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TIM (TIMB)
NYSE:TIMB
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TIM (TIMB) AI Stock Analysis

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TIMB

TIM

(NYSE:TIMB)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(14.94% Upside)
TIMB's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including robust revenue growth and strategic expansions. The technical analysis supports a positive trend, and the valuation is attractive with a high dividend yield. Minor concerns include cost pressures and broadband revenue challenges.
Positive Factors
5G Network Expansion
Expanding 5G coverage enhances TIM's competitive edge in telecommunications, potentially increasing customer base and revenue.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation supports operational flexibility and strategic investments, ensuring long-term financial stability.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships in B2B and IoT sectors enhance TIM's service offerings and market reach, driving future growth.
Negative Factors
Broadband Revenue Pressure
Stagnant broadband revenue growth could hinder overall revenue expansion, affecting long-term profitability.
Increasing Debt Levels
Rising debt levels may strain financial resources, limiting future investment capacity and impacting financial health.
Slight Deceleration in Mobile Revenue Growth
Deceleration in mobile revenue growth could signal market saturation, challenging future revenue and market share expansion.

TIM (TIMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TIM Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTIM, or Telecom Italia S.p.A., is a leading telecommunications company in Italy, providing a wide range of services including fixed-line and mobile telephony, internet services, and digital solutions. The company operates primarily in the telecommunications sector, offering services to both residential and business customers. TIM is also involved in the development of innovative technology and telecommunications infrastructure, aiming to enhance connectivity across Italy and beyond.
How the Company Makes MoneyTIM generates revenue through several key streams: primarily from its mobile and fixed-line telecommunications services, which include voice, SMS, and data plans for consumers and businesses. The company also monetizes its broadband internet services and offers bundled packages that combine multiple services. Additionally, TIM earns revenue from its enterprise solutions, providing businesses with customized communication and IT services. Significant partnerships with technology providers and content creators enhance its offerings, particularly in the realm of digital services and media content. Furthermore, TIM invests in infrastructure development, which allows it to improve service quality and expand its customer base, contributing to its overall revenue growth.

TIM Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call reflects a strong financial performance and strategic network expansion, which is slightly tempered by challenges in broadband revenue growth and slight deceleration in mobile revenue. However, robust shareholder value initiatives and ESG achievements present a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Service revenues increased by 5.2% year-over-year for the first 9 months of 2025. EBITDA rose 6.7% year-over-year with a 50.3% margin, and net income was up 42.2% year-over-year. Operational cash flow reached BRL 4.5 billion.
Shareholder Value Initiatives
Announced BRL 1.8 billion in interest on capital and repurchased BRL 369 million in shares, reinforcing commitment to shareholder remuneration.
ESG Achievements
TIM reached the top 10 of the FTSE Russell Diversity and Inclusion Index, being the only Brazilian company and telco on the list.
Network Expansion
5G now available in 1,000 cities across Brazil, and TIM has the broadest 4G and 5G coverage in the country. Sao Paulo's network modernization reached 100% site upgrades.
B2B and IoT Growth
B2B IT solutions cover significant areas, and the TIM Smart Mining solution is gaining traction with a new partnership with Vale.
Negative Updates
Broadband Revenue Pressure
Broadband ARPU remains stable at BRL 94, but the segment still posted a negative revenue growth this quarter.
Slight Deceleration in Mobile Revenue Growth
There was a slight deceleration in mobile service revenue this quarter, attributed to a natural normalization of growth after a strong cycle.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, TIM Brasil demonstrated robust financial and operational performance, achieving a 5.2% year-over-year increase in service revenues and a 6.7% rise in EBITDA with a 50.3% margin. The company reported a 42.2% increase in net income, supported by a disciplined approach to CapEx, resulting in an operational cash flow of BRL 4.5 billion. TIM Brasil further reinforced its commitment to shareholder value by announcing BRL 1.8 billion in interest on capital and a share repurchase of BRL 369 million. Notably, the company expanded its 5G coverage to 1,000 cities and achieved the top 10 recognition on the FTSE Russell Diversity and Inclusion Index. In the mobile segment, postpaid lines grew by 415,000, while churn remained low at 0.8%. TIM's broadband service, TIM ULTRAFIBRA, showed improvements with an ARPU of BRL 94, contributing to a 3.7% year-over-year growth in the customer base. The B2B segment also saw expansion, with contracted revenues reaching BRL 435 million since early 2024, driven by partnerships like the one with Vale for the TIM Smart Mining solution. Overall, TIM Brasil is on track to meet its 2025 goals, with strong performance expected to continue into 2026.

