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Vodafone (VOD)
NASDAQ:VOD

Vodafone (VOD) AI Stock Analysis

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Vodafone

(NASDAQ:VOD)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
Vodafone's overall stock score reflects a balance of strengths and challenges. Positive technical indicators and attractive valuation are tempered by financial performance issues and competitive pressures, particularly in Germany. Strategic initiatives and strong dividend yield offer potential upside, while operational and revenue growth improvements remain key focus areas.

Vodafone (VOD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vodafone Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVodafone Group Public Limited Company engages in telecommunication services in Europe and internationally. The company offers mobile services that enable customers to call, text, and access data; fixed line services, including broadband, television (TV) offerings, and voice; and convergence services under the GigaKombi and Vodafone One names to customers. It also provides value added services, such as Internet of Things (IoT) comprising logistics and fleet management, smart metering, insurance, cloud, and security services; and automotive and health solutions. In addition, the company offers M-Pesa, an African payment platform, which provides money transfer, financial, and business and merchant payment services; and various services to operators through its partner market agreements. Vodafone Group Public Limited Company has a strategic partnership with Open Fiber. As of March 31, 2022, it had approximately 323 million mobile customers, 28 million fixed broadband customers, and 22 million TV customers. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Newbury, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyVodafone generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income is the provision of mobile services, which includes voice, text, and data plans for both prepaid and postpaid customers. Additionally, Vodafone earns from fixed-line broadband services, offering internet access to residential and business clients. The company also capitalizes on enterprise solutions, providing managed services, cloud solutions, and Internet of Things (IoT) services to corporate customers. Roaming charges and international call services contribute to its earnings as well. Vodafone benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures, which enhance its service offerings and market reach, particularly in emerging markets. Revenue is further supported by the sale of handsets and devices, often bundled with service contracts.

Vodafone Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vodafone's financial statements indicate a mixed performance with declining revenue and profitability pressures. The income statement reflects a revenue drop and reduced net profit margin, while the balance sheet shows stability with manageable debt levels. Cash flow has weakened, yet operational efficiency remains strong.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Vodafone's income statement indicates a decline in revenue from the previous year, with a negative revenue growth rate of 19.67%. The gross profit margin stands at 33.4% for 2024, reflecting a decrease from previous years, and the net profit margin is markedly lower at 3.1% due to a significant drop in net income. While EBITDA margin is strong at 40.2%, the overall profitability has weakened, suggesting challenges in maintaining operational efficiency and revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.91, indicating a manageable level of leverage. The return on equity stands at a modest 1.9% due to reduced net income, reflecting the need for improved profitability. The equity ratio is robust at 41.5%, demonstrating a solid capital structure with a balanced asset base.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow, with a negative growth rate of 25.98%, highlighting reduced cash generation capabilities. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 14.52, indicating efficient conversion of earnings to cash. Despite the decline in free cash flow, Vodafone maintains a positive free cash flow to net income ratio of 8.51, suggesting continued albeit diminished cash flow support for operations.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
18.28B36.72B45.71B45.58B43.81B44.97B
Gross Profit
6.15B12.26B14.86B15.01B13.72B14.29B
EBIT
2.38B3.67B4.46B5.37B3.42B3.62B
EBITDA
6.09B14.78B11.77B13.00B13.60B14.08B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.06B1.14B11.84B2.24B59.00M-920.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.88B10.53B18.48B14.73B11.87B19.53B
Total Assets
172.11B144.35B155.52B154.05B155.06B168.17B
Total Debt
43.57B54.36B61.50B67.18B66.80B69.63B
Net Debt
36.45B48.18B49.80B59.68B60.98B56.08B
Total Liabilities
72.45B83.35B91.04B96.98B97.25B105.54B
Stockholders Equity
99.65B59.97B63.40B54.78B55.80B61.41B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.46B9.70B13.10B13.53B11.80B12.20B
Operating Cash Flow
5.64B16.56B18.05B18.08B17.21B17.38B
Investing Cash Flow
2.47B-6.12B-379.00M-6.87B-9.26B-8.09B
Financing Cash Flow
-7.33B-15.86B-13.43B-9.71B-15.20B-9.35B

Vodafone Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.42
Price Trends
50DMA
9.34
Positive
100DMA
8.94
Positive
200DMA
9.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
71.20
Negative
STOCH
96.64
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VOD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.52, above the 50-day MA of 9.34, and above the 200-day MA of 9.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.20 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VOD.

