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Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM)
NASDAQ:IRDM

Iridium Communications (IRDM) AI Stock Analysis

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IRDM

Iridium Communications

(NASDAQ:IRDM)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$22.00
▲(0.96% Upside)
Iridium Communications' solid financial performance and reasonable valuation are the most significant factors contributing to its overall score. The company's strong profitability and cash generation capabilities are offset by high leverage. Technical indicators suggest a mixed trend, while the earnings call highlights both growth opportunities and competitive challenges. The recent corporate event of appointing a new director and maintaining dividends adds a positive note.
Positive Factors
Long-term cash flow visibility
Management's multi-year cash flow projection signals durable free-cash generation capacity tied to its satellite network and recurring services. Predictable cash inflows support reinvestment in network, dividends, and deleveraging, improving financial flexibility over the medium term.
Strong operating and net margins
Very high gross margins reflect capital-light service economics of satellite connectivity and efficient cost structure. Sustained margin levels translate into resilient profitability, funding R&D and capital needs while cushioning against cyclical revenue swings over 2–6 months.
Recurring revenue and partner ecosystem
Expanding distribution and technology partnerships deepen channel reach and stickiness of subscription services. A broad ecosystem supports steady ARPU and cross-selling of IoT and PNT solutions, making revenue streams more predictable and defensible over time.
Negative Factors
High financial leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio above 4 indicates substantial leverage that constrains strategic flexibility. Elevated debt raises refinancing and interest-rate exposure, limiting capacity for M&A or capex without deleveraging — a material risk to cash flow allocation over the medium term.
Intensifying competitive threats
New entrants and spectrum shifts can erode Iridium's differentiated reach and pricing power in device-to-device and global services. Structural competition risks longer sales cycles, margin pressure, and the need for incremental investment to maintain network differentiation.
Revenue headwinds and project delays
A 17% broadband revenue drop and delayed PNT receipts show exposure to contract timing and product mix volatility. Persistent declines or delays could slow revenue growth and cash generation, pressuring margins and pushing management to reallocate capital or slow strategic initiatives.

Iridium Communications (IRDM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Iridium Communications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIridium Communications Inc. provides mobile voice and data communications services and products to businesses, the United States and international governments, non-governmental organizations, and consumers worldwide. The company offers postpaid mobile voice and data satellite communications; prepaid mobile voice satellite communications; push-to-talk; broadband data; and Internet of Things (IoT) services. It also provides hosted payload and other data services, such as satellite time and location services, and inbound connections from the public switched telephone network, short message, subscriber identity module, activation, customer reactivation, and other peripheral services. In addition, the company offers voice and data solutions comprising personnel tracking devices; asset tracking devices for equipment, vehicles, and aircrafts; beyond-line-of-sight aircraft communications applications; maritime communications applications; specialized communications solutions for high-value individuals; mobile communications and data devices for the military and intelligence agencies, such as secure satellite handsets, as well as netted voice, messaging, and paging services; and maintenance services for the United States government's dedicated gateway. Further, it provides satellite handsets, personal connectivity devices, voice and data modems, broadband data devices, and IoT data devices; various accessories for its devices that include batteries, holsters, earbud headphones, portable auxiliary antennas, antenna adaptors, USB data cables, charging units, and others; and engineering and support services. Iridium Communications Inc. sells its products and services to commercial end users through a wholesale distribution network that include service providers, and value-added resellers and manufacturers. The company was formerly known as Iridium Holdings LLC and changed its name to Iridium Communications Inc. in September 2009. Iridium Communications Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyIridium Communications generates revenue primarily through service subscriptions, equipment sales, and value-added services. Its key revenue streams include monthly service fees from customers using satellite phones and data services, as well as one-time sales from satellite communication equipment. The company also earns revenue from partnerships with various organizations, including government contracts and collaborations with telecom companies that integrate Iridium's services into their offerings. Additionally, Iridium benefits from the growth of the IoT market, leveraging its satellite network to provide connectivity solutions for IoT devices, which further diversifies its earnings.

