltd.’s website. ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Global LiLAC Posts Costa Rica Quarterly Results
Neutral
May 29, 2026
On May 29, 2026, Liberty Latin America made available the financial report for its Costa Rican subsidiary, Liberty Telecomunicaciones de Costa Rica LY, S.A., covering the quarter ended March 31, 2026, via the investor relations section of its corp...
Delistings and Listing ChangesDividends
Liberty Global LiLAC Declares 9% Preference Share Dividend
Positive
May 21, 2026
On May 21, 2026, Liberty Latin America announced that its board committee had declared a special dividend of newly issued 9.0% Fixed Rate Cumulative Perpetual Redeemable Series A Preference Shares. Shareholders will receive one preference share, w...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Latin America Posts First-Quarter 2026 Results Update
Neutral
May 14, 2026
On May 13, 2026, Cable Wireless Communications Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of Liberty Latin America Ltd., made its financial report for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, available in the investor relations section of Liberty Latin America&...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Liberty Latin America Posts Solid Q1 2026 Operating Performance
Positive
May 7, 2026
Liberty Latin America reported first-quarter 2026 results on May 7, 2026, showing essentially flat revenue at $1.083 billion year over year, with operating income up 13% to $145 million and stable Adjusted OIBDA at $405 million despite hurricane-r...
Financial Disclosures
Liberty Latin America Sets Date for Q1 2026 Results
Neutral
Apr 30, 2026
Liberty Latin America, a major communications and entertainment provider in Latin America and the Caribbean, operates fixed, mobile and enterprise networks across more than 20 countries under several consumer brands. Its extensive subsea and terre...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Latin America CEO Executes Share Class Exchange
Neutral
Apr 1, 2026
On March 27, 2026, Liberty Latin America Ltd. entered into an exchange agreement with its President and CEO, Balan Nair, under which he exchanged 1,363,080 Class A common shares for 1,300,243 Class C common shares of the company. The transaction, ...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Latin America Posts 2025 Costa Rica Financial Results
Neutral
Mar 19, 2026
On March 19, 2026, Liberty Latin America made available the financial report of its Costa Rican subsidiary, Liberty Telecomunicaciones de Costa Rica LY, S.A., for the year ended December 31, 2025, via its investor relations website. The filing, fu...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Global LiLAC Posts 2025 Financial Report Update
Neutral
Mar 19, 2026
On March 19, 2026, Cable Wireless Communications Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of Liberty Latin America Ltd., made its financial report for the year ended December 31, 2025 available in the investor relations section of the Liberty Latin Ame...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.