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Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN)
NASDAQ:SHEN
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Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN) AI Stock Analysis

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SHEN

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co

(NASDAQ:SHEN)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▼(-4.69% Downside)
Shenandoah Telecommunications Co's overall stock score is primarily impacted by financial challenges, including negative profitability and cash flow issues. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, further weighing on the score. However, positive developments in the Glo Fiber segment and strategic leadership changes provide some optimism.
Positive Factors
Network Expansion
SHEN has built out its network to add subscribers on a steady basis.
Subscriber Growth
The pace of subscriber growth remains on a positive trajectory for SHEN to achieve free cash flow positive.
Negative Factors
Debt Exposure
SHEN’s stock continues to remain exposed to the Company using debt to build its network while ignoring how adjusted EBITDA is rising faster than forecast.
Revenue Impact
The loss of video customers had a profound impact on the quarter and overshadowed the success of Glo Fiber.

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionShenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN) is a telecommunications company based in the United States, primarily serving rural and suburban communities. The company operates through various segments, including broadband services, wireless communications, and video services. Its core products include high-speed internet, digital television, and voice services, catering to both residential and business customers. SHEN also provides tower leasing and other ancillary services to enhance its telecommunications infrastructure.
How the Company Makes MoneyShenandoah Telecommunications Co generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its broadband services, which include internet and voice solutions for residential and business clients. The company charges monthly subscription fees for high-speed internet services, as well as for its digital TV and voice offerings. Additionally, SHEN earns income from its wireless segment, which includes mobile services and related products. A significant portion of its revenue also comes from leasing space on its telecommunications towers to other service providers. Partnerships with content providers and technology firms further enhance SHEN's service offerings, contributing to its earnings through bundled services and promotional deals.

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -14.24%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in the Glo Fiber segment, strong commercial fiber bookings, and positive financial performance metrics, suggesting a positive outlook. However, there were challenges with declining revenues in the incumbent broadband and commercial fiber sectors. The initiation of guidance and strategic leadership changes were also noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Glo Fiber Growth
Glo Fiber revenues grew 40.5% year-over-year to $19.8 million, with 5,700 new subscribers and 16,000 new passings.
Commercial Fiber Business Success
Commercial fiber business achieved over $200,000 in monthly recurring revenue sales bookings, indicating strong future growth potential.
Record Fiber Construction
Engineering and construction team set a record by constructing over 500 new route miles of fiber in the quarter.
Positive Financial Metrics
Revenue grew 3.2% to $88.6 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased by 21.9% to $28.4 million, with EBITDA margins improving to 32.1%.
Guidance Initiation
2025 revenue guidance set at $352 million to $357 million, with adjusted EBITDA expected to be $113 million to $118 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Incumbent Broadband Markets
Incumbent broadband markets revenue declined by $1.4 million due to a 15% decline in video RGUs as customers switched to streaming services.
Commercial Fiber Revenue Decline
Commercial fiber revenue declined by $1.2 million, primarily due to $900,000 in early termination fees received in 2024 and noncash deferred revenue adjustments.
Debt Position
As of the end of the second quarter, the company had $513 million of outstanding debt, with the first material maturity in July 2027.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter 2025 earnings call for Shenandoah Telecommunications, several key metrics were highlighted. The company added 5,700 new Glo Fiber subscribers and over 16,000 new Glo Fiber passings, contributing to a 40.5% increase in Glo Fiber revenues, which reached $19.8 million. This growth builds on the evolution of Glo Fiber, which has generated almost 380,000 total passings and $80 million in revenue. The commercial fiber business also recorded over $200,000 in monthly recurring revenue sales bookings. The overall revenue for the quarter grew by 3.2% to $88.6 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $5.1 million, or 21.9%, to $28.4 million, with margins improving to 32.1%. The company has initiated annual guidance, projecting 2025 revenues of $352 million to $357 million and adjusted EBITDA of $113 million to $118 million. Capital expenditures are expected to be between $260 million and $290 million. The Glo Fiber markets grew 43% year-over-year, totaling over 76,000 subscribers, with broadband data penetration reaching 20% and monthly churn improving to 1.15%.

