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Cable ONE, Inc (CABO)
NYSE:CABO

Cable ONE (CABO) AI Stock Analysis

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CABO

Cable ONE

(NYSE:CABO)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$81.00
▼(-10.37% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, losses, and high leverage) and a bearish technical trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsets include a high dividend yield, some cash-flow resilience and debt paydown progress, plus modestly constructive (but mixed) earnings-call updates and corporate actions.
Positive Factors
Geographic scale from MBI acquisition
Acquiring the remaining stake in MBI materially expands Cable One's footprint into new regions, adding scale, customer density and diversified revenue streams. That broader geographic mix can lower per-customer costs, improve procurement leverage and reduce concentration risk over the medium term.
Material debt reduction progress
Meaningful debt paydown improves financial flexibility and reduces interest expense pressure, supporting sustained capex funding and dividend capacity. A lower leverage baseline also increases options for strategic investments or targeted acquisitions without immediately stressing covenants or liquidity.
New service products driving retention
Successful rollouts of Tech Assist (and a mobile pilot) create recurring ancillary revenue and strengthen customer stickiness. Durable service extensions raise ARPU potential, make churn more costly for customers to avoid, and support long-term lifetime value improvements if adoption scales.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and negative margins
Sustained revenue declines and negative operating margins erode internal funding for network investment and dividends. Weak profitability constrains reinvestment, limits pricing flexibility versus competitors, and increases dependence on external financing for strategic initiatives.
Ongoing subscriber losses and churn pressure
Persistent customer attrition reduces the subscription base and weakens future revenue visibility. Higher churn forces greater marketing and promotion spend to stabilize net adds, raising acquisition costs and undermining margin sustainability across the subscriber life cycle.
Leverage risk from acquisition and legacy debt
Assuming MBI's large term loan and funding the deal with borrowings could spike consolidated leverage and create refinance risk near 2027. Elevated debt service obligations impair capital allocation, reduce resilience to revenue cycles and increase sensitivity to interest-rate or covenant shocks.

Cable ONE (CABO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cable ONE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCable One, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides data, video, and voice services in the United States. The company offers residential data services, a service to enhance Wi-Fi signal throughout the home. It also provides residential video services, such as local networks; local community programming that includes governmental and public access; and other channels, as well as digital video services, including national and regional cable networks, music channels, and an interactive and electronic programming guide with parental controls. In addition, the company offers premium channels that offer movies, original programming, live sporting events, and concerts and other features; and advanced video services, such as whole-home DVRs and high-definition set-top boxes, as well as TV Everywhere product, which enables its video customers to stream various channels and shows to mobile devices and computers. Further, it provides residential voice services comprising local and long-distance calling, voicemail, call waiting, three-way calling, caller ID, anonymous call rejection, and other features, as well as international calling by the minute services. Additionally, the company offers data, voice, and video products to business customers, including small to mid-markets, enterprises, and wholesale and carrier customers. As of December 31, 2021, it served approximately 1.2 million residential and business customers in 24 states through its Sparklight, Fidelity, and Clearwave brands. Cable One, Inc. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyCable ONE generates revenue primarily through subscription services, which include residential and business broadband internet access, cable television packages, and voice services. The company's internet services are a significant revenue driver, as demand for high-speed connectivity has surged. Cable ONE also earns income from advertising through its cable television offerings and may engage in partnerships with local content providers to enhance its service offerings. Additionally, the company benefits from customer retention strategies, including bundled service packages that encourage long-term subscriptions, thus contributing to its overall earnings.

Cable ONE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While Cable One reported significant debt reduction and improvement in customer connections and churn rates, it faced challenges with subscriber losses, revenue decline, and increased operating expenses. The launch of new mobile services and successful product offerings like Tech Assist are positive signs, but overall financial performance remains under pressure.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Mobile Service Launch
Cable One plans to launch unlimited mobile plans starting at $25 per line in select markets in November, with the aim to reduce churn, deepen service adoption, and increase customer lifetime value.
Debt Reduction
Cable One paid down nearly $200 million of debt during the third quarter of 2025, including $173 million of revolver borrowings and over $20 million of senior notes at a favorable discount.
Improved Connects and Churn
Connects have been trending up, with August, September, and October all outperforming the previous year. October churn rates returned to pre-migration levels.
Tech Assist Product Success
The Tech Assist program, offering support for Wi-Fi connected products, has exceeded expectations, and new versions are being launched.
Negative Updates
Subscriber Losses
Residential data customers declined by 21,600 in the third quarter, primarily due to macroeconomic factors, competitive pressures, promotional roll-offs, and billing migration activities.
Revenue Decline
Total revenues for the third quarter of 2025 were $376 million, down from $393.6 million in the third quarter of 2024, driven by declines in residential video and data revenues.
Increased Churn
The third quarter experienced increased churn due to promotional roll-offs and billing migration impacts, leading to higher customer losses.
SG&A Expenses Rise
Selling, general, and administrative expenses were $100.8 million for Q3 of 2025 compared to $88.4 million in the prior year quarter, driven by noncash stock-based compensation and other labor costs.
Company Guidance
During Cable One's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided forward-looking guidance on several key metrics. They anticipate stable Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) for the remainder of the year, following a 3.2% year-over-year increase in the third quarter. Despite residential data revenues declining by 1.2% due to a 5.1% subscriber decline, there was an improvement in ARPU. The company also reported a decrease in operating expenses to $96 million, or 25.5% of revenues, driven largely by reduced programming costs. Capital expenditures are expected to reach the high $200 million range for the full year, down from a previously estimated $300 million. Free cash flow for the quarter was reported at $130.1 million, with a conversion ratio of 64.4% of adjusted EBITDA. Cable One plans to focus on cash flow optimization, particularly for debt repayment, having already repaid nearly $200 million in the third quarter, reducing their net leverage ratio to 3.9x. Additionally, the company discussed the strategic introduction of new products, like their Tech Assist service, and the rollout of a mobile service pilot program designed to reduce churn and enhance customer lifetime value.

