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Globalstar (GSAT)
NASDAQ:GSAT

Globalstar (GSAT) AI Stock Analysis

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Globalstar

(NASDAQ:GSAT)

Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▼(-10.29%Downside)
Globalstar's stock score is moderately low due to ongoing financial struggles, including high leverage and negative earnings, despite positive developments in revenue growth and strategic initiatives. Technical analysis also indicates a bearish trend, while valuation metrics highlight profitability issues.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company delivered solid results and a reiteration of its outlook.
Partnerships
The recent announcements of partnerships with Parsons, Peiker Holding and Liquid Intelligent Technologies all attack very different markets.
Revenue Growth
Revenue of $61.2M in the quarter was up 17% year over year driven by increased Wholesale revenue, which notably was up 34% on a year-over-year basis.
Negative Factors
Market Concerns
Some investors have expressed concerns over recent reports that Apple has been working with SpaceX to enable Starlink service on iPhones.
Stock Performance
The stock fell 31% in a quick reaction to the news, recovering some of the move but remains down 21% from prior to the announcement.

Globalstar (GSAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Globalstar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobalstar, Inc. (GSAT) is a leading provider of mobile satellite voice and data services. The company operates in the telecommunications sector, offering solutions primarily to commercial and government customers. Globalstar's core products and services include satellite voice services, duplex and simplex data transmission, and equipment sales. These services enable users to communicate beyond the reach of cellular networks, making them ideal for remote and underserved areas.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobalstar generates revenue through a variety of streams, primarily from providing satellite-based communication services. The company's revenue model includes the sale of airtime for satellite voice and data services, which customers subscribe to on a monthly or annual basis. Equipment sales, including satellite phones and other communication devices, also contribute to revenue. Additionally, Globalstar earns money from partnerships and agreements with other telecommunications companies that use its satellite infrastructure to enhance their service offerings. A significant portion of its earnings is also derived from providing satellite solutions to government entities and emergency responders, who require reliable communication in remote or disaster-stricken areas.

Globalstar Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong revenue growth, significant advancements in satellite and IoT solutions, strategic leadership appointments, and promising partnerships. However, these positives were offset by increased costs impacting EBITDA and a prolonged sales cycle for a major customer. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about its long-term growth prospects.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased by 6% to $60 million compared to the prior year period of $56.5 million. Service revenue increased by 7%, driven primarily by wholesale capacity services.
Increase in Adjusted Free Cash Flow
Adjusted free cash flow rose significantly to $47.6 million compared to $19.9 million in the prior year's first quarter.
Successful Launch of Two-Way Satellite IoT Solution
Globalstar launched a two-way satellite IoT solution via its low earth orbiting satellite constellation, marking a significant expansion beyond traditional one-way tracking capabilities.
New State-of-the-Art Satellite Operations Control Center
Opened a new satellite operations control center in Covington, Louisiana, enhancing satellite fleet management capabilities and improving network performance.
Strategic Leadership Appointments
Appointed Dr. Tamer Kadous as Vice President and General Manager of Terrestrial Network Business, and Daaman Hejmadi as Vice President and General Manager of Wholesale Consumer Business, strengthening the leadership team.
Technological Breakthrough at Mobile World Congress
Demonstrated XCOM RAN technology using n53 spectrum, achieving speeds of 400 megabits per second and showcasing advancements in robotics, autonomous vehicles, and augmented reality.
Partnership with MDA Space
Signed a C$1.1 billion contract with MDA Space to build more than 50 satellites for Globalstar's next-generation LEO constellation, marking a significant milestone for the company's extended MSS network plans.
Negative Updates
Higher Costs Impacting EBITDA
Higher cash costs to support XCOM RAN negatively impacted adjusted EBITDA by $1.3 million and adjusted EBITDA margin by approximately 200 basis points compared to the prior year.
Long Sales Cycle for Major Customer
Sales cycle with a primary initial customer, a large retailer, remains long, delaying potential revenue generation from the XCOM RAN business.
Company Guidance
During the Globalstar First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several financial metrics and guidance. Total revenue increased by 6% to $60 million compared to the prior year, while service revenue rose by 7%, largely due to wholesale capacity services. Adjusted EBITDA grew by 3% to $30.4 million despite higher cash costs, including a $1.3 million increase to support the XCOM RAN product. The adjusted EBITDA margin was adversely impacted by approximately 200 basis points. Globalstar ended the fiscal period with $241.4 million in cash, while net cash flows from operations were $51.9 million, and adjusted free cash flow was $47.6 million, a significant improvement from the previous year. The company reiterated its full-year 2025 revenue guidance of $260 million to $285 million, with an anticipated adjusted EBITDA margin of around 50%.

