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Prudential PLC (ADR) (PUK)
NYSE:PUK

Prudential (PUK) AI Stock Analysis

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PU

Prudential

(NYSE:PUK)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$26.00
â–²(6.12%Upside)
Prudential's strong earnings call and technical momentum are key drivers of its overall score. The company's strategic initiatives and positive growth outlook significantly bolster investor confidence. Financial performance and valuation also contribute positively, despite some challenges in revenue consistency and market-specific issues.

Prudential (PUK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prudential Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrudential plc (PUK) is a leading global financial services company headquartered in London, United Kingdom. The company primarily operates in the insurance and asset management sectors, focusing on providing life insurance, health insurance, and retirement and savings solutions to its customers. Prudential's core products and services are designed to help individuals and families plan for financial security and manage their wealth effectively.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrudential makes money through a diverse revenue model centered around premium income from its insurance products, investment returns from managing policyholder funds, and fees from its asset management services. The company's key revenue streams include premiums collected from life and health insurance policies, investment income generated from its substantial asset portfolio, and management fees charged to clients for investment services. Prudential's earnings are significantly influenced by its ability to attract and retain customers, effective risk management, and strategic partnerships with financial institutions and distribution networks. Additionally, geographic diversification into high-growth markets in Asia and Africa contributes to its revenue growth and stability.

Prudential Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 19, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 24.30%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in new business growth, dividend increases, and strategic initiatives like the joint venture in India. However, challenges in certain markets and regulatory impacts in Hong Kong were noted. Overall, the sentiment is positive, given the strong growth metrics and strategic achievements.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
New Business Profit Growth
New business profit grew 11% in 2024, reaching $3.1 billion, in line with guidance.
Dividend Increase and Share Buyback
Dividends per share increased by 13% and a $2 billion share buyback program was launched.
Expansion in Agency Channel
4,000 more agents were activated in the second half of 2024, with a focus on quality recruitment and tech-enabled productivity.
Health Insurance Joint Venture in India
Announced a joint venture with the HCL Group to establish a health insurance business in India.
Strong Operating Profit Growth
Adjusted operating profit after tax increased by 8% per share.
Improved New Business Margins
New business profit margins improved due to repricing and a shift towards higher-margin products.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Africa and Start-up Markets
Expense overruns in Africa and other start-up markets contributed to negative operating variances.
Impact of Regulatory Changes in Hong Kong
New regulatory requirements in Hong Kong may affect business, including benefit illustration changes and potential commission caps for brokers.
Negative Operating Variances
Despite improvement, operating variances remain negative, primarily due to expense overruns.
Company Guidance
In the recent analyst and investor call, Prudential provided comprehensive guidance for 2025, emphasizing growth in several key metrics. The company expects new business profit, operating earnings per share, gross operating free surplus generation, and dividends per share to grow by over 10% this year. Notably, new business profit has already experienced a 21% compound annual growth rate since 2022 on a TEV basis. Additionally, the adjusted operating profit after tax grew by 8% per share, and dividends per share increased by 13% in 2024. Prudential is also progressing with its $2 billion share buyback program, which represents 8% of its outstanding stock, and plans to complete it by the end of 2025, ahead of schedule. The company remains focused on improving cash generation and maintaining disciplined capital allocation, with a commitment to delivering long-term value to shareholders.

Prudential Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Prudential shows financial stability with a strong balance sheet and effective cash management. However, revenue volatility and inconsistent profitability present challenges. The income statement metrics are mixed, indicating a need for strategic growth and profitability stabilization.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Prudential has shown a volatile revenue trend, with significant fluctuations over the years. The net profit margin and revenue growth have been inconsistent, as illustrated by the significant drop in total revenue in 2022 and its subsequent partial recovery. The gross profit margin remains stable given that gross profit equals total revenue, but the absence of EBIT and EBITDA for recent years limits a deeper profitability analysis.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Prudential's balance sheet indicates moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio that is stable. The equity ratio shows a strong position, suggesting financial stability. Return on Equity (ROE) is positive, reflecting profitability, but fluctuates due to varying net income, posing potential risks in consistent shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals improvements in operating cash flow, suggesting effective cash management in recent years. However, the free cash flow growth is inconsistent, reflecting variability in capital expenditures and operating cash flows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates a healthy cash conversion cycle, despite some volatility in net income figures.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
8.14B11.97B-27.59B26.50B36.25B
Gross Profit
8.14B11.97B-27.59B26.50B36.25B
EBIT
2.95B2.10B-643.00M2.68B0.00
EBITDA
2.93B3.06B0.000.003.44B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.29B1.70B-1.01B-2.04B2.12B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.44B1.59B1.81B7.17B44.05B
Total Assets
181.88B174.07B160.25B188.23B516.10B
Total Debt
4.72B4.87B5.08B8.24B9.08B
Net Debt
2.28B3.28B3.27B1.07B1.06B
Total Liabilities
163.20B156.08B143.35B169.12B493.98B
Stockholders Equity
17.49B17.82B16.73B18.94B20.88B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.51B788.00M1.04B242.00M2.72B
Operating Cash Flow
3.61B832.00M1.08B278.00M2.77B
Investing Cash Flow
-832.00M-360.00M-39.00M-726.00M-1.19B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.70B-1.21B-2.52B1.26B-258.00M

Prudential Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price24.50
Price Trends
50DMA
22.01
Positive
100DMA
20.26
Positive
200DMA
18.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.60
Negative
RSI
70.81
Negative
STOCH
85.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PUK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.32, above the 50-day MA of 22.01, and above the 200-day MA of 18.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.81 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PUK.

Prudential Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UNUNM
79
Outperform
$13.63B9.2214.68%2.15%1.69%25.54%
MEMET
78
Outperform
$51.92B12.5916.08%2.93%8.77%110.90%
PUPUK
77
Outperform
$31.00B14.2312.82%2.72%-14.78%34.80%
PRPRU
71
Outperform
$36.45B16.308.04%5.24%2.47%6.88%
64
Neutral
$12.87B9.767.85%78.04%12.07%-7.94%
AFAFL
64
Neutral
$55.24B15.9514.41%2.27%-12.66%-29.30%
LNLNC
60
Neutral
$5.65B4.7116.91%5.54%8.31%-2.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PUK
Prudential
24.50
7.02
40.16%
AFL
AFLAC
102.72
15.52
17.80%
LNC
Lincoln National
33.10
3.53
11.94%
MET
Metlife
78.40
10.52
15.50%
PRU
Prudential Financial
104.94
-5.50
-4.98%
UNM
Unum Group
78.86
30.70
63.75%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.