tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Vodafone Group Plc (VOD)
:VOD
Advertisement

Vodafone (VOD) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
3,111 Followers

Top Page

VOD

Vodafone

(NASDAQ:VOD)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▼(-3.85% Downside)
Vodafone's overall stock score reflects a mix of financial challenges and positive strategic developments. The company's financial performance is under pressure with declining revenues and profitability issues, which weigh heavily on the score. However, the positive sentiment from the earnings call, highlighting revenue growth and strategic advancements, provides a counterbalance. Technical analysis shows moderate strength, while valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings. The attractive dividend yield offers some investor appeal.
Positive Factors
5G Network Expansion
Expanding 5G coverage enhances Vodafone's competitive position, enabling new services and improving customer experience, crucial for long-term growth.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Ericsson for network modernization strengthens Vodafone's infrastructure, ensuring better service delivery and future-proofing its network capabilities.
IoT Expansion
Expanding IoT capabilities through strategic partnerships enhances Vodafone's service offerings and positions it well in the growing IoT market.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
A consistent decline in revenue indicates challenges in maintaining market share and competitiveness, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, particularly in volatile markets, affecting Vodafone's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Profitability Issues
Negative profitability metrics suggest operational inefficiencies and financial strain, which could hinder Vodafone's ability to sustain operations and growth.

Vodafone (VOD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vodafone Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVodafone Group Public Limited Company engages in telecommunication services in Europe and internationally. The company offers mobile services that enable customers to call, text, and access data; fixed line services, including broadband, television (TV) offerings, and voice; and convergence services under the GigaKombi and Vodafone One names to customers. It also provides value added services, such as Internet of Things (IoT) comprising logistics and fleet management, smart metering, insurance, cloud, and security services; and automotive and health solutions. In addition, the company offers M-Pesa, an African payment platform, which provides money transfer, financial, and business and merchant payment services; and various services to operators through its partner market agreements. Vodafone Group Public Limited Company has a strategic partnership with Open Fiber. As of March 31, 2022, it had approximately 323 million mobile customers, 28 million fixed broadband customers, and 22 million TV customers. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Newbury, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyVodafone generates revenue primarily through its mobile and fixed-line services, which include subscription fees from individual and business customers for voice, messaging, and data services. Key revenue streams include monthly service charges, device sales, and value-added services such as mobile payments and financial services. Additionally, Vodafone earns income from its broadband and television services, leveraging partnerships with content providers. The company also benefits from strategic alliances and joint ventures, particularly in emerging markets, which enhance its service offerings and customer reach. Furthermore, Vodafone's investment in IoT and enterprise solutions contributes to its revenue diversification, as businesses increasingly adopt connected technologies.

Vodafone Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue each business segment generates, highlighting which areas drive growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsVodafone's revenue from Germany shows stagnation, reflecting challenges highlighted in the earnings call, such as declining broadband and mobile competition. The U.K. segment is performing well, supported by strong EBITDA growth and customer satisfaction. Africa is a bright spot, with robust revenue growth aligning with positive outlooks in the earnings call. The absence of revenue from Spain and Italy indicates strategic exits, simplifying operations. The earnings call underscores a focus on transformation and restructuring, with a promising outlook for free cash flow growth, despite ongoing challenges in Germany and the B2B segment.
Data provided by:The Fly

Vodafone Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call provided a strong positive outlook with significant growth in revenue and EBITDAaL, successful M&A activities, and notable advancements in 5G network expansion. However, there remain challenges, particularly in Germany with underlying revenue growth and a slowdown in emerging markets' growth contribution due to moderating inflation.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Group service revenue growth accelerated to 5.8% in Q2, and EBITDAaL grew by 6.8% in the first half of the fiscal year, with nearly all markets posting EBITDAaL growth.
Successful Mergers and Acquisitions
Completed the merger of Vodafone and Three in the U.K. and the acquisition of Telekom Romania's assets, strengthening market positions.
5G Network Expansion
In Germany, the 5G stand-alone network covers over 90% of the population, serving over 40 million customers, and in the U.K., GBP 11 billion network investment is enhancing coverage and speeds.
Operational Improvements
Boosted customer satisfaction and simplified operations, with significant improvements in customer journeys and the introduction of GenAI in customer care.
Strong African Market Performance
Achieved double-digit EBITDAaL growth in African markets, aligning with medium-term growth guidance.
Negative Updates
Germany Revenue Challenges
Excluding wholesale, underlying German revenue trends are stable but not showing significant growth, with revenue still declining 2% to 3% if MDU effect and 1&1 impact are stripped out.
Emerging Markets Growth Moderation
Emerging markets' growth contribution is expected to trend down as inflation moderates, impacting future growth rates.
U.K. B2B Revenue Decline
In the U.K., facing a revenue decline in B2B legacy managed services, which is impacting overall topline performance.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Vodafone provided guidance reflecting solid financial and operational performance. The group’s service revenue growth accelerated to 5.8% in Q2, supported by strong performance across Europe and Africa. Group EBITDAaL grew by 6.8% in the first half of the fiscal year, with nearly all markets posting growth. Vodafone anticipates closing the year at the upper end of their growth guidance set in May, with a positive outlook for sustainable cash flow growth into FY '26 and beyond. Operationally, the company highlighted significant progress in Germany and the U.K., with 5G network coverage surpassing 90% of the German population and the successful merger of Vodafone and Three in the U.K. The company returned over EUR 5 billion to shareholders through buybacks and dividends in the last 18 months, with an additional EUR 1 billion of buybacks planned over the next six months. Additionally, Vodafone announced a move to a progressive dividend policy, aiming for annual growth in dividends.

