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Cable ONE, Inc (CABO)
NYSE:CABO

Cable ONE (CABO) AI Stock Analysis

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Cable ONE

(NYSE:CABO)

58Neutral
Cable ONE's overall stock score reflects a challenging environment with mixed financial performance and weak technical indicators. While the company is taking steps to improve growth and manage debt, current declines in revenue and profitability are notable concerns. The stock appears overvalued, and the suspension of dividends adds to investor uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Broadband Revenue Growth
Management remains confident in growth for broadband top line revenue and subscribers for the year.
Operational Investments
CABO is in the later stages of its opex investments that should continue to bolster subscriber stabilization and EBITDA uplift when complete.
Subscriber Stabilization
CABO introduced a unique Pay-As-You-Go (PAYG) pilot program to fight FWA competition, targeting value-seeking customers and does not expect ARPU dilution.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
Ramping fiber overlap and persisting FWA pressure are expected to weigh on the gross add funnel and limit CABO’s long-term broadband penetration.
Dividend Elimination
The strategic decision to completely eliminate its dividend with no warning and no new financial change or justification has led to a downgrade of Cable One's stock rating.
Market Competition
Cable One’s markets continue to get more competitive as fixed wireless and fiber availability expand.

Cable ONE (CABO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Cable ONE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCable ONE, Inc. (CABO) is a leading American broadband communications provider, primarily serving residential and business customers in the United States. The company offers a suite of services including high-speed internet, cable television, and voice services. Operating under the Sparklight brand, Cable ONE focuses on providing reliable connectivity solutions to its customers, with an emphasis on high-speed internet as a core service.
How the Company Makes MoneyCable ONE makes money through subscription-based services offered to residential and business customers. Its primary revenue stream is from high-speed internet services, which account for a significant portion of its earnings. The company also generates revenue from cable television and voice services, although these segments have been declining as the industry shifts towards internet-based solutions. Additionally, Cable ONE benefits from business services, which include broadband, telephone, and cloud-based services tailored for commercial clients. The company may also earn from advertising and other ancillary services. Partnerships with content providers and investments in infrastructure contribute to maintaining and enhancing its revenue streams.

Cable ONE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cable ONE demonstrates strong operational efficiency with high gross profit margins and robust cash flow generation. However, declining revenue and net profit margins, alongside moderate leverage, suggest challenges in maintaining growth and profitability. Strategic improvements in revenue growth and cost management could enhance their financial health further.
Income Statement
68
Positive
The income statement reflects a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at approximately 74.6%, indicating strong profitability in core operations. However, the net profit margin is much lower at around 3.0%, suggesting significant expenses or non-operating losses impacting net income. Revenue has declined over recent periods, dropping from $1.68 billion in 2023 to $1.56 billion in 2025, marking a negative growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 2.0, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is about 27.6%, reflecting a reasonable level of equity financing. However, the return on equity has decreased significantly, indicating inefficiency in generating profits from shareholders’ equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a strong operational cash flow with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 13.2 in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), showcasing effective cash generation from operations. Free cash flow has grown substantially from $292 million in 2023 to $475 million in the TTM, suggesting improved cash management. However, free cash flow to net income is relatively high, which might imply underinvestment in capital expenditures.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.58B1.68B1.71B1.61B1.33B
Gross Profit
1.16B1.24B1.24B1.15B906.52M
EBIT
441.88M526.90M538.99M456.57M369.29M
EBITDA
723.93M924.43M888.02M814.23M655.26M
Net Income Common Stockholders
14.48M224.62M234.12M291.82M304.39M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
153.63M190.29M215.15M388.80M574.91M
Total Assets
6.53B6.76B6.91B6.95B4.49B
Total Debt
3.60B3.66B3.81B3.84B2.18B
Net Debt
3.44B3.47B3.59B3.45B1.60B
Total Liabilities
4.73B4.95B5.16B5.16B2.99B
Stockholders Equity
1.80B1.81B1.76B1.79B1.50B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
377.77M292.72M327.30M319.81M270.44M
Operating Cash Flow
664.13M663.17M738.04M704.34M574.37M
Investing Cash Flow
-564.45M-341.90M-448.27M-2.47B-954.91M
Financing Cash Flow
-136.34M-346.13M-463.43M1.58B830.18M

Cable ONE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price152.51
Price Trends
50DMA
259.30
Negative
100DMA
296.42
Negative
200DMA
328.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.35
Positive
RSI
19.93
Positive
STOCH
38.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CABO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 152.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 254.15, below the 50-day MA of 259.30, and below the 200-day MA of 328.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -8.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 19.93 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CABO.

