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Gogo (GOGO)
NASDAQ:GOGO

Gogo (GOGO) AI Stock Analysis

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Gogo

(NASDAQ:GOGO)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(3.50%Upside)
Gogo's overall stock score reflects a combination of strong technical momentum and positive recent earnings call sentiment, despite challenges in financial leverage and valuation concerns. The company's robust revenue growth and operational improvements bolster its potential, but high debt levels and negative net profit margins temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Shares of Gogo traded up about 44% and are up 14% after the company reported a strong revenue and EBITDA beat and reiterated 2025 guidance.
Synergy and Cost Savings
The company remains on track to reach the high end of its synergy target with over 85% of the synergy savings already realized, and there is potential for further synergies.
Negative Factors
Competition
Operational metrics were mixed as the combined company of Gogo and Satcom Direct continues to face intense competition from SpaceX.
Regulatory and Development Challenges
FAA certification delays and continued issues with the 5G development will result in 2025 being another investment year.

Gogo (GOGO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gogo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGogo Inc. is a leading provider of in-flight broadband Internet and connectivity services for commercial and business aviation. The company serves the aviation industry by offering high-speed Wi-Fi, entertainment, and voice communication solutions to airlines and their passengers. Gogo's technology enables passengers to stay connected to the internet, stream content, and access online services while in-flight.
How the Company Makes MoneyGogo makes money primarily through the sale of its in-flight connectivity services to airlines and business aviation customers. Its revenue model includes long-term contracts with airlines where it provides its connectivity solutions, typically charging a fee per aircraft or per passenger usage. Additional revenue comes from partnerships with content providers and advertisers, allowing Gogo to offer premium content and targeted advertising to passengers during their flights. The company also generates income from equipment sales, installation services, and ongoing technical support and maintenance for its systems.

Gogo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 65.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and significant progress in synergy realization, with positive market demand and 5G network readiness. However, there were some concerns over a decline in air-to-ground aircraft online and potential tariff impacts. Overall, the sentiment is more positive due to the outweighing positive developments.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Growth
Total revenue in Q1 2025 was $230.3 million, up 121% year over year and 67% sequentially. Service revenue was $198.6 million, up 43% over the prior year.
Significant Synergy Realization
85% of targeted cost savings from the Satcom Direct merger have been realized, positioning the company for higher than projected cost savings this year.
Positive Market Demand
Significant opportunities in the business aviation and milgov mobility markets, with increasing demand for broadband connectivity.
5G Network Readiness
The 5G tower network is built and ready to go live, with 301 aircraft pre-provisioned for launch, up 29% from the end of 2024.
Strong Cash Flow
Free cash flow was solid at $30 million in Q1 2025, with expectations for strong free cash flows in 2026.
Negative Updates
Decline in Air-to-Ground Aircraft Online
AOL was down approximately 3% compared to Q1 2024 and 2% compared to Q4 2024, due to maintenance suspensions on older air-to-ground classic installed aircraft.
Tariff Impact
Potential tariffs could impact future manufacturing costs, although current exposure is modest and manageable within current guidance.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2025 earnings call, Gogo Inc. provided guidance indicating strong financial performance due to robust service revenues, early realization of synergies, and deferred expenses on new product investments. The company exceeded revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow expectations, driven by a 2.5% increase in GEO aircraft online to 1,280 and shipping 31 new GEO terminals, up from 18 units in Q1 2024. Advanced platform penetration rose to 68%, and the company reported achieving 85% of its synergy savings target, positioning itself to meet the high end of its $25 to $30 million synergy cost savings guidance. Gogo anticipates strong free cash flows in 2026, with expected reduced net program spending and full-year synergy impacts. Additionally, the company addressed potential tariff impacts, estimating minimal exposure, and reiterated its 2025 revenue guidance of $870 million to $910 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $200 million to $220 million and free cash flow between $60 million to $90 million.