Globalstar Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Globalstar's financial performance is weak, characterized by negative net income and high leverage, despite some revenue growth and improvements in cash flow.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Globalstar's income statement reveals a struggling financial performance with negative net income in recent years. The gross profit margin is strong, but consistent negative net profit margins indicate profitability issues. Revenue growth is positive but volatile, suggesting some operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating potential leverage risk. While there is some improvement in equity, overall financial stability remains a concern. Return on equity is also negative due to net losses, highlighting profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows improvement in operating cash flow, indicating better cash management. However, the free cash flow growth rate is inconsistent, and the company relies on external financing, raising concerns about sustainability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
250.35M223.81M148.50M124.30M128.49M
Gross Profit
167.57M154.34M83.48M72.33M79.81M
EBIT
-949.00K-165.00K118.13M-60.77M-60.50M
EBITDA
88.59M88.39M37.58M30.98M38.15M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-63.16M-24.72M-256.92M-112.63M-109.64M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
391.16M56.74M32.08M14.30M13.33M
Total Assets
1.71B924.31M833.39M814.11M888.09M
Total Debt
541.93M392.55M162.50M269.67M400.47M
Net Debt
150.76M335.80M130.41M255.37M387.14M
Total Liabilities
1.35B545.33M518.62M448.68M465.03M
Stockholders Equity
358.88M378.98M314.77M365.43M423.06M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
320.29M-101.27M23.85M86.34M15.00M
Operating Cash Flow
439.19M74.34M63.80M131.88M22.21M
Investing Cash Flow
-260.57M-175.61M-39.95M-45.19M-14.54M
Financing Cash Flow
157.18M125.79M-6.05M-140.28M1.16M

Globalstar Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price18.95
Price Trends
50DMA
19.60
Negative
100DMA
21.68
Negative
200DMA
22.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Negative
RSI
49.12
Neutral
STOCH
54.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GSAT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 18.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.83, below the 50-day MA of 19.60, and below the 200-day MA of 22.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GSAT.

Globalstar Risk Analysis

Globalstar disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Globalstar reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
We cannot predict the ultimate effect that our reverse stock split or transfer of the listing of our common stock to the Nasdaq Stock Market LLC will have on the market price for and the liquidity of shares of our common stock. Q4, 2024
2.
There can be no assurance that we will continue to satisfy the continued listing standards of the Nasdaq Stock Market LLC following the reverse stock split and listing transfer. Q4, 2024
3.
We may not be able to successfully launch satellites to support Phase 2 Service Period or Services provided over the Extended MSS Network under the Updated Services Agreements. Q4, 2024

Globalstar Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$2.80B24.3018.01%2.16%6.64%403.10%
70
Neutral
$1.42B76.11-6.47%41.51%-103.22%
67
Neutral
$966.35M7.0334.07%7.20%11.62%
61
Neutral
$14.27B5.87-4.20%3.70%2.75%-35.76%
45
Neutral
$999.76M-57.56%-1.56%-10914.21%
44
Neutral
$1.04B21.93%-3.68%-2563.04%
42
Neutral
$2.35B-18.66%14.55%-81.21%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GSAT
Globalstar
18.95
2.30
13.81%
IRDM
Iridium Communications
26.14
-2.58
-8.98%
SBGI
Sinclair Broadcast
13.56
1.81
15.40%
GOGO
Gogo
10.80
0.27
2.56%
LILAK
Liberty LiLAC Group
5.14
-3.84
-42.76%
ATUS
Altice Usa
2.26
-0.32
-12.40%

Globalstar Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Globalstar Approves Key Amendments at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Globalstar, Inc. held its annual stockholders’ meeting where several key decisions were made. The stockholders approved an amendment to the company’s Certificate of Incorporation to allow for officer exculpation under Delaware law, elected three Class A directors, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, and approved an amendment to the Thermo guaranty agreement. These decisions are expected to impact the company’s governance and operational framework, potentially enhancing its strategic positioning and compliance with regulatory standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (GSAT) stock is a Buy with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Globalstar stock, see the GSAT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.