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Anterix Inc. (ATEX)
NASDAQ:ATEX

Anterix (ATEX) AI Stock Analysis

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ATEX

Anterix

(NASDAQ:ATEX)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
▲(3.14% Upside)
Overall score reflects a stable balance sheet and constructive technical momentum plus a low P/E, offset by weak profitability and cash flow metrics. Earnings call commentary adds upside potential from spectrum monetization and new initiatives, but uncertainty in licensing timing and clearing costs keep risk elevated.
Positive Factors
Spectrum Asset Value & Monetization
A large unmonetized 900 MHz spectrum position is a durable strategic asset. Systematic monetization through license exchanges or leases can create long-term recurring revenue, optionality for sizable balance-sheet gains, and leverage in utility/private-network market expansion.
Strong Liquidity and Low Leverage
A debt-free balance sheet with cash and substantial contracted proceeds provides durable financial flexibility. It reduces refinancing risk, funds spectrum clearing and product rollouts, and supports multi-quarter execution of monetization plans without immediate need for dilutive financing.
Market Positioning & Product Initiatives
Moving beyond pure spectrum leasing into TowerX/CatalyX addresses persistent industry demand for private LTE/5G in utilities. Productizing deployment and ecosystem services can create higher-margin, recurring revenue and deepen customer relationships, strengthening long-term competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Negative Operating and Free Cash Flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow is a durable constraint on growth: it limits funding for clearing, deployments, and commercialization without relying on proceeds or equity. Persistent cash deficits increase execution risk and could pressure capital allocation over multiple quarters.
Costly Spectrum Clearing Commitments
Significant, ongoing clearing costs materially reduce net proceeds from license exchanges. These capital-intensive obligations depress near-term returns from monetization, introduce timing variability, and require cash outlays that can erode margin sustainability across the spectrum monetization program.
Leadership Reorganization / Execution Risk
A recent senior leadership change during a pivotal monetization and product rollout phase increases execution risk. Loss of an operational leader can disrupt program delivery, slow partner/customer deployments, and create transitional governance challenges that may affect multi-quarter operational execution.

Anterix (ATEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Anterix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAnterix Inc. operates as a wireless communications company. The company focuses on commercializing its spectrum assets to enable the targeted utility and critical infrastructure customers to deploy private broadband networks, technologies, and solutions. It holds licensed spectrum in the 900 MHz band with coverage throughout the United States, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico. The company was formerly known as pdvWireless, Inc. and changed its name to Anterix Inc. in August 2019. Anterix Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Woodland Park, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyAnterix generates revenue primarily through spectrum leasing agreements, which allow clients to utilize its 900 MHz spectrum for their communications needs. This leasing model provides a stable and recurring revenue stream as clients deploy private networks over the licensed spectrum. Additionally, the company may earn revenue through partnerships with technology providers and system integrators who implement their solutions within client operations. Anterix's focus on critical infrastructure sectors presents opportunities for long-term contracts and collaborations, further enhancing its revenue potential. The company also benefits from a growing demand for private network solutions as businesses increasingly seek secure and reliable communications technologies.

Anterix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant strategic progress, market opportunities, and financial gains. However, there were challenges related to clearing costs and uncertainty in spectrum licensing. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment is positive due to the strong strategic positioning and growth potential.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Customer Base and Strategic Asset Value
Anterix has a strong customer base and an asset value believed to be 10 times the current cost basis. The company is positioned to deliver for the industry and shareholders.
Momentum Toward 10 Megahertz Expansion
Anterix is making progress toward expanding to 10 megahertz, enhancing the foundation for critical infrastructure modernization and unlocking additional opportunities.
Launch of TowerX and CatalyX
Anterix launched TowerX, a tower optimization program, and CatalyX, a solution to accelerate the adoption of private networks. Together, these initiatives represent a $1 billion annual market opportunity.
Financial Performance and Gains
Anterix recorded a total gain of $71 million in the quarter, with $60 million from the exchange of licenses and $11 million from the sale and delivery of licenses. The company has $39 million in cash, no debt, and $114 million in contracted proceeds to be received.
Progress in Spectrum Monetization
85% of Anterix's spectrum is yet to be monetized, valued between $1.5 to over $4 billion. The company received $29 million in milestone payments and $19 million in accelerated payments.
Negative Updates
Clearing Costs and Complex System Agreements
Anterix is involved in costly clearing processes for complex systems, with a total commitment of about $20 million, impacting the financial outlook.
Uncertainty in Spectrum Licensing
There is uncertainty in the timing of spectrum licensing, which affects the ability to provide financial guidance related to gains from license exchanges.
Company Guidance
In the Anterix Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Conference Call, key guidance metrics were discussed, highlighting the company's strategic positioning and financial outlook. Anterix emphasized its strong customer base and asset value, which is estimated to be ten times its current cost basis. The company's balance sheet reflects spectrum assets valued at $325 million, with the potential for monetization reaching $1.5 to well over $4 billion. Anterix reported approximately $39 million in cash and no debt, with $114 million in contracted proceeds anticipated, including $60 million expected by the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026. The company also achieved a total gain of $71 million in the quarter from spectrum transactions. Initiatives like TowerX and CatalyX are projected to create an annual market opportunity of roughly $1 billion, enhancing Anterix's financial profile and expanding its market share. The company's strategic engagement with the FCC and its partnerships are expected to accelerate spectrum expansion to 10 megahertz, further strengthening its position in the infrastructure market.

