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Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM)
NASDAQ:IRDM
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Iridium Communications (IRDM) AI Stock Analysis

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IRDM

Iridium Communications

(NASDAQ:IRDM)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(3.92% Upside)
Iridium Communications' strong financial performance and moderate valuation are offset by bearish technical indicators and mixed earnings call sentiment. The company's high debt levels and downward adjustments in revenue growth guidance present risks, while its dividend yield and strategic partnerships offer some upside potential.
Positive Factors
Engineering Revenue
Iridium’s engineering services revenue was significantly above expectations, driven by rapid growth for its Space Development Agency ground station services contract.
Free Cash Flow and Valuation
The valuation is considered undemanding with a current free cash flow yield of approximately 10.3% for 2026.
Government and Defense Sector
Iridium Communications is seen as an underappreciated defense play due to its significant government exposure and potential opportunities in areas like drones and Golden Dome.
Negative Factors
Broadband Subscriber Shift
Maritime customers have been shifting from using Iridium’s satellite network as their primary broadband connection to using SpaceX instead.
Competition
The main downside risk to shares is intensifying competition from SpaceX and Apple.
Service Revenue and Market Reaction
Shares of Iridium are trading down 20% after the company reported second-quarter financials below consensus and lowered its full-year services revenue outlook.

Iridium Communications (IRDM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Iridium Communications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIridium Communications Inc. provides mobile voice and data communications services and products to businesses, the United States and international governments, non-governmental organizations, and consumers worldwide. The company offers postpaid mobile voice and data satellite communications; prepaid mobile voice satellite communications; push-to-talk; broadband data; and Internet of Things (IoT) services. It also provides hosted payload and other data services, such as satellite time and location services, and inbound connections from the public switched telephone network, short message, subscriber identity module, activation, customer reactivation, and other peripheral services. In addition, the company offers voice and data solutions comprising personnel tracking devices; asset tracking devices for equipment, vehicles, and aircrafts; beyond-line-of-sight aircraft communications applications; maritime communications applications; specialized communications solutions for high-value individuals; mobile communications and data devices for the military and intelligence agencies, such as secure satellite handsets, as well as netted voice, messaging, and paging services; and maintenance services for the United States government's dedicated gateway. Further, it provides satellite handsets, personal connectivity devices, voice and data modems, broadband data devices, and IoT data devices; various accessories for its devices that include batteries, holsters, earbud headphones, portable auxiliary antennas, antenna adaptors, USB data cables, charging units, and others; and engineering and support services. Iridium Communications Inc. sells its products and services to commercial end users through a wholesale distribution network that include service providers, and value-added resellers and manufacturers. The company was formerly known as Iridium Holdings LLC and changed its name to Iridium Communications Inc. in September 2009. Iridium Communications Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyIridium generates revenue primarily through the provision of satellite services, which include subscription-based voice and data plans for individual and enterprise customers. The company's key revenue streams consist of service revenues from its satellite communications services, equipment sales, and value-added services such as tracking and monitoring solutions. Additionally, Iridium has partnerships with various organizations and companies, including government contracts and collaborations with technology firms, which significantly contribute to its earnings. The company's revenue model is augmented by the sale of satellite terminals and devices that enable connectivity to its network, as well as fees from bulk services provided to businesses and organizations in sectors that rely on remote communications.

Iridium Communications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook, with strong operational EBITDA growth, new partnerships, and positive developments in IoT and government collaborations. However, these were offset by downward adjustments in service revenue growth, declines in commercial broadband revenue, and delays in PNT revenue. The company remains optimistic about future growth, driven by new products and partnerships, despite current challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Operational EBITDA Growth
Operational EBITDA increased by 6% in Q2 2025, reaching $121.3 million, driven by engineering, support, and recurring services.
Commercial IoT Revenue Increase
Commercial IoT revenue grew by 8% from the previous year to $44.8 million, reflecting broad-based adoption of IoT services.
Engineering and Support Revenue Surge
Engineering and support revenue rose significantly to $41.9 million in Q2 2025 from $25.8 million in the prior year, driven by new contracts.
New Partnerships and Product Expansions
Iridium added nearly 50 new business relationships in 2025 and certified 35 new devices, enhancing its partner ecosystem and product offerings.
U.S. Government Collaboration
Iridium's relationship with the U.S. government remains strong, with new contracts and growing engineering and support revenue.
Dividend Increase
Iridium announced a 5% increase in the quarterly dividend rate, reflecting confidence in business opportunities and free cash flow generation.
Negative Updates
Service Revenue Growth Adjustment
Service revenue growth guidance for 2025 was revised down from 5%-7% to 3%-5% due to several factors including maritime broadband transition.
Decline in Commercial Broadband Revenue
Commercial broadband revenue fell by 6% from the previous year to $12.7 million due to a shift from primary service to companion backup VSAT plans.
Subscriber Equipment Sales Drop
Subscriber equipment sales decreased by 15% in Q2 2025 compared to the previous year.
Commercial Voice and Data Slowdown
Revenue growth in commercial voice and data was slower than expected in the first half of 2025, partly due to reduced USAID funding.
PNT Revenue Timing Delays
Certain PNT revenue expected in 2025 is now anticipated to extend into 2026, impacting service revenue forecasts.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Iridium Communications provided guidance indicating a 5% operational EBITDA growth at the midpoint of their guidance for the year. However, they adjusted their service revenue growth outlook to 3% to 5%, down from the previous 5% to 7%, due to factors such as the maritime broadband transition, reductions in voice subscribers, and delays in PNT revenue expected to come in 2026. Despite these changes, they remain on track for their $1 billion service revenue target by 2030, driven by investments in D2D, PNT, and IoT products. Iridium reported $121.3 million in operational EBITDA, a 6% increase from the previous year, with service revenue at $128.8 million, up by 2%, led by IoT growth. Capital expenditures are projected to reach $90 million for 2025, and net leverage is expected to be below 2x by 2030 as they continue their buyback program and dividend payments.

