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Globalstar Inc (GSAT)
NASDAQ:GSAT

Globalstar (GSAT) AI Stock Analysis

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GSAT

Globalstar

(NASDAQ:GSAT)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$65.00
▲(4.84% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial trajectory and cash generation, reinforced by a positive earnings-call outlook and margin guidance. These positives are tempered by balance-sheet leverage and continued GAAP losses, while technical signals are neutral and valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Globalstar's operating cash flow and adjusted free cash flow strengthened materially, providing durable funding for network replacement and expansion. Consistent positive cash conversion supports capital programs, reduces near-term refinancing needs, and underpins ability to fund growth despite GAAP losses.
Revenue Growth & IoT Traction
Revenue has grown to record levels for four consecutive years with service and equipment lines expanding. IoT hardware revenue and commercial IoT subscribers showed meaningful growth, broadening the addressable market and supporting multi-year demand for satellite connectivity and telemetry solutions.
Margin Expansion & Profitability Trends
A sustained ~50% adjusted EBITDA margin demonstrates strong unit economics and scalability of the service model. High operating margins improve cash generation capacity and provide room to invest in satellites and ground infrastructure while aiming to convert operational gains into lasting operating income.
Negative Factors
GAAP Net Loss
Despite improvement, persistent GAAP net losses limit retained earnings and could constrain strategic flexibility over time. Ongoing accounting losses may hinder investor confidence, influence borrowing terms, and mean the company remains reliant on strong cash generation rather than reported profitability to fund expansion.
Leverage & Capital Structure
Debt-to-equity near 1.5 and principal debt outstanding raise interest and refinancing risk. A debt-tilted capital structure reduces financial flexibility for large program investments and increases susceptibility to cash-flow variability, potentially forcing trade-offs between growth spending and balance-sheet repair.
High Capex & Execution Risk
Very large capex and multi-year ITU obligations create sustained cash demands and execution risk. Advanced investments (XCOM RAN, satellite replacements) occur ahead of material revenue, so delays, cost overruns, or slow customer integration could pressure margins, cash buffers and force additional financing.

Globalstar (GSAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Globalstar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobalstar, Inc. provides mobile satellite services worldwide. The company offers duplex two-way voice and data products, including mobile voice and data satellite communications services and equipment for remote business continuity, recreational usage, safety, emergency preparedness and response, and other applications; fixed voice and data satellite communications services and equipment at industrial, commercial, and residential sites, as well as rural villages and ships; and data modem services and equipment. It also provides SPOT consumer retail products, such as SPOT satellite GPS messenger for personal tracking, emergency location, and messaging solutions; and SPOT Trace, an anti-theft and asset tracking device. In addition, the company offers commercial Internet of Things one-way transmission products to track cargo containers and rail cars, as well as to monitor utility meters, and oil and gas assets. Further, it sells wholesale minutes to independent gateway operators (IGOs); and provides engineering services, such as hardware and software designs to develop specific applications; and installation of gateways and antennas. The company distributes its products directly, as well as through independent agents, dealers and resellers, retailers, IGOs, and sales force and e-commerce Website. As of December 31, 2020, it had approximately 745,000 subscribers. The company primarily serves recreation and personal, government, public safety and disaster relief, oil and gas, maritime and fishing, construction, utilities, and transportation, as well as natural resources, mining, and forestry markets. Globalstar, Inc. has a strategic alliance with XCOM Labs to jointly commercialize XCOM's capacity-multiplying technology with Globalstar's Band n53 for 5G deployments in the United States and other countries where Globalstar has terrestrial rights. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Covington, Louisiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobalstar generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from subscription services, device sales, and value-added services. The company charges customers monthly fees for satellite phone and data services, which provide ongoing recurring income. Device sales contribute to revenue as well, with customers purchasing satellite phones and data modems. Additionally, Globalstar offers value-added services, such as tracking and monitoring solutions for enterprises, which further enhance its revenue potential. Strategic partnerships with various industries, including maritime and logistics, are crucial for expanding its customer base and creating tailored solutions that meet specific market needs. Moreover, Globalstar's focus on enhancing its network capacity and introducing new technologies, such as the integration of IoT applications, positions the company to capitalize on emerging trends in satellite communication.