Cable ONE Risk Analysis

Cable ONE disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cable ONE reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cable ONE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
59
Neutral
$13.76B7.64-1.94%3.86%2.38%-36.56%
58
Neutral
$1.47B101.710.80%4.50%-5.87%-93.49%
52
Neutral
$657.19M-4.05%0.87%14.16%-443.30%
52
Neutral
$1.07B21.93%-3.06%-290.86%
50
Neutral
$1.06B-45.55%-1.31%-1163.93%
WOWOW
46
Neutral
$382.76M-25.18%-8.13%79.68%
45
Neutral
$1.06B-45.55%-1.31%-1163.93%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CABO
Cable ONE
152.51
-236.47
-60.79%
SHEN
Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.98
-2.08
-14.79%
LILA
Liberty Global LiLAC
5.33
-2.81
-34.52%
LILAK
Liberty LiLAC Group
5.39
-2.74
-33.70%
WOW
Wideopenwest
4.49
-0.35
-7.23%
ATUS
Altice Usa
2.47
0.52
26.67%

Cable ONE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -41.79%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While the company is introducing new products and focusing on debt repayment, it faces challenges such as declining revenues and the suspension of dividends. Despite efforts to drive future growth, the current financial performance shows significant declines.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Introduction of New Products
FlexConnect and Internet Lift products are tailored for value-conscious customers and are expected to drive growth. FlexConnect targets customers seeking value by choice, while Internet Lift is for value by need customers.
Increased Adoption of SecurePlus
SecurePlus product adoption increased by 15% since the start of 2025, and the Ultimate WiFi bundle is resonating well with 17% of new customers choosing it this quarter.
Business Data Revenue Growth
Business data revenues grew by 1.2% in Q1 2025 compared to Q1 2024, with strong performance from carrier and enterprise fiber businesses.
Debt Repayment and Financial Strategy
Approximately $45 million of debt was repaid in the quarter, with plans to use suspended dividend funds to accelerate debt reduction and invest in growth.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Total Revenue
Total revenue decreased to $380.6 million from $404.3 million in Q1 2024. Residential data revenues dropped by 4.5% year-over-year.
Decline in Residential Video Revenues
Residential video revenues decreased by 15.8% year-over-year due to losses in video subscribers.
Suspension of Dividend
The company decided to suspend its quarterly cash dividend to focus on debt repayment and organic growth investments.
Net Income and EBITDA Decline
Net income dropped to $2.6 million from $37.4 million in Q1 2024, and adjusted EBITDA decreased to $203 million from $217 million.
Company Guidance
During Cable One's first quarter 2025 earnings call, key guidance metrics were highlighted, focusing on long-term broadband revenue and customer growth strategies. The company plans to enhance customer acquisition through products like FlexConnect and Internet Lift, aimed at different value-conscious segments, with expectations to drive higher connects and improve ARPU. Despite a 4.5% year-over-year decline in residential data revenues, Cable One remains optimistic about growth, supported by low churn rates and strategic infrastructure innovations. The company reported total revenues of $380.6 million, a decrease from $404.3 million in Q1 2024, and a slight dip in ARPU. Adjusted EBITDA was $203 million, with capital expenditures increasing by 8% to $71.1 million. The company suspended its dividend to focus on debt reduction and organic growth investments, aiming to maintain a leverage ratio below 4x.

Cable ONE Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cable ONE Amends Partnership to Acquire MBI Stake
Positive
Dec 20, 2024

Cable One has amended its strategic partnership agreement with Mega Broadband Investments Holdings LLC (MBI) to enhance timing flexibility for potentially acquiring full ownership of MBI. The amended agreement includes a $250 million cash payment and access to $100 million in new debt proceeds by MBI unit holders, thereby adjusting the purchase price for Cable One’s future acquisition of the remaining 55% interest it does not own. The company’s strategic investment in MBI supports its mission to deliver broadband services in rural America, with the partnership expected to optimize Cable One’s capital structure and strengthen its market position.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.