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AT&T (T)
NYSE:T
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AT&T (T) AI Stock Analysis

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T

AT&T

(NYSE:T)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(4.35% Upside)
AT&T's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance, particularly in cash flow and profitability improvements, and attractive valuation metrics. Technical indicators suggest a neutral outlook, while recent earnings call highlights growth potential in Mobility and Fiber segments despite some operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
AT&T delivered solid 2Q results that keep the company on track to deliver on annual service revenue growth, better EBITDA growth, and favorable FCF.
Strategic Investments
AT&T is investing in incremental fiber build, contributing to fund its pension, and using the remainder for strategic opportunities including increasing its return of capital levels.
Negative Factors
Churn Rates
Mobility saw higher-than-expected churn, however, and lower adj. EBITDA – driven primarily by higher device subsidies.
Competitive Environment
The greater level of wireless promotional intensity may weigh on Mobility segment EBITDA growth for the balance of the year.

AT&T (T) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AT&T Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAT&T Inc. provides telecommunications, media, and technology services worldwide. Its Communications segment offers wireless voice and data communications services; and sells handsets, wireless data cards, wireless computing devices, and carrying cases and hands-free devices through its own company-owned stores, agents, and third-party retail stores. It also provides data, voice, security, cloud solutions, outsourcing, and managed and professional services, as well as customer premises equipment for multinational corporations, small and mid-sized businesses, governmental, and wholesale customers. In addition, this segment offers broadband fiber and legacy telephony voice communication services to residential customers. It markets its communications services and products under the AT&T, Cricket, AT&T PREPAID, and AT&T Fiber brand names. The company's Latin America segment provides wireless services in Mexico; and video services in Latin America. This segment markets its services and products under the AT&T and Unefon brand names. The company was formerly known as SBC Communications Inc. and changed its name to AT&T Inc. in 2005. AT&T Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyAT&T generates revenue through a diverse range of streams. The majority of its income comes from its Communications segment, which includes wireless services, wireline services, and broadband offerings. The company charges monthly subscription fees for mobile and internet services, as well as pay-per-view content and advertising revenue from its video services. The WarnerMedia segment contributes significantly to revenue through content creation, distribution, and licensing, particularly from its HBO and Warner Bros. properties. Additionally, AT&T benefits from partnerships, such as agreements with content providers and distribution deals, enhancing its service offerings and revenue potential. Factors such as the growth in demand for mobile data, the expansion of 5G services, and strategic acquisitions also play a crucial role in driving the company's earnings.

AT&T Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Mobility: Postpaid Average Revenue Per User
Mobility: Postpaid Average Revenue Per User
Measures the average revenue generated from each postpaid customer, indicating the value of AT&T's customer base and its ability to upsell services or increase pricing.
Chart InsightsAT&T's Mobility Postpaid ARPU has shown a significant upward trend since mid-2023, reflecting strategic pricing and service enhancements. This aligns with the company's strong growth in Mobility service revenue, as highlighted in the recent earnings call. Despite increased churn, the addition of 401,000 postpaid phone customers underscores robust demand. The company's focus on expanding its fiber network and leveraging favorable policy environments positions it well for sustained growth, although higher equipment costs could pressure margins.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

AT&T Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.85%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
AT&T's earnings call highlighted strong growth in Mobility and Fiber segments, increased financial performance, and a favorable policy environment for investment. However, challenges include increased churn in postpaid phones, declining Business Wireline revenues, and higher equipment costs. Despite these lowlights, the overall sentiment is positive due to significant achievements and strategic positioning for future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Mobility and Fiber Subscriber Growth
AT&T added over 400,000 postpaid phone customers and 243,000 fiber subscribers in Q2 2025. This represents nearly 450,000 new subscribers to advanced broadband services, nearly tripling quarterly broadband net adds in one year.
Increased Mobility Service Revenue Guidance
Due to strong performance, AT&T increased its full-year guidance for Mobility service revenue growth to 3% or better, up from the high end of the 2% to 3% range.
Improved Financial Performance
Consolidated revenues and adjusted EBITDA each grew 3.5% year-over-year. Adjusted EPS increased by approximately 6% to $0.54, and free cash flow was $4.4 billion, up from $4 billion the prior year.
Expansion of Fiber Network
By the end of 2030, AT&T plans to reach more than 60 million fiber locations, doubling its fiber reach from more than 30 million total locations. This includes acquisitions and joint ventures.
Pro-Investment Policy Environment
AT&T highlights the favorable investment and policy environment, including tax savings and legislative support for infrastructure investment, which supports their growth and network expansion strategies.
Strong Consumer Wireline Performance
Consumer Wireline revenue grew 5.8% year-over-year, driven by approximately 19% growth in fiber revenue. Consumer Wireline EBITDA grew by 17.8%.
Negative Updates
Increased Postpaid Phone Churn
Postpaid phone churn rose to 0.87%, up 17 basis points versus last year, driven by customers reaching the end of device financing periods and increased market activity.
Business Wireline Revenue Decline
Business Wireline revenues declined 9.3% year-over-year, with EBITDA declining 11.3%, despite cost-saving initiatives.
Higher Mobility Equipment Costs
AT&T experienced higher mobility equipment costs related to increased volumes and the launch of AT&T Guarantee, impacting cash operating expenses.
Company Guidance
During AT&T's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, guidance highlighted several key metrics. The company reported a 3.5% year-over-year increase in both total revenues and adjusted EBITDA. Adjusted EPS rose by approximately 6% to $0.54, and free cash flow reached $4.4 billion, up from $4 billion the previous year. Capital investment increased modestly to $5.1 billion, with expectations for third-quarter investments to range between $5 billion and $5.5 billion, and free cash flow anticipated between $4.5 billion and $5 billion. AT&T achieved 401,000 postpaid phone net additions, contributing to a 3.5% growth in Mobility service revenue, while also adding 243,000 fiber and 203,000 Internet Air net subscribers. The company plans to accelerate fiber deployment, aiming to reach approximately 50 million customer locations by 2030, leveraging policy tailwinds and the One Big Beautiful Bill Act to enhance network investments and job creation.

