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Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM)
NASDAQ:IRDM
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Iridium Communications (IRDM) AI Stock Analysis

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IRDM

Iridium Communications

(NASDAQ:IRDM)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(10.48% Upside)
Iridium Communications' overall stock score is driven by solid financial performance and attractive valuation. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and mixed earnings call sentiment highlights potential challenges. The high leverage and competition in the satellite market are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Operational EBITDA Growth
The growth in operational EBITDA indicates strong recurring service revenue and efficient cost management, supporting long-term profitability.
Strong Cash Flow Projections
Robust cash flow projections ensure financial flexibility for future investments and strategic initiatives, enhancing long-term growth potential.
New Partnerships and Growth
Expanding partnerships enhance Iridium's ecosystem, driving innovation and market reach, which supports sustainable revenue growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage can increase financial risk, potentially affecting cash flow and limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Broadband Revenue Decline
Declining broadband revenue due to non-renewal of contracts may impact overall revenue growth and market competitiveness in the long term.
Increased Competition
Rising competition could disrupt market share and pressure margins, challenging Iridium's market position and growth prospects.

Iridium Communications (IRDM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Iridium Communications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) is a global satellite communications company that provides voice and data services through its satellite network, which consists of a constellation of 66 satellites in low Earth orbit. The company serves various sectors including maritime, aviation, government, and emergency services, offering products such as satellite phones, broadband data services, and IoT solutions. Iridium's unique positioning allows it to offer reliable communications in remote areas where traditional networks are unavailable, making it a vital provider in critical communications and connectivity solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyIridium Communications generates revenue primarily through service subscriptions, equipment sales, and value-added services. Its key revenue streams include monthly service fees from customers using satellite phones and data services, as well as one-time sales from satellite communication equipment. The company also earns revenue from partnerships with various organizations, including government contracts and collaborations with telecom companies that integrate Iridium's services into their offerings. Additionally, Iridium benefits from the growth of the IoT market, leveraging its satellite network to provide connectivity solutions for IoT devices, which further diversifies its earnings.

Iridium Communications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with several positive aspects, such as growth in operational EBITDA and new partnerships, being offset by challenges like a decline in broadband revenue and increased competition in the satellite market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Operational EBITDA Growth
Operational EBITDA increased by 10% in the third quarter to $136.6 million, driven by revenue from recurring services and engineering support.
Service Revenue Increase
Commercial service revenue rose by 4% to $138.3 million, with growth in commercial IoT, PNT, and voice and data.
Strong Cash Flow Projections
Iridium expects to generate $1.5 billion to $1.8 billion in cash flows from 2026 through 2030.
New Partnerships and Growth
Iridium signed over 70 new technology and distribution partners to its ecosystem since the beginning of the year.
Positive Developments in PNT
Hosting and other data services revenue increased by 14% to $18.7 million, highlighting an increase in PNT services.
Negative Updates
Broadband Revenue Decline
Commercial Broadband revenue decreased by 17% compared to the previous year, due to a non-maritime contract not being renewed.
Challenges from Increased Competition
Iridium faces potential increased competition from the acquisition of EchoStar Spectrum by Starling, which may disrupt the status quo and introduce global D2D capabilities.
Share Repurchase Program Paused
Iridium decided to pause its share repurchase program to focus on strategic growth initiatives and deleveraging the balance sheet.
Delayed PNT Revenue
Projected PNT revenue has been delayed, impacting the growth of hosted payload and other data services in the fourth quarter.
Company Guidance
During Iridium's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance on several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Operational EBITDA increased by 10% to $136.6 million, driven by recurring service revenue and engineering support. The company expects full-year 2025 service revenue growth of approximately 3% and has narrowed its OEBITDA guidance to between $495 million and $500 million. Iridium projects generating total cash flows between $1.5 billion and $1.8 billion from 2026 through 2030. In response to evolving competitive dynamics, Iridium announced a pause in its share repurchase program to emphasize strategic growth initiatives and plans to continue its quarterly dividend program. The company also highlighted its focus on developing Iridium NTN Direct, a standards-based D2D service, and exploring acquisitions to enhance its position in regulated applications and the growing autonomous systems market.

Iridium Communications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Iridium Communications demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and cash generation capabilities. However, the high leverage poses a potential risk, and the decline in free cash flow growth could impact future investments.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Iridium Communications shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in gross profit margin and net profit margin over the years, reaching 75.52% and 14.44% respectively in TTM. Revenue growth is positive, albeit modest at 1.65% in TTM. The company has improved its EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating efficient cost management and operational performance.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.02 in TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risk. However, the return on equity has improved to 24.93%, showcasing better utilization of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.84, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth has declined by 6.37% in TTM, which could impact future investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.77, reflecting good cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue871.71M830.68M790.72M721.03M614.50M583.44M
Gross Profit412.59M396.99M283.10M216.40M158.67M137.57M
EBITDA449.69M415.67M380.07M386.08M350.45M312.81M
Net Income125.85M112.78M15.41M8.72M-9.32M-56.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.55B2.67B2.66B2.95B3.18B3.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments88.53M93.53M71.87M168.77M320.91M244.73M
Total Debt1.81B1.81B1.50B1.51B1.62B1.64B
Total Liabilities2.10B2.09B1.77B1.83B1.89B1.94B
Stockholders Equity450.50M576.64M888.10M1.13B1.29B1.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow305.21M306.06M241.43M273.46M260.73M211.08M
Operating Cash Flow396.27M375.95M314.91M344.73M302.87M249.77M
Investing Cash Flow-91.06M-180.60M-83.49M-121.27M-36.38M-46.47M
Financing Cash Flow-376.75M-170.48M-327.05M-374.98M-182.47M-188.19M

Iridium Communications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.84
Price Trends
50DMA
17.94
Negative
100DMA
22.04
Negative
200DMA
24.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.71
Positive
RSI
34.11
Neutral
STOCH
11.73
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IRDM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.13, below the 50-day MA of 17.94, and below the 200-day MA of 24.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IRDM.

Iridium Communications Risk Analysis

Iridium Communications disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Iridium Communications reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Iridium Communications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$1.23B16.1827.60%0.48%2.13%18.44%
64
Neutral
$1.70B14.1322.59%3.60%7.30%21.31%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
$2.11B4.54-0.97%
56
Neutral
$7.54B-12.45%8.54%-59.63%
52
Neutral
$931.63M-6.63%102.05%-110.74%
39
Underperform
$834.08M-136.94%18.29%-6.48%-588.01%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IRDM
Iridium Communications
15.84
-12.89
-44.87%
CCOI
Cogent Comms
16.68
-61.31
-78.61%
GSAT
Globalstar
56.66
29.81
111.01%
IDT
IDT
47.96
-3.02
-5.92%
GOGO
Gogo
6.74
-1.38
-17.00%
IHS
IHS Holding
6.30
3.34
112.84%

Iridium Communications Corporate Events

Iridium Communications Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 24, 2025

Iridium Communications Inc., a prominent player in the satellite communications sector, offers global voice, data, and positioning services through its unique satellite network. The company is known for its mission-critical communications and safety services, catering to various industries including government and regulated sectors.

Iridium Communications’ Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Strategic Moves
Oct 24, 2025

The recent earnings call of Iridium Communications presented a mixed sentiment, balancing positive growth indicators with notable challenges. While the company reported significant growth in operational EBITDA and established new partnerships, it also faced hurdles such as a decline in broadband revenue and heightened competition in the satellite market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025