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VEON Ltd (VEON)
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VEON (VEON) AI Stock Analysis

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VEON

VEON

(NASDAQ:VEON)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$60.00
▲(34.02% Upside)
VEON's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and valuation, indicating potential undervaluation. Financial performance is solid but impacted by high leverage. Technical analysis supports a positive outlook with bullish momentum.
Positive Factors
Digital Revenue Growth
The significant growth in digital revenues indicates a successful expansion of VEON's digital ecosystem, enhancing long-term revenue streams and market position.
Asset-Light Strategy
The asset-light strategy reduces capital expenditure and operational risks, allowing VEON to focus on high-margin digital services and strategic partnerships.
Leadership Changes
Strategic leadership changes aim to drive digital transformation, enhancing VEON's ability to adapt and compete in evolving markets.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage could strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting VEON's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
EPS Loss
The EPS loss highlights challenges in profitability, which could affect investor confidence and limit capital raising capabilities.
Geopolitical Risks
Geopolitical risks can disrupt operations and market access, posing long-term challenges to VEON's growth and stability.

VEON (VEON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VEON Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVEON Ltd. is a global telecommunications and technology company headquartered in Amsterdam, Netherlands. It operates in various countries primarily in the Eurasian region, providing mobile and fixed-line voice services, broadband internet, and digital services. VEON focuses on enhancing connectivity and offering digital solutions, including mobile financial services and content platforms, catering to a diverse customer base in both urban and rural areas.
How the Company Makes MoneyVEON generates revenue primarily through its telecommunications services, which include mobile and fixed-line voice and data services. The company operates a subscription-based model, charging customers monthly fees for mobile and internet plans. Additionally, VEON earns money through value-added services such as mobile banking, advertising, and digital content. Significant partnerships with local and international companies enhance its service offerings, while strategic investments in technology and infrastructure, such as 4G and 5G networks, contribute to customer acquisition and retention, driving overall revenue growth.

VEON Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
VEON demonstrated solid financial and operational performance with strong growth in digital services and a strategic focus on asset-light operations. However, challenges such as reported EPS losses and market-specific weaknesses were noted. Overall, the company's outlook remains positive with an upward revision of its EBITDA growth guidance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Surpassing Digital Service Users
In September, VEON's monthly digital service users surpassed monthly telecom SIM card users for the first time, marking a significant milestone in their journey as a digital operator.
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
VEON's revenues grew 7.5% year-on-year in U.S. dollar terms, while U.S. dollar EBITDA increased by 19.7% year-on-year. The company has raised its fiscal year 2025 EBITDA outlook to 16% to 18% growth in local currency terms.
Digital Services Expansion
Direct digital revenues grew 63% in U.S. dollar terms, now contributing 17.8% of total group revenues, with significant growth in financial services and other digital segments.
Asset-Light Strategy Progress
Completion of the sale of Kyrgyzstan operations and a new global framework agreement with Starlink for satellite connectivity.
Kyivstar Listing on NASDAQ
The listing unlocked significant value, with a current market valuation of $2.8 billion compared to $1.25 billion of equity.
Negative Updates
Reported EPS Loss
VEON reported an EPS loss of $1.84 per share for Q3 due to $259 million in non-cash charges, including a $162 million charge related to the SPAC sponsor shares and a $97 million charge for the sale of the Kyrgyzstan business.
Bangladesh Market Challenges
Bangladesh showed weaker performance compared to other markets, although it returned to year-on-year revenue growth in September 2025 for the first time in 14 months.
Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Risks
Despite strong execution, VEON acknowledged ongoing macro and geopolitical challenges impacting its operations.
Company Guidance
During VEON's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 7.5% year-on-year revenue growth in U.S. dollar terms and a significant 19.7% increase in EBITDA. The company raised its fiscal year 2025 EBITDA growth guidance to 16% to 18% in local currency terms, up from the previous 14% to 16%. Direct digital revenues surged by 63%, now contributing 17.8% to total group revenues. VEON's strategic initiatives included the completion of its Kyrgyzstan operations sale, a landmark listing of Kyivstar on NASDAQ with a market valuation of $2.8 billion, and a partnership with Starlink for satellite connectivity. The company also noted its strong financial position, with a net debt of $1.72 billion, a cash balance of $1.67 billion, and an ongoing $100 million share and/or bond repurchase program. Additionally, VEON's digital services, particularly in financial services, showed robust growth, with JazzCash in Pakistan achieving a 40% increase in gross transaction value year-on-year.

