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Cable ONE, Inc (CABO)
:CABO
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Cable ONE (CABO) AI Stock Analysis

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CABO

Cable ONE

(NYSE:CABO)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$168.00
▲(5.85% Upside)
Cable ONE's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, particularly in revenue and profitability, which are partially offset by positive cash flow growth. Technical indicators show some bullish momentum, but valuation concerns persist due to negative earnings. Strategic initiatives from the earnings call provide a mixed outlook, with both positive developments and ongoing challenges.

Cable ONE (CABO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cable ONE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCable One, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides data, video, and voice services in the United States. The company offers residential data services, a service to enhance Wi-Fi signal throughout the home. It also provides residential video services, such as local networks; local community programming that includes governmental and public access; and other channels, as well as digital video services, including national and regional cable networks, music channels, and an interactive and electronic programming guide with parental controls. In addition, the company offers premium channels that offer movies, original programming, live sporting events, and concerts and other features; and advanced video services, such as whole-home DVRs and high-definition set-top boxes, as well as TV Everywhere product, which enables its video customers to stream various channels and shows to mobile devices and computers. Further, it provides residential voice services comprising local and long-distance calling, voicemail, call waiting, three-way calling, caller ID, anonymous call rejection, and other features, as well as international calling by the minute services. Additionally, the company offers data, voice, and video products to business customers, including small to mid-markets, enterprises, and wholesale and carrier customers. As of December 31, 2021, it served approximately 1.2 million residential and business customers in 24 states through its Sparklight, Fidelity, and Clearwave brands. Cable One, Inc. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyCable ONE generates revenue primarily through subscription fees for its internet, television, and voice services. The company's key revenue streams include residential broadband internet services, which are increasingly in demand due to the growing need for high-speed connectivity, and digital television services, which provide customers with a wide range of channels and on-demand content. Additionally, Cable ONE earns revenue from business services, targeting small to medium-sized enterprises with tailored communication solutions. The company may also engage in partnerships with content providers and technology firms to enhance its service offerings, driving additional revenue through bundled services and promotional packages. Overall, Cable ONE's revenue model is centered on its ability to attract and retain subscribers while continuously expanding its service capabilities in underserved markets.

Cable ONE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflected a mix of strategic advancements and ongoing challenges. While there were successful initiatives like the billing system migration and mobile service pilot launch, the company faced significant issues such as residential customer losses and decreased revenues. Efforts in debt reduction and expected tax savings provide a positive outlook, but competitive pressures and impairment charges remain concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Business Data Revenue Growth
Business services data revenues grew 1.2% year-over-year in Q2 2025, driven by strength in high-value fiber and carrier segments.
Successful Billing System Migration
Completed the final phase of billing system migration, consolidating legacy programs and enabling more flexible pricing and customer experience enhancements.
Mobile Service Pilot Program Launch
Signed an agreement with a mobile virtual network enabler to pilot mobile service in several markets, aiming to enhance customer lifetime value and reduce churn.
Cash Tax Savings
Expected to realize approximately $40 million of cash tax savings in 2025 and $120 million through 2027 due to the recently passed tax bill.
Debt Reduction Efforts
Paid down over $70 million of debt during the quarter, bringing gross debt repayment to over $0.5 billion over the last two years.
Negative Updates
Residential Broadband Customer Losses
Residential data customers declined by 13,000 in Q2, driven by continued softness in connects and elevated churn.
Noncash Impairment Charge
Recognized a combined noncash impairment charge of $586 million due to a decline in the price of common stock.
Decrease in Total Revenues
Total revenues for Q2 2025 were $381.1 million, down from $394.5 million in Q2 2024, primarily due to a reduction in residential video revenues.
Residential Data Revenues Decline
Residential data revenues decreased by $1.1 million or 0.5% year-over-year, due to a 3.2% decline in subscribers.
Fiber Competition
Fiber-to-the-home overbuild now represents approximately 53% of passings, contributing to competitive pressures.
Company Guidance
During the Cable One Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, guidance was provided with a focus on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 1.9% sequential increase in residential broadband revenue, driven by a $2.39 increase in average revenue per user (ARPU). Business data revenue reached $57.4 million, with consolidated adjusted EBITDA consistent with the first quarter at $203.2 million. Despite a decline of 13,000 residential data customers due to competitive pressures and elevated churn, sequential month-over-month growth in connect activities was noted, showing potential positive impacts from new go-to-market strategies. The billing system migration, completed in the quarter, is anticipated to result in several million dollars in annual cost savings starting in late 2025, enhancing product launches and customer engagement. Moreover, Cable One has initiated a mobile service pilot program, expecting to strengthen customer relationships and retention while leveraging improvements in wireless economics and network reliability. Financially, the company reported total revenues of $381.1 million and a free cash flow of $134.8 million for the quarter, with expectations to realize approximately $40 million in cash tax savings due to a recent federal tax bill. Capital allocation plans include disciplined debt repayment and potential stock buybacks, supported by robust liquidity and free cash flow generation.

