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Vodafone Group Plc (VOD)
NASDAQ:VOD

Vodafone (VOD) AI Stock Analysis

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VOD

Vodafone

(NASDAQ:VOD)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
â–²(32.21% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is held back mainly by weak financial performance (declining revenue and recent losses) and only moderate valuation support (negative P/E despite a ~3.17% yield). Offsetting factors include strong technical uptrend signals and a constructive earnings-call outlook with improving service revenue/EBITDAaL trends, supportive guidance, and continued capital returns, though Germany and B2B pressures remain notable risks.
Positive Factors
Recurring & diversified revenue
Vodafone’s mix of subscription-based consumer mobile, fixed broadband, enterprise managed services and wholesale provides diversified, recurring revenue. This reduces reliance on any single market or product, smoothing cash flows and supporting durable investment in networks and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue & losses
Multi-year revenue declines combined with negative EBIT and net income point to structural profitability issues. Ongoing losses erode margins and retained earnings, constrain reinvestment capacity, and increase the dependence on operational fixes to restore sustainable earnings power.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring & diversified revenue
Vodafone’s mix of subscription-based consumer mobile, fixed broadband, enterprise managed services and wholesale provides diversified, recurring revenue. This reduces reliance on any single market or product, smoothing cash flows and supporting durable investment in networks and shareholder returns.
Read all positive factors

Vodafone (VOD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vodafone Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Vodafone Group Public Limited Company engages in telecommunication services in Europe and internationally. The company offers mobile services that enable customers to call, text, and access data; fixed line services, including broadband, televisio...
How the Company Makes Money
Vodafone generates revenue primarily through its mobile and fixed-line services, which include subscription fees from individual and business customers for voice, messaging, and data services. Key revenue streams include monthly service charges, d...

Vodafone Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue each business segment generates, highlighting which areas drive growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsVodafone's revenue from Germany shows stagnation, reflecting challenges highlighted in the earnings call, such as declining broadband and mobile competition. The U.K. segment is performing well, supported by strong EBITDA growth and customer satisfaction. Africa is a bright spot, with robust revenue growth aligning with positive outlooks in the earnings call. The absence of revenue from Spain and Italy indicates strategic exits, simplifying operations. The earnings call underscores a focus on transformation and restructuring, with a promising outlook for free cash flow growth, despite ongoing challenges in Germany and the B2B segment.
Data provided by:The Fly

Vodafone Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call provided a strong positive outlook with significant growth in revenue and EBITDAaL, successful M&A activities, and notable advancements in 5G network expansion. However, there remain challenges, particularly in Germany with underlying revenue growth and a slowdown in emerging markets' growth contribution due to moderating inflation.
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Group service revenue growth accelerated to 5.8% in Q2, and EBITDAaL grew by 6.8% in the first half of the fiscal year, with nearly all markets posting EBITDAaL growth.
Negative Updates
Germany Revenue Challenges
Excluding wholesale, underlying German revenue trends are stable but not showing significant growth, with revenue still declining 2% to 3% if MDU effect and 1&1 impact are stripped out.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Financial Performance
Group service revenue growth accelerated to 5.8% in Q2, and EBITDAaL grew by 6.8% in the first half of the fiscal year, with nearly all markets posting EBITDAaL growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Vodafone provided guidance reflecting solid financial and operational performance. The group’s service revenue growth accelerated to 5.8% in Q2, supported by strong performance across Europe and Africa. Group EBITDAaL grew by 6.8% in the first half of the fiscal year, with nearly all markets posting growth. Vodafone anticipates closing the year at the upper end of their growth guidance set in May, with a positive outlook for sustainable cash flow growth into FY '26 and beyond. Operationally, the company highlighted significant progress in Germany and the U.K., with 5G network coverage surpassing 90% of the German population and the successful merger of Vodafone and Three in the U.K. The company returned over EUR 5 billion to shareholders through buybacks and dividends in the last 18 months, with an additional EUR 1 billion of buybacks planned over the next six months. Additionally, Vodafone announced a move to a progressive dividend policy, aiming for annual growth in dividends.

Vodafone Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is weak (declining revenue, negative EBIT and net income), partly offset by steadier balance-sheet footing and positive operating/free cash flow, though leverage remains high and free cash flow is under pressure.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue38.78B37.45B36.72B37.67B37.01B43.81B
Gross Profit12.75B12.52B12.26B13.31B13.06B13.72B
EBITDA11.78B11.61B14.78B25.79B16.86B21.01B
Net Income-4.40B-4.17B1.14B11.84B2.24B59.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets128.86B138.83B144.35B168.97B171.40B155.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.53B19.90B10.53B20.34B17.16B11.87B
Total Debt53.91B57.41B58.51B72.13B77.99B66.80B
Total Liabilities72.25B80.59B83.35B98.91B107.90B97.25B
Stockholders Equity52.82B56.98B59.97B68.88B60.95B55.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.23B8.67B9.70B13.10B13.53B11.80B
Operating Cash Flow14.23B15.37B16.56B18.05B18.08B17.21B
Investing Cash Flow43.81M4.76B-6.12B-379.00M-6.87B-9.26B
Financing Cash Flow-13.83B-15.28B-15.86B-13.43B-9.71B-15.20B

Vodafone Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.48
Price Trends
50DMA
15.00
Positive
100DMA
13.93
Positive
200DMA
12.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
69.27
Neutral
STOCH
90.75
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VOD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.74, below the 50-day MA of 15.00, and below the 200-day MA of 12.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VOD.

Vodafone Risk Analysis

Vodafone disclosed 13 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vodafone reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vodafone Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$217.76B20.8418.18%1.75%7.30%17.67%
72
Outperform
$202.62B10.0216.62%6.60%2.42%102.17%
67
Neutral
$191.47B8.1420.35%4.56%1.98%150.68%
62
Neutral
$80.31B14.4817.05%2.69%1.14%83.48%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$36.36B7.35-8.37%3.77%19.67%-278.51%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VOD
Vodafone
15.77
7.69
95.10%
AMX
America Movil
26.29
12.76
94.31%
T
AT&T
27.35
1.80
7.04%
VZ
Verizon
48.04
7.23
17.70%
TMUS
T Mobile US
197.63
-54.19
-21.52%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026