Lincoln National (LNC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $7.77B
• Dividend Yield: 4.39%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.12M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.2
• Beta (1Y): 1.24
• Revenue Growth: 11.33%
• EPS Growth: -38.17%
• Country: US
• Employees: 9,783
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Insurance - Life
• EPS (TTM): 2.36
• Shares Outstanding: 189,580,410
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,741,735
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,121,869
• PEG Ratio: >-0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.66
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.30
• P/FCF Ratio: -2.70
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.67
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.67
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: -52.22
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 10.03
• 1Y Price Target: $40.55
• Price Target Upside: -1.05% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 13

• Rating: 71 Outperform
• Price Target: $42.00 ▲(2.49% Upside)

Lincoln National's stock score is driven by a solid technical setup and attractive valuation, indicating upside potential. Financial performance presents mixed signals with profitability improvements overshadowed by cash flow and leverage challenges. Recent corporate actions support strategic goals, adding a positive dimension.

Positive Factors

Financial Strategy

The $825mm equity issuance for LNC will allow them to accelerate their deleveraging plan while also allowing them to accelerate growth in spread products.

Operational Performance

All four segments posted year-over-year sales growth.

Strategic Partnership

LNC announced a strategic relationship with Bain, whereby Bain is acquiring a 9.9% stake in LNC through an equity issuance, at $44 per share, which is a 25% premium to last 30 trading days but a 50% premium to the most recent close after the big recent market selloff.

Negative Factors

Earnings Impact

RPS earnings were impacted by a plan termination, and Annuities earnings were impacted by lower fees given ongoing VA outflows.

Lincoln National Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) is a leading financial services company based in the United States, primarily operating in the insurance and investment sectors. Founded in 1905, Lincoln National offers a diverse range of products, including life insurance, annuities, retirement plan services, and investment management. The company serves both individual and institutional clients, providing solutions aimed at helping customers achieve financial security and independence throughout their lives.

How the Company Makes Money

Lincoln National generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source of income comes from the sale of life insurance and annuity products, where customers pay premiums or deposits that create a pool of funds for the company. The company earns money from these funds through investment income generated from the underlying assets. Additionally, Lincoln National collects management fees from its investment management services and earns income from the fees associated with retirement plans. Significant partnerships with financial advisors and institutions also enhance its distribution capabilities, allowing for a broader reach in the market. The company's diversified product offerings and strategic partnerships contribute to its overall earnings stability and growth.

Lincoln National Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Lincoln National shows a mixed financial picture. Despite a recovery in net income in 2024, inconsistent revenue growth, high leverage, and negative cash flows are concerns. Improvement in profitability ratios is a positive sign, but strategic focus on cash flow stabilization and debt management is necessary.

Income Statement

Lincoln National's income statement reflects a volatile performance. While the company achieved a strong turnaround in net income to $3.275 billion in 2024 from a loss in 2023, the overall revenue growth is inconsistent, with dips and rebounds over the years. The absence of positive EBIT and EBITDA margins in recent years indicates profitability challenges, though the net profit margin improved significantly in 2024 due to net income gains.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a moderate financial position with some concerns. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating potential leverage risks, though it slightly improved in 2024. Return on equity surged to 39.60% in 2024, driven by higher net income, showcasing improved shareholder returns. However, the company's equity ratio is low, suggesting limited buffer against liabilities.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, primarily due to negative free cash flow and operating cash flow in recent years. Despite a significant increase in financing cash flow, the company struggles with cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates cash flow issues, though the operating cash flow to net income improved slightly due to the net income rise in 2024.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	19.27B	17.99B	11.64B	18.81B	19.23B	17.44B
Gross Profit	-249.00M	17.99B	11.64B	18.81B	19.23B	17.44B
EBITDA	1.30B	4.12B	-778.00M	42.20B	1.96B	35.90B
Net Income	1.14B	3.27B	-752.00M	1.36B	1.41B	499.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	370.63B	390.83B	372.41B	334.22B	387.30B	365.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	7.14B	26.72B	3.37B	103.08B	121.36B	124.75B
Total Debt	5.77B	6.36B	6.12B	6.46B	6.63B	6.68B
Total Liabilities	361.08B	382.56B	365.52B	329.12B	367.03B	6.68B
Stockholders Equity	9.55B	8.27B	6.89B	5.10B	20.27B	22.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	936.00M	-2.01B	-2.07B	4.03B	151.00M	534.00M
Operating Cash Flow	936.00M	-2.01B	-2.07B	4.03B	151.00M	534.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-3.73B	821.00M	-3.33B	-11.64B	-3.57B	-9.48B
Financing Cash Flow	4.46B	3.62B	5.43B	8.77B	4.32B	8.09B

