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Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri As (TKC)
NYSE:TKC
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Turkcell Iletisim (TKC) AI Stock Analysis

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TKC

Turkcell Iletisim

(NYSE:TKC)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(16.28% Upside)
Turkcell's strong financial performance and positive earnings call results are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's strategic achievements in 5G and digital services expansion are promising. However, technical indicators suggest caution, and competitive pressures pose challenges. The valuation is reasonable, with an attractive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
5G Spectrum Acquisition
Securing the maximum spectrum for 5G positions Turkcell as a leader in next-gen telecom services, enhancing its competitive edge and service offerings.
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth underscores Turkcell's strong market position and effective business strategy, supporting long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Management
Strong cash flow growth indicates efficient operations and financial resilience, providing resources for future investments and debt management.
Negative Factors
Intense Market Competition
High competition in the mobile market can pressure Turkcell's margins and subscriber retention, challenging its market share and profitability.
Monetary Loss Impact
Monetary losses from divestitures can impact financial results, reducing available capital for reinvestment and potentially affecting investor confidence.
Debt Issuance Plan
Issuing significant new debt could increase financial leverage, potentially straining cash flows and limiting future financial flexibility.

Turkcell Iletisim (TKC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Turkcell Iletisim Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTurkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. provides digital services in Turkey, Ukraine, Belarus, Northern Cyprus, Germany, and the Netherlands. It operates through Turkcell Turkey, Turkcell International, and Techfin segments. It offers work contact services consisting of mobile communications, fixed business internet and business phone, and customer loyalty and programs. The company provides digital business services comprising of uninterrupted access, cyber security, data center, internet of things, big data, e-transformation, technologies, and managed services, and cloud solutions. In addition, the company provides various devices, hardware, software, and financing solutions. Further, the company offers digital services comprising of search, invoice and TL services; and information, entertainment, and application services. Additionally, the company provides TV+, which enables subscribers to watch series and other TV contents whenever and wherever they want; fizy, a digital music platform; magazine holder, a magazine, and newspapers service, and yaani browser, a mobile application. Furthermore, the company offers BiP, an all-access communication service application; goals pocket, a news and goal videos application; and digital operator, a transactions and technology purchases application. The company provides home internet and TV services. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
How the Company Makes MoneyTurkcell generates revenue through multiple streams, with the primary source being mobile telecommunications services, which includes voice, SMS, and mobile data plans offered to individual and corporate customers. Additional revenue comes from fixed-line services, including broadband internet and television services. Turkcell also earns income from its digital services, such as mobile financial services and cloud-based solutions. Significant partnerships with technology firms and content providers enhance its offerings and contribute to its earnings. Furthermore, Turkcell has diversified into sectors such as IoT (Internet of Things) and digital business solutions, providing additional revenue opportunities through innovative products that meet the evolving needs of consumers and enterprises.

Turkcell Iletisim Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Turkcell demonstrated strong operational and financial performance with significant revenue growth, strategic achievements in 5G spectrum acquisition, and expansion in digital services. However, challenges such as intense competition and monetary losses were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Turkcell achieved 11% revenue growth, reaching TRY 60 billion, driven by core telecommunication services. The Group EBITDA increased by 11% to TRY 26 billion, with a solid 43.9% margin.
Net Income Increase
Net income from continuing operations increased by 31.8% to TRY 5.4 billion, reflecting prudent financial management.
Subscriber Base Expansion
Turkcell added 569,000 net postpaid subscribers, bringing the total mobile subscriber base to over 39 million.
5G Spectrum Achievement
Turkcell secured 160 megahertz of spectrum, the maximum available to a single operator, for 5G rollout, marking a significant strategic milestone.
Data Center and Cloud Revenue Surge
Data center and cloud revenues grew 51% year-on-year, with an expansion of 8.4 megawatts in IT capacity.
Techfin Revenue Growth
The techfin ecosystem achieved 20% year-on-year growth, driven by Paycell's 42% increase in revenues.
Negative Updates
Intense Market Competition
The mobile market competition remained intense, resulting in a mobile churn rate of 2.6% primarily due to high activity in the number portability market.
Monetary Loss Impact
A monetary loss was recorded due to the sale of the Ukraine business and changes in inflation rates, impacting the bottom line.
Operational Challenges in TOGG
TOGG faced market challenges, although there was a moderate improvement in performance during the quarter.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Turkcell delivered strong financial results, showcasing an 11% revenue growth, reaching TRY 60 billion, primarily driven by its core telecommunication business. The company's Group EBITDA also increased by 11% to TRY 26 billion, achieving a solid 43.9% margin. Net income from continuing operations rose by 31.8% to TRY 5.4 billion. The company successfully added 569,000 net postpaid subscribers, resulting in a mobile ARPU increase of 12%. Residential fiber ARPU grew by 17.3% year-on-year. Turkcell's data center and cloud revenues climbed by 51%, while its renewable energy capacity reached 37.5 megawatts. The company secured 160 megahertz of spectrum in the 5G spectrum tender, preparing for its 5G commercial launch in April 2026. Turkcell upgraded its 2025 guidance, expecting revenue growth around 10% and an EBITDA margin target between 42% and 43%.

