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P.t. Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk. (TLK)
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PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) AI Stock Analysis

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TLK

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk

(NYSE:TLK)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(5.10% Upside)
The overall stock score of 75 reflects strong financial performance and technical indicators. The company's robust cash flow and profitability are significant strengths, while the technical analysis indicates a positive market trend. The valuation is reasonable, with an attractive dividend yield. However, the decline in revenue growth is a concern that could impact long-term performance.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth opportunities and debt reduction, supporting long-term stability.
Strategic Spin-Off
The spin-off optimizes operations and focuses on core business activities, potentially enhancing efficiency and market position in the telecommunications sector.
Management Restructuring
New leadership appointments can drive strategic initiatives and improve operational efficiency, positively impacting long-term business performance.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue growth poses challenges to sustaining profitability and market competitiveness, necessitating strategic adjustments to reverse the trend.
Asset Decrease
A reduction in total assets may indicate divestments or operational inefficiencies, potentially impacting the company's ability to leverage assets for growth.
Earnings Decline
Declining earnings per share can erode investor confidence and limit the company's ability to reinvest in growth, affecting long-term shareholder value.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) is the leading telecommunications and network provider in Indonesia, offering a wide range of services including fixed-line and mobile telephony, broadband internet, and digital services. The company operates primarily in the telecommunications sector, providing essential connectivity and communication services to millions of customers across the archipelago. TLK is committed to enhancing digital transformation in Indonesia through its innovative solutions and infrastructure development.
How the Company Makes MoneyPT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk generates revenue primarily through its diverse range of telecommunications services. The key revenue streams include mobile services, fixed-line telephony, and broadband internet subscriptions. Mobile services, which include prepaid and postpaid plans, contribute significantly to the company's earnings, driven by a large customer base and competitive pricing. Fixed-line services, while experiencing a decline in traditional usage, still provide a stable revenue source, particularly in urban areas. Additionally, TLK earns revenue from its broadband internet services, which have seen an increase in demand due to the growing need for high-speed internet access for both residential and business customers. The company also engages in digital services, such as cloud computing and data center solutions, which are emerging as important revenue contributors. Strategic partnerships with various technology firms and government initiatives aimed at enhancing digital infrastructure further bolster its earnings potential.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 31, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reveals a mix of positive and negative aspects. While there are notable achievements such as positive revenue growth and strong performance in fixed broadband and Mitratel, challenges such as EBITDA decline, operating net income drop, and Telkomsel revenue decline indicate pressure points. The sentiment reflects cautious optimism amidst macroeconomic challenges and competitive pressures.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Revenue Growth
Telkom Group delivered a revenue growth of 0.9% year-on-year to RP 112.2 trillion for the past 9 months of 2024.
Fixed Broadband Growth
Fixed broadband business showed a 200.6% year-on-year increase, driven by the integration of IndiHome to Telkomsel and an expansion strategy targeting broader segments.
Mitratel Revenue Growth
Mitratel reported a solid revenue contribution of IDR 6.82 trillion, marking an 8.7% year-on-year growth.
Efficient Market Segmentation
Improvement in CapEx purchases for devices and networks due to group procurement initiatives, serving broader market segmentation effectively.
Negative Updates
EBITDA Decline
EBITDA decreased by 4.1% year-on-year to RP 56.6 trillion, impacted by personnel expenses due to an early retirement program.
Operating Net Income Drop
Operating net income declined by 5.1% year-on-year to IDR 18.6 trillion, after adjustments for market effects and one-off costs.
Telkomsel Revenue Decline
Telkomsel recorded a slight revenue decline of 2.1% in the third quarter due to seasonal impact and weak purchasing power.
Margin Pressure
Normalized EBITDA margin decelerated to 51.5%, with challenges in maintaining margins due to increased competition and cost pressures.
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for PT Telekom Indonesia, the company provided guidance for the fiscal year 2024, highlighting several key metrics and strategies. The company aims to achieve a low single-digit revenue growth, maintaining an EBITDA margin between 50% to 52%, and a CapEx-to-revenue ratio of 22% to 24%. For the first nine months of 2024, revenue grew by 0.9% year-on-year to IDR 112.2 trillion, while EBITDA decreased by 4.1% to IDR 56.6 trillion. The decline in EBITDA was primarily due to personnel expenses, which increased by 12.7% year-on-year, but normalized EBITDA stood at IDR 57.8 trillion, a 2.1% decline. Additionally, the company reported a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.6x, and Telkomsel's B2C business posted a 16.4% year-on-year revenue growth. The company is focusing on its 5 Bold Move strategy, including efforts to enhance digital connectivity and explore strategic partnerships for data center business, aiming to conclude these initiatives by early 2025.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow generation, with stable leverage and effective equity utilization. However, the significant decline in revenue growth in the TTM period poses a concern that needs addressing to maintain long-term financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a strong gross profit margin and consistent profitability with a net profit margin of 15.48% in TTM. However, the revenue growth rate is negative at -21.3% in TTM, indicating a decline in revenue compared to the previous period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, reflecting efficient operations despite the revenue drop.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64 in TTM, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is solid at 16.39%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears strong relative to its assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust free cash flow growth rate of 37.8% in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.76, suggesting good cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.62 further supports the company's ability to generate cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Gross Profit98.32T10.00T>90.98T10.00T>99.90T96.47T
EBITDA74.44T76.97T78.12T74.39T80.61T72.44T
Net Income21.76T23.65T24.43T27.68T33.95T29.89T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.05T35.03T30.43T32.88T38.74T21.82T
Total Debt77.68T76.83T68.00T63.04T69.08T64.72T
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Stockholders Equity10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow40.12T31.94T26.98T38.34T38.43T35.76T
Operating Cash Flow65.25T61.60T60.58T73.35T68.35T65.32T
Investing Cash Flow-26.49T-29.46T-36.91T-39.12T-37.91T-35.26T
Financing Cash Flow-32.39T-27.50T-26.57T-40.97T-12.78T-27.75T