Lincoln National Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 40.98
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.97, above the 50-day MA of 34.81, and above the 200-day MA of 33.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.79 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 98.83 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LNC.

Lincoln National Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FG	79 Outperform	$4.76B	14.43	8.40%	2.52%	1.78%	0.77%
CNO	73 Outperform	$3.69B	14.04	11.35%	1.71%	0.82%	-29.29%
LNC	71 Outperform	$7.77B	7.15	12.97%	4.39%	11.33%	-38.17%
GNW	67 Neutral	$3.51B	19.32	2.42%	―	2.61%	465.03%
JXN	61 Neutral	$6.72B	82.50	0.30%	3.11%	27.18%	-100.02%
BHF	59 Neutral	$2.67B	5.05	13.53%	―	59.27%	―
Sector *	58 Neutral	HK$112.05B	6.02	-4.20%	3.95%	9.29%	-46.28%

Lincoln National Corporate Events

Lincoln National Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results

On July 31, 2025, Lincoln Financial reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, driven by a diversified earnings mix and strategic execution. The company achieved a net income of $688 million and adjusted operating income of $427 million, with significant contributions from Group Protection and Annuities. The closed transaction with Bain Capital is expected to accelerate strategic priorities, enhancing Lincoln’s long-term value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNC) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lincoln National stock, see the LNC Stock Forecast page.

Lincoln National Upsizes Cash Tender Offer to $420M

On May 27, 2025, Lincoln National Corporation announced the early results and upsizing of its cash tender offer for certain outstanding securities, increasing the maximum aggregate purchase price from $375 million to $420 million. The company reported that $812.835 million in aggregate principal amount of securities had been validly tendered by the early tender deadline, indicating strong investor interest. The tender offer is part of Lincoln National’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its liquidity and capital structure, with implications for stakeholders regarding the company’s financial positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNC) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lincoln National stock, see the LNC Stock Forecast page.

Lincoln National Shareholders Approve Incentive Plan Amendment

On May 22, 2025, Lincoln National Corporation held its annual meeting where shareholders approved an amendment to the 2020 Incentive Compensation Plan, increasing the number of shares authorized for issuance and raising the maximum cash awards for participants. Additionally, the board approved a change to the company’s bylaws, reducing the number of authorized board members from eleven to ten. The meeting also saw the election of ten directors and the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. A proposal for an independent board chair was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNC) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lincoln National stock, see the LNC Stock Forecast page.

Lincoln National Secures New Capital via Trust Securities

On May 15, 2025, Lincoln National Corporation issued $500 million in 2.330% Senior Notes due 2030 to Belrose Funding Trust I, in exchange for U.S. Treasury securities. This move was part of a facility agreement established in August 2020, aimed at managing the company’s capital structure. Additionally, on May 20, 2025, Belrose Funding Trust II issued $1 billion in Pre-Capitalized Trust Securities Redeemable in 2055, providing Lincoln National with a new source of capital and liquidity. These financial maneuvers are designed to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNC) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lincoln National stock, see the LNC Stock Forecast page.