Turkcell Iletisim Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Turkcell Iletisim exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. While profitability margins have slightly declined, the company maintains a solid balance sheet with manageable debt levels. Continued focus on cost management and debt reduction could further enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Turkcell Iletisim has shown strong revenue growth with a 10.02% increase in the TTM period. The gross profit margin improved to 27.02%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin decreased to 12.70% from 14.11% in the previous year, suggesting increased expenses or other financial pressures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 15.40% and 43.10%, respectively, reflecting strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.79, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is stable at 12.41%, showing consistent profitability. The equity ratio stands at 49.45%, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the company should monitor its debt levels to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Turkcell Iletisim's free cash flow grew by 6.41% in the TTM period, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 0.84, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.43, reflecting a healthy cash flow position relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue212.60B166.67B107.12B134.98B108.60B69.50B
Gross Profit58.65B41.16B22.70B17.05B22.46B16.39B
EBITDA92.37B60.83B45.19B61.67B44.00B26.25B
Net Income15.65B23.52B12.55B9.93B7.14B4.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets491.42B344.28B356.74B234.99B151.30B7.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments136.96B75.82B84.96B50.66B30.69B1.69B
Total Debt181.28B104.34B121.40B88.74B60.42B2.90B
Total Liabilities248.39B157.31B180.25B125.61B85.93B4.31B
Stockholders Equity243.03B186.97B176.50B109.37B65.37B2.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.16B44.31B17.64B20.22B1.75B4.23B
Operating Cash Flow15.06B75.01B60.24B61.04B2.37B21.00B
Investing Cash Flow-9.24B-48.86B-30.18B-45.79B-1.16B-14.54B
Financing Cash Flow33.32B-9.78B9.77B4.89B-441.64M-9.95B

Turkcell Iletisim Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.59
Price Trends
50DMA
5.87
Negative
100DMA
5.82
Negative
200DMA
6.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
40.02
Neutral
STOCH
37.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TKC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.73, below the 50-day MA of 5.87, and below the 200-day MA of 6.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TKC.

Turkcell Iletisim Risk Analysis

Turkcell Iletisim disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Turkcell Iletisim reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Summary of Risk Relating to our American Depositary Shares Q4, 2023
2.
We have two major shareholders whose interests may not be aligned with those of other shareholders. Q4, 2023
3.
Risk Factors Summary Summary of Risks relating to Turkiye Q4, 2023

Turkcell Iletisim Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$21.31B20.058.36%4.91%-3.16%4.70%
75
Outperform
$20.89B15.9715.54%5.97%-5.21%-7.45%
74
Outperform
$5.00B11.437.60%5.79%19.02%9.26%
67
Neutral
$8.27B13.185.26%4.18%0.63%-21.51%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$7.76B19.584.72%4.95%-8.16%-52.52%
45
Neutral
$24.45B-0.70%8.04%-5.49%-75.51%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TKC
Turkcell Iletisim
5.59
-0.75
-11.83%
KT
KT
18.36
0.25
1.38%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
21.55
5.73
36.22%
SKM
Sk Telecom
20.19
-3.74
-15.63%
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
13.22
5.48
70.80%
TEF
Telefonica
4.29
0.06
1.42%

Turkcell Iletisim Corporate Events

Turkcell Boosts Kıbrıs Telekom’s Capital by TRY 500 Million
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. announced a capital increase for its wholly-owned subsidiary, Kıbrıs Telekom. The capital was raised by TRY 500,000,000, bringing the total to TRY 922,724,863, with Turkcell fully exercising its pre-emption rights. This move is likely to strengthen the financial position of Kıbrıs Telekom and enhance its operational capabilities, potentially impacting its market competitiveness and stakeholder interests positively.

