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Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA)
NASDAQ:LILA

Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA) AI Stock Analysis

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LILA

Liberty Global LiLAC

(NASDAQ:LILA)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(18.55% Upside)
Liberty Global LiLAC's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative profitability, which weigh heavily on the score. However, positive technical indicators and a strong earnings call performance provide some optimism. Valuation remains a concern with a negative P/E ratio, but the company's strategic initiatives and insurance payouts offer potential for future improvement.
Positive Factors
Postpaid Subscriber Growth
Strong postpaid subscriber growth indicates successful customer acquisition strategies and potential for stable, recurring revenue streams.
Revenue Growth
The return to revenue growth reflects improved business performance and market demand, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Insurance Payout
The insurance payout demonstrates effective risk management, providing financial relief and supporting recovery efforts after natural disasters.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses significant financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Regulatory Setback
The regulatory setback in Costa Rica hinders strategic expansion plans, impacting potential market competitiveness and growth opportunities.
Negative Profitability
Ongoing profitability challenges with a negative net margin can undermine financial health, affecting long-term sustainability and investor confidence.

Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Liberty Global LiLAC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLiberty Latin America Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services. The company operates through C&W Caribbean and Networks, C&W Panama, Liberty Puerto Rico, VTR, and Costa Rica segments. It offers communications and entertainment services, including video, broadband internet, fixed-line telephony, and mobile services to residential and business customers; and business products and services that include enterprise-grade connectivity, data center, hosting, and managed solutions, as well as information technology solutions for small and medium enterprises, international companies, and governmental agencies. The company also operates a sub-sea and terrestrial fiber optic cable network that connects approximately 40 markets. It provides its services in approximately 20 countries in Latin America, the Caribbean, Chile, and Costa Rica under the brands of C&W, VTR, Liberty Puerto Rico, Cabletica, BTC, UTS, Flow, and Móvil. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyLiberty Global LiLAC generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from subscription-based services. The company earns money by providing broadband internet access, digital television packages, and mobile phone services to residential and business customers. Key revenue streams include monthly subscription fees for cable television and internet services, pay-per-view content, and advertising on its platforms. Additionally, partnerships with content providers and local channels enhance its service offerings and attract more subscribers. The company also benefits from economies of scale and operational efficiencies, which help to maintain profitability amidst competitive pressures in the telecommunications market.

Liberty Global LiLAC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong postpaid subscriber growth and revenue increases in several segments, including a significant parametric insurance payout to mitigate hurricane damages. However, challenges include the impact of Hurricane Melissa, a decline in Puerto Rico revenue, cash flow difficulties, and a regulatory setback in Costa Rica. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about future growth and operational improvements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Postpaid Additions
Added over 100,000 postpaid net adds across the group, driven by Costa Rica and fixed mobile convergence efforts, marking the strongest quarter in three years.
Revenue Growth
Reported $1.1 billion in Q3 revenue, marking a return to year-over-year growth driven by better trends in B2B and residential revenue.
Adjusted OIBDA Growth
Posted adjusted OIBDA of $433 million, reflecting a rebased year-over-year growth of 7% in the third quarter.
Parametric Insurance Payout
Parametric insurance program expected to mitigate losses from Hurricane Melissa with an $81 million payout expected before year-end.
Commercial Strategy Success in Costa Rica
Added almost 130,000 postpaid subscribers, a 13% expansion on Q4 2024 base, driven by prepaid to postpaid migration.
Negative Updates
Hurricane Melissa Impact
Significant damage in Jamaica with substantial disruptions, though full impact assessment is ongoing.
Decline in Puerto Rico Revenue
Reported a 5% year-over-year rebased decline in Puerto Rico revenue, primarily due to subscriber losses from the mobile network migration.
Cash Flow Challenges
Adjusted FCF before partner distributions was $16 million in Q3, a decline year-over-year due to challenges in collections, particularly from government customers.
Regulatory Setback in Costa Rica
Costa Rica's regulator, Sutel, issued a resolution prohibiting the proposed transaction with Millicom, leading to an appeal.
Company Guidance
In the Liberty Latin America's Third Quarter 2025 Investor Call, the company reported robust performance with key metrics indicating positive trends. The group added over 100,000 postpaid net additions, marking the strongest quarter in three years, driven by Costa Rica and prepaid to postpaid migrations. Revenue reached $1.1 billion, representing year-over-year growth, significantly aided by improvements in business-to-business (B2B) contracts and government-related deals. The company also posted an adjusted OIBDA of $433 million, reflecting a 7% year-over-year growth, and enhanced its adjusted OIBDA margin by 22% through cost initiatives. Despite challenges like Hurricane Melissa, which impacted operations in Jamaica, Liberty Latin America remains committed to delivering organic growth and cash flow generation. The company also highlighted a parametric insurance payout of $81 million to mitigate hurricane-related damages, underlining its strategic risk management approach.

