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Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri As (TKC)
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Turkcell Iletisim (TKC) AI Stock Analysis

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TKC

Turkcell Iletisim

(NYSE:TKC)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$6.50
â–²(7.97% Upside)
Turkcell's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic investments in key areas like 5G and digital transformation are promising. While technical indicators suggest some caution, the attractive valuation and dividend yield provide additional support.

Turkcell Iletisim (TKC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Turkcell Iletisim Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTurkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. provides digital services in Turkey, Ukraine, Belarus, Northern Cyprus, Germany, and the Netherlands. It operates through Turkcell Turkey, Turkcell International, and Techfin segments. It offers work contact services consisting of mobile communications, fixed business internet and business phone, and customer loyalty and programs. The company provides digital business services comprising of uninterrupted access, cyber security, data center, internet of things, big data, e-transformation, technologies, and managed services, and cloud solutions. In addition, the company provides various devices, hardware, software, and financing solutions. Further, the company offers digital services comprising of search, invoice and TL services; and information, entertainment, and application services. Additionally, the company provides TV+, which enables subscribers to watch series and other TV contents whenever and wherever they want; fizy, a digital music platform; magazine holder, a magazine, and newspapers service, and yaani browser, a mobile application. Furthermore, the company offers BiP, an all-access communication service application; goals pocket, a news and goal videos application; and digital operator, a transactions and technology purchases application. The company provides home internet and TV services. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
How the Company Makes MoneyTurkcell generates revenue primarily through its telecommunications services, including mobile voice and data subscriptions, fixed broadband services, and digital services such as content, cloud, and financial technology solutions. The company has diverse revenue streams, including monthly subscription fees, usage-based charges, and value-added services. Additionally, Turkcell partners with various businesses to offer bundled services and solutions, enhancing its market presence and driving earnings. Significant partnerships with technology providers and content creators also contribute to its revenue, as they enable Turkcell to expand its service portfolio and attract new customers.

Turkcell Iletisim Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial and operational performance with significant growth in revenue, EBITDA, and strategic business areas like Data Center & Cloud services and Techfin. Despite challenges in the fixed broadband segment and losses from the TOGG investment, the overall results were positive.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Turkcell reported a top line reaching TRY 53 billion, reflecting a 12% year-on-year growth, primarily driven by strong ARPU performance and the expansion of the mobile subscriber base.
EBITDA and Profitability
Group EBITDA rose by 15% year-on-year to TRY 23 billion with a solid margin of 43.5%. Net income from continuing operations increased by 37% year-on-year to TRY 4.4 billion.
Mobile Subscriber Growth
Achieved 816,000 postpaid net additions in the quarter, marking the highest net addition in over 5 years, with a postpaid share in total mobile subscribers reaching 78%.
Data Center & Cloud Services Performance
Data Center & Cloud services posted strong growth of 53%, reflecting successful monetization of capacity investments and expanding customer base.
Techfin Segment Growth
Paycell recorded a 36% year-on-year revenue growth, driven by strong performance in the POS and Pay Later verticals.
Negative Updates
Fixed Broadband Subscriber Stability
The fixed subscriber base remained stable at 3.3 million, impacted by competitive offers from smaller ISPs and a higher volume of expiring 12-month contracts.
TOGG Investment Loss
Turkcell recorded TRY 1.2 billion loss from their 23% share in TOGG, impacting their profit, with expectations of continued losses in the short term.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Turkcell reported robust financial performance, showcasing a 12% year-on-year increase in revenue to TRY 53 billion, primarily driven by a strong ARPU performance and an expansion in the postpaid mobile subscriber base. The company's EBITDA rose by 15% to TRY 23 billion, with a solid margin of 43.5%, and net income from continuing operations surged by 37% to TRY 4.4 billion. Turkcell achieved 816,000 postpaid net additions, marking the highest in over five years, and maintained a low mobile churn rate of 2.2%. Strategic investments in data center and cloud services resulted in a 53% revenue growth, while the Techfin segment saw a 36% increase in revenue. Despite competitive pressures, Turkcell remains focused on strategic infrastructure investments, with a CapEx intensity of 16.9% for the quarter, and aims to sustain its market leadership through continued investments in 5G and digital transformation initiatives.