TIM Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TIM exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and solid cash flow generation. The company's moderate leverage and effective equity utilization further enhance its financial stability. Minor concerns include cost pressures and increasing debt levels.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
TIM has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 12.1%, indicating a positive trajectory. The company maintains healthy profitability with a gross profit margin of 52.4% and a net profit margin of 13.9%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 25.6% and 52.6%, respectively, reflecting efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is strong at 14.2%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 43.9%, reflecting a stable capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow performance is impressive with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 64.3% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.91, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 66.6% further underscores the company's ability to convert earnings into cash. Despite these strengths, the slight decline in operating cash flow coverage ratio suggests potential volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.34B25.45B23.83B21.53B18.06B17.27B
Gross Profit14.07B13.55B12.34B10.87B9.62B9.27B
EBITDA13.06B12.99B12.41B10.79B10.25B8.38B
Net Income4.03B3.15B2.84B1.67B2.96B1.83B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets57.37B56.33B55.26B56.41B49.82B8.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.53B5.69B5.04B4.74B9.80B894.41M
Total Debt16.36B15.61B16.03B17.80B12.91B2.06B
Total Liabilities32.16B29.92B29.24B31.01B24.71B3.56B
Stockholders Equity25.21B26.40B26.02B25.40B25.11B4.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.12B7.78B7.92B4.43B4.62B4.78B
Operating Cash Flow13.69B12.33B12.42B9.16B9.91B8.67B
Investing Cash Flow-5.07B-4.95B-4.68B-8.35B-6.52B-5.45B
Financing Cash Flow-7.23B-7.20B-7.21B-3.49B-735.37M-2.93B

TIM Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price22.62
Price Trends
50DMA
22.37
Negative
100DMA
21.18
Positive
200DMA
18.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
43.27
Neutral
STOCH
22.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TIMB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.02, above the 50-day MA of 22.37, and above the 200-day MA of 18.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TIMB.

TIM Risk Analysis

TIM disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TIM reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TIM Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$11.03B15.5714.93%7.16%-4.90%14.83%
77
Outperform
$21.17B19.948.36%5.03%-3.16%4.70%
75
Outperform
$21.21B15.9815.54%5.97%-5.21%-7.45%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$7.76B19.614.72%4.98%-8.16%-52.52%
46
Neutral
$9.46B-24.77-7.80%4.25%-103.14%
45
Neutral
$24.04B-0.70%8.04%-5.49%-75.51%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TIMB
TIM
22.62
10.58
87.87%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
21.57
5.05
30.57%
SKM
Sk Telecom
20.05
-3.14
-13.54%
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
12.86
4.89
61.36%
TEF
Telefonica
4.16
-0.08
-1.89%
FYBR
Frontier Communications Parent
38.04
3.55
10.29%

TIM Corporate Events

TIM S.A. Reinforces Regulatory Compliance with SEC Filing
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, TIM S.A. submitted a report to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, signed by CEO Alberto Mario Griselli. This filing underscores TIM’s commitment to regulatory compliance and transparency in its operations, potentially strengthening its position in the telecommunications sector and reassuring stakeholders of its governance practices.

TIM S.A. Fiscal Council Reviews Q3 2025 Reports
Nov 4, 2025

On November 3, 2025, TIM S.A. held a Fiscal Council meeting to discuss several key issues, including tax, regulatory, civil, and labor contingencies, as well as the company’s quarterly information report for the third quarter of 2025. The meeting, attended by members of the Fiscal Council and representatives from Ernst & Young, concluded that no irregularities were found in the quarterly report, which was deemed appropriate for presentation to the Board of Directors. This meeting underscores TIM S.A.’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance, potentially strengthening its position in the telecommunications industry.

TIM S.A. Announces Board Changes with New Appointment
Nov 4, 2025

On November 3, 2025, TIM S.A. announced the resignation of Mr. Herculano Aníbal Alves from the Board of Directors, effective December 1, 2025. The company has elected Mr. Denísio Augusto Liberato Delfino as his successor, also effective December 1, 2025. Mr. Denísio brings extensive experience in the financial market, having held prominent roles such as CEO of BB Asset Management and director at Previ. His appointment is expected to strengthen TIM’s leadership, given his background in corporate governance and ESG investments.

TIM S.A. Announces Board Changes and Organizational Restructuring
Nov 4, 2025

On November 3, 2025, TIM S.A. held a Board of Directors meeting where several key decisions were made. The meeting acknowledged the activities of the Control and Risks Committee and the Statutory Audit Committee. The Board reviewed the company’s quarterly financial report for Q3 2025 and accepted the resignation of Herculano Aníbal Alves, appointing Denísio Augusto Liberato Delfino as his replacement effective December 1, 2025. Additionally, the Business Support Officer position was dissolved, with its duties redistributed among existing executive officers, reflecting a strategic shift in the company’s organizational structure.

