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Array Digital Infrastructure (AD)
NYSE:AD

Array Digital Infrastructure (AD) AI Stock Analysis

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Array Digital Infrastructure

(NYSE:AD)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$56.00
▲(6.14% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weakening financial performance (declining revenue, negative net margins, and deteriorating free cash flow). Offsetting this are a supportive technical backdrop (price above key moving averages with neutral momentum) and a strong positive corporate catalyst from the $1.018B asset sale paired with a large special dividend. Valuation appears reasonable but not distinctly cheap, and dividend yield data is unavailable.
Positive Factors
Asset monetization and capital return
The $1.018B spectrum sale and $10.25/share special dividend convert non-core spectrum into cash, materially boosting liquidity and enabling immediate capital returns. This structural monetization improves balance sheet flexibility, funds strategic priorities, and reduces asset complexity over the medium term.
Credit agreement extension and flexibility
The Fifth Amendment lengthening the credit maturity to five years and revising borrowing capacity extends the company’s funding runway and lowers near-term refinancing risk. Greater term stability and adjusted capacity provide management time and optionality to execute restructuring or growth plans without imminent liquidity pressure.
Management continuity and industry experience
Promoting Anthony Carlson, who has prior roles at Array and TDS, supplies continuity and sector expertise. Familiar leadership can more rapidly implement the company’s asset-monetization and core growth strategies, align stakeholders, and improve execution quality, supporting operational stability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and negative net margins
A sharp TTM revenue decline with negative net margins indicates structural demand, pricing, or operating issues that impair core profitability. Persistent top-line weakness and margin erosion reduce retained earnings and ROE, forcing trade-offs between investment, maintenance capex, and corrective cost actions needed to restore sustainable earnings.
Negative free cash flow growth
Negative free cash flow growth despite positive operating cash flow signals capital intensity or working capital strain that undermines self-funded investment. If FCF trends do not improve, the company will be reliant on asset sales or external financing to fund capex, dividends, and debt service, limiting sustainable long-term growth.
Negative return on equity with leverage
A moderate leverage profile combined with negative TTM ROE means capital is currently destroying value. Even manageable debt levels become riskier when profitability falters, constraining financial flexibility, increasing the cost of capital, and raising the likelihood of covenant or refinancing stress if operational performance doesn't recover.

Array Digital Infrastructure (AD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Array Digital Infrastructure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArray Digital Infrastructure, Inc. provides wireless telecommunications services in the United States. The company offers wireless services, including voice, messaging, and data services. It also provides wireless devices, such as handsets, tablets, mobile hotspots, home phones, and routers, as well as wireless essentials, including cases, screen protectors, chargers, and memory cards; and consumer electronics comprising Bluetooth audio, wi-fi enabled cameras, and networking products. In addition, it sells wireless devices to agents and other third-party distributors for resale; and offers option for customers to purchase devices and accessories under installment contracts. Further, the company offers wireless roaming, wireless eligible telecommunications carrier, and tower rental services. It serves consumer, business, and government customers. The company provides its products and services through retail sales, direct sales, telesales, ecommerce, resellers, and independent agents, as well as third-party national retailers. The company was formerly known as United States Cellular Corporation and changed its name to Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. in August 2025. Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. As of Novemeber 7, 2024, Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.
How the Company Makes MoneyArray Digital Infrastructure generates revenue primarily through its core offerings in colocation services, where clients rent space for their servers and equipment within AD's data centers. This constitutes a significant portion of their income, as it provides a steady, recurring revenue stream. Additionally, the company earns money from managed cloud services, offering clients scalable cloud solutions tailored to their specific needs, which typically involves subscription-based pricing models. Networking services, including high-speed internet access and private network solutions, also contribute to revenue, providing both one-time and ongoing fees. Partnerships with technology providers and telecom companies enhance AD's service offerings, enabling bundled solutions that attract more customers and create additional revenue opportunities. Overall, the combination of these revenue streams, along with strategic partnerships, underpins AD's financial growth.

Array Digital Infrastructure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with significant achievements, including the successful completion of the T-Mobile transaction, reduction in debt, and progress in fiber and tower businesses. However, there are some challenges with revenue decline in legacy markets and transition costs for the tower business.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Sale to T-Mobile
TDS completed the $4.3 billion sale of UScellular wireless business and certain spectrum assets to T-Mobile, unlocking significant value for shareholders and strengthening the balance sheet.
Special Dividend and Debt Reduction
Array Board declared a special dividend of $23 per share, with TDS receiving approximately $1.63 billion. $1.1 billion in debt will be redeemed, resulting in $80 million in annual interest savings.
Ratings Upgrade
S&P raised TDS' credit rating to BBB- from BB, reflecting a strong balance sheet and growth outlook.
Fiber Expansion Progress
Delivered 27,000 new fiber service addresses in Q2, with plans to achieve 150,000 fiber addresses in 2025. Fiber connections grew 19% year-over-year.
Tower Business Growth
Third-party tower revenues increased by 12%, and the number of third-party colocations increased by 6% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in Telecom
Total operating revenues for TDS Telecom were down 1% in Q2 compared to the prior year, impacted by divestitures and declines in legacy cable and copper markets.
Challenges in Transition to Independent Tower Company
Array will incur additional wind-down costs in 2025 and 2026 as it transforms from a wireless service provider to an independent tower company, negatively impacting profitability and adjusted EBITDA.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter 2025 conference call, TDS and Array announced significant progress in their strategic priorities, notably the closure of a $4.3 billion transaction selling UScellular's wireless business and certain spectrum assets to T-Mobile. This move was instrumental in strengthening the balance sheets of both TDS and Array, allowing them to focus on their tower and fiber businesses. Array Digital Infrastructure, now operating under a new name, boasts approximately 4,400 towers and a new master license agreement with T-Mobile, which is expected to drive colocations and margin growth. TDS Telecom, under new leadership, delivered 27,000 new fiber service addresses, aiming for 150,000 by year-end. Financially, TDS plans to redeem approximately $1.1 billion in debt, resulting in $80 million in annual interest savings. Additionally, TDS anticipates receiving $2 billion from spectrum sales to AT&T and Verizon, further enhancing their financial flexibility for strategic investments and shareholder returns.