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.36
Price Trends
50DMA
19.75
Positive
100DMA
19.14
Positive
200DMA
17.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.63
Negative
RSI
69.19
Neutral
STOCH
98.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TLK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.94, above the 50-day MA of 19.75, and above the 200-day MA of 17.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 98.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TLK.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Risk Analysis

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Indonesian regulations require telecommunications service providers such as ourselves to share our network infrastructure and capacity with our competitors, and the enforcement of these regulations remain uncertain. Q4, 2023

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$11.33B15.9114.93%6.93%-4.90%14.83%
77
Outperform
$21.23B19.828.36%4.97%-3.16%4.70%
75
Outperform
$22.14B16.5715.54%5.75%-5.21%-7.45%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$7.87B19.624.72%4.94%-8.16%-52.52%
58
Neutral
$29.63B-7.08%3.94%19.67%-278.51%
45
Neutral
$24.76B-0.70%8.04%-5.49%-75.51%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
22.36
6.23
38.62%
SKM
Sk Telecom
20.23
-3.99
-16.47%
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
13.07
5.33
68.86%
TEF
Telefonica
4.27
<0.01
0.23%
TIMB
TIM
23.34
11.56
98.13%
VOD
Vodafone
12.48
3.90
45.45%

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Corporate Events

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Announces Extraordinary General Meeting for December 2025
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk announced an Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders scheduled for December 12, 2025. The meeting will address several key agendas, including the approval of a partial spin-off of the Wholesale Fiber Connectivity business to its subsidiary, PT Telkom Infrastruktur Indonesia, and amendments to the Company’s Articles of Association. Additionally, the company plans to delegate authority for its 2026 work plan and budget to the Board of Commissioners, and to accept a government assignment to provide temporary national data center services during a transition period. These actions are expected to impact the company’s operational focus and align with regulatory requirements, potentially influencing stakeholder interests.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Releases Nine-Month Financial Report for 2025
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk released its unaudited consolidated financial statements for the nine-month period ending September 30, 2025. The report highlights the company’s financial position, showing a decrease in total assets from December 31, 2024, to September 30, 2025. This financial disclosure is crucial for stakeholders to assess the company’s financial health and operational efficiency over the reported period.

