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Telephone & Data Systems Inc. (TDS)
:TDS
US Market
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Telephone & Data Systems (TDS) AI Stock Analysis

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TDS

Telephone & Data Systems

(NYSE:TDS)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▼(-2.04% Downside)
TDS's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which shows significant challenges with declining revenues and profitability issues. The earnings call provided some positive strategic initiatives, but operational challenges remain. Technical analysis and valuation indicate a lack of strong momentum and profitability concerns, respectively.

Telephone & Data Systems (TDS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Telephone & Data Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelephone and Data Systems, Inc., a telecommunications company, provides communications services in the United States. It operates through two segments: UScellular and TDS Telecom. The company offers wireless solutions to consumers and business and government customers, including a suite of connected Internet of things (IoT) solutions, and software applications for monitor and control, business automation/operations, communication, fleet and asset management, smart water solutions, private cellular networks and custom, and end-to-end IoT solutions; wireless priority services and quality priority and preemption options; smartphones and other handsets, tablets, wearables, mobile hotspots, routers, and IoT devices; and accessories, such as cases, screen protectors, chargers, and memory cards, as well as consumer electronics, including audio, home automation and networking products. It also provides replace and repair services; Trade-In program through which it buys customers' used equipment; internet connections and all-home WI-FI services; TDS TV+, an integrated cloud television platform that offers video content; local and long-distance telephone service, VoIP, and enhanced services; and broadband, IP-based services, and hosted voice and video collaboration services. The company sells its products through retail sales, direct and indirect sales, third-party retailers, and independent agents, as well as through ecommerce and telesales. As of December 31, 2021, it offers its services to customers 5 million wireless connections, and 1.2 million wireline and cable connections. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyTDS generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its telecommunications services. The main revenue sources include residential and business broadband services, voice services, and video services offered by TDS Telecom. In the wireless segment, U.S. Cellular earns revenue through mobile voice and data plans, device sales, and accessory sales. The company also benefits from partnerships with various technology providers and infrastructure investments that enhance service offerings and customer reach. Additionally, TDS may earn revenue through ancillary services, such as installation fees and equipment leasing, contributing to its overall earnings.

Telephone & Data Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a successful transition of Array Digital Infrastructure, a significant milestone in fiber expansion, and strong capital allocation strategy. However, challenges remain with fiber build underperformance, a dispute with DISH Wireless, and high SG&A expenses at Array.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Transition of Array Digital Infrastructure
Array Digital Infrastructure transitioned into an independent tower company, showing growth and appointing Anthony Carlson as the new President and CEO.
Fiber Expansion Milestone
TDS Telecom achieved 1 million fiber addresses and reported 19% growth in residential fiber connections since last year.
T-Mobile Transaction Benefits
Close of the T-Mobile transaction brought a $1.6 billion special dividend, aiding debt paydown and supporting a $500 million share repurchase program.
Strong Capital Allocation Strategy
TDS is focusing on investing in fiber, exploring M&A opportunities, and returning capital to shareholders through stock repurchase and dividends.
Array Spectrum Monetization Progress
Agreements reached to monetize 70% of spectrum holdings, including sales to Verizon and AT&T for $1 billion each.
Negative Updates
Fiber Build Underperformance
Fiber address delivery was behind schedule, and actions are being taken to improve this, such as increasing construction crews.
DISH Wireless MLA Dispute
Array received a letter from DISH Wireless challenging its obligations under the master lease agreement, which Array plans to enforce.
Low Operating Revenue
TDS Telecom's total operating revenues were down 3% year-over-year, with legacy cable and copper markets declining.
High SG&A Expenses at Array
Array's SG&A expenses remain high due to costs related to legacy wireless operations, spectrum management, and strategic review.
Company Guidance
During the TDS and Array Third Quarter 2025 Operating Results Conference Call, the company provided forward-looking guidance encompassing several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. TDS reported a $1.6 billion special dividend received from Array, which contributed to a significant reduction in debt and supported TDS's fiber expansion program. Additionally, TDS announced a new $500 million share repurchase program, highlighting its commitment to returning capital to shareholders. In terms of fiber infrastructure, TDS Telecom achieved a milestone of 1 million fiber addresses and plans to expand this by several hundred thousand more, with a target of 1.8 million marketable fiber service addresses. The company emphasized its focus on capital allocation, with priorities including fiber investment, opportunistic and disciplined M&A, and shareholder returns. Array, now an independent tower company, reported a 68% year-over-year growth in site rental revenue and continued progress in spectrum monetization, including pending transactions expected to generate $2 billion from AT&T and Verizon.

