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T Mobile US (TMUS)
NASDAQ:TMUS
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T Mobile US (TMUS) AI Stock Analysis

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TMUS

T Mobile US

(NASDAQ:TMUS)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$268.00
▲(11.92% Upside)
T-Mobile US's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's robust growth and strategic expansions are offset by bearish technical indicators and a relatively high valuation. Despite these challenges, T-Mobile's raised guidance and market leadership in 5G broadband position it well for future growth.
Positive Factors
5G Broadband Leadership
T-Mobile's leadership in 5G broadband net additions underscores its competitive edge and market dominance in a rapidly growing sector.
Strategic Partnerships
Being the official provider for the LA Olympics enhances T-Mobile's brand visibility and showcases its network capabilities on a global stage.
Revenue Growth
Strong growth in postpaid service revenues indicates successful customer acquisition and retention strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage could limit financial flexibility and increase risk, especially if interest rates rise or cash flow generation slows.
Churn Increase
Increased churn can impact customer base stability and revenue predictability, challenging long-term growth if not addressed.
Integration Costs
Significant integration costs from acquisitions could strain resources and delay profitability improvements, impacting short-term financials.

T Mobile US (TMUS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

T Mobile US Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionT-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. The company offers voice, messaging, and data services to 108.7 million customers in the postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale markets. It also provides wireless devices, including smartphones, wearables, and tablets and other mobile communication devices, as well as wireless devices and accessories. In addition, the company offers services, devices, and accessories under the T-Mobile and Metro by T-Mobile brands through its owned and operated retail stores, T-Mobile app and customer care channels, and its websites. It also sells its devices to dealers and other third-party distributors for resale through independent third-party retail outlets and various third-party websites. As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 102,000 macro cell and 41,000 small cell/distributed antenna system sites. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyT-Mobile US generates revenue primarily through its subscription-based services, which include postpaid and prepaid wireless plans. The majority of its earnings come from postpaid customers who pay a monthly fee for voice and data services. Additionally, T-Mobile earns revenue from selling mobile devices and accessories, as well as from mobile broadband services. The company also benefits from partnerships with manufacturers and technology firms, which enable it to offer bundled services and devices. Key revenue streams include customer fees, device sales, and service contracts, with a focus on expanding its customer base and enhancing service offerings to drive growth.

T Mobile US Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Customers by Type
Customers by Type
Categorizes customers into segments such as postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale, providing a clear view of T-Mobile’s customer base composition and potential areas for growth or risk.
Chart InsightsT-Mobile's postpaid customer base has shown robust growth, with a significant increase since mid-2020, driven by strategic initiatives and premium plan popularity. The latest earnings call highlights record-breaking postpaid additions and a 9% rise in postpaid service revenues, underscoring strong market positioning. Prepaid customers also saw a notable uptick, particularly in mid-2024, reflecting effective market penetration strategies. Despite slightly higher churn, T-Mobile's increased guidance and new business partnerships signal confidence in sustaining momentum amid competitive pressures.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

T Mobile US Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was overwhelmingly positive, with T-Mobile reporting record-breaking growth across multiple metrics, successful network expansions, and strong financial performance. Although there was a slight increase in churn, it was minor compared to the significant achievements and upward guidance revisions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Q2 Growth
T-Mobile delivered the greatest Q2 growth in its history, achieving the best Q2 postpaid phone nets, total postpaid net additions, and gross additions with double-digit year-over-year increases.
Postpaid ARPA Growth
Postpaid ARPA grew over 5%, marking the highest growth in eight years, driven by customers upgrading to premium plans and the introduction of new rate plans.
5G Broadband Leadership
T-Mobile led the industry in broadband net additions for the 14th straight quarter, achieving its highest ever business 5G broadband net additions.
Network Expansion and Leadership
T-Mobile continues to widen its network lead with new advancements and expansions, including the rollout of 1,000 new sites year-to-date and a plan to bring on nearly 4,000 sites this year.
Strong Financial Performance
Postpaid service revenues grew 9% year-over-year, with total service revenues up 6%. Adjusted free cash flow reached a new Q2 record of $4.6 billion, translating to a 26% conversion from service revenues.
Increased Year-End Guidance
T-Mobile raised its total postpaid net additions guidance to between 6.1 million and 6.4 million, and increased its core adjusted EBITDA guidance by $100 million at the lower end.
Negative Updates
Slight Increase in Churn
Despite strong subscriber growth, T-Mobile experienced slightly higher churn as a result of the competitive market environment and rate plan optimizations.
Company Guidance
During the call, T-Mobile provided an updated guidance for the year 2025, reflecting strong business performance and strategic moves. The company increased its total postpaid net additions expectations to between 6.1 million and 6.4 million, with 100,000 of these being fiber net additions. Postpaid phone net additions are now projected to be between 2.95 million and 3.1 million, marking the highest customer guidance at this point in the year. T-Mobile anticipates strong postpaid ARPA growth of at least 3.5% and has raised its 2025 service revenue growth expectation to at least 6%. Core adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $33.3 billion and $33.7 billion, and cash CapEx is projected at approximately $9.5 billion. The adjusted free cash flow, including merger-related costs, is expected to range from $17.6 billion to $18 billion. This guidance excludes the impact of UScellular, which will be updated after the transaction closes.