Turkcell Iletisim Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Turkcell Iletisim demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable, though increasing debt levels warrant attention. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting the company's operational and strategic initiatives.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Turkcell Iletisim has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 10.34% increase in the TTM period. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 26.36% and a net profit margin of 13.27%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 15.12% and 43.03%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management. However, the slight decline in net profit margin compared to the previous year suggests some pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is strong at 12.84%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 48.03%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with a 25.88% growth in free cash flow, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.77 indicates efficient conversion of income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.22 suggests room for improvement in translating profits into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue193.24B166.67B107.12B134.98B35.92B29.10B
Gross Profit52.24B41.16B22.70B12.11B10.70B8.77B
EBITDA84.61B74.84B45.19B43.86B13.03B11.66B
Net Income24.53B23.52B12.55B6.88B5.03B4.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets457.38B344.28B247.08B101.26B70.68B51.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments127.07B75.82B58.85B30.91B18.68B12.56B
Total Debt172.86B104.34B84.08B53.85B36.78B21.59B
Total Liabilities237.68B157.31B124.85B70.37B48.12B30.71B
Stockholders Equity219.71B186.97B122.25B30.89B22.56B20.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow44.73B44.31B17.64B11.07B29.80B5.31B
Operating Cash Flow94.12B75.01B60.24B25.15B19.95B13.09B
Investing Cash Flow-42.94B-48.86B-30.18B-19.65B-9.14B-6.78B
Financing Cash Flow20.10B-9.78B9.77B3.39B-3.94B-4.27B

Turkcell Iletisim Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.02
Price Trends
50DMA
5.81
Positive
100DMA
5.91
Positive
200DMA
6.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
59.61
Neutral
STOCH
91.87
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TKC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.76, above the 50-day MA of 5.81, and below the 200-day MA of 6.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.87 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TKC.

Turkcell Iletisim Risk Analysis

Turkcell Iletisim disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Turkcell Iletisim reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Summary of Risk Relating to our American Depositary Shares Q4, 2023
2.
We have two major shareholders whose interests may not be aligned with those of other shareholders. Q4, 2023
3.
Risk Factors Summary Summary of Risks relating to Turkiye Q4, 2023

Turkcell Iletisim Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$5.24B12.067.38%5.38%19.25%5.69%
74
Outperform
18.65B13.3017.30%6.89%-5.13%-5.90%
72
Outperform
20.02B19.957.96%4.65%-6.51%-0.21%
72
Outperform
8.68B14.512.91%3.11%-1.56%-18.33%
67
Neutral
8.32B11.6411.13%4.60%-4.74%-16.57%
52
Neutral
28.70B-11.35-13.79%7.12%-4.73%-251.31%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TKC
Turkcell Iletisim
6.02
-0.76
-11.21%
KT
KT
19.34
3.73
23.89%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
18.69
-0.41
-2.15%
SKM
Sk Telecom
21.70
-2.64
-10.85%
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
12.31
2.62
27.04%
TEF
Telefonica
5.01
0.37
7.97%

Turkcell Iletisim Corporate Events

Turkcell Announces Merger with Subsidiary Artel
Sep 16, 2025

On September 16, 2025, Turkcell announced its decision to merge with its wholly-owned subsidiary, Artel Bilişim Servisleri A.Ş., through a facilitated procedure. The merger, based on financial statements dated June 30, 2025, will not result in a capital increase or the issuance of new shares. This strategic move aims to streamline operations and enhance Turkcell’s market position, with the merger agreement pending approval from the Capital Markets Board.

