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Gogo (GOGO)
NASDAQ:GOGO

Gogo (GOGO) AI Stock Analysis

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GOGO

Gogo

(NASDAQ:GOGO)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-1.77% Downside)
Gogo's overall stock score reflects a challenging financial position with high leverage and negative earnings, compounded by bearish technical indicators. However, strategic initiatives and contract wins provide some optimism for future growth.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates positive business momentum and effective market penetration, supporting long-term expansion.
Product Rollouts and Partnerships
New product rollouts and strategic partnerships enhance competitive positioning and open new revenue streams, driving future growth.
Military/Government Sector Growth
Expanding into the military/government sector diversifies revenue sources and leverages Gogo's technological capabilities for sustained growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, impacting long-term stability.
Negative Net Income
Negative net income highlights profitability challenges, which can strain cash flow and hinder reinvestment in growth initiatives.
Pressure on Service Revenue
Declining service revenue in key segments may affect overall profitability and necessitate strategic pivots to maintain growth.

Gogo (GOGO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gogo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGogo Inc. is a leading provider of in-flight broadband connectivity and wireless entertainment solutions for commercial and business aviation. The company operates primarily in the aviation sector, offering a range of services that enable passengers to access the internet and stream content while flying. Gogo's core products include its 2Ku and ATG (Air to Ground) connectivity systems, which support high-speed internet access on various aircraft, as well as a suite of entertainment options that enhance the passenger experience during flights.
How the Company Makes MoneyGogo generates revenue primarily through its in-flight connectivity services and entertainment offerings. The company operates on a subscription-based model, where airlines pay for the installation of Gogo's connectivity systems on their aircraft, as well as recurring fees for ongoing service. Key revenue streams include monthly subscription fees from airlines for internet access, pay-per-use charges for passengers, and partnerships with airlines to provide entertainment content. Additionally, Gogo may earn revenue from hardware sales related to its connectivity systems and through collaborations with third-party service providers, enhancing its service offerings and increasing overall earnings.

Gogo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant achievements in product rollouts and contract wins, particularly in the military/government sector, and strong equipment shipment growth. However, these were offset by declines in ATG aircraft online, negative net income, and increased operating expenses.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Product Rollouts and Global Contract Wins
Significant progress across new products including 5G, HDX, and FDX, with numerous global contract wins such as with VistaJet, NetJets, and Bombardier.
Increase in Equipment Shipments
Record 437 ATG equipment units shipped in Q3, an 8% sequential increase, with AVANCE and C1 units showing robust growth.
Military/Government Contract Success
Secured a 5-year federal contract to deliver 5G, LEO, and GEO services to a U.S. government agency, and a contract with SES Space & Defense with a $33 million ceiling value.
Strong AVANCE Performance
AVANCE AOL grew 12% year-over-year, now representing 75% of the ATG fleet.
High Equipment Revenue Growth
Total equipment revenue in Q3 was $33.6 million, up 80% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
ATG Aircraft Online Decline
Total ATG aircraft online declined by approximately 7% year-over-year and 3% sequentially.
Pressure on ATG Service Revenue
Continued pressure expected on ATG service revenue due to ongoing transition and upgrade challenges.
Negative Net Income
Net income for the quarter was negative $1.9 million, with an EPS of negative $0.01.
Increased Operating Expenses
Q3 operating expenses were up slightly due to litigation spend and strategic investments.
Service Revenue Decline
Total service revenue declined 2% sequentially.
Company Guidance
During Gogo's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, guidance was provided, focusing on the company's strategic initiatives and financial outlook. Gogo reiterated the high end of its 2025 financial guidance ranges, projecting total revenue between $870 million and $910 million, adjusted EBITDA between $200 million and $220 million, and free cash flow between $60 million and $90 million. The company emphasized the expansion of its new product lines, including 5G, HDX, and FDX, which are expected to drive growth. Additionally, Gogo highlighted its contract wins with major global fleets and OEMs, including a significant endorsement from VistaJet, and a contract with SES Space & Defense valued at up to $33 million. The company also reported a robust pipeline of potential aircraft upgrades and installations, with HDX installations expected to ramp up significantly. Despite challenges in the ATG segment, Gogo plans to offset these with new product launches and expects positive revenue growth in Q4. The company also noted its progress in the military/government sector, aiming to increase this segment's contribution from 13% to 20% of total revenue in the long term.