PT Telkom Indonesia Announces December 2025 EGMS
Oct 21, 2025

PT Telkom Indonesia has announced that it will hold an Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders (EGMS) on December 12, 2025. The meeting will be conducted electronically through the eASY.KSEI platform, allowing shareholders to participate online. Shareholders eligible to attend are those recorded on the company’s register by November 19, 2025. The announcement outlines the procedural details for participation and agenda proposals, emphasizing electronic power of attorney submissions and compliance with regulatory requirements. This move reflects the company’s adaptation to digital platforms for shareholder engagement, potentially enhancing participation and transparency.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Announces Spin-Off of Wholesale Fiber Business
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk announced a spin-off plan involving the transfer of its Wholesale Fiber Connectivity Business and Assets to its subsidiary, PT Telkom Infrastruktur Indonesia (TIF), which is 99.9% owned by the company. This strategic move is part of a compliance effort with Indonesian regulations and aims to optimize business operations by consolidating specific assets under TIF. The transaction is considered a Material Transaction due to its significant value relative to the company’s equity. The spin-off is expected to streamline operations and potentially enhance the company’s focus on core business activities, with implications for stakeholders including creditors who have until November 4, 2025, to object to the plan.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Signs Spin-Off Agreement with TIF
Oct 21, 2025

On October 20, 2025, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk announced the signing of a Conditional Spin-Off Agreement with PT Telkom Infrastruktur Indonesia (TIF) as part of a corporate restructuring and business transformation plan. The transaction, valued at IDR 35.79 trillion, involves the partial spin-off of the company’s Wholesale Fiber Connectivity business and assets. This move aims to enhance business focus, create added value, and optimize fiber optic network assets, thereby strengthening the company’s position as a leading connectivity provider in Indonesia. The transaction supports national goals of improving digital equality and broadband penetration. Despite the scale of the transaction, it is not expected to significantly impact the company’s financial condition due to TIF being a consolidated subsidiary with 99.999% ownership.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Revises Shareholders Meeting Time
Sep 29, 2025

On September 15, 2025, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk announced a revision to the timing of its Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders, initially scheduled for 11:00 WIB on September 16, 2025, now moved to 15:00 WIB on the same day. This change, communicated to shareholders via the company’s website and other platforms, ensures stakeholders are informed and can adjust their schedules accordingly, reflecting the company’s commitment to transparent communication.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Announces Management Reshuffle Following Extraordinary General Meeting
Sep 29, 2025

On September 16, 2025, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk held an Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders to address changes in its management structure. The meeting resulted in the ratification of the dismissal of several key executives, including the Director of Human Capital Management and the Vice President Director, while new appointments were made, such as the Director of Human Capital Management and Director of Legal & Compliance. These changes are part of the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its leadership and strategic direction, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and stakeholder confidence.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Updates Audit Committee Composition
Sep 29, 2025

On September 25, 2025, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk announced a new composition for its Audit Committee in compliance with the Indonesian Financial Services Authority Regulation No.55/POJK.04/2015. The updated committee includes Deswandhy Agusman as Chairman, along with members Yohanes Surya, Ira Noviarti, Edy Sihotang, and Achmad Taufik, aiming to strengthen corporate governance and oversight.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Announces Director Resignation
Sep 5, 2025

On September 5, 2025, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk announced the resignation of Mr. Henry Christiadi, the Director of Human Capital Management. The company stated that this resignation will not have a material impact on its business operations and will take necessary actions in compliance with applicable regulations.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Postpones Extraordinary General Meeting to September 16, 2025
Sep 4, 2025

On September 4, 2025, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk announced a revision to the invitation for their Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders, initially scheduled for September 3, 2025, which has been postponed to September 16, 2025. The meeting will address changes in the company’s management and will be conducted electronically via the eASY.KSEI system. This postponement and agenda highlight the company’s ongoing efforts to align with regulatory frameworks and ensure shareholder engagement in critical decision-making processes.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Postpones EGMS Scheduled for September 3, 2025
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk announced the postponement of its Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders (EGMS) originally scheduled for the same day. The company stated that the rescheduling of the EGMS, which was intended to address changes in the company’s management composition, will not have any material impact on its operations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025