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Cable ONE, Inc (CABO)
NYSE:CABO
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Cable ONE (CABO) AI Stock Analysis

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CABO

Cable ONE

(NYSE:CABO)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$138.00
▼(-12.30% Downside)
Cable ONE's overall stock score is primarily impacted by financial challenges, including declining revenue and high leverage. Technical analysis and valuation further highlight risks with bearish trends and a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provides some optimism with strategic initiatives, but competitive pressures and customer losses remain significant concerns.
Positive Factors
Broadband ARPU
Management is confident in 2025 Broadband ARPU growth driven by promo roll-offs, the remaining autopay discount reduction, and gross add sell ins.
Financial Strategy
Investors might view the decision to eliminate the dividend in favor of debt repayment as immaterial since it only pays down an incremental 2% of debt annually.
Negative Factors
Competitive Market
Cable ONE's markets are becoming more competitive as fixed wireless and fiber availability expand, which may pressure revenue and growth.
Dividend Suspension
The strategic decision to completely eliminate its dividend with no warning and no new financial change or justification has led to a downgrade of Cable One's stock rating.
Subscriber Growth Challenges
Skepticism about Cable ONE's ability to achieve broadband subscriber growth in the near-to-medium term due to competitive pressures.

Cable ONE (CABO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cable ONE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCable One, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides data, video, and voice services in the United States. The company offers residential data services, a service to enhance Wi-Fi signal throughout the home. It also provides residential video services, such as local networks; local community programming that includes governmental and public access; and other channels, as well as digital video services, including national and regional cable networks, music channels, and an interactive and electronic programming guide with parental controls. In addition, the company offers premium channels that offer movies, original programming, live sporting events, and concerts and other features; and advanced video services, such as whole-home DVRs and high-definition set-top boxes, as well as TV Everywhere product, which enables its video customers to stream various channels and shows to mobile devices and computers. Further, it provides residential voice services comprising local and long-distance calling, voicemail, call waiting, three-way calling, caller ID, anonymous call rejection, and other features, as well as international calling by the minute services. Additionally, the company offers data, voice, and video products to business customers, including small to mid-markets, enterprises, and wholesale and carrier customers. As of December 31, 2021, it served approximately 1.2 million residential and business customers in 24 states through its Sparklight, Fidelity, and Clearwave brands. Cable One, Inc. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyCable ONE generates revenue primarily through subscription fees for its internet, television, and voice services. The company's key revenue streams include residential broadband internet services, which are increasingly in demand due to the growing need for high-speed connectivity, and digital television services, which provide customers with a wide range of channels and on-demand content. Additionally, Cable ONE earns revenue from business services, targeting small to medium-sized enterprises with tailored communication solutions. The company may also engage in partnerships with content providers and technology firms to enhance its service offerings, driving additional revenue through bundled services and promotional packages. Overall, Cable ONE's revenue model is centered on its ability to attract and retain subscribers while continuously expanding its service capabilities in underserved markets.

Cable ONE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 22.96%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance with some growth in residential broadband revenue and the completion of key strategic initiatives such as the billing system migration and mobile service pilot. However, significant challenges include declining total revenue, residential broadband customer losses, and increased competitive pressures. The overall sentiment is tempered by cautious optimism for long-term growth amid current difficulties.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Residential Broadband Revenue Growth
Residential broadband revenue increased on a sequential basis by 1.9% compared to the first quarter, driven primarily by higher ARPU.
Business Data Revenue Stability
Business data revenue was $57.4 million, consistent with Q1 levels, showing stability in this segment.
Completion of Billing System Migration
The final phase of the billing system migration was completed, marking a key milestone in multiyear investment in growth enablement platforms.
New Mobile Service Pilot Program
Agreement signed with a mobile virtual network enabler to pilot mobile service, aiming to complement wired broadband product.
Tech Assist Launch
Launch of Tech Assist, a $10 per month support service for Wi-Fi connected devices, reflecting focus on customer-centric innovation.
Debt Repayment Progress
Over $70 million of debt was paid down during the quarter, adding to a total of well over $0.5 billion repaid over the last 2 years.
Negative Updates
Residential Broadband Customer Losses
Residential data customers declined by 13,000 in Q2, driven by continued softness in connects and elevated churn.
Total Revenue Decline
Total revenues for the second quarter of 2025 were $381.1 million compared to $394.5 million in the second quarter of 2024, a decrease primarily driven by video subscriber attrition.
Impairment Charge
A combined noncash impairment charge of $586 million was recognized due to a decline in the price of common stock.
Flat or Decreasing Broadband Revenue Outlook
Total residential broadband revenue for 2025 is expected to be flat or decrease modestly compared to 2024.
Increased Competitive Pressure
Fiber-to-the-home overbuild now represents approximately 53% of passings with nearly ubiquitous cellphone internet competition.
Company Guidance
During Cable One's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. Residential broadband revenue saw a sequential increase of 1.9%, driven primarily by a $2.39 rise in ARPU, despite a decline of 13,000 residential data customers. Business data revenue stood at $57.4 million, and consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $203.2 million, maintaining consistency with the previous quarter. The company anticipates broadband revenue for 2025 to remain flat or decrease modestly compared to 2024. Capital expenditures for the quarter were $68.4 million, with free cash flow at $134.8 million, representing 66.4% of adjusted EBITDA. Cable One also highlighted expected annual cost savings from its billing system migration and projected cash tax savings of approximately $40 million in 2025 due to a new federal tax bill. Additionally, the company is piloting a mobile service to complement its wired broadband offerings, aiming to enhance customer retention and lifetime value.