Cable ONE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak profitability and declining revenue are the main drags (negative net income and negative EBIT/EBITDA margins). Leverage is high with debt risk elevated in a downtrend, partially offset by comparatively better cash generation vs. net income and some continued free-cash-flow production despite recent declines.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Cable ONE's income statement shows a concerning trend with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data reveals a negative revenue growth rate and significant net losses, leading to negative profit margins. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable, but the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate operational challenges. The company needs to address these issues to improve its financial health.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in a declining revenue environment. The return on equity has turned negative in the TTM period, further highlighting profitability challenges. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure, but the high leverage needs careful management.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth, with a significant drop in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, reflecting challenges in maintaining cash flow amidst declining profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.52B1.58B1.68B1.71B1.61B1.33B
Gross Profit1.13B1.16B1.24B1.24B1.15B906.52M
EBITDA122.83M723.93M924.43M849.87M789.60M718.60M
Net Income-454.07M14.48M224.62M213.06M291.82M304.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.69B6.53B6.76B6.89B6.95B4.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments166.65M153.63M190.29M215.15M388.80M574.91M
Total Debt3.29B3.60B3.66B3.82B3.85B2.19B
Total Liabilities4.26B4.73B4.95B5.15B5.16B2.99B
Stockholders Equity1.43B1.80B1.81B1.74B1.79B1.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-146.28M377.77M292.72M327.30M319.81M270.44M
Operating Cash Flow-603.00K664.13M663.17M738.04M704.34M574.37M
Investing Cash Flow-400.87M-564.45M-341.90M-448.27M-2.47B-954.91M
Financing Cash Flow-244.53M-136.34M-346.13M-463.43M1.58B830.18M

Cable ONE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price90.37
Price Trends
50DMA
107.20
Negative
100DMA
129.85
Negative
200DMA
143.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.19
Negative
RSI
56.51
Neutral
STOCH
90.64
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CABO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 90.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.81, below the 50-day MA of 107.20, and below the 200-day MA of 143.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -6.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CABO.

Cable ONE Risk Analysis

Cable ONE disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cable ONE reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cable ONE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$1.05B5.81%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
56
Neutral
$554.16M-81.02-6.63%102.05%-110.74%
50
Neutral
$565.15M-1.23-27.38%10.11%-4.94%-335.70%
50
Neutral
$644.50M-16.14-4.41%0.97%11.59%-106.83%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CABO
Cable ONE
100.29
-185.73
-64.94%
SHEN
Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.74
0.31
2.71%
SIFY
Sify Technologies
14.51
11.02
315.16%
GOGO
Gogo
4.14
-4.11
-49.82%

Cable ONE Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Cable One to fully acquire Mega Broadband Investments
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 3, 2026, Cable One entered into a purchase agreement to acquire the roughly 55% of Mega Broadband Investments Holdings (MBI) it does not already own, after GTCR affiliates exercised a put option on January 2, 2026. MBI, which operates as Vyve Broadband and generated about $310 million in revenue in the 12 months to September 30, 2025, serves mainly rural communities in 16 states across the Southeast, Northwest and Mid-South, with around 210,000 data customers and 675,000 passings, and will give Cable One a larger, more geographically diversified footprint and potential scale efficiencies. The option price for the remaining stake is expected to be between $475 million and $495 million, with MBI expected to carry $845 million to $895 million of term-loan debt maturing in November 2027 when it becomes a wholly owned subsidiary, and Cable One plans to fund the purchase through a mix of cash and additional borrowings, targeting closing around October 1, 2026 subject to regulatory and other customary approvals. Separately, on December 20, 2025, Cable One agreed to roll its interest in joint venture Clearwave Fiber into Point Broadband Holdings in connection with Clearwave Fiber’s planned merger into a Point Broadband affiliate, a second-quarter 2026 deal that, following a pre-closing sale of Clearwave’s Southern Illinois assets, will leave Cable One as a minority common equity holder in the enlarged Point Broadband platform and further reshapes its portfolio of rural-focused broadband investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (CABO) stock is a Hold with a $114.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cable ONE stock, see the CABO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Cable One Announces New CEO and Leadership Transition
Positive
Dec 31, 2025

On December 31, 2025, Cable One announced a major leadership transition, appointing veteran cable and broadband executive James A. Holanda as its next chief executive officer and board member, with his start date expected no later than March 31, 2026, following the retirement of long-serving leader Julia M. Laulis. To manage the handover, Chief Financial Officer Todd M. Koetje has been named interim CEO from January 1, 2026 until Holanda’s arrival, while director Mary E. Meduski has been elevated to independent chair of the board, maintaining her role in board governance. Holanda, who brings more than 35 years of industry experience from Astound Broadband, Choice Cable TV of Puerto Rico, Patriot Media, Charter Communications and Comcast, will receive a compensation package that includes a $1.4 million base salary, a target bonus equal to 150% of salary, a $10 million equity award mix of time- and performance-based RSUs, relocation assistance and a potential one-time payment to replace any forfeited 2025 bonus from his prior employer, subject to clawback if he departs within two years. The board characterized his selection as the outcome of a comprehensive search for a leader capable of driving growth and enhancing shareholder value, underscoring Cable One’s intent to strengthen its strategic and competitive position in a dynamic broadband market while preserving continuity in financial leadership and corporate governance during the transition period.

The most recent analyst rating on (CABO) stock is a Hold with a $114.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cable ONE stock, see the CABO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026