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America Movil S.A.B. De C.V. (AMX)
NYSE:AMX

America Movil (AMX) AI Stock Analysis

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AMX

America Movil

(NYSE:AMX)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(9.43% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/14/26
The score is primarily driven by solid underlying operations and steady cash generation, offset by higher leverage, uneven growth (2025 revenue decline), and weaker recent free-cash-flow momentum. Technically, the uptrend supports the rating, but overbought signals temper it. Valuation is reasonable with a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Scale & Market Position
América Móvil’s operations span many countries with fully owned units (Telcel, Telmex) and major stakes (Claro, A1). This regional scale provides cost, network and commercial advantages, supporting competitive pricing, spectrum leverage and cross-selling that sustain margins and capital efficiency over time.
Operating Profitability & Margins
High and stable telecom margins reflect efficient network economics and recurring service revenue. Strong 2025 margins imply operating leverage that converts incremental revenue into cash, supporting sustainable EBITDA generation, resilience to competition and ability to fund capex and returns over the medium term.
Cash Generation & Deleveraging Capacity
Consistently positive operating cash flow (~225–280B annually) and the ability to fund capex and dividends while reducing net debt show durable cash conversion. This cash generation underpins investment flexibility and creditor confidence, enabling strategic moves or further balance sheet repair over coming months.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Rising leverage materially increases financial risk and interest burden, reducing strategic flexibility. With debt-to-equity at ~2.53, the company is more exposed to rate rises or refinancing strains, limiting capacity for opportunistic investment or rapid dividend increases without further balance-sheet adjustments.
Uneven Revenue Momentum
A contraction in top-line in 2025 signals underlying demand or competitive pressures that could persist. Telecoms rely on steady ARPU and subscriber growth to sustain margins; inconsistent revenue trends make planning capex, pricing and market expansion more uncertain and can mute long-term earnings visibility.
Weaker Free Cash Flow Conversion
A substantial FCF decline and weak conversion of net income into discretionary cash reduce capacity to deleverage, invest or return capital without raising new debt. This gap between earnings and cash limits financial optionality and elevates execution risk for strategic initiatives over the next several quarters.

America Movil (AMX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

America Movil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmérica Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. provides telecommunications services in Latin America and internationally. The company offers wireless and fixed voice services, including local, domestic, and international long-distance services; and network interconnection services. It also provides data services, such as data centers, data administration, and hosting services to residential and corporate clients; value-added services, including Internet access, messaging, and other wireless entertainment and corporate services; data transmission, email services, instant messaging, content streaming, and interactive applications; and wireless security services, mobile payment solutions, machine-to-machine services, mobile banking, virtual private network services, and video calls and personal communications services. In addition, the company offers residential broadband services; IT solutions for small businesses and large corporations; and cable and satellite pay television subscriptions. Further, it sells equipment, accessories, and computers; and offers telephone directories, wireless security, call center, advertising, media, and software development services. Additionally, the company provides video, audio, and other media content through the Internet directly from the content provider to the end user. It sells its products and services under the Telcel, Telmex Infinitum, and A1 brands through a network of retailers and service centers to retail customers; and through sales force to corporate customers. As of December 31, 2021, the company had approximately 286.5 million wireless voice and data subscribers. América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmerica Movil generates revenue primarily through its telecommunications services, which include mobile voice and data, fixed-line services, broadband, and television broadcasting. The company's mobile segment is a significant contributor to its earnings, driven by subscription fees, usage charges, and data plans. Additionally, revenue is generated from fixed-line services, including internet and landline subscriptions. America Movil also earns from advertising and content services associated with its television offerings. The company has strategic partnerships with various technology and media firms, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base. Furthermore, its investments in network infrastructure and expansion into new markets play a crucial role in sustaining its revenue growth.