Turkcell Executes Significant Share Buy-back on November 12, 2025
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Turkcell announced the completion of a share buy-back transaction, purchasing a total of 2,093,944 shares at an average price of TRY 95.58, amounting to a total transaction value of TRY 200,141,178. This move is part of Turkcell’s strategy to protect stakeholder interests and support healthy market price formation, reflecting its commitment to maintaining the fair value of its shares.

Turkcell Partners with Google Cloud for Türkiye’s Digital Transformation
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Turkcell announced a strategic partnership with Google Cloud to enhance digital transformation across Türkiye. This collaboration aims to establish a new Google Cloud region in Türkiye by 2028-2029, expanding Turkcell’s data center capacity and supporting local data residency needs. The initiative is expected to boost the country’s digital ecosystem with advanced cloud services, facilitating innovation and efficiency for organizations. Turkcell projects a $1 billion investment in this partnership by 2032, with a target to significantly increase its data center and cloud revenues.

Turkcell Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results with Revenue Growth
Nov 7, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Turkcell announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing a revenue increase of 11.2% compared to the same period in 2024. The financial data, prepared under IFRS and adjusted for inflation, reflects the company’s robust performance amidst challenging macroeconomic conditions, indicating a positive impact on its market position and operations.

Turkcell Announces TRY 15 Billion Debt Issuance Plan
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Turkcell’s Board of Directors announced their decision to issue debt instruments up to TRY 15 billion in the domestic market. These instruments will have maturities of up to two years and will be offered as private placements or to institutional investors, subject to approval by the Capital Markets Board. This strategic move is aimed at strengthening Turkcell’s financial positioning and operational capabilities.

Turkcell to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results on November 6
Oct 20, 2025

Turkcell announced that its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, covering the period from July 1 to September 30, will be released on November 6, 2025, after the Borsa Istanbul trading hours. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance during this period, potentially impacting investor decisions and market positioning.

Turkcell Secures Major 5G Spectrum in ICTA Tender
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Turkcell announced that it has been awarded a 160 MHz frequency band for USD 1,224 million in the 5G spectrum allocation tender held by the Information and Communication Technologies Authority (ICTA). This allocation allows Turkcell to maintain its leadership in the Turkish telecommunications market by securing approximately 42% of the total available frequencies, enabling it to offer the highest 5G speeds in the country. The company plans to launch 5G services starting April 1, 2026, and has extended its existing authorizations for 2G, 3G, and 4.5G until December 31, 2042.

Turkcell Completes Eurobond Redemption on Schedule
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Turkcell announced the successful redemption of its 10-year Eurobond, originally issued on October 15, 2015. The bond, which carried a coupon rate of 5.75% and was offered at a 5.95% yield, has reached maturity, and all principal and interest payments have been completed as scheduled. This redemption marks a significant financial milestone for Turkcell, reflecting its robust financial management and commitment to fulfilling its financial obligations, which may positively impact its reputation among investors and stakeholders.

Turkcell Boosts Turktell’s Capital by TRY 2 Billion
Oct 10, 2025

On October 10, 2025, Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. announced a capital increase for its wholly-owned subsidiary, Turktell Bilişim Servisleri A.Ş., by TRY 2 billion, raising the total capital to TRY 22.22 billion. This move, fully funded by Turkcell’s pre-emption rights paid in cash, is aimed at strengthening Turktell’s financial position and enhancing its operational capabilities, potentially impacting its market competitiveness and stakeholder interests.

Turkcell to Participate in ICTA Tender for Mobile Infrastructure
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Turkcell announced its decision to participate in an upcoming tender organized by the Information and Communication Technologies Authority (ICTA) scheduled for October 16, 2025. This tender involves the authorization for establishing and operating mobile electronic communication infrastructures, as well as incorporating existing authorizations that expire in April 2029. This strategic move could potentially enhance Turkcell’s market position and expand its service offerings, impacting its operational capabilities and stakeholder interests.

Turkcell Announces Merger with Subsidiary Artel
Sep 16, 2025

On September 16, 2025, Turkcell announced its decision to merge with its wholly-owned subsidiary, Artel Bilişim Servisleri A.Ş., through a facilitated procedure. The merger, based on financial statements dated June 30, 2025, will not result in a capital increase or the issuance of new shares. This strategic move aims to streamline operations and enhance Turkcell’s market position, with the merger agreement pending approval from the Capital Markets Board.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025