Gogo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gogo shows strong revenue growth at 28.3% and operational efficiency with high gross profit margins. However, challenges remain in net profitability, with a negative net profit margin and a high debt-to-equity ratio indicating financial risk.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Gogo's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin at 65.7% TTM, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is negative at -0.8% TTM, indicating challenges in translating revenue into net income. Revenue has grown significantly by 28.3% from the previous year, showcasing robust growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate at 9.1% and 12.5% TTM, respectively, suggesting operational profitability but room for improvement in controlling expenses.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a high debt-to-equity ratio of 10.85 TTM, highlighting significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -5.67% TTM, mainly due to a small equity base. The equity ratio is low at 6.7% TTM, which suggests limited financial stability; however, a slight year-on-year improvement is noted. High liabilities compared to assets pose a challenge, though the company has improved its stockholders' equity from negative positions in prior years.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow from the previous year, though it remains positive at $22.38 million TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to the net loss, while the free cash flow to net income ratio cannot be calculated for the same reason. Despite the negative net income, the company generates positive operating cash flow of $44.24 million TTM, indicating solid cash-generating capacity.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
570.69M444.71M397.58M404.07M335.72M269.72M
Gross Profit
375.16M345.67M264.63M268.17M233.52M185.35M
EBIT
51.78M51.27M124.17M142.33M120.63M76.35M
EBITDA
71.56M75.54M140.87M157.17M52.31M90.52M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-4.70M13.75M145.68M92.06M152.74M-48.56M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
70.28M41.77M139.04M175.35M145.91M435.35M
Total Assets
1.24B1.23B781.54M759.53M647.69M673.59M
Total Debt
899.76M914.93M678.09M776.66M881.71M1.21B
Net Debt
829.48M873.17M539.05M626.11M735.80M771.64M
Total Liabilities
1.16B1.16B740.81M861.39M967.84M1.31B
Stockholders Equity
82.95M69.32M40.73M-101.87M-320.15M-641.11M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
22.38M27.92M54.88M53.49M56.83M-141.68M
Operating Cash Flow
44.24M41.42M78.97M103.41M65.49M-132.69M
Investing Cash Flow
-337.03M-337.20M29.86M-70.42M-24.09M348.40M
Financing Cash Flow
210.41M198.69M-120.43M-28.39M-331.04M44.42M

Gogo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.56
Price Trends
50DMA
9.55
Positive
100DMA
8.71
Positive
200DMA
8.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.62
Negative
RSI
68.00
Neutral
STOCH
90.29
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOGO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.50, above the 50-day MA of 9.55, and above the 200-day MA of 8.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.29 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GOGO.

Gogo Risk Analysis

Gogo disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gogo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gogo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.10B26.9018.01%1.96%6.64%403.10%
IDIDT
77
Outperform
$1.70B17.7538.36%0.36%1.91%169.96%
70
Outperform
$1.60B76.11-6.47%41.51%-103.22%
61
Neutral
$14.74B5.90-4.02%6.40%2.72%-31.67%
57
Neutral
$660.28M-12.42%1.91%15.71%
WOWOW
48
Neutral
$339.34M-26.19%-8.37%78.45%
41
Neutral
$972.87M21.93%-3.68%-2563.04%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GOGO
Gogo
12.56
3.27
35.20%
IDT
IDT
67.26
31.28
86.94%
IRDM
Iridium Communications
29.36
3.62
14.06%
RBBN
Ribbon Communications
3.86
0.88
29.53%
WOW
Wideopenwest
4.00
-1.04
-20.63%
ATUS
Altice Usa
2.08
-0.07
-3.26%

Gogo Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Gogo Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, Elects Directors
Neutral
Jun 16, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Gogo Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, with 89.42% of the company’s common stock represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected Class III directors for a three-year term, approved the 2024 executive compensation, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (GOGO) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gogo stock, see the GOGO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Gogo Appoints New Director After Recent Resignation
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Michael Abad-Santos resigned as a Class III director of Gogo Inc.’s board, with no disagreements cited regarding company operations or policies. Christopher J. Moore was appointed as a Class III director and nominated for election at the upcoming annual meeting. The board plans to reduce its size to eight directors following the meeting, considering it optimal for effective functioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GOGO) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gogo stock, see the GOGO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Gogo Appoints Oakleigh Thorne as Executive Chairman
Neutral
Apr 17, 2025

Gogo Inc. has appointed Oakleigh Thorne as Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors, effective December 3, 2024. The company and Mr. Thorne have entered into a Second Amended and Restated Employment Agreement, which outlines his full-time and part-time roles, compensation, and benefits for 2025. The agreement includes provisions for bonuses, equity awards, and conditions for termination, aiming to align Mr. Thorne’s incentives with the company’s performance and strategic goals.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.