Liberty Global LiLAC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Liberty Global LiLAC faces significant financial challenges. The income statement reflects declining revenues and substantial losses, while the balance sheet shows high leverage and negative equity returns. Although cash flow generation has improved, it remains insufficient to offset net losses. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and manage its debt to improve financial health.
Income Statement
Liberty Global LiLAC's income statement shows significant challenges. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data reveals a negative net profit margin of -26.61%, indicating substantial losses. Revenue has declined sharply by 70.5% TTM, reflecting a concerning trend. While the gross profit margin remains healthy at 53.21%, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, at -13.89% and 7.21% respectively, highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet presents a high debt-to-equity ratio of 14.28 TTM, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative at -117.99%, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited shareholder equity relative to total assets, which could pose risks in financial stability.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows mixed results. The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 38.39% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.39, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.61, suggesting that cash flows are not fully covering net losses, which could impact liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.43B4.46B4.51B4.81B4.81B3.76B
Gross Profit3.22B2.96B3.00B3.08B3.08B2.50B
EBITDA885.90M964.60M1.55B1.34B1.17B620.40M
Net Income-734.40M-657.00M-73.60M-170.70M-440.60M-682.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.05B12.80B13.59B13.58B15.37B15.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments596.70M654.30M988.60M781.00M956.70M894.20M
Total Debt8.80B8.17B8.26B7.96B7.65B8.42B
Total Liabilities10.89B11.17B11.28B11.02B12.47B11.74B
Stockholders Equity628.90M1.12B1.76B1.92B2.22B2.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow312.95M215.90M312.00M208.70M279.90M74.30M
Operating Cash Flow726.33M756.30M897.00M868.80M1.02B640.10M
Investing Cash Flow-607.15M-688.50M-615.80M-1.12B-1.27B-2.45B
Financing Cash Flow-61.85M-386.40M-62.40M-29.20M426.60M271.10M

Liberty Global LiLAC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.17
Price Trends
50DMA
8.14
Negative
100DMA
8.04
Negative
200DMA
6.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Positive
RSI
27.88
Positive
STOCH
5.06
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LILA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.05, below the 50-day MA of 8.14, and above the 200-day MA of 6.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.88 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.06 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LILA.

Liberty Global LiLAC Risk Analysis

Liberty Global LiLAC disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty Global LiLAC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Liberty Global LiLAC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.90B15.8422.59%3.30%7.30%21.31%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
56
Neutral
$1.43B-2.40-9.77%3.03%-18.28%-42.53%
53
Neutral
$1.46B-1.94-79.15%-0.83%-25.72%
50
Neutral
$1.46B-1.96-79.15%-0.83%-25.72%
41
Neutral
$958.35M-4.77-136.94%13.93%-6.48%-588.01%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LILA
Liberty Global LiLAC
7.17
0.46
6.86%
CCOI
Cogent Comms
19.51
-48.40
-71.27%
TV
Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.
3.00
1.10
57.89%
IRDM
Iridium Communications
18.10
-10.88
-37.55%
LILAK
Liberty LiLAC Group
7.25
0.58
8.70%

Liberty Global LiLAC Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Liberty Global LiLAC announces board transition and resignation
Neutral
Dec 19, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Liberty Latin America announced that long-serving director Eric L. Zinterhofer had informed the board that he would step down effective December 31, 2025, after eight years of service, with the company emphasizing that his departure was not due to any dispute or disagreement. Following his resignation, the board will be reduced from 10 to 9 members, and senior executives including Executive Chairman Mike Fries and CEO Balan Nair publicly praised Zinterhofer’s strategic contributions and ongoing relationship with the company, signaling an orderly governance transition with limited disruption expected for operations or stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Releases Q3 2025 Financial Report
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Liberty Global LiLAC released its financial report for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, highlighting the company’s recent performance. This report, available on their website, offers insights into the company’s financial health and strategic positioning in the telecommunications sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Global LiLAC Merger Blocked by Costa Rican Regulator
Negative
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Liberty Latin America and Millicom announced that Costa Rica’s telecommunications regulator, SUTEL, has decided not to approve their proposed merger of operations in Costa Rica. Despite the companies’ belief that the merger would enhance technology investment and market competitiveness, SUTEL’s decision was unexpected. Both companies are now considering their next steps following the regulatory decision.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Liberty Latin America reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, with notable year-over-year revenue growth driven by its mobile business, particularly in Costa Rica. The company achieved its highest quarterly mobile postpaid additions in three years and returned to positive operating income, with a 7% YoY increase in rebased Adjusted OIBDA. Despite the challenges posed by Hurricane Melissa in Jamaica, Liberty Latin America is actively working on infrastructure repairs and expects to receive insurance proceeds to aid recovery efforts. The company remains optimistic about its financial performance in the upcoming quarters, focusing on cost reduction and unlocking stock value.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Q3 2025 Results Announcement
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

Liberty Latin America announced it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, after the NASDAQ market closes, with an investor call scheduled for the following day. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Liberty Global LiLAC Sets CEO Performance Goals
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

Liberty Latin America announced that the vesting of performance share units (PSUs) awarded to CEO Balan Nair has been conditioned on achieving specific performance objectives for 2025. The company’s compensation committee has set these objectives to include strategic initiatives, capital allocation, and risk management improvements, with potential vesting of 156,250 PSUs if Nair’s performance is deemed ‘strong’ by March 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025