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Liberty Global Plc Lilac Class A (LILA)
:LILA
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Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA) AI Stock Analysis

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LILA

Liberty Global LiLAC

(NASDAQ:LILA)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▲(9.36% Upside)
Liberty Global LiLAC's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by declining revenues, substantial losses, and high leverage. While technical indicators show bullish momentum, the valuation remains unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield. The earnings call provided some optimism with subscriber growth and operational efficiency improvements, but these are overshadowed by significant revenue challenges.
Positive Factors
Subscriber Growth
The addition of 70,000 subscribers indicates strong demand for the company's services, enhancing its market position and potential for future revenue growth.
Operational Efficiency
Improved operational efficiency, as seen in the OIBDA margin increase, suggests better cost management, which can lead to enhanced profitability over time.
Future Prospects
Strategic focus on digital transformation and convergence is likely to strengthen the company's competitive edge and support long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The decline in revenue reflects challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting the company's flexibility to navigate economic downturns or invest in new opportunities.
Challenges in Puerto Rico
Revenue decline in Puerto Rico highlights regional challenges that could hinder overall growth and necessitate strategic adjustments.

Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Liberty Global LiLAC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLiberty Latin America Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services. The company operates through C&W Caribbean and Networks, C&W Panama, Liberty Puerto Rico, VTR, and Costa Rica segments. It offers communications and entertainment services, including video, broadband internet, fixed-line telephony, and mobile services to residential and business customers; and business products and services that include enterprise-grade connectivity, data center, hosting, and managed solutions, as well as information technology solutions for small and medium enterprises, international companies, and governmental agencies. The company also operates a sub-sea and terrestrial fiber optic cable network that connects approximately 40 markets. It provides its services in approximately 20 countries in Latin America, the Caribbean, Chile, and Costa Rica under the brands of C&W, VTR, Liberty Puerto Rico, Cabletica, BTC, UTS, Flow, and Móvil. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyLiberty Global LiLAC generates revenue through several key streams, including subscription fees from its broadband, video, and voice services. The company earns significant income from its cable and telecommunications services, which attract customers through bundled offerings that combine multiple services at competitive prices. Additionally, LiLAC benefits from advertising revenues generated through its video platforms and partnerships with content providers, allowing for advertising placements. The company may also realize revenue through strategic partnerships and joint ventures that expand its service offerings and market reach. Overall, its diversified service portfolio, coupled with a strong customer base, plays a crucial role in driving its earnings.

Liberty Global LiLAC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted positive trends in subscriber growth and operational efficiency, with strong performances in Liberty Caribbean and Panama. However, there were significant challenges in overall revenue decline, particularly in Puerto Rico and B2B revenues. The company remains optimistic about future growth with strategic initiatives like customer value propositions and digital transformation.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Subscriber Growth
Liberty Latin America added 70,000 high-speed broadband and postpaid mobile subscribers across the group in the first half of 2025, with significant contributions from Costa Rica, Panama, and Jamaica.
Revenue and Adjusted OIBDA Growth
The company reported $2.2 billion in revenue for the first half of 2025. Adjusted OIBDA grew by 8% year-over-year, with a 23% expansion in adjusted OIBDA less P&E additions leading to a 25% revenue margin.
Strong Performance in Liberty Caribbean and Panama
Liberty Caribbean saw a 6% mobile rebased revenue growth in Q2 2025, while C&W Panama reported 6% rebased mobile revenue growth year-over-year.
Liberty Networks Growth
Despite a decline in year-over-year revenue, Liberty Networks saw an 8% rebased growth in wholesale revenue, driven by new lease capacity sales.
Operational Efficiency
The company reported a 340 basis points improvement in its consolidated adjusted OIBDA margin, with a significant reduction in capital intensity.
Future Prospects
The launch of new customer value propositions and the focus on digital transformation and convergence strategies are expected to drive growth in the second half of the year.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Q2 2025 revenue was 3% lower on a rebased basis at $1.1 billion, primarily due to the phasing of project-related B2B revenues.
Challenges in Puerto Rico
Liberty Puerto Rico reported a 5% year-over-year rebased revenue decline, with challenges in mobile residential revenue and B2B revenue due to a reduced subscriber base post-migration.
B2B Revenue Headwinds
B2B revenue was impacted by year-over-year declines in Panama and Liberty Networks, largely due to the timing of noncash IRU accelerations and lower project-related revenue.
Impairment in Puerto Rico
An impairment related to the spectrum from the AT&T acquisition was reported.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Liberty Latin America reported a revenue of $2.2 billion for the first half of the year, with residential revenue up 2% in Liberty Caribbean and Costa Rica and 8% in C&W Panama year-over-year on a rebased basis. The company added 70,000 high-speed broadband and postpaid mobile subscribers across the group, amounting to over 100,000 additions when excluding Puerto Rico, with significant contributions from Costa Rica, Panama, and Jamaica. Adjusted OIBDA for the first half was $822 million, reflecting an 8% rebased year-over-year growth rate. The company achieved a 23% increase in adjusted OIBDA less P&E additions year-over-year, reaching a margin of 25% of revenue, or 29% when excluding Puerto Rico. Liberty Latin America plans to separate Liberty Puerto Rico from the group, aiming for a strong, sustainable post-separation capital structure. The company is also focused on enhancing cash conversion in the second half of the year, driven by new customer value propositions and improved B2B revenue momentum.

