tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Telefonica Brasil (VIV)
NYSE:VIV
Advertisement

Telefonica Brasil (VIV) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
174 Followers

Top Page

VIV

Telefonica Brasil

(NYSE:VIV)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$14.00
▲(13.54% Upside)
Telefonica Brasil's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are key strengths, driving the overall score. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, and valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation. These factors collectively result in a moderate overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Corporate Strategy
Vivo announced a new buyback program of up to R$1.8bn in shares, indicating confidence in the company's value.
Earnings
Vivo reported positive 3Q results across the board, meeting above-consensus numbers with better underlying trends.
Financial Performance
Vivo's board of directors approved a proposal for a R$2bn capital reduction, which is a positive sign for higher dividend payouts.
Negative Factors
Operational Challenges
Vivo reported soft results due to a deceleration in mobile and pressured margins.

Telefonica Brasil (VIV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Telefonica Brasil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelefonica Brasil (VIV) is a leading telecommunications company in Brazil, providing a wide range of services including mobile and fixed-line telephony, broadband internet, and pay television. As a subsidiary of the multinational Telefónica Group, VIV operates primarily in the telecommunications sector, catering to both residential and business customers. The company is known for its strong market presence and extensive network infrastructure, offering innovative solutions and digital services aimed at enhancing connectivity and communication across the country.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelefonica Brasil generates revenue through multiple streams, including mobile services, fixed broadband, and pay television subscriptions. The majority of its income comes from mobile telecommunications, where it offers a variety of prepaid and postpaid plans to individual consumers and businesses. Additionally, the company earns revenue from fixed-line services, including voice and broadband internet, catering to residential and corporate clients. VIV also monetizes its network infrastructure through partnerships and wholesale agreements with other telecom operators. Significant partnerships, such as those with content providers for bundled services, and investments in digital transformation initiatives, further contribute to its earnings. Furthermore, the company capitalizes on the growing demand for data services, offering enhanced mobile internet and value-added services that drive customer retention and acquisition.

Telefonica Brasil Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Vivo reported strong performance in its mobile and fiber segments with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, alongside robust free cash flow and shareholder returns. However, the company faced challenges with increased service costs, declining handset sales, and higher personnel expenses. Despite these challenges, the overall performance was positive, with continued growth in B2B and notable ESG achievements.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Mobile Segment Performance
Postpaid growth of 7% year-over-year, now comprising 67% of the mobile customer base.
Impressive Fiber Expansion
Connected homes increased by 12.6% year-over-year, reaching 7.4 million accesses.
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Total revenue rose 7.2% year-over-year, and EBITDA grew 8.8% with a margin of 40.5%.
Robust Free Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Operating cash flow of BRL 7.3 billion for the first half of 2025, up 12.5% year-over-year, with BRL 5.2 billion paid to shareholders.
B2B Segment Growth
B2B revenues grew 13.3% year-over-year, with digital B2B revenues up 31.3%.
ESG Achievements
Vivo was named Company of the Year in Exame magazine's best in ESG Awards, and electronic waste collection increased by 17%.
Negative Updates
Increased Service Costs
Cost of service and goods sold increased by 8.3%, mainly driven by a 15.7% rise in service costs.
Decline in Handset Sales
Cost of goods sold declined by 2.3% due to a decrease in handset and consumer electronics sales.
Challenges in Net Income
Net income came in below consensus, with financial expenses as a main detractor.
Higher Personnel Expenses
Personnel expenses rose 8.8% due to annual wage adjustments and increased headcount in growth areas.
Company Guidance
In the Second Quarter of 2025, Vivo demonstrated strong operational and financial performance, highlighted by a 7.1% rise in total revenue, driven by high single-digit growth in both mobile services and fixed revenues. Postpaid mobile services grew 7% year-over-year, comprising 67% of the total mobile customer base, while fiber connections expanded by 12.6% to 7.4 million accesses. The company reported an 8.8% increase in EBITDA, with a margin of 40.5%, and generated BRL 7.3 billion in operating cash flow in the first half of 2025, up 12.5% year-over-year. Vivo's strategic focus on high-value offerings and service convergence was evident as postpaid and FTTH revenues grew by 10.9% and 10.4%, respectively, accounting for over 72% of service revenues. The company also maintained its commitment to shareholder remuneration, having paid BRL 5.2 billion to shareholders thus far in 2025.