VEON Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VEON demonstrates strong profitability with a high net profit margin and significant free cash flow growth. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio and past revenue volatility pose risks. The company should focus on reducing leverage to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
VEON's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 87.75% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved significantly to 23.72% in TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. Revenue growth is modest at 1.88% TTM, but consistent EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest stable operational performance. However, past volatility in net income and revenue growth rates pose potential risks.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.76 in TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could be risky. However, the return on equity is strong at 84.05%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting limited equity financing, which could impact financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 24.34% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.43, suggesting good cash conversion efficiency. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.49 indicates room for improvement in translating profits into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.23B4.00B3.70B3.75B3.85B3.48B
Gross Profit3.73B3.49B3.26B3.28B3.37B3.03B
EBITDA1.49B1.48B1.39B1.64B1.84B1.73B
Net Income644.00M415.00M-2.53B-162.00M674.00M-349.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.81B8.04B8.22B15.08B15.92B14.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.66B2.05B2.33B3.23B2.34B1.76B
Total Debt5.14B4.69B5.16B8.18B10.65B10.06B
Total Liabilities7.17B6.78B7.15B14.32B14.42B13.54B
Stockholders Equity1.65B1.10B858.00M569.00M586.00M163.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow756.00M523.00M1.58B1.92B1.94B1.76B
Operating Cash Flow1.25B1.15B2.11B2.56B2.64B2.44B
Investing Cash Flow-507.00M-778.00M-2.24B-1.66B-1.46B-1.87B
Financing Cash Flow-111.00M-551.00M-1.15B116.00M-465.00M-103.00M

VEON Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.77
Price Trends
50DMA
50.74
Positive
100DMA
52.64
Positive
200DMA
49.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.71
Negative
RSI
59.69
Neutral
STOCH
76.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VEON, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.94, below the 50-day MA of 50.74, and below the 200-day MA of 49.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VEON.

VEON Risk Analysis

VEON disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. VEON reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

VEON Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.78B9.4725.22%7.43%0.59%8.86%
75
Outperform
$3.68B5.7148.17%6.42%
74
Outperform
$5.00B11.437.60%5.75%19.02%9.26%
61
Neutral
$5.29B-2.95%1.65%15.38%-292.52%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$4.22B-160.264.11%48.64%-25.64%
56
Neutral
$4.29B1.73%0.42%-22.79%79.90%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VEON
VEON
53.21
19.26
56.73%
PHI
PLDT
22.39
1.32
6.26%
TEO
Telecom Argentina
12.02
-1.18
-8.94%
TKC
Turkcell Iletisim
5.63
-0.75
-11.76%
AD
Array Digital Infrastructure
48.09
3.84
8.68%
TDS
Telephone & Data Systems
39.72
5.69
16.72%

VEON Corporate Events

VEON Ltd. Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results with Strong Revenue Growth
Nov 24, 2025

On November 24, 2025, VEON Ltd. released its unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements for the nine and three-month periods ending September 30, 2025. The financial results show an increase in revenue compared to the previous year, with a notable operating profit despite increased selling, general, and administrative expenses. The report highlights a significant gain from the disposal of subsidiaries, contributing positively to the company’s financial performance. However, the company also experienced a foreign currency translation loss, impacting its comprehensive income. These financial outcomes reflect VEON’s ongoing strategic adjustments and market positioning efforts.

VEON Initiates USD 100 Million Buyback Program
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, VEON Ltd. announced the commencement of a USD 100 million buyback program, initially revealed on November 10, 2025. This program allows VEON to repurchase ADSs and/or outstanding bonds, with the allocation between equity and debt determined by market conditions. The buyback is seen as a strategic move to capitalize on undervalued trading levels and strengthen the company’s capital structure, while also managing future debt obligations. VEON’s CEO, Kaan Terzioglu, emphasized the program’s role in supporting sustainable growth and long-term value creation.

VEON Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with Digital Revenue Surge
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, VEON Ltd. announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a 7.5% year-on-year increase in total revenues, reaching USD 1,115 million. The company also saw a significant 19.7% rise in EBITDA, driven by a 63.1% growth in direct digital revenues. VEON’s strategic initiatives included the listing of Kyivstar Group on Nasdaq and the operational separation of JazzCash. These efforts, along with successful bond issuance and asset sales, have strengthened VEON’s financial position and mitigated concerns about its ability to continue as a going concern. The company has raised its EBITDA outlook for 2025, expecting growth in both local currency and USD terms.

VEON Announces Key Leadership Changes to Drive Digital Transformation
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, VEON Ltd. announced significant leadership changes effective January 1, 2026. Sebastian Rice will join as General Counsel, succeeding Vitaly Shmakov, who will become the Chief Investment Officer, focusing on mergers and acquisitions. Anand Ramachandran will continue as Chief Corporate Development Officer with expanded responsibilities. These appointments are part of VEON’s strategy to advance its digital operator transformation and enhance its market presence.

VEON’s Beeline Kazakhstan to Acquire OLX Kazakhstan for $75 Million
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, VEON Ltd. announced that its Kazakh operating company, Beeline Kazakhstan, has agreed to acquire OLX Kazakhstan, a leading online classifieds business, for USD 75 million. This acquisition is expected to enhance Beeline Kazakhstan’s digital services ecosystem by integrating OLX KZ’s marketplace, which serves millions of users in Kazakhstan. The acquisition aligns with VEON’s strategy to expand its digital operator capabilities and is subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions.

VEON and Kyivstar Host Investor Meeting to Discuss Strategic Updates
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, VEON Ltd. and Kyivstar Group Ltd. announced an investor meeting to provide updates on Kyivstar’s strategic initiatives, financial performance, and market outlook. The meeting, held virtually, featured presentations from senior management on key developments from the second quarter of 2025 and included a Q&A session with investors. This event underscores Kyivstar’s commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders, as well as its ongoing investment in Ukraine’s digital infrastructure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025