Globalstar Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated clear operational and financial progress: record revenue, a record adjusted EBITDA and 50% margin, improved operating income, strong cash position and growth in IoT hardware and subscribers. Strategic milestones (two-way IoT commercial rollout, partnerships with Parsons and Boingo, SBIR involvement, and expanded ground infrastructure) underpin a confident 2026 outlook with revenue guidance of $280M–$305M and continued 50% adjusted EBITDA margin. Offsetting these positives are elevated near-term operating expenses and advance investments (notably XCOM RAN), a remaining GAAP net loss, a tariff-related Q4 charge, subscriber churn in some product lines, large capex and ITU commitments, and two-way IoT revenues that are not yet material. Overall, highlights materially outweigh the lowlights, though execution and capitalization risks remain due to substantial ongoing investments.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Full-Year Revenue
Total revenue of $273,000,000 for FY2025, a 9% increase year-over-year and the fourth consecutive year of record revenue.
Strong Service and Equipment Revenue Growth
Service revenue of $257,300,000, up 8% YoY; subscriber equipment revenue of $15,700,000, up 24% YoY.
Improved Profitability and EBITDA Strength
Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $136,100,000 with a 50% margin (in line with guidance); income from operations of $7,400,000 vs. a $900,000 loss in 2024.
Q4 Revenue and EBITDA Improvement
Q4 total revenue of $72,000,000; service revenue $67,400,000 (Q4 service revenue +17% YoY) and equipment revenue $4,600,000 (Q4 equipment +31% YoY). Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $32,400,000, up 7% YoY.
Material Cash Position and Operating Cash Flow
Cash and cash equivalents of $447,500,000 at year-end (up from $391,200,000, ~+14%); operating cash flows of $621,700,000 in 2025 (including $430,600,000 infrastructure prepayment).
Adjusted Free Cash Flow Growth
Adjusted free cash flow of $171,500,000, up from $131,900,000 in 2024 (approximately +30% YoY).
Strategic Product and Market Milestones
Commercial rollout of RM-200MS two-way satellite IoT module and launch of two-way satellite IoT capabilities, expanding addressable market and enabling higher-value use cases.
Progress on Partnerships, Defense & XCOM RAN
Notable partner and program progress: Parsons proof-of-concept and trials, Boingo PoC for XCOM RAN, Fireworks (formerly XCOM Labs) awarded $1.9M SBIR Phase II contract selecting Globalstar as a technology partner, and completion of 50% of ITU financial commitments.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Remains Despite Improvement
Net loss of $7,600,000 in 2025 improved from $63,200,000 in 2024 but remains a GAAP loss; Q4 net loss was $10,600,000.
Rising Operating Expenses
Increased operating expenses driven by personnel to support next-generation buildout, XCOM RAN development, and higher legal and professional fees—these investments partially offset revenue gains.
Advance Investment Costs for XCOM RAN
Ongoing costs for XCOM RAN are incurred in advance of revenue (commercial hardening and development), creating near-term margin pressure despite long-term upside.
Tariff-Related Charge in Q4
Q4 cost of subscriber equipment included a $1,100,000 charge related to tariffs on imported-and-re-exported equipment where prior duty drawbacks were no longer deemed probable of recovery.
Subscriber Churn and Lower XCOM RAN Sales in Q4
Growth was partially offset in Q4 by Duplex and SPOT subscriber churn and lower XCOM RAN sales, limiting quarter-over-quarter upside.
High Capital Expenditures and Large Commitments
Capital expenditures totaled $550,400,000 in 2025 related to replacement satellites, extended MSS network and ground infrastructure; company has a $2.0B ITU commitment (50% completed), representing significant ongoing cash requirements and execution risk.
Two-Way IoT Revenue Not Yet Material
Although two-way module is commercial and in mass production, customer integration and end-to-end validation remain in progress, so meaningful revenue from two-way IoT is not yet realized.
Company Guidance
Globalstar guided 2026 total revenue of $280–305 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 50%, reflecting confidence in scaling next‑generation infrastructure and commercial opportunities; that outlook is anchored by 2025 results including record revenue of $273.0M (+9% YoY), adjusted EBITDA of $136.1M (50% margin), Q4 revenue of $72.0M (service $67.4M; equipment $4.6M), full‑year service revenue $257.3M (+8%), equipment revenue $15.7M (+24%), cash & cash equivalents $447.5M, operating cash flow $621.7M (including $430.6M infrastructure prepayment), capex $550.4M, adjusted free cash flow $171.5M, principal debt $410.0M, IoT hardware revenue +50% YoY, and average commercial IoT subscribers +6% YoY.