Gogo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gogo shows strong revenue growth and cash flow generation, which are positive indicators for future performance. However, challenges with profitability and high leverage pose risks. The balance sheet's high debt levels and low equity position highlight potential financial vulnerabilities.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Gogo's income statement shows a strong revenue growth rate of 21.72% in the TTM, indicating robust top-line expansion. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 1.05%, suggesting limited profitability. The gross profit margin is healthy at 64.34%, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, reflecting potential operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 8.73, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is modest at 9.44%, showing some profitability but not enough to offset the high leverage. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited equity financing and potential vulnerability to financial instability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement highlights a strong free cash flow growth rate of 81.72% in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.25, showing a reasonable conversion of net income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.73, reflecting efficient cash management despite the company's leverage.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue817.73M444.71M397.58M404.07M335.72M269.72M
Gross Profit449.60M278.11M264.63M268.17M233.52M185.35M
EBITDA118.34M75.54M140.87M157.17M52.31M85.36M
Net Income-5.29M13.75M145.68M92.06M152.74M-250.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.30B1.23B781.54M759.53M647.69M673.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments133.64M41.77M139.04M175.35M145.91M435.35M
Total Debt908.63M914.93M678.09M785.76M889.15M1.22B
Total Liabilities1.19B1.16B740.81M861.39M967.84M1.31B
Stockholders Equity106.96M69.32M40.73M-101.87M-320.15M-641.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.53M27.92M54.88M53.49M56.83M-141.68M
Operating Cash Flow77.67M41.42M78.97M103.41M65.49M-132.69M
Investing Cash Flow-357.45M-337.20M29.86M-70.42M-24.09M348.40M
Financing Cash Flow236.49M198.69M-120.43M-28.39M-331.04M44.42M

Gogo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.09
Price Trends
50DMA
7.92
Negative
100DMA
9.74
Negative
200DMA
10.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.65
Positive
RSI
22.27
Positive
STOCH
14.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOGO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.66, below the 50-day MA of 7.92, and below the 200-day MA of 10.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.27 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GOGO.

Gogo Risk Analysis

Gogo disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gogo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gogo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.96B16.3922.59%3.33%7.30%21.31%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
$824.77M-8.89%5.81%
53
Neutral
$756.28M-6.63%102.05%-110.74%
52
Neutral
$745.82M-27.38%8.92%-4.94%-335.70%
50
Neutral
$591.25M-4.41%0.94%11.59%-106.83%
41
Neutral
$1.20B-136.94%13.11%-6.48%-588.01%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GOGO
Gogo
5.09
-2.87
-36.06%
CCOI
Cogent Comms
23.27
-48.09
-67.39%
IRDM
Iridium Communications
18.73
-10.92
-36.83%
SHEN
Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.72
-1.78
-13.19%
SIFY
Sify Technologies
11.29
8.13
257.28%
CABO
Cable ONE
132.35
-230.00
-63.47%

Gogo Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Gogo Advances with Galileo Antennas Roll-Out
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

Gogo Inc. is progressing with the roll-out of its Galileo HDX and FDX antennas and plans to launch its 5G network by January 2026. The company maintains a strong relationship with long-standing partner NetJets, which supports Gogo’s products and services. Gogo is also exploring new opportunities with fleet operators like VistaJet, Avcon Jet, and Lux Aviation, representing a potential market of over 1,000 aircraft.

Executive/Board Changes
Gogo Announces Departure of COO Michael Begler
Neutral
Oct 24, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Gogo Inc. announced the immediate departure of its Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, Michael Begler. His exit was not due to any disagreements or issues related to the company’s operations or policies, and he will receive severance benefits as per his employment agreement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 13, 2025