Liberty Global LiLAC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Liberty Global LiLAC faces financial headwinds with declining revenues, profitability challenges, and high leverage. Despite some strength in cash flow generation, the company must address profitability issues and debt levels to improve financial health and sustainability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Liberty Global LiLAC shows a challenging financial trajectory in the income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data reveals a gross profit margin of approximately 52.8%, which is decent. However, the net profit margin is negative due to consecutive net losses, indicating profitability issues. Revenue growth is currently negative year-over-year, reflecting a decline from previous periods. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, impacting overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 8.09, indicating significant leverage and potential risk in financial stability. The equity ratio is around 8.1%, suggesting limited equity relative to total assets. Additionally, the return on equity is negative due to net losses, highlighting concerns in generating shareholder value.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some strengths with a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio, suggesting effective cash generation despite losses. However, free cash flow growth is volatile, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive but fluctuates, indicating challenges in maintaining consistent cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.41B4.46B4.51B4.82B4.80B3.76B
Gross Profit2.35B2.96B3.00B3.60B3.61B2.92B
EBITDA317.80M964.60M1.55B1.34B1.18B620.40M
Net Income-1.17B-657.00M-73.60M-201.90M-490.10M-808.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.95B12.80B13.59B13.58B15.39B15.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments514.40M654.30M988.60M781.00M956.70M894.20M
Total Debt8.69B8.66B8.26B7.96B7.65B8.36B
Total Liabilities10.83B11.17B11.28B11.01B12.47B11.79B
Stockholders Equity608.40M1.12B1.76B1.92B2.24B2.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow451.70M215.90M312.00M208.70M279.90M74.30M
Operating Cash Flow741.90M756.30M897.00M868.80M1.02B640.10M
Investing Cash Flow-653.00M-688.50M-615.80M-1.12B-1.27B-2.45B
Financing Cash Flow-105.90M-386.40M-62.40M-29.20M426.60M271.10M

Liberty Global LiLAC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.23
Price Trends
50DMA
8.01
Positive
100DMA
7.19
Positive
200DMA
6.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
53.74
Neutral
STOCH
81.95
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LILA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.11, above the 50-day MA of 8.01, and above the 200-day MA of 6.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LILA.

Liberty Global LiLAC Risk Analysis

Liberty Global LiLAC disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty Global LiLAC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Liberty Global LiLAC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.90B15.8722.59%3.18%7.30%21.31%
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
$1.74B-103.84%-2.15%-1269.05%
$1.74B-1.41-103.84%-2.15%-1269.05%
$1.15B-7.09%3.60%-23.01%13.13%
$2.11B-93.59%9.12%-6.64%-569.94%
$1.02B-3.82%-363.28%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LILA
Liberty Global LiLAC
8.23
-1.49
-15.33%
CCOI
Cogent Comms
44.14
-31.60
-41.72%
TV
Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.
2.52
0.14
5.88%
IRDM
Iridium Communications
17.32
-11.64
-40.19%
LILAK
Liberty LiLAC Group
8.10
-1.52
-15.80%
ATUS
Altice Usa
2.21
-0.37
-14.34%

Liberty Global LiLAC Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Liberty Global LiLAC Sets CEO Performance Goals
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

Liberty Latin America announced that the vesting of performance share units (PSUs) awarded to CEO Balan Nair has been conditioned on achieving specific performance objectives for 2025. The company’s compensation committee has set these objectives to include strategic initiatives, capital allocation, and risk management improvements, with potential vesting of 156,250 PSUs if Nair’s performance is deemed ‘strong’ by March 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Liberty Global LiLAC Secures $250M Credit Facility
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 23, 2025, Liberty Global LiLAC‘s subsidiaries entered into a Credit Agreement for a $250 million secured facility, with $200 million drawn and $50 million available over the next year, maturing in 2030. This financing, secured by Puerto Rican assets, aims to support Liberty Puerto Rico’s operations and future investments, aligning with strategic liquidity goals announced earlier in 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Releases Q2 2025 Financial Report
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Liberty Telecomunicaciones de Costa Rica released its financial report for the quarter ending June 30, 2025. This announcement, made available on the Liberty Latin America website, highlights the company’s ongoing financial transparency and its commitment to keeping stakeholders informed about its operational performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Liberty Global LiLAC Approves Executive Retention Bonuses
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Liberty Latin America Ltd.’s compensation committee approved cash retention bonuses for key officers involved in strategic initiatives announced on August 7, 2025. The bonuses, awarded to executives Christopher Noyes and John Winter, are 2.5 times their annual salaries and will vest over three years, with conditions on employment continuity.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Liberty Global Plc Lilac Class A Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiment with Growth Potential
Aug 13, 2025

The recent earnings call for Liberty Global Plc Lilac Class A painted a mixed picture for investors. While the company demonstrated substantial growth in subscriber numbers and adjusted OIBDA, it also faced challenges, including revenue declines and cash flow issues. The call highlighted strong potential for future growth, particularly in Panama and Costa Rica, while addressing ongoing challenges in Puerto Rico.

Liberty Global Plc Lilac Class A: Strategic Moves and Financial Growth
Aug 8, 2025

Liberty Global Plc Lilac Class A, operating under the Liberty Latin America umbrella, is a leading communications company providing digital video, broadband internet, telephony, and mobile services across Latin America and the Caribbean. The company also operates a comprehensive subsea and terrestrial fiber optic cable network connecting over 30 markets in the region.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Liberty Latin America announced its financial results for Q2 and H1 2025, highlighting continued growth in broadband and postpaid mobile subscribers, with over 100,000 net additions in H1. Despite an operating loss of $205 million, the company achieved an 8% year-over-year increase in Adjusted OIBDA, driven by cost efficiencies and growth in key markets. Liberty Latin America plans to separate Liberty Puerto Rico to unlock shareholder value, while its remaining operations are expected to benefit from strong infrastructure investments and generate substantial cash flow.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC to Release Q2 2025 Results
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Liberty Latin America announced it will release its second quarter 2025 results on August 7, 2025, followed by an investor call on the same day. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders an opportunity to gain insights into the company’s performance and future outlook, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 25, 2025