Globalstar Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has grown materially and operating performance improved, with a major step-up in operating cash flow and positive free cash flow in recent years. Offsetting this, the company remains GAAP net-loss making and leverage has increased (debt-to-equity ~1.5), which limits financial flexibility.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Revenue has expanded meaningfully over the period (up from ~$128M in 2020 to ~$273M in 2025), and profitability has improved versus earlier years, with EBITDA margins remaining strong (mid-20s% to mid-40s%). However, the business is still not consistently profitable at the bottom line (net losses continue, including 2025), and operating profitability has been volatile (EBIT swung from deeply negative in 2021–2022 to modestly positive in 2025).
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Leverage has increased, with debt-to-equity rising from below 1.0 historically to ~1.5 in 2024–2025, which reduces financial flexibility. Equity remains positive, but returns on equity are negative across all years provided, reflecting ongoing net losses. Asset growth is substantial, but the capital structure is meaningfully debt-tilted for a company that has not yet stabilized net profitability.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation strengthened materially, with operating cash flow rising sharply (notably in 2024–2025) and free cash flow turning strongly positive, including a large step-up in 2025. Cash flow has generally covered accounting losses well in recent years, supporting funding capacity and liquidity. The key weakness is variability: 2023 saw negative free cash flow, highlighting that cash generation can fluctuate materially year to year.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue272.99M250.35M223.81M148.50M124.30M
Gross Profit95.00M167.57M154.34M83.48M72.33M
EBITDA102.66M88.59M88.39M37.58M30.98M
Net Income-8.65M-63.16M-24.72M-256.92M-112.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.33B1.71B924.31M833.39M814.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments447.47M391.16M56.74M32.08M14.30M
Total Debt538.34M541.93M392.55M222.07M269.67M
Total Liabilities1.97B1.35B545.33M518.62M448.68M
Stockholders Equity355.73M358.88M378.98M314.77M365.43M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow76.79M320.29M-92.46M23.85M86.34M
Operating Cash Flow621.65M439.19M74.34M63.80M131.88M
Investing Cash Flow-550.38M-260.57M-175.61M-39.95M-45.19M
Financing Cash Flow-16.18M157.18M125.79M-6.05M-140.28M

Globalstar Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price62.00
Price Trends
50DMA
61.43
Positive
100DMA
58.22
Positive
200DMA
42.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
52.51
Neutral
STOCH
47.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GSAT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.74, above the 50-day MA of 61.43, and above the 200-day MA of 42.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GSAT.

Globalstar Risk Analysis

Globalstar disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Globalstar reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Globalstar Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.87B6.0153.38%6.42%
69
Neutral
$2.60B22.5822.01%3.30%7.30%21.31%
68
Neutral
$5.11B-33.28-2.95%0.40%15.38%-292.52%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$7.86B-2.42%8.54%-59.63%
56
Neutral
$4.74B2.65%0.39%-22.79%79.90%
54
Neutral
$1.11B-5.80-229.15%13.93%-6.48%-588.01%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GSAT
Globalstar
62.00
40.42
187.30%
CCOI
Cogent Comms
22.19
-44.57
-66.76%
IRDM
Iridium Communications
24.77
-4.49
-15.34%
TEO
Telecom Argentina
11.42
0.63
5.84%
TDS
Telephone & Data Systems
44.65
10.36
30.21%
VEON
VEON
56.04
12.08
27.48%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026