Telefonica Brasil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telefonica Brasil demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue and profit growth, healthy operational margins, and solid cash flow generation. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels, though attention to revenue growth and liability management is necessary.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Telefonica Brasil shows strong revenue growth with a consistent upward trend from 2020 to TTM 2025, driven by robust gross and net profit margins. The Gross Profit Margin remained steady around 43-44% in recent years, and the Net Profit Margin increased to 10.1% in TTM 2025 from 9.9% in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, with EBITDA Margin at 37.9% for TTM 2025, reflecting operational efficiency. However, the decline in revenue growth rate from 9.2% in 2022 to 1.5% in 2024 needs monitoring.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid, with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.30 in TTM 2025, indicating manageable leverage. The company maintains a strong equity position with an Equity Ratio of 53.8%, highlighting financial stability. Return on Equity improved to 8.4% in TTM 2025, up from 8.0% in 2024, showcasing effective use of equity. However, the relatively high total liabilities might pose risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 3.51 in TTM 2025, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The Free Cash Flow has shown growth, although the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate slightly decreased in TTM 2025. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.80 signifies efficient cash management. Continued focus on managing capital expenditures is crucial for sustaining cash flow strength.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue56.69B55.85B52.10B48.04B44.03B43.13B
Gross Profit29.60B24.49B22.68B20.61B36.04B30.07B
EBITDA21.49B21.54B19.52B19.82B19.00B18.01B
Net Income5.71B5.55B5.03B4.09B6.24B4.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets126.61B124.94B120.74B119.12B115.74B108.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.19B6.69B4.36B2.27B6.45B5.76B
Total Debt20.56B20.75B18.74B19.30B16.93B13.24B
Total Liabilities58.46B55.14B51.11B50.67B45.66B39.18B
Stockholders Equity68.07B69.73B69.57B68.40B70.01B69.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.30B10.55B9.97B9.05B8.78B11.05B
Operating Cash Flow20.04B19.88B18.79B18.94B18.07B19.34B
Investing Cash Flow-9.39B-8.91B-7.85B-14.20B-8.13B-6.41B
Financing Cash Flow-9.22B-8.63B-8.85B-8.91B-9.26B-10.56B

Telefonica Brasil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.33
Price Trends
50DMA
11.70
Positive
100DMA
10.75
Positive
200DMA
9.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Positive
RSI
56.65
Neutral
STOCH
13.25
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.37, above the 50-day MA of 11.70, and above the 200-day MA of 9.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.25 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VIV.

Telefonica Brasil Risk Analysis

Telefonica Brasil disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Telefonica Brasil reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Changes in taxes and other assessments may adversely affect us and our shareholders. Q4, 2022
2.
The ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine may have a material adverse effect on the global and Brazilian economies as well as on us. Q4, 2022

Telefonica Brasil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$10.07B15.8613.78%5.72%-7.99%2.16%
74
Outperform
$18.99B13.2817.71%6.69%-5.13%-5.90%
72
Outperform
$19.83B19.508.20%4.32%-6.51%-0.21%
68
Neutral
$59.76B20.6414.41%2.67%-0.64%56.92%
60
Neutral
$46.28B4.13-13.12%4.13%1.85%-42.71%
60
Neutral
$28.34B9.21-7.17%4.21%0.89%-494.16%
60
Neutral
$30.16B-3.55%6.74%-4.73%-251.31%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
12.47
3.15
33.80%
AMX
America Movil
19.50
3.82
24.36%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
19.24
0.72
3.89%
TEF
Telefonica
5.29
0.85
19.14%
TIMB
TIM
20.83
5.74
38.04%
VOD
Vodafone
11.81
2.31
24.32%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025