Cable ONE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cable ONE shows strong operational efficiency with high gross profit margins and robust cash flow. However, declining revenue and net profit margins, alongside moderate leverage, indicate challenges in maintaining growth.
Income Statement
68
Positive
The income statement reflects a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at approximately 74.6%, indicating strong profitability in core operations. However, the net profit margin is much lower at around 3.0%, suggesting significant expenses or non-operating losses impacting net income. Revenue has declined over recent periods, dropping from $1.68 billion in 2023 to $1.56 billion in 2025, marking a negative growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 2.0, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is about 27.6%, reflecting a reasonable level of equity financing. However, the return on equity has decreased significantly, indicating inefficiency in generating profits from shareholders’ equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a strong operational cash flow with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 13.2 in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), showcasing effective cash generation from operations. Free cash flow has grown substantially from $292 million in 2023 to $475 million in the TTM, suggesting improved cash management. However, free cash flow to net income is relatively high, which might imply underinvestment in capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.54B1.58B1.68B1.71B1.61B1.33B
Gross Profit1.14B1.16B1.24B1.24B1.15B906.52M
EBITDA41.34M723.93M924.43M888.02M814.23M655.26M
Net Income-439.00M14.48M224.62M234.12M291.82M304.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.77B6.53B6.76B6.91B6.95B4.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments152.88M153.63M190.29M215.15M388.80M574.91M
Total Debt3.48B3.60B3.66B3.81B3.84B2.18B
Total Liabilities4.44B4.73B4.95B5.16B5.16B2.99B
Stockholders Equity1.34B1.80B1.81B1.76B1.79B1.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow604.52M377.77M292.72M327.30M319.81M270.44M
Operating Cash Flow605.10M664.13M663.17M738.04M704.34M574.37M
Investing Cash Flow-532.30M-564.45M-341.90M-448.27M-2.47B-954.91M
Financing Cash Flow-121.45M-136.34M-346.13M-463.43M1.58B830.18M

Cable ONE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price157.36
Price Trends
50DMA
136.08
Positive
100DMA
174.07
Negative
200DMA
253.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
3.28
Negative
RSI
60.72
Neutral
STOCH
94.05
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CABO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 157.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 143.19, above the 50-day MA of 136.08, and below the 200-day MA of 253.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.05 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CABO.

Cable ONE Risk Analysis

Cable ONE disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cable ONE reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cable ONE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$44.03B1.71-11.99%3.98%2.32%-37.93%
60
Neutral
$434.84M-30.99%-8.67%63.35%
58
Neutral
$1.59B-103.84%-2.15%-1269.05%
58
Neutral
$1.59B-103.84%-2.15%-1269.05%
48
Neutral
$866.81M59.21-30.85%7.50%-5.43%-363.95%
47
Neutral
$686.21M-3.93%0.80%16.73%-237.78%
41
Neutral
$1.11B21.93%-3.82%-363.28%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CABO
Cable ONE
157.36
-186.31
-54.21%
SHEN
Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
12.50
-1.17
-8.56%
LILA
Liberty Global LiLAC
7.89
-1.54
-16.33%
LILAK
Liberty LiLAC Group
8.06
-1.40
-14.80%
WOW
Wideopenwest
5.06
-0.56
-9.96%
ATUS
Altice Usa
2.33
0.70
42.94%

Cable ONE Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Cable ONE CEO Julia Laulis Announces Retirement
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Cable One announced the upcoming retirement of its CEO, Julia M. Laulis, after 26 years with the company and over 40 years in the cable and broadband industry. Laulis, who became CEO in 2017, has been pivotal in rebranding the company as Sparklight, expanding its national presence, and transitioning to a broadband-first model. Her leadership has been marked by a commitment to innovation and community engagement. The Board is conducting a search for her successor, with Laulis remaining as a senior advisor to ensure a smooth transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (CABO) stock is a Hold with a $480.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cable ONE stock, see the CABO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Cable ONE Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Cable One, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where key decisions were made. The stockholders elected eight directors to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting, and the board size was reduced to eight members. Additionally, the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was ratified, and the compensation for named executive officers for 2024 was approved on a non-binding advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (CABO) stock is a Hold with a $480.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cable ONE stock, see the CABO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 13, 2025