America Movil Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a largely positive operational and financial picture: strong postpaid and broadband subscriber growth, expanding EBITDA and operating profit, a fourfold increase in quarterly net profit, and a nearly 40% increase in free cash flow. Management provided clear capital allocation priorities (deleveraging to a 1.3–1.5x net debt/EBITDA target, continued shareholder distributions, and opportunistic regional M&A) and CapEx guidance (~14%–15% of revenues). Key challenges include prepaid losses in some markets (notably Brazil and Chile), FX volatility that creates reporting noise and planning complexity, an unusual spike in pretax nonoperating expenses, and a slight exceedance of leverage targets. Overall, the positive growth, cash generation, and disciplined capital allocation plans outweigh the near‑term headwinds and uncertainties reported on the call.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Subscriber Growth
Added 2.5 million wireless subscribers in Q4 (2.8 million postpaid net gains; 298,000 prepaid losses), ending the quarter with 331 million wireless subscribers. Postpaid base grew 8.4% year‑over‑year. Key postpaid net adds: Brazil +644,000; Colombia +276,000; Peru +148,000; Mexico +135,000.
Fixed Broadband and PayTV Momentum
Connected 524,000 broadband accesses in Q4 (Mexico 84,000; Brazil 113,000; Argentina 57,000; Colombia 49,000). PayTV added 77,000 units. Broadband accesses grew 5.6% year‑over‑year and fixed broadband revenue increased 6.4%.
Revenue Growth (Reported and Constant Currency)
Q4 revenue rose 3.4% in Mexican pesos to MXN 245 billion and increased 6.2% at constant exchange rates. Service revenue expanded 5.3% year‑over‑year.
EBITDA and Operating Profit Expansion
EBITDA grew 4.2% in MXN to MXN 95 billion and 6.9% at constant exchange rates, expanding faster than revenue due to operating leverage. Operating profit was MXN 49 billion, up 5.9% nominally and 8.3% at constant exchange rates.
Net Profit and EPS Improvement
Comprehensive financing costs were roughly half of the year‑ago quarter, contributing to a net profit of MXN 19 billion in Q4 — four times the prior year — equivalent to MXN 0.32 per share or $0.35 per ADR.
Strong Free Cash Flow and Cash Generation
Operating cash flow for fiscal 2025 was MXN 213 billion. After MXN 131 billion in CapEx, free cash flow was MXN 82 billion — a nearly 40% year‑on‑year increase.
Capital Returns and Deleveraging
Shareholder distributions totaled MXN 45 billion for the year (including MXN 12 billion in buybacks). Net debt was reduced by MXN 20 billion in cash flow terms and net debt/EBITDA after leases stood at 1.52x and is trending downward.
CapEx and Investment Guidance
Targeting CapEx of ~14%–15% of revenues (~$6.8–$7.0 billion) for 2026 and expecting a similar percentage for the next 2–3 years, subject to spectrum and country decisions.
Brazil Operational Strength and ARPU Mix
Brazil led postpaid net adds and showed strong number portability; management noted gains across segments including higher‑ARPU subscribers, aided in part by the NuCel MVNO initiative.
Negative Updates
Prepaid Subscriber Losses in Key Markets
Prepaid base saw losses in the quarter (overall prepaid decline of 298,000). Notable prepaid declines: Brazil -381,000 and Chile -315,000 subscribers.
FX Volatility and Reported Growth Noise
Reported growth was affected by currency moves: revenue growth was 3.4% in MXN but 6.2% at constant exchange rates. Management cited a ~9.6% appreciation of the Mexican peso versus the U.S. dollar versus the year‑earlier quarter, creating reporting noise and added complexity in managing leverage and cash flows across multiple currencies.
Spike in Pretax Nonoperating Expenses
Other pretax nonoperating expenses totaled MXN 7.9 billion in the quarter versus a historical quarterly average of ~MXN 700 million. Management did not provide full detail on drivers during the call and directed follow‑ups to IR.
Missed Consolidation Opportunity in Chile
América Móvil and Entel decided not to pursue Telefonica Chile; Millicom ultimately won. Management noted Chile remains a challenging market and consolidation attempts are complex (regulatory, leverage, divestiture issues).
Leverage Slightly Above Target Range
Net debt/EBITDA after leases was 1.52x, marginally above the stated upper target of 1.5x. Management emphasized plans to prioritize deleveraging while balancing buybacks/dividends and opportunistic M&A.
CapEx Finalization and Uncertainties
2026 CapEx was not fully finalized; guidance is a target range (14%–15% of revenues) but remains subject to spectrum purchases and country‑level decisions, creating some near‑term planning uncertainty.
Service Revenue Deceleration Explained by Accounting Scope Change
An apparent deceleration in service revenue growth was attributed to the incorporation of the Chile operation from November 2024, indicating some one‑off reporting effects rather than pure operating weakness.
Company Guidance
Guidance from the call centered on capital allocation and balance-sheet targets: management reiterated a 2026 CapEx target of roughly 14–15% of revenues (about $6.8–7.0 billion) and said the same 14–15% range is a reasonable assumption for the next 2–3 years; they plan to prioritize returning to their 1.3–1.5x net debt/EBITDA target (the year-end ratio was 1.52x after MXN 20 billion of debt paydown), deploy excess free cash flow (MXN 82 billion in 2025, up ~40% YoY) to delever and shareholder returns (MXN 45 billion distributed in 2025, including MXN 12 billion of buybacks), while remaining opportunistic for regional M&A (small/fiber targets) but not pursuing material deals outside the region.