Turkcell Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results Amid Inflation Adjustments
Aug 14, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Turkcell announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showcasing a year-on-year comparison of key indicators. The report highlights the company’s revenue segmentation revision as of Q1 2025 and presents consolidated financial data prepared in accordance with IFRS. The financial results reflect the impact of inflation adjustments, with all non-monetary items restated to account for the purchasing power of the Turkish Lira as of June 30, 2025. This announcement provides insights into Turkcell’s operational and financial performance, indicating its strategic positioning and adaptation to macroeconomic conditions.

Turkcell Completes Bond Redemption on August 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Turkcell announced the redemption and coupon payment of its financing bond with ISIN code TRFTCEL82512, which had a nominal amount of TRY 900,000,000 and a maturity of 96 days. The bond, issued with an annual simple interest rate of 49.75%, was part of a private placement sale to qualified investors. This redemption reflects Turkcell’s strategic financial management and may strengthen its position in the domestic debt securities market, potentially impacting stakeholders positively by demonstrating the company’s capability to meet its financial obligations.

Turkcell Completes TRY 1.5 Billion Bond Issuance
Aug 13, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Turkcell Iletisim announced the completion of a financing bond issuance with a nominal amount of TRY 1,500,000,000. The bond, which has a maturity date of November 20, 2025, and an annual simple interest rate of 41.50%, was issued to qualified investors within Türkiye. This strategic financial move, approved by the Capital Markets Board, aims to strengthen Turkcell’s financial position and enhance its operational capabilities. The issuance reflects Turkcell’s commitment to leveraging domestic financial markets to support its growth and maintain its competitive edge in the telecommunications industry.

Turkcell Finalizes Sale of Ukrainian Subsidiaries for $538.7 Million
Aug 5, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Turkcell announced the final sale price of its Ukrainian subsidiaries, Lifecell LLC, LLC Global Bilgi, and LLC Ukrtower, to DVL Telecom, a part of NJJ Holding group. The transaction, initially announced on September 9, 2024, was completed for a final price of 538.7 million USD, following adjustments for cash and debt. This strategic move results in the termination of Turkcell’s subsidiary relationships in Ukraine and reflects a significant shift in its operational focus, with the transaction value representing 17.1% of the company’s latest annual financial statements.

Turkcell to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results on August 13
Jul 29, 2025

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. announced that its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, covering the period from April 1 to June 30, will be released on August 13, 2025, after the Borsa Istanbul trading hours. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and market positioning during this period.

Turkcell Completes Bond Redemption on July 2, 2025
Jul 3, 2025

On July 2, 2025, Turkcell announced the redemption of its financing bond with ISIN code TRFTCEL72513, which had a nominal amount of TRY 230,000,000 and a maturity of 97 days. The bond, which carried an annual simple interest rate of 46.00%, was issued through a private placement to qualified investors. This redemption is part of Turkcell’s strategic financial management and reflects its commitment to fulfilling its financial obligations, potentially strengthening its position in the domestic market.

Turkcell Announces Merger with Artel Bilisim
Jun 25, 2025

On June 25, 2025, Turkcell announced its decision to merge with its wholly-owned subsidiary, Artel Bilisim Servisleri A.S., through a facilitated procedure. The merger, which will not require an increase in capital or a detachment right for shareholders, aims to streamline operations by consolidating assets and liabilities. The merger is authorized by the Information and Communication Technologies Authority and awaits approval from the Capital Market Board.

Turkcell Announces New Sukuk Issuances to Boost Financial Flexibility
Jun 25, 2025

On June 25, 2025, Turkcell announced that its subsidiaries, Turkcell Ödeme ve Elektronik Para Hizmetleri A.S. and Turkcell Finansman A.S., have been authorized by the Board of Directors to issue lease certificates (sukuk) amounting to TRY 2 billion and TRY 2.5 billion respectively. These issuances, which are subject to approval by the Capital Markets Board, will be conducted in the domestic market through private placements and sales to qualified and institutional investors, with maturities up to 12 months. This strategic move is expected to enhance Turkcell’s financial flexibility and strengthen its position in the financial markets.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 17, 2025