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Shenandoah Telecommunications shows mixed financial performance. While the balance sheet is stable with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, income and cash flow statements highlight challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The negative net profit margin and poor free cash flow generation are key concerns.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company's revenue has shown fluctuation, with a recent decline in TTM compared to the previous year. Gross profit margins have been relatively stable, but the net profit margin has turned negative in the latest period, indicating profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins show operational weaknesses, exacerbated by recent losses.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Shenandoah Telecommunications has maintained a stable equity base and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, though there is a noticeable increase in total debt. The equity ratio indicates a healthy level of equity. However, the return on equity has been negatively impacted by recent losses, suggesting challenges in generating shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The cash flow statement reflects challenges in free cash flow generation, with significant capital expenditures outpacing operating cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential cash flow management issues. Operating cash flow remains positive, providing some stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue349.48M328.06M287.38M267.37M245.24M220.78M
Gross Profit181.13M199.95M181.28M159.82M142.94M132.57M
EBITDA101.43M76.32M78.27M67.43M60.91M46.44M
Net Income-29.32M190.39M8.04M-8.38M7.93M2.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.81B1.74B1.21B977.72M890.73M2.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.08M46.27M139.25M44.06M84.34M195.40M
Total Debt525.13M432.30M352.73M128.26M56.62M738.02M
Total Liabilities827.28M739.23M561.56M339.71M248.46M1.45B
Stockholders Equity901.96M918.58M652.67M638.01M642.27M582.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-249.00M-256.50M-142.78M-114.71M-411.04M166.30M
Operating Cash Flow88.59M62.57M113.77M74.89M-250.93M302.87M
Investing Cash Flow-308.18M-339.41M-236.69M-184.18M1.78B-155.59M
Financing Cash Flow207.14M183.86M218.11M69.00M-1.64B-53.53M

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.59
Price Trends
50DMA
14.03
Negative
100DMA
13.17
Negative
200DMA
12.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.51
Positive
RSI
38.64
Neutral
STOCH
40.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHEN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.91, below the 50-day MA of 14.03, and below the 200-day MA of 12.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SHEN.

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co Risk Analysis

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Shenandoah Telecommunications Co reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$312.43M-5.81%7.01%-84.41%
64
Neutral
£1.85B8.95-12.54%3.81%1.42%-47.57%
58
Neutral
$699.47M-11.45%7.68%18.65%
55
Neutral
$1.62B269.879.39%72.74%-90.17%
51
Neutral
$432.27M-30.99%-8.67%63.35%
48
Neutral
$406.47M13.8917.59%15.97%
47
Neutral
$691.15M-3.93%0.79%16.73%-237.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHEN
Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
12.59
-1.30
-9.36%
RBBN
Ribbon Communications
3.95
0.75
23.44%
GOGO
Gogo
12.13
4.92
68.24%
ATEX
Anterix
21.69
-16.75
-43.57%
OOMA
Ooma
11.37
2.96
35.20%
WOW
Wideopenwest
5.06
-0.52
-9.32%

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Shenandoah Telecommunications Announces Leadership Transition
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Shenandoah Telecommunications Company announced a leadership transition effective September 1, 2025, with Christopher E. French stepping into the role of Executive Chairman while Edward H. McKay will become the new President and CEO. Mr. McKay, who has been with Shentel since 2004 and has extensive experience in the telecommunications industry, will lead the company forward, focusing on growth and innovation. This strategic leadership change is part of Shentel’s succession planning to ensure continuity and sustained strategic direction, aiming to enhance the company’s growth and value delivery to customers and shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHEN) stock is a Buy with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shenandoah Telecommunications Co stock, see the SHEN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Shentel Waives Standstill Provisions for ECP Investment
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Shentel waived certain standstill provisions in its Investment Agreement with ECP Fiber Holdings, allowing ECP to acquire up to 2,250,000 additional shares of Shentel’s common stock. This waiver, effective until May 21, 2026, potentially impacts Shentel’s stock ownership dynamics and reflects strategic flexibility in its investment relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHEN) stock is a Buy with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shenandoah Telecommunications Co stock, see the SHEN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025