Iridium Communications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Iridium Communications demonstrates strong financial performance with robust profitability and effective cash management. The high debt-to-equity ratio presents some financial risk, but is mitigated by strong return on equity and cash flow generation. Continued cost and debt management are essential for sustained financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Iridium Communications has demonstrated strong profitability with a robust gross profit margin of 74.4% TTM. The net profit margin increased to 13.2% TTM, indicating improved operational efficiency. Revenue growth is sound at 3.2% TTM, although it has slowed compared to historical growth rates. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting effective cost management. However, the decrease in gross profit compared to the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
73
Positive
The company's balance sheet reveals a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.82 TTM, suggesting a leveraged position which could pose risks in volatile markets. However, the return on equity is strong at 23.9% TTM, showing efficient use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 18.4% TTM, indicating a moderate reliance on equity financing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Iridium Communications exhibits a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.66 TTM, highlighting efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow growth rate is solid at 6.5% TTM, providing flexibility for investments and debt repayment. The company's free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.88 TTM underscores effective cash management, although the capital expenditure increase may impact future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue857.55M830.68M790.72M721.03M614.50M583.44M
Gross Profit638.33M652.54M565.60M519.88M464.10M440.75M
EBITDA427.73M404.05M380.07M380.16M351.75M312.81M
Net Income113.17M112.78M15.41M8.72M-9.32M-56.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.57B2.67B2.66B2.95B3.18B3.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.31M93.53M71.87M168.77M320.91M244.73M
Total Debt1.81B1.79B1.50B1.51B1.62B1.64B
Total Liabilities2.09B2.09B1.77B1.83B1.89B1.94B
Stockholders Equity473.62M576.64M888.10M1.13B1.29B1.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow325.97M306.06M241.43M273.46M260.73M211.08M
Operating Cash Flow414.11M375.95M314.91M344.73M302.87M249.77M
Investing Cash Flow-88.14M-180.60M-83.49M-121.27M-36.38M-46.47M
Financing Cash Flow-310.24M-170.48M-327.05M-374.98M-182.47M-188.19M

Iridium Communications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price25.02
Price Trends
50DMA
27.72
Negative
100DMA
26.50
Negative
200DMA
27.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.75
Negative
RSI
45.23
Neutral
STOCH
68.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IRDM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 25.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.49, below the 50-day MA of 27.72, and below the 200-day MA of 27.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IRDM.

Iridium Communications Risk Analysis

Iridium Communications disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Iridium Communications reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Iridium Communications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$10.19B16.2213.78%5.61%-7.99%2.16%
70
Outperform
$3.90B3.9789.94%8.66%
67
Neutral
$2.62B24.8017.96%2.24%7.56%38.78%
60
Neutral
$43.56B4.52-12.81%4.07%1.87%-43.08%
55
Neutral
$4.23B-0.81%0.40%-5.62%80.09%
51
Neutral
$4.81B-78.94%-6.50%43.47%
49
Neutral
$3.54B-10.33%14.85%6.91%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IRDM
Iridium Communications
25.02
-0.37
-1.46%
LUMN
Lumen Technologies
5.27
0.10
1.93%
GSAT
Globalstar
28.20
8.55
43.51%
TIMB
TIM
21.27
6.64
45.39%
TDS
Telephone & Data Systems
40.08
16.69
71.36%
VEON
VEON
56.38
29.71
111.40%

Iridium Communications Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Iridium Communications Increases Quarterly Dividend to $0.15
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Iridium Communications announced a quarterly cash dividend increase to $0.15 per share, payable on September 30, 2025, continuing its trend of annual dividend increases since 2023. The company reported a net income of $22 million for Q2 2025, a decrease from the previous year due to a non-recurring gain in 2024, with a total revenue increase of 8% year-over-year. Iridium’s service revenue grew by 2%, driven by a 3% increase in billable subscribers, particularly in commercial IoT. The company also updated its full-year 2025 outlook, adjusting service revenue growth expectations to between 3% and 5% and maintaining its OEBITDA guidance.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Iridium Communications Expands Board with New Appointment
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Iridium Communications Inc. announced the appointment of Monique S. Shivanandan to its Board of Directors, expanding the board to eleven members. Shivanandan, an independent director, brings extensive experience from senior roles in cybersecurity and telecommunications, and will serve on the Compensation Committee. Her appointment is expected to enhance Iridium’s strategic capabilities, leveraging her expertise in data analytics and information security to strengthen the company’s industry positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025