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Gogo (GOGO)
NASDAQ:GOGO
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Gogo (GOGO) AI Stock Analysis

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GOGO

Gogo

(NASDAQ:GOGO)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(11.11% Upside)
Gogo's overall score is driven by strong earnings call sentiment and revenue growth, but is offset by high leverage, poor technical indicators, and overvaluation concerns.
Positive Factors
Cost Savings
Post-deal integration activities appear to be yielding more savings than originally anticipated and ahead of schedule.
Product Development
Gogo is making notable headway on its new product rollouts and the integration of Satcom Direct.
Regulatory Approval
Gogo has retired risk on numerous fronts, including successfully securing Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Parts Manufacturer Approval for Galileo antennas and confirming full functionality of its 5G chip.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
The stakes are particularly high for Gogo in light of newer, deep-pocketed entrants to the business aviation connectivity market.
Investment Needs
2025 is still marked by limited new product revenue and elevated investment as Gogo positions for near-term product ramps.
Operational Challenges
Operational metrics were mixed as the combined company of Gogo and Satcom Direct continues to face intense competition from SpaceX.

Gogo (GOGO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gogo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGogo Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides broadband connectivity services to the aviation industry in the United States and internationally. It operates through Commercial Aviation North America (CA-NA), Commercial Aviation Rest of World (CA-ROW), and Business Aviation (BA) segments. The company design, build and operate air-to-ground networks, engineer and maintain in-flight systems of proprietary hardware and software, and deliver customizable connectivity and wireless entertainment services. It also offers suite of integrated equipment, network, and internet connectivity products and services, as well as includes suite of smart cabin systems for integrated connectivity, in-flight entertainment, and voice solutions. In addition, the company portfolio comprises of in-flight network, in-flight systems, in-flight services, aviation partner support, and production operations functions. Further, the company offers satellite-based voice and data services. Gogo Inc. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyGogo generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from inflight connectivity services and entertainment offerings. The company charges airlines for the installation, maintenance, and operation of its connectivity systems, which include both air-to-ground and satellite technology. Revenue is derived from subscription fees paid by airlines for passenger access to internet services, which can be offered for free, through a one-time payment, or via a subscription model. Additionally, Gogo monetizes its platform through partnerships with content providers, enabling airlines to offer streaming services and other entertainment options to passengers. Strategic partnerships with major airlines further bolster its revenue, as Gogo becomes integral to the airlines' service offerings, helping to attract and retain customers. The overall demand for inflight connectivity continues to grow, significantly contributing to Gogo's earnings potential.

Gogo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook, with significant achievements in 5G development, equipment sales, and synergy progress. However, challenges such as the decline in ATG aircraft online and delays in military government awards were noted. Overall, the positive developments and increased financial guidance contributed to a positive sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful 5G Development Milestone
Completed the initial end-to-end call using the Gogo 5G chip, with a launch expected in Q4 2025.
Increase in Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow exceeded internal forecasts and consensus expectations, driven by high gross profit due to record equipment revenue.
Record Equipment Sales
Set a record for ATG shipments in Q2 with 405 units, including 276 AVANCE and 129 C1 units.
Positive Developments in HDX and FDX
Shipped 77 HDX units year-to-date and completed 8 HDX STCs, covering 10 aircraft types. Shipped first 3 FDX units.
Strong Performance in GEO Broadband
GEO products and aircraft online grew by 15% year-over-year, with 1,321 aircraft connected to Gogo.
Significant Synergy Progress
Achieved run rate synergies in the $30 million to $35 million range, up from the prior $25 million to $30 million estimate.
Increased 2025 Financial Guidance
Raised key elements of 2025 financial guidance, including revenue and adjusted EBITDA at the high end of previously guided ranges.
Negative Updates
Decline in ATG Aircraft Online
Total ATG aircraft online declined by approximately 4% year-over-year and 2.5% sequentially.
Expected Decrease in Second Half EBITDA
Anticipated that second half EBITDA will decline slightly versus the first half due to planned investments.
Challenges in MilGov Awards
Delays in military government awards were noted, affecting the pace of broadband growth in this sector.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 earnings call, Gogo provided an optimistic outlook on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a $62 million adjusted EBITDA, exceeding internal forecasts, and achieved record equipment revenue. Gogo highlighted significant growth opportunities in its GEO solutions and noted a 15% year-over-year increase in aircraft connected to its network, reaching 1,321 units. The company also achieved a milestone with the first 5G aircards, planning a Q4 2025 5G launch. The FCC rip and replace program, offering a $35,000 incentive for C1 installations completed by the end of 2025, supports upgrades to LTE. Gogo's HDX terminals generated $1.7 million in equipment revenue, with eight HDX STCs approved. The company anticipates $30 million to $35 million in synergy cost savings from its merger, having completed most key actions. Looking ahead, Gogo expects 2025 to be an investment year, with the launch of new products driving substantial service revenue growth in 2026 and beyond.