Vodafone Risk Analysis

Vodafone disclosed 13 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vodafone reported the most risks in the “Macro & Political” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vodafone Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
VZVZ
78
Outperform
$186.82B10.5318.23%6.10%0.93%56.97%
76
Outperform
$118.89B11.5236.94%0.93%16.06%
76
Outperform
$132.32B8.7018.57%3.54%1.33%7.69%
76
Outperform
$277.33B23.8119.35%1.27%5.31%38.46%
VOVOD
71
Outperform
$24.12B9.21-7.17%6.70%-24.84%-74.77%
TT
69
Neutral
$201.62B17.2111.38%3.96%0.50%-12.66%
60
Neutral
$14.06B6.51-3.76%3.69%2.48%-35.40%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VOD
Vodafone
10.42
1.60
18.14%
T
AT&T
27.47
10.84
65.18%
CHTR
Charter Communications
415.44
144.35
53.25%
CMCSA
Comcast
35.10
-2.53
-6.72%
VZ
Verizon
43.75
6.47
17.36%
TMUS
T Mobile US
240.76
77.56
47.52%

Vodafone Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 20, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.09%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Vodafone has made significant progress through transformation and restructuring efforts, leading to strong performances in the U.K. and growth markets like Africa and Turkey. However, challenges remain in Germany and the B2B segment, impacting the overall outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Transformation and Restructuring Success
Vodafone has undergone significant transformation, including the sale of operations in Spain and Italy, and the merger with Three U.K. This has led to a simplified structure, improved customer experience, and a €2 billion return to shareholders through buybacks and dividends.
Strong U.K. Performance
The U.K. segment reported strong EBITDA growth of 8%, with record low customer churn and market-leading Net Promoter Scores (NPS) in both mobile and fixed broadband.
Positive Outlook in Africa and Turkey
Vodafone's operations in Africa and Turkey have strong local positions and growth opportunities, contributing significantly to free cash flow growth in euros.
Guidance for FY '26
Vodafone expects adjusted EBITDAaL for FY '26 to be between €11 billion and €11.3 billion, with adjusted free cash flow growth accelerating to between €2.6 billion and €2.8 billion.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Germany
Vodafone faces a challenging market in Germany with declining broadband base, competition in mobile, and pricing pressures affecting ARPU.
B2B Segment Headwinds
The U.K. B2B market faced challenges with managed services and ARPU pressure, impacting growth expectations for FY '26.
Fiber Upgrade Delays
The OXG joint venture for fiber upgrades in Germany is running behind schedule, affecting the plan to reach 7 million MDU homes.
Company Guidance
During the call, Vodafone provided extensive guidance for the fiscal year 2026, highlighting a series of financial metrics and strategic priorities. The company expects adjusted EBITDAaL for the group to range between €11 billion and €11.3 billion, with a specific target of €7.2 billion to €7.4 billion for Europe. Additionally, Vodafone anticipates a significant acceleration in group adjusted free cash flow growth, forecasting a range between €2.6 billion and €2.8 billion. The impact of the U.K. merger is projected to contribute around €400 million to EBITDAaL, while posing approximately a €200 million drag on adjusted free cash flow for the full year due to front-loaded investments. The company also detailed a continued commitment to shareholder returns, having returned €2 billion through buybacks and €1.8 billion in dividends over the last year, with the first tranche of a new €2 billion buyback program commencing immediately. Vodafone aims to improve its customer experience, as evidenced by record Net Promoter Scores in the U.K. and Germany, and expects continued growth in its adjusted free cash flow, driven by strong performances in the U.K., Africa, and Turkey, alongside its transformation efforts in Germany.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.