America Movil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance is solid with strong margins and consistently positive operating cash flow, but the score is held back by 2025 revenue contraction, meaningful net income volatility across years, rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.53), and weaker 2025 free cash flow momentum with modest cash conversion versus earnings.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability remains solid for a telecom operator, with 2025 showing strong operating performance (gross margin ~43%, EBIT margin ~21%, EBITDA margin ~40%) and a rebound in net margin (~8.8%) versus the unusually weak 2024 net margin (~2.6%). However, top-line momentum is uneven: revenue growth turned negative in 2025 (-6.3%) after modest growth in 2024, and net income has been volatile over the period (notably very high in 2021, then much lower in 2024 before recovering in 2025). Overall: strong operating engine, but inconsistent revenue growth and bottom-line volatility cap the score.
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
The balance sheet is leveraged, with debt-to-equity rising to ~2.53 in 2025 from ~1.71–1.72 in 2022–2023 (and ~2.12 in 2024), signaling increased reliance on debt financing. Equity is relatively stable (~363–390B range since 2021), while assets expanded to ~1.80T in 2025. Returns on equity improved materially in 2025 (~21%) from 2024 (~6%), but the higher leverage level increases financial risk and reduces flexibility versus prior years.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation is consistently positive, with operating cash flow remaining strong (roughly ~225–280B annually) and free cash flow positive each year. That said, free cash flow declined meaningfully in 2025 (down ~33% year over year), and free cash flow covers only about half of net income in 2024–2025 (~0.53), suggesting earnings quality is not fully translating into discretionary cash. Operating cash flow relative to revenue is steady but not exceptional (~0.46–0.55), supporting stability but with some recent weakening in free cash flow momentum.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue885.08B869.22B816.01B844.50B830.69B
Gross Profit380.05B538.04B499.54B513.97B502.18B
EBITDA355.47B292.50B264.58B286.07B273.93B
Net Income77.68B22.90B76.11B76.16B192.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.80T1.79T1.56T1.62T1.69T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.01B83.35B100.35B122.13B156.38B
Total Debt918.75B780.72B625.85B644.74B662.68B
Total Liabilities1.37T1.36T1.14T1.18T1.24T
Stockholders Equity362.66B369.09B366.71B373.80B389.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow120.67B126.26B91.75B79.09B100.11B
Operating Cash Flow228.00B239.34B248.09B225.29B258.18B
Investing Cash Flow-118.52B-129.24B-164.99B-152.36B-76.52B
Financing Cash Flow-108.21B-103.12B-84.95B-73.35B-177.37B

America Movil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.76
Price Trends
50DMA
21.38
Positive
100DMA
21.77
Positive
200DMA
19.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.82
Negative
RSI
65.78
Neutral
STOCH
79.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.42, above the 50-day MA of 21.38, and above the 200-day MA of 19.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMX.