T Mobile US Financial Statement Overview

Summary
T-Mobile US demonstrates robust financial health with strong revenue growth, high profitability, and efficient cash flow generation. Despite high leverage typical for the industry, the company's effective use of equity and strong return on equity highlight its financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
T-Mobile US shows strong revenue growth with a Revenue Growth Rate of 3.26% in TTM over the previous year. The Gross Profit Margin is robust at 59.87%, and the Net Profit Margin improved to 14.53% from 13.93% annually. Both EBIT Margin at 23.13% and EBITDA Margin at 38.09% indicate efficient operations. The company's consistent growth and profitability highlight its competitive edge in the telecommunications sector.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The Debt-to-Equity Ratio stands at 1.93, reflecting a high level of leverage, typical for the telecommunications industry. However, the Return on Equity (ROE) of 19.99% and an Equity Ratio of 28.75% indicate a solid financial position. While leverage is high, the company effectively utilizes equity to generate returns, showcasing financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is significant at 32.77%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.09, suggesting efficient cash conversion from earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.09 further supports the company's ability to generate cash beyond its net earnings, ensuring liquidity and financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue84.05B81.40B78.56B79.57B80.12B68.40B
Gross Profit53.46B51.75B48.37B43.37B43.51B40.13B
EBITDA32.08B31.04B27.15B20.16B23.08B20.38B
Net Income12.21B11.34B8.32B2.59B3.02B3.06B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets212.64B208.03B207.68B211.34B206.56B200.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.26B5.41B5.13B4.51B6.63B10.38B
Total Debt117.86B114.40B113.83B111.79B108.82B107.25B
Total Liabilities151.54B146.29B142.97B141.68B137.46B134.82B
Stockholders Equity61.11B61.74B64.72B69.66B69.10B65.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.25B9.98B7.75B-520.00M-7.78B-3.73B
Operating Cash Flow25.53B22.29B18.56B16.78B13.92B8.64B
Investing Cash Flow-10.57B-9.07B-5.83B-12.36B-19.39B-12.71B
Financing Cash Flow-11.03B-12.81B-12.10B-6.45B1.71B13.01B

T Mobile US Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price239.45
Price Trends
50DMA
242.44
Negative
100DMA
239.93
Negative
200DMA
241.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.72
Positive
RSI
40.02
Neutral
STOCH
12.05
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TMUS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 239.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 247.95, below the 50-day MA of 242.44, and below the 200-day MA of 241.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.05 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TMUS.

T Mobile US Risk Analysis

T Mobile US disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. T Mobile US reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

T Mobile US Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
186.40B10.1617.65%6.13%2.05%61.39%
78
Outperform
119.74B5.3323.65%3.95%2.54%60.53%
77
Outperform
211.22B16.7212.12%3.76%1.46%0.88%
73
Outperform
$269.81B22.6119.74%1.47%6.27%31.78%
68
Neutral
62.63B21.6011.57%2.55%-0.64%56.92%
68
Neutral
40.86B7.2932.48%1.03%17.05%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TMUS
T Mobile US
239.45
45.53
23.48%
AMX
America Movil
20.50
4.11
25.08%
T
AT&T
29.54
8.78
42.29%
CHTR
Charter Communications
268.02
-71.62
-21.09%
CMCSA
Comcast
32.43
-6.06
-15.74%
VZ
Verizon
44.21
3.09
7.51%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2025