Cable ONE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cable ONE faces significant financial challenges, particularly in revenue and profitability, as reflected in the income statement. The balance sheet indicates high leverage, posing potential risks. However, the cash flow statement shows some resilience with positive cash flow growth, suggesting potential for recovery if profitability issues are addressed.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Cable ONE's income statement shows a concerning trend with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data reveals a significant revenue drop of 8.61% and a negative net profit margin of -28.46%, indicating substantial losses. The EBIT margin has also turned negative, reflecting operational challenges. Despite past profitability, the current trajectory suggests financial instability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet highlights a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.60 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity has turned negative, further emphasizing profitability challenges. However, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure despite high debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 27.23% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient cash management. However, the high free cash flow to net income ratio reflects the company's struggle with profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.54B1.58B1.68B1.71B1.61B1.33B
Gross Profit1.14B1.16B1.24B1.24B1.15B906.52M
EBITDA41.34M723.93M924.43M888.02M814.23M655.26M
Net Income-439.00M14.48M224.62M234.12M291.82M304.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.77B6.53B6.76B6.91B6.95B4.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments152.88M153.63M190.29M215.15M388.80M574.91M
Total Debt3.48B3.60B3.66B3.81B3.84B2.18B
Total Liabilities4.44B4.73B4.95B5.16B5.16B2.99B
Stockholders Equity1.34B1.80B1.81B1.76B1.79B1.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow604.52M377.77M292.72M327.30M319.81M270.44M
Operating Cash Flow605.10M664.13M663.17M738.04M704.34M574.37M
Investing Cash Flow-532.30M-564.45M-341.90M-448.27M-2.47B-954.91M
Financing Cash Flow-121.45M-136.34M-346.13M-463.43M1.58B830.18M

Cable ONE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price158.71
Price Trends
50DMA
144.52
Positive
100DMA
158.53
Positive
200DMA
236.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
5.12
Positive
RSI
57.52
Neutral
STOCH
68.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CABO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 158.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 157.57, above the 50-day MA of 144.52, and below the 200-day MA of 236.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 5.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CABO.

Cable ONE Risk Analysis

Cable ONE disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cable ONE reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cable ONE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$46.60B4.15-11.40%4.15%1.85%-42.71%
60
Neutral
$440.85M-30.99%-8.67%63.35%
58
Neutral
$1.59B-103.84%-2.15%-1269.05%
58
Neutral
$1.59B-103.84%-2.15%-1269.05%
55
Neutral
$921.92M59.21-30.85%7.27%-5.43%-363.95%
52
Neutral
$748.25M-3.93%0.73%16.73%-237.78%
45
Neutral
$1.05B21.93%-3.82%-363.28%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CABO
Cable ONE
162.23
-147.22
-47.57%
SHEN
Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
13.27
-0.97
-6.81%
LILA
Liberty Global LiLAC
7.57
-1.61
-17.54%
LILAK
Liberty LiLAC Group
7.71
-1.46
-15.92%
WOW
Wideopenwest
5.13
0.07
1.38%
ATUS
Altice Usa
2.32
0.38
19.59%

Cable ONE Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Cable ONE CEO Julia Laulis Announces Retirement
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Cable One announced the upcoming retirement of its CEO, Julia M. Laulis, after 26 years with the company and over 40 years in the cable and broadband industry. Laulis, who became CEO in 2017, has been pivotal in rebranding the company as Sparklight, expanding its national presence, and transitioning to a broadband-first model. Her leadership has been marked by a commitment to innovation and community engagement. The Board is conducting a search for her successor, with Laulis remaining as a senior advisor to ensure a smooth transition.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025