America Movil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$25.04B23.498.36%5.03%-3.16%4.70%
75
Outperform
$20.46B15.4715.54%6.14%-5.21%-7.45%
74
Outperform
$6.20B14.877.60%5.57%19.02%9.26%
68
Neutral
$73.01B16.8122.81%2.69%1.14%83.48%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
58
Neutral
$36.24B-8.48-7.08%3.77%19.67%-278.51%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMX
America Movil
25.49
11.38
80.65%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
21.30
6.74
46.30%
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
16.58
7.80
88.86%
TKC
Turkcell Iletisim
7.00
-0.03
-0.40%
VOD
Vodafone
15.70
7.33
87.57%

America Movil Corporate Events

América Móvil Posts Strong 4Q25 Growth, Boosts Cash Flow and Cuts Debt
Feb 12, 2026

In its fourth-quarter 2025 results released in February 2026, América Móvil reported robust subscriber growth, adding 2.5 million wireless customers and 524,000 broadband connections, with Brazil, Colombia and Mexico driving postpaid gains and PayTV also expanding. The group’s broad geographic footprint, including fully owned units like Telcel and Telmex in Mexico and majority stakes in operators such as Claro in Brazil and A1 in Austria, underpinned ongoing scale advantages across wireless, wireline and towers.

Fourth-quarter 2025 revenue rose 3.4% in Mexican peso terms, or 6.2% at constant exchange rates, as service revenue increased in both mobile and fixed-line segments, supported by strong broadband, corporate networks and postpaid performance. Profitability improved with EBITDA up 4.2% in pesos and the margin at 38.8%, net income jumping to 19.1 billion pesos on lower financing costs, and 2025 operating cash flow fully funding capex and shareholder payouts while reducing net debt to 448 billion pesos, signaling strengthened balance-sheet and cash-generation capacity for investors and creditors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMX) stock is a Hold with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on America Movil stock, see the AMX Stock Forecast page.

América Móvil Ends Joint Acquisition Plan with ENTEL
Dec 4, 2025

On December 3, 2025, América Móvil announced the termination of a non-binding agreement with Empresa Nacional de Telecomunicaciones S.A. (ENTEL). The agreement, initially entered into on July 18, was aimed at jointly acquiring certain assets and businesses related to Telefónica S.A.’s Chilean operations. América Móvil will now explore the possibility of participating in this acquisition process independently, which could impact its strategic positioning in the telecommunications market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMX) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on America Movil stock, see the AMX Stock Forecast page.

América Móvil Issues New Senior Notes to Boost Financial Strategy
Nov 26, 2025

On November 25, 2025, América Móvil announced the issuance of two series of senior notes: 10.125% Senior Notes due 2029 and 10.300% Senior Notes due 2034. These notes, part of a larger financial strategy, are intended to raise capital for the company, with a total aggregate principal amount reaching Ps.27,000,000,000 for the 2029 notes and Ps.30,000,000,000 for the 2034 notes. The issuance is part of América Móvil’s efforts to strengthen its financial position and expand its operations, with the notes being listed on the Luxembourg Stock Exchange and the Mexican Stock Exchange. This move is likely to impact the company’s market positioning by enhancing its financial flexibility and potentially attracting more investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMX) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on America Movil stock, see the AMX Stock Forecast page.

América Móvil Releases Financial Review for September 2025
Nov 14, 2025

América Móvil released its financial and operational review for the nine-month periods ending September 30, 2024, and 2025. The report highlights the company’s performance metrics, including a substantial number of wireless and fixed RGUs, indicating a strong market position in Latin America and Europe. The review provides insights into the company’s strategic focus on expanding its telecommunications services across multiple regions, which is crucial for stakeholders assessing América Móvil’s market competitiveness and growth potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMX) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on America Movil stock, see the AMX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 14, 2026