AT&T Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AT&T exhibits a stable financial position with strong cash flow generation and improved profitability. However, high leverage and stagnant revenue growth present potential risks. Continued focus on cost management and debt reduction is needed for long-term health.
Income Statement
67
Positive
AT&T's income statement reveals a stable revenue base with a slight increase in TTM revenue compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin for TTM is 64.54%, reflecting strong cost management. Net profit margin has improved to 9.64% in TTM, showing enhanced profitability compared to previous losses. However, revenue growth remains stagnant, and EBIT margin is lower than optimal at 15.86%, indicating room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.20 in TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could be a risk in volatile markets. However, the equity ratio is reasonably healthy at 30.14%, providing some balance. Return on equity is 9.89%, showing moderate efficiency in utilizing equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
AT&T's cash flow statement is strong, with the operating cash flow to net income ratio at 3.40 in TTM, indicating robust cash generation relative to profits. Free cash flow growth is positive, and free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.64, showing a good ability to cover net income with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue122.93B122.34B122.43B120.74B134.04B171.76B
Gross Profit52.91B52.53B53.53B51.87B55.78B63.32B
EBITDA45.16B44.02B45.32B21.07B53.72B33.57B
Net Income11.85B10.95B14.40B-8.52B20.08B-5.18B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets397.47B394.80B407.06B402.85B551.62B525.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.88B3.30B6.72B3.70B19.22B9.74B
Total Debt143.59B140.92B154.90B154.68B195.83B179.45B
Total Liabilities275.63B274.57B287.64B296.40B367.77B346.52B
Stockholders Equity103.74B104.37B103.30B97.50B166.33B161.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.49B18.51B20.46B12.40B25.43B27.45B
Operating Cash Flow40.27B38.77B38.31B32.02B41.96B43.13B
Investing Cash Flow-19.49B-17.49B-19.66B-25.80B-32.09B-13.55B
Financing Cash Flow-17.45B-24.71B-15.61B-23.74B1.58B-32.01B

AT&T Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.75
Price Trends
50DMA
27.74
Positive
100DMA
27.40
Positive
200DMA
25.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
66.27
Neutral
STOCH
87.30
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For T, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.80, above the 50-day MA of 27.74, and above the 200-day MA of 25.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.30 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for T.

AT&T Risk Analysis

AT&T disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AT&T reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

AT&T Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$182.36B10.0518.26%6.23%2.05%61.39%
80
Outperform
$283.92B23.7919.74%1.31%6.27%31.78%
76
Outperform
$40.11B7.3236.19%1.03%17.05%
74
Outperform
$57.73B19.9614.41%2.77%-0.64%56.92%
72
Outperform
$121.47B5.4325.44%3.89%2.54%60.53%
67
Neutral
$203.64B16.2412.12%3.86%1.46%0.88%
60
Neutral
$44.01B1.91-11.93%4.00%2.46%-39.70%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
T
AT&T
28.75
10.28
55.66%
AMX
America Movil
18.86
2.15
12.87%
CHTR
Charter Communications
263.20
-90.11
-25.50%
CMCSA
Comcast
32.90
-5.40
-14.10%
VZ
Verizon
43.50
5.44
14.29%
TMUS
T Mobile US
250.31
56.46
29.13%

AT&T Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
AT&T Completes $3.5 Billion Global Notes Sale
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, AT&T successfully closed the sale of $3.5 billion in aggregate principal amount of Global Notes with varying maturity dates and interest rates. This strategic financial move is expected to impact AT&T’s financial operations by potentially enhancing liquidity and supporting its long-term investment strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (T) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AT&T stock, see the T Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
AT&T Announces Acquisition of Lumen’s Fiber Business
Positive
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, AT&T announced a definitive agreement to acquire Lumen Technologies’ Mass Markets fiber business for $5.75 billion. This acquisition, expected to close in the first half of 2026, will allow AT&T to expand its fiber network to approximately 60 million locations by 2030, significantly enhancing its market presence in 11 U.S. states. The deal is anticipated to stimulate investment in U.S. connectivity infrastructure, create jobs, and improve high-speed internet access for millions. AT&T plans to engage an equity partner post-acquisition to co-invest in the business, further supporting its growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (T) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AT&T stock, see the T Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
AT&T Stockholders Show Strong Leadership Support
Positive
May 19, 2025

On May 15, 2025, AT&T Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders virtually, with 76.08% of common shares represented. During the meeting, the election of directors was conducted, with all nominees receiving a majority of votes cast, reflecting strong shareholder support for the company’s leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (T) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AT&T stock, see the T Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025