TIM S.A. Reports Record Net Income and Expands 5G Coverage
Nov 4, 2025

TIM S.A. reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a 4.5% year-over-year increase in total net revenue and a 5.2% rise in mobile service revenue. The company achieved its highest net income ever, driven by robust postpaid segment growth and strategic client acquisitions in the B2B sector. TIM’s partnership with IHS Brasil aims to expand its telecommunications infrastructure, supporting its IoT projects and enhancing its market position. The company also announced a significant shareholder remuneration plan and continued focus on operational efficiency to sustain growth and shareholder returns.

TIM S.A. Reports Strong Financial Growth and Strategic 5G Expansion
Nov 4, 2025

TIM S.A. reported a solid financial performance for the first nine months of 2025, with a 5.2% year-over-year increase in service revenue and a 6.7% rise in EBITDA, achieving a 50.3% margin. The company highlighted its leadership in network coverage, particularly in 5G deployment, and its strategic partnership with Vale to implement 5G technology in mining operations. The company’s efforts in customer base management and digital engagement have shown positive results, with significant growth in mobile ads and data monetization. TIM S.A.’s focus on cost control has maintained expenses growth well below inflation, supporting robust margin expansion.

TIM S.A. Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 4, 2025

On November 3, 2025, TIM S.A. released its quarterly financial information for the period ending September 30, 2025. The report shows an increase in total assets to 57.37 billion reais from 56.33 billion reais at the end of 2024, indicating growth in the company’s financial standing. Current liabilities rose to 14.68 billion reais, reflecting increased obligations, while shareholders’ equity decreased to 25.21 billion reais. These financial changes suggest a shift in TIM’s financial strategy, potentially impacting its stakeholders and market position.

TIM S.A. Advances Dividend Payment to October 21, 2025
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, TIM S.A. announced the anticipation of the third installment of its Additional Dividends payment to October 21, 2025, amounting to R$ 684 million. This payment, initially scheduled for October 23, 2025, maintains the previously informed conditions and follows the first two installments paid earlier in the year. The decision to advance the payment date underscores TIM’s commitment to its shareholders and reflects its robust financial position, potentially enhancing shareholder value and market confidence.

TIM S.A. Updates on Shareholding and Governance Compliance
Oct 9, 2025

On October 8, 2025, TIM S.A. reported on its securities and derivatives operations, highlighting changes in shareholding percentages among its directors and related parties. The report indicates a stable shareholding structure with minor adjustments, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance. This update is significant for stakeholders as it underscores TIM’s adherence to governance standards and its strategic positioning in the telecommunications sector.

TIM S.A. Partners with IHS Brasil for Tower Expansion
Oct 8, 2025

On October 7, 2025, TIM S.A. announced a partnership with IHS Brasil to construct and operate up to 3,000 telecommunications towers across Brazil, with an initial deployment of 500 sites. This collaboration aims to enhance TIM’s mobile coverage and B2B segment, while also reducing lease expenses as part of TIM’s Lease Efficiency Plan. The partnership is expected to improve service quality without significantly impacting the company’s capital expenditure plans.

TIM S.A. Adjusts Interest on Equity Per Share
Oct 3, 2025

On October 3, 2025, TIM S.A. announced a rectification in the gross amount per share of interest on equity due to a change in the number of treasury shares before September 26, 2025. The gross value per share increased slightly to R$0.1995452456, while the total amount remains R$480,000,000. The payment is scheduled by January 21, 2026, with shareholders identified as of September 26, 2025, eligible for the distribution.

TIM S.A. Announces Resignation of Business Support Officer
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2025, TIM S.A. announced the resignation of Mr. Bruno Mutzenbecher Gentil from his role as Business Support Officer. The company expressed gratitude for his contributions and noted that the Board of Directors will convene to assess the executive structure moving forward. This change in leadership may influence the company’s operational strategies and stakeholder relations as they evaluate the executive team composition.

TIM S.A. Advances Energy Self-Production Project with New Agreements
Sep 12, 2025

On September 8, 2025, TIM S.A.’s Board of Directors convened to approve agreements related to the company’s energy self-production project. This decision, following discussions from earlier in the year, includes executing a consortium agreement to formalize the project’s legal structure, indicating a strategic move towards sustainable energy solutions. This initiative is expected to enhance TIM’s operational efficiency and market positioning in the telecommunications sector.

TIM S.A. Reports Director and Related Party Transactions
Sep 9, 2025

On September 9, 2025, TIM S.A. reported various securities and derivatives transactions involving its directors and related parties. The report highlights the company’s internal financial activities, indicating a significant portion of shares held by related parties, which could impact its corporate governance and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025