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Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri As (TKC)
NYSE:TKC

Turkcell Iletisim (TKC) AI Stock Analysis

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Turkcell Iletisim

(NYSE:TKC)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(13.09%Upside)
Turkcell Iletisim's overall stock score is bolstered by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call. The company's robust revenue growth, strategic expansions, and attractive valuation metrics contribute positively. Meanwhile, technical indicators suggest a stable price movement, although operational cost pressures and market competition pose challenges.

Turkcell Iletisim (TKC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Turkcell Iletisim Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTurkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. provides digital services in Turkey, Ukraine, Belarus, Northern Cyprus, Germany, and the Netherlands. It operates through Turkcell Turkey, Turkcell International, and Techfin segments. It offers work contact services consisting of mobile communications, fixed business internet and business phone, and customer loyalty and programs. The company provides digital business services comprising of uninterrupted access, cyber security, data center, internet of things, big data, e-transformation, technologies, and managed services, and cloud solutions. In addition, the company provides various devices, hardware, software, and financing solutions. Further, the company offers digital services comprising of search, invoice and TL services; and information, entertainment, and application services. Additionally, the company provides TV+, which enables subscribers to watch series and other TV contents whenever and wherever they want; fizy, a digital music platform; magazine holder, a magazine, and newspapers service, and yaani browser, a mobile application. Furthermore, the company offers BiP, an all-access communication service application; goals pocket, a news and goal videos application; and digital operator, a transactions and technology purchases application. The company provides home internet and TV services. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
How the Company Makes MoneyTurkcell Iletisim makes money primarily through its telecommunications services, which are divided into several key revenue streams. The largest source of revenue is from its mobile telecommunications services, which include voice, SMS, and data services for both prepaid and postpaid customers. Another significant revenue stream is its fixed broadband services, providing high-speed internet access to residential and business customers. Additionally, Turkcell generates income from its digital services, which encompass a range of products such as mobile applications, digital entertainment, and value-added services. The company also earns revenue from its international operations and partnerships, leveraging its expertise to expand into new markets. Turkcell's earnings are further supported by strategic partnerships with technology companies and other operators, enhancing its service offerings and market reach.

Turkcell Iletisim Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.81%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook for Turkcell with significant revenue growth, strong financial performance, and strategic expansions in techfin and cloud services. However, the company faces challenges from intense market competition and currency volatility.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Turkcell reported a revenue of TRY48 billion, marking a 12.7% year-on-year increase. EBITDA reached TRY21 billion, up 19% with a robust margin of 43.7%.
Customer Base Growth
The company gained 153,000 postpaid and 30,000 fiber customers in Q1 2025, reflecting the success of its value-focused strategy.
Techfin and Cloud Revenue Surge
Techfin segment revenues increased by 31%, and data center and cloud revenues grew by 48%, indicating strong momentum in strategic areas.
Sustained ARPU Growth
Turkcell achieved double-digit ARPU growth of 15.9% driven by rational pricing and effective upselling strategies.
CapEx and Renewable Energy Progress
CapEx to sales ratio was 20.2%, with significant investments in data centers and renewable energy reaching 28 megawatts of active solar capacity.
Strong Balance Sheet
Total cash position increased to TRY108 billion, supporting debt service for the upcoming 3 years with a 0.2 times leverage ratio.
Negative Updates
Competitive Market Pressure
Intense market competition impacted postpaid net additions, with an increase in mobile churn rate to 1.7%.
Challenges in Fixed Broadband
Slight increase in churn due to transition to 12-month contracts and competition in the resale segment.
Deferred Tax Expenses
Higher deferred tax expenses were reported, influenced by differences in inflation accounting principles.
Net FX Position Concerns
Despite a strong balance sheet, volatility in currency exchange rates presents ongoing financial risks.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Turkcell reported a significant financial performance with several key metrics. The company achieved a top-line revenue of TRY48 billion, indicating a 12.7% year-on-year growth. EBITDA increased by 19% year-on-year to TRY21 billion, resulting in a robust margin of 43.7%, the highest first quarter margin in the last decade. Net profit stood at TRY3.1 billion, reflecting strong financial health. The mobile segment added 153,000 postpaid subscribers, pushing the postpaid share to an all-time high of 76%, while maintaining a low churn rate of 1.7%. The company also reported double-digit ARPU growth of 15.9%. In the fixed broadband segment, 30,000 net fiber customers were added, with residential fiber ARPU growing by 17.7% year-on-year. Strategic areas like the Techfin segment saw revenue growth of 31%, and data center and cloud revenues surged by 48%. Turkcell's CapEx to sales ratio was at 20.2%, with significant investments in data centers and renewable energy. The company maintained a strong balance sheet with a cash position of TRY108 billion and a leverage ratio of 0.2 times, ensuring readiness for future 5G investments.