Array Digital Infrastructure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Array Digital Infrastructure is facing declining revenues and profitability pressures, with a negative revenue growth rate and net profit margin. However, it maintains a strong gross profit margin and a stable balance sheet with manageable leverage. Cash flow generation is improving, providing a solid foundation for potential recovery.
Income Statement
Array Digital Infrastructure has experienced a decline in revenue over the TTM period, with a negative revenue growth rate of -29.6%. The gross profit margin remains strong at 71.7%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company is facing challenges with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -0.68% and negative EBIT margin. The EBITDA margin is relatively healthy at 22.57%, suggesting potential for operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 in the TTM period, reflecting a manageable level of leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -0.55%, indicating challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 44.3%, suggesting a stable capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
Array Digital Infrastructure shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 21.97% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, demonstrating strong cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.51, suggesting that a significant portion of earnings is being converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.83B3.77B3.91B4.17B4.12B4.04B
Gross Profit1.59B2.14B2.18B2.20B2.21B2.24B
EBITDA752.94M826.00M963.00M935.00M1.03B876.00M
Net Income254.80M-39.00M54.00M30.00M155.00M229.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.92B10.45B10.75B11.12B10.34B9.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments325.63M144.00M150.00M273.00M156.00M1.27B
Total Debt1.20B3.82B4.03B4.18B3.75B3.48B
Total Liabilities2.38B5.84B6.10B6.54B5.77B5.25B
Stockholders Equity2.53B4.58B4.63B4.55B4.55B4.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow361.30M326.00M128.00M-355.00M-1.24B248.00M
Operating Cash Flow524.90M883.00M866.00M832.00M802.00M1.24B
Investing Cash Flow2.31B-556.00M-721.00M-1.18B-2.04B-1.16B
Financing Cash Flow-2.79B-347.00M-274.00M456.00M142.00M926.00M

Array Digital Infrastructure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.76
Price Trends
50DMA
49.71
Positive
100DMA
50.19
Positive
200DMA
48.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.01
Positive
RSI
54.44
Neutral
STOCH
18.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.66, above the 50-day MA of 49.71, and above the 200-day MA of 48.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AD.

Array Digital Infrastructure Risk Analysis

Array Digital Infrastructure disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Array Digital Infrastructure reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Array Digital Infrastructure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.73B9.2825.22%7.78%0.59%8.86%
74
Outperform
$4.97B11.927.60%5.57%19.02%9.26%
63
Neutral
$4.56B18.034.11%42.91%-25.64%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$4.49B-39.061.73%0.39%-22.79%79.90%
57
Neutral
$3.55B-0.97
53
Neutral
$8.11B-4.79-4.56%23.46%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AD
Array Digital Infrastructure
52.76
9.19
21.09%
LUMN
Lumen Technologies
7.95
2.64
49.72%
LBTYA
Liberty Global A
10.66
-0.94
-8.10%
PHI
PLDT
22.26
0.95
4.46%
TKC
Turkcell Iletisim
5.68
-0.89
-13.57%
TDS
Telephone & Data Systems
42.18
8.00
23.41%

Array Digital Infrastructure Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsM&A Transactions
Array Digital Infrastructure Completes Spectrum Sale, Declares Dividend
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

On January 13, 2026, Array Digital Infrastructure completed the previously announced sale of select spectrum assets, including 700 MHz band licenses, to AT&T’s New Cingular Wireless PCS unit for $1.018 billion in cash, with no portion of the purchase price deferred. The transaction, which follows Array’s August 1, 2025 spectrum sale to T-Mobile and its May 28, 2024 plan to monetize retained spectrum, advances the company’s strategy of extracting value from non-core spectrum holdings and converting it into cash. On the same day, the board declared a special cash dividend of $10.25 per share for holders of Common Stock and Series A Common Stock, payable on February 2, 2026 to shareholders of record as of January 23, 2026, signaling an immediate return of proceeds to investors and underscoring management’s focus on capital returns following the asset sale.

The most recent analyst rating on (AD) stock is a Buy with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Array Digital Infrastructure stock, see the AD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Array Digital Infrastructure Amends Credit Agreement Terms
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. entered into the Fifth Amendment to its First Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Toronto Dominion (Texas) LLC and other lenders. The amendment reduces Array’s borrowing capacity from $300 million to $100 million and extends the maturity date to five years from the effective date. It also removes the credit spread adjustment for the Term SOFR interest rate and increases the capacity for secured and unsecured debt by $300 million, impacting Array’s financial operations and potential leverage.

The most recent analyst rating on (AD) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Array Digital Infrastructure stock, see the AD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Array Digital Infrastructure Appoints New CEO Anthony Carlson
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. announced the appointment of Anthony Carlson as President and CEO, effective November 16, 2025. Mr. Carlson, who previously held various roles at Array and TDS Telecommunications LLC, will succeed Douglas W. Chambers, who will remain as a Senior Advisor until December 9, 2025. This leadership change is expected to influence Array’s strategic direction, given Mr. Carlson’s extensive experience and family ties within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AD) stock is a Hold with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Array Digital Infrastructure stock, see the AD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026