Telephone & Data Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TDS faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability issues. The income statement shows negative revenue growth and net profit margin. The balance sheet is stable in leverage but suffers from negative returns. Cash flow management is weak, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows declining revenue with a negative revenue growth rate of -1.07% TTM. Gross profit margin remains relatively stable at 52.83% TTM, but the net profit margin is negative at -0.85% TTM, indicating losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, suggesting operational challenges. Overall, the company faces profitability issues with declining revenues.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.02 TTM, indicating balanced leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -0.81% TTM, highlighting profitability challenges. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a reasonable capital structure. Despite manageable leverage, profitability remains a concern.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals significant challenges, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -8884.28% TTM. Operating cash flow is negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is highly negative, indicating cash flow issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive, but overall cash flow management is weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.89B4.96B5.16B5.41B5.33B5.22B
Gross Profit1.83B2.83B2.83B2.85B2.86B2.87B
EBITDA837.64M1.20B682.00M1.08B1.35B1.36B
Net Income-74.06M-28.00M-500.00M62.00M156.00M226.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.0013.68B13.92B14.55B13.49B12.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.00364.00M236.00M360.00M367.00M1.43B
Total Debt584.77M5.10B5.14B4.80B4.04B4.50B
Total Liabilities3.25B7.80B7.91B7.93B6.75B6.92B
Stockholders Equity4.47B5.09B5.20B5.85B5.93B4.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.27B241.00M-199.00M-620.00M-48.00M164.00M
Operating Cash Flow29.07B1.15B1.14B1.16B1.10B1.53B
Investing Cash Flow263.19B-754.00M-1.33B-1.78B-2.46B-1.51B
Financing Cash Flow-1.37T-277.00M56.00M613.00M321.00M957.00M

Telephone & Data Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price38.79
Price Trends
50DMA
38.76
Negative
100DMA
38.26
Negative
200DMA
36.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
39.79
Neutral
STOCH
37.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TDS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 38.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.74, above the 50-day MA of 38.76, and above the 200-day MA of 36.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TDS.

Telephone & Data Systems Risk Analysis

Telephone & Data Systems disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Telephone & Data Systems reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Telephone & Data Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$5.00B11.437.38%5.57%19.02%9.26%
70
Outperform
$3.10B3.0689.94%8.66%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
58
Neutral
$10.79B-4.56%23.46%
57
Neutral
$4.22B-160.26-0.54%49.61%-3.65%-134.04%
54
Neutral
$5.61B-0.27%1.71%3.89%-107.44%
49
Neutral
$4.07B-0.81%0.42%-5.62%80.09%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TDS
Telephone & Data Systems
37.69
5.23
16.10%
LUMN
Lumen Technologies
10.52
0.40
3.95%
TEO
Telecom Argentina
11.89
1.01
9.25%
TKC
Turkcell Iletisim
5.81
-0.72
-10.96%
AD
Array Digital Infrastructure
46.36
0.63
1.39%
VEON
VEON
43.57
10.39
31.34%

Telephone & Data Systems Corporate Events

TDS Reports Q3 2025 Earnings and New Share Buyback
Nov 8, 2025

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (TDS) is a telecommunications company that offers broadband, video, voice, and wireless services through its TDS Telecom business, while its Array division leases tower space and holds wireless spectrum licenses. In its latest earnings report for the third quarter of 2025, TDS announced a new $500 million share repurchase authorization, highlighting its strategic focus on enhancing shareholder value. The company reported total operating revenues of $308.5 million, a decrease from $327.5 million in the same period last year, but showed a significant improvement in net income attributable to common shareholders, which rose to $40.2 million from a loss of $100.4 million in the previous year. Key highlights from the report include the execution of a fiber broadband strategy by TDS Telecom, with 42,000 new marketable fiber service addresses and 11,200 residential fiber net additions. Additionally, the company completed the sale of its wireless operations to T-Mobile, resulting in a 68% increase in site rental revenues. Looking ahead, TDS management remains optimistic about the company’s future, emphasizing its robust fiber strategy and the potential for growth in its Array tower business under new leadership. The company’s financial flexibility and strategic initiatives are expected to position it well for future opportunities.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Telephone & Data Systems Settles Outstanding Debts
Negative
Aug 22, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (TDS) settled all its outstanding debts and obligations under several credit agreements, including those with CoBank, Wells Fargo National Association, and Oaktree Fund Administration, LLC. The termination of the credit agreement with Oaktree resulted in a $9 million penalty, impacting the company’s financial obligations and potentially influencing its future financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (TDS) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telephone & Data Systems stock, see the TDS Stock Forecast page.

TDS Earnings Call: Strategic Gains Amid Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

The recent earnings call for Telephone & Data Systems Inc. (TDS) painted a picture of optimism and strategic progress, despite some challenges. The company celebrated significant achievements, such as the successful completion of the T-Mobile transaction, which has improved its financial position and advanced its fiber expansion plans. However, the call also acknowledged hurdles, including revenue declines in TDS Telecom and increased expenses. Overall, the positive developments and strong strategic direction provide an optimistic outlook for the future.

TDS Faces Financial Turbulence Amid Operational Risks and Legal Challenges
Aug 12, 2025

Telephone & Data Systems Inc. faces significant business risks due to its complex financial and operational activities, as highlighted in its recent financial disclosures. The company’s reconciliation of revenue and expenses, including intersegment eliminations and strategic review costs, indicates potential challenges in maintaining profitability. Additionally, the recent sale of wireless operations to T-Mobile and the associated financial adjustments, such as debt exchanges and tax liabilities, could impact TDS’s financial stability. Legal proceedings and stockholder lawsuits further compound the risk landscape, potentially affecting the company’s financial condition and operational outcomes.

TDS Reports Q2 2025 Earnings and Strategic Moves
Aug 12, 2025

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (TDS) is a telecommunications company that provides broadband, video, and voice services through its TDS Telecom business, and leases tower space through its Array business. Founded in 1969 and headquartered in Chicago, TDS operates primarily in the telecommunications sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025