Gogo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gogo shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces challenges in net profitability and financial leverage. The income statement highlights robust revenue generation, but the balance sheet reflects high leverage with substantial debt levels, posing financial risks. Cash flow remains strong, supporting operational activities despite net income challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Gogo's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin at 65.7% TTM, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is negative at -0.8% TTM, indicating challenges in translating revenue into net income. Revenue has grown significantly by 28.3% from the previous year, showcasing robust growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate at 9.1% and 12.5% TTM, respectively, suggesting operational profitability but room for improvement in controlling expenses.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a high debt-to-equity ratio of 10.85 TTM, highlighting significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -5.67% TTM, mainly due to a small equity base. The equity ratio is low at 6.7% TTM, which suggests limited financial stability; however, a slight year-on-year improvement is noted. High liabilities compared to assets pose a challenge, though the company has improved its stockholders' equity from negative positions in prior years.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow from the previous year, though it remains positive at $22.38 million TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to the net loss, while the free cash flow to net income ratio cannot be calculated for the same reason. Despite the negative net income, the company generates positive operating cash flow of $44.24 million TTM, indicating solid cash-generating capacity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue694.67M444.71M397.58M404.07M335.72M269.72M
Gross Profit446.94M345.67M264.63M268.17M233.52M185.35M
EBITDA107.10M75.54M140.87M157.17M52.31M91.25M
Net Income7.27M13.75M145.68M92.06M152.74M-250.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.26B1.23B781.54M759.53M647.69M673.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments102.08M41.77M139.04M175.35M145.91M435.35M
Total Debt897.22M914.93M678.09M785.76M889.15M1.22B
Total Liabilities1.16B1.16B740.81M861.39M967.84M1.31B
Stockholders Equity102.79M69.32M40.73M-101.87M-320.15M-641.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow40.67M27.92M54.88M53.49M56.83M-141.68M
Operating Cash Flow56.00M41.42M78.97M103.41M65.49M-132.69M
Investing Cash Flow-341.74M-337.20M29.86M-70.42M-24.09M348.40M
Financing Cash Flow225.88M198.69M-120.43M-28.39M-331.04M44.42M

Gogo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.25
Price Trends
50DMA
14.31
Negative
100DMA
11.93
Negative
200DMA
9.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.95
Positive
RSI
33.41
Neutral
STOCH
7.31
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOGO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.84, below the 50-day MA of 14.31, and above the 200-day MA of 9.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GOGO.

Gogo Risk Analysis

Gogo disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gogo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gogo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.58B16.6738.36%0.35%1.91%169.96%
67
Neutral
$2.62B24.8017.96%2.24%7.56%38.78%
60
Neutral
$43.56B4.52-12.81%4.07%1.87%-43.08%
60
Neutral
$435.70M-30.99%-8.67%63.35%
59
Neutral
$699.47M-11.45%7.68%18.65%
56
Neutral
$1.50B250.679.39%72.74%-90.17%
42
Neutral
$1.12B21.93%-3.82%-363.28%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GOGO
Gogo
11.25
3.53
45.73%
IDT
IDT
63.44
25.02
65.12%
IRDM
Iridium Communications
25.02
-0.37
-1.46%
RBBN
Ribbon Communications
3.99
0.56
16.33%
WOW
Wideopenwest
5.09
-0.62
-10.86%
ATUS
Altice Usa
2.42
0.56
30.11%

Gogo Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Gogo Appoints General Minihan to Board of Directors
Neutral
Jul 8, 2025

On July 2, 2025, Gogo Inc. appointed retired four-star General Michael Minihan to its Board of Directors, expanding the board to nine members. General Minihan brings extensive military leadership experience, having served as Commander of the Air Mobility Command and Deputy Commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command. His appointment is expected to enhance Gogo’s strategic capabilities and industry positioning, although he has not been assigned to any specific board committee yet.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Gogo Completes First 5G End-to-End Call
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Gogo Inc. announced the successful completion of its first 5G end-to-end call, marking a significant milestone in its efforts to deliver next-generation air-to-ground connectivity. This achievement, which occurred on June 16, 2025, confirms the readiness of Gogo’s 5G chip for final integration phases, enhancing its market position in business aviation connectivity. The company has prepared over 300 aircraft for its 5G system, aiming to offer high-speed broadband for business aviation users across North America by the end of the year.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Gogo Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, Elects Directors
Neutral
Jun 16, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Gogo Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, with 89.42% of the company’s common stock represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected Class III directors for a three-year term, approved the 2024 executive compensation, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025