Turkcell Iletisim Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Turkcell Iletisim demonstrates strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet structure. However, rising operational costs and increased capital expenditures are areas to monitor for future financial sustainability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Turkcell Iletisim's income statement shows strong growth and profitability. The Gross Profit Margin stands at 26.37% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. Net Profit Margin is healthy at 13.27%, and the Revenue Growth Rate over the past year is impressive at 64.79%, reflecting robust market expansion. However, the EBIT Margin decreased to 13.35% from the previous year's 21.07%, suggesting rising operational costs. The EBITDA Margin remains strong at 43.78%, showcasing solid operational cash flow generation.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet demonstrates solid financial stability. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is well-managed at 0.72, indicating a balanced capital structure. The Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 11.08%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital, while the Equity Ratio stands at 50.18%, highlighting a solid equity base. However, the increase in total debt over the last year suggests potential leverage risk if not carefully managed.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.67, indicating robust free cash flow generation relative to net income. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 3.03, reflecting strong cash flow from operations. However, Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is negative at -64.60%, pointing to increased capital expenditures which could impact future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue175.13B166.67B107.12B134.98B35.92B29.10B
Gross Profit46.18B41.16B22.70B12.11B10.70B8.77B
EBITDA76.69B74.84B45.19B43.86B13.03B11.66B
Net Income23.24B23.52B12.55B6.88B5.03B4.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets418.12B344.28B247.08B101.26B70.68B51.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments113.88B77.86B58.85B30.91B18.68B12.56B
Total Debt150.71B104.34B84.08B53.85B36.78B21.59B
Total Liabilities208.29B157.31B124.85B70.37B48.12B30.71B
Stockholders Equity209.83B186.97B122.25B30.89B22.56B20.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.68B44.31B17.64B11.07B29.80B5.31B
Operating Cash Flow70.40B75.01B60.24B25.15B19.95B13.09B
Investing Cash Flow-32.69B-48.86B-30.18B-19.65B-9.14B-6.78B
Financing Cash Flow18.93B-9.78B9.77B3.39B-3.94B-4.27B

Turkcell Iletisim Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.19
Price Trends
50DMA
6.01
Positive
100DMA
6.32
Negative
200DMA
6.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
56.58
Neutral
STOCH
93.65
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TKC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.98, above the 50-day MA of 6.01, and below the 200-day MA of 6.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.65 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TKC.

Turkcell Iletisim Risk Analysis

Turkcell Iletisim disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Turkcell Iletisim reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Summary of Risk Relating to our American Depositary Shares Q4, 2023
2.
We have two major shareholders whose interests may not be aligned with those of other shareholders. Q4, 2023
3.
Risk Factors Summary Summary of Risks relating to Turkiye Q4, 2023

Turkcell Iletisim Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TKTKC
77
Outperform
$5.39B12.826.74%3.85%14.09%-11.43%
SKSKM
74
Outperform
$8.99B10.1611.08%4.39%-4.13%4.96%
PHPHI
71
Outperform
$4.67B8.7528.10%7.44%-0.91%11.25%
71
Outperform
$6.46B18.0910.19%2.00%-1.52%4874.58%
USUSM
64
Neutral
$5.46B-0.84%-3.48%-169.60%
62
Neutral
€3.67B3.644.45%4.92%5.39%-160.72%
TETEO
55
Neutral
$3.84B18.833.99%-12.77%40.80%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TKC
Turkcell Iletisim
6.19
-1.47
-19.19%
PHI
PLDT
22.56
-1.09
-4.61%
SKM
Sk Telecom
23.79
2.89
13.83%
TEO
Telecom Argentina
8.95
2.21
32.79%
USM
United States Cellular
63.61
7.36
13.08%
TIGO
Millicom International Cellular SA
38.13
14.66
62.46%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 01, 2025