Anterix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Anterix exhibits a mixed financial profile with a strong gross profit margin and stable balance sheet, but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management. Negative EBIT and EBITDA margins and fluctuating net profit margins indicate operational inefficiencies.
Income Statement
Anterix shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has a strong gross profit margin, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is volatile, with recent improvements but historical losses. Revenue growth is modest, suggesting limited expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet is relatively stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity has improved but remains low, suggesting limited profitability. The equity ratio is healthy, showing a strong capital base. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability but with room for improved returns.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows indicating cash management issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some efficiency in converting income to cash. However, the negative growth in free cash flow highlights ongoing cash flow struggles.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.92M6.03M4.19M1.92M1.08M921.00K
Gross Profit5.92M6.03M4.19M1.92M1.08M-685.00K
EBITDA28.96M-48.48M-51.62M-53.43M-46.50M-47.27M
Net Income95.63M-11.37M-9.13M-16.32M-37.52M-54.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets420.38M333.10M324.89M278.56M287.98M253.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.07M47.37M60.58M43.18M105.62M117.54M
Total Debt4.73M5.39M8.21M4.65M5.69M7.07M
Total Liabilities180.03M176.50M163.86M98.77M101.68M40.55M
Stockholders Equity240.35M156.60M161.03M179.79M186.30M212.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-30.04M-47.45M24.66M-54.38M-9.50M-24.13M
Operating Cash Flow-25.99M-29.26M41.99M-27.25M17.91M-9.96M
Investing Cash Flow30.43M22.75M8.09M-27.13M-27.41M-14.17M
Financing Cash Flow-6.71M-6.59M-25.14M-8.06M-2.42M4.22M

Anterix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.27
Price Trends
50DMA
21.02
Positive
100DMA
21.31
Positive
200DMA
24.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Negative
RSI
62.99
Neutral
STOCH
85.80
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.16, above the 50-day MA of 21.02, and below the 200-day MA of 24.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ATEX.

Anterix Risk Analysis

Anterix disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Anterix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Anterix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$336.73M-22.76-1.70%4.63%-3.10%66.00%
62
Neutral
$320.71M152.262.59%4.22%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
$435.54M4.5750.41%5.67%
50
Neutral
$645.60M-16.16-4.41%0.97%11.59%-106.83%
50
Neutral
$496.24M-11.80-11.40%7.38%20.81%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATEX
Anterix
23.34
-4.60
-16.46%
ATNI
ATN International
21.05
6.63
45.93%
SHEN
Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.75
0.23
2.00%
RBBN
Ribbon Communications
2.89
-1.10
-27.57%
OOMA
Ooma
12.12
-1.47
-10.82%

Anterix Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Anterix Eliminates COO Role Amid Leadership Reorganization
Negative
Jan 7, 2026

On January 7, 2026, Anterix Inc. announced that Chief Operating Officer Ryan Gerbrandt will leave the company effective January 9, 2026, as part of an internal reorganization that eliminates the COO role. Subject to his signing a release of claims in favor of the company, Gerbrandt will receive severance benefits applicable to a Legacy Tier 1 Executive under Anterix’s Executive Severance Plan, signaling a notable shift in the firm’s senior leadership structure and cost framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATEX) stock is a Hold with a $21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anterix stock, see the ATEX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Anterix Reports Strong Q2 Fiscal 2026 Results
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Anterix announced its second quarter fiscal 2026 results, highlighting significant financial and operational achievements. The company reported receiving $29 million in contracted proceeds, with $114 million outstanding, and accelerated $19 million into fiscal 2026. Anterix launched TowerXTM and CatalyX®, solutions targeting a $1 billion market opportunity, and exchanged narrowband for broadband licenses in 99 counties, recording a $60 million gain. Additionally, Anterix delivered broadband licenses covering 26 counties, resulting in an $11 million gain, and invested $13 million in spectrum clearing costs. The company continues to advance a $3 billion pipeline of prospective contracts with over 60 potential customers, maintaining a strong liquidity position with $39.1 million in cash and no debt as of September 30, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATEX) stock is a Hold with a $21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anterix stock, see the ATEX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026