Vodafone Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vodafone is facing significant financial challenges, marked by declining revenues, negative net income, and a high debt-to-equity ratio. The company's profitability metrics have deteriorated, and while cash flows remain positive, they are under pressure. The balance sheet indicates high leverage and a need for improved financial management to navigate these challenges.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Vodafone's financial performance over the years shows significant challenges. The revenue has been declining over recent years, and in 2025, the company recorded a negative EBIT and net income, indicating operational inefficiencies and losses. The gross profit margin is not improving significantly, and the net profit margin has turned negative, reflecting profitability issues. Although EBITDA margin remains relatively stable, the overall trajectory suggests financial strain.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a stable, albeit challenging financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks in volatile markets. The return on equity has turned negative, reflecting the company's recent net losses. However, the equity ratio is reasonable, suggesting that a substantial portion of assets is financed through equity, which provides a cushion against liabilities.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Vodafone's cash flow analysis reveals some strengths, with positive operating cash flow and free cash flow. However, the free cash flow has decreased compared to the previous year, indicating potential cash management challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is skewed due to negative net income, which limits the effectiveness of the metric. Overall, while cash generation remains positive, there are concerns about sustaining free cash flow levels amidst declining profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.45B37.45B36.72B37.67B37.01B43.81B
Gross Profit12.52B12.52B12.26B13.31B13.06B13.72B
EBITDA11.80B11.61B14.78B25.79B16.86B21.01B
Net Income-4.17B-4.17B1.14B11.84B2.24B59.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets138.83B138.83B144.35B168.97B171.40B155.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.90B19.90B10.53B20.34B17.16B11.87B
Total Debt57.41B57.41B58.51B72.13B77.99B66.80B
Total Liabilities80.59B80.59B83.35B98.91B107.90B97.25B
Stockholders Equity56.98B56.98B59.97B68.88B60.95B55.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.05B8.67B9.70B13.10B13.53B11.80B
Operating Cash Flow15.37B15.37B16.56B18.05B18.08B17.21B
Investing Cash Flow4.76B4.76B-6.12B-379.00M-6.87B-9.26B
Financing Cash Flow-15.28B-15.28B-15.86B-13.43B-9.71B-15.20B

Vodafone Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.48
Price Trends
50DMA
11.46
Positive
100DMA
11.35
Positive
200DMA
10.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Negative
RSI
64.26
Neutral
STOCH
57.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VOD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.76, above the 50-day MA of 11.46, and above the 200-day MA of 10.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VOD.

Vodafone Risk Analysis

Vodafone disclosed 13 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vodafone reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vodafone Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$70.07B18.4917.70%2.44%1.14%83.48%
73
Outperform
$231.23B19.8819.03%1.77%7.30%17.67%
72
Outperform
$172.37B8.7119.70%6.66%2.42%102.17%
72
Outperform
$183.05B8.3820.88%4.30%1.98%150.68%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
58
Neutral
$29.63B-7.08%3.94%19.67%-278.51%
45
Neutral
$24.46B-0.70%8.04%-5.49%-75.51%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VOD
Vodafone
12.48
3.90
45.45%
AMX
America Movil
22.90
8.48
58.81%
T
AT&T
25.82
3.65
16.46%
TEF
Telefonica
4.27
<0.01
0.23%
VZ
Verizon
40.88
-0.60
-1.45%
TMUS
T Mobile US
206.73
-36.42
-14.98%

Vodafone Corporate Events

Vodafone Group Reports Strong H1 FY26 Performance
Nov 12, 2025

Vodafone Group Plc is a multinational telecommunications company providing a wide range of services including mobile, fixed, and broadband services, with a significant presence in Europe, Africa, and other regions. The company is known for its extensive network coverage and innovative digital services.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025