Iridium Communications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with several positive aspects, such as growth in operational EBITDA and new partnerships, being offset by challenges like a decline in broadband revenue and increased competition in the satellite market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Operational EBITDA Growth
Operational EBITDA increased by 10% in the third quarter to $136.6 million, driven by revenue from recurring services and engineering support.
Service Revenue Increase
Commercial service revenue rose by 4% to $138.3 million, with growth in commercial IoT, PNT, and voice and data.
Strong Cash Flow Projections
Iridium expects to generate $1.5 billion to $1.8 billion in cash flows from 2026 through 2030.
New Partnerships and Growth
Iridium signed over 70 new technology and distribution partners to its ecosystem since the beginning of the year.
Positive Developments in PNT
Hosting and other data services revenue increased by 14% to $18.7 million, highlighting an increase in PNT services.
Negative Updates
Broadband Revenue Decline
Commercial Broadband revenue decreased by 17% compared to the previous year, due to a non-maritime contract not being renewed.
Challenges from Increased Competition
Iridium faces potential increased competition from the acquisition of EchoStar Spectrum by Starling, which may disrupt the status quo and introduce global D2D capabilities.
Share Repurchase Program Paused
Iridium decided to pause its share repurchase program to focus on strategic growth initiatives and deleveraging the balance sheet.
Delayed PNT Revenue
Projected PNT revenue has been delayed, impacting the growth of hosted payload and other data services in the fourth quarter.
Company Guidance
During Iridium's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance on several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Operational EBITDA increased by 10% to $136.6 million, driven by recurring service revenue and engineering support. The company expects full-year 2025 service revenue growth of approximately 3% and has narrowed its OEBITDA guidance to between $495 million and $500 million. Iridium projects generating total cash flows between $1.5 billion and $1.8 billion from 2026 through 2030. In response to evolving competitive dynamics, Iridium announced a pause in its share repurchase program to emphasize strategic growth initiatives and plans to continue its quarterly dividend program. The company also highlighted its focus on developing Iridium NTN Direct, a standards-based D2D service, and exploring acquisitions to enhance its position in regulated applications and the growing autonomous systems market.

Iridium Communications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Iridium Communications demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and cash generation capabilities. While revenue and profit margins are improving, the high leverage poses a potential risk. The company should focus on managing its debt levels to ensure long-term financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Iridium Communications shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in gross profit margin and net profit margin over the years, reaching 75.52% and 14.44% respectively in TTM. Revenue growth is positive, albeit modest at 1.65% in TTM. The company has improved its EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating efficient cost management and operational performance.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.02 in TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risk. However, the return on equity has improved to 24.93%, showcasing better utilization of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.84, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth has declined by 6.37% in TTM, which could impact future investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.77, reflecting good cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue871.71M830.68M790.72M721.03M614.50M583.44M
Gross Profit412.59M396.99M283.10M216.40M158.67M137.57M
EBITDA449.69M415.67M380.07M386.08M350.45M312.81M
Net Income125.85M112.78M15.41M8.72M-9.32M-56.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.55B2.67B2.66B2.95B3.18B3.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments88.53M93.53M71.87M168.77M320.91M244.73M
Total Debt1.81B1.81B1.50B1.51B1.62B1.64B
Total Liabilities2.10B2.09B1.77B1.83B1.89B1.94B
Stockholders Equity450.50M576.64M888.10M1.13B1.29B1.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow305.21M306.06M241.43M273.46M260.73M211.08M
Operating Cash Flow396.27M375.95M314.91M344.73M302.87M249.77M
Investing Cash Flow-91.06M-180.60M-83.49M-121.27M-36.38M-46.47M
Financing Cash Flow-376.75M-170.48M-327.05M-374.98M-182.47M-188.19M

Iridium Communications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.79
Price Trends
50DMA
18.33
Positive
100DMA
18.07
Positive
200DMA
22.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.51
Positive
RSI
50.24
Neutral
STOCH
17.95
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IRDM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.91, above the 50-day MA of 18.33, and below the 200-day MA of 22.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.95 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IRDM.

Iridium Communications Risk Analysis

Iridium Communications disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Iridium Communications reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Iridium Communications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$2.04B17.1722.59%3.30%7.30%21.31%
70
Outperform
$1.22B14.7127.94%0.47%2.52%10.02%
63
Neutral
$2.74B5.90-0.97%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
58
Neutral
$7.41B-127.07-12.45%8.54%-59.63%
56
Neutral
$554.16M-81.02-6.63%102.05%-110.74%
44
Neutral
$1.18B-5.89-136.94%13.93%-6.48%-588.01%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IRDM
Iridium Communications
19.51
-8.31
-29.88%
CCOI
Cogent Comms
24.11
-50.44
-67.66%
GSAT
Globalstar
58.40
34.40
143.33%
IDT
IDT
48.78
0.89
1.86%
GOGO
Gogo
4.14
-4.18
-50.24%
IHS
IHS Holding
8.23
4.52
121.83%

Iridium Communications Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesDividends
Iridium Communications Appoints New Independent Director
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Iridium Communications Inc. announced the appointment of Louis M. Alterman as an independent director, expanding its Board of Directors to twelve members. Alterman’s extensive experience in leadership roles across the communications and technology sectors is expected to significantly contribute to Iridium’s strategic vision and shareholder value. Additionally, the Board declared a cash dividend of $0.15 per share, payable on December 31, 2025, to stockholders of record as of December 15, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (IRDM) stock is a Hold with a $17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Iridium Communications stock, see the IRDM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025